Why Carlos Alcaraz will beat Jannik Sinner | Roland Garros SF 2024

[@theslicetennis]

Called it! Alcaraz wins 2-6, 6-3, 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 and heads into his first Roland Garros final. What did you think of the match? 👇

[@CarmineDiGiorgio-q7x]

I am an italian Sinner ultrafan but I am not to high on him. I think you are quite right. Alcaraz is the favourite on this slow, high bouncing court. He will use the same tactics he used in Indian Wells: big top spin balls to send Sinner out of the court and then he will attack him with his big forehand or dropshot as soon has he gets a short ball. I hope Sinner has a strategy to avoid this happening again. What could play a little bit in Sinner's favour is if they play at night when the ball bounces a little less high. Another thing that puts Sinner in a bad position is the fact that he still hasn't recovered from a flu he got before RG. You can notice it clearly when he speaks. If you look at his face during the 3d set against Gasquet you can notice he was breathless. You can't afford beeing breathless against Carlitos, espcially on a ultraphisical match on clay and If you don't move well you're in big troubles. I fear this will be a factor after no longer than 1 and 1/2 hour . Yannik will have to try and keep rallies short as much as possible and try to be as impredictable as ever if he wants to have chances. Anyway it goes I hope to see a great show. When these to kids play on a court tennis reaches another dimension no matter who wins.

[@francescojsb]

Si, ha detto che aveva anche avuto febbre, ma i problemi respiratori sono essenzialmente dovuti alle sue allergie primaverili

[@janefountain4147]

I Agree ...cause I see you' re a professional..I m a simple tennis player for hobby....I m a Sinner 's fan though...so I hope on Sinner maturity and self control...The best at this moment will win 🙌

[@adrianam1009]

Great analysis, thank you

[@colethomas903]

@user they will definitely not play at night that’s a guarantee

[@theslicetennis]

Respect the analysis! Even though you will be cheering for Sinner, it will be tough!

[@mavie727]

I just hope this one becomes a proper 5 setter battle. I’ll have my popcorn ready 🍿

[@stefanmartirosian3330]

Alkaraz is a better player on clay . Sinner’s power will not be as critical , on hard courts - Sinner is a favorite

[@theslicetennis]

Fair

[@veronicanicholls7132]

Love them both! Brilliant tennis players with oodles of class. It's gonna be awesome. Also , love your analysis as always❤❤

[@Charles-vz5ws]

Its gonna be a great match i feel Alcaraz has a bit more to offer i feel like Sinner is still slowly finding out his Clay Game but its gonna be a banger Cant Wait. Alcaraz i feel has the better movement and shot selection needed for Clay. His kick serve will cause Sinner some issues lets see how Jannik adapts and adjusts‼️🙌🏽

[@theslicetennis]

Going to be awesome

[@ancilmarcantel6060]

It'll be fun to see how this ages

[@TorontoFluff2792]

At least he took a stance! So annoying when people just say depends. Let’s see I’m curious too.

[@aiylacarson]

You have to pick someone to win. Everything he said was true. Jannik’s weakest surface is clay. Not that there’s this major difference between him snd Carlos. But you do have to admit Carlos is more natural on the surface. The margins in tennis are so small. Any little thing can give you an advantage.

[@dthorne4602]

It'll age pretty well.

[@theslicetennis]

Always is!

[@dthorne4602]

Yeah, it aged really well. Nailed it.

[@YVM3311]

Just wish that was the final !

[@theslicetennis]

SAME

[@federicaaa]

I agree with you in almost everything, but not the mental side. If I understood a bit of Jannik mentality, I don’t think he is going to be impacted so much by #1. Will see

[@theslicetennis]

Yeah it is just a guess - I think he is mentally strong, so we will see.

[@pawshands9706]

These two men are the rivalry we need in the game. After the Roger and Rafael epic rivalry we have been itching for another great battle for greatness. Both are in form,but Carlos is looking sharper. The more focused mental game will prevail. Carlos in 4😮

[@ElsonLim78]

Alcaraz and Ruud will be in the finals, Ruud is moving different, he lost weight a bit and he’s way faster than before

[@aariludvig9845]

sinner vs zverev in the final*

[@lilise3965]

What a boring player Ruud is!

[@miacat1727]

Rudd is a fantastic, exciting player, his level & precission on court is threatening & not to be ignored. Rudd v Sinner in the final.

[@dthorne4602]

​@@lilise3965 not really

[@theslicetennis]

That could very well happen. You don't think Zverev will over-power Ruud?

[@lukeattwood6187]

alcaraz just has levels he can go to..sinner is very good at what he does the human iremovable object,but the versatility of alcaraz might well prove the difference

[@3LAMESTUDIO]

Mentally Sinner will prevail.

[@jonbonesmahomes7472]

Haha no. Sinner is not stronger mentally than Alcaraz. It will all come down to who has the better day,also physique could play a role because this match will go to 5 sets . And yes, Alcaraz will beat Sinner in 5 ,because he can play better for longer period of time on clay .

[@creepsus24]

@@jonbonesmahomes7472 I would say: "alcaraz would win cause he's better on clay", If you think Alcaraz has a better mentality overall you didn't see tennis during the last six months.

[@jonbonesmahomes7472]

@@creepsus24 Both Alcaraz and Sinner are mentally strong. P s. I didnt see Sinner beating Djokovic in Wimbledon finals but u did see Alcaraz doing so,even called it at the time. I agree Sinner is strong but so is Alcaraz .

[@creepsus24]

@@jonbonesmahomes7472 the problem is he won one trophy during the last 6 months. He's not as focused as Sinner in this moment BUT he can still win the whole thing. I'm like 65% Alcaraz 35% Sinner. Rooting for Sinner tho ngl.

[@sophieoshaughnessy9469]

Love sinner but really it’s anyone’s match. Even they would tell you that. That’s what’s so FUN!!!! 🤩

[@sophieoshaughnessy9469]

But you do see that the only clay match in the H2H is Umag and Sinner won it handily?

[@saberdiamond3425]

Agreed. Don’t worry, Sinner often proves people wrong. He is Novak’s only loss at AO SF’s

[@brendajohnson5525]

Umag was in 2022. This was too long ago to really count other than statistics. Since then Carlos has won numerous titles on clay.

[@sophieoshaughnessy9469]

@@brendajohnson5525 agreed. But keep in mind that Sinner wasn’t even in the top 5 then and Carlos was already #1 or 2. I was just saying it’s their only clay H2H. That was Sinner 1.0, the gangly kid with his share of unforced errors. In any case such a great rivalry!!!

[@colethomas903]

@sophie 2022 doesn’t effect 2024 results when it’s small sample size

[@theslicetennis]

Yes but that was a weird one, Carlos did not play well.

[@tounoni]

If Carlos can turn up he should win in 5.

[@DackRambo]

you are always right never doubt the Slice !

[@ReneeBeukman]

you are correct with your prediction and reason for Alcaraz winning Jannik Sinner, from Soyth Africa, and its going to be a great GREAT match, all my money on Carlitos

[@Keepinglivingintruth]

Idk it could go either way. Both are really good players. Thanks for the video.👍

[@barbaragillett9904]

Totally agree with you Carlos move very quickly great analysis 👏👏👏👏👏🇬🇧

[@handleh]

Sinner will be extra motivated to play as world no 1

[@Mavert83]

Although I want Alcaraz to win - I did not see today a good level to beat Jannik. I think Jannik is going to win Roland Garros. His tennis skills and confidence is extremely high right now.

[@annabielica9069]

but he was not tempered enough in RG. Too easy draw.

[@Mavert83]

@@annabielica9069I could see your point except, Eubanks, Kotov and Dimitrov were not a walk on the park.

[@annabielica9069]

but maybe like hiking in the mountains😊

[@lilise3965]

Jannick's not in good form right now, plus he looks very frail physically.

[@aiylacarson]

Jannik had the easiest draw of everyone. Even Nole. Not sure what’s so impressive about that?

[@karlpopper3246]

Tough to predict. Would not be so sure as you are. Alcaraz is a very complete tennis player and seems more fit. However, Sinner just became no. 1 because he is very hard to beat and learns a lot from faux pas. The clay court slightly favours Alcaraz but we are talking of two of the three best tennis players in the world. In particular, even if we say Alcaraz should have a slight edge on clay, the only time these two played on clay Sinner won 6-7 6-1 6-1 (Umag final in 2022). In the last match they played Alcaraz won in Indian Wells but this was not so significant. There was a very long interruption in this match due to the weather if I remember well. Following the domination of Sinner in the first set (6-1), Alcaraz reacted intelligently but was helped by an injury of Sinner that did not allow him to serve properly in the last set. The two previous matches, both on hard court, had been won by Sinner in Bejing and Miami. In Grand Slam tournaments, Sinner won at Wimbledon in 4 sets in 2022 and Alcaraz won at the US Open in 5 sets (cancelling a Sinner match point) in a period he was on fire. Sinner has grown since then. This year 2024 Alcaraz is 23-5 and Sinner 33-2. It must be kept in mind that both 2024 Sinner's losses were related to some sort of injury, and the second would probably not have happened without a blatant mistake by the linesmen and chair umpire. It is quite tricky to beat Sinner.

[@colethomas903]

@karlpooper u act like Carlos isn’t effected by the delay poor sinner victim and he always injured when he’s losing smh

[@aiylacarson]

Tennis delays affect both players. It’s not Carlos fault the court was swarmed with bees. Also what was Jannik’s injury? I seem to remember him winning Miami right after so he couldn’t have been that injured.

[@colethomas903]

@aiylacarson that was the qtr final match with bees semis was rain

[@jesusv3869]

How many total games you guys think this will go ? Does Over 38.5 ? Sound good ?

[@diodoruscronus]

Carrot fan here..Fair analysis.

[@theslicetennis]

Appreciate 🥕

[@kropchik]

Sinner doesn't care about his new rank. He has a Zen mode personality. A great match. Any result is predictable.

[@mt817]

It is hard. This should had been in the final. Yes it’s about movement, and speed . How about jannik ball’s speed , can Alcatraz sustained that? Jannik quotes all the time is “ he still learning” but yet, he is keep winning lol. He also claimed that he is in a good shape, means… game on . Then I will go for Jannik. His game is so clean even he lost one set but only faced one tie breaker with one of the most deserving player

[@kieranfarrell1656]

janniks ball speed is really neutralized on slow clay, they are also likely gonna be playing with the roof open making the conditions even slower, helping alcaraz's game and hurting sinners

[@arvinds4961]

Good point i agree Alcaraz moves crazy good on this surface and he is the favourite to beat Sinner .

[@brendajohnson5525]

Carlos to win RG.Vamos!

[@brendajohnson5525]

@@AshleyKarys Ashley we'll be celebrating some more.

[@azoleyehirooni11]

I like both players a lot! I feel like Sinner will get this one, but I would be happy to see either one winning!

[@SwinaAllenMusic]

It's just an opinion. Like many others to respect. I hope that the best tennis will win with no tricks.

[@agradina]

I was hoping for alcataz djoker final to revenge last year

[@englishwith_mark]

Alcaraz wins in 4 explosive sets

[@utkarshdeshmukh6414]

Alcaraz sinner is a lot like Rafa Novak except the lefty advantage. It's as close as it gets! Hope both remain fit and healthy, and we get an absolute treat!

[@VladRadu-tq1pg]

he should , carlito has the advantage over sinner on clay , he s just a natural on it. But I m defo going with sinner taking a set, IMO he might pe too consistent for carlito if he has a bad fh day

[@ВладимирСеребряков-ы2н]

Feels like Alcaraz got an upper hand on clay and slow hard courts, Sinner got an advantage on faster hard courts and indoors. Not sure about grass🙂 My pick is Alcaraz in 4 sets.

[@keeganandersson4281]

If these two met in Wimbledon, despite Carlos having won it last year, I think I’d give the edge to Sinner. Being defending champion carries a certain pressure and Sinner is very good on grass. He made the semis in back to back years ago

[@colethomas903]

@keegandersom4281 sinner made 1 SF at Wimbledon but go on with your miss inform takes

[@francescojsb]

The thing that benefits Alcaraz the most is that he is now closer to 100% fitness than Sinner. Both are returning from injury but Carlitos is further along in recovery

[@karlpopper3246]

this is true, good point

[@FahimHoq]

You're right since it got to 5 sets, and the fitter Alcaraz prevailed.

[@marlenelamb7820]

Agree Alcaraz moves better than Sinner on clay. Carlitos is a real fire cracker🎉 & I think his style is much better than Sinner’s. Alcaraz is my favourite, I could watch him play all day. 👏🎾🎉

[@KatySei]

Sinner is number 1 for a reason.

[@annabielica9069]

Yes, and the reason is that Goat withdrawn.

[@KatySei]

​@@annabielica9069 injuries are part of the game. Sinner also had injury as well as Alcaraz

[@alessandrothe150]

@@annabielica9069 nope, He's number one because He beat Nole 3 times out of last 4 they met. He is just the better player right now.

[@karl16laker24]

I pick Alcaraz to win 4 or 5 sets because it is on Clay. However, I disagree with your take on Sinner feeling the pressure because he is the new no.1 player. I don’t think Sinner will view this match as something to prove that he is the best player in the world. If anything, Alcaraz has more pressure to win in this match and tournament because it is on Clay.

[@andieolivia]

How does Alcaraz have more pressure to win on clay than Sinner? That would be like saying Jannik has more pressure on hard courts? It makes no sense. The surface is just the surface. It doesn’t add pressure to player it’s just a part of the game.

[@karl16laker24]

@@andieolivia Two things: First, surface does matter especially if the talent gap between two great players are small. Surface helps the players execute some of their strategies. Alcaraz would prefer to be on slow/medium high bouncing court so he can execute his strategies a little better against Sinner. And it is the same thing with Sinner on fast low bouncing courts. They are both great players so they will need all the small advantages they can get to maximize their chances to win the match. Second: Before the tournament began, a lot of media/fans were picking Alcaraz to win RG because it his preferred surface. In addition, the same media/fans were saying that Clay is Sinner’s “worst” surface of his career. If you add both those things together, then Alcaraz should have more pressure than Sinner, in my opinion. Now, if this was Wimbledon and/or US Open, then I would have said that Sinner would have more pressure because the surface(s) are his preferred surfaces.

[@andieolivia]

@@karl16laker24 You do realize hard courts is Carlitos preferred surface right? Your comments are completely inaccurate towards Carlos cause clay isn’t even his favourite surface. Hard courts is. You might want to educate yourself first before commenting on a player you clearly know nothing about. Just a thought?

[@aiylacarson]

There is no additional pressure on Carlitos because this match is on clay. His favorite surface is actually hard courts, not clay.

[@karl16laker24]

@@andieolivia Ah okay, Sinner should definitely win this match now.

[@leecherlarry]

the new fedal

[@aurei7775]

It's going to be a day match, which will help Sinner

[@al1976-v7m]

I expect a high level match with either Alcaraz winning in 4 or Sinner in 5.

[@robertogoldenhorn4988]

It’s the other QF, but everyone fading De Minaur…..go the Demon!!!!!!

[@helloeveryone0123]

Either wins, i am happy. Its hard to pick one. But if i have to pick, i think carlos will win.

[@TuningintotheOne4BLN]

Thanx Stephen. Cheers, Milan. Picking Yannik over Carlos for consistency, key pivot moment wins, chances to break C's serve %s. Sasha over Ruud for power & serve. Then going underdog & picking Sasha over Yannik for post-injury form last 1-2 months. Think Zverev will hold up his first RG trophy!

[@nnamdichikwelu3790]

Zverev vs ruud who wins

[@orioguerrini2531]

Sarebbe stata una bella finale, comunque non sarà facile battere il numero uno del mondo, tanti tanti auguri ha chi vince!!!

[@fercomposer]

I go for Sinner... Carlitos is still quite irregular whereas Yannik is not. But then again it's a thogh call to make

[@lilise3965]

Bodily strength is not on Sinner's side I'm afraid. I hope he will manage to have a medium-long career in spite of that.

[@willp2411]

I think your wrong on the prediction

[@aiylacarson]

Well he has to pick someone! Why is he wrong?

[@keithcampbell6806]

He is giving a prediction. Your comment is just silly.l don't think you know the meaning of prediction.

[@azoleyehirooni11]

Predictions can be wrong and someone else may have a different prediction that turns out to be right!

[@FahimHoq]

Turns out he got it right, bro 😂

[@muriloborges9481]

Why Sinner will beat Alcaraz…he is more consistent

[@LucaMatteis]

I think Sinner is not 100% yet injury wise. Alcaraz feels like he is and that will probably make the difference

[@allanford7767]

Alcaraz in 4 sets but there will be a couple of tie breakers. whoever wins this will win the tournament I also feel it will be Alcaraz vs Sinner at Wimbledon in the final and Sinner will win.

[@sylviaandreou5350]

Carlos will win RG and Wimbledon he will do the double

[@utkarshdeshmukh6414]

Whoever makes them run on their forehand side the most forcing errors will win the match!

[@berlinerwettpate5244]

Sinner the winner?

[@fabirziomotta]

Wouldnt be so sure alcaraz is going to win this match

[@watchful.7083]

If alcaraz wins this does that mean Novak's stays as the #1

[@sydneymacdonald3821]

Sinner will be #1 regardless of what happens. If Alcaraz wins the final, then he will be #2 and Djokovic will be #3.

[@karlpopper3246]

no, at this point even if Sinner had not entered RG at all he would have been no. 1 at the end of RG (Nole had to make the final).

[@Pfaz001]

I don't think Sinner would be too crashed if he looses, he said that before the tournament he would have signed to get to the quarters while if Alcaraz loses on this surface it could be more traumatic as on quicker courts he stands less chances. Don't forget that Alcaraz "felt like a kid" playing Dimitrov in Miami that, in turn, was crashed by Sinner. Also, though Alcaraz is mote athletic, as a former skier Sinner slides better on clay. Given their physical condition, I would say that Sinner should prevail if the matches is not too long, while Alcaraz should be able to take advantage of the poor Sinner's training before this tournament if the match becomes a marathon.

[@rafaelguzman5524]

Wrong!!!! Sinner in 4

[@dthorne4602]

LOL 😂

[@theslicetennis]

We'll see! What do you think he can do to hurt Carlitos?

[@gianjose7053]

WRONG! HAHAHAHA

[@fabianjoy12875]

Wow

[@jonbonesmahomes7472]

Alcaraz in 5

[@FahimHoq]

Wow, you're spot on

[@KCNwokoye]

Your prediction is not correct. I'm a huge Carlos fan but Carlos is finding his form after a forearm injury but he will not beat Sinner on Friday because Sinner is just a little bit better in everything from movement to forehand and backhand shot quality including serve. Alcaraz is a little bit vulnerable on his backhand and serve at the moment. Sinner's game is well rounded and ready to win Roland Garros. I'll be happy to be wrong.

[@kieranfarrell1656]

sinners movement is nowhere near carlos lmao.

[@colethomas903]

@KCN your prediction is lol

[@KCNwokoye]

@@colethomas903 let's wait two days and see ✌🏾

[@aiylacarson]

You think Sinner moves better than Alcaraz? Seriously? Wow that’s a first!

[@dthorne4602]

Weird take

[@nicktilley4484]

I don’t see it!!!! Sinner will win.

[@ErnestoVillanuevaCagliatella]

Congratulations Jannik Sinner on winning the Semifinal, because you always FAIL the predictions

[@FahimHoq]

He didn't this time. People only seem to remember the failed predictions and forget the one he gets right.

[@carloslitorja3324]

An old saying never count your chicks before they hatch!

[@massimofalcinelli5043]

Escape from "Alcatraz"....forza Sinner!

[@lilise3965]

😂😂😂

[@Mojonavalle]

There's no escape from alcatraz.

[@drewcosta99]

Sinner in 4

[@lilise3965]

At Indian Wells Sinner destroyed Alcaraz in the first set. Then the interruption made him lose momentum. Here it's different, they play on clay and Sinner is no more in Terminator mode as he was from last December in Spain (Davis Cup) till Miami this year. I see him having physical issues from now on in his career and that will affect his future results I'm afraid.

[@rivaajulassi6475]

You want to change your mind?

[@theslicetennis]

Nope

[@anthonydelcore2103]

You are full of it. Sinner is going all the way.

[@FahimHoq]

😂

[@johnnelson3665]

Sinner is in Alcaraz’s head.

[@docjun3588]

Sorry! Carlos has a hurting arm. lol

[@sanoevzyimam9637]

Don't think so.

[@FahimHoq]

Why not

[@luisgonzalezalvarez1596]

of course he is gonna win and maybe in three sets..alcaraz is not a medvedev,tsisipas,rublev, kirgios and many of them who are complete losers..he has beaten novak in wimbledon that tsisipas and kirgios did not do...he has a complete tennis like borg, wilander, mac enroe, lendl in the past...I beat he is gonna win not only roland garros but wimbledon as well ..like borg

[@theslicetennis]

Feisty

[@dudenotsoperfect9366]

Wrong. Sinner wins.

[@FahimHoq]

Wrong Carlos won 😂

[@stan8926]

Sinner better serve and BH, Carlos makes too many wild mistakes

[@keeganandersson4281]

Better bh is debatable. I think sinner has a slightly better cross-court bh, but I think Alcaraz has a slight edge dtl. Alcaraz also has the drop shot which sinner doesn’t

[@colethomas903]

Alcaraz in 4

[@azur5493]

Commentaires totalement ridicules

[@kenchino0161]

Never go against the world number 1

[@theslicetennis]

😅

[@kenchino0161]

@@theslicetennis lol i was wrong…. Sinner being number one is a scam 😂

[@theprogressivemichigander6588]

I don't buy it. Alcaraz depends on being in aggressive positions so he can use his creativity. At his best, Sinner's depth is too much.

[@davidedipaolo8640]

Sinner has the number one pressure but Alcaraz has the "you have to be the new Nadal on clay and if the match gets difficult he could do lots of errors. He's not mentally solid like sinner in difficulty moments.

[@racephase]

He will beat him because he will constantly grunt like he did with Tsitsipas.. this is a new low in atp tour. In some shots he even grunted while stef was hitting the ball. It's ridiculous and continues in the tradition of most teams and players from Spain. They are very annoying..

[@HULKHOGAN1]

Who cares about tennis now that Federer, Nadal, Williams sisters and Kyrgios don't play anymore. Nobody else compares. The magic is gone

[@LoveMUSIC-p7e]

😂😂😂😂 😂

[@derekwheeler8609]

😂😂😂not today Sinner wins.

[@MinhVu-in9iz]

Sinner will win, he’s a different player, not world number 1 for nothing!!

[@art3mide644]

Sinner in 4

[@hhhuu448]

Sinner in 4