Why Russian Forces Threw Everything at Avdiivka

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Moscow’s biggest offensive push of 2023 started on October 10th in the southern town of Avdiivka. The battle comes at a critical point with Winter threatening to slow or halt all advances for both sides. My intention is to provide you with an unbiased analysis of the critical factors and terms you need to know about in the battle. In this episode we’ll examine why did Russian forces pick Avdiivka to attack? How successful has their operation been and what are Ukrainian forces doing to counter them?
written by: Chris Cappy & Thomas Priddle
Edited by: Savvy Studios
Avdikka has been referred to in a derogatory way as a trash heap because of the large trash facility there. The two sides have fought over the trash mound using it as cover and observation post, most recently a Ukrainian drone destroyed a Russian flag planted there after Russia declared a major victory of seizing the location. But The waste heap has questionable strategic importance though PStyleOne1 on twitter stated it’s unstable ground cannot support heavy artillery weapons. Even pro Russian sources pushed back on the importance of capturing a waste heap in this forum stating “I do not belittle the courage and heroism of our fighters, but presenting the capture of the waste heap as a strategic achievement is already unnecessary…” In Russia’s defense it’s the highest point in the town giving them a really good observation position from which to call in artillery fire and spot targets.
Even without the plant though today the Ukrainian town of Avdiivka has gained significant strategic importance outside the production of natural resources largely due to its geographic location. It’s a natural fortress with only two major high speed avenues of approach into the city from the south giving defenders a major advantage. It would be the first step towards future actually strategically important cities. That’s why a major battle was fought here in 2017 that resulted in the entire town being largely destroyed even though Ukrainian troops were able to hold onto it since then. This is despite the fact that Russia has bombarded the city with relentless artillery fire and airstrikes. Since then it’s been the site of fierce fighting partly because it’s located so close to the city of Donetsk which is a stronghold for Russia. So when Russia officially started its invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 Avdiivka was one of its main targets.
Another reason why this city is so strategically important is because it's located less than a mile away from the critical H20 highway that runs all the way north to the major Ukrainian city of Kharkiv. Along the way the H20 route runs directly into several Ukrainian military command and control centers where they refit soldiers and decide where to send reserve units from to reinforce various sections of the front lines. If Ukraine did have to fall back there are several other locations they could fight from.
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[@Taskandpurpose]

A big thanks to Ridge Wallet for sponsoring the animation work in today’s video. Check them out here: ridge.com/taskandpurpose and use code "TASKANDPURPOSE" to get 10% off

[@Theokondak]

God man. Why you kill the name of the city that bad. After saying it consistently wrong for so many times it's simply insulting.

[@VlD3adly]

​@@Theokondakhe is a clown and also called it "Donetk people's republic" he is a Russia sympathizer

[@trumanhw]

lol. keep telling yourself how it's Russia that's losing. All your videos are PURE copium of what you wish would happen. You didn't male a SINGLE video of what happened, but of what you WISH happened.

[@tomlawrence1335]

@@trumanhw yea keep telling yourself that. Didn't russia say the war would be won in 2 days over 600 days ago?

[@tomlawrence1335]

@@KittyCat-zv4js yea the facts are ukraine gor out of there and left an estimated 100k russian casualties behind them.

[@gusgone4527]

The biggest adverse effect on artillery performance is barrel wear. A rough rule of thumb for unlined/uncoated barrels is thus. For every 350 or so rounds fired, barrel radial wear increases by 2mm. The barrel usually costs 1/3 of the artillery pieces value. Therefore ammunition shortage is not the only factor to be considered when assessing the effectiveness of enemy counter battery fire. Properly trained gunners will conserve their barrels whenever they can. Measuring heat build-up per rounds fired etc etc. Artillery is not simply a matter of ballistic trajectories and predicting atmospherics. Not that ballistics can be described as simple! It's a true science in every sense of the phrase. Studied extensively by soldiers, mathematicians and material scientists over the past few centuries.

[@Josef9004]

Very interesting, most people including myself always think that the limiting factor in artillery is shell availability.

[@SRFriso94]

All true, but do keep in mind that Russian doctrine (which is really still Soviet doctrine) is different from Western ones. The West relies much more on something similar to the sniper's mantra of 'one shot, one kill', which is how they can justify things like Excalibur that cost upwards of 70.000 USD per shell. The Russians are quite happy trying to achieve accuracy through volume, saturating the entire area of a target instead. This has its own costs, and much higher rates of barrel wear is one of them.

[@gezalesko3813]

very good point... but barrel wear does not make the gun unuseable just progressively less accurate which again can be adjusted for by just shooting more shells...

[@shawnk7720]

@@gezalesko3813 mongol tactics

[@gusgone4527]

@@gezalesko3813 Yes, in the process making counter battery fire less effective/efficient. Plus accelerating barrel ware by firring even more shells.

[@dejanp6191]

Not Avidka, it is Avdivka

[@juki6377]

he's an american infantryman, and because the rest of the video is so well made i forgive him

[@Spectre4490]

Also it more correct "Avdeevka" because in ukranian this name have like two E Авд - ІЇ -вка

[@codychild2665]

Thank you!

[@dejanp6191]

@@juki6377 videos are great, but he mentioned it so many times that I cold not focus on theme. Instead, I was just waiting to hear how will he tell that word again :D

[@stone1er371]

@@Spectre4490 Its the same prononciation in Russian and in ukrainian

[@dumpandrew]

being Ukrainian, came here for an epic butchering of the topographic names! Thank you for a great review of the situation!

[@kaduceusz]

At this point I'm pretty sure he does this on purpose XD

[@Lochamp]

Being Polish, I too find the pronunciations hilarious even though I know zero Ukrainian I'm pretty sure you don't say it the way he does

[@davidelliott5843]

Wikipedia more than likely has the correct pronunciation. But we all know what he’s talking about.

[@ToBeIsWasWere]

You're really an Ukraneanier? That's so cool

[@rogerwilco2]

I really don't understand why especially native English speakers have such a problem pronouncing names.

[@ManicSalamander]

I watch a Ukrainian, Denys Davidov, who specified that the double i in Avdiivka indicates that it be pronounced with a little pause in the breath between the i's. Avdi-ivka. Klischi-ivka similarly. You are a fantastic commentator, and you bring a lot of context to the details of this conflict.

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

Its a Russian city, its pronounced with two E's and your "Denys Davidov" is lowest form of hatemongering and warpropaganda. Completely deranged and detached from reality.

[@aofg]

There's no i in Avdeevka.

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

@@aofg Amen for the truth brother!

[@lynxyu11]

@@aofg no there is ii , go back to bot farm.

[@aofg]

@@lynxyu11 Go back to Polish servitude and stop naming Russian settlements with that grotesque Little Polish slang.

[@dirtydish6642]

18:15 Lead tank was a mine clearing unit. Certainly discouraged the remaining column went it toppled itself into the ditch.

[@MrBendylaw]

And they say 'irony is dead'! I was laughing my ass off when I saw that.

[@stonem0013]

russians are truly talented comedians

[@artisan002]

You could even say they... tanked team morale. LOL

[@rafopderand8524]

Exactly. If the waste heap wasn't useful then why did the Ukrainians launch a counterattack to regain it?

[@VilkatisJanis]

@@rafopderand8524 did it thou? all i have seen was that they took down russian flags with fpv drone, and after they declared that any russian that will move up that heap will be killed with artillery

[@Rorschach1024]

Adiivka overlooks Donyetsk's airport too. So that "waste heap" is actually useful, both as a OP, but as a Manpad or mortar launch point too.

[@kameronjones7139]

It is also really unstable because it is largely made from broken rock

[@baneofbanes]

@@kameronjones7139hence why he said manpad and mortar.

[@kameronjones7139]

@huntersmith761 ok, I guess I need to explain this further when ukraine hits it will cause massive issues because it is unstable. Large mortars will also still have heavy recoil

[@sorennilsson9742]

Ukraine keeps it free from Russians by using artillery.

[@Popcornmix494]

but the airport isnt used since its way too close at the front, it would be quite idiotic to place any aircrafts there because its well in Ukraines artillery range

[@jacksoncronin9540]

It seems like large scale movements are just impossible at this point in Ukraine, with the size of the battlefield and it's logistics tail it's too easy to detect when large movements happen. Not to mention all the drones, satellite's and radar providing real-time information on the ground/air.

[@Andres-kw3fl]

Hicieron movimientos de sabotaje que tampoco resultaron

[@Superboy-jx3zv]

The russian lack the technologie usually more than Ukrain, also responding to a push is harder, getting espevialy tanks to a pish fast can be difficult and usually can'zlt be used directly after ariving, big pishes are possible just harder than be befor

[@bafa000]

when are the F16s and all of that bla bla bla coming?

[@jj4791]

It takes 2-3 years to gain operation ability with F-16s well 5+ years but half that in war time. They wont see significant or effective action till 2025.

[@CodenameCat-go4xn]

@@bafa000talk again when you stop shooting down your own planes

[@JohnSmith-xl3ju]

Avidka. This man never fails at absolutely butchering the living shit out of just about every name there is. I respect the constancy of almost never getting any names said correct.

[@Twenty4hourPharmacy]

it pisses me off so much lol

[@Mark23216]

It drives comments and reviews.

[@CodenameCat-go4xn]

Part of being an American

[@Niklas_vT]

At this point I am not sure anymore whether misspronouncing city names is a bug or a feature.

[@igotes]

Mispronouncing foreign words is an important part of American culture

[@Splarkszter]

When a bug is considered a feature is when it ends up being unintentionally useful.

[@tonypedersen6502]

Both, I cringed the first time, laughed the second and then just rolled with it!

[@KennyNGA]

If it only was mispronouncing lmao my man Cappy can't even read I think he got dyslexia

[@ricojes]

He nailed Uralvagonzavod, but not avdiivka. seems legit.

[@marcdavis4509]

Come for the entertainment Stay for Cappy’s pronunciation

[@AndyB12]

Is it just that difficult for Americans to pronounce foreign names?

[@issaSeeK]

You guys are finally pumping out content like I'd like it to be pumped out. Long and hard. Love it

[@KalleKongo-uf5ei]

Are you talking about your boyfriend?😮

[@scotthazelton519]

Thanks for sharing Cappy

[@CH-fc8dm]

Damn if you haven't upped the production quality and made major strides as channel in the past few months. Well done.

[@johnryan6003]

Great stuff. On hamas and Israel and the West Bank, please review with graphics the Israel support of Settler and grinding repression of West Bank Palestinians. The three local parties have refused to settle. So, they ear instead. Buy the way, historical claims of “this land is ours” are just subgroup delusions. Over 7000 years of repeated victory over and replacement of anyone living between Baghdad and the Nile delta.

[@M4xXxIkInG]

now they just need to at least somewhat not butcher the names of the cities. "Avidca"? bruh.

[@Lessinath]

Two minor errors to point out that don't matter at all for the bulk of the content of the video here: 1. Coke is a solid fuel made by cooking coal at high temperatures in an oxygen free environment, while you do get some combustible gas from this, it is generally too high in sulfur to be useful at the same level of natural gas and is generally burned off or used in the plant that produces it for heating the coke. This is done in order to drive those gasses (called volatiles) and sulfur out of the coke before it is used in steel making, because too much of either of those interferes with the steel making process and can produce weaker metal. 2. The waste heap isn't simple trash, it's waste rock from the nearby coal mines and from the coke plant. That's where they heaped anything that isn't pure enough to use. Being literally made of broken rock just piled up because that was a convenient place to put it with few considerations for access or stability or safety, it's not even safe to walk on. Heaps like this have historically collapsed in large landslides with little provocation, so potentially collapsing half the hill you're standing on is a very unusual hazard to be aware of in battle! Trying to place artillery or armor on top of it, or dig entrenchments into it, would certainly be a successful way to experience one of those large collapses for yourself.

[@jimtalbott9535]

Given that Russian soldiers “dug in” while encamped at the Red Forest near Chernobyl, I suspect we can expect them to order their guys to sleep on the tailings pile. Their corrupt officers can then sell the cots they provided - chCHING!$$

[@robingill9940]

amazing what you know and other people don't know if you come from a mining family

[@j.robertsergertson4513]

and that's important to know why?

[@Lessinath]

@@j.robertsergertson4513 Normal trash piles (AKA, landfills) are built with long term storage and safety in mind, and as long as you don't dig into one, you should be okay. This is not true with mine tailings piles, which are unstable and have a long history of murdering people who were simply careless or unlucky around them. I hope some Russian soldiers get to find this out for themselves. On top of that, because the local resource is coal it also means that the tailings pile could, with difficulty, burn. In that kind of situation coal is extremely hard to ignite, but once you do, you literally cannot ever put it out. So it matters because it is a unique tactical environment literally no one on earth has trained for, and if it becomes properly contested it could be incredibly messy. That's likely why both Ukraine and Russia seem content with hitting it with artillery and drones, and occasional patrols, without really committing to holding it.

[@j.robertsergertson4513]

@@Lessinath oh okay. Why didn't you say that in the first place

[@atomic3141]

Your and the contributors' hard work is obvious and I have been following you for sometime. The graphics and video are superb.

[@gezalesko3813]

no.. they did not throw in everything. Those numbers are very scary only for agressive micro armies who have only PR strength

[@Kristof1]

chris is the only person that will never check how to pronounce a town name for a video talking about it

[@leonardobroza6298]

Man really who cares, such a petty thing to bother with. P.S.: i am not even american

[@zeening]

@@leonardobroza6298 it's REALLY not, it makes him look like an uninformed idiot "i'm gonna sit here and film and then edit and watch a whole ass video multiple multiple times and not once fucking even think to fix the fact i butcher... LITERALLY THE MAIN THING THE GOD DAMN VIDEO IS ABOUT... repeatedly" lol dude literally does it every single video it's fucking lazy.

[@KokosNaSnehu2]

​@@leonardobroza6298 He's not even close though... The fuck si Avidka?

[@westkingstreetproject3630]

I think there might be hundreds of comments about it as of right now, boosting audience engagement and thus pushing it up the algorithm. He might be doing it as strategy? If he is, it's not exactly classy, but it's certainly harmless compared to how most channels use controversy to juice their stats.

[@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311]

Peter Zeihan is no better :)

[@chameleon455]

Love the new set up! Massive increase in quality yet still the same great feel that you’ve always had! Great job! Thanks man!

[@stevenjohnston7809]

Thanks for the update

[@toraguchitoraguchi9154]

Stalingrad was seen by many as a small non-strategic town at the intersection of two great rivers.

[@gidi3250]

And the Germans just wanted to have 1 army capture it so that the Soviets couldn't send over troops to threaten the southern German push to the Soviet oil fields, whitch then spiraled into an all out battle for the city as neither side wanted to back down.

[@Blitzo772]

It was strategic important then

[@noregerts8038]

Some points to consider: 1: Stalingrad was a city on the southern front that could be used as a hardpoint to defend Russia's vast oil plains in the south. Germany considered this at the time and thus tried to cut it off with 2 armies but Hitler pulled one of his many schizo sessions so it was cut down to just one. 2: Stalingrad held the name of the enemy country's leader. It's the same if Russia was trying to push on a city called Zelinskyytown. It would be pretty embarrassing to lose it. 3: There was only one river, and the river ran through the city. It was not an intersection. This river, the Volga, was a considerably large river that could be used for transporting Stalingrad's many industrial productions, such as artillery pieces and shells. Taking the city and cutting off the river could then weaken the Soviets' capabilities.

[@toraguchitoraguchi9154]

@@noregerts8038 There are many examples of geographically insignificant places that became bitterly fought over turfs simply because both sides decided that they won't back down. In Vietnam was a long list of bloody battles at places with no obvious strategic or tactical value except in the imaginations of the commanders on both sides.

[@noregerts8038]

@toraguchitoraguchi9154 While yes, there was many a vicious battle fought over seemingly nothing (cough bakhmut cough, cough), and there were battles fought in Vietnam that were meaningless and bloody, but that is a different war and different battles. There was plenty of reasons why Stalingrad was considered meaningful enough to taken, which prompted upscaling. Yes there was pride involved - the city was named after Stalin and was thus defended in his name because the commanders knew they would get the chop. But also there was value to be lost, such as the knocking out of a defensible city that was in the way of oil fields that Germany desperately needed in that time of the war.

[@jiminauburn5073]

I believe it is Av deev ka. At least that is how the Ukranian guy I watch pronounces it.

[@360tailslidfaceplant]

Bro he's never gonna learn. It's been how long now and he's still mispronouncing the relatively easy ones.

[@rediius]

I'm pretty sure you're right. Which is only more annoying since he even gets the hidden y in "Don(y)etsk" and other tricky names.

[@jiminauburn5073]

@@360tailslidfaceplant He has actually even joked about it in a few of the videos. Not going to complain, if a few mispronunciations of words is the only issue. Good videos though.

[@eneas9038]

@@jiminauburn5073 he probably does it on purpose to create more interaction, more comments on his videos and so on. Its a classic psychological thing

[@187Rajah]

Author lied , there was no russian army in Donestsk region in 2014, they can't shell the factory. .It is confirmed by Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe

[@NigelDeForrest-Pearce-cv6ek]

Excellent and Outstanding Analysis, Chris!!!

[@medievalcombatmiami4341]

Love the channel- while the battle of Thermopylae has become “symbolic” to our own culture, in its own context it is more accurately a “valiant rear guard action” successfully delaying the Persian army. in other words, the 300 (plus 1000 others) that held the pass were famous for successfully delaying the Persians, not just for dying bravely.

[@davidedbrooke9324]

Their main result was the galvanising the Greeks to fight.

[@generaldreagonlps6889]

Eh, current consensus among historians is that the delay really didn't matter much because a few days really didn't matter when war was much slower than today. It's more considered a pretty significant persian victory considering the major tactical advantage the greek forces had compared to the persians. So in the end they are mostly known for dying bravely although often the other greek forces who were there together with the spartans are often forgotten. The battle of salamis was a much more decisive battle in that conflict.

[@TorianTammas]

Persians outflanked them and annihilated them. Thermopylae was undoubtedly a defeat for the Greeks. It seems clear that the Greek strategy was to hold off the Persians at Thermopylae and Artemisium; whatever they may have intended, it was presumably not their desire to surrender all of Boeotia and Attica to the Persians. The Greek position at Thermopylae, despite being massively outnumbered, was nearly impregnable.If the position had been held for even a little longer, the Persians might have had to retreat for lack of food and water. Thus, despite the heavy losses, forcing the pass was strategically a Persian victory,[

[@davidedbrooke9324]

@@TorianTammas strategic? No. It was a galvanising deafest for the Greeks that ended up being a cause which Greeks rallied around and then defeated the Persians.

[@daddukes2110]

​​​@@generaldreagonlps6889current consensus? They may want to read some history books. It was a delaying action only. They were expected to hold for a few hours and held for 2 days before BETRAYAL allowed for their being flanked. If that is a defeat in your book, then you have not studied combat tactics very well. Holding that key strategic point turned the tide of the war. Up to 42:1 odds for Persia should have meant an overwhelming and quick victory. It instead brought embarrassment and eventual humiliation at Salamis where his fleet was decimated forcing his withdrawal to Asia. The Greeks knew, after Thermopylae, the Persians could be defeated, and gave them a rallying cry, not unlike the Alamo here in the US.

[@TheLocoUnion]

I’m glad that this man is keeping us apprised of what’s going on because the news media sure as hell isn’t!

[@Broken-Flesh]

Mainstream media is useless. We're at a point now where if you want to know what's going on in the world, you have to do the research yourself.

[@sh4rku5]

i wish they would temper their israel/gaza coverage with more coverage of ukraine. it does the public a disservice to let it slip out of consciousness when they are in such need of aid and half of congress wants to cut them off.

[@mathetes7759]

Well said! All our & most of the Western media report is straight up propaganda, on how Ukraine is winning!

[@mr.z3664]

Is he though? How many times did he list Ukraine equipment losses and KIA/wounded? Zero. Seems a bit one sided.

[@candykane4271]

I just found him and I have followed Ukraine closely, I’m very happy to see a new report analysis.

[@jimatkins2980]

Great stuff Chris as always..

[@kailalueni3251]

Thanks man, your videos feel very informative in this fog of war.

[@luciusvorenus9445]

Fantastic video. Keep up the good work!

[@demomanchaos]

The quirk with refurbishing old vehicles is that those warehouses run out. At first you have quite a lot of salvageable hulls you can put in good working order, but those start to thin out and you need more time and effort to put things that are ultimately far less capable than the first batch, and this spiral of longer turn around for worse vehicles keeps flowing until you get to a point where the only things you have left are vehicles too far gone to realistically repair in a meaningful timeframe. With new production being so slow the stopgap of refurbished old soviet junk can only last for a rather limited time. The more time goes on the older the hulls you have left to work with and the worse they are both in terms of raw capability (A T-55 is a lot less useful on the field than a T-90) and reliability. It isn't a sustainable model, and once those old soviet stockpiles are drained they are gone forever (No new T-55s are being built so once that parking lot is empty that model is extinct). There will be a point where the entirety of the inherited stockpile is gone (Used on the field and/or decayed to the point of no longer being usable) and bunker grandpa's "military might" will be gone. They rely entirely on the soviet inheritance to pump their numbers of equipment up, but once that is gone they'll have nothing. For more than a decade they've been working on a new model tank and it still has yet to be produced (They have maybe a dozen prototype samples, that's it). In a similar time frame they've managed to produce maybe 4 of their "next-gen" aircraft. Once their stockpiles are gone, so is their status as a "military power" and the fact they are quite literally nothing more than Europe's North Korea (Isolated blow-hards posturing with stocks of old outdated junk equipment with one city vaguely modernized for the oligarchs while the rest of the country is a 3rd world dump) will be all that's left of them.

[@Beef-bullion]

Russia still produces tanks. They still have their manufacturing for t-72 and t-80. They are producing more tanks than Europe

[@azmc4940]

I think Russia is betting on Western support running dry before their stockpiles of Soviet gear runs out. It is possible this might actually work, as they had around 10K old tanks and can probably get a few thousand more from North Korea. Also Russian leadership doesn't care about economics, they can just draft people to do forced labor.

[@mycure0498]

@@Beef-bullion But as reported in the video, less than 250 a year, which is drastically short of what they need to replenish their losses. At this rate, they’re going to burn through most of their modern tanks in a couple years.

[@Josef9004]

​@@mycure0498still producing more tanks per year than the British have Challenger 2's in their entire army 😂

[@mycure0498]

@@Josef9004 Ok . . . and? Britain isn’t loosing 1000 or so tanks a year either.

[@live_free_or_perish]

Your work is always thorough and well prepared. I've been impressed with this since channel I first subscribed a year ago. Well done 👏

[@zadovrus1624]

So through that he doesn't even check how the settlement he's talking about is pronounced 😂

[@T0mN7]

Aside from congratulating everyone involved in the making of this informative video and how well put together it is. I would really *really* like to know the name of the track playing in the background? It's really dope!

[@Fighting_Fatigue_117]

God forbid it ever happens, but if there was ever a major event (like ww3) where a major portion of humanity gets wiped out, I'd like to think Chris would be broadcasting a radio channel for all survivors from his bunker. But lets make sure that never happens.

[@beerjameswvu]

You're somehow becoming my most anticipated KZbin channel. Keep it up, You're on a streak!

[@nolongerblocked6210]

I prefer Torsten of Military & History, but Cappy's a close second

[@Bumpsy58]

Under old Soviet operational doctrine, a 6:1 advantage in combat power was always sought.

[@heyhoe168]

Exact document reference?

[@jraymond1988]

The Soviets typically had a 6:1 advantage.....in the death count.

[@ralphpierre9122]

And I'm not pro Russian but just stating facts. Attackers usually(if not always) have more killed than the defending side. Just common sense

[@williamnicholson8133]

This is a fairly conservative ratio of force for a successful.seige most western forces try for a 10:1 ratio to reduce losses .

[@user-hj8xz8tw7s]

@@jraymond1988 Ukraine is the same part of the USSR as Russia, idiot))

[@armorbearer9702]

I am glad you are defending why symbolic victory is important(9:33). Morale at home and on the battlefield are important.

[@BillHimmel]

Good analysis!

[@williampoucher174]

Ah yes, the Ukranian town of 'Avidka'.

[@MrBendylaw]

He's using the Russian pronunciation; it's hard to get that extra consonant in there when you're drunk and bleeding out.

[@williampoucher174]

@@MrBendylaw the IPA for the Russian pronunciation has it being said ahv-dee-ke, and romanticised its Avdeevka, so even using Russian pronunciation for some reason, its still wrong lol, maybe he should've had some vodka and he could've gotten all the letters out there

[@MrBendylaw]

Whoosh.

[@williampoucher174]

@@MrBendylaw whoosh?

[@MrBendylaw]

@@williampoucher174 It was a joke about Russian losses in Avdiivka, as well as the war in general.

[@losarpettystrakos7687]

After Zapateria now we have Avidka! 🙂

[@veritasaequitas2632]

The length of the front line in Avdiivka is 20 kilometers. The city and its surroundings are held by the 110th Mechanized Brigade and one battalion of the 1st Separate Special Purpose Brigade named after Ivan Bohun. In the fields near Avdiivka, the 59th Mechanized Brigade is stationed. In the area of the village Krasnogorivka (north of Avdiivka), the 47th Mechanized Brigade was relocated from Robotino. There is also the 55th Artillery Brigade in the vicinity of Avdiivka. Additionally, the 52nd Separate Rifle Battalion, the 105th Border Guard Detachment of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine (DPSU), and five battalions from other brigades are positioned in the Avdiivka area. They are opposed by the 15th, 21st, 30th, 55th, 110th, and 114th Motorized Rifle Brigades, 9th Marine Brigade of the Russian Armed Forces, the 1st Army Corps of the so called Donetsk People's Republic (DPR), as well as various independent regiments and battalions like "Storm Z" and BARS, separate recognize battalion Sparta, separate assault regiment Somali In total, there are about 40,000 Russian troops and approximately 300 tanks . The density of russian soldiers per km of frontline is twice bigger then when they assault Bakhmut

[@tomast.8881]

Aw-dee-yew-ka. Thanks for the video and merry Christmas.

[@robertneal4244]

It is pronounced "Av"(as in avalanche)"deevkuh".

[@ericchild8845]

Thanks for the info and opinion, Cappy. I always look forward to seeing your posts each day, well, I seek them each day and get bummed when you haven’t put one up… I totally dig your sense of humor and find it useful for dealing with such a sad and grim situation there in Ukraine. Glory to the Heroes!

[@user-ob6tp3hh9i]

Great job chris

[@13thravenpurple94]

Great video Thank you

[@MLN-yz4ph]

A major thing that is being lost is that in this war and wars to come operational security is almost out the window. Forget moving any larger size force in the day and at night is a real roll of the dice. The use of drones has pushed warfare back to WWI 2.0 fighting. If you start tossing precisian indirect fire and AI for drone control into the mix the concepts of WWII will start to become something of the past.

[@MyRendersonique]

Amazing amount of quality content you're putting out Chris. Keep up the good work. 👍

[@TheDethBringer666]

that grunt-tier pronunciation tho 😩

[@chipotleeater]

Man this video was god awful

[@cjmatulka8321]

Rapid fire of facts, Chris, you have the talent. You do a fantastic job! Go Ukraine!

[@markehrlich7534]

Best coverage/analysis of Ukrainian conflict I've seen to date. Not only does it explain the battle for this key town, it also gives the big picture of Russian tactics for the overall war, which is to wear your enemy down with numbers. So far the brave Ukrainians seem to be countering and winning on most fronts... Looking like this could be Russian Vietnam. Prayers for Ukraine🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦!!!

[@paulbade3566]

Just a note on pronunciation, given by an English-speaking Ukrainian (Denys Davydov): when you see two "i"s together, as in Avdiivka, you pronounce them by doubling the time you say the vowel, with a bit of a long e sound, so, "Av-dee-eev-ka," not, "Av-div-ka."

[@ScyllaCinema]

Its pretty cringe that he didnt double check this especially since its the topic of the video

[@davidlarson7387]

Thanks!

[@alvinhang8721]

The winter weather is going to make any offensive operation for both sides very difficult. Russia is welcome to drive tanks and armored vehicles in columns toward their objectives. The mine fields, the artillery fire, and the muddy fields are major barriers.

[@icantthinkausername1136]

Russia holds Donetsk though which is a big city with paved roads

[@ugbuga]

once it gets cold enough the roads will began to get hard as hell this is how the ussr saw so much success in their Winter operations in Ukraine

[@user-xr1bu8hi5v]

Ты забыл кустарники/Буш - повашему 🇬🇧 ))

[@icantthinkausername1136]

@@ugbuga they can easily drop salt on the roads to melt the snow and ice also we're talking about military vehicles which are purposely built for tough environments

[@ugbuga]

@@icantthinkausername1136 If The advance is slow enough and through such a small sector that Salt can't be dropped then the attack was worthless in itself lmfao and yeah? My point is that "Muddy fields" would only last until December

[@Kanner111]

These videos seem to be enormously more valuable and detail rich than virtually any other content I've seen elsewhere. (Also, with the rest of world attention diverted to Gaza right now, there's a real need to remind everyone what is happening elsewhere, too! Fantastic work!)

[@j2ax136]

I'd say "history legends" is a bit more detailed rich and valuable, but yh task and purpose is doing better.

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

Of course pro-Ukraine propaganda that actively pushed by Google would be the only thing you know.

[@mr.z3664]

Detail rich? Where were the details concerning Ukraine losses of equipment and soldiers?

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

​@@mr.z3664 There was only lies, since he falsely claimed that the Russian MoD reports 100 Ukrainian casualtes per week in the Donbas area, which is simply not true at this time.

[@stinyg]

Propaganda isn't "information"

[@lll9107]

That's why I am skeptical of Russia's numbers on tank production and refurb. If they truly were at those replenishment rates, they would not be using these more outdated tanks.

[@eldridgep2]

Agreed. I think the production and refurb rates actually are for those 50-60's era tanks. Let's face it they will be cheaper and easier to build and won't require complex electronics at all. The value they actually offer is mostly propoganda.

[@MrZlocktar]

They use it to increase firepower per square. It's not about lack of tanks or anything. It's about FIREPOWER. They use virtually anything to increase the ratio of FIREPOWER. The more FIREPOWER you have, the more casualties there will be on the opposing side. With artillery ratio of 5 to 1 which Russia has - it's continuous never ending grind of AFU. Is what it is. It is also foolish to be skeptical of Russia just because it seems impossible to you. Hitler did that in past. He learned it the hard way.

[@meklowthelemur861]

​@@MrZlocktarI mean a 10 mill to 500k-700k KD Ratio is not bad. No other nation could take those losses and win, only russia. Germans did so with tactics, not fire power. Honest, your sentiment is retarded. Lets see what happens after around 1 million russian losses, this is not wwII and Russia does not have that capacity from both population and economy like then but they are yet again fighting a tech superior force thanks to west proxy.... I mean in WWII russia relied on the west via lend lease. Russia is alone this time. You just cant produce "firepower" with no materials and no troops. What we are seeing is literal desperation. And if this continues russia will start scrapping the barrel. If this goes to 2025 Russia is going to start using tact nukes because....of a lack of fire power.

[@keithgraham9547]

​@@MrZlocktarYeah, Russian doctrine, which isn't all that sound unless they have overwhelming numbers if not only artillery, but troops and armor to follow up. And it works best against smaller numbers of poorly prepared and equipped enemies. You're living in the 1940's, and the Russians lost 20M people. Lots of unaimed and undisciplined fire accomplished little except reveal your position, causes wear and tear on tubes, and uses up ammo. A lot of their stored artillery shells are corroded and probably have lost some of their power, meaning more wild shots. Even if they manage to get 500,000 rounds from NK, at early rates of fire that lasts about 30-35 days. And we saw what that accomplished. With prepared Ukraine forces and worn out tubes, I wouldn't count on a Russian breakthrough. More possibly stalemate for a while longer at best.

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

Why would you waste your more modern tanks against heavily fortified positions plus minefields and artillery?

[@Four_Words_And_Much_More]

Good stuff. TY

[@blacquejacqueshellaque6373]

The coke gas is not the critical resource. the coke is. Coke is degassified coal, it is pretty much pure carbon and is required to make steel. The coke gas and all the chemicals are useful products.

[@brettbenson7690]

They've had Avdiivka in their sights for years. It's a fortress inside a pocket. A pincer movement in summer would still have resulted in high losses and given Ukraine time to take it back, especially with the new hardware. In the mud and snow, artillery won't be able to fire as many shots before having to scoot. Or they could simply be taking advantage of Ukraine's recent loss of air support.

[@tomasgogashvily5350]

You're clearly reeetarded. Avdiivka is a fortress that was fortified for the past 8 years. There are more minefields than what Russians laid in all of the Southern Front. The reason why Russians are trying to take Avdiivka is more of a logistic issues because the main water pipelines are going through it. While Ukraine has a deficit in equipment and ammunition, Russian forces are suffering from a lack of food and water, especially in Donetsk region.

[@gusgone4527]

It's of tactical importance rather than strategic. I think you are right about the timing and the predicted mud. Russia still has the logistical advantage and the equipment to move munitions/stores in the winter. By spring Avdiivka could be a fortress.

[@pedropalotes7638]

​@@gusgone4527no, its strategic, for 8 years Avdiivka have been used to artillery bombardment against the city if Donetsk, they need to stop that attacks as they affect civilians'morale

[@saumyacow4435]

Ukraine hasn't experienced any recent loss of air support.

[@gusgone4527]

@@pedropalotes7638 Point conceded. In that sense you are correct.

[@stephenholden4306]

Thanks

[@philippedefechereux8740]

Excellent illustrated summary explaining the Russian obsession with Avdiikva. Thank you.

[@tatianaes3354]

Batched propaganda job rather. Russia previously was “obsessed” with five regions of Ukraine, though it all only happened thanks to its Western handlers that installed Naziesque puppet government to destroy Ukraine’s founding document that postulated that the country is neutral.

[@gerardoestradaphd]

Thank you so much for not making any Coke joke about countries in South America

[@theotherohlourdespadua1131]

"Coke" in my country means "Coca-Cola". We don't have a cocaine problem here, we only have meth problem...

[@sjoerdddla4575]

Bedankt

[@benmcreynolds8581]

I think it's important to point out: That even tho it's been difficult, No one gave Ukraine any chance at first (around the world) The fact they have given Russia such a difficult time, surpassed anyone's estimate of how a full on battle would go between these 2 countries. (This has been an eye opening battle)

[@privateer9181]

wrong people who thought that didn't know Ukraine would receive 2 or 3 trillion in aid... and we are talkign replacement costs... it could be much higher in a year we could be pushign 10 trillion replacement costs by 2027

[@blacksabbath12]

What chance? Ukraine has been on life support since day one. Injection of arms and money is the only thing keeping ua afloat. Down to conscripting women at this point.

[@hubbahubbawow]

​@@blacksabbath12 just 3 days to take Kiev, comrade.

[@Daniel73865]

⁠​⁠​⁠@@privateer9181source? Everything I see says aid provided worldwide has been 150 billion. Which makes sense considering the us military budget is 800billion a year. If your against Ukraine just say it

[@t.n.h.ptheneohumanpatterna8334]

@@privateer9181where did you get these numbers from 😂

[@maximshukanov3267]

Why "Avidka", this town is called "Avdeevka"))

[@forg0tin397]

Shit was annoying me everytime he said it lol.

[@maximshukanov3267]

@@forg0tin397 after 10th time it becomes cute and hilarious XD

[@johnmarkson1998]

even the spelling is adiivka lol

[@maximshukanov3267]

@@johnmarkson1998Avdiivka is Ukrainian language, Avdeevka is Russian. But pronunciation in both languages is pretty similar: "Avdievka", "Avdeivka", but NOT AVIDKA)))

[@ruslanbes]

Let me clarify something at 3:10 The "trash heap" is not a heap of stuff from your house waste bin. It's so called "terricon" or a "spoil tip". It's a pile built from waste material removed during coal-mining. It's mostly soil, sand and rock covered in coal dust. Because it mostly consists of powdery materials it's very hard to move thrtough and any heavy vehicle would fall inside. Digging trenches in it is also non-feasible because the first rain will wash away the trench entirely. Also some of them slowly burn. Cheers, your Ukrainian follower. P.S. A lot of thanks for making new videos about Ukrainian war. This is a war from which a lot can be learned

[@blucheer8743]

Awesome channel!

[@sirmatthewnagy]

AV-DEEV-KA 4 the love of god. I could only hear it be mispronounced 100 times b4 i had to say something 😂

[@ScyllaCinema]

this is how u can tell he did not do his research

[@Crimethoughtfull]

av-DEEEEEE-vka. You're great, I love your videos, I love your dedication to objectivity esp when you admit your natural biases (that we all have). So, my comment is the smallest of "corrections". I follow some Eastern European mil-bloggers and av-DEEEE-vka is how they pronounce it.

[@ernieszabo3878]

Good analysis, knows what he is talking about

[@roblowe9283]

Very Interesting

[@johnwalsh4857]

I think the most important weapon for Ukraine right now is 1. artillery ammo and artillery. 2. Drones of all sorts. 3. SAMs 4. ECM warfare equipment. 4. Night sight gear.

[@boocomban]

And that is something everyone lack off...

[@hungrymusicwolf]

You're forgetting all kinds of winter gear.

[@johnwalsh4857]

@@hungrymusicwolf Ukraine has lots of taht one as proved by the larst winter

[@hungrymusicwolf]

@@johnwalsh4857Fair enough, though the last time I heard that Ukraine had plenty it ended up being too little.

[@blacksabbath12]

How about a president who isn't a moron...

[@joesphtropiano3642]

The town is Adivka not Avidka

[@KokosNaSnehu2]

You fucked it up too 🤦

[@BearlyOutdoors]

Rejuvenating glow of lavender? Oh Cappy, my Cappy!

[@jruser]

Cap, it's "av-DEEEV-ka" Keep up the great work! :)

[@alexsmart5452]

You can "Thank" or "Hate" Walter Cronkite for misrepresenting the Tet offensive as a major win for the NVA/VA. The NVA had 60% of its best trained, equipped, and experienced troops become all but destroyed during Tet(their own words) and the NVA became battle ineffective at that point and had the US pushed, North Vietnam said they would have lost the war. Instead the American gave N Vietnam enough time to rearm and form new units.

[@tomrobertson3236]

Coke is to coal What Charcoal is to wood

[@MollieLolly]

I like the map graphics you use

[@mikecaroto5361]

"Rejuvinating glow of lavender"?.......Niiiiice Chris. 😉🤣

[@Nikolai_The_Crazed]

I mean, the two prongs on the battle map makes it look like they tried to do a pincer maneuver around the region to encircle it. That can work, provided you do it quickly and can take the enemy by surprise. But it’s not likely to be a surprise in the age of technology. The big risk with pincer maneuvers is unironically the thing they need to work. You need a pair of prongs reaching out to encircle the enemy. Problem is, if they know your coming or you can’t move fast enough, those prongs get halted in their advance. Which means you now have men inside enemy territory, and THEY are the ones who are surrounded instead. And if the enemy gets in behind them before they can retreat then they are forced to either surrender, die, or fight to try and break out. Since Russia has had neither the speed or the secrecy on their side in this war, I’m kinda shocked they keep trying that tactic. By now Ukraine is on constant look out for the signs of an advance like that, and will prepare accordingly to stop it. The chances of it working are extremely low.

[@Stealth86651]

Been reading some of the reports out of there, it's pretty brutal on both sides, lots of losses. Lots of confusion among RU's leadership and such, their inability to cooperate between units is crippling to them. Edit: Benzene :(

[@johnwalsh4857]

not only that their logistics sitll sucks, they dont have enough logistics to support massive offensives for long, since if it goes for longer than a week or so, the offensive falls apart. that is why you see the Russians launching multiple small offensives. Russian logistics contantly under the attack from ukr partisans , HMARs, ATACMS, JDAMS, storm shadows , Scapels etc.

[@juki6377]

if you remember a former T&P video thats how they roll, Russia has its leadership "compete"

[@michaelfaraday8391]

Still they’re capturing it. I learned the Ukrainians generals are suggesting to Zelensky to consider orderly withdrawal

[@joelfisk]

Yeah and they fight with shovels and steal toilets to take back to Russia. 🙄

[@johnwalsh4857]

@@michaelfaraday8391 and Russian fan boys cannot seem to read correct english.

[@MickyChowMein69]

Its a lynchpin. A keystone. Plus it has strategic value for it resource production potential.

[@OGGOAT23]

Very good video

[@MilushevGeorgi]

I google Ukrainian cities by how many minute of a drive it is for reference, great job, good storytelling

[@iancormie9916]

What effect have Nato Leoards, Challenger, and Abrams had on the battle line so far?

[@ZVolgogradZ]

Very minimal, if anything it’s a net positive for Russia that they are present.

[@waiting4aliens]

When winter freezes hard, tracked vehicles can traverse swampy ground. It does not shut down, but allows armored formations to advance..

[@TheSympathydenied]

This video shows the importance of divisions over brigades because divisions could defend the smaller town while attacking the larger one

[@chrissmith2114]

The longer NATO drip-feed weapons to Ukraine, the longer it gives Russians to regroup and adapt... The sheer unpreparedness of the west both politically and militarily has been shown starkly due to Ukraine invasion, the EU particularly has not come out of this very well.

[@retsaMinnavoiG]

That's not really fair in my opinion. In hindsight, yes of course they should have had tanks, planes and advanced weaponry ready to be flown in to Ukraine en masse from nearby friendly nations. But it would have been criticised as antagonistic lending credence to Putin's claims and that was before the weakness and incompetence of Russia and the determination and passion of Ukraine was on full display. What if all that equipment was given to Ukraine kicking off a major conflict with Russia/NATO and the Ukrainian's simply rolled over and didn't fight. Nobody thought Ukraine would fight this hard or well and everybody thought Russia was capable of hurting NATO.

[@chrissmith2114]

@@retsaMinnavoiG It was obvious from the first month of the invasion that Ukraine could fight effectively, and the flow of weapons should have started then. As for 'antagonising Putin' the intelligence services of western countries have long known the abject state of RuZZian military, but have shamelessly used RuZZia as the bad guy to bolster their own defence budgets. The dithering nature of NATO has allowed RuZZia time to lay down huge defences ( which NATO then have the gall to criticise Ukraine for advancing slowly through ) - the dithering of NATO has coat the lives of many brave Ukrainian troops as well as the destruction of huge parts of Ukraine, and emboldened RuZZia that 'the west will get tired'.... NATO was caught with its collective pants down, not a good look for an organisation that is supposed to be protecting us.

[@retsaMinnavoiG]

@@chrissmith2114 that's kind of the point. It takes a long time to start the process of giving away advanced weaponry. Even if it was clear after a month that Ukraine was capable, it still takes months just to get a good grasp on what is needed at home and what can be sent away than begin making up production to cover any shortfalls. Not having a massive surplus to give away is different to having enough to service your own military needs. I also disagree that NATO/West knew that Russia's military was in this bad of a state. It could have been speculated but a lot of it comes down to things that simply can't be known for sure until the equipment/soldiers are actually put into action. The biggest issues for the Russian military have been bad strategy/tactics and poor basic maintenance of the equipment. They had lots of trained soldiers and lots of equipment but it turned out the training was bad, the generals were idiots and the equipment had issues as simple as UV damaged tyres.

[@jerregaming6009]

Thank you for remaining as truthfull as possible. Ive been trying to cut through the propaganda on both sides but it still remains very difficult. I hope the west can lee upporting ukraine to the point that russia is pushed all the way back, but i have no idea of the politics and money the west is willingg to spend with respect to russias war budget

[@user-cz2ys8zz8f]

Беги скоро мы к вам придём !!! УРА РОССИЯ!!

[@blackcatdungeonmastersfami5311]

He's not really that truthful the real reason the Russians care so much about Avdivka is that the Ukrainian army has been shelling Donetsk City from there with artillery and butterfly mines. It's a huge embarrassment to Russia that they've never solved this because there have been hundreds of civilian casualties.

[@RenanMendes-zd8hj]

And you say you are not fed up with propaganda? This guy was saying that the 4-5 months of Ukrainians offensive towards Azov was somehow a success and they achieved breakthrough LOL The Ukrainians Lost this war from day one, Russia didn't want to invade, all this shit could be prevented, and the only thing Ukraine can do now is negotiate to not turn things worse for them, because in the attrition war, Russia will win, and even dog militarily Ukraine was capable of win... Well nukes...

[@user-dp4ok9ox5w]

Truthful? This is pure pro-Ukraine propaganda that is simply slightly toned down from its Ukrainian counterpart.

[@mr.z3664]

Truthful? Why didn't he list Ukraine losses of equipment and soldiers? Because... propaganda.

[@Hilts931]

The way you say, 'several days' at 3:05 is remarkably like Mr Garrison on South Park

[@user-zv2nk4tw1q]

Thanks from Canada.

[@RandyMarshSP]

Imagine dying capturing a dump, like literally everything you've done in life, all the sacrifices your parents made, all the effort put into you by your teachers and coaches, every lesson you've learned, every good deed you've done all culminating in you dying on a rubbish dump, damn.

[@boocomban]

That dump oversee entire surround area... Something that both Ukraine and Russia want to have. That is why Ukraine keen on holding it as long as possible... Because it can overwatch the supplies route of Ukraine and it can prevent Russia from advancing to the coke plant. That dump hold very big tactical and strategic to overlook the objective of both side...

[@edyslavico3761]

unfortunately Ukraine losing that "dump" is a massive problem. Then again the odds were overwhelming. And there are no prepared positions on top of the dump facing the Ukrainian side. If they pummel it with artillery it will be difficult for russians to establish a permanent presence on top of it. Still, it was a crucial position to hold. The Russians still have a long way to go. However it seems their manpower and equipment losses are still sustainable.

[@XD-cr3du]

I think we tend to underestimate the ability of Russia to absorb large casualty numbers and keep going. They have a much larger base to recrute from, and because the government controls the entire media space, they can hide alot of the big casualty numbers from large parts of the population.

[@Deathskull0001]

Both sides can recruit millions, human attrition is a factor in the sense that 1/ those people all are in their prime to contribute to the economy, which they do not do both during conscription and after death/injury 2/ each person has at least several family members affected by their death/injury in all sorts of ways, so public sentiment is affected and 3/ recruitment in Russia is not equal among regions with some being crippled by intense conscription efforts and high cassualty rates

[@nicholasclegg9935]

They couldn’t absorb it Afghanistan or Chechnya. And they lost magnitudes less men then

[@thelouster5815]

That’s simply no excuse for large casualty rates.

[@murphy7801]

Actually they have an aging population in Russia. Why do so many of the recruits look old. Because they don't have many fit young men.

[@iegornikolaiev9672]

Avidka.... thank you, Kears Puppcie!

[@Dave-bf2lc]

I was in Avdiivka in July. Scary place.

[@imghoti]

Say it with me: Av-DEE-kah 😂 I LOVE listening to you videos! They are compelling, concise, perspicuous, well-researched and entertaining. And best of all, you're getting better every week. Plus, you actually solicite critique. You know your not perfect but put yourself out there anyway! You don't give a sh*t. You sir, are the Honey Badger of KZbin. You should adapt the Honey Badger as your mascot! [edited for spelling]

[@loza2101]

It’s not. It’s Av-dee-eev-kah

[@hesahappyvegan]

Actually it would be "Av-DEE-vkah".

[@imghoti]

@@loza2101 Even better!

[@ZVolgogradZ]

@@hesahappyveganactually it’s Russian soil 🇷🇺

[@kyleschlief4857]

Take a shot every time he says the name wrong. Lol

[@kmech3rd]

A shot Avodka? We'll all be dead.

[@terrybuggage724]

I enjoy hour podcast ., U are brilliant young man , thanks .

[@Steve-jl2wi]

Just an update Avdiivka is now becoming more disastrous than bakmut

[@tringuyen7519]

Great analysis of the Tết offensive. Yes, the việt cộng were obliterated & NVA would have settled for a DMZ in Central Vietnam. But the US just gave up with Paris accords.

[@adspur]

Personally I think Vietnam has done well since that terrible war.That’s a testament to its fine citizens.I’m a poor American but,I think very highly of the Vietnamese people and would love to visit before I leave this world someday.

[@matthewotis3594]

​@@adspurafter they murdered everyone and everything that wasn't communist in Vietnam,Laos and Cambodia.

[@Beef-bullion]

The tet offensive was a failure for the US. Causalities are not an indicator of victory. The NVA gained territory that the US would never take back

[@StayFreshMyFriends]

Since Vietnam is and will always be anti-china, the loss of the Vietnam war has had no real negative impact on us.

[@carlosdeleon8527]

Nice letters man, my keyboard doesnt have that "e"

[@ihavetowait90daystochangem67]

Is it just me or is this 3 day special Military Operation isn’t actually 3 days long?

[@watchdogac9551]

Twist. Counter offensive is now a Russian term as well.

[@Lajos_Kelemen]

It's actually 4 days long

[@dwightk.schrute8696]

Shhhsh, here, have some tea and stand by the window over there.

[@Byzantine-Revolt]

I hate to be "that" guy but Russia never mentioned a three day military operation that was Gonzalo Lira a person not connected to Russia (Officially).

[@GamesOfficialYouTube]

Almost like 2 day invasion of Iraq by US.

[@glennjanot8128]

Imagine being a soldier being told to attack. You drive your vehicle towards the city and you pass dozens, if not hundreds of wrecks, maybe even seeing the corpses of your comrades. And then artillery fire begins to fall on you What that does to morale...

[@zpettigrew]

3:1 advantage? I remember deploying as an IDMT with SEALS in Afghanistan. They had taken casualties. But I saw about 70:1 advantage was needed to kill SEAL teams. Rangers were about 30:1.

[@ralado31]

And you actually fell for it? Amazing. Even if true, the Ukrainian conscript is in no way comparable to special forces.

[@hieronymusbutts7349]

Note Russia has a rich history of manipulating data to look better than it is - by some metric, Russia probably has increased tank production by 10x over, but throughput is still limited to the slowest part of the process. And I strongly suspect those numbers are including refurbishment and retrofitted equipment, not just new materiel, indicating an overall loss as stockpiles diminish even if Russia maintains numerical parity on the battlefield.

[@The_Govermnent]

This is literally every country ever. While russia probably cannot produce as much as it claims ukraine is probably not destroying as much as they claim

[@Eupolemos]

That said, one of the major surprises the Soviet Union pulled on Nazi Germany was the amount of tanks produced. Hitler simply laughed and said "impossible" - and then the T-34s went brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr Not saying they can pull that off again, back then they did it with help from the west, but since I live in Europe, I'd hate such a surprise.

[@tomasFL]

@@Eupolemoswithout USA help, Russia would be defeated by Germany, now its opposite - Ukraine is supported by western countries, thus can defeat russia

[@tomasFL]

@@Eupolemoswithout USA help, Russia would be defeated by Germany, now its opposite - Ukraine is supported by western countries, thus can defeat russia

[@bartolino980]

@@The_Govermnent Of course sides inflate their numbers, but as you can see on Oryx Ukraine has way less Equipment losses than Russia, which indicates Ukraine destroys quite a lot of the Russian Equipment.

[@aiwarz91]

Much love from Latvia, between you and Artur Reihi I get all my pro Ukraine updates. Pronunciation tho 😂

[@jayb0g]

I have spent weeks listening to Artur and some Ukrainians pronounce the town name, and it drove me a little mad. Cappy, it's spelled like it's pronounced!