Why you don't need certainty to be influential

In this video I share one of the ideas from my upcoming book, THE SCOUT MINDSET. It's common wisdom that if you want to be seen as a leader, or an expert, that you should express your beliefs with certainty. I explain why I think this is wrong, and how you can be influential while still speaking frankly about uncertainty.
Order my book, THE SCOUT MINDSET (you can also get an audiobook -- narrated by me!): www.penguinrandomhouse.com/bo...
Check out my podcast, Rationally Speaking: rationallyspeakingpodcast.org

[@hectorg362]

Who's here because they got that random recommendation on rationalization? Also, congrats on the book!

[@SaifMalik-uz1tn]

Eyyyy me too

[@UnleashedEsX]

I got here by a vid called "How committed are you?", then I saw her vid about the C.Darwin letter, and between the appreciation to such gesture towards the critic or perhaps how she combined her clothing to the color of her eyes, I found myself subscribing... It is what it is...

[@artvandalay13]

How did we all end up on her recommended videos? Was it because of that initial video on rationalization? She has been doing this for years but finally got recommended her channel. I do enjoy her content though. Would be interesting to find out how the YT algorithm works exactly. Did something click in our collective consciousness?

[@williamcrosby1061]

I got bayesian thinking or what ever.

[@obiiking]

ayyyy me too lmfaoooo but ay that book be looking fire too soooooo who knows

[@chriscanal999]

I’m a software engineer at Amazon and it’s so ironic that you use Bezos as an example. My manager hates when I give probabilities of success or express uncertainty. The culture is “be right a lot”, which is listed as one of Amazon’s core leadership values. Too many people interpret that as be 100% sure with everything you say. Lol

[@helfulvids]

That core value should read more like: take calculated risks

[@delicious_crepes]

you should stop helping this corporation and taking their money

[@mk1st]

I read somewhere a while back: "Jeff Bezos makes type-As look like stoned hippies"

[@JamesRouzier]

Being right is knowing the probabilities of success or express uncertainty.

[@Newtube_Channel]

Where does one even begin with this? It's a mishmash of contradictions. Philosophy, misconceptions and assumptions all mixed up together.

[@warrencolegrove1]

Being honest with yourself and everyone you interact with is my goal. Requires a lot of keeping my mouth shut as well.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more while the lies keep multiplying... Vs Think more while the truths keep deviding

[@1chumley1]

I hope this book sells well. The world could use more of the Scout Mindset.

[@derasor]

Totally agree!

[@Newtube_Channel]

If you want to propagate change, you have to start with the young. Even that would take generations.

[@paris2705]

I don't think that the world could use more of the Scout Mindset or more Mathematicians/Physicists etc. What it needs more of is the ability to appreciate and digest the information provided by the scouts.

[@ReynaSingh]

Excited to check it out Julia

[@zdmsr]

Preordered. Not sure what the economics of preordering is for Authors but I'm glad to hear that its something that's really good for them

[@divinegon4671]

I want steak tomorrow night. Chop chop

[@michaeltape8282]

In conversation with a social group of mine, some of the guys started puffing up their chests at Julia's book title (we had all served in the military). It wasn't too long before they started becoming receptive to the scout concept.

[@michaeltape8282]

@@zdmsr I believe that pre-orders provide a sense of credibility for, in this case, a book's prospective buyers, and help sellers to make projections for a given target audience. And this one is $27 for a hard back! Yes!!!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the normal way of being fully satisfied... Vs Think more the good way to adjust the reality through self-own virtuality

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more with years Vs Think more the strictly way that we both enjoyed privately

[@adamstevens5518]

The reason people find it difficult to have a scout mindset at the same time as having social confidence is because you need to be very intelligent and knowledgeable to pull it off. You need to know as much or more about whatever you’re talking about than your audience. If you are uncertain and don’t have good probability estimates of all of the details then you will be easily challenged. Also the audience needs to be intelligent and well informed enough to follow along. It works great if you’re an expert talking to other intelligent people, which I think is what many of us aspire to.

[@antonc2180]

"The audience needs to be intelligent" seems to be biggest problem given the level of education in the world. It sometimes seems more practical to just fake epistemic certainty like everyone else in the arena.

[@patrickliu7179]

I had a similar reaction as you to the video. I think it might be appropriate to say that the audience needs to have the intellectual curiosity for the subject matter to take in non absolute statements. I also think there is an additional skill of communication to frame the ideas for the general public, similar to Neil Degrasse Tyson comparing the cost of the US space program to how much americans spend each year on chapstick. Its not that we just need to be more knowledgeable in the topic, but we also need to have broader knowledge to create good metaphors for the general audience and that's a lot of work.

[@samiam3297]

@@patrickliu7179 you nailed it! People in general are just lazy. 😉

[@johntruxal432]

@@samiam3297 You say lazy , I say entitled and ignorant.

[@samiam3297]

@@johntruxal432 semantics...all apply.

[@davidcchambers]

I placed a pre-order about a week ago and am looking forward to the read. I have encouraged my wife and close friends to place orders as well. In truth, they’re all likely going to find a copy under their Christmas trees.

[@guapelea]

Did you order through Amazon?

[@rudyinthesky4967]

You're encouraging others to buy and read a book you yourself have never read yourself?

[@muhammadaulia5298]

I've read your book called scout mindset and it was mind changing, thriving to become scout is very good idea, even im more motivated to become scout because my family loves heated debate and politics with soldier glasses, seeking truth and be compassion to other human because in the end we all are apes are the best advice i ever receive because i was so cynical to my family, thanks julia

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more when I'm tired to stick with anything... Vs Think more when I know its just a person like you that I'm happy to attach with always

[@MedlifeCrisis]

I agree with everything you say as always (and really looking forward to the book), but your mention of the word "influential" in the title made me think of social media. I'll use medicine as an example simply because that's what I know, but it's clearly central to science to understand uncertainty's role and appropriately express confidence (or lack thereof), but because that can be an unsatisfying answer for a patient in need of something to help them, they will gravitate towards the quack who can be 100% certain that their treatment will work. Social confidence might have more relevance in the business world, such as in the example you present of Bezos, but while I agree you don't NEED certainty to become influential, on medical topics being certain is a surefire route to popularity. The doctor being very measured in what she says online, explaining there is uncertainty to the treatments she gives, will lose out to the doctor who says with great conviction that masks don't work and vaccines are harmful.

[@naveej]

I agree with your differentiation depending on the industry you are in. Something I am curious about is: How would you describe the weight of negative outcomes for the doctor who gives 100% certainty vs the more 'honest/upfront' doctor who gives a realistic evaluation? How does it affect the credibility of both doctors, especially over time? I feel like the 100% certain doctor will 'only' win over patients in the short term.

[@scandinerdian1961]

@@naveej Agreed, we tend to gravitate towards short term benefits, but forget that long term effects, and a change in opinions and mindsets, take time. Thus the long term positive effects might not be immediately visible, but may in fact have greater gravitas.

[@thereligionofrationality8257]

I find it highly interesting that you self-identify with the "measured, uncertain" online doctor, when you yourself don't fall into that category at all! And you mix subjects to boot (to muddy the waters?) Vaccines are wonderful things, once they've been subject to the proper clinical testing; everyone knows that. They've saved and prolonged billions of lives. Everyone also knows that masks (as well as social distancing, school and business closures, curfews, and partial lockdowns) have no effect on the spread of infectious viral respiratory diseases. All historical empirical data to date (clinical studies and observational data) show this to be true. And it is true for obvious evolutionary reasons. But it's nice to see you here listening to someone who is logical and bayesian; maybe it will rub off on you! Cheers, doc.

[@MedlifeCrisis]

@@thereligionofrationality8257 Could you point out where I have exhibited the behaviour to which you refer?

[@ronbn3117]

​@@thereligionofrationality8257 Did Medlife Crisis really indicate that he self-identifies with the "measured, uncertain" online doctor? I can see that one might assume, as I feel that you might've, that a person would self-identify with what they describe as better or superior. Although it's a sensible assumption, I think we should be wary of making such assumptions. Often we can find ourselves assuming the worst when someone really only tried to be helpful. I don't think he was trying to be superior or anything, I feel he was just trying to add to the conversation. Also, as someone who watched some of his videos about the covid pandemic, I didn't feel that he was too confident in his views, but I may be forgetting something.

[@hashi856]

I've really missed you on KZbin. I thought you were gone for good. So glad to see you back.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more to remember everything what topic of conversation we had among colleagues... Vs Think more yet not to forget that I shouldn't disturb their businesses

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as I reached to stone mining location, I used to have a little chat with the stone miner... Vs Think more as I reached home finishing my lunch along with my evening refreshment tea of three tiny plates of rice, a bowl of fried oyester mushroom, three pieces of pork, a small portion of mixed fried potato leaves and tomato etc, a cup of red tea

[@adamtaylor2142]

I love this idea. We should follow and trust the people who are humble, skeptical, and willing to put in the work to better their understanding, always.

[@DelFlo]

Unfortunately those are not the traits 'common folk' look for in a leader.

[@synchronium24]

@@DelFlo Yep. Also no coincidence that those in power (and those generally considered attractive) tend to have dark triad traits.

[@replynotificationsdisabled]

@John Smith and why people think Biden can actually fix anything? Trump won for a really good reason, now there a isn't common enemy. So back to attacking the constitution.

[@riledmouse4677]

This.

[@christopherlarsen7788]

I appreciate your use of the term "Scout" and "Soldier" to describe mindsets. I believe those terms will resonate with most listeners, particularly as you have described your intent. Ironically, it is the warrior class (Soldiers, Marines, Airmen, Sailors) who actually embody the Scout mindset! US military education admonishes the notion of becoming married to a plan. Using the philosophy of the "70 percent solution" the military insists that the battlespace is far too complex and ever-changing. To deal with this reality, military professionals are taught to question their assumptions and seek new information (e.g. intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) in order to continually adjust the plan of operations. In short, plan to be wrong, and adjust accordingly.

[@Elmore207]

I imagine the naming is just as much, if not more, to do with questioning/disobeying orders. I'm not sure you guys do very much of the latter. Striving to rationally evaluate your orders in terms of global utility, and then deciding whether to carry them out based on your conclusion, wouldn't lend itself well to the military (which says plenty about that institution).

[@christopherlarsen7788]

@@Elmore207 - Your comments couldn't be more timely! There is more than a smidgen of truth to your claim that the US military too often fails to question the orders in relation to the emerging/changing context. But that claim belies the reality of modern warfare and the martial philosophy of Auftragstaktik - which has been taught to US Army and Marine officers and sergeants since I enlisted back in 1985. Indeed, Auftragstaktik harkens back to the First World War when in 1916 the Germany Army institutionalized this philosophy. Today, the US military refers to that same martial philosophy as Mission Command - standing in juxtaposition to literally "order-based command." And guess what? Mission Command gives junior battlefield leaders the expressed right to disobey orders!!! Here is a bit of light reading on this concept from research I was involved with a few years ago on this very subject. The article is published in the US Army Infantry Magazine... “Cognitive Dominance Through the Engagement Decision Matrix” (APR-JUN 2017). US Army Infantry Magazine. www.benning.army.mil/infantry/magazine/issues/2017/APR-JUN/pdf/12)Larsen-EDM_txt.pdf So, yeah. US military professionals do a surprising amount of questioning and disobeying orders. And the result has produced less battlefield casualties of our troops, and indeed we've managed to kill less of the enemy by virtue of killing the correct targets instead.

[@Elmore207]

​@@christopherlarsen7788It was genuinely interesting to read your comment and browse the link you provided - I wasn't aware that the US military used any degree of malleable command structure. Although I did equally mean questioning the military in a broader sense - i.e. its broader, political and geopolitical effects on the world and whether acting as a part of that institution is ultimately beneficial to human flourishing.

[@christopherlarsen7788]

@@Elmore207 - Ah...a philosophical question. Sorry, I missed your point. My mistake.

[@Elmore207]

@@christopherlarsen7788 Not at all - when I said 'equally' I meant it! Hope you have a good day!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more to speak more figuratively Vs Think more rather than to pointing out judgeable

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more to focus on self... Vs Think more to be fool not by anyone

[@gregporter4102]

An excellent explanation, thank you! I find in fact that the scout mindset helps improve social confidence because I never have to lie or exaggerate. Lying causes an instinctive fear response, it's nerve-wracking to try and trick people, and that nervousness diminishes social confidence. It's so much more relaxing to be honest about uncertainty and embrace it - and being more relaxed helps me be more persuasive. Win-win!

[@alexp7274]

You've put your finger on something that very few people realize is so valuable Julia. Being a leader isn't about being right, it's about finding out what may be right from those you lead, without the fear of losing their respect.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more like I came here to finish my scheduled duty.. Vs Think more yet not to be fool like I was under somebody's command

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more when I learnt to know I shouldn't be fear.. Vs Think more when I learnt to know that afraid of being scolding by someone on what I sensually commented to you just makes me go from better to worse

[@incollectio]

Yes. Thank you for such an eloquent articulation of the idea. When I was doing my pedagogical subject teacher's qualification, in Finland, one of the students was quite obsessed with the thought that a teacher should always project an aura of being a _knowledgeable_ authority rather than display any disposition of uncertainty. It just seemed like a ridiculous view to hold, given the natural limitations of humans, including teachers. If anything, teachers should be guides in how to seek knowledge, not a walking encyclopedia from a seemingly impossible future where everything is known.

[@kidd7359]

Allot of professional people could be more open. Doctors and dentists come to mind

[@toothpastehombre]

Hooray you narrate the audiobook!! I look forward to the listen

[@laurencezemlick1979]

Great leaders ask a lot of questions. They listen more than they talk. It takes a lot of social confidence to be willing to risk putting your beliefs on “trial”. True confidence is being able to stand up in front of your peers and say “I don’t know”

[@warrencolegrove1]

Thank you for all you do!

[@bldbar118]

It has really amazed me to see how elaborate defense mechanisms work on a precognitive level to "create the reality that they want/expect to see." Breaking through that is far more tricky than just "pointing out the truth," because as they see it their distortion IS the truth. I've seen false memories of events created, and the contortions people get in trying to defend them, not even because they are malicious, but because they have too much invested in the delusion to abandon it. Trauma has a lot to do with this process, and thus these people are in many ways victims of their own minds, despite also gaslighting those around them. They often times rely on the social confidence you speak of in order to make the whole mess work, responding with a lot of force very quickly in an attempt to overwhelm the subject. Being ruthlessly honest with myself and scrupulous in my information gathering has lead to great epistemic confidence, which has allowed me to stand my ground in the face of the onslaught. It's still difficult in the moment to counter the social confidence, but I feel anchored in a foundation of truth that makes it at least possible to orient myself in the maelstrom of misinformation. Thanks for being an advocate for rational thought process: I think the theme of the book is a great example of how to approach an "enemy position." I look forward to reading it.

[@naturallaw1733]

maybe the Traumas they have experienced have created strong, firm Egos in them for "protection" that also lead to the Soldier Mindset of Bias, Distortion and Delusion.

[@technoviking3827]

Congrats on the release! Can't wait to read it

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more with irony of human heart Vs Think more with own's soul counterpart

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more with the positivity of being curious Vs Think less with the negativity of being curious too

[@skybluskyblueify]

This epistemic confidence tends to be a big part of religions, cults, scams, mlms, and harmful ideologies yet social confidence tends to be part of these phenomena too. People that don't recognize the difference or what it means can be in a world of hurt throughout their life. These concepts seem like a really helpful field of study and a very helpful thing for the rest of us to learn about.

[@surbarus]

I came across your channel two days ago while researching bayesian......cant wait to read your book now

[@deliaandronache954]

Same😍

[@Eclipse5062]

Me too!

[@davidgill3356]

I just found it, it is a huge drink of cool water in the hell of you tube hysterics.

[@michaeltape8282]

Yes, she doesn't post often (some channels I feel post too often), but when she does, it is thought provoking. Well worth the watch, and a thumbs up. She is one of the thinkers that I wish would post more often.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more not to be fool by copiers Vs Think more by trusting no one

[@supperhey]

“Demand not that things happen as you wish, but wish them to happen as they do, and you will go on well.” ― Epictetus,

[@cain8160]

How the hell does she keep that much level of eye contact, i'm not complaining though

[@lightotw]

Also, if you move around the room, she is still making eye contact. She's really good at giving us her full attention. :-)

[@ominous-omnipresent-they]

Right?

[@anthonypc1]

This is greatly encouraging! I take pride in maintaining epistemic humility, but also care to be an activist and leader (in a creative field, not politician!) I think intelligently skeptical people can respect this. I've just been concerned that a majority of people seem to discredit whoever admits doubt, and take for granted whatever they're told with unwavering assurance, if it doesn't clash with their preexisting belief network. But I haven't seen statistics on this.

[@charlesspringer4709]

Taking pride in your humility must be one of the 10 deadly sins :-) It goeth before a fall.

[@anthonypc1]

@@charlesspringer4709 I'm interested what's the connection you see between my what I said and what you replied? Anyway, not sure I'd consider it particularly deadly, nor even necessarily bad, to take pride in maintaining your epistemic humility, or any other sort of intellectual or interpersonal humility that's beneficial. Sin is just a theological concept as I understand it. so I suppose aspiring to cultivate any kind of humility could make the top 10 list of things that offend a god, depending on who's make-believe we're consulting. it's all up to anyone's opinion. What kind of falling does intellectual humility forebode? was that a biblical reference?

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think Choir, Trio, Duet, Solo Vs Think 😎💎

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as late sleeper last night till 01:29 AM Vs Think more to not be fool by the drama-makers

[@joeteejoetee]

I look forward to buying your "Mindset" book because of all your candid videos about logic and thinking. Bravo and congratulations!

[@kewlbeone5949]

Such a refreshing personality.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think 🚚💎 Vs Think 🛣️💎

[@tomknud]

Congrats! I hope it went well!

[@Zach929U]

This has quickly become one of my favorite channels, will definitely pick up this book. Thank you for all the videos.

[@alexisoviedo7524]

I watched your TED talk on this matter, and I'm kind of familiar with the subject. I want to read the book!!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as most wetted week of a month Vs Think more as raining since 05:38 AM

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more not what I expected every time... Vs Think more the same process wouldn't work out for prankers

[@manbeardogstar]

Wow! Such a great mind-set to have. Just pre-ordered the book. First time I heard Julia speak on a recommendation and I've never looked back. Life saver :-)

[@kj-uv7zr]

I can't look away until you look away; I am certain that your focus is inspirational.

[@JimnesstarLyngdohNonglait]

Think more the quickest intuitively way as O is for *Optical Character Reader* again VS Think more the quickest intuitively way as O is for *Ombudsman* again

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more if this is the only way for me of dealing to you... Vs Think more it makes no sense to act as if I have enjoy what I haven't yet

[@vanrozay8871]

Amazing that I've been a KZbin viewer for over a decade, yet never heard of you until recent days, since I see you've posted for years. Your subjects are mine; critical thinking, human psychology (fears, motivation, demand for certainty, dread of looking foolish or out of it), problem solving. I never got as far as calculus, tho I loved, and excelled in, algebra, plane and solid geometry ("locus problems"). So I may be iffy on the math (at nearly 80 years old), but I eat up your other stuff. Thanks. A book I began writing, but abandoned about 20 years ago, was tentatively titled "Living in Reality."

[@KonradTamas]

Awesome topic! I always tried to explain this mindset to people, but didn`t had the right words to explain it. I even hurt them with this mindset, by telling them the truth so they can improve and build on it. ( You cannot build on lies! ) Many times I was hitting a wall with them and realised, they did not wanted to change, it was too much for them.( They were searching for a silver bullet / overnight pill ) They just wanted an emotional plaster on the problem so it does not hurt anymore! Sadly, as the Scout Mindset gives you the best possible foundation to build upon (reality). Many people are not prepared for it and they are emotionally too week to handle the burden of truth. Which is the first step to achieve true power in some ones life.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more when I cannot be fool by anyone... Vs Think more as I develop the habit of self nurturing

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think 🤨📸💎 Vs Think 👨🏻‍🏫🗺️💎

[@Stefan_1306]

I immediately preordered the book after listening to one of her talks. It seems to me there are not enough people who think about thinking in this way, let alone write a book about it.

[@wyocoloexperience7025]

Nice to see you again, Julia! I'll check out your book for sure!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think 👓💡💎 Vs Think 🌧️🌌💎

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as C is for Courage Vs Think more as D is for Determine

[@simonrodriguez4685]

How timely. A crusader for common sense amidst the debacle of the shared sense of reality.

[@TheJezcol]

Here here!

[@simonrodriguez4685]

@@TheJezcol Everywhere, everywhere! Please!

[@darwiniandroid8094]

She's back with a book... So proud of you :))

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the more I was fool by the foolishes... Vs Think more the more I can't expressed their foolishnesses

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more to see no one what they are doing in reality... Vs Think more but to behave as a result of virtuality response.

[@RigzoTV]

I don't know the reason, but watching you talking is so satisfying.

[@alexgeeves7096]

Good vocabulary

[@AlternicityBlogspot]

She is intelligent, good looking and well spoken.

[@evan5854]

Notice how she doesn't say "um", or "like". She's good communicator for sure.

[@a.m9472]

@@evan5854 Lol not quite. Uh/Um count: 1:00 1:24 1:52 2:01 2:33 2:47 3:05 3:12 It’s infrequent but still there as something to work on. Regardless, she’s very pleasant to listen to.

[@brianarbenz7206]

@@a.m9472 Yeah, let's hyper-analyze the speaker, right down to the _Uh/Um count._ Is there a site somewhere where the Uh/Um Counts of public figures are posted, updated hourly?

[@davefisher1840]

I preordered your book in the Apple eBook store. I am a big supporter of your TED Talk on this subject and am excited about your new book!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the impossible 13500KM way... Vs Think less the cost control approaching way

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more since 2 hours ago... Vs Think more to rationalise from the moment I woke up, after completing a breakfast, sweeping 30% of house Compound floor, sitting at computer for atleast 45 minutes, downloading few four smoking one-liner quotes and printed them on A4 size sheet paper, with 2 wasted Unworking printed paper, riding in a Maruti Suzuki while father was driving, reaching at school 10 minutes late, helping myself to fix the printed paper to placards made by students etc

[@-delilahlin-1598]

Thank you. To use your terminology, I’ve always been more of a scout struggling to be a soldier. My project over the past 3 years is to develop a impenetrable epistemic confidence. I’ve used this impossible goal as a rationalization for not stepping forward & reporting my insights. Sold! On one copy of your exciting book:)

[@arthurwieczorek4894]

In my opinion there is not a better book to further your project than 'People In Quandaries' by Wendell Johnson. This book is not about logic; it's about the foundation of logic---language.

[@KI4TZA]

I've already pre-ordered the Kindle version - looking forward to it!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more what's the point., Vs Think more until I can't hold out of my anger

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the hardest way since the last comment, 1920 seconds ago... Vs Think more the hardest way as wise as how I'm happy when I learnt how to be honest to self every seconds no matter what

[@ChPonsard]

Great to get a better grasp on this, thank you. I went into politics 10+ years ago, partially because I had this sense there's a place in politics for confident displays of epistemic uncertainty. Seems like that wasn't naive at all, after seeing this.

[@TheJezcol]

Don't let the bastards ground U down though!

[@ChPonsard]

@@TheJezcol Hehe, thanks. I have the impression most people in politics, at least in Belgium, are doing their best. But everybody has a lot to learn :)

[@av5452]

Wow, i just discovered this channel, love it.I was binging your old videos and was intrigued if you wrote any book, and now I know :P

[@MrTlong2010]

She has a great podcast, too! "Rationally Speaking".

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the hardest way as how the line break tag is used to insert a line break in an HTML document... Vs Think more the hardest way with why it is called an empty tag

[@terencewinters2154]

Scouts don't usually make snap judgments generalizing from the particular . They first let their imagination explore the vast and open sea and then weigh that which they observe looking at the odds of what they're seeing being true. Wanting something to be true is not the same as reality and the truth of reality is what scouts desire to understand and conform somewhat to . There are realities we would not like to conform to ,inequalities of scale , or irrational beliefs , but yet we must understand them still as realities. Scouts make people uncomfortable as they challenge assumptions often enough.

[@greatfrenchcanadian6800]

Good stuff. I totally buy the basic distinction you're making between epistemic and social confidence (in fact I think it is somewhat evident) but I'm very interested in reading your research and seeing how you defend/develop the distinction.

[@sandydonaldson4998]

Already bought it. Have been waiting since your long now talk.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more with diamond of my Saturday... Vs Think more I didn't care everybody else's saturday

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the hardest way as A is for Art Vs Think more the hardest way as B is for Beat

[@michaeltape8282]

I loved your video regarding Darwin's critic! Origin of Species fascinated me as a youth. I'd like to get your book. I have so many books to read though. If I did, would you sign it? Love your channel. I wish you would post more often.

[@PianoDentist]

Thanks Julia for writing about these important topics. My friends think I'm weird always talking about epistemology! I have pre-ordered your book.

[@physicsguy877]

You should listen to your friends

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more to not fully appreciate the additional Qualification phrase users.. Vs Think more not to involved with the people in the street either

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the hardest way the one thing I always keep winning a particular argument.. Vs Think more the hardest way the one thing I never lies to self

[@quicktastic]

Can't wait for the book!

[@bigfatidiot]

Looking forward to the book! I've read Thinking in Bets by Annie Duke and Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman and this seems a great book following the same themes.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the hardest way not what everybody else's think... Vs Think more the hardest way as wise as A is for Astonishment, B is for Bestow

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as wise with Temperature and how we feel when it's hot, warm or cool.. Vs Think more as A is for Amaze, B is for Believe

[@ibrahimsharara6753]

Congrats! Nd we really are glad that yr back ! :)

[@STUDIO-wh8dh]

you are being blessed by the algorithm right now keep at it

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more the Hardest way as Q is for Quite Vs Think more the Hardest way as R is for Reluctant

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more as wise as how I openly huggingly hold you tight.. Vs Think more as wise as how I repeatedly nurtured myself to not lie myself

[@jimwalsh5940]

Already ordered it.

[@punditgi]

Mazel tov! Love your videos and will surely love your book. A bi gezunt!

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think less with technical error issues occurred at 11:34 PM Vs Think more with why 4G to 2G intentionally

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more till 12:45 PM Vs Think more the hardest way of living always, even when easiness teach me to grab and enjoy with it

[@FutureMindset]

A lot of people tend to have this notion that blind belief and devotion is going to convince others to join you but it's your honesty that'll actually get them to trust you. Nothing sucks people in more than someone who is willing to take an objective look at the situation. Someone who is truly influential will also never allow their confidence to cloud their own judgment and will acknowledge their intellectual limitations. Of course, it's also important to stay focused and determined to succeed.

[@vanrozay8871]

your take is off, idealistic. else how did so many fall for the grandstanding of someone who clearly was so self-centered that he constantly demanded loyalty and praise? his needy personality guaranteed he'd be a lousy leader, but the appeal to racism and resentment ensnared millions. if things worked as you suggest, such a fraud would never have had a chance against truth-tellers.

[@toi4154]

Seeming honest is part of being convinging, but that doesn't always require actually being honest.

[@vanrozay8871]

@@toi4154 of course, the key word in your comment is "seeming." many people with little understanding of their own or others' motivations and self-delusions are sitting ducks for honest "seeming" talkers. trump couldn't have gone anywhere with a more sophisticated, less religious population. but small-town fear/distrust of big-city, educated "elitists" primes his dupes for submission.

[@toi4154]

@@vanrozay8871 And when people like someone who is a known liar, they still see them as honest in some twisted way. They might say something like: "At least he shows what he really is, unlike those who..."

[@vanrozay8871]

@@toi4154 yup!

[@nichoudha]

do you have any idea how many years I've been a fan and waited for you to publish a book?

[@TheEnergizer94]

1 year :D

[@nichoudha]

@@TheEnergizer94 since her TAM presentation around 2012 - 2013 actually.

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more here's the point to noticing the real ethically... Vs Think more not to be fool as a person with idiots list

[@jimnesstarlyngdohnonglait3468]

Think more not to be fool by how how elder brother, mother as well as sister react on me especially when they pointed out at my aggressive attitude infront of the housemaid... Vs Think more as a person who don't happy for being pranked, insult, complain, judged etc