Will Italy survive the next big eruption? | SLICE EARTH | FULL DOC

[@fabiodeoliveiraribeiro1602]

No matter what Italian scientists try to do, the truth is that in the event of a major volcanic eruption, it will be simply impossible to quickly evacuate hundreds of thousands or millions of people from such a large city. Cars and terrified people will pile up on the streets, creating traffic jams, accidents, fights, and difficulties in the flow of vehicles and people. Smoke and fires caused by small incandescent fragments thrown onto houses during the eruption will aggravate the panic and this will greatly complicate the situation. People who do not know what to do will be paralyzed. Tremors will cause buildings and mansions to collapse, creating traffic interruptions. In all proportions, this is exactly what happened during the great tragedy of Pompeii in the 1st century AD.

[@jesuschristt7692]

It will give plenty of signs for weeks/months before a major eruption,like it did several times in the past,as we know that from the reports. The chance that it will suddenly erupt is remote,most likely they gonna detect it and have a minimum of 3-4 days to move away. At the moments it’s the most monitored volcanic area in the world

[@warpdriveby]

That need not be the case, though as things stand I think you have it exactly right. I'd point to a number of places in Japan, most notably Kagoshima bay and the strikingly similar Aira caldera/Sakurajima stratovolcano complex. The residents have created a robust and efficient evacuation plan and drill regularly, and it has had enormous success in their ability to respond to other events like Tsunami, Quakes, and minor eruptions.

[@sja45uk]

Technically the volcanic caldera of the Phlegraean Fields may not be the result of a Volcanic Index Eruption (VEI) of magnitude 8, as I don't think it ever erupted 1,000 cubic kilometres of material at the same time. So it would not justify using the word super-volcano (note singular not plural), and no scientist has ever said something is cast iron. That is journalist speak and doesn't reflect the uncertainties of if-and-when this area might erupt. Any eruption would certainly endanger the population of Pozzuoli and possibly the rest of the Neapolitan area of Campania. After a period of earthquakes and land elevation changes in 1538, the most recent eruption only resulted in the small cinder cone volcano now known as Monte Nuovo. In 1984, a similar period of Bradyseism in the Pozzuoli area caused the evacuation of about 40,000 of the downtown population, but no eruption. The major disruption, that would be caused by the evacuation of a larger number of people, prevents any action until an eruption is patently imminent or Bradyseism causes substantial damage to buildings and streets. As stated, any unrehearsed evacuation is likely to be chaotic and only a proportion of the population might be willing or able to obey such an order.

[@ettacoetzee8939]

Move now. ​@@jesuschristt7692

[@warpdriveby]

@sja45uk well said. I pointed OP to look at the cities near Sakurajima/Airport Caldera in Japan as it is a strikingly similarly arranged complex but inhabited by those who are excellent at arranging and planning such an evacuation. Having lived there I can also vouch for the German culture's ability to create a solution to efficient evacuation, though I suspect Italians would much more readily be guided by Japan here without the push of alarming paroxysmal activity.

[@eph·emerald·a]

Looked forward to watching this, but 21 seconds in I was already sick of listening to the AI voice. Terrible.

[@zed4225]

I'm sick of AI and it's OTT descriptions, who calls lava 'angry poison'. It's actually new land being created. 100% agree

[@Kel-d7v]

I'm just glad it doesn't have that phony 17th century British accent.

[@alainclvpentax8798]

The same

[@AAC2446]

@@Kel-d7v Quite apart from the awful AI, I never watch US news, weather forecasts, television programmes, documentaries or films because the accents are only semi-intelligible, the slang indecipherable, and the hyped-up demented duck voices of women and chirping children gratingly unbearable. Even men's tones are high-pitched. Why do they talk like that? I think they must pick up such offensive voices from Sesame Street, deplorable Disney cartoons, and absurd US commercials from a very young age because it's hard to imagine why anyone would actually find it normal to speak like that. Give me the accents of Britain, South Africa, and New Zealand any day of the week. BTW, it seems that you are unaware that there are over 240 accents and dialects in the UK, all of them 21st century, none of them "phony 17th century".

[@julianmetcalfe1070]

hmm

[@just_kos99]

Very excited to see a new geology video, thank you! I worry mainly about Campi Flegrei and Long Valley in California.

[@robertmael9839]

the entire west coast should be more worried about the Cascadia volcanic arc. (aka) mount Reiner, mount Hood, and Mount Saint. Hellen. Also, the Cascadian subduction zone is well overdue. those are the more likely events in the future that will re design the west coast...lol... long valley Caldera is big but very quiet and not so threatening at the moment, but Cascadia is ready for a nasty awakening and overdue for it now for a wile.

[@Josh-k4v]

@@robertmael9839 Scary to imagine a modern day Osceola Mudflow type event at Rainier.

[@CAMOCOWBOYCOALITION]

“Scientists want to keep the volcanoes under control”. Really? Seriously? And how would they do that? How do you expect us to believe that? How about saying “give people time to evacuate”!

[@CAMOCOWBOYCOALITION]

And I wonder if the NWO will figure out a way to charge the people of Italy with a CO2 tax?

[@baneverything5580]

Taxes. Carbon taxes. Or an outright BAN like drugs.....

[@robertmael9839]

I just don't understand why the people of Napoli chose to build homes of stone in a known region prone to volcanic catastrophe. Then pannic the first time an earthquake occurs, at the same time, ridicule and place huge responsibility on the Italian gov who is warning the people of said catastrophe. why don't they make other living arrangements and leave the danger zones in the area. They have to save themselves. There are so many volcanic threats there that the probability of human casualties are more than guaranteed. If History can teach anything, the people there should learn and be aware of the peril they live in daily. They wont be able to evacuate all those people when the big one happens, Thousands, if not millions will die for no reason other than their own stubborn procrastination. Unfortunate Reality.

[@grahamsinton7216]

Yet Americans just keep eating😂

[@jessejames14]

They don’t have much choice, the don’t have timber like we have in the USA!

[@sja45uk]

@@robertmael9839 - it is the same answer as to why Americans live in flimsy mobile home in tornado alley, or in a known earthquake zone, or any area vulnerable to some life threatening natural disaster. It is a question of simple economics, either they can't afford to move to a safer place, or they can and someone moves there to replace them.

[@jjMcCartan9686]

​@@jessejames14They don't use timber in Italy. Who would build timber homes in a seismically active area with volcanoes also present? Ah yes americans .😂

[@warrentreadwelljr.treadwel2694]

I don’t disagree with anything you said, but I have questions. Do you say the same thing to people living in the northwest of the US? How about in Japan? Specifically Tokyo. Maybe low elevation areas around Lisbon? People like myself in Florida? I am about 40 miles from the coast to the west, about 90 miles to the eastern coast. One of the worst areas - on the Mississippi where we had 3 horrible earthquakes. So, Los Angeles and San Francisco? As an old man now, I’ve lived in many of those areas as my job required me to move every few years. A few years ago, I expected to be moved to the Miami area. But, Hurricane Andrew changed all of those plans. There are very few areas of our nation that are safe. And our nation isn’t alone. Few places are safe. It turns into what level of risk are you comfortable to live with?

[@carolynallisee2463]

It all depends on what you define as 'Italy'. The mass of land we know by that name will almost definitely survive, albeit in a much altered form. Whether the plants, animals, people and human structures, modifications, etc. is another matter. There seems to be this pervasive idea that the next eruption of the named three volcanoes is going to be impossibly huge, though there is little, if any, evidence to back this. Yes, the human death toll may well be extremely high should an eruption occur, but that is because, despite knowing the hazards and dangers in these places, people have chosen, and still choose, to live there. 'It won't happen in my life-time' seems to be the prevailing thought, but with each generation that passes, the odds of an eruption happening increases. As all three areas are classed as being active, an eruption happening at all places is inevitable. There are just a couple of choices in these circumstances. One is to move away from the regions, though a better option is to never move there in the first place. The other is to sit tight, hope the 'not in my lifetime' scenario plays true, that the authorities in charge of the urban areas in these volcanic fields have got good evacuation plans in place, and decent infrastructure to ensure such evacuations can happen as smoothly and swiftly as humanly possible, and that the volcanoes concerned give plenty of warning signs long before erupting, allowing people in danger to safely evacuate. Given the tectonic settings, it's unlikely even the largest eruption of a volcano would 'destroy Italy'. The only thing that the land couldn't survive is a direct impact on it from a meteorite several tens of kilometres in diameter. In that case, there'd be nothing left of the country but a massive crater... and the rest of the planet wouldn't be in too good a shape, either!

[@jjMcCartan9686]

Same goes for the us with earthquakes ,volcanic areas like the cascades ,tornado alley & the hurricanes in the southern states ,moving away seems smart but the beauty of the areas & the rich fertile soil make them irresistible. & Italy is much smaller than the US so where would all the people move to ?

[@baneverything5580]

The last giant eruption created a thick cap rock. The cap rock has built up even more pressure below and now it`s cracking and has reached the limits of its elasticity. Lava is closer to the surface than previously assumed and it`s coming into contact with groundwater. So according to science the next eruption may start small but it will likely result in a catastrophic VEI 8 blast.

[@baneverything5580]

#006 The Real Climate Crisis No One Is Talking About and Mount Tambora Pt 1 (Squaring The Circle, A Randall Carlson Podcast)

[@Wongwanchungwongjumbo]

The Campri Fergri SuperVolcano is More threatening in Naples as described on KZbin Geology hub

[@marierowe5969]

We can never control mother nature ,we can act but can't control

[@christopherharris6145]

The AI actually stated that scientists were working to control the volcanos. 😂😂😂

[@Rattsu]

AI voice... Too painful.

[@ramthian]

❤

[@zed4225]

'angry poison', what the f? Its called lava, AI sucks

[@marierowe5969]

Pompeii was destroyed in august not October

[@user-wy4mp9ts3u]

Yes that is the bad one the one for which prophecies say it will erupt

[@adelehorn2055]

The incorrect terminology is annoying. A vent is not a volcano.

[@pakeshde7518]

No matter what happens the death toll will be staggering. Folks wont want to leave, they wont believe the alerts, they will get stuck in narrow roads with insane traffic, etc etc. Oh sure they can have 3-4 days headway but the area is utterly mad for traffic and they all know it. Yu may get a portion out but unless you had a month lead you wont save them all. And who is going to leave for a month, or dix, as the volcano plays around?.

[@raymondsullivan7230]

I guess you'll have to wait and see what happens Raymond Paul Sullivan III me myself and I and him RPS 111 time to move on

[@zed4225]

AI SUCKS

[@makylemur7019]

AI: artificial idiocy.

[@tightlines106]

Lol they can’t even handle a flood let alone being buried in ash

[@Lewotobitheking]

no

[@McGyver008]

Very funny! Who can say whether Italy will still exist at all? By the way... “high risk” is ridiculously exaggerated! There are far more dangerous volcanoes (e.g. in/on Indonesia, New Zealand, the Philippines, Japan, .....)

[@alayneperrott9693]

Too much drama. The smaller cones and craters within the large Campi Flegrei caldera are NOT supervolcanoes (far too small). Technically, Campi Flegrei itself is not on the right scsle either. An eruption from one of the small craters would be nasty for the people of the Bsy of Naples to deal with, like the recent eruption on La Palma in the Canary Islands, but not civilisation-ending.

[@baneverything5580]

There have been VEI 7 eruptions there. The last one sealed the area with a very hard thick cap rock layer....and pressure built up over thousands of years....and now the cap rock is cracking as magma has made its way closer to the surface and is coming into contact with groundwater. An even LARGER eruption is now certain and it can happen at any time.

[@baneverything5580]

Guess what very large eruptions do to global temperatures? And guess what that does to modern agriculture and subtropical regions who aren`t prepared for ice, snow and below zero wind chill? I swear, basic logic has been destroyed by schools.....

[@alayneperrott9693]

​@@baneverything5580No eruption is ever "certain".

[@baneverything5580]

@@alayneperrott9693 Active volcanoes erupt regularly. See the geology of the area and satellite images.

[@baneverything5580]

@@alayneperrott9693 "New study reveals evidence of recurring supereruption of Campi Flegrei" - OSU . EDU

[@inocareaboutit9912]

Haha it can be Dangerous.

[@KitchenerLeslie-w6p]

Hope not.