Yesterdays Thwaites Crack Opened Up Today, and More Cracks Appear: Update

[@PaulHBeckwith]

Yesterdays Thwaites Crack Opened Up Today, and More Cracks Appear: Update Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem. Yesterdays video: t.co/O3hkr77mqb NASA Worldview Link showing todays data: worldview.earthdata.nasa.gov/?v=-1736140.784777046,-539868.5686564246,-1490380.784777046,-418908.56865642464&p=antarctic&l=Reference_Labels_15m(hidden),Reference_Features_15m(hidden),Coastlines_15m,MODIS_Terra_CorrectedReflectance_TrueColor&lg=false&t=2025-01-22-T20%3A00%3A00Z Article on the crucial role of glaciers: Great diagrams illustrating differences and locations of: Ice Sheets (on land) Ice Shelves (floating extension of Ice Sheets) Calving Sea Ice Which components cause sea level rise? joidesresolution.org/the-crucial-role-of-ice-shelves/ Carbon Brief article: also great explanations and illustrations Antarctic ice shelf thinning is accelerating, reveals new study www.carbonbrief.org/antarctic-ice-shelf-thinning-is-accelerating-reveals-new-study/ Please donate to PaulBeckwith.net to support my research and videos joining the dots on abrupt climate system mayhem.

[@frinoffrobis]

we had 9.5 inches of snow in north florida yesterday the 21st

[@Nancytoday]

Excellent video

[@mv80401]

Yesterday I found a business card on a submerged strata of my desk with a very sad reminder about climate change, in this case Greenland, it belonged to Konrad Steffen.. In August of 2020 Konrad died in an accident near the Swiss research station. As the NYT reported "he died after falling into the kind of crevasse that warming has created." Konrad, we miss you. ¡Presente!

[@gregyem]

So yes there is a movement of ice into the sea and it looks intriguing on worldview but why not scroll back to start of the data set. There are a number of years going back in time where January had far less Thwaites ice tongue than this year. Go figure

[@ChimpJacobman]

The ice that you are pointing to in the video is sea ice formed last winter, not new calving of the intact glacier. There may be something going on at Thwaites, but Paul isn't identifying it, he's just embarrassing himself and hurting his credibility, which is unfortunate because I like Paul (like I like my grandpa with dementia).

[@SpeedyCorky]

I luv how the timing of Trumps inauguration, almost perfectly lined up with this serious crack developing in the critical glacier hahahaha

[@kelsonlewis9252]

It doesn't matter who is president. Biden opened a ton of oil drilling spots. Part of the reason we can't stop this is people think voting blue does something. They all receive oil money

[@atortarr]

Literally, Trump cracking open a cold one with the boys (oligarchs)

[@PirateOfTheWastes]

and the south (hell) freezing over, and LA burning once AGAIN.

[@louishennick6883]

If he even knows anything about this I’m sure he’s going to want to make Antarctica great again, build a wall around it and then wage war on it.

[@katzicael]

and, a Corpse Flower in Australia bloomed.

[@tylermcneil4076]

Thanks, Beckwith! Keep up the great work. We rely on you for accurate information during the collapse of the climate.

[@TheDoomWizard]

🙌🏻

[@garyb6219]

"During", funny.

[@stackmanstack]

The climate can't collapse u retard.

[@urbugnmetoday3183]

Not collapsing, changing…as it always is

[@tylermcneil4076]

@urbugnmetoday3183 Yeah, you're right, there's nothing unprecedented or different about the recent changes. Collapse is definitely too strong of a word to use. 🙄

[@kentpeacock2844]

Hi Paul, many thanks for your hard work in bringing this terrifically important story into the public eye. If I could add my five cents worth... I am not a glaciologist but I have listened to some real glaciologists explaining what could happen at Thwaites and similar ice bodies. The diagrams you show around 14:50 and 18:15 are not quite what is going on at Thwaites. The picture you show at 19:37 is more relevant. What is happening there is that inland of the ice shelf that is now collapsing, the ice (which is always trying to flow to the sea) sits on a ridge of land several hundred metres down; that is the current grounding line. Behind the grounding line, the land surface plunges down into a deep trench about 2500 metres below sea level; this is called the Bentley Trench. It is packed solid with ice up to an altitude of as much as 1000 metres above sea level. So the ice behind Thwaites is not on land above sea level, but below sea level. Glaciologists have known since at least as far back as the 1960s that these grounded marine ice sheets are potentially very unstable. So long as they are protected by their ice shelves, they can last for thousands of years. But if those ice shelves let go, and if warm sea water can penetrate underneath the ice sheet, they can collapse very rapidly. In fact, they can collapse exponentially fast for a while, since the deeper the calving front goes down the inner retrograde slope, the faster it collapses. (This is called Marine Ice Sheet Instability---MISI.) As you mentioned, as the calving front penetrates deeper into the ice sheet the calving front gets higher and higher above sea level, and then Marine Ice Cliff Instability also becomes important---ice cliffs that high just can't stand up very long, and the higher they are, the faster they fall. There is enough "ice over flotation" in the Bentley Trench to raise global mean sea level by about 3.3 metres (not mm, Mr Trump). No glaciologist doubts that the Thwaites-Bentley system could sooner or later "dump" into the sea, raising sea level by multiple metres. The only question is how long it could take. If the calving front gets past the grounding line and into the interior basin, look out.

[@mattockman]

Very, very interesting. Do you have more on this ?

[@andrewhumes3402]

You have it spot on. I'm no glaciologist but it's fairly obvious. I've been watching it via NASA satellite for years and it's a total disintegration to be followed by a cascade event. Sad for the world. Anger for the oil CEOs. We could lose more than a billion people by salination of cropland. Do these ultra-rich get away?

[@nicholasgoodfellow5774]

good. i can think of a few shithole cities that would remove from the earth

[@higamerXD]

do you have any solid sources on the immediate change in sea level we could see withing a year? i would like to send relevant information to the dutch government so that preparations can be put in motion. it seems to me we should consider immediate action.

[@mark-remanHamilton]

OMG! The poop will hit the fan during Trump. Collapse of the environment will be a catalyst for wars.

[@stephenjoyce639]

you are a super resource and champion for the earth thank you Paul for being who you are

[@NJcruiser]

Cool. Just in time with Trump pulling us out of the Climate agreement. I still have to conclude that we are past the point of no return. Perhaps I'm wrong but time will tell.

[@UnknownPascal-sc2nk]

I am not optimistic that NASA will be free to provide this information for the next 4 years. If it's used to demonstrate climate change the Project 2025 demons will target it for cancelation

[@SamWilkinsonn]

You’re not wrong.

[@toyotaprius79]

*_CHYYYYYYYYNAH!_*

[@scottriddell7893]

Earth will eliminate the toxic invasion in it's own way.

[@demontrader1222]

He contemplates an AI form of capitalism so I am not so sure. Definitely your national socialist model (so called leftism yeah), is far worse.

[@timbates2052]

You are doing a good job. Keep teaching, studying, & learning. Focus is key grasshopper.

[@hughgibson1586]

Check the Worldview image for 15 March 2024 and compare to 22 Jan 2025. It's clear that the ice that has broken off is not the ice shelf as such, but sea that froze this last southern winter - probably a few metres thick. If you zoom in on the remaining ice on the 22 Jan 2025 image you can see lumps, which are ice-shelf icebergs embedded in the much thinner annual freeze ice. I don't dispute that the ice shelves are on their way out - loss of annual sea ice means there is less holding back the ice shelf.

[@PaulaTourville-po7fg]

The new administration is much more involved with renaming the Gulf of Mexico to be interested ......

[@EdwardM-t8p]

Gulf of Mexico --> Gulf of America --> Gulf of Trump --> Gulf of Trumpland --> Gulf of DeSantisland. Republicans have enormous egos these days 😞

[@dermotmeuchner2416]

Gulf of Idiocracy.

[@5353Jumper]

Gulf of Bigotry

[@nicevideomancanada]

Florida is aiming to join

[@gehwissen3975]

They prepare you for war. "Stargate" "IG Farben" joined with the Nazis in a similar way. **This man could not stay in power**

[@bradmiller6507]

So roughly the size of Atlanta, Chicago, San Francisco, Portland Oregon, Denver and Omaha combined. That’s a good sized event.

[@Mtnsunshine]

Wow! Thanks for doing the math on this. I didn’t imagine it would be that big!

[@sandaemacalalag9837]

The Thwaite is over

[@Serenityfor1]

It’s called the doomsday glacier.

[@Robert_McGarry_Poems]

😊😊😊

[@Robert_McGarry_Poems]

That's ice cold...

[@SamWilkinsonn]

Icy what you did there

[@toyotaprius79]

I needed that

[@sim85oo]

The grey lines are the "Coastlines" layer - you can hide it from the panel on the left-hand side.

[@PaulHBeckwith]

Thanks. I need to play with this app more so I know all the features:)

[@richdiana3663]

The oceans are circulating all that heat that they saved us from before and is now helping to set heat records along coastlines and island nations.The Earth I s a closed system. I've been saying that for 40 years but now it grows closer.

[@FearTec]

Trump will defund this website for sure and replace it will a drill baby drill map

[@EdwardM-t8p]

This is why scientific endeavors with global significance should be funded by the UN and not at the mercy of countries that have mercurial political parties with agendas ... 😨

[@andrice42]

Democrats are so pathetic it makes me wonder if they want Trump to win.

[@Mtnsunshine]

This is my concern, too. I fear the day this site goes dark. Does Europe have a similar website?

[@Patrick_Ross]

@@Mtnsunshine- Yes, there are a number of countries around the planet who don’t have a fascist climate change denier at the helm.

[@Patrick_Ross]

@@darthex0 - I think he’s referring to the NASA website that Paul is showing in the video. Trump has already started shutting down websites on U.S. government science based agencies.

[@katecrosby7890]

Thank you so much for keeping us up to date. Paul

[@emmaprophet2881]

Thank you, sir for keeping up with this

[@GregoryJWalters]

Great follow -up vid from previous treatment: Boy, oh boy, you called it. Would be great to have you watch Thwaites carefully over the next 30 days or so, and as satellite imaging allows. Thank you. Off to do my Homework and size 2,240 Km2 in Southern Ontario.

[@madelinebarbieri]

Thank you Paul, you are awesome! A great teacher and explainer. I really appreciate your information.

[@joyandrews3804]

Thank you for keeping us up to date.

[@stevethomas7146]

Dramatic event Paul, thank you for keeping up with the changes.

[@phil20_20]

Well, somebody's jumping up and down on it, because it couldn't possibly be global warming! 🌊

[@xploration1437]

You know what happens after an ice age? It warms up.

[@ncammann]

Except that tRump's strategy to move on Greenland, is a recognition that the Greenland Icesheet is melting, and the resources underneath that are really valuable. He is admitting global warming is real. Just not to his dumb followers.

[@vilandar]

​@@xploration1437 Do you know on what time scale that usually happen?

[@benjaminbrewer2569]

Could also be normal ice activity.

[@vilandar]

@@benjaminbrewer2569 of course it is normal ice activity. Why would it be paranormal or divine intervention?

[@sixvee5147]

Enjoy what you can, while you still can; pity the generations to come. All hail the Pyrocene.

[@thierryranger2230]

The mindset that got us here. Kick that can down the road.

[@mattockman]

pyrocene. That's it.

[@MarmiteMangoMachine]

@@thierryranger2230 The road is gone; the can went over a cliff and we're following after it. Flapping our arms won't make us fly. The cake is baked, the goose is cooked. We can feast while we can or starve ourselves while it burns. So fuck it. Drill, baby, drill!

[@Jc-ms5vv]

What future generations?

[@punditgi]

We are truly doomed. But I love Paul's videos. Excellent work, sir! 🎉

[@sewersideproductions2606]

We’re actually not doomed. Sorry.

[@xploration1437]

How?

[@michel-francoistetrault3166]

Hi all. I am a bit confused. You may be interested in my findings (see below). I did play a bit with WorldView after seeing this video and the previous one from Paul. I didn't know about this fascinating tool. During my explorations, I found that what is now observable about the Thwaites Glacier was also observable during the previous years; since January 2020 at least. See by yourselves : use the comparaison mode and compare "2020 JAN 23" with "2025 JAN 22". I have found more dates, that show a similar situation as today. (For a good comparaison, I looked for dates around January of every previous years.) I can understand that these observations testify to recent climatic changes in the Earth's history, but I wonder to what extent the situation of the last few days represents a completely different situation from those that seem to have prevailed over the last few years. Any thoughts?

[@ChimpJacobman]

These are steps (checking prior years) that Paul should have taken but didn't. As a result he has embarrassed and discredited himself quite badly.

[@Chimmahhable]

I did the same with WorldView and was really disheartened to discover that Paul is delivering such bad information to his viewers. What's worse is that this video has exploded in popularity! Really sad day for any Paul Beckwith fan who discovered how careless he is with science.

[@vazgeraldes]

Cannot believe that this channel has only 37k subscribers...

[@gehwissen3975]

Believe it. This is a perfect measurement for the state of climate change denial. 37k against 1 Billion ppl in the West. 😂😂 There is something wrong in our culture.....

[@karencrecco2922]

There are very few who will be willing to sit through any lecture these days. Have you ever seen the movie “ IDIOCRACY?” We are living it right now.

[@ChimpJacobman]

Lol, have you guys checked Thwaites from March of 2024? All that "calving from Twaites" in Paul's video is just sea ice breaking up. What an embarrassment.

[@rolandgo6744]

"Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall, Humpty Dumpty had a great fall. All the king's horses, and all the king's men, Couldn't put Humpty together again!"

[@pgcom100]

Oh how apt!

[@mattockman]

Originally said about the gun sent to King Charles by the queen of holland that was overfilled with gunpowder in Gloucester during the english civil war. It exploded. King Charles fled. Cromwell won.

[@-_James_-]

Don't you mean Trumpty Drumpty?

[@ThaMilkMan999]

Hey Humpty! Get off the wall

[@benjaminbrewer2569]

Humpty was chillin. He had a great fall. Went to New England for fall foliage. Carved pumpkins with his grand kids. Did some hiking.

[@tyitinanot6130]

ok Paul I did my homework assignment check this out on NASA worldview 1. Follow your link directly to Thwaites 2. Start comparison - button - left bottom by date 3. this will split your screen to A and B either of which can be changed 4. the left side of the screen should show today's (Jan 22) picture. I selected B by clicking on the pointer and backed up to Jan. 21 5. click and drag image left and right to see the progress of the crack you pointed out yesterday 6. good call - so to speak. Looks like about an 85km (circumference) chunk is floating free google says size of Chicago

[@mattockman]

Very good work. Keep an eye on this please.

[@krobbins8395]

I track earthquakes and I've noticed since the beginning of the year some quakes including a 6.1 around the Sandwich Islands on the Scotia tectonic plate and now I'm wondering after those strange waves in South America if other glaciers could have had some disruption in the last week's and if anyone is watching the area around Thwaites as well?

[@howardsimpson489]

As the kilometers of land based ice melt, the downward pressure will ease and the land will rise. This induces stresses which result in earthquakes.

[@abody499]

There's a recent video up with a timelapse of 25 years of the view at 2:49 and the crack that is reported here doesn't seem to be anything that hasn't been part of the cycle over the last 25 years. In that video, for example, we can see that in 2003 an entire channel to the right of the crack as we look at it here was completely melted right in to what is in line with the end of the time scale on the bottom of Paul's screen. So what is being described here can happen annually or periodically on that kind of timescale and it can quickly recover. The problem, of course, is that temperatures in air and sea are rising, so obviously recovery will get weaker and weaker. But I don't think this is any particular pivotal event.

[@chris4973]

Posted yesterday on Nathaniel Newton YT channel (4:02). Play at slow speed for better idea. Agree with commenter, this is a normal yearly event. The grounding line is the biggie here, as past that it's a retrograde slope (gets deeper as it goes) and marine ice shelf instability comes into play. We dont fully understand how fast things can change, but Dr Jim White (U of CO, Boulder), paleoclimatologist, suggested years ago that past sea level may have risen by as much as 7-10 meters in as little as a decade.

[@reuireuiop0]

Would help a lot if you posted the name of said recent I don’t see though, how such big break away events could happen on a yearly basis. Every 25 years, OK. But how then experienced researchers like Rignot or Alley leave that out of the story, and media have not picked up on that?

[@abody499]

@ indeed, i saw another comment that described the receding grounding line. i had been grappling with that myself for a while but yeah it seems clear now how it could be a mechanism to rapid collapse

[@abody499]

@ i wouldnt be waiting for "the media" to pick up on much. the comment before yours states the name of the channel - Nathaniel Newton.

[@arewethebadies]

It is sad to see guys like this that have to know what they are saying is bullshit. It has been going on for years now.. All the islands that we talked about 30 years ago that are just one to two feet above sea level and they are all there and are still the same above sea level . When those Islands are under water or even threatened then this guy and guys like him will stop losing credibility until then forget it. These guys know that this is something that has been going on for ever. We have years that we can look back now and it always comes back and breaks off.

[@sumiland6445]

Once ice cracks, it keeps cracking 😕

[@rogerstarkey5390]

And, once that ice is moving, it's going to hit and stress other points along the edge of the sheet.

[@amenoum7623]

Regarding the grey lines. They generally represent the coastline. Thicker ones also represent the grounding lines, so the lighter grey lines show the extent of the ice shelves. That's at least my conclusion after reviewing studies (e.g., "Suppressed basal melting in the eastern Thwaites Glacier grounding zone" by Davis et al., 2023).

[@malachev]

Paul, please do a followup video explaining the sub-glacial topography of West Antarctica. Specifically, the current grounding line of Thwaites is hundreds of meters below sea level elevation decreases to the east . . reaching a max depth of -2,550 meters at the Bentley Trench. If the grounding line retreats eastward and warmer ocean water is able to melt the base, then the flow of the Thwaites is going to rapidly accelerate. I doubt any of the current models have a good handle on this.

[@ruthsikorski5495]

I watched that video and I am back today. I am not surprised. Good job educating.

[@Swimmyrox]

The lines on the map are the different states of Antartica. They were created by the penguins over 400 years ago.

[@EchoDoctrine]

Ok. Well played.

[@Mtnsunshine]

😂🤣😁🐧 Thanks for the late night chuckle.👍🏼

[@blairfranko7779]

Yikes !!! I hope this gets the attention of a few countries’ leaders. Actually, all G20 leaders should take heed. Not just a few.

[@mattockman]

Let's see how much coverage this gets in the national press.

[@wowrude]

​@@mattockman my guess is zero

[@etienne8110]

We get the leaders we vote for... Most (all) of them won t care.

[@gehwissen3975]

G7 refused to pay for loss and damage in the developing countries. G7 have no ears... G7 want war. They have it.

[@squatchburger1580]

Why didn't anyone warn us about this .😢

[@Happy_Biker]

You are funny!

[@RA-HADES]

Patiently Thwaiting

[@alib6060]

Miami is patiently Thwaiteing.

[@anjou6497]

Ahaha ! 😂

[@TheThom1956]

Well this is inconvenient. Now We have to name something else the Doomsday thing.

[@FucTrump]

You don't need to name something else the doomsday thing after the doomsday happens.

[@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters]

2025: The doomsday year.

[@TheThom1956]

@@Mr.MasterOfTheMonsters nah, no one knows for sure, but the greatest show on earth rolls on. Next Stop, Blue Arctic Ocean event perhaps?

[@urbugnmetoday3183]

Right…no doomsday coming from a little ice

[@jantonisito]

Not a second too late to withdraw from Patio treaty.

[@EdwardM-t8p]

🤣🤣🤣 Trump WOULD say "Patio treaty"! 😝

[@somebodiesheartbreak]

Appreciate the frequent updates and wealth of sources shared!

[@jsEMCsquared]

What is the topography under the water there? The flow streams and fresh water /salinity percentages?

[@davej.4989]

Love your videos, Paul. Hello from a fellow Ottawa resident

[@nathanhallisey441]

I am in my mind 40's and my doctor told me my liver function test is high. She knows I make my own homebrew beer. I told her I don't care. I told the doctor I think the climate collapse will probably kill me before my liver does.

[@lindatullos9430]

So why go to the doctor then?

[@marciacsr]

Don't agonize over this. An attached iceberg that turns into a freefloating iceberg is not a very good reason to destroy your organs.

[@Unruffledbird]

Thank you Mr. B. We'll never see this in legacy media

[@dianeweaver3928]

This is fascinating. I'm hooked!

[@robertforsythe3280]

Kind of on the warm side in the Antarctic this time of year. Wonder about king tides. So many variables like wind and such. I just look at the broken random white stuff. Also I think every year coming this thing is going to move faster. I check it out at least one time per week. Thank you Professor Beckwith.

[@philipcollier7805]

Green Is Blue -- Neil Young

[@lashadi1445]

Thanks for the song rec, was raised on Neil Young 🌎

[@dermotmeuchner2416]

Blue In Green - Miles Davis

[@josephmendez6297]

Our kind have multiplied like wildfire and spread like rash and addicted to oil coal microplastics and war and now our kind added Fukushima. Question can melting of the arctic ice mixed to the ocean cause stagnation due to low salinity and what happens to those tainted water that the Japanese releasing to the Pacific Ocean because of damage nuclear reactors in Fukushima

[@Chimmahh]

You got me extra worried Paul. Compare the ice to mid-late march last year, ALL of that you're scaring us about was already gone then. I'm not saying we shouldn't be worried, but you discredit yourself pointing to ice that just formed this winter. Do better, you're supposed to be a scientist.

[@ChimpJacobman]

This

[@dbp192000]

This is terrifying

[@higamerXD]

and here we are, at the forefront of climate collapse. standing nearly powerless on the edge of the abyss.

[@brentkn]

The lines could indicate elevation of land beneath it. If you pan out the land line is more apparent. Paul, can you please look north of that area where there is an open body of water? The ice on the southern side seems to be breaking up too. there is a crack there that wasn't there 4 days ago.

[@driftlesshermit]

I was wondering if you have any good links to more information on the volcanoes of Antarctica?

[@marciacsr]

Just Google Antarctica submarine volcanoes, you can see all the locations.

[@napalm5]

Bring on the exponential!

[@xploration1437]

You know what happens after an ice age? It warms up.

[@louishennick6883]

Okay did the homework. Picked two large boroughs from Mexico City (Iztapalapa 113 km sq and Gustabo Madero 88 km sq) combined population of just over 3 million people who would fit on the ice shelf.

[@gor4988]

Thanks youtube for recommending this, hadn't heard about it elsewhere. Watched till the end, liked and commented, hopefully that helps spread to others.

[@davidwatson7604]

This is a comment for the Algo boost!

[@GoBlesstheSky]

Thanks for addressing those lines. Grounding Line on right?

[@kellyeye7224]

All perfectly normal. Nothing to worry about. Carry on.

[@urbugnmetoday3183]

Mostly correct

[@gaylegeren3992]

Really? What is your area of scientific expertise?

[@kellyeye7224]

@@gaylegeren3992 No expertise, just 65 years of ACTUAL OBSERVATION which shows nothing unusual and all BS exaggeration.

[@DorriePruvenok]

Hello my favorite climate scientist!!! ❤❤❤ i'm going to build/dig big wombat dugouts for our properties. Wombats shelter others in bushfires inside their burrows. I suggest we all do the same. Keep Christian charity and mercy alive!

[@Mtnsunshine]

Thank you for this quick update. Much appreciated, as I did not get a chance to get on the website myself today. . This real-time reporting is eye-opening, to say the least!

[@DiscipleOfHeavyMeta1]

Well, it's happening. We're definitely getting our first BOE within the next five years.

[@joyfullone3968]

Thank you Paul!🌱🍃🌺

[@LPVP123]

Not one word regarding climate change or the environment in Trumps inauguration speech I noticed 🤔

[@SamWilkinsonn]

He’s made his stance on the matter abundantly clear already.

[@LPVP123]

@ He certainly has !

[@Livingthewild]

They haven't discovered a way to profit from it, yet.

[@SamWilkinsonn]

@@Livingthewild CoughDisasterCapitalismCough

[@gehwissen3975]

But the bishop told him to show up in church and have a little mercy.... 😂😂😂 The bishop is a naiv sad idiot.

[@Gazr965]

Both poles ice is melting faster, but no one seems to be doing anything about it or even worried, but it's like one of the titles of the UK 'Carry on' films from the 1960's to 1970's it was called.... 'Carry On Regardless' !

[@freshorangina]

I will never forget that Harper upon hearing that climate change could open up the northern passage only wanted to exploit it for commercial gain.

[@THEOneAndOnlyDOCTORofHUMANICS]

Thanks Paul! Martin.

[@robertolson7304]

Pole ice shelfs are formed by the jet stream. Seeing the poles move. There's your answer. The poles each have 4 sections. Balanced and at the tip of the egg. You will get even ice expansion. Thicker and colder. Out of balance, it thins and is spread out. In this case, it is more over North America less over the Atlantic Ocean. It used to freeze all the way down to Florida in the Atlantic. But the currents help stop that. Both the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans are less cold. Russia and North America colder.

[@poigmhahon]

I believe the lines represent survey delineations.

[@cairnanduffy6845]

There was a much larger crack below the one you were pointing out its more horizonal and will connect to the one you were focused on, you can see this at 4:28-4:29 in the video.

[@Boiling_Seas]

2240 km^2 is roughly twice the size of Hong Kong, not much less than the area of Luxembourg. The Larsen calving, at 3250 km^2, was approximately the size of Turkish Cyprus.

[@anjou6497]

Thank you, this is very concerning. The visuals are helpful, really fascinating.

[@miguelbelbut]

Adding the Sea Ice Layer seems to indicate that the thicker coastlines are the solid ground...

[@MyLoganTreks]

Paul please visit Key West one more time before it goes underwater... Only 865 SQ/miles just broke off what possibly could go wrong? Taking the USA out of the Paris climate agreement and taking the USA out of the world health organization. Nothing to see here.

[@md5451]

Try toggling the coastlines overlay off in worldview. Some of the coastlines look like they cross icebergs too.

[@EdwardM-t8p]

Paul, At 5:30 I think the land begins at the change in terrain at the upper right of the screenshot where to the left the surface is flat and to the right it's a bit hilly. Hope this helps. Edward M.

[@ChiyoMarley]

Can we cover: when this breaks off: 1. what volume of water will be displaced and 2. how much sea level rise will it cause at several well known points (please include Florida. Northeastern USA, Mexico and the Pacific Northwest. Also key points in EU, China, Japan, New Zealand, Australia & beyond). Thank you.

[@pinetree5489]

It's already floating ice. It won't change sea levels one iota.

[@ChiyoMarley]

@ no it’s partly still on land.

[@anniesenol9858]

Thank you for this report, Paul.

[@grco1000]

Is their a possibilty of ice on land calving and creating a tsunami? 🤔

[@chrisdurgin1209]

Thank you Mr. Beckwith.

[@marjorielutzke6398]

Thank you for the work you do, for information you provide. It is heartbreaking 😢😢😢❤

[@rheedan]

It looks like this collapse has already beaten Larsen B. If you compare the area lost between 2024-12-26 and 2025-01-22, it's around 3400km^2, with a lot more to come. Long cracks are forming along the length of another piece that's a little over 900km^2.

[@tracymetherell8744]

So amazing while also distressing You explain very well. I’m now a subscriber

[@Chimmahhable]

Caution! That ice that Paul is saying is the glacier is not the glacier. It's sea ice formed last winter. While something may be happening at Thwaites, Paul has not explained what's going on correctly at all. He's misled his viewers. You are now subscribed to get more misinformation (mixed with some good information), but I would take everything you hear from Paul going forward with a grain of salt.

[@Eve14ever]

That is crazy and when I look at 520 mins, I see what appears to be some kind of gravity waves in the snow that go beyond the section being watched. Just look at the snow and how the top level looks, some areas are smooth and others have texture, I am of the mind the texture is a result of some kind of energy, just like the clouds of today are being changed and impacted by various forms of energy. Is it possible for such a drastic change to be natural or did it have some help?

[@newscoulomb3705]

I was assuming the darker lines on the map represented the coastline and the lighter lines represented mapped rivers or glacial runoff.

[@freshorangina]

Thanks for this update. I was taking another look at the data trends and the land mass layout. There is a much larger area below where the current large fissures are that looks like it is being disrupted from below. When you showed the video of the other sheet disintegrating, and the dates, I wanted to go back to the Thwaites to examine the trending. Considering there are still two months of summer, I think this event will dwarf the other by a magnitude of 5 or more when it is all said and done. In the meantime UNESCO declared it the “Year of the Glacier” but there was no information from that camp about what is currently transpiring. 🤦‍♀️

[@jamigaither]

Can you give us a weekly Twaite's Update, Paul? Send things are starting to escalate. Those pesky exponentials... Thanks for all this good info. 👏👏👏

[@Eve14ever]

Weekly? seems like daily might be better.

[@ChimpJacobman]

Good lord... the ice Paul is pointing to isn't glacier, it's sea ice that formed last winter. Use that same tool and go back to last year... like Paul should have done before he discredited himself with these videos.

[@wakeupthebear]

Trump said, “ he is very concerned about this”. Na he didn’t. He’s taking care of America. Step one… Rename things. 🤪

[@tactileslut]

Behold: the South Florida Sea.

[@brendahennessey1415]

Nice work….solar forcing while southern hemisphere is more vulnerable….what role does the weakness in the ozone hole play ?

[@howardsimpson489]

More sunburn in NZ ans Australia.

[@timbates2052]

if you used miles instead of kilometers we would all be able to relate to the size you have measured. Its about 900 sq miles. Easy to imagine a 30 mi x 30 mile area where I live. Its about 1/4 of Hawaii Island, The Big Island. Thats HUGEEEE

[@allangibson8494]

Only for those in the USA. Everywhere else on the planet uses kilometres…

[@snowjoe43]

Thanks for the excellent video.

[@silvanusforth1180]

Matter of time

[@mattockman]

Not much by the look of it.

[@DiscipleOfHeavyMeta1]

Are we gonna stop wasting our time trying to stop the inevitable and focus on adapting and survivng the inevitable?

[@Peace2051]

Are those lines you refer to around 6:00 the elevation lines of the underlying rock?

[@tristan7216]

You broke the ice sheet and doomed human civilization. You put my cancer into remission, and with a little luck, it'll die off completely. Thanks Paul, -- The Earth 🌎

[@modrarybivrana5654]

Amazing how much attention normal processes get. Love the comment that if the ice in a full glass melts, the water overflows the glass.

[@chrisdurgin1209]

There will be less and less reflective white. And the dark of the water will warm the ice faster. The domino effect is happening. That’s hard to stop. Thanks Mr. Beckwith.

[@coweatsman]

Nice rule of thumb. 2,500 sq km is 50 km by 50 km square.

[@rhyspelikan]

i have a feeling big things are going to happen this year. And not good things

[@perobaotic8098]

Hy ! The cracked ice looks a little bubbly (= Water Bubbles!) . And the still connected ice looks bubbly down to the Date of the Monitor. So somthing will spit in the future with more parts . The other parts look rock solid ! Stay healthy !