YIKES! Fed sees things "Going South Quickly"!

[@kaoticfox]

Small anecdote. I live in a luxury apartment building. 2 bedrooms have been strong for the last 2 years at $4,000 to $4,300 per month. Just today, they cut two bedroom apartment prices to $3,400. MAJOR rental deflation here.

[@hansschotterradler3772]

my rent went up 12% last month (Silver Spring, MD).

[@kaoticfox]

@@hansschotterradler3772these things can be hyper local, sometimes even building dependent. I’d highly recommend you shop other areas because rent is capitulating. Fortunately I’m a realtor where you live. I live in Arlington VA.

[@mollasima3251]

Here is Phoenix AZ it's still sky high

[@hansschotterradler3772]

@@kaoticfox Of course we looked around before we renewed our lease. But we're still under $2k/mo for a 1BR across the street from a metro station. Not sure if you can find that is NOVA.

[@carlosgamez6230]

In North Carolina our rents are still skyrocketing, no one is building houses to buy just to rent out while no one is building affordable housing. I feel like inflation falling is a distraction from the reality of what pricing while he for now on

[@williamjarvis6775]

Inflation is out of control, ask anyone who has went grocery shopping lately. Prices must come down, deflation is needed!

[@PCUTAH5]

I 💯 agree!! Groceries are skyrocketing

[@jeebusk]

I wish they quit messing with the markets so drastically.

[@texdevildog9174]

Consider the FED works for the ones that own it.: banks, mainly big banks. There are so many smaller banks in distress right now. By prolonging rate cuts, they could push them over the edge. This is where the big banks ride is like white knights to save the day and buy up the failing small banks on the cheap, especially their underwater assets (unrealized losses) for less than par value. Then the FED lowers rates and ta-da, the big banks have big gains from the cheap assets they just bought up. FED allowed "Bank of United States" in the Bronx to fail in 1930, instead of providing liquidity. This led to more bank failures causing the depression to get worse.

[@joycekoch5746]

It is no longer about interest rates. Everyone knows they fall in the second half of the year. What matters now is earnings.

[@Levi6229]

I own a small tea bar and business has been really hard for the last year. Plus my mortgage has jumped by like 40% because I have an adjustable SBA loan. It really hope they lower rates soon because it has really taken a toll on my finances.

[@ClickToPreview]

I'd rather rip off the bandaid and get prices back to pre-pandemic levels plus three years of 2% inflation. That would still give us lower prices on common goods and services than we are seeing now. As long as hourly wages and salaries didn't shrink along with prices, most of us would also have a little extra wealth to go with it. Sounds good to me.

[@Beholderoffate]

I actually think rates need to stay higher.

[@bradhaines3142]

interest? yes. if anything they should bump them up a touch more to force some deflation so prices come a little closer to sanity

[@cashbrewery]

Interviewed a migrant for a job earlier. They got a $2000 gift card when they crossed the border, a SSN card and drivers licence all within 2 months. They can vote now.

[@edgarjuarez6907]

They get a work permit and Ssn to pay taxes. You can only vote as a citizen.

[@richardwhaley7497]

Happy belated Birthday Kevin 🎁🎂🔆

[@Beholderoffate]

If inflation is going down, why is everything prices still up?

[@BangerGoggles]

Because inflation is a constant. It’s simply at what rate prices will continue to rise. 2% inflation is still 2%. As opposed to the upper 9% The past year or so. Nothing will get cheaper unless we suffer from DEflation and if that starts to happen, well buddy you’ve got bigger problems than the price of a load of bread.

[@grahamstefaan]

Brandon's goons are lying to you.

[@Riddle-Me-This-Puzzles]

OH MY GOD😖🤯💩

[@ThirdGenGamer]

Because there is always inflation. It is extremely misleading when people say inflation is falling. The rate in which inflation goes up slowed down, but it is still going up. It has always been like that and we didn’t feel it a whole lot when it was much lower. So when they want inflation to go to 2% the costs will still be 2% higher after the 9% we had last year.

[@SmartestDumbGuy]

Not sure what your looking at... I've been seeing deflation on almost everything from 2 years ago.

[@IamMonikaDLC]

It's already too late then, that's a 40% miss *A month ago* That's entirely too massive Cathy is right but you can be right too it could be a quick rebound to avoid a long term Recession for sure Not gonna be 2020 rebound quick this time though, expect a good half year of pain (not that most haven't felt it already!)

[@No.1Phil]

Is it not a little misleading to state that rates are the only thing that affect how tight monetary conditions are.

[@denaco]

of course but this guy and all the other gurus dont know much of the markets. i remember this guy years ago recommending stocks that are now in the gutter and never coming back. some guy did a video of him and showed his beginnings in property and saying on camera 'i only invest in houses as i know nothing about stocks', then a year later he's acting like an expert giving advice on what companies to buy into. dont listen to these guys, they just want to feather their own nest and shove affiliate links down your throat.

[@mikewood8695]

just a bit!!!! hahahaah - like the Chinese not pouring trillions of yuan into their economy, won't also have an effect

[@kevinnguyen9304]

Fed cuts rate when things not going well. But markets at all time highs now so that means things are good right?! So there will be no rate cuts unless market plunge. Or are we paying overpriced stocks now. Since things heading south?! Take your picks. Either way market needs to plunge

[@damiangrouse4564]

Nice picture with Cathy Wood…did she tell you when I’m getting back the average 45% I’ve lost on all the etfs I bought?

[@SuperCatbert]

the FED and AI and TESLA and crypto and consumer spending and printy printy and buying loads of houses on debt, and did i mention spendy spendy and government jobs galore, and everything will be grand....

[@AlanLim228]

Happy Belated Birthday Kevin!

[@drkhancock14]

There's been a bunch of hawkish data this month so I don't see why the fed would want to release pressure on the markets yet by giving them any hint that rate cuts are coming until the data cools some more.

[@mikewood8695]

there's a 12 to 24 month lag effect anyway Kevin, so this is why the FED always gets it wrong - it's already too late - the restriction from two years ago is only just ramping up now through the pipeline of the economy - so no matter how much they cut, it's already too late - we're in for a recession - a deep one, no matter what - that's what the yield curve and its un-inversion relates to and that's why the markets tank when the curve uninverts and it also tanks when the FED does start to cut rates - even though the lamestream media are telling us that when the FED cuts the markets will go to the moon - never happened before - always the opposite happens!!!

[@ElisaOKeefeSmith]

How hard is it to come in at 2% inflation following a year of maximum inflation. There should actually have been deflation after record inflation, but of course the entire system needs continued debt so it must go up always.

[@ryann8348]

Inflation is dangerous because it can become self-perpetuating. When inflation is rising, everyone starts raising prices to get ahead of it

[@sebastiang7183]

There is nobody better at losing your money than Cathy Wood and the ARK fund.

[@renegadeace1735]

yep, lost 5k on ARKK. Would've lost a lot more if I didn't bail when I did.

[@imwrongbutlisten]

Is it just me, or is she hot?

[@enthused7591]

Massive deflation, massive unemployment, massive popping of what is mathematically the largest asset bubble in world history (particularly in Florida and areas of TX). It will be worse than 2008-2010 in every measurable way because ALL the math is worse than pre-2008. MUCH worse. Don't forget, ARM's and subprime loans in 2005-2007 caused artificial demand and sheer unaffordability (a bubble) relative to the median income at the time, the crash was caused by the greater market realizing all at once that homes were unsustainably unaffordable and the bottom 85% stopped spending money because their bills were too high. That's just about exactly 50% worse today. This will make 2008 look pretty mild by comparison. We have the 2010-2020 organic economic cycle peak and then the 2020-2023 massive stimulus bubble stacked on top of each other. Completely unprecedented and worse than anything this country has ever seen from an economic standpoint.

[@ProDigit80]

Not my HOA . They charge $500+/no for internet and lawn, up from $333 during COVID, up from $270 before COVID with pool, up from $170 since 2018. We pay more, and get less.

[@markuswilliams2944]

Markus with a k checking in

[@dnagrin]

Happy Birthday Kevin😊. Welcome to Florida🎉

[@Joshologic]

HAPPY BIRTHDAY KEV!

[@jv1156]

Thanks from Canada !

[@ttmilk6633]

I had like an 8 hour birthday this year. Flew to Greece from the East Coast

[@cybergigafactory]

Happy birthday from Germany! Great to see you again!

[@denaco]

simp

[@pietrovalsecchi1680]

Kevin, when do you see the Fed starting to cut and by how much? Great eye-opening video by the way!

[@permaflopper]

This amazing explanation makes me think of Chernobyl. “More heat means more steam, more steam means more heat, and the chain reaction accelerates”

[@TheRealMartin]

Just fly from New Zealand to the US (Hawaii or CA) and you can have like a 43 hr birthday.

[@randomguy1221]

I’m already cutting prices on our products to clear inventory

[@trishapierce2672]

Happy Belated Birthday Kevin!!!

[@michaelzor221]

Just try to Imagine the US government dealing with deflation while deficit is nearing 6% of GDP + expanding defence and entitlements and you got your answer right there.

[@markuswilliams2944]

Pembroke pines showing love

[@bretthasnocap]

Happy belated birthday Kevin!

[@zerohecks4864]

Unemployment is already going to fly high. It's too late. Time to pucker up everyone.

[@RealEltonChang]

Hopium🎉 Fed front runners. Front run inflation Front run rate hikes Front run recession 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

[@Purgatoryhomestead47]

The entire world is on fire the rest of the world has had it with us

[@russtyruss_i-Invest]

It's been clear for over 3 months, they need to cut before things get out of hand, not when or after!!! Wake up JPow. Slowly, gradually, reassessing monthly, steadily to avoid issues.

[@danmurad8080]

Bears have been saying Jpow won't stick the landing for years. 😂

[@danmurad8080]

Watch Jpow pull a volker and cut too early 😂😂😂

[@drewbittle3888]

They won't, for fear of inflation returning...which would be worse

[@FacePlant1324]

Happy birthday Kevin

[@TiagoRamosVideos]

🙏

[@amynguy]

hey kevin, am I going to get a job with one of these tech companies, earn over 300k, and stream reddit all day with the rate cuts?

[@nationsnumber1chump]

he went south quickly on Cathie 😄

[@georgeorwell7291]

Happy B-Day Kevin, Alles gute zum Geburtstag 😉

[@michaelmourek3879]

Government needs to go into digital currency - and screw all the illegal money outside the USA

[@Nanster-gv8nf]

Didn't we forecast this because it's an election year and Biden NEEDS this?

[@JA-zh5xi]

The Fed should never cut rates below 5% for any reason and most of the time they should be closer to 10%.

[@stevew3947]

To crush the economy into oblivion right?

[@Riddle-Me-This-Puzzles]

smoke crack much?

[@smitty9733]

Good luck with that when our debt service is already 1 trillion a year at these rates

[@genxtechguy]

Sure … as long as at the moment I close on a home it’s at 4.5% then they can ratchet it back up to make you feel better.

[@mikesull8603]

Layoffs have definitely started piling up. The gaming industry has already over 5k jobs lost, which half of their job losses from last year. We only in Jan people.

[@RobbyBobbyMedia]

Happy belated birthday @meetkevin! So cool you got to have lunch with Cathie!

[@floridarealestatetv]

Hey Kevin!

[@annoravetz5908]

Bonus Birthday 🎂🥳 Happy 27 hr Birthday!!!

[@anniealexander9616]

They need to cut rates. They are strangling businesses.

[@texdevildog9174]

Yes, you are correct about business. US economy is like a crack addict, needing more and more to get that high. The interest rates are at historic normal level and business cannot survive without cheap money.

[@carguy2256]

lol right, if these rates cause a business to fail that business wasn’t any good to begin with. Let’s just pump the stock market to infinity with stimulus and low rates

[@DocOrtmeyer]

Bruh Lauren giving Kevin his gift on a private jet man 😭😭😭 we so phoor compared to him 😂

[@harambe4656]

happy birthday kevin 🥳💪

[@MrOG3Drew]

Soooooooooooooo rate cut in March.....

[@lenahedger]

lol boss vibes when you can increase your own birthday! Lol

[@ms8172]

kevin, so when the FED is dovish lets say this week. The market Rally's even more??

[@thegreenxeno9430]

Already priced in. 🎉

[@greevous2313]

What are the chances we see the Fed react faster than usual and actually start cutting now (when they should have been already)

[@prednosttrake]

Can you say, priced in?

[@tiffany1772]

Happy Birthday!!!🎂

[@vdanger7669]

Cathie Woods? What was P.T. Barnum or Sam Bankman-Fried not available?

[@rachellandes008]

Great.

[@galandoftruth6730]

Early rate cut lol in one week we will see, I don't know lol

[@mrwoodandmrtin]

Could you wait till the end of your birthday then take a plane around the world following the sunset and have a 2-day long birthday? This reminds me of a rough measure and a fine measure, and all the potentials of distorting the truth by mixing the two.

[@almacforshizzle5343]

Get crypto in this next last dip mmkay

[@dieseldavebrown]

if the fed cuts rates too soon, inflation and the stock market will take off. As the high interest rates caused the recession, dropping the rates will fix the recession, so the fed will not lower rates until growth decreases and unemployment increases which will only happen if there is a mild recession.

[@MrSlm1982]

Happy birthday!

[@mannyabarca8301]

Happy Birthday 🎉

[@CaptnBeeBop]

That Tesla stock though 😢

[@yiannidee]

best video in a while

[@HungLikeAPeanut]

Happy Birthday

[@thegreenxeno9430]

Is today the day of the black swan?

[@bradhaines3142]

'likely to cause unemployment recession' um who told you there isnt one already? sure seems like theres one now

[@sagig72]

happy birthday man.

[@sooniekchoi8398]

Happy belated birthday! I would LOVE to have 27 hours birthday ~ One day may be~

[@ren1018]

I bet if they cut rates, stocks remain flat.

[@lecherhao86]

If they cut interest rate, it means recession is here. And the stock will tank in the coming months

[@anniealexander9616]

Happy Birthday 🎈🎂🎁🎉

[@croelflaw]

Kevin you're my twin 😂😂 happy belated birthday 🎉

[@michaelmourek3879]

Government needs to hire more ROBOTS

[@backergm]

Happy belated birthday 🎂 🎂

[@johnM-Jr]

DWAC to the Moon. pulled back and waiting for good news... buy now, sell later.

[@AstroSquid]

Finance people are addicted to lower rates, period. All excuses and explanations will lead to lower interest rates, without fail. It's like a crack addict who's in rehab making spread sheets and graphs to explain why crack should be available for them to buy. Maybe interest rates should be 2% above inflation, as a way to let people make money from savings.. Remember those days.

[@glennwojcik2342]

More hopeful thinking? We read and watch what we believe.

[@cohenkevinloriqueen818]

Just in time to boost the stock market and economy so that sleepy Joe FJB can have a better chance of re- election 😢😢

[@user-sm6vf9hw4p]

What about evergrand and the Chinese market? And the down fall of teather and Bitcoin soon...

[@misternobody9801]

China collapse is already priced in. Cryto should be zero but there’s still suckers out there.

[@nealbrown5524]

Right now the DEX has a huge glitch If you are swapping you are getting like x 7 I did a vldeo

[@nealbrown5524]

By bit glIitched , swap x 4. Made vld to show it. 😮

[@brianp1030]

Fed's responsibility is to stabilize our currency, not deflate it to 2019 levels...I'm confused by your suggestion of that being a bad thing. Also pointing to the fed's projections is kinda pointless....everyone knows projections are just their estimates and are notoriously inaccurate....they make decisions on the actual data as it comes in....not projections. Long story short I have more faith in Jerome Powell's decision making on the economy than I do yours. Lot's of critics out there of the fed mostly because their agenda is quite different than wall street's...let's hope it stays that way.

[@agente0712]

Let's go! 🎉

[@deborahyeager4109]

Happy belated birthday

[@michaelmourek3879]

Funny - Lucid stock up 18% today - buy the dip. Saudi Arabian EV cars, come to America

[@grahamstefaan]

Need 30Y fixed 5.0-5.5% to jump start housing and refis.

[@MostlyPeacfulRiots]

Surprise Surprise lol

[@PCUTAH5]

Hello:)

[@stefantest5320]

Sorry you had to spend your birthday with Cathie Wood

[@michaelmourek3879]

Lucid up 27% TODAY - buy the dip