You Don’t Usually See This At Major Tops…

[@fxevolutionvideo]

→Click tigr.link/7m2zCc Enjoy brokerage free trading+ 7% p.a. on uninvested cash with the first deposit of any amount, plus US$30 TSLA + US$30 cash vouchers with deposits up to AU$2000. T&Cs apply.

[@EvanLiam-w9s]

AI stocks are poised to dominate in 2024. I favor NVIDIA for its strong long-term growth potential and its support of other AI companies. Someone I know gained over 200% with NVIDIA, but I'm also open to considering the other recommendations you've provided.

[@Bobhenry-c7z]

I agree. Even with great opportunities, we should proceed cautiously. Seeking market analysis or advice from certified market strategists is important.

[@Henryben-l9i]

@@Bobhenry-c7z You have a very valid point, I started investing on my own and for a long time, the market was really ripping me off. I decided to hire a CFA, even though I was skeptical at first, and I beat the market by more than 9%. I thought it was a fluke until it happened two years in a row, and so I’ve been sticking to investing via an analyst

[@hushbash2989]

The rising interest rate can surely control inflation, but won't prevent erosion of the eroding purchasing power of the US dollar. I have learnt my lesson this time. The banks can't be making money off my money, while inflation eats into it. I have set aside 650k to invest in the stock market now, since that keeps up with inflation, but I don't know how to get started.

[@selenajack2036]

Safest approach i feel to tackle it is to diversify investments. By spreading investments across different asset classes, like bonds, real estate, and international stocks, they can reduce the impact of a market meltdown

[@roddywoods8130]

Several individuals minimize the importance of counsel until their own feelings become overwhelming. A few summers ago, following a protracted divorce, I needed a significant push to keep my firm afloat. I looked for licensed advisors and found someone with the highest qualifications. She has contributed to my reserve increasing from $275k to $850k despite inflation..

[@kaylawood9053]

This is definitely considerable! think you could suggest any professional/advisors i can get on the phone with? i'm in dire need of proper portfolio allocation

[@roddywoods8130]

Sonia Nunes Demelo is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..

[@bsetdays6784]

Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her

[@Tony-rz5sm]

fact 1 The Sahm rule was triggered in 1970, 1974, 1980, 1982, 1990, 2001, 2008, 2020, and 2024. These years each coincided with a recession Not in 1995 fact 2 As the yield curve flattened, the Fed cut its policy rate thrice over eight months beginning July 1995. The yield curve did NOT invert. A recession was averted until early-2001.fact 3 50bps cut has always lead to a recession.a fast cutting cycle....watching price action

[@Tony-rz5sm]

My point is it's nothing like 1995 like most people are comparing this cutting cycle,...fed can't print money forever ??

[@jerm184]

The woman that made the sahm indicator. Says its invalid. If you look here X you can read at her page.

[@Tony-rz5sm]

Claudia Sahm: We should be concerned that [the unemployment rate] has been rising over the past year. And this is not just about hitting a particular level, or in July, we saw a larger jump than we’ve seen. The Sahm Rule averages across months. It looks over a year-long period. So it’s trying to get this direction that we’re headed and it’s not a good direction

[@Tony-rz5sm]

It's easy to see what you want to see by cherrypicking the data. We will only know 12 months, I guess. Nasdaq, when up 100% in less than 18 months off Dec 2022 lows, may we get a Q4 pump as it's the most bullish time of the year by then. I will be looking to short in February 2025, obviously depending on the data, imo it's only a matter of time we get 30/40% pullback

[@istvanpraha]

Also so many stocks had ridiculous unwarranted run ups anticipating a rate cut. We front ran it. Now people want a rally that was only on top of a rally. It’s gotten ridiculous and counter productive

[@leanvigo]

Very nice job covering the basics. I am sharing this not to brag but to show what’s possible. I’m retired and I have 2 separate portfolios. One is a long term growth dividend portfolio of stocks where i sell covered calls strategically and my 2nd portfolio is the Crypto trading strategy where its all about income. This year I am on pace to make $120K in realized options profits and around $730K in crypto profit... What is great is that my long-term portfolio is still up significantly as well. As such, it’s possible to generate excellent income but still have a total return perspective. ...Amidst this, the insights of a knowledgeable guide like that of Sandy Barclays can be crucial. Her expertise in navigating the nuances of trading has been the key for Me understanding and making the most of these emerging financial trends.

[@leanvigo]

Sandy Barclays program is widely available online.

[@jchall12]

If the market has taught me anything, it's that it always recovers, but I can't seem to focus on the long run, when major factors like my retirement and my reserve are wreaking havoc on inflation. I require a solid data trajectory and solution as soon as possible.

[@SharaizIqbal]

Over the years, I've been a part of numerous trading programs, sifting through a barrage of information. Yet, nothing has come close to the sheer clarity, depth, and precision of Sandy insights. It's akin to finding a diamond in a coal mine.

[@sophiepascoe]

I appreciate the professionalism and dedication of the team behind Sandy’s trade signal service.

[@MozzNik]

Most people are retiring this year and has nothing to show for. But I assure you it’s never late to get your financial life together again.

[@mikeback91]

Official swaps are under extreme lags Now it is giving 10 times cryptos...I have put vid up

[@mrtony1985]

Something to consider. With the FED not meeting in October this was really 2 consecutive 25 bps cuts. At least that's how I'm looking at it. How heavy they cut in November will say a lot more imo.

[@boccobadz]

Or they made up for not cutting at the end of July. Everyone knew they gonna cut into elections to help Kamala, it's been priced in for some time now.

[@abu_muhammad]

Interesting

[@Avo7bProject]

There is a widely shared narrative too, that this 50 cut was more of a "We should have cut 25 back in July. Oopsie. So here it is now"

[@johnselby9731]

My favorite indicator for an oversold overbought market is the % of stocks above the 20 day MA. the market sold off from Thursday at 75 to 65.5 on Fridays close. I'm waiting for a sell off now.

[@Avo7bProject]

I have always liked simultaneous confirmation of an extreme on the 9 day RSI (ultra short term) with the 21 day RSI (longer term). I don't even act on this every time, I often shrug and say "It was a good signal, but I was too cautious to take a position"

[@id10t98]

I use Fibonacci levels. Glty!

[@dc5starwar591]

not gonna happen, look at the put wall, max pain on spy is 570, just not gonna go

[@normanma4102]

So what happened to "The Fed doesn't cut out of the goodness of their hearts, they cut because there is something broken."?

[@Avo7bProject]

Higher rates are generally good for banks (when not so excessively high as to discourage borrowing). The Fed is fundamentally a banking cartel. They don't cut their own profits unless something is worrying them.

[@Cordycep1]

lowering rate when market is near the top -bubble- and inflation still lingering. Fed raise rate in 2000 to stop the bubble because the stock market was whipping up inflation. Defintely the govt has change the CPI, PPE component to negate any inflation since then. But in past there were no huge debt, and there were no china which dominate world trade in many industries, there were no buyback using iou. So US is loaded with debt and desperately need to maintain lower rate.

[@medavide1449]

Can you say new and upcoming govt retirees want a niice Christmas bonus... Boss the stock market gains they are creating. Will just be worse for the average, middle class, non pension, tax paying Joe and Joeene's.

[@Oliver-eg7vi]

I would actually argue the margin risk is carefully hidden in the FINRA data. Despite total margin debt falling from all time highs the margin to free cash and free margin balance ratios have skyrocketed to all time highs. In other words less liquidity but more leverage being utilized to chase the AI boom. Margin to cash ratio actually went up in august too despite total margin trending down.

[@barryauguste9734]

As always, great analysis of the past which is of course, no predictor of future events. Dumb Money vs. Smart Money always the leading chart. Thanks Tom.

[@xXdnerstxleXx]

September is considered the worst month of the year because of the end, not the start of September.

[@Avo7bProject]

Also the close of the buybacks window prior to reporting quarterlies.

[@theunbearablebull]

lol sad bears coping

[@xXdnerstxleXx]

@@theunbearablebull ay no I'm just spitting facts though. I myself have been bullish due to the market retardation of rate cuts but I just exited all those trades now. I'm long on the vix and setting in 2 year treasuries. Historically September has been the worst month because of it's last 2 weeks. It's a majority blackout period + seasonality making it on AVERAGE pretty bad.

[@theunbearablebull]

@@xXdnerstxleXx lol

[@xXdnerstxleXx]

@@theunbearablebull Iran declares war on Isreal and my VIX & treasury long calls just made my portfolio go up 80%. Happy trading folks. Tomorrow is hedge profit taking

[@sirlootalot1118]

Meh, not buying into these overvalued markets (as lt investor), the downside is way greater than the upside. As a trader it's different. Valuations will eventually come down to more reasonable levels. Buffet indicator at ATH, Shiller pe ratio at 2021 highs (before the bear market began). Election on the horizon and soft landing fully priced in.

[@Avo7bProject]

That's how I see it. These levels are pure gambling. A 15% selloff can be an opportunity, but it is "buy the dip and dish it off in a few weeks, forget about attempting new highs".

[@istvanpraha]

@@Avo7bProjectalso the market is so ridiculous that even if we get that correction, many things are still too expensive. Who is buying MCD or PG or CL when they’re barely yielding 2 percent these days

[@llamamama1003]

Thank you Tom great analysis 🎉

[@brianwhitehawker1756]

I am thinking of diversifying into Nvidia which is up by 8.08%. Definitely looks like the stock of the year as I’m looking for ways to make mouth watering ROIs from a $250k portfolio, any recommendations to achieve this will be highly appreciated.

[@yeslahykcim]

the strategies are quite rigorous for the regular-Joe. As a matter of fact, they are mostly successfully carried out by pros who have had a great deal of skillset/knowledge to pull such trades off.

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

I agree, having a brokerage advisor for investing is genius! Amidst the financial crisis in 2008, I was really having investing nightmare prior touching base with a advisor. In a nutshell, i've accrued over $2m with the help of my advisor from an initial $350k investment.

[@lucaswilliams9992]

impressive gains! how can I get your advisor please, if you dont mind me asking? I could really use a help as of now

[@Jadechurch-ql3do]

Her name is. 'Lucinda Margaret Crist’. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

[@codeblue11]

I just googled her and I'm really impressed with her credentials; I reached out to her since I need all the assistance I can get. I just scheduled a caII.

[@markemdee7311]

In the last year, shares of central banks easing over 50% has been that way about 2 weeks, and under 50% has been that way for about 50 weeks; so the market expectation is closer to gaining 1.37% than 8.38% in the next 12 months. More bad statistics !

[@dawsonk9298]

The 10 year and three month bond split is narrowing, moved from -1.3 to -1.02 in a couple days after the cut. Recession whe those flip.

[@theunbearablebull]

We already crossed. Also on average it takes 6-12 months to show in the stock market lol. So good luck timing this "crash" indicator

[@LonesomeDrifter186]

Nice job mate.. great analysis and advice as usual.. thanks for all your hard work!

[@fedcba810]

Thank you TOM 😊 I learned every day from you.

[@QuinnanScott]

Tom I believe the margin debt chart is of great importance to retail investors. Please share this data on every video.

[@mattbailey112]

Sounds like you’re on a 98 Toshiba conference phone. Love the analysis tho. Cheers

[@YOLO-IN]

Do we all agree that Crypto memes are the funniest? 😂😂

[@JR-eq6jz]

Follow the stocks. There are some amazing charts. Lots of ATH just not on the mainstream names.

[@anotherdedchannel]

Ngl, Tom last week rough quote "when people get bullish and say no recession that's when the market is in danger", Tom this week rough quote, "this is a market coming out of a recession"

[@normanma4102]

Also Tom "The Fed doesn't cut out of the goodness of their hearts, they cut because there's something wrong." Tom "I don't see any problems everything looks great.". Yes, that's the big question now ain't it.

[@tordsgaming2740]

Rsi in overbought on monthly and price moved higher on lower rsi on weekly.. bear divergence, watch out.

[@dividethesky2]

Tom, you’re my hero

[@Agent77X]

Agree, this only go one way from now on!

[@JohnBaker-o2i]

Thank your mate!

[@TheBiGShell]

Vix looks pretty low for Sept in my opinion

[@geoffgjof]

Junks are only ripping because people knew they'd need to search for yield as rates will be going down. But recession means that high yield starts to default, so is it worth it?

[@drinno8900]

It feels good so entertaining thoughts in the back of my mind - Admiral Akbar 'it's a trap!" top of the channel

[@simphiweraymondmajola375]

What`s the name of that indicator showing 7 8 numbers?

[@stefan_koekemoer]

Very nice. As usual.

[@stefan_koekemoer]

Great Video.

[@ClintWestwood-m1l]

What about profit taking before October china public holiday

[@kelleychilton2524]

This channel is infested with spam bots. I just reported 8 of them. Tom needs to police his own video comments.

[@anotherdedchannel]

Check back in 5 hours they'll be back, it's a terrible problem.

[@Cello69.]

Relentless. They need to stop.

[@Avo7bProject]

Most popular financial channels have them. They're not too hard to spot. They usually have an unusually large number of thumbs-up, and in the initial comment, somebody describes having a large financial resource and is unsure what to do next.

[@theunbearablebull]

Breathe child

[@Eljifzw]

The most significant lesson I gained from the stock market in 2023 is that uncertainty prevails, emphasizing the importance of humility. Adhering to a long-term strategy with a competitive edge is key

[@DavidFo4]

Certainty eludes everyone; thus, it's vital to establish your own methodology, handle risk, and adhere to your strategy unwaveringly. This commitment should endure challenges and successes, all while maintaining a commitment to ongoing learning and improvement.

[@lacyseiler6712]

Embracing uncertainty, I realized after five years that attempting to predict market outcomes through chart analysis was futile due to the unpredictable nature. My lack of a mentor led to six years of struggle. I transitioned to following the market's direction and adopting a straightforward, disciplined approach.

[@BulapGreen]

Who is the professional who is advising you, if you could perhaps tell us? As a novice investing in stocks without the correct direction of a professional, I have lost a lot of money.

[@lacyseiler6712]

Nancy Magaret Delony is the analyst that helps me. She has a large following and is easily found online. She has extensive understanding as I have made so much since following her.

[@BulapGreen]

just Googled her name and her website came up right away. It looks interesting so far. I'm going to send a mail to her and let you know how it goes.Thanks for sharing

[@istvanpraha]

You’re ignoring a weak labor market and stagnant earnings growth. Also the market is a basket of stocks and I watch them obsessively and so many stocks have zero reason to go higher, they just had ridiculous run ups

[@theunbearablebull]

You have to remember, most of you are not smart enough for the stock market.

[@dc5starwar591]

fundamentals don't matter, trade this on technical s or trade tesla like its physical gold, its like buying a brick of rock, to the moon baby!

[@geoffgjof]

We actually have a lot of similar stats to 2007. And that market kept going up til October. So you could both be right lol

[@istvanpraha]

@@geoffgjof not gonna disagree with this! Things are very frothy today on low volume. So yeah they did go up. But the volume is pointing to them not staying here! Both sides can be happy!

[@istvanpraha]

@@dc5starwar591 sort of true but even looking at "technical non-fundamentals" many stocks popped way above their trend lines and have high RSIs. Look at BX for a crazy example

[@afa304]

I would like to understand what changed your opinion from "50bps is devastating" to "5bps is bullish!"

[@joshuaburns3167]

@@afa304 It still might be but you have to time it correctly...

[@brandonjones8059]

lol the price action

[@abu_muhammad]

The 50 bear scenario he was giving us didn't mention an instant crash. It just means more caution after a month or so. We have to move with the price action

[@StarLight-lt2tm]

More clicks

[@sin5946]

I'm waiting it out. Too risky, and it's just a few weeks to see where it goes.

[@wphillips7217]

We have gone from “a half point cut signals panic by the fed” to “a half point cut gives people more confidence to buy “ ? What the heck ?

[@beau6113]

Why do you say that margin drops never occur at peaks when the chart you posted showed that is exactly when it peaks?

[@kelleychilton2524]

Good point. 👍

[@normanma4102]

I'm guessing it's because it dropped down even before getting above the linear uptrend line. Not sure if that line holds any significance though because money isn't as free as it was in previous cycles.

[@markemdee7311]

You say margin debt does not drop during peaks, but your chart shows that margin debt does drop at market peaks. Look at years 2000 and 2007 and end of 2021.

[@mattclark6482]

I agree, to me it looks like there is an initial drop in margin debt that isn't reflected as much in the market and then another drop in margin debt when the market starts falling off. I also find it odd that margin debt really didn't drop much (relative to other market crashes) during the 2020 crash. This might suggest that margin debt isn't quite the tell that it was in the past Lastly, I wonder with all the 2x and 3x ETFs available if people even use margin as much as they did in the past and does the use of those ETFs play into the margin debt calculation?

[@mattclark6482]

I just did a little more research and it doesn't look like 2x and 3x ETFs are included in the INFRA margin debt calculation

[@bdek68]

You disregard all of the global macro!!!! The world is literally cratering on every level. It is completely impossible to compare 2024 to any other time. What do you not get about that

[@anotherdedchannel]

You're a bear aren't you?

[@bdek68]

You bet

[@Foma_Stuppa]

Guess what...he know that all markets eventually crash and that everyone dies some day. It's OK, buddy, just take it day by day

[@geoffgjof]

If it's like 2007, then we'll see some upside into October, then we'll start the slide.

[@stevenot8382]

just last year, you were so bearish now you are the king of Dubble speak. you say something bullish, then you Piss on it.

[@geoffgjof]

It's called volatility.

[@taylorkaplan2614]

A simple explanation why margin debt is going down. People losing their jobs are deleveraging. Credit is tightening because of systemic risk.

[@istvanpraha]

One theory. Yeah, not sure it’s bullish, as is proposed here. Not sure why we’d assume people will borrow more. People aren’t seeing opportunity to invest, why borrow more? Too much is overpriced

[@rachelonigirl]

I dont even know where the market is headed to right now. my portfolio of around 200k is not increasing more than 5% and people are predicting a crash .

[@kurtKking]

i'd advise you redistribute assets in your portfolio with the help of a pro so you don't get burnt in the market

[@donovantobs]

A lot of folks downplay the role of advisors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $275k to $850k.

[@Monicamonasky-]

Could you possibly recommend a CFA you've consulted with?

[@donovantobs]

Her name is. SUNITA CHACHY JOSEPH . Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.

[@Monicamonasky-]

I just curiously searched her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon. Thank you

[@edwardohall]

Ftx ad.. over average returns

[@Striiker]

put GER40 back in!

[@defunctuserchannel]

Geopolitical black swan likely coming...

[@scottackley9948]

USD so resilient now??

[@roosenlodewijkwiggers4594]

Upgrade to GDP? Is that due to inflation bumping the numbers up?

[@markemdee7311]

GDP is adjusted for inflation.

[@mack-uv6gn]

Retest is a possibility

[@Keto_Mike]

Doesn't that big red volume bar mean selling.

[@Shark-Tacos]

Did you say Jerome Powell will be “annoying” us? 😂

[@kelleychilton2524]

That's one of Tom's standard comments.

[@soha7271]

Buy buy buy

[@2023gainer]

Dip-buying acceleration to end Sept for Long-term wealth building or trading gains. NKLA.. Nikola. North America leader of deliveries Electric and Hydrogen/ Electric Semi tractors..Frey EV batteries.. Polestar.. Zapp Electric motorcycles..Evgo .Plug.. Hyliion.. Lucid.. ChargePoint..Xos Trucks..more. Thumbs Up video/ comments as the Air we Breathe gets cleaner thanks to You.

[@JudgeMatty]

Scaaaaaaam

[@2023gainer]

@@JudgeMatty The Present and Future of Mobility is Electric and Hydrogen / Electric globally.

[@JudgeMatty]

@@2023gainer Perhaps. You should do videos on your channel instead of spamming EVERY financial channel with stock shilling.

[@2023gainer]

​@@JudgeMatty Perhaps you should stop trolling and add some investment info to the conversation one day. A mind is a terrible thing to waste.

[@boccobadz]

Inverse every mainstream narrative (especially those based on few data points from pre-Internet era). That's the easiest way to make money in this business.

[@PonziZombieKiller]

Wow man.. it's gunna crash like a mofo now 😮

[@theunbearablebull]

Yup, the crash in 2026 from SPY 800 to 600 will be crazy

[@dc5starwar591]

the Fed will print 4 trillion more and have the boys buy every option, every stock, its a sure thing, it will not go down, just like 2008 they gave all the big boys hundreds of millions and told them "buy something"

[@PonziZombieKiller]

I think Tom Lee is the new age Abby Joseph Cohen..

[@PonziZombieKiller]

It may not be Fear... but reality creeping in.

[@ambidextrousTrades]

You keep on saying “Dark pool”, do you even know what it is?

[@theunbearablebull]

Yea it's the pool in the shade, doesn't have much sun exposure

[@ambidextrousTrades]

@@theunbearablebull 🤣

[@cjmllvv]

Anyone in 2024?

[@MelissaWilliams-o4y]

Moore Nancy Davis Margaret White Jose

[@survive25_Churchill]

Its pump then burn

[@patrickareny2551]

Lmao, best comment.

[@theunbearablebull]

Been hearing this since SPY 440

[@SuperPropking]

clear your throat man. not to sound rude, its not polite at all to talk while there is phlegm in there and you're talking it does not nice to listen to. anyways thank you for the overview

[@kelleychilton2524]

Agreed, sounds horrible. He needs to have some water handy.

[@cutback443]

00:11:45 that is a parabola at its last base m8

[@id10t98]

Finance TV host: "welcome, our guest is Tom Lee of Fundstrat. Tom, they say an asteroid is heading towards earth and will wipe out 60% of the population in three weeks. What are you going to do today? Tom Lee: Thanks for having me. I'm bullish on concrete suppliers and bomb shelter construction companies as well as bottled water and MRE sellers... 😊❤🤑

[@Zarajohnson120]

I'm new to investing and I've lost a good sum trying out strategies I found in an online tutorial. I would sincerely appreciate any recommendations you have.

[@Raymondruiz283]

As a beginner, it's essential for you to have a mentor to keep you accountable. I'm guided by a widely known crypto consultant

[@Raymondruiz283]

Mrs Debra Beatrice

[@johnberry335]

This is correct, Debra Beatrice strategy has normalized winning trades for me also and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started.

[@Annaholland815]

Beatrice is considered a key Crypto Strategist with one of the best copy Trading portfolios and also very active in the cryptocurrency space.

[@Nicolesims441]

Isn't that the same Mrs Debra Beatrice that my neighbours are talking about, she has to be a perfect expert for people to talk about her so well