2025 Tony Awards Predictions - Leading Actor in a Musical

[@seattlesusieq]

I saw Maybe Happy Ending - loved, loved loved it and Darren Criss deserves a nomination. Already have tickets for Penzance in April. Can't wait. Love Ramin. Just missed Operation MIncemeat in London in Sept. Will see it in April, too.

[@jurney3478]

Loved the list. Hope you do them for the potential supporting noms. I agree with your two locks but I'd have to put Darren Cris as a lock. With the block of tickets released, it's clear producers are gonna do their darnest to keep the show open til Tony noms come out and as long as that happens I'd argue Cris is win competitive. That show is guaranteed at least 6 tony noms at this point.

[@Heyjay454]

I have heard from some people that saw a run through of just in time that you are right Jonathan is definitely going to be nominated

[@jameshicks6435]

Right now, I think Francis and Criss are frontrunners for nominations, just because their shows are running and received good-to-great reviews. Even if Maybe Happy Ending closes before nominations, they'll be recognized. It's by far the most highly rated show of the season thus far. I agree that Groff will probably get nominated, mainly because of his pedigree (though the vocals that have been released don't sound anything like Bobby Darin's sound or style). I'm highly suspicious of the Penzance "reimagining" and don't expect it to do well critically or commercially, so I don't think either Karimloo or Hyde-Pierce will be nominated. That leaves Jordan, Durand and Cumming vying for the last two spots. Igelhart actually has received VERY good reviews for his performance, so he could sneak in if Groff, Jordan, Durand or Cumming don't live up to expectations.

[@Javachacin]

Great list, Floyd fan here - there’s a lot of love for the show in the industry, and as long as they don’t f*+=* up the production - which I don’t expect - i predict they’re going to give the show as many noms as possible. With Jordan getting passed on last year for a stellar performance, I can see them giving him the nomination at the least and I can also see, if he gives it 200% - which considering his work ethic and typical dedication - running away with the award. I can see Sunset getting the best actress and best revival, so they might want to divy up the love and give best actor to Floyd. I definitely think Darren is nominated, but for a win it’s a little bit of a quiet performance though excellent, Tom is great but the reviews bias mostly critical of the show, a la Cabaret, might mean a non-sweep, so a Tom win not guaranteed. With Jonathan just winning I don’t think it’s a guarantee win this year unless he blows our minds in that performance. The rest we’ll have to see when they open - love the coverage, this is exciting, can’t wait for more!❤🎉

[@eyesproket]

Couldn't get passed all the "innovation" shticks and gimmicks from Sunset. It was like watching a high school performance with more money and a better production. Pair that with the kabuki performances.... at times it felt like a series of rehearsals in a dance studio. IMHO

[@peteralfano4278]

How could you predict for what hasn't even opened yet? That's silly

[@MichelleDonalson]

I have Durand, Francis, Jordan, Groff, and Iglehart

[@sandyreyes-z6q]

jeremy jordan better be nominate or i will not watch the tonys how dare they not even acknowledge him or even the great gasby will see what happens and if they will do the right thing.

[@bobgarrett3367]

Tom Francés for the win btw BIOPIC is a movie not a stage play.

[@GerzZuniga]

Nicole and Tom will replicate their win from Olivier 🎉🎉🎉

[@eyesproket]

Nicole's prolly gonna win but I prefer Audra's complex (anti-one-note) haunting yet grounded journey in Gypsy... which is the opposite of Nicole's kabuki performance. IMHO

[@aurelienelizabeth4709]

@@eyesproket We all know the final battle will be Nicole VS Audra, but who will win?