5 Scenarios for Russia After Putin’s Next Term

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Casey Michel piece in Politico: '5 Scenarios for Russia After Putin’s Next Term'
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
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[@anderspuck]

Thank you. The referendum in Southern Jutland about a new border between Germany and Denmark in 1920 could perhaps serve as a counter argument to your argument about such a process being illegitimate if it does not happen in two steps via independence.

[@VladVexlerChat]

Thanks so much for pointing out Anders!

[@adaslesniak]

Same thing goes for Silesia after WW1 - it was decided in referendum where it should belong. Probably many such historical examples, but most of them were after the borders were changed to establish "details", after the fact was clear that borders needs to be changed. So it wasn't question of if, but how.

[@anderspuck]

@@adaslesniak True, that is an important nuance.

[@Coastfog]

Vlad: "We will talk for probably 20 minutes..." Me: *looks at progress bar and starts smiling* "No, dear Vlad, we won't."

[@VladVexlerChat]

I have never got it even close to right!

[@evank8459]

@@VladVexlerChat You've kept it consistently from going beyond the golden ratio (think, the next number of the fibonnaci sequence, from your estimate) Going back and editing durations to match videos is clever, but plenty of youtubers get tired of doing that every single time. One-takes are more authentic than frenetic acceleration spirals

[@peka2478]

@@VladVexlerChat just put any random number out there before every video, at some point youre bound to get it right! stochastics is on your side! ;)

[@drthomason7043]

Glad to see you up and talking.

[@BalefulStar]

Beautiful community reporting in

[@VladVexlerChat]

Great!

[@mat3714]

Reporting for duty

[@karabenomar]

Reporting for beauty!

[@mat3714]

@@karabenomar 😅

[@SlpBeauty333]

​@@karabenomarYes? Oh not me, that other Beauty. No worries.

[@calendarpage]

Still here. Glad to see you up and looking better. Here's for some healing tea!

[@VladVexlerChat]

Thank you so much!

[@_amalfitano]

Yikes man, great to see you back. Hope your situation improves. 🍀

[@VladVexlerChat]

💛

[@paulmurray8922]

What i find really disconcerting is how easily some Russians, who claim to be sympathetic to Ukraine, use the term "New Territories" when referring to occupied Ukrainian land. It's as if they have limited understanding of the concept of borders.

[@abodabalo]

I also noticed that expression “new territories” being casually used by seemingly open minded Russians in interviews. One reason why I don’t put much hope in “the people”.

[@user-kg4fr9jr7v]

We can't say 'occupied'. 7 years of prison for such claim (because of course our army not conquering, it's freeing, yeah come quotes around). Better swallow and not pronounce your thoughts at all. If we have to refer to it than how else we could?

[@beatonthedonis]

At least they're not using the term "Disputed Territories" like some other chauvinistic ultranationalists.

[@suzannstrohmaier2578]

@@user-kg4fr9jr7v Good point...we often do not realize how strict the rules are within Russia. We are used to doing and saying pretty much whatever we want. I totally understand why so many Russians are apolitical, if I lived in Russia I would probably just keep quiet too. We can't fairly judge Russians' inaction since your system is so different than ours. I even read online that it is illegal to send money through the mail within Russia. Here in the USA we do that all the time...parents and grandparents always send money in birthday/Christmas cards.

[@terryhand]

I know Vlad would shoot this down as not being political, but I am beyond caring about what happens to the Russian people. I don't see any realistic possibility of the West being able to influence events in Russia. We would be far better off concentrating on the mammoth task of counteracting Russian misinformation in the West and properly arming Ukraine - and ourselves.

[@paulmurray8922]

Thanks! That picture of you being bedridden, looking frail, gave me an idea of the effort and spirit it must take to keep working, especially here.

[@rachelatwood9555]

you're looking a whole lot better...sorry to hear that's not entirely the case 🤗

[@janronschke7525]

Vlad, when his health is good, looks 15 years younger than his actual age. When its bad he reminds me of my favourite verse from the Velved Undergrounds song "venus in furs": "I am tired, iam weary i could sleep for a 1000 years, a 1000 dreams that would awake me, diffrent colours made of tears."

[@denni7173]

Happy to see you upright and sharing your knowledge with us all❤

[@emom358]

Oh Vlad, we have to quit meeting like this! We cannot both be ill or well at the same time, throws the whole Universe off kilter! I see you, and hope you feel better soon. 💚

[@JQ-999]

Glad to see you in good health, Vlad! Well as best as can be I suppose. I'm going to listen and clean the kitchen. Thanks! :)

[@kathleendubois7128]

So pleased to see you. Greetings from Africa❤️🇿🇦 please continue to get better.

[@suzannstrohmaier2578]

Good to have you back dear Vlad...that last post had me scared. : ) Many prayers for better health days. 🌻🌻🌻

[@MickB52s]

6am here on Melbourne. Good to see you.

[@rogerrocco5211]

Glad to see you again!

[@crepuscularwintersky]

Welcome back Vlad!

[@VladVexlerChat]

Thank you!

[@spasgeorgiev6909]

Slowly, with help from your content, I am beginning to see and analyze things more easily. Particularly - responsibilities towards my country (how I affect politics), and observing the tendency in myself to accept things on a whim. On a different topic , I see how important communication skills are. You are very eloquent. I now feel how a complex idea can be conveyed in the most efficient way. I tend to avoid your videos for about 25 days of the month, because my mental diet is like fast food - and i am "moving" slow, so i need time to prepare for a proper meal. Anyway , great chat!

[@DarkestAlice]

Thank you, Vlad, and all the best for recovering to a better state of health. 🇺🇦 Перемоги і миру всім українцям! 🇺🇦

[@paulscarff8100]

Lovely to see you Vlad

[@neilclay5835]

Mate, it's great to see you. Really. I'll settle down to watch this over the weekend. Best wishes Vlad.

[@bc-guy852]

So glad to see you back and feeling well enough that a "twenty minute talk" turned into over thirty minutes! Wonderful to see and hear you Vlad. Get better fast please!

[@CaroAbebe]

Yes, we are here, Vlad :) Take good care of yourself! Lots of love, Vlad.

[@alexmiller23]

🤡🤣

[@suewilkinson910]

It hadn't occurred to me that you lived in the UK. I just looked. I'm sorry you have to manage this condition to live your life. I hope you can get to play that piano for relaxation and healing as much as possible. I really enjoy your chats. I hope you feel better soon.

[@IndelibleNihilist]

Glad you are doing better Vlad ❤

[@mikhailryzhov9419]

Good to see you in better health. Please take care.

[@alexhubble]

'I probably won't make much sense' - have you seen the world? You'll do for me.

[@JohnForbes]

This is one of my favourite channels.

[@luminyam6145]

It is good to see you again but please get some rest. Your health is very important. I am so sorry you have been ill.💖

[@menschin2]

Glad to see you again. 😊

[@Loooam]

The beautiful community IS here 🥰

[@matt.willoughby]

I wish you good health Mr Vexler. You have bought happiness and inspiration to *a* *lot* of people. You are an important voice in this KZbin space.

[@zeytelaloi]

Thanks for calling out Casey for his repeated misrepresentation of Navalny

[@glenngreatorex3520]

Looking much much better. Great to see. A bit like Major Tom in the last.

[@audreyw8521]

Thank you for the education, Vlad.

[@williamfish1407]

Wishing you healthy. You inspire me to be thoughtful

[@TheDanieldineen]

Good to see you back in action again! 👍

[@leanette999]

Good to see you up and about. Take care. Much ❤

[@judithjorda-od5jz]

I totally agree with you on your comments at the end about the Russian opposition. Wish you good health!

[@_armoricat_]

I love you so much Vlad, may your health improve 💛🌻

[@MsZeeZed]

Yes, Political Science can be rigorous, but should never be confused for Mathematics 😹

[@andersgrassman6583]

Probably not. But I had to think a bit about the nature of mathematics and it's ontological grounds.😅

[@martynpage1794]

I am so relieved that you're with us to make sense of this stuff! keep it up Vlad!

[@marklinlionel7163]

Дорогой Влад. Приятно видеть, что ты хорошо выглядишь.

[@sweden_ove2074]

Glad to see you, Vlad!❤

[@mirasablik7942]

Very good materiał, thank you. How vigiliant we have to be for survivre

[@logosfabula]

Hi there, Vlad! Hope everything's gonna be ok, soon. Thanks for this video.

[@JT-do8dr]

Good to have you back vlad

[@TylerChambers-yx2lx]

Hope your health improves, great video

[@3rdratesherlock]

Thank you Vlad…I really enjoyed the session with you.

[@monicasjoblom9316]

Please take care! Vlad.

[@Nebris]

"...except in Argentina" also made me LOL

[@thomasjgallagher924]

Great to have you back, Amigo.

[@williamevans4147]

Get well. Your health is everything. Sending love to you

[@Ross8992]

Good to see you back in a healthier state, Vlad.

[@criscruzparra2243]

Good to see you Vlad!🎉😊❤

[@KenVet]

Always a pleasure to learn from you, Vlad. Stay strong, best regards. Carry On, Sir.

[@user-fm4hd3zw3q]

Great to see you back. ❤❤❤

[@Waverlyduli]

Thank you, Vlad. You're back and making carefully prioritised, beautifully expressed discussion points for us.

[@aljabik]

Glad to see you up and around Vlad. Thanks for this

[@josefk332]

More than survived it Vlad, we thrived in it.

[@JustinRuddy]

Very insightful

[@Vandymas]

Hi Vlad! So nice to see you ❤

[@1alexanderwalker]

So glad to see you back!

[@michelleyamamotoart]

Take care, Vlad. Thanks for all you do.

[@clairerobinson7658]

Thanks Vlad ❤ Sending love and healing energy.

[@rachelatwood9555]

khelloooo!!!!

[@VladVexlerChat]

Khhhhhhhhi!!

[@farmersdotter7]

Be well Vlad ❤

[@PokemonGeezer]

Thanks Vlad

[@PhiltheMoko]

Thank you Vlad

[@joshuabronson2828]

Lovely to see you back in action action Vlad! Insightful as always.

[@ronelle.p1824]

Hello, its good to see you Vlad. I Hope your health continues to improve 🙏 ❤

[@metabalcanico5719]

Glad u r back big fella

[@marykilgarriff3550]

Vlad...glad to see you back on KZbin. Very interesting and insightful commentary on Crimea, the Tartars and Nevalgny. Please keep posting. I wish you good health. Best wishes from Ireland 🇮🇪

[@theyazzledazzle]

It's so good to see you.

[@Gltdoors]

"Knock knock knock....Is the beautiful community there?" Vlad... Sincerely, THANK YOU for being a genuine breath of fresh air. Though it's sad that just being a genuine, thoughtful human being is seemingly such a rare thing (at least) on the internet. With the loss of Tom Scott, there's very few channels to find such thoughtful content. That said, with creators like you, I have faith there's still hope for the future of the platform... and maybe society in general lol.

[@quexalcoatl]

Thanks! very much enjoyed the media analysis

[@rowanhaigh8782]

Thanks, Vlad, lovely to see you up. ❤

[@drthomason7043]

Glad to see you up and talking

[@Egalitare]

Relieved to see you able to share your perspective and wisdom. Rest up!

[@philpaine3068]

I do not understand how a discussion of the past and future of Crimea can be undertaken without a SINGLE MENTION of the indigenous people of Crimea, the Tatars. These are a people who suffered genocide and deportation on a terrifying scale under both the Tsars and Stalin. With the independence of Ukraine, many returned to their homeland, only to face consistent prejudice and some repressive measures by the local Russian-speaking authorities, and then re-incorporation into Russia with Putin's invasion. Today, the majority of surviving Tatars in Crimea and probably of the larger number in Tatarstan are sympathetic to the struggle of Ukraine and see themselves as cultural brothers of Ukrainians, though speaking a different language. They look forward to a free Ukraine in which their distinctive ethnicity can find some freedom at last. This is not a universal view among Tatars, but it is a substantial and valid one. Crimea has always been a melting-pot of nations, but the Tatars were the leading ethnicity of the peninsula from the 12th to the early 20th century, and only ceased to be so because most of them were murdered, starved to death, or deported. I say this merely from following the history. I have no special connection to the Tatars, and no reason to favour or disfavour them. It just annoys me that they are left out of this discussion.

[@user-nl6zv6hz6x]

Do you know why the Crimean Tatars were deported?

[@philpaine3068]

@@user-nl6zv6hz6x Stalin deported and murdered tens of millions of people of various ethnicities. He did so because he was a monster who killed anyone on a whim. There is never any justification for genocide --- only evil. Putin is an admirer and follower of Stalin. He too murders on a whim, and the only "reason" is the same evil.

[@mnoot7209]

Welcome home, Vlad!! Great to see you all bright eyed and bushy tailed! 😅

[@markjmacrae]

Welcome back, Beautiful Community very glad you’re feeling better Vlad!

[@thezieg]

Sooo happy to see you!!

[@mariarucci78]

Hi my dear glad to see you. Love from sunny London ❤

[@suzannstrohmaier2578]

Sunny London...now that is one you don't hear everyday and ironically enough I am here in dreary California : ) we are getting some much needed rain. The world is upside down.

[@abcdefg216]

Glad to see you!

[@EvanBiser]

Hello! Welcome in, glad you’re feeling a bit better

[@godfreymarshall6238]

Good to see you ❤

[@DamienWalter]

Good to see you Vlad

[@simian_essence]

I loved ❤ your journalistic rant! There is however no substitute for THINKING through for themselves what they (people - we & others) read, see, watch and listen to.

[@treyshaffer]

Small comment, but I love the clarity of saying that despite the kind of discourse that the author of the article provides being ubiquitous, it is still unacceptable nonetheless. Really cogent

[@Spiritualmanlet]

Glad your health is doing better

[@grandlotus1]

Vlad, pardon a personal question: how many languages do you speak / write / read? I believe I have read that English is not your mother tongue, but you express yourself with a fluid eloquence that I greatly admire. If only our American leaders could know, analyze, and express themselves within 2 two orders of magnitude of your platinum standard! As Joseph Campbell taught, the point of the myth (not an untruth!) of the Sword In The Stone is that, for the true hero, the heroic act is easy, that is to say, natural. Thoughtful expression of truth is your heroic act. God Bless You. You are one of my heroes.

[@dmitripuzyrev4413]

His mother tongue is Russian. He was born in Soviet Union.

[@suzannstrohmaier2578]

I wish our leaders were as intelligent as Vlad, and also as kind and caring as Vlad. The beautiful community is actually smarter and kinder than many of our American politicians. I do feel Biden as a person is a good guy with a kind heart. Not sure about all his policies. Trump is more of a big city shyster. 🤣 He is selling Bibles for like $60 😯 I get ads for teddy bears and all kinds of knick knacks Trump is selling to make money. 😆 It is kind of embarrassing our potential new president reminds me of the home shopping network.

[@aarushiyadav7101]

Nice having you back; your clear tone is very much comforting in the confusing media of today. Take care 💙

[@Krasbin]

Very clear explanation. The way I understand it is that the main article being discussed is technically in line with some of what Navalny has written, but is almost entirely opposite in implication and spirit of what Navalny tried to communicate. It reminds me of translating classical texts in high school, where the “literal” translation and the “spiritual” translation sometimes yielded opposite meanings in the respective translations.

[@phaedrussocrates7636]

Thank you ❤

[@bobouzala]

Yeay!!! Looking good Bro!

[@-Deena.]

Sending you love and strength Vlad. My health is similar to yours (different condition) and I completely understand 🧡

[@jimdale9143]

Thank you Vlad! This little jewel is an example of why I love your work so much. The critique of journalistic misleading statements being both too common and toxic is very, very much on target.

[@spiraxsis]

good to see you dude x much love and thanks for the vid

[@VladVexlerChat]

Much love!

[@chuckkottke]

Thank you Vlad. 💝