A Big Solar Flare & a Filament Poised to Erupt | Space Weather News 22 December 2023

This Space Weather News forecast sponsored in part by Millersville University:
www.millersville.edu/swen
Our Sun continues to keep the holiday fireworks going as Region 3519 fires off several large flares and radio blackouts before rotating to the farside. Although solar storms were launched, they are too far west to be Earth-directed. Still, aurora photographers should enjoy some aurora views at high latitudes due to a pocket of fast solar wind coming over the next couple of days. We are also watching an unstable filament crossing through the Earth-strike zone, which could launch as a partly Earth-directed solar storm, so be aware the aurora forecast could change quickly. Amateur radio operators should enjoy the solar storm reprieve, with high solar flux and good propagation on Earth's dayside, despite the noisy conditions and periodic radio blackouts. GPS users, however, should remain vigilant, especially at low latitudes near dawn and dusk, and in the southern hemisphere where GPS reception could become pretty unreliable. Learn the details of the recent solar flare activity, check out the filament poised to erupt, and see what is lurking on the Sun's farside!
Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit:
/ spaceweatherwoman
For daily and often hourly updates (during active times) visit me on Twitter:
/ tamithaskov
For a more in-depth look at the data and images highlighted in this video see these links below.
Solar Imaging and Analysis:
SDO: sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/
Helioviewer: www.helioviewer.org/
Flare Analysis: www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest...
Computer Aided CME Tracking CACTUS: www.sidc.oma.be/cactus/out/lat...
GOES Xray: www.swpc.noaa.gov/rt_plots/xra...
SOHO: sohodata.nascom.nasa.gov/
Stereo: stereo.gsfc.nasa.gov/
GONG magnetic field synoptic movie: gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/stan...
GONG magnetic field synoptic charts: gong.nso.edu/data/magmap/
LMSAL Heliophysics Events HEK www.lmsal.com/isolsearch
Solar Wind:
DISCOVR solar wind: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/rea...
ACE Solar Wind: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace...
NASA/CCMC/M2M Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/IswaSystem...
NOAA/SWPC Enlil Solar Storm Prediction Model: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/wsa...
Magnetosphere, Ionosphere, Atmosphere:
GOES Magnetometer: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goe...
Ionosphere D-Region Absorption (DRAP) model: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/d-r...
Radio Propagation: www.tvcomm.co.uk/g7izu/atlant...
Near-Earth radiation environment: spaceweather.gfz-potsdam.de/p...
Auroral Oval Ovation Products: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/aur...
Global 3-hr Kp index: www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/pla...
GEOCHRON Weather Display: www.geochron.com
USGS Ground Magnetometers: geomag.usgs.gov/realtime/
Multi-Purpose Space Environment Sites:
NOAA/SWPC: www.swpc.noaa.gov
SOLARHAM: www.solarham.net/index.htm
Spaceweather: spaceweather.com
iSWA: iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/iswa/iSWA.html
Definition of Geomagnetic Storm, Radiation Storm, and Radio Blackout Levels:
www.swpc.noaa.gov/NOAAscales/
None of this would be possible without the hard work and dedication of those who have provided all of this data for public use.
Images c/o NASA/NOAA/ESA/CSA (most notably the superb SDO, SOHO, ACE, DSCOVR, STEREO, CCMC, M2M, JPL & DSN teams, amazing professionals, hobbyists, institutions, organizations, agencies and amateurs such as those at the USAF/HAARP, NICT, NOAA, USGS, Environment Canada, Natural Resources Canada, Intellicast, Catatania, rice.edu, wisc.edu, sonoma.edu ucalgary.ca, rssi.ru, ohio-state.edu, solen.info, and so much more. Thanks for making Space Weather part of our every day dialogue.

[@TomPauls007]

always a joy to hear her expound on what's going on up there. Always a rewarding watch!

[@mewintle]

I love to share this with non-tech people

[@audreywitko1445]

I am a very non-tech person and I LOVE this site!

[@purdyquibb]

I found it myself, confused as all get out but very intrigued. Lol. Very cool..

[@theoriginalOSOK]

Thank you for the update!! Anthropomorphizing, the sun has an angry face....

[@johncheresna]

Thanks for keeping us up to date.

[@nancyreber8201]

Your updates are the Best!!

[@drfloxy2779]

Happy Xmas Super Space Weather Wonder Woman.

[@TamithaSkov]

LOL! Now that is a fun variant, but Id have to go by SSWWW. Thanks for making my day.

[@stephiechefy]

Hope Santa has contingency plans in case his radio and gps get fuzzy! That filament seems like it could be a grinch. I know NORAD is tracking again this year so if solar weather interferes, maybe they can pop in to help lol Happy holidays to you and yours, Dr. Skov. Thanks again for all your dedication and giving us the gift of information all year long 💗

[@Sksk27547]

I think he has died already. That summer of 1997 or 98, when he went to Los Angeles, California. They were recording 125 degrees and higher. Hilarious 😂

[@leilaniunger1528]

Thank you ! Happy holidays!😊

[@craignehring]

Thank you for the information You are REALLY good at this Have a wonderful Christmas and a fantastic new year

[@gregsmith1116]

Thank you so much for these forecasts!

[@larrysernyk6154]

Thanks Dr Skov! II really appreciate your space weather updates. I have gone through a number of solar maxima in my life, but this is the first solar maximum that I am so engaged in space weather. I really enjoyed your Millersville University class SWEN 571 and just got approval to register for SWEN 572. Merry Christmas!!

[@TamithaSkov]

Aww! I love to hear this! Thanks for being such a fantastic student, btw. I look forward to seeing you next semester.

[@okiejammer2736]

Dang. SO glad I subscribed to this informative channel. Thank you.

[@lonihollenbeck4654]

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays to you and yours, Dr. Tamitha, and thank you for bringing all of this information to us.

[@michellenyre]

Thank you and your team!

[@parry3231]

Thanks for your help in understanding the situation of our planetary influences with the relationship with the sun's activities. May we all have the opportunity to experience peace and harmony in our lives together and with the love of our souls yearning for a new understanding that is needed for our joyful journey on Earth. ❤We all deserve love and kindness in our lives. Peace begins in each of us. ❤Have a blessed New Year with joyous celebration and love to guide us through this process of learning and transformational energies in place of stagnation and ugly fearful thoughts and feelings. Be present and untouched by the circumstances that surround us. Be generous of heart ♥ Delight in the mystery moment by moment. ❤

[@jay1bad4u]

My Space Weather Lady!!.Merry Christmas Sweetie!!!

[@micolsen9824]

Beautiful report. Thanks.

[@gerardfleming7436]

Happy Christmas to you all from Ireland

[@cornbread-KO5RN]

FROM OUR AMATEUR RADIO SHACK THANKS AND HAPPY HOLIDAYS 🎄🦌

[@sc2543]

Thanks Tamathia .. Merry Christmas 🎄 🌎⚡️🌛🌞⚡️🌍

[@jonathonstorjohann9030]

Hi Dr. Tamitha. Merry Christmas!

[@heidijungovic4762]

Merry Christmas Tamitha!! Your hair looks great!!

[@TamithaSkov]

Thanks Heidi, that is kind of you to say. So great to see you here!

[@cqdx9914]

Thanks again. Merry Christmas and,,,,,,,,,, 73 from WE8HNT

[@jay1bad4u]

Area 3528 looks like a tadpole looks like a wake behind it

[@karenfiggins7808]

Thank you and Merry Christmas! (Merry and bright 🌞) 🌌😊

[@gregwilkin6565]

Thank you for the update. :)

[@jeffreywyke368]

Hi, "Sun-Godess!" lol You are amazing. Merry Christmas and Happy New Solar Year!! 🤪😁😂

[@Shelly72042]

Hello Everyone! Thank You

[@graemedevine9651]

Thanks Tammy, much love from Ireland.

[@juliomedina7795]

While listening to the radio heard someone say radio black and mediately nothing on any channel ❤

[@WildAlchemicalSpirit]

Thank you so much, Tamitha. I love the Christmas graphics you threw in. Nice touch. Also, your sweater looks really nice but also comfy and I love the color. Just thought I'd mention. Many blessings to you! 🌞💫✨

[@TamithaSkov]

Thanks for that! I wanted to dress in a festive way for this one. Hope you and yours have a great holiday!

[@WildAlchemicalSpirit]

@@TamithaSkov yes, I also noticed that you chose the green sun to compliment the sweater in the beginning. Certainly festive. I love it! I have a background in art and am a lover of colors, so I notice little things like that and appreciate it. 🌞✨ Happy Holidays to you as well! 💕

[@metalhalokj7vzy164]

Thank you Dr. Skov, Wonderful space weather news again Tamitha😎

[@Antique803]

Merry Christmas SWW! You are the bomb of all space weather forecasters! I keep hoping I’ll get lucky…and see some amazing space weather!

[@jay1bad4u]

She is Awesome... That filament looks like a tadpole swimming around

[@acestudioscouk-Ace-G0ACE]

Thanks for all your work throughout the year. I wish you an yours the very best Season's Greetings. 👋🎄

[@donnagarcia4541]

When Tamitha come out with a video, we are sure to watch!! She is my go to gal FIRST always. Merry Christmas everyone 🎄❤️

[@texasflashcoveinstaller4317]

“Dark and active” 👄

[@colinmartin1522]

Thank you Tamitha for all that you have done this year it has been very much appreciatred and the information disseminated has been outstanding. All my best wishes for the holidays and continued success for 2024 and of cause many more subscribers 🎁❤✨

[@walteredwards544]

Very nice. I could tell there was improvement, especially in the SFI because I've been making some great DX contacts (POTA with a station in Spain) as well as some (NVIS contacts on 80 meters) with a short EFHW antenna on only 20 Watts. Still lots of fading but it's still workable. Thank you for the heads up. Cheers and have a Merry Christmas and the best New Year ever. ❤️73's from KN4MXZ 🙏🏾✔️💯🎯

[@madmoe1]

EA1BUL?

[@carlospenalver8721]

Sometimes I wonder if an ancient depiction of a comet was actually a representation of an enormous eruption on the sun that would look like a comet. Something like that should cause calamity on earth even if it wasn’t earth directed since our solar system not only goes around the sun but follows it . Anyone who seen that video “ this is how our solar system really moves “ showing our planets are also trailing the suns gravitational track.

[@TamithaSkov]

Likely not. The reason why is because these comets are typically icy (solid) bodies where the Sun can only send plasma, mainly in the form of hydrogen and helium. It is too young a star to create the heavier elements that make up solid bodies in abundance yet. Plus everything is too hot to form molecules required for solid body ejections. Hope this helps.

[@blobrana8515]

It would be unlikely; but perhaps be visible during a solar eclipse. Also very large sunspots could possibly be seen.

[@jay1bad4u]

At this point.. anything possible!!!!

[@carlospenalver8721]

@@TamithaSkov yes, thanks

[@carlospenalver8721]

@@jay1bad4u Tabitha made a good point, still I believe what we are only capable of observing even with all the instruments aimed at our sun is not viewing the actual surface. Our star could have layers and beyond its equivalent to earths exosphere where sunspots are detectable like our clouds, beneath that the sun could have yet to be seen thermosphere which is it’s sky on fire and we have yet to verify its other layers such as a mesosphere and unknown amounts of layers like a troposphere. All we relate to the sun are the layers of its most outer limits like ours before fading into space.

[@DickBal]

thanks for the update, very much appreciated!

[@jay1bad4u]

All clear 4 now...

[@moiragoldsmith7052]

Thanks! I appreciate Santa and his reindeers transiting the graphs too😂. Happy everything folks. 🥳

[@wshanney]

Thanks for the great information. Happy Holidays!

[@jay1bad4u]

What happened?? To X flare ...haha it disappeared..How that happen Hmmmmm..Friends in high places..BET

[@RobertTKlaus]

Merry Christmas, and a happy new year to you and yours.

[@rickypsencik5947]

Great video and have a wonderful Merry Christmas. 🎄

[@avonneave2131]

Greetings and Merry Christmas Dr, all the best regards from here on the West Coast side of Australia 🌏🎄🙏🖖🤟🇦🇺🐨👽

[@elkabong6429]

Always a comprehensive, yet understandable explanation, which is why we watch Dr. Skov!

[@BobtheTraveler-WD8NVN]

Thanks A Million !!!😃😃😃😃

[@Art_64]

Thank you Tamitha! Merry Christmas!

[@cowboyroyrogers7319]

Tamitha Skov thank you. Please keep up your good work.

[@davidsheffield3551]

merry christmas and a safe new year. thank you for all you do tamitha.

[@gina2553]

Thank you

[@CasaBacon]

thanks for educating us Dr Skov

[@talon0863]

Thanks

[@kirasommers7211]

Never misses

[@sag1970]

Now this is more like it. So good to hear true reporting on these situations on our son and our planet. Thank goodness for truth and Reporting

[@ivanrincon9964]

Thanks Dr.tamitha ,amazing information and updates. Have a MERRY CHRISTMAS, YOU and your beautiful family 🎉

[@jamesweatherspoon950]

God bless you and your work 🙏

[@cecelianieves9776]

Thanks you for your information 🙏👍🌹❣️🌹✨

[@AdrianGroarke]

Happy holidays Dr. Skov, looking forward to 2024 with your Savvy Space Weather News and forecast. Be excellent to each other. Party on!

[@TheMusicHeals.kjhjhhg]

Thank you so much for what you do. Merry Xmass Dr Tamitha Sokv.

[@aw7425]

Thank you Dr. T and all of you have a happy Christmas

[@lestatangel]

Tamitha and Jinni. The Space Weather Babes. 🖤

[@roblake602]

Merry Christmas

[@peaches3472]

Great report! Thanks for the update!!

[@timforrestcet35]

Thanks, Doc! Very Cool! I'm thinking about taking the Millersville University course. Cable TV has been pixelating and freezing yesterday morning and this morning. I knew which sage would be checking out Ol' Sol... :0) MERRY CHRISTMAS TO ALL AND TO ALL A GOOD SPRITE! ;0)

[@GeomagneticEarthWatch]

Thank you Dr. Shov. Hoping Sol remains clam and gives you a break throughout the Christmas break.Merry Christmas.

[@costaverde5945]

Gracias por la información y felices fiestas.

[@johncurrie2949]

Your reports are always a pleasure to watch and I'm learning something new every time you broadcast.. Very appreciative, thank you.

[@marywright4934]

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year. Thank you for sharing your hard work. You are inspiring girls and women to choose jobs in science

[@atomicf.e.v.1015]

I feel like the intro seems a little too much like PBS from back in the 90's 😂

[@Vetfather]

Thank You Great Reporting & Updates , etc .

[@josephanthonyruiz312]

Just. Love..this..lady

[@hawaii50th]

I just love it with what has been going on with our Sun, so far winter North of the 49th parallel has been nice and mild.

[@Joe-KN4IFI]

Thank you Dr Skov for all your hard work. I hope you and your family have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year. 73 Joe

[@morgan-5171]

Thanks for sharing doc. Merry Christmas.

[@paulburick1506]

Merciless solar orb.!😮

[@haraldlonn898]

Love your reports on the sun. For over 50 years I have known about sunspots but never got a handle on why and how some sunspots affect more than others. Thanks.

[@Frank009-fl]

Great video. Regards from the Netherlands..and merry christmass to everyone🎄✨️🎉

[@phila3884]

Dr. Tamitha, can you add a visible-light sunspot animation slide, especially during these periods of increased activity?

[@RobStuartJR]

I never heard of a hot longitude. I wish I knew what that means.

[@TamithaSkov]

It means there is some subsurface activity like Rossby waves ongoing at that particular longitude on the Sun, which can cause magnetic flux emergence. This means sunspot clusters that cross over these regions can begin growing quite quickly and become unstable. Often times, new sunspots can emerge at these longitude as well. All of this means flare potential increases when the spots cross through these areas. Hence the phrase "hot longitudes."

[@caroll.higginson4195]

Unfortunately I live in North. CA. TODAY, I went outdoors to do chores. The rays from the sun are so intense, I had to go.inside I am 71 years old. I have never experienced these scary heat waves, until today.

[@jayd8935]

Nice to see that Santa will have a safe FL360 region over the poles. Although I hope he has backup navigation to help him through any GPS black spots. - Thank you Dr Skov, as always.

[@JosephAnthonyJosefius]

Thanks for another great report! 73 de AI5DD

[@willowsloughdx]

It's good to hear from you again! The near 200 SFU propagation is great for DXing shortwave broadcasters like XEPPM and Radio Thailand World Service. I'm a happy listener.

[@TheCosmicGuy0111]

Woah

[@Sksk27547]

At anytime, any of us can be fried. Thats the truth and scary to think about.

[@TamithaSkov]

But not likely. Remember, this is still just weather. Not every rainstorm is a hurricane, just like not every solar storm is a super storm or Carrington event.

[@REVerse96]

Watch out Santa clause there's nowhere to run this Christmas year we have full moon on our side now🔭🦌🦌🦌🎅

[@morgan-5171]

Excellent ill let santa know. 😳

[@darthstarone3532]

💪🌞🎸 KILLA 🎸👻

[@guppy0536]

Never been this early before 😂😂

[@multilecful]

Tamitha, my 5 year old wants to know if it would be possible to see Santa and his reindeer coming? You started it, so im asking her question. Enjoy your work.

[@Jiminico]

When will Stereo A become more useful again? ..meaning not looking at the sun from our earth view.

[@TamithaSkov]

Probably in about a year from now.

[@wendykudronowicz4592]

Wounder if Santa and or his team watch you

[@richard-cf8ce]

All right it's five below zero here in Fairbanks Alaska maybe this will give us some more global warming. 😅

[@remymccoy6078]

🙏 🕊️⚡

[@jeev4divine]

12-29-23, Dr Skov will the earth-facing coronal hole have significant impact in predicted 3 days to reach earth? It appears to be large hole! Happy New Year and thank you for precise space weather reports.

[@TamithaSkov]

Yes, it will have a short-lived impact over 24 hours. I am working on a forecast now and should have it available this afternoon on Patreon and tomorrow morning here on YT.

[@jeev4divine]

​@@TamithaSkovThank you. And thanks for updates!

[@wanakabob7938]

The sun seems more active than the end of the last max, do you think this cycle will continue to more active into 2025 or that it will end early?

[@gerartsmith]

👍