UK Elections - Exit Poll Stream

The polls are closed and we're waiting for the exit polls to be released from their London bunker. Just how big will the change look like? Will also be discussing the major features of the campaign, and answering questions from channel members.
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[@memebump7612]

Looks as if a quarter of the country is still voting Conservative after everything they've done. Its maddening.

[@cjwhiterabbit1]

Dumb, Ignorant & Racist is still unfortunately & will continue to be a thing ... but enough people woke up ( n no inference to "woke-ism" ) and saw the lies and scam and contempt that they been sold and treated with ...

[@92Rafay]

Racists man. They're everywhere sadly

[@brentmeistergeneral1054]

Sorry you just reminded me of this classic spitting image clip 😂 kzbin.info/www/bejne/jpy0e3V_qMh-Z7csi=ELilEvc7hN1TYpti

[@conscienceaginBlackadder]

some of them been shy in the polling. always more of them than will say so

[@MrManBuzz]

It's mostly the well off and older voters who are established and comfortable and thus lately insulated from the damage the Tories caused. What's more troubling to me is how many votes Reform UK have appeared to have gotten.

[@hplovecraft3514]

The Tories will tear themselves apart now. Finally a benefit of Brexit. Oh well, "Things can only get Bitter"

[@aaronaaronson7600]

Watched this channel since the eve of the election in 2019. Its great to be here.

[@boltzmail8805]

Oh thank god. So glad the tories are finally out

[@iainawatson]

Anyone complaining about how disappointing this result is needs to go outside and do nothing but touch grass for the next five years.

[@SirWhig-esq.]

Cheers all 🥂

[@robinstevenson6690]

The results may seem slightly disappointing, but remember: IT WASN'T ALL THAT LONG AGO THAT YOU WERE HOPING, BEYOND HOPE, THAT A LABOUR-LED COALITION GOV'T COULD UNSEAT THE TORIES.

[@thedealermusic]

This is true - and within one term too.

[@WLLCHRIS2]

lol all Reform bots 🤖 wondering why they didn’t win 😂 poor fellas not used to real democracy

[@cjwhiterabbit1]

DING DONG THE GRIFT IS DEAD

[@gregfate]

After the horror of the last 5 years- brexit covid johnson truss I welcome a fresh start and a chance to hopefully do something for the people who deserve the government's help- the workers the doctors the shop assistants the backbone of society❤❤❤

[@mynameisnobody5295]

If BinFace won Sunaks seat does that mean he as to remove his mask in Parliment? He used a mathmatic correct bar charts that so many flyier used bad bar charts. This was help by a mathematician. Binface is guaranteed to increase his vote in Richmond.

[@wolfen210959]

The Tories, despite their worst result ever, will be boasting that they haven't performed as badly as most people predicted. However, the bloodletting is going to be epic, seeing as many "one nation" Tories will have kept their seats, and will be pointing their fingers at the extreme right of the party.

[@dianeshelton9592]

I hope but I fear the right of the party will look at the Reform vote and consider those votes as recoverable.

[@bonariablackie4047]

The Tories may get more than 100 seats. Which is profoundly disappointing. Tory voters should be named and shamed.

[@apizone1]

no not "profoundly disappointing"... the Tories under 100 seats was a just stretch goal..... this is a huge celebration UTTER Destruction of the Brexit based vote from the last election .. \

[@veronicamaine3813]

Come on - you're better than that - you can't shame someone for voting how they want. The Tories are what they are, but their hardly the N*zis..

[@NickRothman1980]

Politics is indeed in a strange place Phil if a 170 majority is disappointing! 🤔

[@apizone1]

YES YES YES ... that is the main game ... we got the whole cereal packet .. just missed out on the promotional toy

[@highdownmartin]

@@apizone1the cereal is past it’s sell by date. The fresh nutritious box had the libdems in second.

[@zlamanit]

The majority is one thing, what’s worse is that it came from only just over 1/3 of votes. Conservatives and Reform together have more than Labour. What does that tell you about voters?

[@NickRothman1980]

The same as it always said about the Lab and Lib Dem votes when the Tories won. Yeah, the system's crap, but there has been 14 years to avoid this- the Tories chose not to change it and now they suffer the consequences! In FPTP the vote share doesn't mean a thing, which has been obvious over many elections, but you can only play on the pitch that is infront of you. Both Labour and the Lib Dems collective tactical vote share was 47%, more than the 39% of Tory and Reform together. So your point is irrelevant and also false.

[@MrJohnnyjinx]

Congratulations Phil and Labour. You did all you could, so enjoy the win :)

[@helgasaintpierre9809]

In 1993 the then Canadian PM Mulroney (he of the Irish eyes sung with Reagan) held on to only 2 seats out of 295 in the Parliament . They actually lost their status as an official Party for at least 2 election cycles. I can only wish the same on this lot.

[@henrimichelpierreplana4332]

Way to go UK. At least someone is voting the goid way in europe this week..

[@martinahardaker8739]

Landslide...was hoping for an avalanche. 410 Labour seats but still ToryBBC trying to put a Tory slant on it..Wes Streeting was having none of it, telling them..."Give me a break..we're heading for a landslide.."

[@johndonson1603]

Landslide? With 36 % of the vote , the voting system urgently needs an overhaul, time for PR .

[@teddypicker8799]

Where did you find the exit poll popular vote?​

[@teddypicker8799]

​@@johndonson1603can't find it on this stream or anywhere else

[@milancontra8215]

Still hoping for a big miss and the Tories are lower with boundary changes and tactical voting.........

[@martinwyke]

Sunderland - Labour hold JRM sulking on BBC 🤣

[@PedroStephano]

Glroious. He can sulk into oblivion.

[@maxine2798]

It’s a brexit area and reform did worryingly well.

[@Andy-xt3mh]

I live in one of the 80 seats and the bar fly said he'd never seen so many voting

[@purplemonkeydishwasher5269]

Whatever the result Grayling and Coffee are going to the Lords. Talk about failing upwards!!

[@jamesedwards7241]

19:00hrs, voted and asked how things were going. shown evidence that that station was running at an average of 250 per hour when for the last election they only had 250 during the whole day. Something has changed this time around.

[@danburke6568]

PR will not ever be come in with Labour or Tories....it would end both of them.

[@snafutube]

Watching from Vancouver BC, 8 hours behind, I should know the result well before my bedtime! …I might feel it’s safe to come back to the uk now, for a while 🎉

[@davidmchale5890]

I wonder what lies Rishi will tell us in his resignation speech

[@johnhobbes2268]

As a longtime viewer from Germany. Congratulations, finally things can start to get better. Even if your channel might become less exciting.

[@PricelessJesus]

❤ LABOUR

[@janeteholmes]

Voter ID should be abolished. It’s a con.

[@CerdicTheGreat]

I remember how Labour in 1997 abandonned serious electoral reform. What did we get? A few less hereditary Lords... I hope Labour do not forget how they failed us then.

[@robinstevenson6690]

Another "silver lining:" If a proportional representation system were in place, Labour would only have ~40% of the MPs (the Tories and Reform combined would have ~35% of the MPs).

[@GrubStLodger]

I knew there was something wrong with the reform vote when I talked to two young teachers in their twenties and they both wanted to vote for them.

[@evelynwoolston7]

Just watched on BBC Liz Truss losing in Tory safe seat Kings Lynn. They completely cut away from the Labour winner's speech for a long chat with James Cleverly then cut back to film Liz Truss walking away without giving a speech. And that was it!

[@JMOP1715]

My thoughts are that LibDem should go in with Labour for a Super Majority to keep the Tories and Reform completely out of any power.

[@joshuaparrott2458]

I'm disappointed. Instant reaction

[@johndonson1603]

Labour on 36% vote share , Libs on 9% . = 45% conservatives on 26% , Reform on 17% = 43% Even after 14 years the left vote share is only just ahead , time for PR .

[@dianeshelton9592]

With such a huge majority Labour can get everything done without needing to beholden to anyone else . Adding up , conservatives, Lib Dem’s, Reform and Conservatives as opposition to anything Labour would do they have enough votes to do it regardless. By the way there is no such thing as a supermajority in our system of voting, 51% of the share of seats in government mean to have a majority. Whether is a workable majority or not is the issue, and Johnson with his 80 seat lead did everything he wanted and no one talked about a supermajority.. Talk of. Supermajority is invented Right wing scare mongering . Don’t fall for it.

[@theflatusnauts1217]

That's not how British politics works

[@paulembleton1733]

@@dianeshelton9592 What is really meant is a majority that even internal party dissent can’t upset. Parliamentary opposition to the government is made near impossible. Labour’s decision re Iraq war an example consequence.

[@nedkelly1855]

Thank you, I took your advice and my neighbours and daughter voted and my friends and I posted and countered on our local Facebook site, We did it here in Tewkesbury and didn’t need the Reform split, again thank you so much 🥳

[@lordbaconn6591]

And yet my area still returned a Tory candidate I’m so done 😭

[@tomrees4812]

Yvette Cooper won😀

[@ADifferentBias]

Yes, by some margin. Exit poll got Reform's vote in Labour areas badly wrong.

[@w47w]

So Junker answered (04.07.24) that Great Britain can come back into the EU. A really nice gesture that has a lot to it. Junker said it bluntly as a receipt from Great Britain for Farage and Co. as to what they can expect from the EU in the future, nothing for now. In 100-200 years it will say everything, Great Britain will stay out forever! This should also be a reckoning for de Gaulle's statement at the time! Labour has been the driving anti-EU force in Great Britain since the 1970s! You can imagine what antipathy the politicians in the EU Parliament have towards Great Britain! A really crass statement from the EU!

[@Oluinneachain]

18 of the “other” are Northern Ireland.

[@fallenfossl]

52:30 your hopes came true! Liz , penny, rees mogg, all gone 😂 wooo I know jenrick and hunt got through but this is still good

[@ianmontgomery7534]

The worse thing about the result is that despite Rees-Mogg losing his seat Farrag won his.

[@suedavenport8208]

Please can we have access to your background badgers? Pretty please with cherries?

[@daviddolan9839]

I think it was a bit ambitious to expect the the Conservatives to come in at less than 100

[@robinstevenson6690]

This result is better than 1997 (T: 166 (-35), LD: 46 (+15)). The Labour's margin over the Tories is higher, too: (253 in 1997, 279 in current exit poll)

[@davebell4917]

I am wondering who should get the credit for the background picture. I like it. Like Exit Polls, it's not quite reality.

[@Ladynipchick2]

Point for comfort. Bet many of the conservative vote won't be around at the next election.

[@tx0h]

congrats!

[@pabloblancogil7006]

Apparently that eas some countries think about UK... You all can say which country

[@janereid100]

Just watched BBC this morning, they claim that it's the lowest turnout of voters, think that the photo ID has had an effect, along with voters being sick of the slanging match between the different parties.

[@kye4216]

It’s far more likely it’s just that most people knew it was a labour win so didn’t bother going.

[@paulembleton1733]

Sceptical of the prediction for Reform. A significant number of votes yes, but FPTP and we’re also electing constituency MPs.

[@MrSensible2]

Maybe it's not THE Portillo moment but to see my MP, Ranil Jayawardena (North East Hampshire) bounced by the Lib Dems is a fantastic result! He was Trussite through & through & could conceivably have been a future Tory leader. He will not be missed...

[@Ladynipchick2]

Nite Phil.

[@HeinzBecker-ih5fv]

Sekunden Oh shit… We are only the the fly on the wall documentary film crew…. …… ….. chrrrrrrr.

[@psychonaughtthoughts1494]

The only thing I care about with ‘others’, is whether Count BinFace actually defeated Rishi????

[@HeinzBecker-ih5fv]

Oh shit… We are only the the fly on the wall film crew…. …… ….. chrrrrrrr.

[@jovianr9498]

I really wish people like Phil Moorhouse would learn some economics #MMT.

[@chrismurray3224]

And good riddance !! 😂

[@zebraforceone]

I feel dirty saying it but THANK YOU REFORM WE COULDN'T HAVE DONE IT WITHOUT YOU LOOOOOLLLLL

[@MsDembones]

What do you think of the huge support Reform seem to have I the north?

[@ADifferentBias]

Populism feeds on deprivation. Improve people's lives, and you break their hold

[@thedealermusic]

@@ADifferentBiasand - and no one is saying this - you need to create a different narrative about immigration - you can’t accept Farage’s line about it, because that is to assume he is correct which is dangerous. Offer a better, more positive alternative

[@fs6688]

@@thedealermusic I wish Labour would do this and actually tell the truth that immigration is a benefit to the county, not some evil that causes all of our problems

[@DavisJ-ln6fw]

@@thedealermusic He won't accept it because it's steaming load of shit

[@paulembleton1733]

I didn’t vote Labour but I’ll give the benefit of the doubt. ID appeared no problem here compared to last time. Corbyn Labour 40% of votes in 2017. Has to be a caveat if Starmer Labour gets less.

[@russbroda7207]

What happened to the host’s face ? How many assailants did he face down ? Please say .

[@AM-fs1je]

Had a wee bit of surgery.

[@elcastorgrande]

The tacticals didn't bring it off.

[@ADifferentBias]

The tactical vote was immense, but not quite enough to crush the Tories. It has accounted for a lot of Labour and Lib Dem gains though, as well as a Green.

[@seanfitzpatrick7441]

blaming people like owen jones for this (relatively) low result it wrong. You can sit and talk about underpromise and overdeliver all you want, but when you massively underpromise then you get this result. And people have been saying they are not inspired by labour for months now, but they/you only doubled down. This is not anyone elses fault other than labours. And you talk about Duncan Smith and saying that is also the progressives fault, but they wouldn't have campaigned against labour if labour hadn't kicked out Faiza. That is again, labours fault. You talk about progressives being nasty but you are just completely gaslighting everyone because you don't want to blame labour for its own mistakes. That is EXACTLY the same as the right.

[@Andy-xt3mh]

I really don't like Cooper she is the only politician that I have sent an email to apologise as I felt that honorably was too much to expect from Amber Rudd.

[@jabruna]

Tories ended up 119

[@michaelmouse4024]

Farage is not going to be PM. He's 1 of 4... Leader of a party that could fit into a mini 🚙 😅...

[@garyarnold3141]

Hi

[@swanvictor887]

Appalling turnout numbers. I think it's time for Compulsory Voting. For those who didn't vote or spoiled your paper....from now on....KEEP YOUR EFFING MOUTH SHUT about Labour. YOU HAVE NO RIGHT TO COMPLAIN.

[@EXCLMaker]

I guess it's ultimately not surprising that Labour underperformed with how underwhelming Starmer is as a leader. He simply is not inspirational or charismatic like Blair was in 1997. What's interesting, if this exit poll is right, is that Tories got their worst result but avoided total wipeout while Reform actually got more seats than expected, which suggests the right-wing of the electorate still remains a formidable political force. It'll take a while for them to rebuild from this shellacking, but the Tories are mostly definitely not relegated to the dustbin of history as hoped.

[@MrManBuzz]

Phil is a Labour shill. He's admitted as much himself. He's been nowhere near critical enough of Starmer as is warranted. Starmer is totally uninspiring. We'll see if he can deliver, he'll have to or he won't get a second term because he won't have the charisma to win another election, it'll have to be won on demonstrable results.

[@n00dl3]

I'll be honest, I think if Starmer's personality was the reason you voted Tory, then you're a fool. The reason for this result is simply that there is a quiet contingent of the voting population who oppose progressive change.

[@MrManBuzz]

@@n00dl3 Starmers lack of personality is a problem. There's plenty of people who are swayed by personality. It's how Johnson won. You may have a well thought out political position based on sound reasoning, but at the end of the day your vote is worth the same amount as someone who made their mind up on the day and voted for someone who made them laugh. That's democracy. Labour have won this election less because of what they've done and more because of Reform UK and the Tories running out of road.

[@fs6688]

This is not underperforming. Get a grip

[@kevinferris3007]

Ding dong the witch is dead

[@simonlongley6387]

Whilst the first two results have come out in Labour's favour, I expect the Reform results there will give the incoming Government pause about PR...

[@slightlyconfused876]

Something needs to be done about the pro Gaza mob, and I use the word deliberately. We don't do intimidation of canvassers in the UK, if they can't follow the rules they need to be made to.

[@danburke6568]

Labour has changed, no longer backed by unions but think tanks and mega rich donor's. What have they sold for those millions?

[@tomsheppard378]

Need to wait for the results before jump to conclusions. Rishi could still get a small majority

[@johndonson1603]

Labour still only managed around 36% of the vote Reform managed nearly 18% after 4 weeks campaigning , it just shows how ridiculous our voting system is , Labour on 400 odd seats with just over 1/3 of the vote , completely ridiculous.

[@snafutube]

Welcome to the world of the centre/left (Labour/greens/lib dems/Welsh & scots nats)… which has won the popular vote over the Tories and fascists(reform, ukip, brexshit party, NF, bnp, etc) in just about every election since ww2 but not been in power more than a third of that time.

[@matthewstokes1608]

Faked

[@rcud1]

I have no sympathy for Britain after they made Rishi Sunak PM. Now country is really going to be screwed.

[@BluCat86]

Literally no one voted for him…

[@brianferguson7840]

AND THEY THINK IT'S ALL OVER !🫣 WELL IT IS NOW !😂 FOR THE TORIES. 🪦