Australia: Downpours to track eastwards into VIC and NSW

[@GeorgeMcphillips-v6n]

The only forecast worth watching 👍👍👍

[@aidanquick3151]

Our beekeeping operation is managed more efficiently because of this channel, makes it easier to plan jobs, thank you, its like a force multiplier.

[@ktbaggins9445]

Thanks Phil You're doing a brilliant job

[@hahaha9076]

It really is mind-blowing how accurate it is.

[@colinmeehan791]

Unlike BOM.

[@supalesz1708]

"Hit and miss" works for us Aussies. Thanks

[@MareelawrenceLawrence]

Thanks Phil..you do a top job of forecasting!!!...from Cairns

[@guestatlestrand]

Mindblowing, indeed. Thank you Phil from Central Victoria

[@kenfowler1980]

People who complain just don't understand the science! Great report mate!

[@WeatherWatchTV]

To be fair they usually believe in chemtrails and the earth being flat, so you might be on to something! :) And thanks!

[@kenfowler1980]

@@WeatherWatchTV :)

[@annepenny2809]

Thankyou Phil!🙏, I am glad you mentioned "Geoengineering" as it really is a thing.

[@WeatherWatchTV]

It sure is, but it's just not currently doing as much as people like to think it is :)

[@TangoCat303]

Thanks Phil, great info, great presentation, always enjoy

[@JP-se3ti]

Hey Phil, I find your readings that accurate in the law of probabilities that I always click on your reads, you give insigjts into why something is happening as well, some people probably want the winning numbers to lotto too, ah well can't please some, but I'm pleased enough that I can plan my week with your info, great work Phil, power to you, cheers

[@EarlJohn61]

When people asked me to give them a winning lotto ticket... I always ensured the numbers they got were correct... for the previous draw. 😮

[@davidwarland2680]

thanks mate, as always, well done

[@user-ye2ge4zo5lhennypenny]

Thanks Philip we would love some rain 🌧 in Adelaide so very dry!!

[@suej9329]

We live in hope. The expected downpour over the weekend bypassed Adelaide as per usual.

[@WeatherWatchTV]

You have a few chances over the next week or two. But whether or not it amounts to much is still not locked in. Good luck!

[@WeatherWatchTV]

@@suej9329 Such a shame - we hate giving people false hope too.

[@user-ye2ge4zo5lhennypenny]

@WeatherWatchTV ok thanks Philip so sick of this dam heat never ending!! 😑

[@markneil7199]

I can remember when 4 day forecast was big news (good for 2 days). what we have now is amazingly good and getting better consistently. Love the explanations keep it up :)

[@WeatherWatchTV]

Thanks very much for that!

[@Michael-oy3pz]

Thanks Phil and yep we use the term hit and miss as well plus you can’t please everyone with what is forecasted☀️🌧️ ✈️

[@tlb2970]

Thanks Phil 😊

[@truthgardener9983]

The rain is most welcome Phil in Victoria. My garden sure needs it. Love your forecasting. It’s most accurate of all others. Appreciate the effort and can hardly wait until you guys develop an app for Australia!!

[@greencatbird-d3l]

you do a 100% perfect weather forecast

[@WeatherWatchTV]

Wow, what a compliment, thanks!

[@IT-sq5rj]

I have to say, the first map is really great for people that are flying north too. Thanks mate.

[@ComaDave]

I'm not complaining about the accuracy. 👍 Last week's rainfall outlook proved almost spot on here in Geelong. The big line of showers moved through and it rained much more to the NW and SE of us, just as forecast. We got around 12mm.

[@EarlJohn61]

Hi Phil, you remind me of the old joke in my youth (40+ years ago): Q: "What's the only job where you can be wrong 85% of the time & still have a job the following week?" A: " Weather forecasting!" Back then, we were lucky if a forecast went 2 days and the 2nd was a bit hit or miss. NOW you're pushing out to 7 days, some try for 10, and you warn us that the 6th & 7th aren't locked in. That's an amazing improvement in less than ½ a century, and I for one appreciate it. 😊 thanks, and may it snow in your hometown everyday next July.😂😂😂

[@ciannenewborn564]

Your readings of the weather are very clear, not every reader has your communication skills, the BOM in OZ has an insecure web site so I don't trust them..😮😂😂😂

[@ren2ski]

Thanks Phil! Glad we’re starting to dry out in SE Qld nothing but mud last week and a half (ducks LOVE it, the goats HATE it lol)

[@daveozip4326]

I agree Phillip - the accuracy of modern forecasts is amazingly accurate. Those who complain are ignorant of the complexity of the task, and probably misinterpreting the predictions, imagining them to be millimetre accurate. Thanks mate, you do a great job of proving context to the weather…

[@meredythmackinnon-love513]

I love your forecasts Phil. They are way more accurate than our local forecasts, much of the time. Thank you. Hoping we do get some spectacular thunderstorms later this week. 🤞

[@chrispulham4779]

Cheers once again Phil and Crew,,, well ill have to get out my wet gear for bike riding!......Cheers and catchup Thursday......Chris

[@TiddlesTheBearBaiter]

Thanks as always for the great coverage.

[@queenslander954]

Cheers mate , thanks for the rain up in Cairns on the weekend .. we needed it 👊

[@gerrardbutler1212]

Love the job you all do, thank you❤

[@tonyjono2148]

cheers Phil

[@BradleyWellington-gt4ex]

Yes, they use the term 'Hit-and-Miss' in Australia. We use willy willy for dust devils also.

[@lis819]

Brilliant! Thanks :-))

[@Marshland24]

🙏🏻 rain. Only 2ml in last week in Deans Marsh…all the rain went either side of us😢. Thanks for another great report ❤️

[@JulieBarclay-m4s]

Hi Phil didn't get any rain in wallaroo south Australia we need it badly 😮

[@mirighan1407]

to all the people out praising how accurate the forecasts are first of Phil fantastic job you do the same cant be said for the weather bureau back in the 1950s 60s when coastal nsw was having floods the bureau would issue forecasts saying heavy to flood rains none of this possible heavy falls stunt that they say to cover own butt these days so to speak any forecast you see that has the word possible in it is not a forecast of anything.now i might go and possibly get get a drink of tea and whats the difference between partly cloudy or most sunny more double dutch.

[@jennymifsud1436]

No rain for us in Adelaide, we are so dry, I don't know how we are going to get through summer 😢

[@kerriemills1310]

Thank you Phil. 🤩

[@catdog726]

Phil I live in murray bridge SA and we never got any rain over the weekend

[@lmp8932]

I have everything crossed for this band of rain. The last one split and went north and south of us, we had less than enough to cover the bottom of the rain gauge. (SA) And we need it, perhaps next time. You do such a good job, you don't control the weather! 😁

[@chrishutton-ce3ch]

i used to surf the weather is incredibly variable love your work crack on

[@amandagoodman2980]

Thanks for the update Phil, fingers crossed for some rain around Adelaide this week. We certainly got the miss rather than the hit last week. But at least we got to complain, we Aussies love to complain about the weather unless it's Camelot weather 😂

[@Lazy_Tim]

In my life time weather predictions are a lot less hit and miss.

[@cygnusrays]

Phil you said the g word 🙀👍

[@JimmyCall]

Australia's BOM has just upgraded their computing.

[@Insignificatos]

This is lucky Phil

[@danialbaky6854]

We are melting down I. Sydney today 😅

[@prizecowproductions]

Great work Phil, Niece getting married on weekend in Mornington Peninsula region of Port Philip Bay. We might just get away with overcast conditions if i am any form of forcaster myself, (Read Used to offshore sail ) Have a great week watching you again Thirsty Thursday for final confirmation of weekend's weather. Aussie Jeff Moore

[@taipan801]

Phil, with the models showing the SAM predicted to turn neutral/negative (thus not pushing fronts Sth), the low pressure front coming through on your prediction for Sunday could sweep up into Tas, Vic and NSW

[@PWC67]

Brilliant job Phil but you’re just not giving us enough rain in the Mid North of South Australia. 😢 We are soooo dry !!

[@YourreelmemoriesAu]

Yes I’ve noticed in the last few years computer modelling nails it a week out more often than not which is impressive. Sometimes the systems speed up or slow down which slightly affects the timing but generally not the outcome.

[@davidtapp4718]

Still no rain in Adelaide Phil. Last weekend was forecast up to 20mm. We got 1mm. The bush is absolutely tinder dry. Very worried! With regards to weather accuracy, we have come a long way. What annoys me was the boasting the BOM did about their super computer with accurate 4 day forecasts and we are not allowed to know where it is. (They made a big deal about the "secret" location) All this hype about super accuracy but the forecast they give changes every 3 hours for the current day. I can make a forecast using the app tools for the next 3 hours without a supercomputer. Sorry about the rant but if they were more humble with their predictions like you are, I would not be complaining!

[@JanEncounterBay]

Thank you 😊 SA

[@IT-sq5rj]

Ironically, YT has put a translate to English option under your comment😂. Must be a SA thing. But He is a great presenter too!!

[@turningpoint4238]

Nvida are working on a world modeling system using their new Blackwell technology, that should a massive leap in accuracy.

[@melarshall54]

You reckon you could do a 7 day forecast and at the end compare with what actually happened? For interest sake. Love ya videos mate

[@deanpd3402]

A lot of the anger is due to climate alarmism Phil. When we consider the inaccuracies of of short term predictions and then we are told to trust the science for global climate predictions that just do not come about, some of just end up deriding these 'experts'. But, I love your work and your attitude Phil.

[@digiusbuildius]

Did you see the latest prediction on possible sea level rise,lol, that's alarming.

[@bobtis]

Predicting the weather there looks very difficult now that rain in Australia where is that coming from? Is it a low pressure? Is it tropical? It's hard for me to tell that. I understand it's not that easy to explain. I just find it so so interesting.

[@mickybees8239]

Geo engineering (chemtrails) ☁️💨☠️ ✈️

[@danielillingworth8064]

Next update 2/12/24

[@juliewilliams489]

Totaly aree. Accuracy is great for planatary systems that are changing.

[@geoffmccoll4640]

From Torrington NSW 2371

[@roddyscott9498]

After this mini heat wave we're gunna need a few showers to cool down.

[@pecelirovucago7149]

Vinaka Phil !

[@davidunwin7868]

Phil, hit and miss is used in Aus. Also, when you fly from Sydney to LA, you arrive before you departed, not 10 minutes later. 🤯 🤔 😆

[@tallatee1962]

Yes, we do Phil

[@LilijanaStride]

👍👍👍❤️👍👌👌👌👍

[@bobtis]

Don't take it personally

[@anserbauer309]

At the risk of appearing ungrateful at meteorologists' attempts at predicting rainfall in South West Victoria, I'm wondering if you know why they have gotten so bad at it in recent years (other than the obvious "climate change" broad answer)? I've lived here on and off for nearly 50 years and have always been able to rely on the BOM to get it mostly right within about 5mm; but the last few years have been so wildly inaccurate at long, medium and short-term rainfall forecasting it's functionally useless. It's as though the region has become a huge rain shadow. I get more reliable results from looking at the lowest whole number predicted (eg 0-15mm would have the lowest whole number of 1), halve that and add 0.2mm. 9 times out of 10 that gets me closer to the actual rainfall.... within 2mm.... than even halfway betweet the BOM's ridiculously broad forecast. Why aren't the models working?

[@MalcolmRoss-c3b]

Phil I would be very interested on your opinion of how much Geotechnical engineering is affecting our weather. Certainly there is an enormous amount of interference happening in the northern hemisphere. It is very obvious from the cloud formations and the amount of chemtrails. There are so many different agencies playing with our weather using different techniques.

[@AnimationNotEpic2]

Cyclone when?

[@bobtis]

Are your thunder storms as violent as in the US in our spring. Is that the issue in Australia

[@prizecowproductions]

Our Thunderstorms very depending on location. Australia like America are vastly huge countries. But the principle is the same except your cool air moisture laden lows come out of the North of Canada down alongside the Mountains you call the Rockys then into the flat warm dry air High areas like the Texas Plains. This causes your cyclonic or what you may call twisters as weather patterns. In certain areas. We on the other hand most of our cyclones brew up in the tropics Asia New Guinea Tonga and the like then drop down onto our land mass. There have been studies where planes specifically engineered to fly through some of these Thunderheads which can rise in elevation between 3000 and 10,000 metres approx 30,000 feet there intensity is greater because the pressure difference between high and low weather patterns. Where I live around the Snowy Mountains we get a pattern of mostly westerly pressure systems coming up to the Great Dividing Range and where the pressure systems are pushed up in elevation to clear the range which produces on occasions downpours, if the pressures are strong enough they might have Thunderstorms as a consequence of Extremely dry warm air pushing up against a slow cool moisture laden low. If you watch this video again, look at the bottom of the screen and you will see Antarctica a ways off where as your continent is much closer to the Artic polar region hence the intensity of your weather that produces your storms and Tornadoes. We in our part of Australia are sitting in what I would a Goldilocks zone 4 distinct seasons. I hope this helps you. Aussie Jeff Moore

[@bobtis]

@@prizecowproductions Thank you. I love learning about the weather. I will look at this video again. The Land down under is fasinating

[@roddyscott9498]

I would say YES. Aussie storms have always packed a heavy punch. Especially the summer 6pm storms that roll in November to Feb.

[@geoffmccoll4640]

Will Taiwanese umbrella protect me during the next 6 days?

[@biggles1024]

Please turn the tap off, Phil. I'm wet enough. :(

[@marktanska6331]

I was little disappointed with last weeks forecast and the proper rain we were supposed to get in Adelaide. Hope you are not getting your data from BOM

[@HelixRsix]

Yes there rain amounts predicting thing is getting wider and wider it’s gone from 5/10mm to 3/15 or even 3/20 mm this is just lazy

[@Koroitopal]

When will you do a show on the geoengineering that you mentioned?, you said thats a discussion for another day! Im concerned that the technology to manipulate the weather is so advanced that at best its a deralict of duty for the scientists to not be controlling it for our benefit, and at worst nepharious bad actors are controlling it for a pollitical agenda, ie- climate change, could you please adress that technology?

[@ezlow1065]

checkout Dane Wiginton he's been right into it for many years 😉

[@Koroitopal]

@ezlow1065 yes Dane is at the forefront of exposing it but im really tired of being taken as a fool for asking the simple questions whilst intelligent people in positions of influence allude to the existance of the agenda yet never follow through with the deep dive into it. We are in west qld, we need rain so bad and all the properties are being bought up by huge carbon companies that are in on the scam clearly and all the towns and citizens suffer needlessly. I love having Phil do these weather reports the way he does, for us, weather dictates our lives out here. But i know Phil will not touch this subject for the same reasons nobody else does.

[@LilijanaStride]

Bring the rain to Outer Melbourne … we’re so dry!!

[@GraemeCoulter]

Why did you send so much rain to my place? I'm sure that it's your fault. What can one do apart from keep trying?

[@jordankokolis]

Complaining just tells me they are flat earthers 🤦

[@micktre7608]

LOL "Hit and miss" is rhyming slang for taking a pis

[@stevencarter7031]

We want sunshine in Victoria..its glumey

[@ezlow1065]

💚👍wwteam. Northern rivers nsw