What a Russian assault on Ukraine would look like

[@CaspianReport]

Go to curiositystream.thld.co/caspian_0122b and use code CASPIAN to save 25% off today, that’s only $14.99 a year. Thanks to Curiosity Stream for sponsoring today’s video

[@StarKillerSK]

This new type of animation is killer man 🔶🔶 Keep up 🤘🤘🤘

[@danhandshoe]

Please consider joining Nebula. I would love to see your videos on there.

[@ThePresentation010]

Thank you. Been waiting for you to do a vid on this

[@antdx316]

Maybe if we all just ignore how broken the world is perhaps it would be normal? It doesn't matter if other countries and people are getting screwed over by the infinite US money pump, they should just be angry quietly , not fight back against the cheating, and earn all that money by being America's slaves.

[@igbalmammadov9899]

Shirvan just threw an atomic bomb in comment section.

[@harryloo8544]

"In war you can only be killed once, but in politics you can die many times over" Great quote.

[@ChrisJohannsen]

Winston Churchill quote, not shirvan

[@NgolaNalane]

@@ChrisJohannsen he's didn't say it's a quote from shirvan

[@ChrisJohannsen]

@@NgolaNalane I didn't say he did.

[@TheTariqibnziyad]

Russia disagrees, they die multiple times in war

[@davidmorris3981]

@@ChrisJohannsen I think Churchill must have been chanelling Shakespeare "The coward dies many times before his death, but the valient will taste of death but once."

[@GregCeballos]

Shirvan: the Russian forces will go around Chernobyl Russian forces: hold our beer, we're digging trenches in the irradiated soil

[@dinsel9691]

😂😂😂😂😂

[@Artificial-Stupidity]

😂

[@ChobeVelyasha]

Yeah western news said it and we all gonna believe them

[@WaleedHiggins]

Very clever. I think you gave more thought to the invasion than the Russians did.

[@Edax_Royeaux]

From what I've heard, Russian soldiers were told that driving into Ukraine was part of a military exercise and they were not anticipating being shot at.

[@Vinzenzx]

@@Edax_Royeaux You can't be that naive right?

[@Vinzenzx]

Dude... it's been more than 1 month how you don't know what was Russia goal? lol

[@Edax_Royeaux]

@@Vinzenzx I told you what I heard, I didn't make any judgement or assertion. So please read more carefully and stop throwing around insults so baselessly.

[@Vinzenzx]

@@Edax_Royeaux Being naive is not a insult my friend, sorry if you got ofended by it. If you don't know about what is happening don't go around with "I heard, that this and this and that".

[@ChRW123]

I had to laugh when you mentioned that they would need to avoid the area of Chernobyl. It would have been a reasonable approach if you cared about your peaople yet the Russians decided to dig trenches in the "red forest".

[@kyle18934]

nothing like that fine dust to keep ya warm at night

[@bobs_toys]

@@kyle18934 It provides a good source of light as well. Any soldiers who are afraid of the dark had a comforting glow coming from their trench walls.

[@kyle18934]

@@bobs_toys nothing like the soft warm glow to help soldires sleep at night

[@bobs_toys]

@@kyle18934 then in the future, Russians will know who the children of Heroes are. "Josef eleven fingers father's a true hero"

[@kyle18934]

@@bobs_toys lol that's good 👍

[@warlord4713]

These map animations look amazing, I see Shirvan is stepping up his game

[@lorenzzolorenzzo1619]

Just like the russians do :)

[@slickrick2420]

Funding from Turkish govt

[@Nous98]

@@slickrick2420 I suspected it too, whether Turkish or even Western media. Cuz animations and editing style's really distinct from his other videos

[@philippshevliagin9945]

Russia is always has red colour on the map 😂

[@knivesnico8775]

He's escalating

[@sammu]

You were absolutely SPOT ON about Russia wanting a quick victory as we are witnessing now with their version of shock and awe. Also the three pronged approach involving an amphibeous landing as well as an arial angle. Well done as always!

[@fjames208]

Sucks

[@centurymemes1208]

apologist gonna flood here and try to talk different topics to not make russia the big baddie

[@centurymemes1208]

@@daddy_1453 keep deflecting topics commie

[@person8064]

Don't flood this reply section with useless bickering, it's not like it's going to convince anyone over the *internet*.

[@alphaxbox3728]

@@daddy_1453 imagine defending Russia. Actually defending the guy who as little as back in 1930 did the same exact fucking think and forced every single native out of the country and slaughtered those who stayed.

[@Miragexe]

''They have to go around Chernobyl'' Russia: Wait what?

[@michaelbennett7561]

Naw, let's dig trenches and fortifications in the highly radioactive soil instead, that sounds like a better idea.

[@LiticoBunenditcher]

@@michaelbennett7561 HAHAHAHAH XDD

[@GLTLegislator]

best comment

[@myronalcock4716]

Watched this last nite, now in disbelief as it's unfolding almost exactly as you scripted. Thanks for your work, it is helping process this insanity.

[@ninaramezani4667]

Exactly my thought!

[@davidbesir]

Same here. Just watched it hours before it started. I cannot believe it and i wish to watch a video about how it will be going. But I'm sure, based on information, nobody can tell how it will be going. too scary.

[@4partmedia]

How? This man was calling for weeks upon weeks of Russian movement..... instead they literally pushed in in one day. 🧐

[@israelbenitezjimenez533]

almost exactly? it was logical, and Russia did it in a day. Wish peace comes back, NATO should guarantee not expanding on Ukraine for good.

[@calebamore]

There weren't thousands that died within the first hour. Also, the attacked in the north almost right away.

[@sanlouci]

When we needed him the most. Master Caspian returns

[@wp12mv]

A Caspian Report is never late, nor is it early, it arrives precisely when it means to.

[@d3r4g45]

Russian moutpeace propaganda video.

[@noobienoobie6358]

@@d3r4g45 wait how does he support Russia here? Seems unbiased enough for me, he even disclaimed that what he showed was just plans and they will most likely not hold in the event of actual war.

[@aabens]

@@noobienoobie6358 it's pretty clear from this and many other videos of his that he's biased towards Russia.

[@samuellandos785]

@@aabens what a champ

[@chaost4544]

Months later... yeah.... CaspianReport is more competent than Russian military commanders.

[@WanderingYankee]

Hehe, yea: 10:18 "Russians would have to go around the Chernobyl Exclusion Zone".

[@yomommashaus]

This was very well done. The main difference is that Russia appears to be going straight for Kyiv as a primary objective.

[@mensrea1251]

Phase 1, 2, 3 all at once it seems…

[@21preend42]

and casualties are way higher for Russians.

[@A_annoying_rodent]

@@21preend42 they are just throwing their men against the ukrainians like it's 1942!

[@OscarDirlwood]

@J. M. I'm skeptical of those numbers. Even when you ask for Ukr losses, they remain at 130. Which is also unlikely

[@abaddon6579]

@J. M. It's coming from Ukrainian sources and should be taken with a grain of salt, it's war both sides will have propaganda to keep morale high.

[@scoobiusmaximus9508]

It's pretty interesting to compare this video to what is actually happening right now. I would say it's like 95% accurate. The main difference is that Russia seems to want to do all 3 phases at the same time and isn't really making quick progress on any of them. They also definitely aren't showing the air power that was expected.

[@latinamajor]

Russia can't show their air power, especially in the western half of Ukraine. the russian's can't fly at low altitude without being in range of stinger missiles. If the russian's fly at high altitude, then USA radar planes flying in poland and romania can track them and send targeting information for Ukraines hidden air defense batteries, telling them to turn their systems on at the perfect time. So flying low or high is both risky for russia right now.

[@MWGScorp]

@@aleksei8867 Russians opened fire on their own humanitarian corridors - looks like it's PR and an excuse for domestic support for their push to be paused.

[@scoobiusmaximus9508]

@@aleksei8867 the negotiations and "humanitarian stuff" were all shams. Russia has attacked civilians leaving Mariupol every time they tried to leave in compliance with what was negotiated. Russia did not at all slow due to these reasons. I have seen the videos of Russians looting stores and even asking Ukrainians for supplies because of the logistics failures of the Russian military. The relative lack of Russian progress in the invasion is almost entirely because they lack capability.

[@Apipoulai]

They obviously didnt expect to be confronted by so much ant-air weaponry :P kzbin.info/www/bejne/lYiqlJmhpt-If5Y

[@thereita1052]

@@aleksei8867 doesn't seem they made much progress a week from your reply. The only major city they captured Is cherson and now they are doing even MORE negotiations and humanitarian stuff.

[@AndreyBelenkiy]

Thanks for this video. I don't know what to think. As a resident of Kyiv, it's a complicated feat to go about daily life while simultaneously planning for the worst. I haven't thought of anything better than getting in my car with my family and driving west if war happens. I think many in the city haven't even planned that far. On the streets, it's as if a parallel reality exists where the threat isn't real. It's not talked about, it isn't felt. It's actively downplayed by the government and ignored by the people. Yes, there are individuals actively planning to resist, some families have probably talked through their potential actions on invasion day. The overwhelming majority however has opted for ignorance due to helplessness. Common wisdom is that "there's nothing we can do". And that thinking leads to a population that, despite the grueling conflict in the Donbass, is not ready for a war. Of course, war might not come, I hope for that and I'm not completely ready either. But the predominant indifference of people around me is even more troubling.

[@rb98769]

@@cap.deanmarcelwinchester No one cares about Canada's help, Canada is absolutely irrelevant when it comes to international politics. Seek help.

[@slobodankopanja2506]

Russia will not attack unless Ukraine attacks the Donbass...

[@magiclion]

@@cap.deanmarcelwinchester You support Victor Yanyoukovich the guy who won a fraudulent election and stolen the country's finances ? The majority Ukrainian population are under some American dictatorship ?

[@magiclion]

@@slobodankopanja2506 Russia has already attacked first multiple times.

[@dukejivetalker7541]

be safe man praying for you.

[@dhpropertymanagementownerv9167]

I like the comment about going around the Chernobyl zone but in reality they weren't as smart as you and decided to go into it and dig defensive positions in to the radioactive soil

[@mubbles1066]

100’s of Russians now dying of radiation poisoning in Belarus hospitals because of it as we speak…What a shame

[@obcane3072]

Reports are coming out that Russians were using 1985 maps...the year before the accident. Makes you wonder if the soldiers never heard of the accident.

[@omargj1]

Even there are reporst that Russian soldiers were collecting "irradiated souveniers" from Chernobyl.

[@hewhohasnoidentity4377]

@@obcane3072 the managers at Chernobyl said that they told the Russian soldiers they shouldn't disrupt the soil because it is dangerous and the soldier picked up a handful and asked how it is dangerous. I wouldn't expect low level troops to be very well educated. Even US Army enlisted troops only require a GED. Very few have college degrees. I wouldn't expect many enlisted personnel to know about Chernobyl.

[@obcane3072]

@@hewhohasnoidentity4377 I wasn't implying level of intelligence or education. Just age. They are all young 18-25. They weren't even born. So I wouldn't expect them to be aware or make the connection. I would expect their superiors to be aware and try to keep them from harm.

[@smoothmiles24]

This phase one analysis is shockingly accurate to what is happening right as we speak... Literally Russia is attacking from Belarus, Transnistria, via the sea, Crimea, and from the east in occupied Ukraine... This is no joke.

[@ashiqurrahman4584]

Looks like it's finishing all 3 phases at once. Original version of shock and awe though we are yet to see the extent of Ukrainian response..

[@ColonelBragg]

@@ashiqurrahman4584 I think Ukraine losing is a forgone conclusion at this point

[@ruffydoge5783]

only difference I'd say is the fact that he isn't waiting for negotiation, Putin is just attacking everywhere at once

[@jakuanlhc123]

Not from Transnistria

[@aaronhpa]

thay are not attacking from Belarus, at least officially

[@Brahmdagh]

"They'd have to go around the Chernobyl radiation zone" Holy schitt, they are going to come exactly through there. It's the new Ardennes, I'm telling ya.

[@Gokaes]

my first thoughts as well "they think we go around.. no we go through and FAST"

[@gleqy]

just writing this comment so that i can tell anyone "see, i knew"

[@Gokaes]

@@gleqy exactly "we knew"

[@StuffandThings_]

Especially since Russia has little concern for the safety of its citizens with regards to radiation danger. Hell, they may well do both (around and through) to really catch folks by surprise. The thing is though, since the whole area is so flat, there isn't exactly much geographically advantageous/disadvantageous regions to play around with, just rivers and the exclusion zone. So I really doubt that it will provide a huge advantage. Now also, what about Transnistria? Why would Russia support such an irrelevant entity for so long? I wouldn't be surprised if they made very good use of that region too.

[@tritium1998]

They are going to make pop culture depictions of this scenario (more than they already have about Chernobyl), even if it never happens.

[@sogerc1]

Maybe Putin should've watched this video before attacking Ukraine.

[@jimmieavants5085]

Dude, since I found this site, I feel more enlightened than ever about the "back story" that is impossible to find anywhere else! I can't thank you enough for the work, research, and potential consequences of that work. I've been looking at your vids as far back as a year and it's amazing how prophetic you have been. Thankya kindly, Jim Avants TEXAS

[@JFLehr]

me too!

[@nathanielroberts7077]

“Ukraine is no pushover.” Agreed. Four weeks in as of today and this has been an absolute disaster for Russia.

[@dmy_tro]

And a couple of days ago the US agreed to lend lease for Ukraine which will definitely be the end for Russia.

[@gamer228r]

80 days and yeah , even more costly for russia

[@MrHav1k]

Wait till you see the s**t Russia is in at the 10 month mark 🤣🤣

[@Cynthia_Blackraven_666]

11 months in and russia has lost more than 100K troops, 1800 tanks, their aviation can't go pass the line of contact (when they dare to use it) and Ukraine is aquiring Western MBT's and IFV's. It is worse than a disaster for russia and it's not even the end.

[@ALatvian]

It's terrifying being in a country where war is a real threat. I wish you luck and peace from Latvia.

[@unskilled822]

in my country we were almost at civil war and it was frightening i cannot imagine the feeling of knowing you're gonna be invaded, its surreal like "Am i dreaming all this madness or its truly happening" sort of thing.

[@korneplodus4605]

Господи да кому вы нужны

[@krulasfalt]

bruh latvia is next

[@MultiCraftTube]

@@krulasfalt Latvia is in the EU

[@MrSniperdude01]

I'm sorry... Was Latvia not a SSR satellite state ? I ask because if you listen to NATO/Biden, every nation that once belonged to Russia is endangered as Putin's ultimate goal is Rebuild the Soviet Empire !

[@breadorchopstix5920]

The quality of these videos are getting much better. The map animation and quality makes the video much more engaging, keep it up!

[@opinion4755]

Moscow is investing in its communication assets!

[@berkt_9622]

any idea how they make those visuals?

[@breadorchopstix5920]

@@berkt_9622 I’m assuming they hired someone…

[@frankmueller6522]

Go forward, America and Ukraine! Long live the Nato and its allies! Long live freedom! Down with all dictatorships and terrorists all around the world! Best wishes from Germany!

[@davelafontaine9832]

Indeed the map animation brings so much depth to the discussion. The use of the globe instead of flat maps and the various points of perspective rather then North up orientation is especially valuable!

[@adamkiraly7866]

Russia wants a quick decisive victory" oh boi where have I heard this one before?

[@Tony78454]

Haha I rolled my eyes at the idea "Just a quick war guys"

[@captainalex157]

@@Tony78454 well be back by christmas!

[@danielelombardo8196]

desert storm?

[@bradsillasen1972]

@@danielelombardo8196 Thankfully at least one.

[@markopodganjek845]

Iraq?

[@alicelund147]

Their plans turned out to be as you predicted with the difference that they didn't do it in phases but all three phases at once. The Odessa move has failed and the other offensives have stalled.

[@Vinzenzx]

What?

[@Klemm1988]

@@Vinzenzx What?

[@Vinzenzx]

@@Klemm1988 ?

[@alicelund147]

@Hannibal Sulla You want to murder the people is Odessa as well? Why? That is sick.

[@rudolfabelin383]

Very well said. Maybe Putin read to many books on the Blitzkrieg?

[@vivekkaushik9508]

This has got to be THE BEST Caspian Report I have ever seen. The amount of research went into this beyond my guesses. Kudos Srivan.

[@ArchonLicht]

It's the worst, and amount of research seems to be around 0. Can't even spell the names right, PoltAva => PoltOva... So much research.

[@kometblitz]

@@ArchonLicht Poltava is spelled correctly

[@ArchonLicht]

@@kometblitz Sorry, I meant to say pronounced. But this the least of the problems.

[@SkywalkerWroc]

Hardly so. For anyone familiar with the topic, it's on the level of Daily Mail, including the parroting of the Russian propaganda and various minor nonsensical mistakes.

[@noobienoobie6358]

@@SkywalkerWroc Ok then, what did he mess up? Tell us what he said wrong instead of just crying about it. He never claimed that Russia would invade, just what the plans could be IF they did, he even disclaimed that it is just plans and might very well end up differently in the case of war and actual resistance. "including the parroting of the Russian propaganda and various minor nonsensical mistakes." What exactly are you trying to say here?

[@theuselessdrunk]

russians like: you know what? i'm going through radiation zone even harder

[@fast1nakus]

As a Ukrainian, I do appreciate the coverage of this whole shitstorm, but I kinda have a feeling that it's slowly turns in some kind of miseryporn

[@Ikbeneengeit]

I feel bad for the Ukrainian crisis and I want you to be able to have a good life and some self determination. I don't want dictators to push around democracies. That's why I'm interested. I hope war doesn't happen.

[@lfx2mlfx2m8]

does the media milk this like the ronacoaster?

[@ethanc1121]

Well as a more cynical answer, this isn’t really about the Ukrainian people at all. Make no mistake, if this crosses the point of no return, Ukraine will become a battlespace first and humanitarian project a distant, distant third. You could probably replant an entire forest with the pages used to speculate on a US vs Russia conflict- and that’s just in English. The people that are hawkish on this war are chomping at the bit to see those theories and wargames put to the test.

[@fast1nakus]

@@ethanc1121 Oh, I assure you, anyone who knows the history of this piece of land between east and west knows whats going to happen - the same shit that happens every century for the last 600 years. they come, they conquer, they piss off untill the next time. nobody will fight them. nobody in ukraine will even care much, just because not the first time.

[@davesprivatelounge]

For the West, war is just something they see on television. Which is why they are always so eager to push for military conflict. It is the poorer classes who will fight the war when it comes down to it anyway.

[@RamiShreds]

So a year and a half in and Russia hasn't even completed phase 1 😂

[@SaladBowlz]

I feel that you will be a great asset to those of us who are trying to understand this conflict from a far. Thank you for your work, and thank you in advance for the work I'm sure you're doing right now to help bring understanding of this conflict to those of us who do not live in the sphere of influence of the former USSR.

[@MehdiNakouriTn]

I'm thinking about the civilians here. We're talking about highly populated regions and cities, like Odessa. The recent conflict in Karabakh between Armenia & Azerbaijan caused a lot of casualties and suffering on both sides. I hope this gets resolved peacefully, or at least surgically avoiding any large scale confrontations.

[@benjamindavidovichwaals2899]

😂😂😂

[@stefanhensel8611]

Russia is not exactly renowned for "surgical" strikes. See Aleppo or Chechnya for examples.

[@GermanConquistador08]

@@stefanhensel8611 - Proof of their degeneration as a National State. Their failing is a threat to the World.

[@vlad22rus]

As a person who lived in Odessa, I can say that it is reasonable for Russia to occupy only the south-eastern territories. In fact, there is a lot of local support for Russia, so in case of war, the occupation of such cities may not cause many problems.

[@korovabozha4963]

@Vapa I think you forget Russia has an entire fleet in the Black Sea and can bombard it both from the coast and aerially… It is a worry.

[@kcharles8857]

Commenting 9 weeks into the invasion, and you got the early stages almost spot on. I don't think anyone could have predicted Ukrainian resilience. You know your stuff man :)

[@Yuki-tw8tj]

Just want to say I'm so glad Shirvan narrates his videos again. Shirvan, you're the best!

[@erlemartincarvalho1733]

One of the most concise and factual presentation on the possibilities with regard to military moves, consequences and outcome. Kudos! Keep it up.

[@d3r4g45]

it's a russian propaganda video ..

[@HebrewsElevenTwentyFive]

@@d3r4g45 Indeed.

[@geoffreymee7671]

So what type of invasion would you perefer. After all, Russian troops are not surrounding Ukrania spreading love are they?

[@M60gunner1971]

@@d3r4g45 Russia can consume the Peanuts from the feces of the baboon.

[@d3r4g45]

Russian moutpeace propaganda video. by Caspian (attack now) Report 5:40

[@horvathsogranfume658]

i watched this video to remember russia used to have tanks

[@dinsel9691]

Muahaha😂

[@rykwon4535]

..they still do

[@horvathsogranfume658]

@@rykwon4535 i mean tanks that work

[@G.A.C_Preserve]

​@@rykwon4535 that's like seeing the German bringing back the Tiger 2 to invade Poland and failed

[@starfishprime7721]

Going around Chernobyl he says. Man watching this as it’s happening feels like you went back and edited this video, that’s how spot on you are so far

[@madgavin7568]

Indeed the Russian's actually went right through Chernobyl and have beelined straight for the capital Kiev.

[@juliusnepos6013]

Yeah

[@juliusnepos6013]

Even captuirng the facility itself

[@omargj1]

@@juliusnepos6013 They even set campaments in the irradiated exclusion zone around Chernobyl. dug trenches, and collected irradiated souvenirs, that level of stupidity is unbeliavable.

[@kensearle4451]

And, here we are.

[@TFreckle]

I just rewatched this, and I am shocked and appalled at both your precision, and the ways in which Russia failed spectacularly in speedily conquering southern Ukraine, Kyiv and Kharkiv.

[@MacTac141]

@@aleksei8867 We are coming up on 2 weeks in and so far Russia has only managed to capture less defended rural areas and the city of Kherson which is on the smaller side and right by the Crimea peninsula. They’ve lost in the upper thousands of troops meaning they’ve already lost more than the US did in 20 years of Afghanistan AND Iraq combined and they STILL DONT HAVE AIR SUPERIORITY!!! That last one is the hardest to believe all Russia does is brag about its anti air capabilities and yet more and more videos emerge of Ukrainian drones destroying convoys and air defences. Couple that with the fact Ukraine still has some of its airforce it’s unbelievable! As a self proclaimed “Super power” Russia’s performance so far has been pathetic! It took the US 6 days after entering Baghdad to secure it and they only lost 34 troops. Compare that to Russia who have been attacking Kyiv with ground forces since day 1, they’ve already lost hundreds of not thousands doing it and it’s no where near falling! It’s honestly pathetic and hilarious🤣

[@Misaka_Complex]

@@aleksei8867 OK Putard shill, sip hard on that copium as Putard loses thousands of soldiers, 2x major generals, dozens of planes including SU34s as the NATO "foreign legions" steps up to defend Ukraine. Keep reading Rusky copium maps which over-exaggerates Putard's gains.

[@dfgpl]

@@aleksei8867 I will accept dry facts, please prove him wrong for me.

[@dfgpl]

@@aleksei8867 Fair Enough. I think most of your points are a bunch of lies straight from the Kremlin, but I can of course be wrong. So how about we come back here in let's say 3 months? If the situation is substantially different in favor of Russia (Let's say entire territory east of Dnieper River is under Russian control). I will admit that you were right and that I was gullible idiot for believing bullshit in western media. However if it's not the case (Russian controlled territory similar to today or smaller) you will admit the same and accept the fact that Russian Media are full of shit. Deal?

[@sot11cat]

@@aleksei8867 Your analysis might have seemed quite sane back then. Can you please reassess development(s) since then?

[@wexer82]

I want to compliment you for the ever-increasing value of your production; the extra work is noticeable and appreciated.

[@poultryfornicator4412]

KZbin needs more comments like this. 👍🏼

[@zeblanmaidaynovich796]

Everything already happened 7 years ago that's why Russia win over the west and neonazi ukraine when Crimea and Donbas whole part of east Ukraine is pro-Russian 😂😃😆to bad many western trolls on YT are brainless and got no logic to realize that LOL

[@RuStOlIuM420]

(In my gary vee voice) this content has lots of value have you thought about an nft

[@poultryfornicator4412]

@@zeblanmaidaynovich796 lmao okay bud 🤣

[@tomwood4746]

@@zeblanmaidaynovich796 Putin is the new Hitler and thus you are a neonazi

[@micanikko]

Oh boy. This video.. idk if it aged like wine or if it aged like milk. Its happening now.

[@bonziboo7746]

Aged like a fine poison

[@HakaiKaien]

I'm amaze how accurate this video has been. Thank you

[@wombats2016]

Ominous foreboding here... Watched it back in Jan and now watching it unfold almost exactly in real time.

[@Darwinsown]

You must be a time traveler. This video is so accurate. Well done.

[@juliusnepos6013]

Indeed

[@richardarriaga6271]

It assumed things for Russia would go much better than they have.

[@kaneki-t]

Congrats dude, your animation has now a live adaptation!

[@auritro3903]

10:19 russia was literally like: "screw this"

[@faganyusifli9039]

This is so far the best explained scenario about the conflict. Great job Shirvan!

[@opex9979]

Yeah, Washington doubling down on its propaganda

[@opex9979]

@@Ikabcda still better then Washington teaching literal nazis in Ukraine how to fight

[@opex9979]

@@Ikabcda yeah i agree. Too bad Washington sponsored coup in Ukraine and now Ukrmarcht SS Reich backstabbing, killing and invading its own civilians that decided to leave this Ukrwaffen SS colony and don't dance under murican flute

[@onlyplaysveigar7241]

@Volk Aye iTs ThE CIA bRo,!!??

[@opex9979]

@@onlyplaysveigar7241 I don't know. But im sure its one of the clown agents from Washington

[@ccauf815]

Wow, after a week of war and watching this I’m blown away by the accuracy. You even called Russia advancing to Transnistia, which we see from the leaked picture in Belarus of the invasion plan. Really show the quality of the work here.

[@dixonhill1108]

Most of this is dictated by the terrain/economy/population centers etc. Kiev is a symbolic/political target while Odessa is the one that actually matters.

[@Quixote1818]

Reports that Russian troops are landing in Odessa. Looks like you nailed this one so far. Tragic.

[@dogeyes7261]

As long as the primary casualties are Ukrainian Nazis and their allies then this will be a net benefit for Ukraine.

[@Babe-jq2sy]

@@dogeyes7261 aha are you joking putin isn’t far off a nazi himself also who the fuck does this guy think he is should mind he’s own business

[@Babe-jq2sy]

@@dogeyes7261 it’s no benefit for Ukraine because if the Ukraine’s wanted the bad people gone they would of done it. Also nazis to Russia is when Ukraine banned the russian Language from its parliament after the 2014 invasion

[@centurymemes1208]

@@dogeyes7261 ok putin apologist

[@alphaxbox3728]

@@dogeyes7261 those bases and civilians nazis now? Imagine actually defending an FULL SCALE INVASION with "wahh there were a few neonazis". Actual child.

[@thegoat5587]

As of late April, things didnt go as planned for Russia!

[@adambaidoo5385]

Watched this 3 weeks ago ( just minutes after you released this video) and SHIRVAN you were spot on . I can’t believe this unfolding right under my eyes. Keep up the great work

[@mathiasbartl903]

Did you just say that a professional military could make 750 miles a day, because that is a blind man talking about colors.

[@xkxndwb4991]

Holy the graphics/graphic motions were good before but you have leveled them up here! It's sooo clean

[@kma3647]

Caspian Report is better news reporting than literally any major Western news source. Good quality graphics. Long enough format to discuss some of the complexities of an issue beyond the sloganeering you get in a 3-5 min news segment. Generally well-researched, though he occasionally makes mistakes. The comments section being open lets the audience correct those things quickly. Shirvan's insightful and intelligent and sometimes draws interesting and unique conclusions. What can I say? I'm a fan.

[@Adam-dd5fx]

@@kma3647 why are you saying "western news source" I like caspian report more than the western news sources but they are far better than asian, african and eastern european ones

[@bcvetkov8534]

Coming back to this video after the actual war broke out. Fucking surreal. Hopefully peace is restored soon.

[@cleanwater2373]

You nailed it! You are predicting every step! Such a great Channel.

[@bradsillasen1972]

I've been paying a lot of attention to the news, but this production offered tons of new information. Great job! The volume of quality material Caspian Report generates is impressive. If you can say, I'd like to know, how many people on your team?

[@TheGrindcorps]

It’s not surprising considering they have been lying to Russia about NATO expansion for 30 years. Not sure they would have given up all their satellite states in CCCP if US and NATO said they were going to try to expand into every single former Soviet and Warsaw pact state. Actually I’m sire they wouldn’t. Shouldn’t have been so dishonest for 30 years.

[@orepurifier]

@@TheGrindcorps yea. Theyve pretty much backed the bear into a corner and left it with no other choice than to fight back. Western arrogance and hypocrisy yet again leads to another war.

[@K1ddkanuck]

I've been wondering the same thing. If Shirvan does all of this himself, man, what a boss.

[@icmull]

You dont really need to watch the bews if you understand the geopolitics. I find watching this ans reading geopolitics whenever news is discussed I understand it better than those who watch the news.

[@questerperipatetic4861]

@@TheGrindcorps NATO has never expanded. Not once. An expansion implies moving in and taking over, like the Russians did in Crimea. On the contrary, all the newer NATO allies begged to join. Why? Ask ANY citizen whose country borders Russia about history.

[@MrRaghunandy]

Finally , the wait is over, thanks Caspian report for objective and analytical report of the crisis . Love from India 👏

[@Milos.L]

I agree 👍

[@dcinput7645]

Disagree. He said Ukraine can get into EU, but it's more likely that Serbia, Moldova, Kosovo, Montenegro or Bosnia would get into EU.... And that's not gonna happened. High corruption.

[@clawthewonderful1520]

@@dcinput7645 the Nato may be corrupt, but isnt it more viable for nations threatened by russian than the weakening EU?

[@Pietervandebuurt]

@@clawthewonderful1520 ??? What do you mean by comparing NATO and EU ? You know almost all EU members are also NATO. So i dont really get the point your trying to make about EU

[@Pietervandebuurt]

@@clawthewonderful1520 Since the EU is also more a economic/political cooperation, and NATO is a military/political cooperation.

[@abhyudaysarkar5012]

This has aged well.

[@0xszander0]

Unfortunately it did..

[@abhyudaysarkar5012]

@@0xszander0 yeah. I was hoping it would not come to it. Putin has lost his mind.

[@alfotiosacaramde9631]

After all this time, as Ukrainian, I seeing this video. And I just can't stop laughing! 🤣

[@tonyevans2967]

Slava Ukraini

[@gamer228r]

Друга армія світа вони казали АХХАХАХА , привіт я теж українець

[@arau8310]

You, your brothers and sisters, parents, grandparents and relatives are heroes. You are teaching the world about love of country, and defense of your way of life. We are praying and pulling for you! Slava Ukraini.

[@gamer228r]

@@arau8310 Thank you (im a Ukrainian too)

[@eliasziad7864]

Slava Rossii

[@CraftingStudios1337]

It's no longer a 'would', lads.

[@brettfafata3017]

Who's here after it happened?

[@linden7362]

Now that this has become reality, we get to watch it play out in real time. I'm a fan of irony, and I keep thinking of an infamous quote in history: "We have only to kick in the door and the whole rotten structure will come crashing down." ... I haven't seen a tactical mistake this big since my bullfrog, Smacky, choked to death trying to swallow a bird. Poor, stupid Smacky.

[@c128stuff]

No battle plan survives first contact with the enemy.

[@Edax_Royeaux]

Turns out Russia was the sick man of Europe all along.

[@headoverheels88]

RIP Smacky :( No RIP Moskva, Russia's most advanced, biggest battleship that was just sunk by two Ukranian land missles. Sad!

[@Edax_Royeaux]

@@headoverheels88 On the 110 anniversary of the Titanic no less!

[@headoverheels88]

​@@Edax_Royeaux History may not always repeat, but by god does it know how to rhyme.

[@pappkop1988]

Looks like they skiped some steps today and went straight to phase three...

[@Dogebro200]

The fact that we overestimated russia is just laughable

[@zeratulcraft]

"A good plan executed violently is better than the perfect plan executed late." Or something like that anyway.

[@burken123]

Patton stuff right there

[@renaldiroekanto789]

you forgot: ~2022. Sun Tzu, Art of War.

[@kimyeonahchannel]

Isn't it "A good plan executed now is better than the perfect plan executed late" ?

[@Lepocoloco]

Yeah. More like something like that, than that.

[@crispyglove]

“A good plan, violently executed now, is better than a perfect plan next week”

[@nutyyyy]

In the end they didn't even go around the Chernobyl exclusion zone just straight through it.

[@pesco7]

Wow so we went straight to Stage 3. What an amazing video, thanks.

[@FlemmingEgerup]

"Russias would have to around the Chernobyl radiation zone" Russia: "Ha!"

[@295Phoenix]

Holy crap, this guy very accurately predicted what the Russian plan would be like...except that it looks like the Russians combined Phases I and II.

[@SergeyPRKL]

And they are taking all of Ukraine, not leavinag anything.

[@gustavju4686]

@@tatfly5779 Think he means taking the whole territory (opposed to just seizing the east).

[@animeB0y01]

@@tatfly5779 Liar - i have seen apartment blocks bombed and civilians hurt or killed. Russia will pay for this aggression one way or another . Count on that

[@justADeni]

@@tatfly5779 Hahaha sure lmao. Bombing civillians is what RuSSia is doing

[@naughtyfins6810]

and III

[@ytismylife7057]

This aged extremely well.

[@davidpe76]

The most well balanced perspective I have seen, and this was before the conflict turned hot.

[@juliusnepos6013]

Yeah

[@Jai_BharatMata]

🔴 14:04 *In A WAR... you can be killed only once....* *but in politics you can die many times* That line was Brutal Honesty💙 P.S: Love from India🇮🇳💙

[@Milos.L]

yes!!!

[@ChrisJohannsen]

Famous Winston Churchill quote

[@AtticusHimself]

You're like a woman who gets buttered by trite cliches

[@TheTariqibnziyad]

@@AtticusHimself Yea xD

[@TheTariqibnziyad]

Russians die multiple times in war

[@papitroy]

I have been checking your page everyday for a week now to hear your take on this matter. Easily my favorite channel for geopolitics.

[@iskabin]

Pretty sure Putin watched this before invading

[@sandwich2473]

10:15 Russians: "but what if we _didn't_ 🧐"

[@roy6907]

I’d imagine in the North, the Russians would push through even the containment zone if it meant outmaneuvering defenses

[@l.palacio9076]

Its not like the troops would die just by passing by it, radiations levels aren't that high anymore, so I agree

[@cm275]

Soviet AFVs, which the Russians still use, were designed to operate and fight for days in a battlefield contaminated by chemical or nuclear weapons.

[@bradsillasen1972]

Good point. I seriously doubt if the Kremlin or even the generals give a damn. Probably true for Ukraine as well so. Edit: Add, the U.S. military doesn't even care so much. ...agent orange for starters, and other toxic situations in middle east. I have to assume there are many others I have never been aware of.

[@tetraxis3011]

The new Ardennes.

[@alicorn3924]

@@l.palacio9076 Although, they can't set up a long-term base there still.

[@jdaniel3068]

I metup in Istanbul with my Turk buddy and we spent a week crossing Ukraine from Lviv to Kharkov in 2019. A beautiful place with strong and proud people. This all just makes me sad.

[@pomegranatepom1428]

Did you target any Armenians or Kurds while you were at it?

[@GoBIGclan]

Nice, I visited Kiev and Chernobyl before flying into Istanbul to meet with my friend there. I stayed 6 months in Bursa

[@jdaniel3068]

@@pomegranatepom1428 Yes actually we spent 2 days in Yerevan and had dinner with several Kurds in Turkey. You dont get outside much, eh?

[@zeblanmaidaynovich796]

If some brainless trolls all over YT still dont get it i will explain easy and fast... 7 years ago Russia already win against west and they payroll neonazi puppets ukraine😂😃😆when PRO-Donbas+Crimea come back home to Russian soil😂😃😆But the most funny thing is when the Taliban give weak usa+nato 13 days to run from Afghanistan away LOL

[@themainten4433]

Sad why? There’s nothing going to happen this is all bs posturing

[@billfarlo3366]

you failed to predict russia's incompetency

[@mcpaintball]

And who would've thought that instead of going around Cherynobyl, they'd go right through and try to set up camp in the middle of it?

[@markr6273]

they did not try, they succeed to set up camp there!

[@ThePandafriend]

@@markr6273 And got radiation poisoning in the process...

[@oo--7714]

@@ThePandafriend there was no poisoning lol

[@ThePandafriend]

@@oo--7714 Radiation poisoning is what you get after being exposed to high radiation. In the case of the Russians they literally breathed in radioactive dust. But also the long exposure in general can cause that.

[@G.A.C_Preserve]

@@oo--7714 I'm from the future and yes, They do

[@TheFuelInjected]

Came here to check how accurate you were. Pretty accurate except Russia executed all 3 phases at once, and went right through the Chernobyl exclusion zone . I believe they did this for 2 reasons, to secure chernobyl as a strategic MAD tool and to guage their military capabilities to execute their 7 days to the River Rhine plan, which is a terrifying thought.

[@babla69420]

7 days to rhine plan is nothing but the quickest way to decrease global warming

[@zackr8938]

What's a MAD tool?

[@pvtghost117]

@@zackr8938 mutually assured destruction, if Ukraine attacks the Russian forces near the Chernobyl plant they risk damaging the plant and releasing radiation on the rest of the country.

[@TheFuelInjected]

@@babla69420 That comment terrifies me more than Putin.

[@yannick4895]

@@zackr8938 Mutual Assured Destruction , basically dragging the others with you to hell

[@vejet]

"A professional military could move across a distance of 750 km in a day or two..." lowut? 👁👄👁 Somebody needs to tell this man about logistics!! 😂

[@richardarriaga6271]

Video assumed first-world military logistics, not Scooby van logistics.

[@silencemeviolateme6076]

Seems logistics isn't a Russian concern.

[@G.A.C_Preserve]

@@richardarriaga6271 US level logistics

[@Darkrunn]

Man your map animations are really really great here. Captivating without being too flashy and distracting. Your analysis remains as insightful as always. Good to see this channel growing and improving.

[@ivanbezroda9960]

Little to do with reality. I'm talking about the causes of the war. Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 when Ukraine was not a threat to Russia. In 2014, there was a peak in the disarmament of Ukraine. Ukraine gave away all its nuclear missiles, almost all military programs were frozen, and investment in the army was the lowest in the history of Ukraine's independence. Ukraine did not carry any threats to the Russian Federation until 2014. Russia attacks for no reason, this country wants to gain world domination and is a threat to the whole world. Just read about Russia's military conflicts against its neighbors over the past 30 years.

[@lengoulet9416]

Ukrain assured a neutral involvment of nato then changed course, that’s when russia attacked

[@matthewshields]

In Western Europe, NATO was falling out of fashion as economic ties with Russia have strengthened and Western European states focused on a less US-centric military policy. Ironically if Russia were to invade Ukraine it could reinvigorate support for NATO bringing Western Europe back to the perspective of the United States and Eastern Europe where Russia is seen as a major threat. Edit: There are way more replies than I expected. I'm not saying one side is right or wrong (that's for you to decide), I was just giving some context of NATOs reaction to the current conflict.

[@sc1338]

Europeans have gotten lax. they also show little gratitude, except for Poland, the Baltic states, and of course our always ally UK.

[@leonardos2925]

Europe being Europe, in that situation they would remember why the USA was so important for their defense in the Cold War, a invasion of Western Europe would lead to war at that time. The current anti-American stance is typical of EU, they try to be the USA (Some want the "United States of Europe") while they're hostile to the USA. It's that genocidal mindset, they want to be you and want you down. They had to unite dozens of countries to imitate the huge market the Americans have.

[@firstlast8190]

US: hey Western Europe, we have gas and weapons over here if ya need it$$$

[@tgjman98]

it's already got conversation started in Sweden and Finland about joining NATO

[@brianpeck4035]

Reinvigoration of NATO is already happening. Similar is happening against China.

[@postyoda1623]

Russia took Chernobyl, moving equipment through Crimea and started the move from east (Lugansk and Donetsk). True analysis word for word.

[@PissMenn]

Putin perhaps already watched this video

[@13Ixidor]

Hey man, officer in the US Mil here. These videos are some of the best open source geostrategic content out there. The editing is tight, the visuals and music complement it well, and I don't have to sit through an hour panel to get to the point. Keep up the great work, you are responsible for a lot of people getting way more aware.

[@Jameepicbadass]

glad to see the US military getting only the best strategic advice

[@dankuser8303]

Than you for your service

[@tilda140]

I think folks on both sides of the aisle come here for real information and not curated propaganda from our respective sides.

[@M60gunner1971]

Russia can consume vast truckloads of fecal matter.

[@basedelon]

@@Jameepicbadass why are you glad the US military get their advice from a KZbinr? Emma and her two moms wasn't enough?

[@romkafunkey]

And then reality: One thing is to draw arrow to Odessa, second is to discover Mykolaiv on the map and so on....

[@talion4596]

man, this aged like fine wine

[@dickson6519]

We've all been waiting for this one and he delivered again. Great video as always!!

[@ryandaverayla4910]

what you have analyzed weeks ago has now become a reality.

[@FakeAnarchist]

This video is going to age really well now

[@MyName-fr3nf]

Nah, we're within the first hour of the attacks and Russia already has military operations in Kyiv, Kharkov, Odessa and other eastern cities - unlike the phases mentioned here. Not taking anything away from the quality of the video btw.

[@DJRYGAR1]

what the world though: "Russia has to go around Chernobyl" real Russian mindset: "Chernobyl? Boys, let's dig trenches here"

[@_Oleksandr]

After eight months of war, I can confidently say: The plan was shit, Russia 🤭

[@peaceturtleinfinity]

As an American I’m really interesting in understanding Russia’s POV. This breaks it down in a way that makes a lot of sense…and makes you realize how complicated our world is.

[@ninjaturtledude999]

From UK, I feel a bit bad for Russia's position, it would be hard not to feel encroached on with so many arms going to Ukraine and and an EU so trigger happy with sanctions for Russia. All I know is our gas bill is now very expensive

[@Yolbosun]

Bankers win? China takes all After milley called China And the potatoe left 80 billion in military equipment for taliban Americans borders open Democrats encourage antifa/ blm democrats brown shirts to terrorize Americans …

[@Cincinnatus-Americanus]

I’m United States former Army look how we treated Russia after the Cold War we could of had dialogue instead we expanded NATO and missile defense and continued to poke the bear I don’t blame Russia for this reaction and in their minds historically Kiev is the capital of the Kievan Rus old Russia

[@lq_12]

It's not so complicated, they feel threatened by NATO neither USA nor NATO are willing to address Russia's security concerns. NATO was born in cold war era and even USSR requested membership but it was denied therefore they created Warsaw pact. USSR ceded from existing but NATO didn't and it participated in Yugoslavia bombing and in Iraq (no weapons of massive destruction were ever found). That's the reason Russia sees it as a threat it not longer is a defensive organization but a offensive. Russia was so anxious about the Iranian Deal because NATO said military equipment in east Europe was to deterre Iran from attacking Europe but when first Deal was made they didn't withdraw the hardware. And from a Latin American pov I can tell you that the rest of American countries don't have freedom to choose their alliance. Historically we have been Washington's back yard and as soon as one country differs from Washington POV is either sanctioned, invaded, has a military cup, change of regimen etc Nor Monroe doctrine nor carrot stick have gone anywhere PSD: not native English speaker sorry for my spelling mistakes

[@coraltown1]

It's like understanding Hitler's POV, not so complicated.

[@georgechristiansen6785]

This aged badly.

[@emhutchi]

Russian Military Planners: Ok, we are going to do a coordinated arms attack in three phases, everybody got it? Three separate, distinct phases. Got it??? Putin: Alright chums! Lets do this...LEEROOOOOOOOOOY JEEEEENKIIIIINNNNS! Russian Military Planners: Oh my god, he just ran in.

[@AnonymousTheThird]

Stick to the plan, comrades! No casualties! ... ... You're such a huilo, vlad!

[@georgewbush43]

Oh it’s happening, let’s see if this was right or wrong

[@nicdaman4002]

Its shocking how accurate this turned out to be

[@kianfallah2406]

Who else is here after the war has already started? What a bizarre thing to say.

[@nelajnunnan9998]

Everybody expected it, yet everyone was shocked by it.

[@MrKorton]

That's because many DIDN'T expect it!

[@longshotkdb]

only civilians suffer this, cognitive dissonance. 'you are sleeping, you do not want to believe' ... prepare for the worst then hope for the best. be safe.

[@DweeD1516]

Wow what a great video. WAY better than any of these mainstream media sources or video reports I have seen all over from many different media organizations. One hundred times better and also just overall the best explanation so far on the Ukraine/Russia situation. Good work man and thanks for it!

[@davidr2105]

Watched this three weeks ago, had to come back as it played out exactly as you described, fair play