China will Invade Taiwan (be prepared)

  Рет қаралды 970,728

Aaron Watson

Aaron Watson

6 ай бұрын

China views Taiwan as a rogue province destined to be reunified under their rule. As the years pass, the likelihood that they can accomplish that peacefully drops.
In this video you’ll uncover the complex relationship between China and Taiwan, focusing on the possibility of a Chinese invasion and its potential global ramifications. We will analyze various perspectives from experts and examine the historical context, China's military buildup, and the implications of the Chinese Communist Party's decision-making.
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Пікірлер: 6 100
@AaronWatsonGeo
@AaronWatsonGeo 5 ай бұрын
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@tedphillips2501
@tedphillips2501 5 ай бұрын
Seems China will invade Taiwan for the same reason Argentina invaded the Falklands - to distract from their abysmal domestic situation.
@Jwdude123
@Jwdude123 5 ай бұрын
Sorry can’t believe a guy with drag queen eyebrows.
@tiefblau2780
@tiefblau2780 5 ай бұрын
And they will Fail Like Made in Cena
@tiefblau2780
@tiefblau2780 5 ай бұрын
I will dispute saying... Everyone though Ugain though will lose in weeks But no it didnt in the End the will of the Majority will win especially compared to that low qualeety scrap(s)
@kingghidorah8106
@kingghidorah8106 5 ай бұрын
hello you're very handsome lol
@jjian5
@jjian5 5 ай бұрын
Feels like now every KZbinr who only heard about taiwan 2 years ago is making videos on the hype based on couple of days research. Death of journalism is here.
@schinsky6833
@schinsky6833 4 ай бұрын
"Heard about Taiwan 2 years ago" Haha, that really made me laugh, because its true.
@simon3314
@simon3314 4 ай бұрын
Yeah & the whole tone of the production with the background music. I just woke up & clicked play on this video.. I pressed stop, I'm gonna get up & go out for a morning walk !
@waykool698
@waykool698 4 ай бұрын
That’s because they know what is happening. Not sure what you’re crying about here.
@cobaltpluto2019
@cobaltpluto2019 4 ай бұрын
Do you mean this guy? First off - anyone claiming war at a specific time is probably guessing quite a bit, agreed. Beyond that, Chinas aims with Taiwan has been long apparent. It’s clear they will eventually make a move when they feel the risk is acceptable.
@redriver6541
@redriver6541 4 ай бұрын
It's already passed into the trash heap of history..... it's all about clicks. Those multimillionaire anchors, helicopters, and skyrise offices.....don't get paid for anything other than shock. Luckily the internet and access to knowledge has lessened the blow of it.
@AaronWatsonGeo
@AaronWatsonGeo 6 ай бұрын
To be clear, I do not want this to happen. I hope I am wrong. I made this because I'm afraid that the average person is underestimating this risk. If you think I'm wrong, I would love to be convinced by a thoughtful comment. Thank you for taking the time to watch the video.
@hangtuah888
@hangtuah888 6 ай бұрын
You would be better to go and get a brain and reduce the Disunited States debt of $33 trillion before the country implode with you losing your life.
@f1re0ff27
@f1re0ff27 6 ай бұрын
So i think China is a big freat to the west and Taiwan (obviously) but i don´t think they will invade because they woud have to defeat Japan's and Americas boat fleet and then if they get on to Taiwan i dont think they have a very big chance of taking the island because then there woud be south Koreans Americans and Japanese soldiers ready for them and if they get a on to the island and they have to move forward but Taiwan is just mountains so you cant get heavy equipment op in the mountains only infantry and then they can fire artillery at the mountains but that´s also it (besides air power if they get that) but the thing im most worried about is the west is just not ready for war because of the lac of ammunition but good video man
@AaronWatsonGeo
@AaronWatsonGeo 6 ай бұрын
thanks! @@f1re0ff27
@donalddicktrump4986
@donalddicktrump4986 6 ай бұрын
S hole just bear in mind your sss in invaded by the hopeless miserable failed collapsed usa regime
@amarajitproductions3902
@amarajitproductions3902 6 ай бұрын
You're 100% rightly predicting it, especially when small/tiny countries go contrary to the wishes of a bigger adversary's wishes.
@bonzabonza2758
@bonzabonza2758 4 ай бұрын
Everyone is preparing, not just Taiwan.
@L.budz.
@L.budz. 4 ай бұрын
Stupidity
@sebjep
@sebjep 4 ай бұрын
I wonder if this is due to corruption or Chinese influence. Taiwan knows how big the threat is. So being this passive doesn't make any sense.
@joshwalters3148
@joshwalters3148 4 ай бұрын
​@@sebjepcorruption.....we have made ourselves dependent on the manufacturing of another country....most likely to control prices of goods, and offer an excuse to go to war in the future.....the USA wants war and conflict..... sacrificing our children for industrial profits....that's our motto
@TheMwowner1
@TheMwowner1 4 ай бұрын
what evidence do you have???????? fear mongerer
@tyleraguilar2474
@tyleraguilar2474 4 ай бұрын
@@sebjepI think the video is mis leading. Taiwan has been preparing for almost 10 years and triple their defense budget after the invasion of Ukraine
@HpToujoursPur
@HpToujoursPur 4 ай бұрын
China: "Are you really willing to die for this island" Taiwan: "Someone is"
@jbqu3142
@jbqu3142 4 ай бұрын
Poor Chinese soldier with a beautiful uniform : No!
@handwerp
@handwerp 4 ай бұрын
Indeed, there are even few Taiwanese are willing to die defending their country. 70% of the supporters of DPP are convinced that the US soldier will come and die for their cause. Somehow, I don't see that happening.
@AFS_7
@AFS_7 4 ай бұрын
@@handwerp Ukraine thought the same thing…
@Isaacaijazebf2j
@Isaacaijazebf2j 3 ай бұрын
It’s all political China wants Taiwan because of its resources and Semiconductors industry that’s their target why will they be willing to die for a land only!
@akamecup8455
@akamecup8455 5 ай бұрын
16:37 As someone who has participated in these war games, we always give ourselves the worst situations possible and make the enemy stronger than we think, it’s to help prepare us for the worst instead of prepare us for what’s likely.
@4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt
@4gegtyreeyuyeddffvyt 4 ай бұрын
I’d love to get as much information from you as you’re allowed to provide. Could you make a video about it?
@joshwalters3148
@joshwalters3148 4 ай бұрын
And every simulation shows massive causalities for Americans.....we could just go back to making our own shit.....too much in house manufacturing and resources are building our military....
@tyleraguilar2474
@tyleraguilar2474 4 ай бұрын
Preach
@X9xredgkoa
@X9xredgkoa 4 ай бұрын
said some random ahh mf from the internet
@HakaiShinJQ1102
@HakaiShinJQ1102 4 ай бұрын
Enemy “intelligence” can you give more information 😅😅
@oscarlebron9088
@oscarlebron9088 6 ай бұрын
In his speech he said that they will use other means for reunification, but what he’s actually saying is that if Taiwan doesn’t agree to their terms than military action will be taken. It’s their way or the highway
@antonywooster6783
@antonywooster6783 6 ай бұрын
No, Not really correct. What the Chinese are saying (Including a lot of people in Taiwan.) is that If the government in Taiwan declares independence the Chinese will take any means neccessary to stop them. The Taiwanese government will only declare independence, if the US military is there and is willing to back them up. If the US withdrew, there would be negotiations to come to a mutally agreeable settlement. This is the last act of the Chinese Civil War. It is none of the US's business. The Pentagon has wargamed this war many times and the ONLY time they won, they had a new "Wonder Weapon" which has not yet been invented.
@oscarlebron9088
@oscarlebron9088 6 ай бұрын
I cannot agree nor disagree with you on this. I do not trust the CCP. They already made clear their intentions if they decide to invade Taiwan. Reunification is their main goal and the only way they can accomplish this is through military intervention. The Taiwanese people love their country and their freedom. Only a small percentage of the people would prefer reunification because they identify as chinese. Sure, there will be a diplomatic solution but from my perspective it is only a ploy on the CCP side. China, for all intent and purposes, is using a type of diplomacy that requires no military action without firing a shot or setting foot on the beaches of Taiwan. Example: what they are doing is similar to what they have been doing around the world, and that is convincing other countries to let them build their infrastructure on the conditions that they let the Chinese build a port in their country, but there’s a catch. The CCP is trying to use the same tactics on the Taiwanese government and if they don’t agree than they have no other choice but to attack. As for the US, they have to defend Taiwan because it is in their best interests. Remember, the CCP really doesn’t care about reunification, what they actually want is the manufacturing of the Chips that Taiwan produces every year and controls more than 90% of the market!
@jeromebesson
@jeromebesson 6 ай бұрын
@@antonywooster6783 Tsai Ing-wen’s 2023 American Taiwan finds itself in the same predicament as Manuel Quezon’s 1934-46 American Philippines. US-DOS officials have quietly but repeatedly reminded the Chinese on both shores of the strait that the Republic of China is not a country, Taiwan cannot be independent, and Taiwan is not Chinese territory. China has no legal claim to Taiwan. While the island of Taiwan remains under US occupation, Japan remains the “mainland” of Taiwanese islanders.
@amunra5330
@amunra5330 6 ай бұрын
Taiwanese speak Hakka and mandarin - Hakka from Fujian province and Mandarin from the Mainland and many Taiwanese travel to mainland China to visit their family. If you never been to Taiwan you need to keep quiet.@@jeromebesson
@abcdedfg8340
@abcdedfg8340 6 ай бұрын
@@jeromebesson I think you may be confusing fiction and reality. You okay?
@krissroxxy
@krissroxxy 4 ай бұрын
oh, why is everyone suddenly an expert on China and Taiwan? 🤦‍♀
@yuyuan7204
@yuyuan7204 4 ай бұрын
because people always think they know something while actually they know nothing
@stansony4885
@stansony4885 4 ай бұрын
Because thse idiots like war
@michaelfriscia8166
@michaelfriscia8166 4 ай бұрын
Panda express of course.
@breadgarlichouse2265
@breadgarlichouse2265 4 ай бұрын
praise Korean Jesus 🙏🏼🇰🇷✝️
@2much4skin
@2much4skin 4 ай бұрын
"information gathering"
@jagsfanrick
@jagsfanrick 5 ай бұрын
with water in missles
@L.budz.
@L.budz. 4 ай бұрын
That's propaganda dude, nobody fills missiles in storage, there is no proof of your claim
@stopfartingplease
@stopfartingplease 4 ай бұрын
@@L.budz.WIth the corruption of chinese military I am not suprised.
@stopfartingplease
@stopfartingplease 4 ай бұрын
@devileater2005 me? are u sb, how many Chinese propagandas rotten your brain teen. PRC has said that they will invade Taiwan since 1949 which will never happen.
@newwaveinfantry8362
@newwaveinfantry8362 11 күн бұрын
@@L.budz. This is straight from the Chinese government. They admitted this.
@L.budz.
@L.budz. 11 күн бұрын
@newwaveinfantry8362 Taiwan is China, they can't invade their own land, and Taiwan can't just choose to walk off amd do their own thing without consequences
@99problemsbutafishaintone35
@99problemsbutafishaintone35 5 ай бұрын
Those supersonic missiles full of water will be devastating.
@Nihalthegreat
@Nihalthegreat 4 ай бұрын
unfortunately 1kg of uranium costs less than 20 dollers, and when you know how to use(get the technology) it doesn't take much time to convert the uranium you get from market to uranium to uranium 235(one used in neuclear bombs)
@michaelshannon6134
@michaelshannon6134 5 ай бұрын
A lot of the fears you stoke in this video can be easily countered with two words: complex interdependence. The US and China have intertwined their business interests to such a degree that war, or even getting close to war, is irrational for either of them. These two countries will not act irrationally, and it is extremely unlikely they would go to war with each other. So while most of what you said can be granted as true, it is way more complicated then most of your audience will understand, and they will walk away with the wrong impression because of that.
@marcl.1346
@marcl.1346 5 ай бұрын
They said that as well about Europe and Russia but Europe is not in absolute numbers but relatively by GDP the absolute largest supporter of Ukraine against Russia.
@elmohead
@elmohead 5 ай бұрын
Well luckily for us, humans are super rational beings.
@michaelshannon6134
@michaelshannon6134 5 ай бұрын
@@elmohead I’m not talking about humans, I’m talking about states. China and the US are rational actors, and because of that their behavior is predictable if you know what youre talking about.
@bone3594
@bone3594 5 ай бұрын
China will not risk war with Taiwan or The U.S.. China will more likely go to war with Russia than The U.S. or Taiwan. China and Russia see each other as a geographically threat to each other. China wants all of Manchuria and Siberia back. Chinese President Xi Jinping once said that Vladivostok belongs to China.
@KK-wt1te
@KK-wt1te 5 ай бұрын
​@marcl.1346 Europe isn't at war with Russia. The Ukraine, USA and its puppet NATO is but saying Europe is is silly and just not accurate
@theimmortal4718
@theimmortal4718 4 ай бұрын
Much of the fight relies on guided missiles and their delivery systems. Planes, mobile ground launchers, and naval vessels. The ground launchers like Himars would be the bulk of the firepower actually in Taiwan, along with light infantry and wheeled gun carriers and 155 howitzers. Their air force and navy would be based out of neighboring islands like Japan, the Philippines, and Guam. They wouldn't be trying to berth them or land them on their own island in the event of an invasion
@sergeant64
@sergeant64 4 ай бұрын
It's worth noting that the German invasion of Crete in 1941 was not solely reliant on air drops. An armada of fishing boats was also employed, which the Royal Navy struggled to locate amidst the darkness of night.
@theimmortal4718
@theimmortal4718 4 ай бұрын
@@sergeant64 Great point. People discount the utility of Chinese fishing boats as a powerful tool of the Chinese Navy, which they use to pressure the region. They would definitely be an integral part of any invasion plans
@sergeant64
@sergeant64 4 ай бұрын
@@theimmortal4718 Upon perusing the biography of Xi Jinping, one can discern his propensity for taking risks. He is willing to bear immediate costs in pursuit of long-term benefits. He is cognizant of the fact that the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza present China with a unique, one time, opportunity.
@theimmortal4718
@theimmortal4718 4 ай бұрын
@@sergeant64 I agree. I don't think he's shy about losing a few million troops
@johnwang5336
@johnwang5336 4 ай бұрын
If everyone agrees one China, its call unification, not invasion
@ntro9347
@ntro9347 4 ай бұрын
newsflash: they don't agree
@johnwang5336
@johnwang5336 4 ай бұрын
well, thats just too bad cuz UN recognized... either way, 3-5 years..@@ntro9347
@newwaveinfantry8362
@newwaveinfantry8362 11 күн бұрын
Nobody in Taiwan wants this. This is straight up a land grab by an evil autocracy.
@Henry-xu5jg
@Henry-xu5jg 5 ай бұрын
16:30 the US does simulations where the Chinese military is as its peak at 100% efficiency. It also puts the US military in positions which are nearly un-winnable in order to test and train their forces to respond to these situations. There’s a reason the US has lost all of these simulations so that in the real thing, they don’t.
@klaykid117
@klaykid117 4 ай бұрын
Exactly this. If countries are constantly winning their war games, that means they're not learning any lessons. I when it comes time to actually fight they're going to be very surprised. Just ask the imperial Japanese navy who weren't allowed to lose their own war games
@benbees7681
@benbees7681 4 ай бұрын
Yes this is how they convince congress to give them more money. "We ran the war sim ourselves and we lost. We need more money"
@lucios_7266
@lucios_7266 4 ай бұрын
You are right. Just like the US frequently looses with the F-22 against inferior planes like the Eurofighter is not because the F-22 isn’t that good but rather to test and increase the capabilities of the Military
@StrideX21
@StrideX21 4 ай бұрын
I remember reading that it is actually 120%. But you are right, if you're always winning the war games then you will never learn
@miljororforsprakpartiet290
@miljororforsprakpartiet290 4 ай бұрын
US simulates China's peak power, US can't win and will lose but also not? Confused af
@remo5200
@remo5200 6 ай бұрын
I'm Taiwanese. I think I'm qualified enough to talk about this topic. Taiwan is my hometown. Its perfect democratic system takes care of my safe and healthy growth. Taiwan's health insurance system allows me to spend less than $5 to receive treatment from a doctor and get medicine when I catch a cold or see a dentist, which is something that I have been to in no country. If there is a war, I will defend my home. Although not everyone will think so, there are only three choices for Taiwanese people to choose 1. Defend themselves 2. Choose to give up a democratic and free life 3. Go to the fucking sea to feed fish.
@ebukaobiakor9322
@ebukaobiakor9322 6 ай бұрын
China has massive land and economy, why do they need Taiwan? So wild
@michaelcrossley4716
@michaelcrossley4716 6 ай бұрын
@@ebukaobiakor9322 Unfettered access to the South China Sea and the best computer chip manufacturer in the world.
@yuhucheng4545
@yuhucheng4545 6 ай бұрын
​@@ebukaobiakor9322突破美国在第一岛链建立的封锁网
@Joeythebunny
@Joeythebunny 6 ай бұрын
​@@ebukaobiakor9322He wants TSMC.
@Joeythebunny
@Joeythebunny 6 ай бұрын
I am dual citizenship between Taiwan and Philippines bought my countries are fighting for China aggressiveness. I live Hsinchu City and I've been here for almost of my life. I dont want to.see this will happen my family are here born, studied work in Hsinchu. If this happen. We will not let to be occupy by dictator. Surely we can move in Philippines. but the current governement will never never never give up the Taiwan.
@rocknroll9927
@rocknroll9927 5 ай бұрын
Does the watered down rocket force change your take on this?
@johnlove6194
@johnlove6194 4 ай бұрын
It's already one month, what happen to the invasion?
@yabbagabb00
@yabbagabb00 4 ай бұрын
yeah, it didn't say it's gonna happen in a month, duh
@johnlove6194
@johnlove6194 4 ай бұрын
@@yabbagabb00 Maybe in a century.
@shimsy41
@shimsy41 5 ай бұрын
Quick comment about US war games and why we always lose. In our war games we don't play to win, we play to lose. Sounds backwards i know, but hear me out. When we do training excercises and war games we stack the deck ridiculously against our forces. Imagine playing a brand new game running on brutal difficulty and skipping the tutorial. That's basically what we do. Why? Because failure is a much better teacher than success. It teaches you how to push your men/women to the brink of human endurance and to learn ways to squeeze every ounce of capability out of your equipment. It teaches resiliency and rapid adaptability to changing circumstances. We usually war game with a hand tied behind our back. That way when the real fight comes, we can deliver that quick two-piece 😂
@ntro9347
@ntro9347 4 ай бұрын
as we have seen in Vietnam, Libya, Afghanistan, Iraq, Somalia etc.
@shimsy41
@shimsy41 4 ай бұрын
@@ntro9347 mountains of dead enemies would beg to differ. Don't confuse political failures with military ones.
@ntro9347
@ntro9347 4 ай бұрын
@@shimsy41That is a two way street. It is ultimately the political failures that matter and it is exactly those failures that could render any military victory as irrelevant.
@shimsy41
@shimsy41 4 ай бұрын
@@ntro9347 you said two key words. Military victories. The original post was about war games and our conduct in those war games. Say what you will about failings in whatever conflicts, but they were caused by politics, not the inability of our military.
@ntro9347
@ntro9347 4 ай бұрын
@@shimsy41 My comment was in response to your "quick two piece" remark, which comes across as typical c'tain Murica nonsense - which will come bite you in the ass, one day or the next. There is always politics in war, without the politics war wouldn't be there to begin with. So, it is entirely normal for political decision making (or lack thereoff) to influence the course of war. There are no quick two pieces, no decisive battles that have won any wars recently. Modern warfare is about strategy, intelligence and most importantly patience, because modern wars are not won in a few days. Like it or not, the US did not only lose Vietnam (or Korea for that matter) due to political reasons alone. Fighting a protracted war against a highly mobile guerilla style army has never suited the US very well (or other nations for that matter) and eventually the will to fight is just gone. We have seen so in Afghanistan with both the USSR and the US "getting out", in Vietnam, in Iraq, also Israel is probably looking at a similar scenario. A China - US war will play out completely differently ofcourse, but also in that scenario I do not see any option where the US is able to beat China quickly (besides a succesful first strike with WMD's). In any case, "playing" war games to lose makes complete sense, so no argument from me in that regard. But if you play to lose, you should also have that mindset mentally - which you clearly don't. ;)
@riceball4u172
@riceball4u172 6 ай бұрын
11:55 that's the same as saying why does the US have 800+ military base surrounding china if you dont intend to use them.
@holdogeholdoge9346
@holdogeholdoge9346 4 ай бұрын
What movie was the never get in a land war with China from?
@YouTubeCensorsEverything
@YouTubeCensorsEverything 5 ай бұрын
War is always the worst possible outcome. Every focus needs to be on preventing it.
@williamcallahan600
@williamcallahan600 5 ай бұрын
Are you really basing your whole analysis on the fact that a government is encouraging blood donation? This is totally absurd.
@oldschoolamericangentlemen7934
@oldschoolamericangentlemen7934 6 ай бұрын
Been hearing this for decades and nothings happened. Believe it when I see it
@Bill-qz8jv
@Bill-qz8jv 6 ай бұрын
Never underestimate the probability of bad things happening. History has shown that the world order changes about once every 80 years. It's been that long since WWII. We're about due.
@user-kg4jv4gr3d
@user-kg4jv4gr3d 6 ай бұрын
But you know as they say you never know out of the blue it might happen and it might catch you surprisingly.
@thetechgenie7374
@thetechgenie7374 6 ай бұрын
The problem is don’t want to see it. Yes they been saying for decades but timing wasn’t good. Now is a different story. Hopefully they don’t or a peaceful compromise on both sides, but likely going to happen sooner then later. They definitely been preparing for it and a lot more so lately, so something in the works?
@clawzdayz980
@clawzdayz980 5 ай бұрын
Xi is 70.. do you really thin he will wait till hes 80?
@marechuber
@marechuber 5 ай бұрын
@@user-kg4jv4gr3d Like Putin did with Ukraine,Putin,”Oh I’m not going to invade”. Same ole un-plausible deniability’s and lies from Putin and Xi.
@mattbarnes3451
@mattbarnes3451 5 ай бұрын
This is a very poorly studied copy paste of a bunch of other KZbin clips
@user-cm2bu3os4q
@user-cm2bu3os4q 4 ай бұрын
To be honest, the part of social creddit is totally shit. You probably didn't investgate it yourself, but copy other's rumors and jokes. The picture that a chinese man showed in the video belongs to zhima xinyong from ZHI Fu Bao(Alipay), which is a citizen enterprise led by Ma Yun, as a part of Alibaba, but not governmental so called "social credits".
@tiendaweii
@tiendaweii 6 ай бұрын
While the thoughtful content is appreciated, I think the analysis here misses at least one fundamental point: by holding "Taiwanese unification" as the imaginary balm to keep the public's attention off of their actual problems, even though unification wouldn't solve China's problems by a long shot, the CCP is able to keep national attention off of their concrete problems and on a projected dream, the final symbolic attainment of "Making China Great Again." If China forces the issue and becomes history's new pariah - if Xi becomes the new Hitler - the Chinese people would see how empty the dream was. The war and ensuing global backlash would devastate China. Only by *not* unifying can Taiwan maintain its real value to the CCP.
@agaragar21
@agaragar21 6 ай бұрын
Its about making it to tomorrow ......not 5 years form now .......always ask yourself what is the NEXT most important thing to XI to Completely know a Dictators mind ! That is Unification thru demonization and Nationalism....Thats a 100 % indication of WAR !!
@youarebeingtrolled6954
@youarebeingtrolled6954 6 ай бұрын
If taiwan votes to unify, do you think the usa will let it happen? Nope, they will turn taipei into gaza city just to destroy TSMC😂
@ballngm64
@ballngm64 6 ай бұрын
@@youarebeingtrolled6954 I was gonna say, "Are you serious?" But then I saw TSMC and well, we just might have to lol
@bcomp12
@bcomp12 6 ай бұрын
A sentiment essentially shared by Peter Zeihan, whether he's truly credible or not, it makes sense and the evidence is there.
@Rob_F8F
@Rob_F8F 6 ай бұрын
​@@youarebeingtrolled6954Taiwan may not vote for independence but it is much, much less likely to vote for reunification after the way Xi reneged on the Chinese promise to leave the Hong Kong system untouched for 50 years.
@entwine
@entwine 5 ай бұрын
Good video, but I think it's important to also note how costly an invasion of Taiwan would be for China, in terms of international trade. I think that the evidence that you present could also be interpreted to mean that China wants to create a situation where it's clear that they could take over Taiwan militarily and nobody could stop them. This way they could force everyone's hand and push for peaceful reunification. China could also wait until a more China-friendly politician is in power in Taiwan and then create a situation where they would be faced with a choice between a war that is very likely to devastate Taiwan and a reunification on attractive terms. Anyway, the military scenario definitely can't be excluded and the advice to not travel to Taiwan in April, May and August is solid.
@kevo8137
@kevo8137 5 ай бұрын
Sounds familiar and scary
@user-gr7dz8vg1d
@user-gr7dz8vg1d 5 ай бұрын
You think the chi-coms are concerned with cost?!
@entwine
@entwine 5 ай бұрын
@@user-gr7dz8vg1d if the cost is bad enough to impact CCPs control of China, they would take it into consideration. Otherwise probably not really.
@usuariodelgoogle
@usuariodelgoogle 5 ай бұрын
That's bla bla bla, The same thing they said would happen with Russia and the "sanctions." Trade continues with Russia, gas from Russia passes through Ukraine to the rest of Europe. And we are talking about Russia, which should not have even 1/4 of China's industry and not as many exports and businesses as China.
@entwine
@entwine 5 ай бұрын
@@usuariodelgoogle some trade with Russia continues of course, but many gods are not sold to Russia anymore and gas exports are significantly down. Russian economy coped well so far but some of the sanctions truly kicked in only recently and the issues are piling up. I think it's too early to say that Russia got out of it unscathed. With China the trade is much greater so it would be a completely different ball game, much harder for everyone, but also more painful for China if the sanctions happen.
@TommyBoyB
@TommyBoyB 5 ай бұрын
What's the name of the song that starts playing at 3:58 ?
@TommyBoyB
@TommyBoyB 5 ай бұрын
Found it, Skilled In The Arts by Johannes Bornlöf, absolutely fantastic.
@lchpdmq
@lchpdmq 4 ай бұрын
They aren’t prepared militarily
@jbqu3142
@jbqu3142 6 ай бұрын
The Chinese invasion of Taiwan OR how a big country lost its armada.
@MarYo88888
@MarYo88888 6 ай бұрын
Invasion This word only matches the Japan, Germany, USA, UK, Israel and Russia! China never invade or start a war with anyone. Very peaceful country!
@ljp0213
@ljp0213 6 ай бұрын
Taiwan is part of China, and China does not want to attack Taiwan, as long as the United States does not provoke a war on Taiwan.
@teodorachim4757
@teodorachim4757 6 ай бұрын
Atop underestimating China they will surprise you. When China will ready to take Taiwan they will take it and nobody will be able to do nothing about it… is just a matter of when not if
@hansolo1804
@hansolo1804 6 ай бұрын
@@MarYo88888 , LOL , somehow all the small countries around China will disagree with you.
@israelmoreno3620
@israelmoreno3620 6 ай бұрын
tibet ?the islands in the 10 dash line ? ect ect ......@@MarYo88888
@kalin6149
@kalin6149 6 ай бұрын
The thing about war games is a bit of a red herring. We intentionally put ourselves in a poor situation (sneak attacks, lack of strategic operations in area, resulting in us needing to move respurces around) its intentional as its better to fail and learn from that, than do what the chinese war games oppenly announce (100% wins every time).
@localmotivator3377
@localmotivator3377 5 ай бұрын
I swear you guys intentionally do this to increase the defense budget lol
@joshshepherd5660
@joshshepherd5660 5 ай бұрын
​@localmotivator3377 I swear you actually think you might be kidding lol you aren't. And that definitely happens.
@CCGNZ65
@CCGNZ65 5 ай бұрын
I agree,we purposely lose to learn,winning all the time is false security w/disastrous consequences.
@gil-sx9yh
@gil-sx9yh 5 ай бұрын
How can they loose? we have made our country weak and on the verge of economic collapse, when the dollar collapses how will we be able to pay China for the trillions we have borrowed, They wont just let it slide so what happens then? And all the friends of the CCP (Congress) that keep spending on things that have no benefit to us, Billions to Ukraine, hundreds of billions for dozens of country's in U.S aid for things like LGBTQ studies, and no accounting for where or who is getting our tax money, or the billions of dollars in equipment left to our enemies in Afghanistan and the hundreds of billions we will now have to borrow to support the twenty million or more foreigners that have been allowed to just walk in to our country with no means of support, and don't forget the billions for the "climate emergency" and by the time i'm finished with this we will be in debt for more then thirty three .five trillion dollars. plus our military is under 25% less enlistments then we need just to maintain the minimum armed forces readiness, and now we teach pronoun's and inclusiveness instead of how to kill the enemy. So in a nut shell, We have been sold out!
@Cube_Box
@Cube_Box 5 ай бұрын
I call this coping lol Man WW3 is so close and I don't see a good outcome of it
@fluffinaboot
@fluffinaboot 4 ай бұрын
That was brilliant how that was explained and revealed. I'm updated with those happenings well now. Thanks for such a well presented and informative report on that urgent report.
@kristoffer3000
@kristoffer3000 4 ай бұрын
This is undeniably unashamed propaganda and even the most unintelligent amongst us should be able to see that... but I guess not.
@2b_0r_n0t_2b
@2b_0r_n0t_2b 4 ай бұрын
second video of yours i'm watching - first saudi - we think alike subscribed keep up the good work
@deanfirnatine7814
@deanfirnatine7814 5 ай бұрын
The best weather months in the Taiwan Strait for a amphibious invasion are April or October. According to Ian Easton's "Chinese Invasion Threat (2019)", from page 150, I quote; "Given these limitations, PLA materials express a belief that there are only two realistic time windows open for invading Taiwan. The first is from late March to the end of April. The second is from late September to the end of October. During these two periods, winds are usually light, and waves low."
@brianmck7363
@brianmck7363 5 ай бұрын
Would Taiwan shoot back into mainland China if they were fired upon?? I would hope so?
@rangvald4036
@rangvald4036 5 ай бұрын
@@brianmck7363of course
@adamelghalmi9771
@adamelghalmi9771 5 ай бұрын
@@brianmck7363 they would, but it would all be shot down. the chinese build stuff for cheap, but its pretty high quality
@brianmck7363
@brianmck7363 5 ай бұрын
@@adamelghalmi9771 I don’t think so most of the Chinese weapons are full of PROPAGANDA
@AFuller2020
@AFuller2020 5 ай бұрын
September is Typhoon season, more crap.
@ammanus356
@ammanus356 5 ай бұрын
I love how he doesn't understand what the One China Policy is. It isn't a written rule forbidding trade with both, it's the policy of accepting that there is only one Chinese government, "keeping the status quo"
@TJ-gb8qj
@TJ-gb8qj 5 ай бұрын
Jesus Christ is Lord. Your government will be judged
@DanaVastman
@DanaVastman 5 ай бұрын
​@@TJ-gb8qjsound like a zombie wackadoodle to me
@lordhoweproductions3733
@lordhoweproductions3733 5 ай бұрын
China has no sovereignty over Taiwan. The CCP has never been in charge of Taiwan, never. They never will, democracy will succeed.
@RaymondLi604
@RaymondLi604 5 ай бұрын
Ha, even less likely to appreciate the nuance from the one China "principle". Still, good efforts... in progress ⌛. I mean, still CCP? 😮
@Pizza3.0
@Pizza3.0 4 ай бұрын
@@DanaVastmanA lot of what you’re seeing today is actually written in the Bible, it’s not a coincidence, it’s destiny, it was written well before this happened, it was very vague but this is what the Bible is talking about but you’re just another blind sheep that’s wandered into the wolf’s den and you continue to believe false prophets & empty promises. Call me crazy now but I won’t be crazy when you see for yourself. Have yourself a wonderful day Mr.Blind Sheep.
@jeremyboughtono2
@jeremyboughtono2 4 ай бұрын
An ampibiious invasion would be a massive undertaking and it could easily fail. Also the other pacific states are unlikely to sit by and wait for their turn.
@stevenwilliams3015
@stevenwilliams3015 4 ай бұрын
Keep deceiving yourself
@jeremyboughtono2
@jeremyboughtono2 4 ай бұрын
@@stevenwilliams3015 The recently revealed systemic corruption in their armed forces makes Russia look good.
@smconner77
@smconner77 5 ай бұрын
Well, this video didn't age well.
@RenagadeHoliday
@RenagadeHoliday 5 ай бұрын
Nice little starting channel! Very good production clear good clips I think you did a great job im sure this will go far if you keep it up
@titob.yotokojr.9337
@titob.yotokojr.9337 6 ай бұрын
Winnie the Pooh barks too much and too many times.
@clifforddavis8084
@clifforddavis8084 6 ай бұрын
That's ok, The US will shut him up.
@user-yw4rx6kb3r
@user-yw4rx6kb3r 6 ай бұрын
​@@clifforddavis8084the Yemen houthies just blown out of the sky an American military drone about 3 weeks ago. Yemen houthies still talking.
@Keshly16
@Keshly16 6 ай бұрын
Just wait.
@joselitonaranjo3234
@joselitonaranjo3234 6 ай бұрын
@@user-yw4rx6kb3ryou must be islamic,communist or a terrorist
@user-ry3fi2iw4e
@user-ry3fi2iw4e 6 ай бұрын
Pooh the bully always like to provoke neighboring country.
@gansengtan
@gansengtan 4 ай бұрын
Losing in the war games is very useful for any military to have to opportunity to get well prepared to make sure of winning in the real war.
@Oxygen97
@Oxygen97 5 ай бұрын
But you said Saudi Arabia is going to run the 2030s in the other video. So that means WW3 won’t happen lol. Make your mind up, don’t insult your viewers.
@alonkilci4352
@alonkilci4352 5 ай бұрын
Before 2022 I used to believe that Russia would never fully invade Ukraine and that China would never invade Taiwan as long as it continued to be a US backed ally. I thought Putin and Xi were evil but smart and rational actors who wouldn't cross certain lines. Unfortunately, the full scale Russian invasion of Ukraine did end up completely changing my worldview on these countries. His actions in Ukraine along with his own speeches and essays on the country have now convinced me that Putin is an insane imperialist. And it has made me more concerned for Taiwan since China has almost the same irredentist and expansionist ambitions. When I see people claiming it would be ''irrational'' for China to invade Taiwan and listing the negative impacts it would have, I am not convinced by it because it's almost the same arguments people would claim to deny a Russian invasion of Ukraine ever happening. I'm just preparing for it mentally and hoping for the best.
@jeremykaleschenkoikov6993
@jeremykaleschenkoikov6993 5 ай бұрын
I wouldn’t call what Russia has done a “full scale” invasion. It’s more a half hearted incursion. They didn’t even mobilize and conscript.
@george3697
@george3697 5 ай бұрын
Russia never fully invaded Ukraine, necause if they did, war would be over in weeks.
@sullathehutt7720
@sullathehutt7720 5 ай бұрын
Russia has not fully invaded the Ukraine tho. The "insane empire" is NATO, not Russia. Just look at how many people they murdered in Libya, in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Afghanistan. Look at the White House, look at Downing Street lol. That's where the "insanity" is. 😄
@pavelsokov
@pavelsokov 5 ай бұрын
same, sadly
@sukema
@sukema 5 ай бұрын
你说有没有一种可能,台湾问题是中国内政,台湾可不是乌克兰那样的独立国家哦,台湾只是一个省
@superdude4635
@superdude4635 6 ай бұрын
We all have wants, but following them are two different things. Let’s hope that we’re all wrong and this never happens. Happy Holidays 🤙
@kesonghu6306
@kesonghu6306 4 ай бұрын
Aaron you quoted the inso-pacific commander of the US navy AND the Taiwan defense minister on the China threat??? Do you have any idea of something called "conflict of interest"?
@rw6956
@rw6956 4 ай бұрын
You should provide dates for the footage, especially the speeches
@AlessandroRodriguez
@AlessandroRodriguez 6 ай бұрын
sound terrifying, but it isn't: 15:30 china can't prevent telegraph their moves, russia take almost a month of obvious preparations in a land invasion, and this will be a sea invasion, the few Ro-Ro ship able to transport vehicles take a lot of time to load, not to mention that their "carrier" take between 24-48 hrs of buildup power to began movement. attacking while their carrier are docked or only sending troops will be a "peculiar" kind of invasion. 16:30 all war gaming in US are playing in losing condition, not much can be learn if your army roflstomp the enemy. 18:00 the "empty bins" reports was about the extra munition, not the strategic munition already reserved for that conflict in particular, a case cloud be make that said reserves can't be replenished for the second invasion, but that a highly theorical scenario. 23:00 The default mentioned is referred to the "house market bubble" and since china give priority to chinese debtors is a reason for the disparities in defaults 24:00 an approximate 20% increase in import when is projecting to doubling their consumption won't necessarily indicate a stockpiling of coal, also, even when Saudis do not adhere to sanctions, their ports will be blockaded and no sensible insurance company will allow ships to travel in a warzone, no to mention that said companies are all western companies. others topics no mentioned and that may affect the invasion, many are rumor, many are unconfirmed: - 24:40 even when there is no official intelligence about their silos, their storage techniques seem to be so abysmal the a 30%-65% of the grain is lost each year. - Lack of vertical integration of china chain of command, xi doesn't receive strategic info, as it happen with the spy ballon debacle, china blackouts, china covid deaths, young unpleoyment, erroneous census data, etc. etc - corruption: Same as russia, reaching critical level if the rumor of their third carrier, cracked for the faulty steel used. - long war: it is clear that sweeping victories of territory like the first russian invasion of ukranie aren't happening again, sanctions will be playing even a bigger role than now and will affect even more the chinese economy. - Freedom of navigation: will US defend chinese interest overseas? that alone open a whole can of worms....
@denmarjonn1484
@denmarjonn1484 6 ай бұрын
ahahhahahaha
@franklinedam9452
@franklinedam9452 6 ай бұрын
Ooo perspective I didn’t know. Great food for thought on the global view.
@inospal
@inospal 5 ай бұрын
Mediocre analysis that skips many points that are relevant to the topic. Currently, China have many socio-economics problems like housing market crisis, health cost skyrocketing, younger generation being dissatisfied with how they can't advance in careers, society getting old etc. and I can agree it can lead to the war. Problems that I have listed would really cut their legs if it would spiral into long conflict like the one in Ukraine, especially since people of China were obedient to the communist rule so long as prosperity continues so Taiwan invasion would be "go fast or go home". You also don't look at broader picture with some arguments used, for example - blood donations. China really struggles with blood shortage since covid policies and disease itself really scared people away from doing that which in correlation with aging population causes serious shortages which makes government take action towards helping with issue hence bonus social score for it. You can't attribute everything to war effort just because it fits your vision without factchecking
@kittara8
@kittara8 5 ай бұрын
Me watching this a month before going on an exchange to Taiwan: 👁👄👁
@simm1790
@simm1790 4 ай бұрын
Come to London instead :)
@PELBTOR
@PELBTOR 4 ай бұрын
Your course "war promotion" is also free?
@Randy2747
@Randy2747 5 ай бұрын
Five years ago preping meant you was SCARED !, now it's SMART to be a prepper!
@dingusmoped
@dingusmoped 5 ай бұрын
As Mike Tyson said, "Everyone's got a plan until they get punched in the face."
@spear8492
@spear8492 5 ай бұрын
Exactly.
@peterm6386
@peterm6386 4 ай бұрын
“Worse than anything we have experienced in our lifetime” Boy, does that line get thrown around easily.
@3.-_7---_739
@3.-_7---_739 9 күн бұрын
no way we getting ww3 before GTA 6😭😭🙏🙏
@dandaintac388
@dandaintac388 5 ай бұрын
Aaron, although there are plausible alternative explanations for many items you list as reasons to believe China will invade, all of them put together are very compelling, and I've reached the same conclusion as you before I saw this video. A cautionary note about US war games, I swear every US war game winds up with the US losing bad. I think the purpose is to stack the odds against the US, and assume everything goes perfectly for the opposition, and that they have far greater competency than usually turns out to be the case. The idea is to highlight potential problems on our side so we can address them. For example, I seem to remember reading in the late 80s about US war games that show Iraq rolling to victory over US/Saudi forces. I think in the event of an attempt Chinese invasion, it would go very bad for them. Amphibious operations are the most complex and difficult of all military operations, and as far as I can tell, China has zero experience at all, and the Chinese military only limited combat experience generally. As you note, there are only a few beaches on Taiwan where an amphibious operation is even possible, and only a few months out of the year where it is possible The Chinese troops will be drafted, and the Taiwanese will be fighting for their lives and homes. The USA and Taiwan will know months in advance when an invasion is coming, and where. They will mine the straights and the beaches are already mined. The straights will become a bloody kill zone, with mines, shells and missiles slaughtering the invasion fleet. Taiwan will set the beaches on fire, and there will be razor wire, booby traps, and the mountains above the beaches have thousands of artillery pieces in bunkers and under camouflage nets, ready to rain millions of shells on the invasion beaches. And I have no doubt there are thousands more decoy artillery pieces as well. Taiwan has bunkers, tunnels, pillboxes galore all over the island, and will call up a million or more reservists. China's army will suffer from the usual problems we see with authoritarian societies--lack of initiative, officers afraid to make sound tactical decisions on-site, and waiting for orders from very high up. Troops being lied to that it is only an exercise, and lacking motivation. A total lack of regard from high up for the basic welfare of the ordinary soldier. Unrealistic goals motivated by politics rather than military considerations. A strong motivation on the part of junior officers to exaggerate gains and achievements, and downplay setbacks and losses. Lack of a sound, professional NCO corp. Taiwan has stockpiles of fuel, food and ammo, and in the months leading up to the invasion, the US and Japan will airlift in a lot more. The risks to China are enormous. None of China's neighbors appears likely to assist them, and many inclined more to assist Taiwan. Taiwan will declare independence, and if it appears likely to succeed, there will be many more who will recognize Taiwan as an independent nation. Failure to succeed will be a truly massive loss-of-face for China, and the CCP's premier, Xi or his successor, would almost certainly be deposed, maybe executed.
@chris2kostya
@chris2kostya 5 ай бұрын
Good points
@tmjz7327
@tmjz7327 5 ай бұрын
LMFAO the fact that you typed all that, thought it sounded intelligent and thoughtful, and hit send, is utterly pathetic but also hilarious
@AlexandriaTheSecond
@AlexandriaTheSecond 5 ай бұрын
Im sorry for what happened 😢
@31869
@31869 5 ай бұрын
The risk to America so much greater so I ask why would 🇺🇸 I interfere with a 🇨🇳 issue It's unlikely to occur but if so 🇺🇸will lose badly which will bring about the , Great ReSet
@DebunkingLeftistPropaganda
@DebunkingLeftistPropaganda 5 ай бұрын
​@@tmjz7327 Cope and seethe, Wu Mao bot. Now get back to work, you got 330 more comments left until your shift ends. Get to it.
@ArchHaunter
@ArchHaunter 6 ай бұрын
Always said from the beginning that lean manufacturing would be our downfall. Even in the factories themselves we are seeing machines being bandaided instead of fixed correctly because the machines can not be down and projected down time is months in the future so the bandaids continue to stack untill the machine catastrophicly fail and even then we are told fix it just enough to get it running again.
@hangtuah888
@hangtuah888 6 ай бұрын
What level of education did you attained? How about learning how to spell as deplorables also need their mother tongue to communicate? Or in your case, the stupid gene is too far gone?
@iancormie9916
@iancormie9916 6 ай бұрын
Just-in-time manufacturing is total BS the monent the supply system is upset. We saw this with Covid and the shutdowns. The Ukraine War has also clearly demonstrated that the arms manufacturers have not stepped up to the plate nor has the Congress.
@antonywooster6783
@antonywooster6783 6 ай бұрын
JIT=JTL!
@ipadworkim5460
@ipadworkim5460 6 ай бұрын
Welfare and benefits are America's downfall. Why can't America work without them, China can!
@ethanhare3635
@ethanhare3635 6 ай бұрын
“Muller Copper Tubing,” is like this. A lot of furniture factories are like this as well.. Toyota’s factory was good though😂👍
@mustafajalil5173
@mustafajalil5173 16 күн бұрын
You do a great job I really appreciate you taking time and making it so listenable and informative
@jeffwu5909
@jeffwu5909 4 ай бұрын
Hi guy,do you know the history of civil war in China and Constitution in TW?who is the situation changer ?
@black5f
@black5f 6 ай бұрын
China has an off switch. China imports most of it's coal, it's used for steel making. 3/4 of a ton per ton of steel, from Australia. It imports all it's gas and 80% of it's oil, mostly from western countries.
@Alacrity23688
@Alacrity23688 5 ай бұрын
Attempting an invasion is very risky for the Chicoms. The US may have some yet unknown capability that sends all their troop carriers and logistical support ships to the bottom of the Taiwan Strait. Much safer to just blockade Taiwan, wait until the island depletes its stores and then offer a deal like Hong Kong got. Historically sieges were very much preferred to assaults
@millennium677
@millennium677 5 ай бұрын
truth but a Siege is a declaration of war so it would be war anyway
@lovetoedit
@lovetoedit 5 ай бұрын
Look how Hong Kong worked out for them :)
@millennium677
@millennium677 5 ай бұрын
@@lovetoedit thing is kong kong was already apart of China no invasion was needed just under a different system that the British put in place but good luck taking Taiwan the same way.
@Ryan-wx8of
@Ryan-wx8of 5 ай бұрын
Fingers crossed that UFOs are ours.
@vueport99
@vueport99 4 ай бұрын
Unfortunately there's a segment of Taiwaness population who believes China is benign or benevolent. They've been living in peace for too long they lost their senses. Also they're the result of the billion dollar CCP brain washing machine
@raymondmaybery1516
@raymondmaybery1516 4 ай бұрын
Very Informative & Great Video🎉🎉
@armored_variant9740
@armored_variant9740 5 ай бұрын
Oh they're gonna invade using rockets with water as fuel? Amusing
@nihaojxjx
@nihaojxjx 6 ай бұрын
China uses 25% of the U.S. defense budget to build its military, which is considered to be divorced from economic rationality. What do you think of U.S. defense spending?
@wysinawyg
@wysinawyg 6 ай бұрын
Do not underestimate the "bang for buck" factor aka purchasing power parity which is min. 6:1 in favour of china.
@rushanrozi3942
@rushanrozi3942 6 ай бұрын
China has numerous moles, civilian soldiers across the globe, plus private armies, mafia, organised criminals that serve China's interests. How do you calculate these Chinese hybrid defense spending?
@multipl3
@multipl3 6 ай бұрын
@@rushanrozi3942and where has it got them?
@rushanrozi3942
@rushanrozi3942 6 ай бұрын
@multipl3 Everywhere. Tongxianghui, Chinese Students & Scholars Association etc are all Chinese government organizations that operate overseas
@zl4384
@zl4384 6 ай бұрын
@@rushanrozi3942 我也很希望中国有
@peterwickham9984
@peterwickham9984 6 ай бұрын
I live in Taiwan, been here 25 years, there is no threat of invasion from China.
@michaelcrossley4716
@michaelcrossley4716 6 ай бұрын
That's what Ukrainians were saying. I hope you're right though. Taiwan wouldn't be a walk in the park that's for sure.
@Waterfromthesky29
@Waterfromthesky29 6 ай бұрын
Lol. I’ve been watching videos of this Ukranian youtuber, she said the same thing before Russians invaded Ukraine.
@jajaja7
@jajaja7 6 ай бұрын
This biased channel is obviously baiting for views and Likes. Shit stirrer. Very selective excerpts and clips used, to purposely poke trouble.
@bearlife101
@bearlife101 6 ай бұрын
I don't know about that I wouldn't be so sure
@graveripper69
@graveripper69 6 ай бұрын
The irony of some Ukraine people
@jebpleace1167
@jebpleace1167 5 ай бұрын
We have all been waiting for this
@joshturner707
@joshturner707 4 ай бұрын
Very informative love how you broke it down
@jakecrawford9787
@jakecrawford9787 6 ай бұрын
I feel like we all need to be aware of what you’re video is presenting but I feel like they know right now is a bad time to invade. I think being alarmed by the information you present is a wise thing and I pray our government is also alarmed. Fear can be a powerful motivator
@gil-sx9yh
@gil-sx9yh 5 ай бұрын
Our government is the only reason we have to even have this conversation, it is them that have made China our new masters.and made any conservative that votes for Trump the new terrorists and the biggest threat to our "Democracy" sense pearl harbor, or the 9-11 attack, not the communist's or the invasion on our borders. but it's American citizens? So tell me how our government is alarmed when it's their fault we are in this very dangerous position, And having a president that has taken millions from China in bribes makes me wonder for what?
@medic4christ777
@medic4christ777 5 ай бұрын
Bad time to invade? The entire world is distracted with Ukraine and Israel. America is weak, and the weakest president in US history sits in the Oval Office. Now is the perfect time. What are you talking about? lol
@kaytan7222
@kaytan7222 6 ай бұрын
Hi, which year do you think the attack would happen? And why do you believe that the attack would happen in April, May or August e.g weather? @AaronWatsonPiper
@AaronWatsonGeo
@AaronWatsonGeo 6 ай бұрын
Yes. That’s when weather and tides are conducive. The window is 2024-2027
@Brian-kl1zu
@Brian-kl1zu 5 ай бұрын
@@AaronWatsonGeo Wouldn't a second Trump presidency change the forecast?
@thed-rex098
@thed-rex098 4 ай бұрын
I actually did a paper specifically where he’s talking about China upping their coal production and coal production facilities, it’s definitely no joke. Whether you look at it from a conservationist view or political, it’s absolutely crazy how high their numbers of both coal and facilities to extract coal have doubled.
@EugeneMarshall-cw1cp
@EugeneMarshall-cw1cp 4 ай бұрын
First time watching you but this was a good story and great job i will be following you 👍
@WhoIsTheEdman
@WhoIsTheEdman 6 ай бұрын
The weight of evidence seems overwhelming, but it really feels as if you should've addressed possible counterarguments in this same video.
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368 6 ай бұрын
Or how every single year during the months of the calmer seas of the Taiwan Strait, China ALWAYS signals it's going to invade. This video is just playing into that.
@joewanyoike2993
@joewanyoike2993 6 ай бұрын
I don't think your wrong, war inevitable. I also know china doesn't want war but they must, it says so in their constitution. "If all possible peaceful means of reunification have been exhausted they shall use force "
@Drew-sy2bn
@Drew-sy2bn 6 ай бұрын
Then clearly they do want war
@matthewtanner5127
@matthewtanner5127 5 ай бұрын
they have an authoritarian dictator, you think Xi gives a fuck about their constitution?
@Ivan.A.Trulyuski
@Ivan.A.Trulyuski 5 ай бұрын
Taiwan is not blameless, they must officially change their name away from “Republic of China” and give up their claim to own and control mainland China.
@iROChakri
@iROChakri 5 ай бұрын
​@@Drew-sy2bn If America want war, they will also want war. Apparently America wants war, sending battle ships across the globe.
@rishav_killerx6011
@rishav_killerx6011 5 ай бұрын
I don't think they will invade
@rooh1981
@rooh1981 4 ай бұрын
You clearly don't know how war games work. Think of it as both hands behind your back and one eye open.
@user-fz4rq4bx1m
@user-fz4rq4bx1m 4 ай бұрын
Your title is the best example of you gotta be loud rather than realistic in eye catching business
@catherinetrinh3260
@catherinetrinh3260 5 ай бұрын
Very good analysis. My only problem with it is that it omits the forces of Viet Nam, Japan, Philippines, Australia, and other nations under the threat of Chinese aggression.
@Slowmo896
@Slowmo896 5 ай бұрын
Agree this guy knows Jack about how the USA japans.koreas ,and Australia’s bases are set up, and plus China can’t fight its way out of a paper bag, it’s navy’s systems are terrible, infact 3 USA navy ships sailed right up to one of Chinas new junk nuke carriers and it didn’t even know we where there until we told them, and then embarrassed Nina by posting pics of their ship..their carriers can’t launch planes their new system keeps dropping planes off the deck into the ocean with a full fuel load and no weapons..
@yzhang2008
@yzhang2008 5 ай бұрын
funny
@HSFY2012
@HSFY2012 5 ай бұрын
@@yzhang2008 You don't think that countries like South Korea, Vietnam, Japan and the Phillipines have unfinished business with China? They'll be raring to take them on again. China has no allies in the region, even countries like India may take the opportunity to reclaim land on their borders. Europe will support the United States/Taiwan also.
@adamelghalmi9771
@adamelghalmi9771 5 ай бұрын
@@HSFY2012 there is russia, and you think that those countries would dare to start another front with china with significantly weaker militaries. carriers are useless without fleets, and fleets are not easy to sink, but if they are sunk the carrier is as good as gone
@DanaVastman
@DanaVastman 5 ай бұрын
​@@adamelghalmi9771I've heard a lot of brain dead zombies talk like this. I wonder which of them are you?
@agentcarbunkle
@agentcarbunkle 5 ай бұрын
Do you think it will happen happen before TSMC has chance to build its new fab in Arizona?
@cuphead5236
@cuphead5236 5 ай бұрын
DEAR FRIENDS ON THE INTERNET IF YOU HEAR ABOUT " SOCIAL CREDIT SYSTEM" NEXT TIME, CLOSE THE VIDEO IMMEDIATELY BECOZ ITS TOO STUBID TO BELIEVE, ITS EMBARRASING SOMESONE TALK ABOUT IT SO SERIOUSLY WHILE ITS JUST A STUPID MEME ON INTERNET
@qazwsxedcrfvtgb8877
@qazwsxedcrfvtgb8877 4 ай бұрын
​@@cuphead5236Dear friend you have lost 200 points for using all caps.
@markcooke5270
@markcooke5270 4 ай бұрын
This was well researched and brilliantly put together... 👍👍 Subbed
@user-xl5nz6nx3y
@user-xl5nz6nx3y 4 ай бұрын
yeah this video is actully speaking the truth not like laowhy86
@keyakaabag6017
@keyakaabag6017 4 ай бұрын
Great video. Very informative!
@richiephillips1541
@richiephillips1541 6 ай бұрын
I'm reading Albert Speer's memoirs. He said that Hitler was shocked that Britain and France actually declared war on Germany after it invaded Poland. Hitler thought that since WWI was such a horror and since it was still relatively fresh on people's minds that no one would dare voluntarily enter into WWII even when bound by a treaty, but they did. One must wonder whether the US will voluntarily enter the world into WWIII, or if it will just quietly allow Taiwan to be invaded.
@sebastienbaeyens2358
@sebastienbaeyens2358 6 ай бұрын
history is war after war. Why would it be different now
@hangtuah888
@hangtuah888 6 ай бұрын
Who is Albert Speer? Is he your mother's lover? Is he well endowed? Or is he black?
@adityajoshi6422
@adityajoshi6422 6 ай бұрын
US will not let Taiwan get invaded else China will have them (and the rest of the world) by the balls due its semiconductor supremacy
@andrewmilesbroughton8222
@andrewmilesbroughton8222 6 ай бұрын
Interesting, they may well have to do that to avoid A pacific conflict, which after the eastern front and Middle east really would be a new world war.
@klausmkl
@klausmkl 6 ай бұрын
American politicians are Globalists, they want war and global government . What better way to install it.
@vipangadhok8625
@vipangadhok8625 6 ай бұрын
china is committed to growth, doubt very much they would invade taiwan
@buravan1512
@buravan1512 6 ай бұрын
-If TAIWAN declares Independence, CHINA wouldn't just sit around and chill.
@eriq54321
@eriq54321 6 ай бұрын
Obtaining tawain is growth, a lot of it
@zyzzkant4733
@zyzzkant4733 5 ай бұрын
Keep growing and get harassed ???
@AlexandriaTheSecond
@AlexandriaTheSecond 5 ай бұрын
Maybe they should improve their toilet instead
@User-jr7vf
@User-jr7vf 5 ай бұрын
@@buravan1512 and why would TAIWAN do that if the current status quo is what benefits them the most
@lordhoweproductions3733
@lordhoweproductions3733 5 ай бұрын
Funny, they can build mock-up aircraft carrier, but they can’t build a real one to save their life 🤣😑🤣😑
@vladimirlenin843
@vladimirlenin843 5 ай бұрын
It's been 70 years and they haven't invaded yet.
@adisura9904
@adisura9904 6 ай бұрын
Interesting that you call territorial powers expansionist, while the examples of maritime power you mention all have had history of brutal expansion. I don't like to bunch the Japanese in the same group as the west but your examples stand on shaky grounds at best
@azaharis
@azaharis 5 ай бұрын
Japan is definitely part of the west. Only country to secure free trade agreements with the United States without concessions. Has a strong military pact with many NATO nations. Japan has increased it's military spending to the highest amount since WW2 along with rewriting portions of it's constitution for offensive capabilities. Unfortunately I do believe by 2027 there will be an attempt to invade Taiwan by China.
@leonfrancis3418
@leonfrancis3418 5 ай бұрын
Western propaganda
@Blackhoodie85
@Blackhoodie85 4 ай бұрын
Yeah, he's an absolute dunce with little to no actual knowledge of history. He can't even pronounce the Chinese president's name correctly.
@gabegringo4155
@gabegringo4155 5 ай бұрын
Very well crafted video and well researched. I agree with the prognostications. The only caveat is that the war game simulations where the USA loses each time is if China uses non-conventional weapons. The same is not true in a purely conventional war. It also depends on other factors such as Japan and India entering the conflict.
@augustusomega4708
@augustusomega4708 5 ай бұрын
Eurasia is one
@tomsmith6513
@tomsmith6513 5 ай бұрын
India entering the conflict? I don't think India shares America's concerns about Taiwan. India follows its own path.
@gabegringo4155
@gabegringo4155 5 ай бұрын
@@tomsmith6513 True, but as a member of the QUAD, India would be interested in taking down China. They clash over their mutual border quite frequently. India may be dissuaded by non-conventional means though.
@Longsilog4920
@Longsilog4920 5 ай бұрын
@gabegringo4, with respect most war game simulations seem to assume that the conflict remains in the South or East China Seas. China's potential achilles heel would be a blockade of any choke points such as the Malacca Strait to communist Chinese merchant shipping. This could force their navy into non-regional battles where the PLA Navy does not have the advantage of land based resupply and aid. India already has a major naval base in the Andoman Islands for example.
@Longsilog4920
@Longsilog4920 5 ай бұрын
@@tomsmith6513 India may have their own conflict with the communist Chinese. Indian defense media are quite open with their strategy to block the Malacca Strait and other choke points from their major naval base in the Andoman Islands in the event of a major communist Chinese invasion or attack in the Himilayas.
@dizshiz
@dizshiz 5 ай бұрын
This will be “ The Event “ we are not going to be able to talk about
@gunner49er
@gunner49er 4 ай бұрын
That was all very interesting so interesting that it’s been the only thing I’ve ever subscribed to
@cliffordambrose2128
@cliffordambrose2128 6 ай бұрын
You seem to have on hand strategical info and evaluated the pro's and cons for this situation, I hope the concerned American ministers are as up on this case as you!
@gil-sx9yh
@gil-sx9yh 5 ай бұрын
Oh they are, it's them that have put us in this very dangerous situation thru greed and treason. Don't expect for anything to get better with the politicians that hate our country and our Constitution.and there are many of them.
@Daniel-tk7rd
@Daniel-tk7rd 5 ай бұрын
Every major country is on route to matching Taiwan’s microchip capabilities including the us. In 10 years Taiwan might not be worth defending anymore. Taiwan’s only hope is to stay 10 steps ahead in the microchip game.
@RickBlaine
@RickBlaine 5 ай бұрын
And if the mainland becomes self-sufficient in chips and the US can't export to the mainland, Taiwan becomes a lost cause. Besides, the US has always won its war games against Iraq, Afghanistan and Vietnam and I'm sure China has noticed!
@user-hk7kd7qq6r
@user-hk7kd7qq6r 5 ай бұрын
@@RickBlaine Do you think the United States has won in Iraq and Afghanistan? Who is the Taliban now?
@yizoho5178
@yizoho5178 5 ай бұрын
@@RickBlaineyou sure us won those wars?
@RickBlaine
@RickBlaine 5 ай бұрын
@@yizoho5178 Sarcasm, the US can't even win a war game against China!
@yizoho5178
@yizoho5178 5 ай бұрын
@@RickBlaine Nobody wins when a war starts.
@L.budz.
@L.budz. 4 ай бұрын
Its not an invasion when you own it already
@vita6910
@vita6910 4 ай бұрын
Facts
@paulrourke4785
@paulrourke4785 4 ай бұрын
No argument here, Many are wearing blinkers.
@MrJchang27
@MrJchang27 5 ай бұрын
US wish China to invade Taiwan. China is not stupid. China has plenty times and ways to force Taiwan "reunited" with China. China is able to take over Taiwan government with military action within a few days. Why China is not doing it? What happened in HK? It is a good example. East and West are very different in many ways.
@garryhuang6652
@garryhuang6652 5 ай бұрын
I really appreciate your video, which brings attention to this important topic. As an ex-Taiwanese special force operator, I will fight to my last breath to protect our democratic ways of life and my children. Please remember that we're not just some "remote island". If we fall, the first island chain breaks, and Taiwan strait becomes Chinese controlled. From the east coast of Taiwan, China will then be able to send its nuclear submarines to the Pacific without the US knowing it, and the whole west coast of the US will be under the fire range of their submarines. Japan and Korea may also have to bow to China because most of their energy supplies and trades go through the Taiwan strait. US influences will be significantly weakened, and most likely the US dollar will collapse as a result. If you think carefully, we are more like a gatekeeper of the free world.
@I.AM.1990
@I.AM.1990 5 ай бұрын
Stay strong, sir! My complete support and respect is with you and with the people of Taiwan! Best regards,
@lukasjohnson5050
@lukasjohnson5050 4 ай бұрын
Are you imagining it? Have you ever been to China? Just say that China is undemocratic. I am a Chinese. I have been to the whole island of Taiwan. When I get off from Taoyuan Airport, I feel backward compared to China. Taiwan has always been controlled by the United States. Are you free?
@lukasjohnson5050
@lukasjohnson5050 4 ай бұрын
There are many US military bases on the island of Taiwan. Are other countries' troops allowed to be stationed in a normal area? What are you free of?
@superhao821
@superhao821 4 ай бұрын
so you prefer to be a dog of US ? sounds so patriotic! This video is totally hypothetical, war between the strait does no good to either side's economy and would ruled out the slim chance of peaceful reunification after so many loss of life which would be less harmony but more hatred (if ever gonna happen ofc). US wouldn't bother to sending their fleet to rescue Taiwan should the war broke out just like Ukraine though, the DPP of Taiwan does not have the gut to declare independence and should learn the hard lesson from Ukraine.
@kevins1852
@kevins1852 4 ай бұрын
​@@superhao821You have the temerity to post that crap after all the schitt the CCP has put its citizens through the last several years, and really since the Chinese Civil War???? No one in their right mind would want to live under the CCP regime. 😱
@svndwich977
@svndwich977 4 ай бұрын
yeah turns out a recent scandal showed a lot of their missiles are filled with water instead of fuel
@AB1Vampire
@AB1Vampire 5 ай бұрын
I don't think PRC could pull it off. PRC does not have the speed to gain the required momentum.
@pochcalpadlos
@pochcalpadlos 5 ай бұрын
For those who say its no rational for China to attack, because of their economy connected to west. I can just say.. I thought the same about Russia..
@alexanderk6121
@alexanderk6121 5 ай бұрын
Exactly. Rational people wouldn't do that. But we're talking about dictators here. Absolute power corrupts.
@elestromusicgamesfun1101
@elestromusicgamesfun1101 5 ай бұрын
What people don't realize is that our production is connected to China as well in the west. If we cut ties, we will suffer too.
@siuwong4588
@siuwong4588 5 ай бұрын
The problem is always that, ppl only see things through their own lens. So they have surprises. Rational? Do those dictators are normal rational ppl? Honestly? Lol
@adamelghalmi9771
@adamelghalmi9771 5 ай бұрын
@@alexanderk6121 china would suffer, but so would the west. which is why i don't think that the west would cut all ties, especially not immediately. even if they did, china has the whole rest of the world to sell to, including it's nieghbors like india, russia, indonesia, middle east, south america (mostly) shall i go on? basically if they lose 1t consumers, they still have another 5.5t
@lordhoweproductions3733
@lordhoweproductions3733 5 ай бұрын
Look how poorly it’s going for Russia lol
@htc6441
@htc6441 6 ай бұрын
You just love war don't you?
@maroman38
@maroman38 4 ай бұрын
We can now unfortunately say-our children will experience WWIII
@CrystallineFoxCF
@CrystallineFoxCF 5 ай бұрын
Ah, coming here after finding out about the water filled BMs and how terribly a good chunk of their military equipment functions is way too funny
@jubjub7101
@jubjub7101 5 ай бұрын
Although it’s possible, the economic fallout from similar sanctions we placed on Russia would be devastating for them. China is already on the verge of a disaster with a huge population decline developing.
@sukema
@sukema 5 ай бұрын
这么估计是很愚蠢的我说实话,生意是双向的,俄罗斯只是停了能源交易就能在欧洲市场掀起巨浪,中国的对外贸易体量可是远远大于俄罗斯的哦🫡就现在欧美对俄罗斯的这个样,我打赌他们不敢真的因为台湾放弃中国
@sukema
@sukema 5 ай бұрын
那可是接近40万亿美元的生意😮
@ikramqamar7786
@ikramqamar7786 4 ай бұрын
I hardly think "sanctions" are going to work, look at Russia. Only scratched the surface. This IS CHINA you're talking, it ain't no joke.
@vanguard8889
@vanguard8889 4 ай бұрын
As opposed to the unfolding demographic crisis in the West? At least there's no civil unrest. Yeah, you get that when you import millions of people that hate your culture
@notanymore9471
@notanymore9471 4 ай бұрын
@@detroittokc6494not only that with all the US companies pulling out their economy is in rapid free fall. Their window of capability is closing and they know this.
@stecrawley6590
@stecrawley6590 5 ай бұрын
I think the fact that the WEF refuse to even use the word Taiwan during interviews, that alone shows the grip on these unelected groups who have a growing and frightening influence on countries and their policies with China being held up as how a social credit system works
@CamperCarl00
@CamperCarl00 4 ай бұрын
Considering that we just learned a lot of China's military assets are _"filled with water,"_ it's certain they are not prepared for an invasion, much less a military conflict of any kind.
@joshwalters3148
@joshwalters3148 4 ай бұрын
Are you aware of how under prepared our own military is? We also don't have 300 million fighting age people...
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