Will the Holidays Save 2024's Box Office? - Charts with Dan!

[@kelechi321]

Dan, I do appreciate that you use international posters/images of the films when doing the Worldwide box office totals. Some of those international posters are really wild to look it and visually interesting. Thanks for doing that extra work.

[@ChimobiHD]

Well now that you mention it you just HAVE to watch Hot Frosty, no question 😂

[@TheMookism]

The Wild Robot is holding with the grip strength of a newborn baby

[@manuelalbertoromero9528]

If that baby was made of metal. XD

[@jbearclowater]

Will a "road to 8 billion" be a chart for the remainder of the year? Could be a fun one.

[@A-ro-2803]

That would be a fun one to watch. I think December is going to be decent business with Moana and Wicked carryover. I think in the end it will get there. I could easily see Moana and Wicked alone getting well above 600 million. Frozen 2 came out a week earlier than Moana 2 and had 420 million by the end of the year. I could see Moana 2 even beating that number and being around 500 million. (Inside out 2 was at 580 by day 36.) It wouldn’t surprise me in the least if Wicked actually pulls audience from Moana and beats it. I could see something like 400 for Wicked by the end of the year and 380 for Moana if Wicked overperforms and Moana underperforms. On the very high end for both I could see these two combining for 900 to a billion by themselves this year. Mufasa and Sonic are going to be a big openings too. I think Gladiator, Red One, and Kraven will underperform, but they will also chip away at the number.

[@jred9168]

Moana, Wicked, Gladiator and Sonic will be the heavy lifters in that group. I do think it will hit $8m but I guess we’ll watch.

[@A-ro-2803]

@@jred9168Mufasa is going to be huge. December sometimes has lower openings, but it will have a much bigger opening than Sonic. I think it could be in the 150-200 range.

[@MysteryMii]

6:45 There’s been some reporting by the trades over the past few months that the studios had mostly decided to sit out of this past weekend because they didn’t want the potential fallout of the election overshadowing anything that was released in the weekend directly after it. That’s why it was pretty much empty this past weekend.

[@brianalice]

I feel like the election fallout will affect ticket sales for a lot longer than one weekend.

[@ErmenBlankenberg]

Dan, I cannot stress enough how much I NEED to see your review of Hot Frosty and I hope I'm not alone in this.

[@richmlvcable]

I'm really glad you're sticking with Tuesdays... it gives us all something great to look forward to during the ho-hum of midweek!

[@mywalkabout]

Tuesdays for Charts, with an option for Mondays if big news! Fantastic, thanks for listening Dan 🙂

[@FlagCutie]

Treat yourself Dan, start with Hot Frosty!

[@WolfRamAndHart]

Oh...now I get the title....kinda like a Hot Tottie...but the Snowman come to life, like Olaf, and it being Hallmark.

[@FlagCutie]

​@WolfRamAndHart and now I feel like a dimwit because I still hadn't made the connection 😂

[@seriliaykilel]

Took my daughter to watch Wild Robot -- what a great movie to watch in theater. Gonna figure out how to go rewatch before it heads out. Quality story, great characters, and cinema-worthy graphics. Win all around

[@Bigjojo173]

I am ready for sonic 3. I finally get to see shadow on screen

[@jokersson21]

Fun prediction I have: I think Wicked will be number 1 and Gladiator will be number 2 for its opening weekend but then it’ll switch places in its 2nd week

[@ChrisMeadows92]

Thank you for reverting to Tuesdays. I much, much prefer the actuals. You rock, Dan!

[@nicksmith7619]

Hot Frosty is going to be so fetch!

[@SHOUTxHIxHEYxHELLO]

Beyond the trailer posts a box office breakdown on Sunday night so I think yours being on Tuesday works perfectly

[@J_Tevo]

6:44 It’s because Fantastic Four was originally slated for around this time.

[@lilhonor5425]

I’m cautiously optimistic about Wicked, Gladiator II, and Moana 2 doing well considering there is kinda something for everyone. I’m probably gonna see at least two if not all three of those movies.

[@Molson-xg9hs]

As someone well-versed in the Hallmark Cinematic Universe, Netflix grabbing some its corner increasingly with Christmas rom-coms is an interesting development. Also always enjoyable this time of year to see Lifetime drop their “My deadly (insert profession or relation)” series of movies for Christmas and a real showdown as Hallmark is partnering with the Kansas City Chiefs and featuring Mama Kelce in one Christmas movie while Lifetime is doing a very inspired by romance of a pop star and football player, just with the names changed to protect the innocent. What a time to be alive!

[@licechrispies]

People are going to be so pissed when they realize Wicked is just a Part 1, and I fear that’s going to tank Part 2

[@Samuel-p17]

I think that would be fair, when Part 1 can't deliver a satisfying ending. Dune Part 2 didn't tank

[@boodlefightbunny]

It might, because I was raring to choose violence when I realized IN THEATRE that the Spider-Verse sequel was only part 1. I blame the studio for being shady about this being a multi-part film. 😤

[@Barnois52]

​@@Samuel-p17I agree, it matters how and where Wicked ends. Mission Impossible had a great part one, Fast and the Furious did not.

[@mastersword648]

Wicked actually works as standalone story; like act 1 is a full arc even more than dune was, (dune was literally an incomplete story in part 1)

[@pattongilbert]

@@boodlefightbunny I just keep up with movie news and assume everyone knows sequel information. Especially with Across the Spider-Verse, it seems most others do not.😅

[@jbearclowater]

I vote yes to the idea of a review of 'Hot Frosty'

[@unoriginalandrew]

As a musical lover, I was really looking forward to Wicked when it was announced and when the first trailer dropped. However, as we get closer to the release date I continue to lose interest in spending my money on a ticket. I hold out hope that it is faithful and well made so I can go see it the second weekend, after Dan's review.

[@AlexP-dz7ew]

I agree. As a fan of the stage show and the book, I’m very hesitant. I reluctantly bought a ticket for opening weekend. I’m curious to see how long time fans versus casual or new fans respond to the movie.

[@Sharpe1502]

Stop paying attention to internet discourse. The actors are human and flawed and haven’t done anything that have detracted from the quality of the movie. All of the reviews of the movie have been glowing and all Wicked and musical fans who’ve seen it so far have been ravenous. Just see it and decide for yourself.

[@leannebrown02]

If it's any consolation, the first reactions to film for the last week or so have been absolutely phenomenal. I'm still hesitant and waiting for proper reviews, but we'll see

[@FTEChristian]

You uploaded at the perfect time! I love listening to these while getting work done!

[@danielsliwa1045]

I’m so glad the Best Christmas pageant ever broke into the mainstream and top 5! Loved that movie and had no clue it was a faith-based movie going in, I was only expecting a Christmas movie. Yes it did it’s faith-based duties but it was just a really well made movie that preached about the meaning of giving others a chance and if anything, painted those in the church community very realistically with their own judgments to learn from. Great show as always too Dan!!

[@HariOmRadhaKrishna]

It's wednesday. By now Dan has realized that this weeks member poll should have been "Shall I review Hot Frosty?", which would have got an 100% Yes. *& Siva is usually pronounced Sheeva.

[@sasuketheavenger2468]

I need a Hot Frosty review from you Dan 😂

[@petersaunders7295]

I've heard it said that studios avoided last weekend for tentpole releases because they couldn't get enough marketing visibility out beforehand among all the U.S. election ads.

[@rafaelmarkos4489]

I'm with you on watching Hot Frosty... sounds like it will be interesting.

[@chazzer6545]

Yeh both Paddington 1 & 2 also had November releases in the uk before coming out in the states in January

[@Samuel-p17]

Wasn't last year full of movies, that didn't connect with an audience? Why is this year worse? Probably because last year all the flops at least made some money. This year just had way less big movies.

[@Marienbad1895]

Wicked, Gladiator II, and Moana 2 seem like they are going to do big business. I think between those 3 alone the box office will make up a lot of lost ground.

[@KW-vy1rf]

SO excited to see your interest in Hot Frosty, Dan! I will surely be watching it regardless but I think you should watch it first and I'd love to hear your thoughts.

[@TVandManga]

Great video Dan! Also, a 'Hot Frosty' review would be fun!

[@DanteLee88]

I was JUST thinking, hadn't seen charts yet, better reload... ...holy HELL I'm early! And so ready! 🙏🏼♥️

[@OrionInSpace]

I’m really glad you did the flashback section to Interstellar first week. my favorite film of all time and I absolutely cannot wait for people to see it again in December when it re-releases.

[@NinthShinigami]

I used to be indifferent to Interstellar back when I was like 11, but revisiting it earlier this year, it’s such a phenomenal film. I hope I can get out to seeing it in theaters 🔥

[@lydia1634]

I watched it the night before I went into labor with my oldest. Has a really special place in my heart

[@OrionInSpace]

@@NinthShinigami my theater doesn’t have it… yet.

[@NinthShinigami]

I’m excited for Ghost Cat Anzu this weekend :D

[@terrelloglesby1481]

Love the show Dan! Hopin for a Hot Frosty review! 😂🙏

[@downtothewood1950]

Dan, Hot Frosty is the first to watch. Simply because if it’s shit you won’t be able to wait to move on and if it’s good, it’ll warm your heart.

[@thorman2005]

Rush in to see Charts with Dan!

[@kelownatechkid]

Tuesday is best 🙏 thanks Dan

[@AllInTheGame01]

Big s/o to The Wild Robot closing in on $300m worldwide which is incredible after being put so early on PVOD! The Best Christmas Pageant Ever seems to be one of the better Faith-based movies in recent yrs & who doesn't like Judy Greer?! Heretic's $11m as A24's 3rd best domestic opening wkend behind Civil War ($25.5m) & Hereditary ($13.6m) has a shot at being at least their 3rd biggest domestic movie ahead of Hereditary's $44.07m. Dwayne Johnson's Red One will very likely flop but will probably be forgotten quickly as Moana 2 opens just 2wks later!

[@jackson857]

Gladiator II is coming out a week earlier in Australia and I'm so happy about that.

[@boodlefightbunny]

Yay Box Office Analysis Church 👏

[@backpackerraden6268]

I like the way you're going about the show days

[@wimpymcsteel4458]

Love your charts Dan, keep up the great work.

[@AndrewSindt]

I appreciate your work Dan. Always. Thank you

[@1981Speedwagone]

You gotta see hot frosty, because how often do we get a lacey chabert movie?

[@Molson-xg9hs]

It depends on how much Hallmark you watch…after Candace Cameron Bure’s departure, Lacey has become the anchor of Hallmark, good for 2-3 movies a year and also has her own show about throwing parties for nice people on Hallmark plus.

[@1981Speedwagone]

@@Molson-xg9hs Good for her to keep a wholesome career.

[@BessieBopOrBach]

Lol @ the reference to The Prestige opening "several years ago" (i.e. almost 20!!)

[@Connorsgotmovies]

Excellent charts episode.

[@alaharon1233]

Correction: It *is* a plurality, what it's almost is a majority. A plurality is the option with the most votes compared to the other options, a majority is the option with more than 50% of the votes

[@ethanaleman]

November will be big I am seeing 3 red one, wicked and gladiator 2 with my family and friends

[@SuperFlik]

I'd 100% be here for Hot Frosty

[@marisagarnjobst621]

Ok now I think we need a review of Hot Frosty

[@jasonraschen1109]

Happy Tuesday Dan. Thank you for the charts. Of the remaining major studio releases, the only one I'm looking forward to is the Dylan movie. Interested in what you think of Hot Frosty. Have a great rest of the week!

[@zunaidparker]

Dan, an idea for a new chart to compliment the weekly chart at 6:00 - can we have a cumulative week by week chart to show how the current year is tracking vs pre- and post-COVID? This would mimic the cumulative movie charts (3:00) but for the entire box office. I think it's a good complement to the chart at 8:00 and gives a different view which shows the year's momentum.

[@phoenxmarble7241]

The writer of Hot Frosty and I performed together in community theatre back in the day. He’s a hilarious dude, so I’m excited for it!

[@storywala88]

Hot Frosty 😂 Go for it Dan😂😂

[@megs_reclaimed]

Would it be appropriate to adjust the Highest Grossing A24 Film Openings list for inflation? Since two of top three are from this year.

[@Amoraszune]

Thanks Dan!!

[@sasukeissocoollike]

I'LL WATCH THE HOT FROSTY REVIEW

[@fayemoss7282]

Great charts review per usual.

[@peterlyon367]

If you compare The Best Christmas Pageant Ever to other "faith based films" it stacks up extremely well. They really leaned into the director being involved with The Chosen in their marketing.

[@brunokitazuka3839]

Thank you for remembering Cobra Kai this time, the dojo forgives you

[@jamestoney9338]

I think Wicked, Gladiator, and Moana 2 themselves will put it over 8 billion.

[@bwaybaby1979]

Thx for the update on Silo! Time to resubscribe to Apple.

[@storywala88]

Well put

[@tomiwaaina5499]

Dan watching Hot frosty vs Emilia Perez should be a community pool... Im loving the use of community posts

[@Ductos]

I've never heard of "Hitpig" before you mentioned the film here.

[@matheusmatt1271]

That 2014 flashback has so many good movies, it shows how much the quality of original movies has fallen recently. I used to go to the cinema every week in the 2010s, now I’m going less than once a month.

[@alanahrafferty]

Hi Dan, for this week's coming episode, I'd love if you talked about Juror #2, mostly about how WB isn't releasing the US box office but it seems to be doing very well overseas where it has a wide release. On Reddit I saw a screenshot of a Deadline article estimating that it made about $90K on 35 screens but couldn't find the article on the Internet.

[@joelanthonylim6792]

Insane week for shows this week with Arcane, Cobra Kai, Silo and the Dune show as well as for awards prospects movies like Emilia Perez, A Real Pain and All We Imagine as Light. And then there's Hot Frosty

[@Blazing6Shooter]

Hey Dan, love the show. in regards to how you're covering Venom 3, you're spinning this as a big disappointment, which, fair, but I think you should mention it's actually holding much better than prior films, but with a lower opening. Neither of the first two venom films multipliers will be as high as Venom 3s when it wraps up.

[@boilderrik893]

nice to see "Nobody Wants This" being appreciated

[@C.Dat.guyoverthere]

Just because you brought it up, I will watch Hot Frosty as well.

[@JohnMcVay1]

“Red One” also had early access screenings (U.S.) last Sunday at 4:00 PM in each time zone.

[@tanprints34]

Hey Dan! I don’t know if you plan to watch and review Memoir of a Snail, but I thought it was absolutely fantastic. I have a soft spot for stop motion but it is certainly my favorite animated movie of the year. Would love to hear your thoughts

[@kbwaterbug29]

I have a bad feeling for the Mufasa movie. I just don't think anyone really wants it

[@Samuel-p17]

Yeah it's a weird one, I'm not even sure if general audiences know that it exists

[@kypzethdurron]

I don't think anyone ever did. I'd kill for a high quality remake of Lion King 2 but why would I want to watch this when it was the live action bit I didn't like from the first one and I'm not interested in a Mufasa who isn't James Earl Jones? And more widely I feel like it's true... Did people who loved Joker want a musical Joker 2? Are there really enough Gladiator fans who want a sequel, given all the Furiosa or Independence Day 2 type films that barely scraped break-even. But on the flip side, if it's the best kids film of the season it will make tons of money, and Top Gun 2 was a ludicrous concept that paid off huge money because it was great but really would not have succeeded if it was inconsistent with the original or Tom Cruise wasn't in it or it was even a generic Michael Bay style blockbuster. Wicked will do well even if it's not a billion dollar movie, but its sequel, Mufasa, Gladiator, Nosferatu, Rohirrim, Kraven, and even Red One, who's actually asking for them..? lol

[@manuelalbertoromero9528]

​@@kypzethdurronCalling this live-action is incredibly misleading BTW.

[@kypzethdurron]

@@manuelalbertoromero9528 we all know what it means though - it's styled like the recent lion king not the animated 90s one

[@bwoody94]

I feel like unless wicked and Moana under perform we should blow pass that 8 billion mark easily

[@eadonnlawrence9934]

If you calculate the total run time of all Bluey episodes and divide by 42 mins (your average runtime of all other shows on the list of watchtime per episode). It would only have 22 episodes and bump it way up that list.

[@DanFromBaG]

Definitely watch both Dan, but watch Hot Frosty first :D

[@earthball398]

Mainly cant wait for Sonic The Hedgehog 3 (also W vid 👍)

[@MultiPlatGamerGuy]

I really liked Red One. Fun action, decent jokes, and I thought it was unique. I'd recommend it.

[@jessrl8025]

I'm not going to lie. I'm a little torn between Hot Frosty and Emilia Perez as well. I will probably watch Perez first and then Frosty. Perez feels like it might be quite sad, and having something silly/terrible to watch after might be needed.

[@ajames3062]

I was wondering what happened to the film Flight Risk with Mark Whalberg and Michelle Dockery which was getting heavily marketed this summer. Its trailer was attached to almost everything I saw. All the posters says October 18th but it seems Variety posted an article just after labour day that Lionsgate decided to push the release. I wonder what the story is there, seems unusual to push a movie like that when the marketing is already underway and it's not set to be a big hitter anyway.

[@sanguivel]

Do you think studios hold off on big releases in early November on election years? Maybe they see less attendance in the presidential election years, would be curious what the data says

[@billix0]

Dan new tracking idea based on that poster for Sonic 3. Box office success of movies where the artwork is half orange/half blue.

[@kypzethdurron]

I'd love to see a Dan top 10 winter season estimate. Best guess ranking of opening weekends for me (not going to guess total gross when it depends on film quality and Christmas legs so much) out of the films at 11:00 are: 1. Moana 2 2. Wicked 3. Sonic The Hedgehog 3 4. Mufasa 5. Gladiator II 6. Red One 7. Rohirrim 8. Kraven 9. Nosferatu 10. Complete Unknown

[@aviad950]

They have until December 31st at midnight to reach 8 billion Dollars. That sounds like a pitch for an 80s movie.

[@alleycatfire]

Hi Dan! Any ideas when you might bring back the chart that shows market share for the major studios? Would love to see it again!

[@indac-channel4995]

I have seen Red One..... Don´t expect much and regarding the box office, I doubt, this will help at all...

[@TheRupertQ]

Totally agree. I watched too as I stay outside of the USA. Amazon may NOT earn a profit on this US$250 million disaster.

[@nicholasdoucet673]

Hey Dan have you seen Small Things Like These yet? and if so do you plan on reviewing it? I strongly feel that Cillian delivers another Academy Award level performance and the movie as a whole is beautifully directed. I think it's one of the best of the year.

[@Mishmilev]

Love your content Dan! Looking to be your member very soon! A little advice, you are talking a lot for the domestic box office, polls and etc. but you have a lot of fans outside of USA and Canada and its feeling that you are targeting only domestic market. Keep going with the good work though!

[@RyanConde28]

Great video as always Dan! Though I am pretty optimistic about what's coming up at Thanksgiving and in December, I do find it pretty depressing that if it really weren't for the utter collapse of Joker: Folie à Deux, we would've not only had a pretty good October, but it would've made the chances of 2024 catching 2023's $9B gross more likely. If the box office were able to do that, then that would damn impressive as well as encouraging, but when you have a movie like Joker 2 that was at one point expected to open to over $100M and makes barely half of that domestically in its entire run, that's a lot of money lost that most likely won't be made back. If nothing else, Joker 2 shows the massive danger of relying/expecting the big tentpole to perform well. Sure, it's a big relief when it does, but when it doesn't, the consequences are dire and even more so than the strike affected slate, that movie bombing as badly as it did pretty much ended any chances of 2024 catching up to 2023. Anyways, I sincerely hope that everything from Red One to Nosferatu, A Complete Unknown, and The Fire Inside can perform well and at least end the year off strongly.

[@SpongeyTheEditor]

Hot Frosty hype.

[@andrewc3236]

Hi Dan. Netflix's "Martha" is a standalone documentary film, not a series.

[@Jogwheel]

I wouldn't count out 2024 yet. Moana 2 *on its own* will probably grab like $500M domestic. It'll be in the top ten until next year, easy. The rest of those movies listed at 11:00 ? - I could easily see them averaging out to around $50M a piece.

[@ricebrown1]

The Man Murrell

[@Anything_Random]

Huh, this is how I find out that the Overlord movie finally released. That was announced like 3 years ago with no release date and they were radio silent on it for a while. I doubt it's playing near me though, no anime movies ever come out in my area.

[@chrisdemetriou8593]

Charts with Dan

[@solveiggasner1882]

Babygirl will save the box office. I know it in my heart.

[@potterpotty01]

yep i was in there for paddington on it's opening weekend. over £9 million in it's opening weekend just in the UK is a really impressive start. it's not had great word of mouth, i thought it was fine, but clearly the least best of the series, so we will have to see how well it holds.