These 3 Indicators Predict Every Recession

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EPB Research

EPB Research

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 219
@Farmwald853
@Farmwald853 29 күн бұрын
America is currently plagued by the hydra-headed evil duo of inflation and recession. The worst part about this recession is that consumers are racking up credit card debt. In April alone, credit card debt went up 20% while rates have doubled in a year. Inflation is so high that consumers are literally taking debt for basic life necessities. Collapse has indeed begun..
@GumolaTukoma
@GumolaTukoma 29 күн бұрын
Every day we have a new problem. It's the new normal. At first we thought it was a crisis, now we know it's a new normal and we have to adapt. this year will be a year of severe economic pain all over the nation.. what steps can we take to generate more income during quantitative adjustment?I can't afford my hard-earned 180k savings to turn to dust
@jonathanolulu1948
@jonathanolulu1948 29 күн бұрын
This is precisely why I like having a portfolio coach guide my day-to-day market decisions: with their extensive knowledge of going long and short at the same time, using risk for its asymmetrical upside and laying it off as a hedge against the inevitable downward turns, their skillset makes it nearly impossible for them to underperform. I've been utilizing a portfolio coach for more than two years, and I've made over $800,000.
@SteveKalfman-yv7co
@SteveKalfman-yv7co 29 күн бұрын
Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular advisor you using their service?
@jonathanolulu1948
@jonathanolulu1948 29 күн бұрын
Credits goes to Vivian Jean Wilhelm one of the finest portfolio managers in the field. She's widely recognized; you should take a look at her work.
@SteveKalfman-yv7co
@SteveKalfman-yv7co 29 күн бұрын
This reference seems valid.. Just looked up her full name on my browser and found her site without sweat, over 15 years of experience is certainly striking! very much appreciate it
@Cynthia-mm1cv
@Cynthia-mm1cv Ай бұрын
Recessions are an unavoidable part of the economic cycle; all you can do is prepare for them and plan accordingly. I graduated into a slump (2009). My first job after graduating from college was as an aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today, I work as a VP for a global corporation, own three rental properties, invest in stocks and businesses, run my own company, and have increased my net worth by $500k in the last four years.
@mandyyonge
@mandyyonge Ай бұрын
It's a delicate season now, so you can do little or nothing on your own. Hence I will suggest you get yourself a professional that can provide you with entry and exit points on the securities you focus on.
@TommyChong677
@TommyChong677 Ай бұрын
Having an lnvestment adviser is the best way to go about the market right now, especially for near retirees, I've been in touch with a coach for awhile now mostly cause I lack the depth knowledge and mental fortitude to deal with these recurring market conditions, I nettd over $220K so far, that made it clear there's more to the market that we avg joes don't know
@tinsleyLuna
@tinsleyLuna Ай бұрын
incredible, a fantastic start to financial independence! How can I contact your FA.
@TommyChong677
@TommyChong677 Ай бұрын
Finding financial advisors like '''Lucia Alicia Cruz''' who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
@TommyChong677
@TommyChong677 Ай бұрын
I have a female advisor named Lucia Alicia Cruz. I recommend researching her. To be very honest, I'm glad I decided to let someone handle expanding my finances even though I almost didn't think I should.
@CameronFussner
@CameronFussner Ай бұрын
Recessions are part of the economic cycle, all you can do is make sure you're prepared and plan accordingly. I graduated into a recession (2009). My 1st job after college was aerial acrobat on cruise ships. Today I'm a VP at a global company, own 3 rental properties, invest in stocks and biz, built my own business, and have my net worth increase by $300k in the last 3 years.
@fadhshf
@fadhshf Ай бұрын
Let's face it... buying more stocks & index funds during stock market corrections and bear markets is scary. Which makes it really hard to do for most people like me. I have $260k i want to transfer into an s&s isa but its hard to bite the bullet and do it.
@lowcostfresh2266
@lowcostfresh2266 Ай бұрын
For you to grow your portfolio in today's market, you really need to be coachable and willing to get off your high horses. I for example, have managed to grow mine from $150k to 300% of my initial deposit within the past 18 months just by copying trades from a broker that has better skillset and technical know-how than me.
@hasede-lg9hj
@hasede-lg9hj Ай бұрын
@@lowcostfresh2266 I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@hasede-lg9hj
@hasede-lg9hj Ай бұрын
I appreciate the implementation of ideas and strategies that result to unmeasurable progress, thus the search for a reputable advisor, mind sharing info of this person guiding you please?
@lowcostfresh2266
@lowcostfresh2266 Ай бұрын
I've experimented with a few over the past years, but I've stuck with Annette Marie Holt for about 18 months now, and her performance has been consistently impressive. She's quite known in her field, look her up.
@Riggsnic_co
@Riggsnic_co Ай бұрын
I suggest you offset your real estate and get into stocks, A recession as bad it can be, provides good buying opportunities in the markets if you’re careful and it can also create volatility giving great short time buy and sell opportunities too. This is not financial advise but get buying, cash isn’t king at all in this time!
@Jamessmith-12
@Jamessmith-12 Ай бұрын
One strategy for protecting against a recession is to buy equities. Investors, especially during a recession, need to know where and how to put money in order to make money while avoiding inflation.
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira Ай бұрын
It has never been easier to understand how to build your money than it is right now, when you may study and experience a completely variegated market passively by employing a successful portfolio-advisor. The impacts of the U.S. dollar's gain or fall on investtments, in my opinion, are complex.
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
This aligns perfectly with my desire to organize my finances prior to retirement. Could you provide me with access to your advisor?
@JacquelinePerrira
@JacquelinePerrira Ай бұрын
Carol Vivian Constable is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
@kevinmarten
@kevinmarten Ай бұрын
She appears to be well-educated and well-read. I ran a Google search for her name and came across her website; thank you for sharing.
@ksun4651
@ksun4651 2 ай бұрын
Here is another tidbit of information. I work at a facility that stamps aluminum/steel hoods, frames, doors, and parts for cars using forming dies. Recently we had a meeting about how business is going to slow down. Everyone else is saying we might get laid off, etc, etc. Right now, the information in the video and what I'm seeing with my own two eyes are lining up. I might have to act accordingly
@good8072
@good8072 2 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing. Wishing you the best.
@AdAstraCompany
@AdAstraCompany 2 ай бұрын
Your vids are the absolute best, thank you for still talking about the economy. Love the infographics
@natevanderw
@natevanderw 2 ай бұрын
I always appreciate your videos Eric. Please don't ever stop or start to monetize this kind of information as it is so useful for us middle class folks. You will make enough money within a few years when you hit 1Mil subscribers.
@artended
@artended 2 ай бұрын
I'm so happy I'm subscribed to your channel. No sensationalism, just facts.
@shotelco
@shotelco 2 ай бұрын
uh oh, ...someone is getting one of those Silver Play Button Plaques! And well _Deserved_ I must say.
@paulschanzlin7098
@paulschanzlin7098 2 ай бұрын
I am so impressed with these videos. Deep knowledge and valuable information, explained in a direct and easy way, beautifully animated. This is what every finance channel should be.
@Joe4realestate
@Joe4realestate 2 ай бұрын
All your podcasts are very good, but this one gets an A++
@Mmartins1097
@Mmartins1097 2 ай бұрын
This is, in my opinion, the best video on this channel so far. Great job!
@guygoldberg4813
@guygoldberg4813 2 ай бұрын
Could the substantial investments in AI contribute to the strength in Business Equipment Investment?
@noelaramis1392
@noelaramis1392 2 ай бұрын
Incredible content, clear, concise with very Nice infographics !! Always a pleasure to watch
@javierarchegos
@javierarchegos 2 ай бұрын
Jesus Christ this is another level of research.. 😍
@Paul-rg4is
@Paul-rg4is 2 ай бұрын
Muhattma Gandi, you're right!
@idontdogmail1669
@idontdogmail1669 2 ай бұрын
NO! Jesus has nothing to do with this! Unless you pay attention to biblical prophesy! You know, where revelation says in those days, no one can "Buy, Sell OR trade save he that has the mark of the beast on his hand or forehead"! Why did you invoke the Christ in your comment? Just curious!
@jentacularkid559
@jentacularkid559 2 ай бұрын
Love this channel so much. Thank you for your hard work.
@investathon8617
@investathon8617 Ай бұрын
What are your thoughts given the recent 50bps downward guidance by the fed? Have we begun easing too late, or will this counteract some of the economic shifts you mentioned in the Duncan Index?
@taurasdambrauskas
@taurasdambrauskas 2 ай бұрын
Love the educational videos. Always learn something new from you. Keep up the fantastic job!
@aperson7624
@aperson7624 2 ай бұрын
Now wait just a second, you said in previous videos that a recession starts every time the fed cuts rates following certain 'signals' (which have all fired). But in this video you say cutting rates would prevent a recession. So which is it?
@kalamansihans
@kalamansihans 2 ай бұрын
yes
@JohnClarkW
@JohnClarkW 2 ай бұрын
@@kalamansihans lol, that is nearly perfect economist speak, achievement unlocked
@devangbaheti
@devangbaheti 2 ай бұрын
Correlation != causation
@coolisfoolable
@coolisfoolable 2 ай бұрын
😂 ​@@JohnClarkW
@honkhonkler7732
@honkhonkler7732 2 ай бұрын
Cutting rates has never prevented a recession.
@davidwolf8461
@davidwolf8461 2 ай бұрын
Congratulations it's clear and accurate!
@todorgrigorov8408
@todorgrigorov8408 2 ай бұрын
Great explanation and reading of data! Thanks
@thomas316
@thomas316 2 ай бұрын
Excellent work, love your analysis. This channel is a gem.
@nicolasbenson009
@nicolasbenson009 2 ай бұрын
It surprises me why everybody gets really worked up about recession and inflation data. Inflation has always existed, and people have been using investments to beat the inflation. The stock market return, for example, always beats inflation. I heard of someone who invested $121k last October, and has grown the portfolio by more than $400k. I need recommendations that can give me similar return.
@berniceburgos-
@berniceburgos- 2 ай бұрын
I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $124k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.
@hersdera
@hersdera 2 ай бұрын
True. I first came across investing in the market in 2019. Already stashed about $480k in savings then, and the free money from the Government was pouring in, increasing inflation rate. I just got an advisor and kept the money there, just because I didn't want to keep the value of the money depreciating in the bank. Tbh, it's the best investment decision I've made since then.
@SandraDave.
@SandraDave. 2 ай бұрын
I think this is something I should do, but I've been stalling for a long time now. Mind if I ask you to recommend this particular coach you using their service?
@hersdera
@hersdera 2 ай бұрын
Finding financial advisors like Melissa Terri Swayne who can assist you shape your portfolio would be a very creative option. There will be difficult times ahead, and prudent personal money management will be essential to navigating them.
@Hectorkante
@Hectorkante 2 ай бұрын
Benevolence, this reference seems valid.. Just inputted her full name on my browser and found her site without sweat, 15 years of experience is certainly striking! very much appreciate it
@angelinaai9344
@angelinaai9344 2 ай бұрын
Can you please send a link with an online resource for live Modified Duncan Leading Index? I would appreciate that if you have one
@dirk.no-whisky.4u
@dirk.no-whisky.4u 2 ай бұрын
Well researched and insightful as always. Thanks for your awesome work and sharing
@ChristopherAlex01
@ChristopherAlex01 2 ай бұрын
I will be forever grateful to you, you changed my entire life and I will continue to preach on your behalf for the whole world to hear you saved me from huge financial debt with just a small investment, thank you Veronica Hoy.
@Henry-fm9y65
@Henry-fm9y65 2 ай бұрын
I'm surprised that this name is being mentioned here, I stumbled upon one of her clients testimonies on CNBC news last week...
@Abigailmira34432
@Abigailmira34432 2 ай бұрын
Veronica Hoy strategy has normalised winning trades for me also and it's a huge milestone for me looking back to how it all started
@sabinemeier2753
@sabinemeier2753 2 ай бұрын
Really you people know her? I was even thinking that I'm the only one she has helped walk through the fears and falls of trading
@BenjaminJas
@BenjaminJas 2 ай бұрын
As a beginner what do I need to do? How can I invest, on which platform? If you know any please share.
@Chrisfrank-wh2kl
@Chrisfrank-wh2kl 2 ай бұрын
The first time we had tried, we invested $1400 and after a week we received $5,230. That really helped us a lot to pay our bills.
@slkttop
@slkttop 2 ай бұрын
can you make a video where you break down the Conference Board LEI and how it appears to be broken as a recession indicator?
@nonexistent5030
@nonexistent5030 2 ай бұрын
Excellent level-headed analysis free of sensational tone.
@mohlini1
@mohlini1 2 ай бұрын
Thanks Eric
@Newtype2259
@Newtype2259 2 ай бұрын
Saw another video of you dated over a year ago, where you predicted a recession within months…. Been almost 2 years now and we had a insane bullrun 😅
@jgcaesar4
@jgcaesar4 11 күн бұрын
He's an economist by training. Economists can't predict anything.
@adrienb.5385
@adrienb.5385 2 ай бұрын
It’s been 3 years you’re predicting a recession , right ?
@ThatonedudeCR12956
@ThatonedudeCR12956 2 ай бұрын
Any day now! You'll see! 😂
@boi9842
@boi9842 2 ай бұрын
where i can get the Modified Duncan Leading Index graph?
@TapirTot
@TapirTot 2 ай бұрын
Fantastic explanation
@RealNewsChannel
@RealNewsChannel 2 ай бұрын
Nicely done video.
@Eyes0penNoFear
@Eyes0penNoFear 2 ай бұрын
100k!! Congrats!!!
@CrystalJoy-32
@CrystalJoy-32 2 ай бұрын
This recession likely stems from external factors, particularly the U.S. losing its influence as a federal reserve currency. With fewer tools to control inflation and decreased spending on stocks and oil, these trends suggest a shift towards a new multilateral world order.
@FrankPatrick-no8zo
@FrankPatrick-no8zo 2 ай бұрын
It's a fact that buying more stocks and index funds during negative markets and downturns can be unsettling. which makes doing it extremely challenging for most people, including me. Taking on the risk of investing $1 million is difficult.
@DennisJack-km8ho
@DennisJack-km8ho 2 ай бұрын
The issue is people have the "I will do it myself mentality" but not equipped for a crash, hence get burnt. Ideally, advisors are reps for investing, and at first-hand encounter, my portfolio has yielded over 300% since covid-outbreak to date, summing up nearly $1m.
@RonaldPaul-rs6kt
@RonaldPaul-rs6kt 2 ай бұрын
I'm intrigued by this. I've searched for financial advisors online but it's kind of hard to get in touch with one. Okay if I ask you for a recommendation?
@DennisJack-km8ho
@DennisJack-km8ho 2 ай бұрын
"Amber Michelle Smith" has always been on the top of my list..She is regarded as a genius in her area and well knowledgeable about financial markets. I highly recommend you look her up if you want excellent collaboration.
@jose2212-
@jose2212- 2 ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing. I curiously searched for her full name and her website popped up immediately. I looked through her credentials and did my due diligence before contacting her.
@NotSure416
@NotSure416 2 ай бұрын
How does the Duncan Leading Index compare with other key indicators like consumer debt?
@kino_cinante
@kino_cinante 2 ай бұрын
I don't think we will see a typical recession where the whole economy slows all at once. We got a rolling recession were the banking and tech sectors were hit first and recently the retail/auto sector has been hit. But as the retail/auto sector declined the tech sector recovered. I wouldn't be surprised to see retail, auto, and finance sectors recover as interest rates drop. It is also likely tech will continue to see new ATHs.
@beau6113
@beau6113 2 ай бұрын
Thank you!
@maverickjones9418
@maverickjones9418 2 ай бұрын
Unlike any time before, a drove of people refinanced their homes that then 2x in value. This unlocked 100’s of billions of dollars for homeowners to spend while at the same time rent increased 25-40% causing the renters of the nation to experience a recession. All this because we didn’t let the free market be free, shame.
@firefalcoln
@firefalcoln 2 ай бұрын
Most homes didn’t double in price since the rate cuts. Not everyone refinanced. And those that did, didn’t all necessarily get a HELOC and go on a spending spree to the point where now they’ll have nothing if their home doesn’t continue to go up in value at the same rate that was experienced from 2020-2022. In reality over 90% of home owners don’t borrow against their home.
@maverickjones9418
@maverickjones9418 2 ай бұрын
@@firefalcoln Refinancing at 2-75-3.00% unlocked between 500-2000$ extra income. It’s like a continuous stimulus check thats been driving up inflation. And yeah Heloc boosted spending power. And business owners got 27,000$ per employee to keep and spend how they like< Biden bill. You can look up the statistics on percentages of home owners with certain mortgage rates.
@FranciszekPawal
@FranciszekPawal 2 ай бұрын
If the unemployment rate is able to remain steady while the Fed hikes and inflation falls back to target, a soft landing might be on the table
@rohanfelix-j3d
@rohanfelix-j3d 2 ай бұрын
Don’t expect a soft landing. We know inflation still far from its 2% destination - the FOMC didn’t raise rates now, we can never fortell their moves these days
@daltonahmed
@daltonahmed 2 ай бұрын
Fixed income Tbills and bonds may work for you while you try to figure out the next entry point for stocks
@Adamsfi20
@Adamsfi20 2 ай бұрын
I agree It’s always good to have a balanced fin-plan. I work with a professional planner multi mrkt and fixed-income strategist in NY. the fixed income portion of your portfolio won’t simply serve as a buffer to the volatility of the equity portion of your portfolio, but will provide legitimate income.
@AnkurYo
@AnkurYo 2 ай бұрын
Who are you working with please?
@Adamsfi20
@Adamsfi20 2 ай бұрын
The decision on when to pick an Adviser is a very personal one. I take guidance from ‘Monica Mary Strigle‘ to meet my growth goals and avoid mistakes, she's well-qualified and her page can be easily found on the net.
@aarsethdiane853
@aarsethdiane853 2 ай бұрын
Given the persisting global economic crisis, it's essential for individuals to focus on diversifying their income streams independent of governmental reliance. This involves exploring options such as stocks, gold, silver, and digital currencies. Despite the adversity in the economy, now is an opportune moment to contemplate these investment avenues.
@emmapriscilla6132
@emmapriscilla6132 2 ай бұрын
I've shuffled through investment coaches and yes, they can be positively impactful to an individual's portfolio, but do your due diligence to find a coach with grit, one that withstood the 08' crash. For me, Monica Lisa Payne turned out to be better and smarter than all the advisors I ever worked with till date, I’ve never met anyone with as much conviction.
@daviddegroot8807
@daviddegroot8807 2 ай бұрын
Scammers above 👆
@miraclemaxicl
@miraclemaxicl 2 ай бұрын
I'm in the camp who think that what we are going through is a structural problem and not a cyclical one caused by overproduction (ie a recession). entering and exiting economic contraction will look different from a recession.
@SigFigNewton
@SigFigNewton 2 ай бұрын
Megacap tech doesn’t need to borrow in order to spend. This is probably the main reason that business equipment spending hasn’t gone down this time with increased interest rates.
@andrewtaylor9799
@andrewtaylor9799 2 ай бұрын
Informative, thanks.
@OwenFlex
@OwenFlex 2 ай бұрын
So what exactly do we do if feds don't cut rates this year?
@JasonAmir-qo4uo
@JasonAmir-qo4uo 2 ай бұрын
We focus on dividend stocks with strong financials, less dependent on rate cuts
@GibsonJames-gr3on
@GibsonJames-gr3on 2 ай бұрын
My advisor is already researching international markets to invest in, something I should have done a long time ago
@ThatonedudeCR12956
@ThatonedudeCR12956 2 ай бұрын
Keep doing what you're doing? Don't wait for something you can't time. That's why so many people missed the bull run at the end of last year. A ton of analysts and CTAs etc. missed the beginning and entered the market late. Still time remaining in this run.
@John-ww2fv
@John-ww2fv 2 ай бұрын
@GibsonJames-gr3on who's your advisor?
@GibsonJames-gr3on
@GibsonJames-gr3on 2 ай бұрын
It's AARON MORGAN BELL
@Domini6990
@Domini6990 2 ай бұрын
Are these numbers inflation adjusted? With the inflation that we have today it might make more sense why so many numbers are out of whack.
@alangivre2474
@alangivre2474 2 ай бұрын
Silver button!!!!
@lamMeTV
@lamMeTV 2 ай бұрын
and how to invest in a recession?
@AyeBeeG
@AyeBeeG 2 ай бұрын
Bitcoin
@bradb2175
@bradb2175 2 ай бұрын
The money printing delayed the recession. But this time is not different. Look out below.
@BangMaster96
@BangMaster96 2 ай бұрын
So what makes you think they won't print Money again this time to delay the Recession once more
@bpb5541
@bpb5541 2 ай бұрын
@@BangMaster96i think they will try but the debts are so high that when they need to borrow .. the treasury does that printing not the FED like everyone thinks, and that will cause the treasury yields to go up not down. Look at what happened to the stock market last October when the 10 year yield spike above 5%.
@BangMaster96
@BangMaster96 2 ай бұрын
@@bpb5541 Exactly, the Money printing is in the hands of the Government, and there is no force to stop the Government from mass printing again to bail themselves and the Economy out
@garyxie2327
@garyxie2327 2 ай бұрын
great insight
@stevemelton4388
@stevemelton4388 2 ай бұрын
The Fed creates the recession by rating interest rates to slow the economy. The economy starts to fall apart during the interest rate reduction. A soft landing is always a possibility, but a hard landing (recession) is typically the outcome
@gangsta8929
@gangsta8929 2 ай бұрын
“You can see these three indicators predict *every* recession” Shows a chart that goes back 30 years.
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf
@jerrycampbell-ut9yf 2 ай бұрын
This recession is most likely the result of an external factor. For the first time in decades, the United States is losing its clout as a federal reserve currency. They don't have any more economies to use to control inflation, and less money is being spent on stock and oil trading than in the past. They all lend support to the idea that a new multilateral world order is in the works.
@larrypaul-cw9nk
@larrypaul-cw9nk 2 ай бұрын
Let's face it, increasing stock and index fund purchases during downturns and bear markets is unnerving. Which makes it very difficult for most people, like me, to do. It's challenging to incur the risk of investing the $1 million I have in an S&S.
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah 2 ай бұрын
A lot of folks downplay the role of advlsors until being burnt by their own emotions. I remember couple summers back, after my lengthy divorce, I needed a good boost to help my business stay afloat, hence I researched for licensed advisors and came across someone of utmost qualifications. She's helped grow my reserve notwithstanding inflation, from $$275k to $850K...
@Aarrenrhonda3
@Aarrenrhonda3 2 ай бұрын
I will be happy getting assistance and glad to get the help of one, but just how can one spot a reputable one?
@sabastinenoah
@sabastinenoah 2 ай бұрын
Annette Christine Conte is the licensed advisor I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment.
@Aarrenrhonda3
@Aarrenrhonda3 2 ай бұрын
Thank you for this Pointer. It was easy to find your handler, She seems very proficient and flexible. I booked a call session with her.
@Megabug9000
@Megabug9000 2 ай бұрын
You are the Michael Burry of our era.
@Goodnightandgoodluck-c7m
@Goodnightandgoodluck-c7m 2 ай бұрын
confused. recession or no recession? Thanks
@AyjayAlleyway
@AyjayAlleyway 2 ай бұрын
We’re obviously already in a recession and have been for a while.
@slkttop
@slkttop 2 ай бұрын
On the vehicle side, especially, I see a downward trend with a slight peak before the pandemic, a supply side shortage, pent up demand from pre pandemic orders then, stimulus money being used like a drunken sailor which has forced autos up, in general. It’s a bullwhip effect. If we were to draw a straight line from pre pandemic peak through the current trend. It’s generally trending down. Personal auto sales, especially are way down in summer 2024 which can be corroborated via other sources. Start with Lucky Lopez.
@inworhei754
@inworhei754 2 ай бұрын
I doubt that the recovery of transportation investment is a bounce back of overly pessimistic prediction for cross-border economic activity due to pandemic. It doesn’t necessarily have good implications on current economic conditions due to this exogenous demand shock.
@thecwwshow8036
@thecwwshow8036 Ай бұрын
Sir, where are you
@christophertaylor4392
@christophertaylor4392 2 ай бұрын
Government expenditures (including the new bloom in interest payments) should not be discounted/avoided. Debt is the root cause of climate change. Governments expenditures are more than 100% of the rest of the equation. At some point, currency no longer matters. Just authority. Not usually now freedom makes money.
@gianlucacrosatti4226
@gianlucacrosatti4226 2 ай бұрын
Recessions are inevitables
@mfd8346
@mfd8346 2 ай бұрын
If they cut rates we will have stagflation. Its unavoidable at this point. We need an intrest rate hike to get a deep recession instead. Both sucks. Its like amputation or chemo. Quite the quandry indeed
@chrisja1998
@chrisja1998 2 ай бұрын
Maybe. But the better decision is to follow the path the FED is on now. Wait for the data, and act accordingly. Remember the FED have a dual mandate. 1. Stable prices (Inflation) 2. A stable jobmarket They are very very close to achieving both. Inflation will come down, look at the trend for shelter inflation.
@mfd8346
@mfd8346 2 ай бұрын
@@chrisja1998 Yeah inflation is down but it's still off course of the normal trend. A 1% target inflation for several years would help remedy this so consumers can have a decent purchasing power by the end of this is would be ideal. It's not looking like that yet.. and with unemployment creeping north of 4% the FED might not have much wiggle room left to keep intrest rates as is.
@AyjayAlleyway
@AyjayAlleyway 2 ай бұрын
@@chrisja1998 they need to keep rates at least as high as they are now for significantly longer.
@chrisja1998
@chrisja1998 2 ай бұрын
@@mfd8346 Agreed and thats why they are cutting rates in september.
@geraldhoward6351
@geraldhoward6351 2 ай бұрын
Yes, the dangers are greater, but isn't the current business sector just as risky? The majority of those adopting these tactics are earning substantial gains. What I gather is that rather than long-term trading, instantaneous trading is the preferred method for managing this downturn and rapid expansion.
@bennett221
@bennett221 2 ай бұрын
I believe that short-term trading, as opposed to long-term trading, is the best strategy for surviving the current recession and high inflation. Isn't the current market dangerous as well, despite the increased risks involved? Most people who use these strategies achieve significant financial success.
@Millerj2450
@Millerj2450 2 ай бұрын
Because their entire philosophy is built around employing a high-profit oriented plan while simultaneously trading long and short, as well as decreasing risk exposure as a hedge against inevitable downtrends, I've been consulting an investment coach before making any investment decisions ever since the outbreak of 2020, which had a significant impact on the market. Under performance is almost unthinkable when combined with their access to strange data and analysis.
@Foster_a12
@Foster_a12 2 ай бұрын
Would you kindly suggest a professional with a range of investing options? This is quite unusual, and I look forward to hearing from you.
@Millerj2450
@Millerj2450 2 ай бұрын
It's amusing that you brought it up because I completely understand. I'm not sure whether I can mention this, but search up “Jessica Lee Horst” she garnered a lot of coverage in 2020. She oversees the management of my investments as well.
@Anderson_313
@Anderson_313 2 ай бұрын
I'm practically holding onto straws right now, so your tip couldn't have come at a better moment! I planned to call her after doing a quick internet search for her.
@heshamk4824
@heshamk4824 2 ай бұрын
It seems like every video for you is expecting a recession , you can call a recession for a years and eventually you will be right at some moments !
@Particamuwowo
@Particamuwowo Ай бұрын
Investors are extremely alarmed by the impending recession and the Fed's rhetoric of raising interest rates. My $600,000 stock portfolio has lost 25% of it’s value. Whats the best way to hedge my portfolio to make profit in this coming recession
@Saviourtina-c4i
@Saviourtina-c4i Ай бұрын
Everyone is uneasy due to the continuous wars in the Middle East. To get assistance with your portfolio, you ought to speak with an FA.
@LindaL.Fielder
@LindaL.Fielder Ай бұрын
True, some folks employ hedging strategies or devote a portion of their portfolio to defensive assets that perform well during market downturns and such pointers are provided by engaging the services of market experts just like i did in 2019, amid rona-outbreak, and as of today, i can boost of a 45% enhancement on my $1m portfolio after acquiring assets recommended by my advisor.
@heatherj-o5j
@heatherj-o5j Ай бұрын
That's impressive! I could really use the expertise of this advsors.
@LindaL.Fielder
@LindaL.Fielder Ай бұрын
‘’Stacy Lynn Staples’’ is the licensed fiduciary I use. Just research the name. You’d find necessary details to work with a correspondence to set up an appointment..
@CharlesT.Foster
@CharlesT.Foster Ай бұрын
Thanks for sharing, I just looked her up on the web and I would say she really has an impressive background in investing. I will write her an e-mail shortly.
@Kaloris24
@Kaloris24 2 ай бұрын
Sooo... we are in a recession?
@dancingcalcium
@dancingcalcium 2 ай бұрын
looks like they did not predict 2020 or am i reading that chart wrong
@ThatonedudeCR12956
@ThatonedudeCR12956 2 ай бұрын
There wasn't much that could have predicted 2020. It happened way too fast. There were some signals in 2019 but 2020 was the black swan event everyone says to look out for. Videos like this are more in regards to the typical economic cycle
@dancingcalcium
@dancingcalcium 2 ай бұрын
@@ThatonedudeCR12956 That makes sense cheers bud
@russberg900
@russberg900 2 ай бұрын
Wishing and hoping won’t stop this economy from crashing under Harris!
@sarawilliam696
@sarawilliam696 2 ай бұрын
I foresee a recession lasting 2-3 years, and if inflation continues to surge, the Federal Reserve will likely raise interest rates soon. Inflation is causing various issues worldwide, such as food shortages, scarcities of diesel and heating fuel, and significant spikes in housing prices, leading to a potential financial market crash. This global downturn could have long-lasting repercussions. Given the current inflation rate of approximately 9%, my main worry is how to optimize my savings and retirement fund, which has remained stagnant at around $300,000, yielding almost no gains for quite some time.
@foden700
@foden700 2 ай бұрын
Numerous opportunities exist to achieve substantial profits at present, but executing high-volume and nearly flawless trades requires the expertise of real-time professionals with an ISDA Agreement. This agreement allows investors to participate in sophisticated trades, exclusive to seasoned individuals, and unavailable to amateurs. Attempting to be a high-stakes trader without an ISDA is akin to trying to win the Indy 500 riding a llama.
@NicholasHarmon-ow3jl
@NicholasHarmon-ow3jl 2 ай бұрын
I’m sure the idea of an invstment-Adviser might sound controversial to a few, but a new study by Motley-fool found out that demand for Financial-Advisers sky-rocketed by over 42% since the pandemic and based on firsthand encounter I can say for certain their skillsets are topnotch. I've accrued north of 580k within 16-months from an initially stagnant Portf0lio worth 85k.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io 2 ай бұрын
Inflation is over 5% here in the UK, but as we know it's definitely way more than the Government would like to admit. My plan is to earn more passive income and ride this out, can your Investment-adviser assist?
@NicholasHarmon-ow3jl
@NicholasHarmon-ow3jl 2 ай бұрын
‘’Aileen Gertrude Tippy’’ is her name. She is regarded as a genius in her area and works for Empower Financial Services. She’s quite known in her field, look-her up.
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io
@PatrickFitzgerald-cx6io 2 ай бұрын
Thanks a lot for this suggestion. I needed this myself, I looked her up, and I have sent her an email. I hope she gets back to me soon.
@doublecrunch
@doublecrunch 2 ай бұрын
There are other more accurate indicators like the Sahm rule
@infamousnachi
@infamousnachi 2 ай бұрын
The sad part of the research you put out is that it assumes we live in a world where market forces will force expected outcomes. When one controls the price of capital, none of this really matters in the end. This the fundamental flaw you still are refusing to acknowledge. Maybe intentionally, cause otherwise you won't have anything to sell. 🤔
@ProfessionalBirdWatcher
@ProfessionalBirdWatcher 2 ай бұрын
This time is different bro
@dbehr4869
@dbehr4869 2 ай бұрын
So bottom line...?
@durlov5
@durlov5 2 ай бұрын
There was a recession yesterday!! 😂
@CaptainCaveman1170
@CaptainCaveman1170 2 ай бұрын
The crystal ball says a recession lies in your future. I actually feel bad for this guy and everyone else who understands the historical data. Joe, Jerome and Janet made all of history irrelevant with their magic money printer.
@ThatonedudeCR12956
@ThatonedudeCR12956 2 ай бұрын
Bottom line: Outlook hazy, concentrate and ask again later.
@dcanehimself3060
@dcanehimself3060 2 ай бұрын
bottom line: America is fu**ed. Money printer will soon be activated again and create an illusion of wealth until real economics hit again, harder than the previous incident. Geopolitical crisises will try to cover and hide the monster under the bed. Maybe one last huraay then we have a serious global debt problem. Looking back into history, those do not end well...
@AndrewOng
@AndrewOng 2 ай бұрын
another video with zero actionable information. you should really just start an ETF that buys put options when you actually think the recession will start because otherwise what is the point of watching these videos?
@StudentsThough
@StudentsThough 2 ай бұрын
Young Nancy Jackson Steven Martinez Cynthia
@RealTradesStockMarket
@RealTradesStockMarket 2 ай бұрын
A key part I don't recall being mentioned in the video is what defines a "significant downturn"? -1%? -50%? Extremely open-ended statement. You could argue it just had a "significant downturn". So a recession starts tomorrow? 😂
@ThatonedudeCR12956
@ThatonedudeCR12956 2 ай бұрын
There's a ton of indicators and they give mixed signals all the time. I am nearly in the "recession cancelled" camp simply due to how many people are waiting for a crash. There's trillions of dollars on the sidelines still and many CTAs just got back into the market today. Definitely keeping an eye on the market, but the long anticipated downturn doesn't seem to be here yet
@zwatwashdc
@zwatwashdc 2 ай бұрын
Seems like recessions come every 10 years or so.
@celiafeconors216
@celiafeconors216 Ай бұрын
Jackson Amy Davis John Johnson Brenda
@barryballinger6023
@barryballinger6023 2 ай бұрын
Auto equipment surged because more people are living in their cars. 😂😂😅😢
@Mosley-vu7ff
@Mosley-vu7ff Ай бұрын
These are very valuable info. Unfortunately, most people who will watch this video will not really be able to apply the knowledge embedded in it. We may not want to admit, but as Warren Buffett once said, investing is like any other profession-- it requires a certain level of expertise. No surprise that some people are losing a lot of money in the bear market, while others are making hundreds of thousands in profit. I just don't know how they do it. I've got $200k set aside to put in the market.
@Muller-o4d
@Muller-o4d Ай бұрын
Understanding personal finances and investing will most likely lead to greater financial independence. By being knowledgeable about money and investing, individuals can make informed decisions about how to save, spend, and invest their money. I know someone who made over $350k in this recession-influenced market, but to the best of my knowledge, it was through an F.A
@Aron-r3m
@Aron-r3m Ай бұрын
Yeah, brokerage AdvisoRs could make a lot of difference, particularly in a market such as this. Stocks are pretty unstable at the moment, but if you do the right math, you should be just fine. Bloomberg and other finance media have been recording cases of investors raking in 6 to 7 digits in a space of months. So, I think there are a lot of wealth transfer in this downtime if you know where to look. I have been using an FA since 2020, and the least I returned was $140k ROI, and this does not include capital gain.
@Evelina-v3u
@Evelina-v3u Ай бұрын
Could you kindly elaborate on the advisor's background and qualifications?
@Aron-r3m
@Aron-r3m Ай бұрын
I don't know if I am permitted to go into details here, but mine is Jenienne Miniter Fagan and you could also look her up though I'm not so sure she's taking on new people atm.
@Lisa-w4u
@Lisa-w4u Ай бұрын
Thank you for this amazing tip. I just looked up Jenienne, wrote her explaining my financial market goals and scheduled a call
@jaket5267
@jaket5267 2 ай бұрын
Actually first!
@ramanaa88
@ramanaa88 2 ай бұрын
He became just another fear mongering click bait KZbinr
@bashadahli1861
@bashadahli1861 2 ай бұрын
tells house market crash... but the housing all time high !!! LOLOLOLOL
@slkttop
@slkttop 2 ай бұрын
Look at a chart. All time highs ARE where crashes come from
@CaptainCaveman1170
@CaptainCaveman1170 2 ай бұрын
Everyone with even a modest understanding of the business cycle knew that it was all rolling over/unwinding in late 2019. That's why they did Covid, to throw the cycle off and make sure everyone got whipsawed around. There was no way they were going to give the little guy a layup.
@will.davlin
@will.davlin 2 ай бұрын
⚪wool socks to sleep=best day you've ever experienced tomorrow cuz best mood feel 🟤🧦🟦⬜
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