Five (and a Half) Problems with Trump's Peace Plan and His First Steps as President

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William Spaniel

William Spaniel

Күн бұрын

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@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 12 күн бұрын
Here's the Q&A video mentioned at the end on the secondary channel: kzbin.info/www/bejne/fWTYe4CujrZkjtE
@GrewUpWithTheInternet
@GrewUpWithTheInternet 12 күн бұрын
Are you only doing Q&A's on the secondary channel or is some other kind of extra content to come? I love educating myself on your videos, it provides such a differentiated and chill perspective in contrast to news media and opiniated content creators that come from Ukraine/Russia and therefore seemingly think they know enough and more than if they had actually dug deep into the topic for a prolonged time (*cough* like Lex Fridman saying Putin can just keep going for months and years to come even though we dont know when exacly the saved up money from 2016 will run out... also with half the income being cut and also big amounts of money frozen)
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 12 күн бұрын
It's a sandbox for doing things where I don't care if the video underperforms. Q&As, shorter videos, podcasts, experimental content.
@klopko249
@klopko249 12 күн бұрын
Question. What if neather Russia and Ucraine say NO to USA? This is a big hole in Trump plan.
@kimmogensen4888
@kimmogensen4888 12 күн бұрын
Norway was the black sheep in north Europe when it came to aid the Ukraine, only 0,4-,05 % of one years GDP nominal like USA, Uk Germany will all of the top donors are from the Baltic Sea, Denmark over 2%. But just after Trumps election Norway promised to triple aid to Ukraine compared to previously pledged, Norway has 1,8 trillion dollars in their surplus fund and a huge GDP and extra income from the war in Ukraine price hike and production increases, they hopefully will increase even more, Denmark is not as rich as Norway but hopefully can increase even more, but US speculating in using military force against the kingdom of Denmark might result in help to Ukraine have to be sent to defend against our own ally 🙃 despite their being no chance of a Russian invasion of Greenland for many years, we literally have to use a small elite unit with dog sleds to patrol 80 % of Greenland because no vehicle can survive the environment our king has himself patrolled the island and is has been a part of the frogman core similar to the navy seals, and is trained in every branch of the military, we have the tradition of warrior king so in a state of war the king gains supreme power over all branches of the military and the civil government only run civil society, Denmark might not be militarily powerful but France and Germany has already plagued to honor our EU military alliance if Greenland is Attacked and the USA military like us civil society relies heavily upon especially danish Maersk the worlds shipping superpower and everything that makes shipping work globally is dominated by European companies the US oil industry exports import, all Insulin production globally Danish Novo Nordic 52% French company’s the rest, Trump and many Americans seems to be stuck in the 1950 where the the USA was not totally reliant upon European companies in many sectors that can’t literally be lived without, Chinese products you can live without rare earth can USA restart, but building a shipping fleet or making human Insulin might be a longer process when you start from 0 10% tariffs on Denmark will affect 5% of your exports of goods 0,5% which will increase prices on products nobody else produces 😂 and tariffs all 27 EU country’s wishes will lead to 10% tariffs on US except which is 5% of Denmarks important 0,5% but it’s mostly F-35 so we will probably also have to pay up, the major trade imbalance in Denmarks favor +10 billion dollars a year is medicine produced in the USA and shipping services, ocean windmill farms in New York and new jersey build in the USA but profit tax in Denmark. Hopefully nobody is going to use unpleasant tactics against each other and Denmark is never going to sell Greenland even if the government tried to the King would fire them, he has the Authority to do so and the duty to protect the kingdom, and Greenland has a special place in his hart they might get independence and nobody will complain it’s their right but when 9-10 Greenlanders talk about independence it’s not to become Americans 😂 when they say let’s talk it’s not about becoming Americans 😂 it’s about do you want to do business in Greenland and you probably if we get independence have to pay for the privilege to have a military base on Greenland which currently defense the USA not Greenland. But to Ukraine unfortunately Trump is distracting attention from what is currently much more important, Joe Biden allowed us only to Donate 19 F-16 to Ukraine for the price of selling the rest to Argentina 3 billion dollars to block Chinese exports, it’s signed but Trump could allow the rest to be donated and sell US F-16 to Argentina, Ukraine gets more aid 130% governments debt US gets a little cash and Denmark will still have a Budget surplus, one of the problems has been to buy weapons and Trump should break with Bidens policies and allowing selling weapons to Ukraine, Russia is not in a position to attack NATO and Russia was worse than we thought China makes cheap copies of Russian weapons which nobody but poor countries want to buy, Taiwan is probably the top 5 worst place in the world to try to attack it would be suicidal, North Korea has large parts of their weapons and ammunition reserves, the Middle East enemies have been seriously weakened. 5% of GDP is stupidity Europe and the USA don’t need it and especially the USA can’t afford it, the global power balance unless Trump attacks the EU 😂 has shifted heavy in our favor and country’s who can’t afford it should not bankrupt themselves, Denmark could afford 5% but half of them would be better spent supporting Ukraine and especially there military industrial complex which the Nordic countries and Germany have agreed upon is a very good way to support Ukraine and also with technology transfers so they can have a mix of their own cheap weapons but also state of the art weapons which still is much cheaper to make in Ukraine than in northern Europe where wages are many times higher than Ukraine and Denmark don’t need the jobs it would just drive up inflation.
@GrewUpWithTheInternet
@GrewUpWithTheInternet 12 күн бұрын
@ If wouldnt make sense for both to say no since if you know that your enemy is saying no you can say yes to get more favoritable results.
@benyomovod6904
@benyomovod6904 12 күн бұрын
US still have tons of end of shelve life weapons. Disarming them is expensive, firing in Ukraine is cheap
@LewisPulsipher
@LewisPulsipher 12 күн бұрын
2,800 Bradleys in storage, I read. And large number of Abrams.
@termintot4645
@termintot4645 12 күн бұрын
@@LewisPulsipher How about aviation, like F-16 and armaments' for it?
@MohamedAli-eo2iz
@MohamedAli-eo2iz 12 күн бұрын
​@@LewisPulsipher why the US is just teasing Ukraine with what's enough to barely hold the line and not let the Russians do anything dramatic and just keep the war of attraction going on ( which hurts Ukraine way more in the long term , and yk US and EU are supposed to be helping Ukraine perhaps allowing the ukranians to do the job faster and call it a day ) Instead of just giving them enough to actually push the Russians out to 2022 borders ? because I think in reality ukranians have the needed combat experience and overall strategy to really hurt the Russians , "GIVEN" that they solve their manpower problems Just give them enough
@LewisPulsipher
@LewisPulsipher 12 күн бұрын
@@termintot4645 Reminds me of Fox "News" saying that no reasonable person would believe what Fox reports.
@ddon1797
@ddon1797 12 күн бұрын
​@termintot4645 aircraft isn't as easy to recommission as a land vehicle, they are expensive and require alot of maintenance to keep them flying. I can remember details on cost but its alot. You also need specialists on each type of airframe.
@lilbean1309
@lilbean1309 12 күн бұрын
Even when the war eventually end please don’t stop making these type of content
@MohamedAli-eo2iz
@MohamedAli-eo2iz 12 күн бұрын
Well ironically the way things are going now we are not going to run out of war content there will be plenty ( very big ones ). god forbid ofcourse
@dayegilharno4988
@dayegilharno4988 12 күн бұрын
From experience: After the war is before the war...
@memirandawong
@memirandawong 12 күн бұрын
Don't worry, the world is not going to run out of wars.
@burt2800
@burt2800 11 күн бұрын
I think the interesting times we're living in aren't going to be over soon...
@dayegilharno4988
@dayegilharno4988 11 күн бұрын
@ Somehow I truly believed (a mere decade ago), that we have another 20-30 years before the s**t really hits the fan...
@wargriffin5
@wargriffin5 11 күн бұрын
@17:10 A 100-day deadline would also put us in late April to early May. The snow has melted, the mud has dried, and the ideal season for military operations has just begun.
@ВладиславВладислав-и4ю
@ВладиславВладислав-и4ю 11 күн бұрын
In Ukraine jokes what 15 May Victory.
@mielivalta
@mielivalta 12 күн бұрын
Now, I find William videos informative and entertaining. That said, one critical variable is missing in "lines on maps": Putin is not looking to get more land but control. For him this is all or nothing. He put all his chips to get control over Ukraine, direct or indirect. That makes this war existential for Ukraine. US and many European countries seem not to understand this. The bargaining friction is too big for any kind of sustainable peace for foreseeable future.
@nicklibby3784
@nicklibby3784 11 күн бұрын
Yeah I think thats what Republicans don't really understand with a "peace deal" or DMZ. They think that Ukraine government and ukrainians just want to fight until they all get unalived. Thats not necessarily true, I think Ukrainians & Ukraine government would be willing to sacrifice some land for peace.......the PROBLEM IS: Russia will not stop there, they will just use the ceasfire to rebuild their military and then invade Ukraine again, over and over until all of Ukraine is taken and russia has full control. This is why Zelensky has been adamant about joining NATO or getting some sort of security deal with NATO despite the fact you can not join NATO when you have challenged borders. Ukraine is not willing to make peace or sacrifice land unless there is a 100% GUARANTEE that Russia will not invade again. This means a "ceasefire deal" or "dmz deal" or "peace deal" is kinda meaningless or worthless to Ukraine, because all that foes is give Russia the upperhand and a better chance at taking Ukraine in the future, as Russia would use the pause in fighting to rebuild and rearm. Basically, Russia is the real problem here, and putin of course. The fact they are not willing to respect Ukrainian soverignity under any circumstances is what is preventing Ukraine from wanting to make a peace deal. Because there is no point in stopping fighting if that just allows your enemy to get stronger to invade you AGAIN.
@Thetarget1
@Thetarget1 11 күн бұрын
The lines are a metaphor for how the peace settlement affects the different countries, not an actual physical border. Putin knows he cannot conquer Ukraine now, the kind of peace settlement he looks for is one where Ukraine´s security isn´t guaranteed, such that Russia can excert influence on future Ukrainian governments and keep it as a de facto puppet state.
@Alicornanon
@Alicornanon 11 күн бұрын
Well his state should cease to exist then
@opo33333
@opo33333 11 күн бұрын
It seems to me that the main reasln for the war was for Russia to get a land bridge to Crimea, while the way to obtain that at first was to get control over the entirety of ukraine, once that failed and the West aid got involved, the priorities shifted to a more ontainable goal. But now either Putin or Zelensky or both have political reasons to not accept a peace deal, either because Putin, for some reason, wants only the complete subjugation of Ukraine and will settle for no less, or Zelensky cannot (understandably) accept a deal giving away a third of the nation.
@Utrilus
@Utrilus 11 күн бұрын
I am guessing one of the factors is getting Ukraine's oil and gas deposits to start making up some of the money lost.
@karlgrimm3027
@karlgrimm3027 12 күн бұрын
We have thousands of Bradlys collecting dust in warehouses. It’s not that hard to ramp up aid.
@HazyFace_
@HazyFace_ 12 күн бұрын
That will not help. Ukraine has a manpower problem, no equipment problem.
@wilberwhateley7569
@wilberwhateley7569 12 күн бұрын
Not to mention all those M1A1s just sitting around the Nevada desert…
@pantalaemon
@pantalaemon 12 күн бұрын
@@HazyFace_ that's incredibly simplistic, to the point of being basically untrue. ukraine has manpower shortages, but is very far from being out of draftable military-age men. rather, the ukrainian state has made the assumption that the war will end before drafting men under 25 will be an absolute necessity. At the same time, ukraine is still training and equipping new brigades, signaling that there are absolutely still recruits in the pipeline; and in the meantime, those new brigades need kit, and so more aid is absolutely useful. Furthermore, the more metal you have (e.g. bradleys, in this example), the fewer lives you have to lose, meaning more aid can also help stem the manpower issue. If you want to see that principle in action, but in the opposite direction, i refer you to all the videos of russian soldiers trying to race across no-man's land in golf carts and on motorcycles and getting absolutely disassembled.
@RudolphoAqui
@RudolphoAqui 12 күн бұрын
@@HazyFace_ Stop the nonsense hazeykomrade
@RudolphoAqui
@RudolphoAqui 12 күн бұрын
@@pantalaemon Well said
@jonsitron11
@jonsitron11 12 күн бұрын
I just read Trump’s statement on lowering oil prices and increasing NATO-countries’ spending to 5% and hoped you’d uploaded something. Good timing and thank you for the insight.
@reaperz5677
@reaperz5677 12 күн бұрын
5% is completely unfeasible. Not even the U.S. spends that much.
@sonofasalesman
@sonofasalesman 12 күн бұрын
@@reaperz5677 Then enjoy speaking Russian, comrade
@reksapluss716
@reksapluss716 12 күн бұрын
@@reaperz5677 yeah Trump does that constantly 1. Crazy demands 2. People tell him it's crazy 3. He backs down to something reasonable 4. People don't fight him as much on the new demands, feeling like they have talked him down and 'won'
@MuffinManUSN
@MuffinManUSN 12 күн бұрын
​@@reaperz5677disagree on the feasibility of 5%
@MuffinManUSN
@MuffinManUSN 12 күн бұрын
RECALL the source?
@davidm.2141
@davidm.2141 11 күн бұрын
How many aircraft carriers did the USA build between 1941 and 1945, during WWII? I was curious and Googled it, and I’m floored by the answer. This was long before computer assisted design and the kind of industrial automation we have today. We started the war with 7 carriers, 4 of which narrowly avoided the attack at Pearl Harbor. In the 4 years after the declaration of war, American shipyards built ONE HUNDRED & FIVE carriers in total, including 28 heavy fleet carriers and 71 light escort carriers. One hundred and five. That’s astounding. Yeah, I realize they weren’t nearly as complicated as today’s super carriers by a large magnitude, but we’re still talking about really complicated 30,000+ ton warships with 2,000+ man crews carrying up to 90 aircraft, with state-of-the-art radar and communications systems and A LOT of AAA guns. And that’s in addition to building 20 new battleships, 50 heavy cruisers, 400 destroyers, 400 destroyer escorts, etc etc & tens of thousands of warplanes. In four years. Blows my mind.
@helmutstransky3761
@helmutstransky3761 11 күн бұрын
naval-encyclopedia.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/usnavy_gd-scaled.gif
@johnathanhughes4367
@johnathanhughes4367 11 күн бұрын
This is true, and the USA does have significant industrial capacity. There are differences, however. Perhaps the most important is that it is exponentially harder for the USA to find the resources to man a Ford Class carrier with 4500 people today than it was to man a carrier with 2600 during WW2. Right now the USA is having trouble manning its existing warships.
@nicklibby3784
@nicklibby3784 11 күн бұрын
Yeah, that is something people don't realize, especially younger generations, which is that: The militaries of WW2 were significantly larger than today. Like A LOT LARGER. And that is despite the fact our population is bigger today (except Russia/USSR due to the break up and population decline and lack of immigration). The amount of tanks, planes, ships, and soldiers of course, that each military had back then was absolutely insane compared to nowadays in 2025. The USA has done a decent job are aircraft numbers in modern times though. It's almost shocking to see how few ships, tanks, planes etc. That each country has compared to ww2, not only the large countries (USA, Russia) but especially the smaller countries like UK, France, Germany, Japan - they only have a extremely small fraction of what they used to have. Heck, even the USA & Russia have decreased the amount of nukes they have since the cold war. Sure part of the reason the ww2 numbers were big was because everyone was at war, but even still, I think the lack of military vehicles/equipment in the modern age is a reflection of how the world thought that large wars between great powers wouldn't happen again after ww2, and especially after the cold war. But now that has changed, Germany has been rapidly rearming like they never have before, except for ww2. Now Japan has changed their constitution and is building a military again. And many other countries are following suit. We probably won't get back to ww2, since a large war like that probably wont happen, and also the technology nowadays would limit those large ww2 production numbers anyway, but still, countries are rearming again.
@Nala15-Artist
@Nala15-Artist 11 күн бұрын
@@johnathanhughes4367 Not to mention source the steel. The steel the wwII carriers were made was in large part sourced from the USA. There are no more coal and iron deposits left here to do that.
@Nala15-Artist
@Nala15-Artist 11 күн бұрын
@@nicklibby3784 You may also be forgetting that a single modern weapon system could take out multitudes of wwII weapon systems, on average.
@The_Panther
@The_Panther 12 күн бұрын
I wonder what will happen if neither of them will accept the ceasefire. Does trump increase or cut aid?
@Srbenda126
@Srbenda126 12 күн бұрын
decrease aid, increase sanctions. That is my guess but you never know with him. He wants to support Ukraine less and fight Russia harder
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
Doesn't matter Ukraine is in Kursk exactly so it can come to the table knowing it's Russia who won't.
@David_Box
@David_Box 12 күн бұрын
Indeed. I guess that as far as the two sides are concerned, the us will try to make both of them belive that if both refuse, they'll be the ones that lose from it, to incentivise them to accept. So that's worth keeping in mind.
@NmaeUnavailablesigh
@NmaeUnavailablesigh 12 күн бұрын
In that case he blames whichever one he feels like at the time (likely Ukraine)
@The_Panther
@The_Panther 12 күн бұрын
@ But the problem arises if both get damaged equally the balance of power doesn't change. And if one side gets punished more than the other side, the other side might see that as favorable.
@aum1040
@aum1040 12 күн бұрын
EDIT: That was supposed to read: All of their gains combined are less than 1% of the territory of Ukraine since the initial Russian withdrawal." I somehow edited this into two separate sentences, making it false. The thing about "consistent Russian progress" is overblown. All of their gains combined are less than 1% of the territory of Ukraine. Indeed, since the initial Russian withdrawal, Ukrainian gains have EXCEEDED Russian gains. It is actually dangerous to focus on territorial gains, because currently, Ukraine seems OK with losing territory as long as it exacts a sufficient price from the Russians. If the outcome of a settlement depends significantly on who controls which territory over a short term horizon, Ukraine will contest each slice of territory much more aggressively, and both sides will pay an unnecessary price.
@thor9563
@thor9563 12 күн бұрын
Egg heads and Washington and Wall Street 'Think-Tankers' are stuck in their echo chamber of throwing hundreds of billions of our treasure and perhaps millions of lives more into a kinetic solution. Following is a suggestion to employ around ELEVEN MILLION dollars in a NON KINETIC STRATEGY to end this war. THINK JUJITSU MY FRIENDS!!! Give the Russian soldiers what they REALLY want! Russian soldiers have been taken from their homes families and communities, shipped to their peaceful neighbor to kill their 'brothers' in the trenches and their sisters in their homes. They HATE Putin's war. They HATE Putin. Soldiers are home sick, poorly fed, poorly led, lonely, scared, sick, cold and they HATE this war. They want ONE thing: Russian VODKA. A million bottles of Russia's Finest should be distributed to the front lines along the contact line, for these unfortunate men to enjoy. They would LOVE to hold in their hand a taste of home, family, community. A MILLION bottles of Russia's Finest Vodka would cost about 10 MILLION dollars. 10 Million dollars plus 1 Million to distribute to the soldiers. Eleven MILLION dollars to make the Russian soldiers HAPPY, WARM, DRUNK, ASLEEP in their trenches. How many BILLIONS have been spent to kill these boys? Hundreds of BILLIONS! Capturing brigades of drunk Russians AND their armored vehicles - P R I C E L E S S !!!!!!! In sports and in war....A SNOCKERED FOE.....IS A FRIEND! Slava Ukraine!! HEROYM SLAVA!!!
@RudolphoAqui
@RudolphoAqui 12 күн бұрын
Well said, thank you
@Rb39-ej5hh
@Rb39-ej5hh 12 күн бұрын
The issue Ukraine has is that they have a worsening manpower problem which is largely why Russia has been advancing at a higher pace compared to this time last year. Ukraine's manpower issue is only going to get worse so it begs the question - what is the front going to be like a year from now?
@yourstruly4817
@yourstruly4817 12 күн бұрын
Almost 20% of Ukraine has been occupied, but most of it before 2022
@jaimeleschats5543
@jaimeleschats5543 12 күн бұрын
Meh. If the russians are advancing, no matter by how little, it's still bad. And they are picking up pace, who's to say these aren't the warning signs of a ukrainian collapse? It's looking bleak.
@RayzeR87-PutTheDinYOU
@RayzeR87-PutTheDinYOU 12 күн бұрын
Let's draw some lines around Venezuela, Colombia and Guyana
@Kitt_the_Katt
@Kitt_the_Katt 12 күн бұрын
No
@RayzeR87-PutTheDinYOU
@RayzeR87-PutTheDinYOU 12 күн бұрын
@@Kitt_the_Katt yes
@UGNAvalon
@UGNAvalon 12 күн бұрын
Didn’t he do that once already?
@Recession2026
@Recession2026 11 күн бұрын
​@@UGNAvalonhe used a Sharpie to show a hurricane's path according to himself.
@Comm0ut
@Comm0ut 11 күн бұрын
To precisely what valid strategic purpose?
@792____8
@792____8 11 күн бұрын
US schould just simply send all old equipment to Ukraine, that way the US can save money on not having to store that equipment.
@nikolaideianov5092
@nikolaideianov5092 11 күн бұрын
Tbh the us would save money Much of these weapons and equipment would have to be disposed in 5 years anyways
@khanaliqasim1757
@khanaliqasim1757 9 күн бұрын
What happens when this runs out and US cannot produce more?
@nikolaideianov5092
@nikolaideianov5092 9 күн бұрын
@@khanaliqasim1757 what happened when the us ran out of ww2 weapons ?
@Edax_Royeaux
@Edax_Royeaux 8 күн бұрын
@@nikolaideianov5092 The day the Ma Deuce leaves production is the day the US falls.
@clonecommandermike332
@clonecommandermike332 7 күн бұрын
My tax money paid for that stuff. It shouldn't go to a bunch of ungrateful wheat farmers
@59jm24
@59jm24 11 күн бұрын
Thanks!
@LegaliseFinland
@LegaliseFinland 11 күн бұрын
I'm deeply offended by you excluding Finland from the border countries 😠
@AKAyourdad2458
@AKAyourdad2458 12 күн бұрын
As of recent statement by Trump when asked what his plan is if Russia doesn't come to the negotiating table, his strategic plan is to increase more sanctions on Moscow (within 6 months). I mean, which is basically like pouring a glass of water on top of a burning piramid of Giza.
@ethancoster1324
@ethancoster1324 12 күн бұрын
So more of the same?😅
@mfallen2023
@mfallen2023 12 күн бұрын
He said they have 100 days to come to the table in a tweet last night.
@Cancoillotteman
@Cancoillotteman 12 күн бұрын
@@mfallen2023 Let's check again end of April. I'm willing to bet they'll either have forgotten or will find a 100 more days for Putin.
@adamg7984
@adamg7984 12 күн бұрын
@@Cancoillotteman They will, he goes easy on Putin.
@iconofsin1043
@iconofsin1043 11 күн бұрын
Sand doesn't burn
@avarielblackwing6613
@avarielblackwing6613 12 күн бұрын
Military aid to Ukraine has NOT been cut! His 90-day suspension of all Foreign Aid does not apply, since those military allocations are provided for separately. Only the Civil Reconstruction funds were suspended. So much for him putting his thumb on the scale...
@davisdelp8131
@davisdelp8131 12 күн бұрын
Really that’s great proof?
@stefanlinden7231
@stefanlinden7231 12 күн бұрын
@@davisdelp8131its true, do some reading
@peterdavid5034
@peterdavid5034 12 күн бұрын
​@@davisdelp8131That's great proof of a cult.
@mongo_sk
@mongo_sk 11 күн бұрын
It's not even been 4 days, he's busy signing executive orders even as of now. If he just freezes aid to Ukraine abruptly it will cause MASSIVE complications. Considering how he's actually been following through with a majority of his promises, it will eventually happen soon enough. He just needs time to negotiate with both countries before taking any action.
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 11 күн бұрын
@@davisdelp8131 Not sure about the civil Reconstruction funds, but the current militairy aid (for at least 90 days) is already funded and so doesn't fall under the 90 days suspension. Go read it up somewhere.
@wblake1
@wblake1 12 күн бұрын
Putin can't be reasoned with red lines, but bread lines.
@usergiodmsilva1983PT
@usergiodmsilva1983PT 12 күн бұрын
Brilliant.
@doktormozg
@doktormozg 12 күн бұрын
What does that mean
@defeatSpace
@defeatSpace 12 күн бұрын
@@doktormozg cast the bread line about its axis of rotation to make a bread-bowl (doesn't work for chowder)
@HazyFace_
@HazyFace_ 12 күн бұрын
Russia's trade with the US is down 90% since 2022. There's nothing really to tax or sanction anymore.
@drscopeify
@drscopeify 12 күн бұрын
Putin does not value his own people's lives only to maintain power like Xi Jinping it's all about doing what you want and desire - but without pushing hard enough to cause the people to rise up. You push Russians or Chinese people hard enough and they will stand up - there is a red line. During COVID shut downs in China - they people said enough and used the white plain sheet of paper as a sign of resistance - and after much protest in China, Xi Jinping gave in, and ended the shut downs. That was really a major win for the Chinese people who showed XI, they hold the cards.
@johnhamann5861
@johnhamann5861 12 күн бұрын
Thank you for pointing out that just cutting aid would not just cause peace but just change how both sides think the outcome of war will end.
@Cancoillotteman
@Cancoillotteman 12 күн бұрын
It wouldn't cause peace, not in any way. It could, and likely would, cause an eventual defeat of Ukraine. But they would still fight, because what choice is there really ? Russia just wants to annex the country.
@adamg7984
@adamg7984 12 күн бұрын
Try explaining that to most Trump supporters...
@PlanetJeroen
@PlanetJeroen 12 күн бұрын
What about the fact that the Ukrainian constitution seems to demand territory changes go by vote only? There can be no negations over territory without a vote, and a vote is not realistic at this point .. am I missing something? See Article 73: "Issues of altering the territory of Ukraine shall be resolved exclusively by an all-Ukrainian referendum."
@litreland764
@litreland764 12 күн бұрын
No one will care if the alternative is bad enough
@PlanetJeroen
@PlanetJeroen 12 күн бұрын
@litreland764 not sure you are aware how much Ukrainians care... they can't and won't negotiate on that point without that vote, I believe.
@rv2167
@rv2167 12 күн бұрын
that is why Ukraine is saying they won't officially recognize Russian theft, they would just stop fighting. Then eventually when Russia collapses, which it will, they reclaim it.
@litreland764
@litreland764 12 күн бұрын
@ It's time to get off the internet if you think that a war of attrition will result in Russia being attrited first.
@DakeFasso
@DakeFasso 12 күн бұрын
I think it would be the same as it was with Crimea. Officially, Ukraine still thinks of it as an integral part of itself, while hasn't fighted for it from 2014 to 2022
@charlesbeaudry3263
@charlesbeaudry3263 12 күн бұрын
There is something missing about your analysis. You assume that Russia has all the money to continue its war indefinitely. You do not take into account Russian financial hardship.
@jayearl3591
@jayearl3591 12 күн бұрын
Yep as Condi Rice said around 2014 when they originally planned for this conflict
@nigelgarrett7970
@nigelgarrett7970 12 күн бұрын
​@@jayearl3591 Have you done enough to earn your daily potato yet?
@kalinmir
@kalinmir 11 күн бұрын
vodka went up 25% since the new years...the entire country is likely to perish in delirium tremens if things continue like that
@litreland764
@litreland764 11 күн бұрын
...people have been parroting that point since 2/24/2022. Any day now, the Russian society is going to collapse & overthrow Putin. Hold your breath.
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 11 күн бұрын
Yup that was the one thing i was also wondering about. He ussualy doesn't miss such a vitale part so i think he did it on purpose.
@UncleJoeLITE
@UncleJoeLITE 11 күн бұрын
Thank-you Dr Spaniel.
@oddarnek
@oddarnek 12 күн бұрын
Great, been waiting for your lines on maps on the topic
@ClassicCase
@ClassicCase 12 күн бұрын
At least he's not downright abandoning Ukraine like so many followers of this channel thought.
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 12 күн бұрын
No yet.
@williambranch4283
@williambranch4283 12 күн бұрын
Biden lovers gotta Bidden.
@Cancoillotteman
@Cancoillotteman 12 күн бұрын
Wait first. He didn't abandon them within 24h. He needs to put on a show first. If he actually ends up aiding Ukraine with intensity, I'll gladly admit I was wrong. I would prefer to be wrong in this subject ! I'm just very suspect of the man's true motivation...
@kameronjones7139
@kameronjones7139 12 күн бұрын
Considering he was the main reason it got held up in congress for 6 months and flat out said the usa shouldn't be giving aid. Yeah it was pretty resealable to assume he wouldn't but you will ignore that part.
@kameronjones7139
@kameronjones7139 12 күн бұрын
@@williambranch4283 and here comes the 2 face of maga.
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
What can the US provide? There is still lots of Bradleys and Abrams. But even more importantly, lots of F16s. A huge change would be to allow NATO pilots to fly for Ukraine. On the outside chance, US troops in supporting or active roles could appear, or support for Polish or French ones.
@litreland764
@litreland764 12 күн бұрын
Congratulations. This is the kind of arrogance paired with ignorance that lost Ukrainian men's lives. It is what would be called the useful idiot if it were pro-Russian. Drones & mines would've gone much further. Instead the peanut gallery demanded tanks and fighter planes.
@jakehansen3418
@jakehansen3418 12 күн бұрын
You know you're describing ww3 right? Like please tell me you understand what you're asking for here lol.
@DiamondKingStudios
@DiamondKingStudios 12 күн бұрын
I don’t think adding troops of any NATO member would help in assuaging concerns of Russian escalation. In all likelihood it just gets Russia to retaliate harder. Besides, the last time we sent “advisors” to a war halfway across the world, we ended up escalating on our end also…
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
@jakehansen3418 na WW3 is when China goes to war. To be a world war both sides have to be equal powers.
@Cancoillotteman
@Cancoillotteman 12 күн бұрын
@@jakehansen3418 It doesn't have to be. If those troops merely garrison the frontier with Bellarus (which is supposed to be neutral) it would free up a lot of Ukrainian man-power, without risking any aggravating of the situation (NATO troops would only be in a defensive role there).
@SalihGoncu
@SalihGoncu 11 күн бұрын
There's a very handy resource in Europe that's not tapped yet: a couple of thousand M1A1 Abrams tanks and Bradley IFVs USA left in Europe during wind down of 90's. A couple of hundred of them sent to Ukraine can be handled very fast and would not really affect any readiness in US & NATO in Europe. They are in long storage but in serviceable condition.
@CharlesYuditsky
@CharlesYuditsky 11 күн бұрын
Well there is the matter of training time beimg about a year. If a large number of these vehicles are released now AND the Ukranian govt relents and starts to induct 20 to 25 year olds, there could be a hundreds stong Abrams and Bradley force ready to go in summer 2026. The Ukranians already have all the experience needed to develop this force.
@SalihGoncu
@SalihGoncu 11 күн бұрын
@@CharlesYuditsky They are already using both M1A1s and Bradleys. No need for extra training.
@luigimrlgaming9484
@luigimrlgaming9484 10 күн бұрын
But Ukraine needs manpower
@SalihGoncu
@SalihGoncu 10 күн бұрын
@luigimrlgaming9484 what will they do without equipment? Hold sticks against AKs?
@CharlesYuditsky
@CharlesYuditsky 10 күн бұрын
@@SalihGoncu you are not a genius are you? If you get hundreds or over 1,000 more Bradley's and Abrams you will need to train NEW crew and support personnel. Do you understand me? Or are you such a smart person you don't understand common sense? Wow some of you people on the internet are extraordinarily thick
@colBe-ex9re
@colBe-ex9re 12 күн бұрын
Majority of those Reps who object to American spending in Ukraine would change their tune if Trump did, because… Trump?
@3_character_minimum
@3_character_minimum 12 күн бұрын
Yup... their maybe a true die hard like a Ron Paul or some libertarian. But reps are spineless toerags when thier in power.
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 12 күн бұрын
They have to obey their divine leader. It’s part of being in the MAGA cult.
@pasdpasse439
@pasdpasse439 12 күн бұрын
The orange god said so, then it is so
@temperatemix8268
@temperatemix8268 12 күн бұрын
Basic politics of, foaming at the mouth, trump supporters
@mfallen2023
@mfallen2023 12 күн бұрын
Sure, and you're going to see a lot of Democrats who formerly supported Ukraine aid vote against it. Because Trump.
@LK-jl3pc
@LK-jl3pc 12 күн бұрын
@Gametheory101: You overlook the fact that unlike the US most European states has a longer budgetary attention span. And hence all/most European states has already committed funds for Ukraine for the coming years. Most have signed 10 year "security" agreements stipulating some funds over 10 years. Other states - mostly in Northern Europe - has already allocated vast amounts typically until 2027 or 2028. So Ukraine can already count on 50 bln $ in 2025 (agreed in NATO) and considerable amounts in 26-28. I dont have the numbers, but I would think it is at least in the 15-20 bln € range yearly. And if anything most (Northern) European states are increasing their support for the time being. And importantly many nations are now beginning to allocate larger cash sums for Ukrainian defense industry (The Danish model). This is important because a) these funds go much longer on the € when spent in Ukraine, and b) it helps develop Ukraines own capabilities and makes them less reliant on foreign military aid in the long run.
@ThatOneGuyWithTheEye
@ThatOneGuyWithTheEye 11 күн бұрын
Lol Nato is gunna go bankrupt as soon as we pull out
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
I think a great Idea to get into Trump's head would be to take the Russian seized assets, and start giving $1 billion a day from it to Ukraine. Certainly it would rapidly support the Ukrainian financial position, and allow that to find US weapons purchase, but it would also be a strong incentive to Russia to start bargaining sooner than later.
@TheRockyMountain
@TheRockyMountain 12 күн бұрын
Trump tried to blackmail the Ukrainians and is a Russian puppet. Don’t expect support for Ukraine continuing much longer.
@pasdpasse439
@pasdpasse439 12 күн бұрын
Only that they do not really want to take those money because it is one time trick
@Skelli2
@Skelli2 12 күн бұрын
that would be hilarious and a true middle finger to Putin and his cronies
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
@@pasdpasse439 exactly why you take a little bit every day instead
@Avo7bProject
@Avo7bProject 12 күн бұрын
I've seen claims that Zelensky stated exactly this in the private meeting arranged with Macron. He'll gladly buy US arms with the interest from frozen Russian assets.
@jajoitus317
@jajoitus317 12 күн бұрын
War is bad, but William Spaniel lines on maps videos are fireeee🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
@peterrose5373
@peterrose5373 12 күн бұрын
Fighting a war is the worst thing short of loosing one.
@robertwoodhouse-bm7kt
@robertwoodhouse-bm7kt 12 күн бұрын
Lend lease for very good equipment and free donations of military equipment which the US will never use means Ukraine gets huge amoints of military equipment at no cost to US tax payer. Russia sees 500 M1A1 abrams, 1500 M1 Bradleys, 4000 MWRAPS some strykers, M113, M700 artillery, infantry kit for 500,000 new troops (drop mobilisation age to 20). The US is training 200 F-16 planes, send them 200 F-16 planes out of the 800 in storage. Give them the old ATACMS and 300m of cluster munitions which the US will never use.. Provide significant infantry training in Europe. Don´t bottle feed Ukraine with dribs and drabs.
@Ma_0fficial
@Ma_0fficial 12 күн бұрын
This… and flood the world with oil, now is not the time for net 0 eco friendly policies.
@RudolphoAqui
@RudolphoAqui 12 күн бұрын
Yes
@jebbush9614
@jebbush9614 11 күн бұрын
Surely a weapons aid package will make a difference the 99th time we do it! Seriously it’ll work this time! Trust me bro
@Ma_0fficial
@Ma_0fficial 11 күн бұрын
@@jebbush9614 without the weapons packages Russia would have taken over most of Ukraine dumass
@TheBucketSkill
@TheBucketSkill 11 күн бұрын
@@jebbush9614 Are you actually slow? The difference: major russian breakthrough and maybe collapse of the frontline vs status quo attrition. Anyone who actually thinks anything we give Ukraine will allow them to sweep and retake donbas and crimea is living in lala land. Don't got the manpower, don't got what it would take materially. Donbas has been fortified zone since 2014. The difference is: Ukraine gets to exist, vs a total collapse. Why do you even care so much if they get the aid? Ignore it, you wouldn't even know if the government didn't announce it every time.
@pierreleclercq7729
@pierreleclercq7729 12 күн бұрын
Bill's History Channel.. :) Can't wait for the next episode.
@jayrey5390
@jayrey5390 12 күн бұрын
Thank you for the video! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦✊🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿🇬🇧
@nates9105
@nates9105 11 күн бұрын
West has a disadvantage to the deal. We all failed to adequatly protect Ukraine after promissing to protect them if they surrender nukes 😅
@judithcampbell1705
@judithcampbell1705 11 күн бұрын
Thank you 💛 William for your excellent analysis. I don't think either side is willing to talk about peace. Ukraine knows Russia would break any agreement. So there's no point, yet.
@Corvinwhite
@Corvinwhite 11 күн бұрын
Thank you for the Videos I am legally blind and your videos are very helpful
@OkachaWasTaken
@OkachaWasTaken 11 күн бұрын
Weapons don't fire themselves. You need manpower to use those weapons.
@volodymyr_budii
@volodymyr_budii 9 күн бұрын
And president Zelensky said that there are already multiple staffed brigades that don't have necessary equipment to be active, so weapons are absolutely needed.
@t8kabr8km85
@t8kabr8km85 8 күн бұрын
​​​​​​​​@@volodymyr_budii useable weapons not shit thats been out of date for nearly 30 years like half the comments suggest. Modern tank armaments will rip straight through anything originally built in the 90s as the Ukrainians found out by losing every Challenger 2 Britain sent in less than a month... hell modern machine guns with the right ammunition can do it. And thats before we even get to all the shit that can be strapped to drones. no point sending shit thats just going to get people killed.
@riversandrds
@riversandrds 11 күн бұрын
NATO needs to protect Ukraine's skies with volunteer pilots like they have done in the Middle East.
@paddington1670
@paddington1670 11 күн бұрын
And in WW2. There is a memorial wall with all the American volunteer pilots' names at the RAF museum in London. Showcasing those that took up the fight before their isolationist pussy footing country took up the fight.
@kimanddanahaagenson5595
@kimanddanahaagenson5595 10 күн бұрын
Yes!
@nutterbutter1133
@nutterbutter1133 12 күн бұрын
the US has over 10,000 Tomahawk missiles in inventory. Give the Ukraine those, and your lines on maps would extend out to the Black Sea...
@darealdovahkiin3652
@darealdovahkiin3652 12 күн бұрын
Escalating in such a way with a country who has and threatens to employ tactical nuclear power doesn’t seem like a smart or safe answer..
@MaxVerhaag
@MaxVerhaag 12 күн бұрын
just 1k would make quite the impression!
@guidoofcanada
@guidoofcanada 12 күн бұрын
​@@darealdovahkiin3652That's what has been said about f-16s, Storm shadow, Taurus, etc. etc. the nuclear blackmail is bullshit
@noaoah3662
@noaoah3662 12 күн бұрын
@@darealdovahkiin3652this logic has been dead since day 1 of the war.
@jackneuman5108
@jackneuman5108 12 күн бұрын
​@@darealdovahkiin3652Because empty threats are so scary ?
@matthewwoods6972
@matthewwoods6972 12 күн бұрын
Does Trump really flip on a dime? Or does he understand his adversaries. The only thing they understand is force, and half measures are a waste of time and taxpayer money.
@Calvin_Coolage
@Calvin_Coolage 12 күн бұрын
I feel like he doesn't so much as flip as he does make a lot of political promises and statements vague on purpose. Sometimes I think that's a good strategy, other times not. This is why despite his comments during the election I wasn't particularly worried he'd just leave Ukraine out to dry the way doomposters were saying.
@matthewwoods6972
@matthewwoods6972 12 күн бұрын
@Calvin_Coolage That my good sir is why. I say I will only vote for an honest politician. Hence why I don't vote.
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 11 күн бұрын
No he doesn't understand force he understands overkill. Wich is fine on this topic.
@matthewwoods6972
@matthewwoods6972 11 күн бұрын
@arturobianco848 Potato/Vodka it's the same thing just said different ways.
@arturobianco848
@arturobianco848 11 күн бұрын
@ Well for the war in ukraine yup. I sort of feel sorry for americanes though. That sort of thing always backfires except in war.
@scottygordon3280
@scottygordon3280 12 күн бұрын
Hi everyone!
@bigpeenerpeen
@bigpeenerpeen 12 күн бұрын
Hi
@SelfProclaimedEmperor
@SelfProclaimedEmperor 11 күн бұрын
Hello there!
@krazyolie
@krazyolie 12 күн бұрын
That table is very square for a round table
@Schlabbeflicker
@Schlabbeflicker 12 күн бұрын
Any outcome other than Russian withdrawal from Novorossiya and Crimea is a loss for Ukraine. Any outcome other than Russian retention of Novorossiya and Crimea is a loss for Russia.
@pantalaemon
@pantalaemon 12 күн бұрын
no, that's not correct. for ukraine this war isn't about territory so much as about national survival as an independent political entity free to chart its own course. i.e., whether or not ukraine has thwarted russia's ambitions isn't a matter of who controls exactly what bit of clay, but rather about whether by the end of it there will be a viable ukrainian state that can meaningfully defend itself against further russian encroachment or subversion.
@zadarthule
@zadarthule 12 күн бұрын
​@@pantalaemon a neutral Ukraine is also a loss for them.
@abdielgrande9529
@abdielgrande9529 11 күн бұрын
​@@pantalaemonwin or lose Ukraine is screwed with the gigatic debt it has to pay to the west
@pantalaemon
@pantalaemon 11 күн бұрын
@@zadarthule for who? for russia? because int hat case, no, not at all; a "neutral" ukraine is an isolated ukraine, and therefore a ukraine that can be attacked and undermined at will for russia.
@zadarthule
@zadarthule 11 күн бұрын
@@pantalaemon as I said a neutral Ukraine is a loss for them (Ukraine). If Ukraine can join NATO it's always a loss for Russia even when Russia gets territory
@michaelowino228
@michaelowino228 12 күн бұрын
Good video.
@craigsymalla25
@craigsymalla25 11 күн бұрын
Thanks for another great video. When this is all over I would love to see a review of all your videos and how reality matches the options at the time. Could discover some interesting trends, in particular whether the leaders have certain tendencies that could be used to better predict them in the future.
@michaelmueller9635
@michaelmueller9635 12 күн бұрын
IN 24 HOURS!
@gerhardusvanderpoll
@gerhardusvanderpoll 12 күн бұрын
Narcissistic egomaniacs can apparently fit a century into 24 hours.....
@Shaxo6666
@Shaxo6666 12 күн бұрын
Didn't he officially came in 20th of January So far it's been 92 hours and 50 minutes So kind of late from schedule
@adamg7984
@adamg7984 12 күн бұрын
Wasn't the war supposed to be over already according to President Douche Bag? I didn't forget that. But I also think fuck him and conservatives for only now wanting to increase aid now that it's politically convenient. Fuck them. Do the right thing but, don't forget if they do help push Russia out of Ukraine they didn't do it until it made them look better. Typical conservative selfish, self entitled bullshit. It's not so easy to get peace in a war, huh Trump? But all the fucking talk before and people actually believe him, I'm all for him doing the right thing but I won't forget the nonsense. He's such a piece of shit.
@codeejohnson7004
@codeejohnson7004 5 күн бұрын
One of the best KZbin channels
@statmonster
@statmonster 12 күн бұрын
Good video. I like that it examines the issues (and the game theory behind them) from several angles without partisan snarkiness.
@adamg7984
@adamg7984 12 күн бұрын
And yet people still act like he's a shill for the left sometimes. It's ridiculous. He's pretty fucking unbiased.
@jebbush9614
@jebbush9614 11 күн бұрын
You’re tripping if you think he’s unbiased LOL
@blueseanewt2138
@blueseanewt2138 12 күн бұрын
Is there any chance of a video on the effects of cutting aid in the countries Trump did cut aid too? I am curious what the long term effects of even a temporary absences of the US's spending power on the world stage is.
@bluesteel8376
@bluesteel8376 11 күн бұрын
The main impact will be less US influence in those areas and likely greater influence by Russia or China.
@dennisclapp7527
@dennisclapp7527 10 күн бұрын
Thanks William
@roeldejong9297
@roeldejong9297 12 күн бұрын
It's time to put some lines on maps again!
@sammyseegaar
@sammyseegaar 11 күн бұрын
I love your insights.
@Hamsteak
@Hamsteak 12 күн бұрын
15:33 It looks like there's about 30-35 executive orders on the desk😮
@HobieH3
@HobieH3 12 күн бұрын
Thanks
@dutchvanderlinde5004
@dutchvanderlinde5004 12 күн бұрын
Not helping Ukraine win this winnable war will be a sin that this country will never wash away in the next 100 years.
@Alan-di5kq
@Alan-di5kq 11 күн бұрын
Haha, what are you talking about. Sins are not aplicable to politics
@Recession2026
@Recession2026 11 күн бұрын
Sold out the Kurds in his first term.
@lucrichard6778
@lucrichard6778 11 күн бұрын
How do you win a nuclear war?
@luigimrlgaming9484
@luigimrlgaming9484 10 күн бұрын
Like how we supported the bad guys in almost every proxy war during the Cold War? This is little different, and this time Russia isn’t communist.
@Ryman158
@Ryman158 11 күн бұрын
He couldn't fix it? What a shock
@klausi-mausi
@klausi-mausi 12 күн бұрын
I wonder whether you'll cover potential tariffs on Spain, now that it's considered a BRICS member state. xD
@theconqueringram5295
@theconqueringram5295 11 күн бұрын
This will be interesting.
@yendevus1747
@yendevus1747 12 күн бұрын
I thought Trump said 24 hours 😂😂😂
@wall317
@wall317 12 күн бұрын
Great video!
@whtiequillBj
@whtiequillBj 12 күн бұрын
Yes Trump is a wild card and could do a whole lot of nothing. I feel that would be poetic though with all the nothing from Putin. Make him squirm a little as he waits for nothing to happen for the first time!
@bsastarfire250
@bsastarfire250 11 күн бұрын
C+ for this .
@yclept9
@yclept9 12 күн бұрын
"Making the war outcome really bad for whomever is the holdout." It's "whoever." "Whoever" means "the person who." "Person" is in the objective case, object of "for," and "who" is subjective case, subject of "is (the holdout)." See Fowler.
@rocerist
@rocerist 12 күн бұрын
😂
@heathergibson7939
@heathergibson7939 12 күн бұрын
😂
@ticklemitts6255
@ticklemitts6255 12 күн бұрын
Touch grass virgin
@paulsalmon-o8z
@paulsalmon-o8z 11 күн бұрын
Fabulous video
@Just_a_turtle_chad
@Just_a_turtle_chad 12 күн бұрын
Trump said he would end it in 24 hours, what happened?
@AnthonyBane-r6v
@AnthonyBane-r6v 12 күн бұрын
The liar lied. What a surprise
@buddy1155
@buddy1155 12 күн бұрын
What happend? the elections are over. And in Trump's defence, never met a politician that kept fully kept his election promises.
@dx-ek4vr
@dx-ek4vr 12 күн бұрын
Didn't he also promise cheaper eggs as well?
@neolithictransitrevolution427
@neolithictransitrevolution427 12 күн бұрын
Trump supporters take him seriously not literally, Trump opponents take him literally but not seriously.. See it in action here folks.
@123asap6
@123asap6 12 күн бұрын
Just watch as the prices continue to rise and the nincompoops clamber to get him replaced. They can't cuz once he leaves the entire republican party is just finished.
@gooner72
@gooner72 12 күн бұрын
Top work Mr line drawer........... I always enjoy your content mate!!!
@frankgulla2335
@frankgulla2335 12 күн бұрын
William, nothing like a new administration to give you more fodder to consider. Good luck to us all. Thank you for hte thorough summary of the situation.
@jamesmetz5147
@jamesmetz5147 12 күн бұрын
Thanks, very useful.
@juanpedrosolisparejo9599
@juanpedrosolisparejo9599 12 күн бұрын
El problema sobre el Sr.Trump es que es un poco bocazas y es más fácil predicar que dar trigo.Quiere pasar a la Historia como un gran pacificador,el presidente que hizo resurgir EEUU y a veces se le olvida que el mundo es algo más complejo que sus deseos infantiles!!
@РэйЧехов
@РэйЧехов 10 күн бұрын
The main problem is that Ukraine fixed "No negotiations" law in constitution in 2022.
@ironchiri5251
@ironchiri5251 8 күн бұрын
The main problem is that russia invaded ukraine in the first place
@officialdcshepard
@officialdcshepard 12 күн бұрын
Who else was here in under two minutes?
@AnthonyBane-r6v
@AnthonyBane-r6v 12 күн бұрын
I always come in under two minutes
@Average_height_human
@Average_height_human 11 күн бұрын
Why did I only see this video a min before I have to leave 😭
@markwilliford5319
@markwilliford5319 12 күн бұрын
Kellog is a real Army badass. He is a 101st Airborne Vietnam vet having earned a Silver Star and the Combat Infantryman Badge.
@maxpower3990
@maxpower3990 11 күн бұрын
He’s also an idiot who complains about Russia launching an attack of Christmas while forgetting that George Washington did the same thing at Trenton.
@Nyssa56
@Nyssa56 11 күн бұрын
I do love your segways into plugging your books, they always make me laugh a bit at how creative, and shameless they are at the same time. Well done, another amazing video, and another itch at the back of the brain to go buy those books.
@johndallman2692
@johndallman2692 12 күн бұрын
Trump says so much, and follows through on very little of it. That makes it hard for him to convince people who aren't his followers that he'll do anything.
@stopabuslane
@stopabuslane 11 күн бұрын
All over the shop today
@j.obrien4990
@j.obrien4990 12 күн бұрын
I think that Trump now sees Putin is a loser, hence the change in attitude.
@colBe-ex9re
@colBe-ex9re 12 күн бұрын
Trump styling himself to be king of the jungle. Biggest d**k swinger of other BD swingers. I reckon.
@Kaiserboo1871
@Kaiserboo1871 12 күн бұрын
I mean, when you fail that hard, how can you not be seen as a loser.
@ianhackwell8719
@ianhackwell8719 11 күн бұрын
Don't cut aid!!!
@spvrda
@spvrda 11 күн бұрын
Hello William, I am a Russian that has been watching you for some time now. I'm hoping for the best outcome and a quick end to the hostilities. Peace is worth it for any price!
@Crimethoughtfull
@Crimethoughtfull 11 күн бұрын
The Russian people could rise up--you guys have had some famously successful revolutions. Or, you know, everyone can just start walking home. There is only one "best end"--go home. Spend money on infrastructure instead of making rich widows. I know...much easier said than done when the dictator and his friends hold all the power.
@TomGerritsen-o9r
@TomGerritsen-o9r 11 күн бұрын
For any price for whom? Giving up one's freedom? Hell NO!
@VairLenko
@VairLenko 11 күн бұрын
@@TomGerritsen-o9r funny
@TomGerritsen-o9r
@TomGerritsen-o9r 11 күн бұрын
@ Go see a shrink!
@AmericanRevanchism
@AmericanRevanchism 9 күн бұрын
Pumping more money into Ukraine would be a mistake and politically very costly to Trump. The best deal, by far, would be to get the war to stop along the current territories occupied by each side and admit both Russia and Ukraine into NATO. Russia is not socialist anymore. There's no ideological divide between Russia and NATO. Russia would gain great security from joining NATO. Ukraine would gain great security from joining NATO. The rest of Europe would gain great security from joining NATO. That's truly the best deal. People living with the false idea that a certain country that used to be an enemy will always be an enemy. Look at Britain, Japan, Germany - all formerly great enemies of the US and now allies of the US. We need to add Russia to that list.
@ImperialDiecast
@ImperialDiecast 9 күн бұрын
you clearly have no idea about the russian people's collective mentality and think theyre level headed peace loving people who are critical of their own politicians just like us.
@clonecommandermike332
@clonecommandermike332 7 күн бұрын
Putin would never allow Russia into NATO. But it's an interesting strategy.
@JohnnyChronic18
@JohnnyChronic18 12 күн бұрын
Wasn't Trump suppose to end the war in 24hrs? How far past that are we?
@ethancoster1324
@ethancoster1324 12 күн бұрын
You are aware that Trump always exaggerates and spouts bullsht.
@LewisPulsipher
@LewisPulsipher 12 күн бұрын
Only fools believed that lie.
@user-to9ge8ii9n
@user-to9ge8ii9n 12 күн бұрын
Such a mature tactic -- lie aggressively, then call out anyone believing you as a fool.
@ethancoster1324
@ethancoster1324 12 күн бұрын
@user-to9ge8ii9n Narcissists playbook.
@adamg7984
@adamg7984 12 күн бұрын
@@LewisPulsipher Yeah, and a lot of Americans believed him... What does that say?
@AquaMoye
@AquaMoye 11 күн бұрын
what if they both refuse the deal?
@maxpower3990
@maxpower3990 11 күн бұрын
Then Trump will get bored and go away while blaming Biden.
@kaltenburg2637
@kaltenburg2637 12 күн бұрын
Trump has never said he would use us military force in Ukraine. Unless you mean us equipment
@General12th
@General12th 12 күн бұрын
Hi Dr. Spaniel! I wonder what wars you'll cover in the future.
@trichomelover4209
@trichomelover4209 12 күн бұрын
blyyat
@Nitro1000
@Nitro1000 11 күн бұрын
Everything we have sent to Ukraine since we started has been actively replaced hence the high price tag for aid packages as the money was used to buy replacement stockpiles while we sent our old equipment. Nothing would change we would just be sending larger amounts while we rebuild our domestic stockpiles of equipment and ammuntion.
@anonymous-hz2un
@anonymous-hz2un 12 күн бұрын
It's still sureal to me that America voted a reality TV star for a president 😂😂
@jeremyjackson7429
@jeremyjackson7429 12 күн бұрын
Americans didn't want Reagan to feel lonely
@DiamondKingStudios
@DiamondKingStudios 12 күн бұрын
Ukraine voted in a regular old television actor, but that’s probably a step up from us.
@freedompodcast4518
@freedompodcast4518 12 күн бұрын
God damn it I hate KZbin Keep on censoring me all the time for no good reason! If you are reading this, this is gonna be a bloody miracle! .
@freedompodcast4518
@freedompodcast4518 12 күн бұрын
@@anonymous-hz2un No wonder Trump got in because the Democrats are so terrible because they brought in a senile old man for President and one random diversity hire for vice-president. No wonder a majority of Americans voted for Trump. You very lucky yanks I wish we got somebody like Trump in the uk not like Keir Stalin.
@freedompodcast4518
@freedompodcast4518 12 күн бұрын
@@anonymous-hz2un No wonder Trump got in because the Democrats are so terrible because they brought in a senile old man for President and one random diversity hire for vice-president. No wonder a majority of Americans voted for Trump. You very lucky yanks I wish we got somebody like Trump in the uk not like Keir Stalin. .
@2Large4U
@2Large4U 12 күн бұрын
“Structurally speaking” got me, lol
@trafor01
@trafor01 12 күн бұрын
I guess you mean Trump is a "Wild Card" because he does or very nearly does what he says he will. I liked what the Finnish President Stubb had to say about Trump in Davos.
@maxpower3990
@maxpower3990 11 күн бұрын
So did he get his Muslim ban, his Wall and did Mexico pay for it? He’s a wild card because no one knows what he going to do next and no one believes him when he says dumb or illegal things and then tries to do them .
@Fangripper42
@Fangripper42 11 күн бұрын
According to the front lines in ukraine the main issue is manpower, not hardware. Im not sure rushing aid without boots on the ground will make enough of an impact on the lines of expected outcomes.
@maxpower3990
@maxpower3990 11 күн бұрын
Except that more hardware means you need less manpower. You don’t need to man thousands of kilometres of trenches if you use long range missiles and artillery to cripple the enemies logistics and prevent them launching attacks while protecting your troops prior to their attacks. If your intel is better with drones, satellites and code breaking then you can use smaller armoured mobile forces to respond to any attack while leaving the border mostly undefended. Every battle since 1917 and the end of WW1 has always used more hardware and less manpower to lower casualties.
@toby9999
@toby9999 11 күн бұрын
Europe needs to face reality, stop sitting on its hands and ramp up production, and do it quickly. It had a three year lead time. What's it doing?
@luigimrlgaming9484
@luigimrlgaming9484 10 күн бұрын
What it always does. Nothing
@iw7kj
@iw7kj 10 күн бұрын
@luigimrlgaming9484 not true Sweden is has started funding to triple artillery production, Finland has introudce 3rd shifts for artillery production and is working on a new factory. and all of the baltics and Nordics have signifcantly increased production. Lithunaina is getting close to completing a new munitions factory. france too, these are all the top of my head others could exist but idk. keep in mind Sweden Makes both Gustave 84mm recoloise rifles, a lot of artillery, and the at4,. decided to do a quick look up very recently Germany and Denmark are opening new one starting recently
@suresh3366
@suresh3366 12 күн бұрын
Get ready for the man with forgiveness and humbleness will only survive and win cause Pride goes before fall
@levi7581
@levi7581 12 күн бұрын
The only line that should be allowed to be drawn is the one that coincides with Ukraine's prewar borders. Russia should not be given a milliliter, let alone an inch.
@DiamondKingStudios
@DiamondKingStudios 12 күн бұрын
2014 if possible
@levi7581
@levi7581 12 күн бұрын
@DiamondKingStudios Yes ofc that woulc be amazing but there's no way that's happening
@K.Troxis
@K.Troxis 11 күн бұрын
Options: Option 1 :cut all aid; if they couldn’t end the war by now its not our problem since they aren’t our people nor are they part of nato for all that matters Ukraine could fall to Russia and nothing would happen. Option 2: make Ukraine a state of the union; we’ve already sent them an unfathomable of aid to the point they might as well be a state at this point.
@lakeguy65616
@lakeguy65616 12 күн бұрын
I don't understand why we are pursuing peace between Ukraine & Russia. Yes, this war is expensive for Ukraine and the West. But it's far more costly for Russia. The longer this war goes on, the weaker (in every way) Russia becomes.
@bruno4876
@bruno4876 12 күн бұрын
are we ignoring the fact that russia has a population of 140 million while ukraine has one of around 35 million?
@veritaspk
@veritaspk 12 күн бұрын
@@bruno4876 And yet it was Russia that officially brought in reinforcements from North Korea
@jeremyjackson7429
@jeremyjackson7429 12 күн бұрын
because peace (even if short-lived) makes Trump look good. Whatever happens after can be blamed on the next president.
@Fusseliko
@Fusseliko 12 күн бұрын
@@bruno4876 Ukraine has an easier time mobilizing a larger portion of their population because they can easily frame this war as one for the very existence and independence of their country. Russia is very hesitant to conscript especially from their wealthier middle class because a landgrab for crimea and the black sea landbridge is much harder to justify if deaths keep mounting.
@jeremyjackson7429
@jeremyjackson7429 12 күн бұрын
@@bruno4876 Japan invaded China with 1/6 of China's population. In many cases, training & equipment are more important than raw manpower.
@bdcochran01
@bdcochran01 10 күн бұрын
1. your analysis is correct. 2. let us review something similar.... the US in WW2. Inflation was 24% between 1939 and mid 1943. When Truman took office as President in 1945, he was told that if the US continued devoting resources at the then current rate to the war that the country would go bk within two year. As the war drew to a close, military orders were canceled and unemployment soared, then the unemployment jumped with the returning service men. The government partially dealt with the problem by having the GI bill - books/tuition paid and a stipend at the rate of pay as an enlisted serviceman. If you take Great Britain, rationing continued for years. 3. The fact that Russia will have great difficulties post war is not a consideration in thinking about ceasing the war. 4. Yes the oligarchs are paying for the war. Suppose that in 2022, you were an oligarch who owned a thriving chain of department stores. You could measure your wealth as $1 billion because that it what someone would pay you for your control of the company. Now the economy has sunk, sales are down. Now if you could sell, you would only receive $25 million. You have borne a cost of the war. The oligarch who controlled a Russian oil company has taken hits to his wealth because his refineries are being destroyed and no one is giving him money for the losses.
@dancinglizard6034
@dancinglizard6034 12 күн бұрын
Trump was gonne stop the war in 24 hours huh?? 😂😂😂😂
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 12 күн бұрын
He’s too busy trying to get Mexico to pay for the wall.
@Khal_Rheg0
@Khal_Rheg0 11 күн бұрын
Thank you!
@phredshunkie3487
@phredshunkie3487 8 күн бұрын
The US has 3,000 M1A1 Abrams sitting in storage with no interest in being used by any branch. We’re also phasing out a bunch of aircraft for F-35s.
@danielhale1
@danielhale1 12 күн бұрын
Trump seemingly has some very competent people working on this. Trump himself is kinda mercurial, so hopefully they can steady his course. He can probably be very effective if he commits to a viable plan and sticks to it, but Trump's personality may become its own credibility issue. :( BTW: Whenever we talk about Trump or Putin's personal plans and viewpoints, could we have the lines on map drawn badly in crayon? We missed this opportunity too often with Biden. :D
@Kitt_the_Katt
@Kitt_the_Katt 12 күн бұрын
There's not a single competent person anywhere in his cabinet where are you seeing this
@danielhale1
@danielhale1 11 күн бұрын
@@Kitt_the_Katt Did... did you not watch the video? Your reply tells me you're here blindly replying to comments only, and not watching the video at all. Accusing people of being bots is in vogue right now because it's often true, but I don't think that's fair here -- chat gpt would probably be either more obviously on topic or more arrogantly off-topic. So I'm guessing you either didn't watch, or didn't pay attention to, William Spaniel's explanation of the strategy, who's behind it, why they're choosing this direction, and what the challenges and consequences might be. In which case, why are you here? I'm no defender of Trump or many of his staff picks (I'm an independent and I personally don't like him). But in my comment I'm talking about the decisions made by the individual staff pick mentioned in this video, and your reply tells me you have no idea who that is or what I'm saying about them or why. Be better.
@Grenadier311
@Grenadier311 11 күн бұрын
Robust aid to Ukraine needs to accompany negotiations if the Western and Ukranian positions are to be soundly represented in the peace talks.
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