FlyWire Ukraine War Update

[@waynetokarz174]

Incredible level headed, professional and relevant report! Scott, your take and style really made for a comfortable and trustworthy experience. Thank you.

[@stevenpeterson191]

The old saying that amateurs focus on tactics, professionals focus on logistics seems to still be true.

[@bob81449]

Amen to that!

[@jackoneil3933]

Wow, some essential situational awareness there Scott. Mega thanks and respect for the outstanding 'Reason, Reason & Reality' briefing and reminders of the danger and prevalence of false IFF. In regards to Situational Awareness: Might I submit that no matter if we are a potential victim of war, or a professional warrior, that developing a sense rational sense of what constitutes acts of war, and the imminent consequences of acts of war is essential and paramount at times like these, and that what we hope and pray for (war?) be predicated on a foundation of objective reason and compassion and situational awareness, and not on lies, propaganda and agendas designed to obscure reason and awareness by fomenting mass resentment and hate. Thanks for going above and beyond to help keep trajectories straight and level.

[@TheFamilyman7]

Brevity is the soul of wit. Your analysis, esp. the of air and logistics strategy, is very much appreciated. I was USAF-enlisted at a joint U.S. - Dutch airbase at Soesterberg (32TFS) betw '78-'80. Felt real safe with those F-15s stationed there. The elderly locals also certainly appreciated our presence having experienced what the Nazis did to the Lowlands a mere 35yrs previous.

[@kevincollins8014]

I really love your well though out input into what's going on. It's always nice to hear it from someone that has experience in the subject.

[@Shanidar1]

All my questions on the war answered in 30 minutes. Thanks Scott

[@markodeen4105]

While some are complaining about your lack of "aviation" content. this is certainly aviation related, I appreciate hearing your views since it comes from one who has spent much of his life thinking about the reason you were a military aviator not just the aspect of flying an aircraft.

[@19Cub]

Scott, this is the best darn critique of what is going on in Ukraine I have seen. Bravo, and please, keep us informed with your superb analysis of this war.

[@patrickfreeman8257]

Thank you so much for this. I purposefully avoid the mainstream media because I'm so tired of all their BS. It's so refreshing to get just the facts, from the perspective of someone who isn't on anyone's payroll

[@DaveGWIS]

Very grateful for your inciteful comments on the Big Picture about Ukraine Scott, a perspective that the professional media have completely failed to provide. Keep up the good work and thank you from the UK.

[@elijaguy]

I suggest "insightful"

[@DaveGWIS]

@@elijaguy Doh! Yes, of course. Thanks.

[@danroll81]

That "dog fight" you mentioned and showed is proven to be a videogame. You can tell by the fake trees.

[@Parr4theCourse]

Awesome to get your perspective on this situation, much appreciated!!

[@A333A343A346]

Nicely thought out and presented Scott. Good job.

[@ferebeefamily]

Thank you for the update. You gave more coherent information to date than the news media. A+

[@frankwhittaker8551]

Thank you for your insight and your service. I value your options and comments as you have "done that, been there" and have the T-shirt.

[@keepyourbilsteins]

Scott, thanks for sharing your experience, and more importantly your heart on this awful situation.

[@johngentry8736]

Excellent info... I appreciate your thoughts and interpretations .... Please share more as things develop...

[@lovinradios6495]

got to say, hat is off, you nailed this...new subscriber here, liked and shared. just finished video and will be watching all future posts, bell is lit

[@carlospar3727]

Scott, excellent analysis! With you and Ward providing this level of coverage the news outlets can go back to man bites dog stories. Thanks!

[@rudyramos5911]

Great presentation Scott I have forward it to everyonr. I know.....family and friends Best regards......Rudy

[@marklaw1434]

Clear and concise analysis, thank you. The thunderstorm fit right in.

[@roberthammond2637]

Scott, you have scripted your best YT...! Your vast experience and wisdom shows clearly -- keep up the Great Journalism...! I guess that is the question....Where are the journalists...? You are the One...!

[@bobsmalser8304]

Mud. Rasputitsa. Napoleon’s Best General. The Kursk WWII tank battle was in July for that reason. NATO has around one tank retriever per 15 tanks, and I haven't seen a Russian one yet. Russia apparently didn't even bring their VTR's and wreckers, planning on being entirely road bound for speed, but making them vulnerable because they can't disperse for security. Drone observation is the key tactic of this war - Ukraine is shooting mortars, artillery and even remoted anti-tank missiles with it - and is the reason Russia's attack is about to collapse from its own weight, as we also don't see much two-way traffic on the MSR's. They are about to run out of everything.

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Excellent comment Bob!

[@karlscribner7436]

Thanks for the level headed view of what things look like in the Ukrainian situation.

[@kurtak9452]

Outstanding debriefing Scott.....Keep up the good work.

[@robertcouncil839]

Appreciated your analysis. Keep us updated please.

[@CC-te5zf]

Learned allot. Great summary. Thank you.

[@cturdo]

Funny how the U.S. practically begged the UN for permission for the Iraq War and we always have to count on at least an abstention for our interventions to stop conflicts like this one. No Fly zones are for when you own the airspace, otherwise they are offensive actions as you said.

[@markb.1259]

Thank you Scott! Very, Very insightful!!!

[@twentyrothmans7308]

It's fantastic to hear your thoughts on this, Scott. And thanks for guarding West Germany, as I was living there at the time.

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

You're welcome!

[@silasmarner7586]

When I first saw the title, I was thinkin' .. "Oh jeez, Scott's outta his depth here.. but NO! A SUPERB evaluation, rational, well-explained, in-depth, with facts well in hand. Bravo, Scott, BRAVO!.

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Thanks Silas!

[@SmokeShadow49311]

1:52 What!? The CCP didn't get the seat on the UN Security Council when they 'won' in 1949. The KMT (aka Kuomintang, aka Taiwan 🇹🇼, aka Formosa, aka the Republic of China ROC) kept the UN seat until 1971.

[@damienmcbratney3197]

Excellent video Scott.

[@voytekcyvr1936]

You are the first person who are identified the problem(s) and presented probably closest to the real thing. I just hope that there are more like you high in decision making levels of western governments.

[@nickxidis9571]

Excellent analysis. Thank you Scott.

[@keithminchin1817]

With so much misinformation and biased opinions being spread at the moment I really appreciate you taking the time to provide that level headed and professional report. Very interesting.

[@bobwright5557]

Thanks For sharing your thoughts Scott. Great analysis.

[@laverneswift4295]

Thanks Scott for your 2 reports on the Ukraine situation. As a long retired infantry officer I agree entirely with your analysis. I think the quality of high ranking Russian officers, like most military forces these days, is very low. Why they would invade at this time of year makes no sense, might as well have left their tanks at home. It is a sad state of affairs for Ukraine and Russian forces to be suffering because of the decisions of politicians. If the only persons required to fight started at the civilian and military top leaders the world would see a lot less conflict.

[@idsawtooth]

Excellent Analysis!

[@HootisGarage]

Thanks Scott. I’ve been waiting for your no nonsense insight and outlook on this. Thank you.

[@cherliebravo9044]

That was a DCS video with the "Ghost of Kiev"... the original poster did put that in the description

[@bob81449]

Thanks Scott, well done. I/we have a clearer understanding off what's going on there, in the air and on the ground. One other lesson that seems to be lost on Russian Military planners is what happened to them in Afghanistan. With Allied support of the Mujahideen and small hit and run engagements with Stingers, anti-tank and anti-personnel weapons, Russia was brought to there knees and pull out a defeated "Super Power". DID THEY LEARN NOTHING? Some of your video footage looks likes out takes from the movie "Charlie Wilson War" a few years ago. It's difficult to believe Russia would let themselves be drawn down that same rabbit hole again.

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Keep doing the same thing expecting a different result....

[@sweet.dreams]

great analysis, thanks for your input

[@stevenlucas8826]

Scott Perdue for President...let the adults back in the room ! Thanks Scott.

[@billylain7456]

Scott, thank you SO MUCH for this video. At last a critique thar makes sense from a man that knows what he is talking about. If you are ever at a piblic event in the DFW area I hope I know about it in advance.

[@humrv7]

Outstanding, thanks Scott. Just found ‘Winter on fire’ (Netflix) - powerful & difficult viewing - gives a feel for some of the recent background to this war. I agree, a massive human catastrophe is around the corner unless the Russians and their supporters in Belarus are persuaded to pull back.

[@dingletab4756]

Excellent. Thank you.

[@shenandoahhills7263]

Loved your analysis, and background information on NATO. It seems that we have continually overestimated the capabilities of the Russian forces. Even in the Eisenhower administration, and then with Sputnik we were way off on our intelligence, possibly willfully to support our own military industrial complex. It was not until we established our satellite "spies in the sky system", and with Reagan calling their bluff that the USSR had to fold their hand. The Russians simply lack the GDP to support and compete with the US. Their one ace in the hole is their nukes. If not for the civilian casualties, I would like to see their forces cut off and destroyed in place in Ukraine.

[@nancychace8619]

Shenandoah - Not sure how much of a Russian bluff Reagon called. Never forget he was an actor, even if only "grade B".

[@carlospar3727]

Reagan's policies maneuvered the Soviets (yes, run by Russia) to expend precious and scant resources in order to try to keep up with us. Yes, they created a couple of wonder prototypical weapons and platforms, but not en masse fielding materiel. They ran themselves broke. We need to remember this lesson when looking at the Sino and Russian arsenals. We made real progress in weapons development that the Soviets couldn't keep up with. Let's not run ourselves ragged trying to keep up with BS Chinese magic dragon systems. Concern where concern is due, leave the pie in the sky stuff to the CoD players.

[@ShamWowProphet]

Very interesting analysis! Very informative.

[@bobclarie]

The Absolute Best " Nickel " out there Scott . . . Your perspective is trusted and respected . . . Thanks, Bob

[@jeffreylewis145]

Your thinking is very clear. We appreciate it.

[@Berthier_Enjoyer]

The reason the tanks are all on the roads is because of the mud, the rasputitsa. You would think Russia of all things would understand the spring mud. That really says their plan, if they ever had one, was to show the flag and expect Ukraine to just collapse. I personally don't think Russia can keep this up much longer. Maybe a couple more weeks. Other countries that have territorial disputes with Russia, like Georgia or maybe even Japan, may use this war to their advantage. Maybe the Chechens will revolt again.

[@Byzmax]

Great observations as always. Thanks

[@jamieburt8244]

Great info!!! Thank you Scott!!

[@j.muckafignotti4226]

Looks like DCS to me! That engagement is right out of DCS and the fire trails of the destroyed aircraft are typical of DCS.

[@I-0-0-I]

Thanks so much for your levelheaded and unemotional report. I was born in PL, lived in the US 90% of my life, and now live in western PL again. I completely agree with your assessment of the no-fly zone. Emotionally, I want it bad. But let's be real. Really glad I am not the one having to make that ice-cold call. The one thing that is not covered when talking about why the initial invasion was so inept is the effect of this being a "secret war," in Russia. Putin never declared a war, using the word is actually banned in Russia when talking about Ukraine. This likely had material effects on Putin's deployment options. Think Laos/Cambodia for the USA during the Vietnam war. US options were very limited there because it was a "secret war." For what it's worth, there are plenty of recordings of captured Russian reserve kids saying they were only told that they were on exercises.

[@edgarmuller6652]

Thanks for your analysis on the war and post war. If we learned anything from the war in Irak and Afganistán is that post war is even more important than wining the war. It was proven with the Marshal plan in Europe and Japan.

[@MrBarbuster]

smartest outlook and commentary and opinion that i have heard in 60 years thankyou sir for your service

[@noyfub]

Great Analysis. Thanks

[@garybaldwin1061]

Excellent briefing!

[@jme36053]

Well articulated. No further comment necessary.

[@colinmccune569]

Very interesting and informative video Scott . Let's hope peace and stability comes to the Ukrainian people and the world

[@jimmack1504]

This is the perspective, analysis and insight I've been waiting for about this mess. The legacy media is worthless.

[@flymachine]

Ive been fed so many opinions and expert insights and analysis since the invasion made news but yours and another KZbinr beating cancer's opinions are the first that make sense and seem to hold water - go figure. Also "fold like a cheap chute" works just as well maybe better - more impact.

[@kenhenson1071]

Thanks for a refreshing analysis, and for your focus on rebuilding and rescuing Ukraine from the now inevitable devastation. I can't help but wonder what the world might look like if we had had a GC Marshal influencing US policies in the past 40 or so years in Afghanistan, Iraq, Iran, Libya, Syria, Sudan, Rwanda, and a collection of other nations. We need to build Ukraine into a nation that is on par with NATO nations, whether or not they become members.

[@crcarlsonUT]

I am also surprised at the lack modern maneuver warfare strategies here. On the surface it seems to be a case of underestimating your adversary.

[@tymatt4555]

Well said. Thanks for your 5c

[@robertbandusky9565]

Does our present inept administration have as much knowledge of this war as you do Scott? If not , you should brief them. Can you imagine, what 100 AH-64E Apaches could accomplish at night on these armored columns 🇺🇸

[@timkiwi]

Thanks for your insight into this conflict

[@tymatt4555]

Dcs was the shoot down video.

[@greggstrasser5791]

Video simulator.

[@hughbassoon]

Very interesting comments Scott. The only thing that i would say that was different from other wars this time around is internet communication . I don’t think there has ever been a situation where a leader of a country like Ukraine has addressed the American congress. As to whether this makes a difference….who knows. I like watching the car crash videos on KZbin and one thing that is apparent is that in both Russia and China there are new highways and many new cars, mostly built in other countries. So though the oligarchs in both countries have been accumulating a lot of wealth, some of the populace of both countries have been accumulating some i guess as a result of trickle down. So to have that interfered with is another unknown factor. And of course the other unknown factor is how omicron which is getting widespread in china is going to interrupt supply chains with the major lockdowns they are doing there right now. There is so much world interaction things are going to be very interesting. Thanks for your comments

[@charlesfaure1189]

The most common error in war is underestimating the adversary's WILLINGNESS to fight.

[@MrLouDC]

As a Vietnam Marine medic I have become increasingly disturbed about the politicalization of the US military by the "Woke Left". I hope Generals like Gen. MILEY ARE JUST THE upper echelons and are no indication of the military at the field level. You have restored my faith in our military, now I feel I may have exaggerated with my storing 9 months of food,supplies,fuel and security protection. Thank you, I will sleep better tonight.

[@christophergoggin5524]

Good Job!

[@mnmike130]

Excellent observations and commentary. I couldn't agree with you more. The first day of the invasion my question was where is the UN?

[@davidmallette2009]

Well said. Thank you

[@frankhuber9912]

Refreshing candor.

[@philipcobbin3172]

Thanks for the clear update. It's a real dangerous place...be cold sober about it... Thanks

[@mykofreder1682]

I have seen artillery attacking Russian isolated units in the woods, there are few secret places without leaves on the trees. They had drone footage, I suspect being used as spotters, for the artillery attacks, which may be some of the most effective air power of the war. It probably is one of these military drones, though a $100 Amazon drone probably could do the same spotting duty for artillery. Russia does not have enough troops for their perimeter so their troops are in the most part in isolation other than at contact fronts. My opinion is Russia will pull back to the boarder because they are losing too many vehicles and the troops will not do a Stalingrad house to house, they would surrender first, so the war is over when they run out of vehicles. Once that happens if the Ukrainians want it, the US should treat them as they treated the corrupt Afgans for years, I think it would pay off creating a Ukraine force that is too strong for Putin to think of attacking. The threat to the US is not threats from Putin as we improve Ukraine's military, it is having Ukraine with a mediocre military that Putin thinks he can reload and attack again. You want to leave Putin only 2 choices nuclear annihilation or nothing, leaving a feasible middle ground of attacking a weak country could lead to WW3 as we have seen in this attack and Crimea. They should be made strong enough to retake that territory from separatist and anything the Russian hold eventually. This is the front line with Russia and to leave it weak and pathetic because you are afraid of Putin will lead to another attack and more real danger.

[@chuckschillingvideos]

I'm quite certain the Ukrainians are also receiving satellite imagery from....somebody.

[@nancychace8619]

Thanks very much for sharing your sage perspective. I had to watch it twice. I know there must be a great many people who want things to get better but are at a loss as to what to do about it. This war has presented some tough calls, such as whether or not to do a no fly zone. It's a little confusing why Zelenskyy is asking so strongly to close the sky if the current situation is somewhat of a stalemate. Yet the Russians continue to pound civilian areas and commit atrocities. Every day counts. To sit idly by as Ukraine burns and God knows who is next seems a fool's errand, but the thought of sending our kids in to begin WWIII is equally horrific. Imo Putin's reasons for war go much further than Ukraine. He is on a power trip paralleled by very little in the course of human history. Given the unforseen circumstances of the current state of affairs - thank God- he is unable to follow through on his ill-begotten action. What he is doing will prove unsustainable in the long run. He's precluding too many people from fulfilling their potential, even on a good day before this all started. I just hope it won't be too late - I tried to briefly review what happened with Libya. I wonder also what about Kosovo? I agree the humanitarian side of the story looks bad. The whole world will have to pull extra freight on this one. The Ukrainians have become refugees overnight through absolutely no fault of their own. It's important for us to help them. It makes me appreciate all the more each day of peace and the freedoms I have known over the years. Thanks again, Scott.

[@beachbum77979]

Thank you for giving us a glimpse into how weapons of war work. And how they don't. I understand the basics of physics. The basics of politics eludes me, so thanks for your insight into NATO and the UN. I understand that NATO doesn't want to provoke Putin. NATO, the US, and others didn't want to give Putin any reason to invade Ukraine, so no sanctions until after. For Putin, it seems he wants provocation. But he'll happily invade, target civilians if the provocations don' meet his timeline. Now, the west does not want to provoke Putin to unleash nuclear hell. I understand that, but does delaying sanctions, slowing increased sanctions, telling Putin that there will be a high cost for further escalation work with Putin? Will delaying a no fly zone or denying aircraft to Ukraine make him afraid to pull the nuclear trigger???

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Putin is obviously not afraid the threaten to use nukes. He is using the threat as a backstop. I doubt he'll use them in Ukraine. About the only thing he US president has been right about is that it will take months for Sanctions to have any effect. the best thing we can do for Ukraine is to supply them with Air Defense and Anit-tank weapons. And humanitarian aide. I think the answer to your final question is doing it or not doing it will have no effect. Essentially, there is a no-fly zone over Ukraine right now.

[@beachbum77979]

@@FlyWirescottperdue Well again, I thank you. Having never studied war myself, I know very little about it. And the people I've known that have served and sacrificed in war don't talk to me about it much. They know that I can never understand. And so I'm in no position to understand the real world as it is. I see a lot of enemy tanks all lined up in a row and I think, isn't that what A10s are for? I see the humanitarian crises now. I don't see how the people in eastern cities can survive without food, water electricity or way to escape. As you said, starvation happens fast. I too see no way Russia can occupy Ukraine. Insufficient resources. So flattening everything is the only way for Putin to "win". What do you think the chances of a coup in Russia are. That seems to me like the quickest and most humane way for this to end. Thanks again Scott. It's good to hear from someone that actually knows what goes on as opposed to someone that studied how to get shocking ratings in two minutes or less. I truly appreciate what you do with your channel. Thank you!

[@sb859]

Air attack of Crimea's fuel supply and other logistics, would rapidly bring the Soviets to culmination. Their ships would be out of fuel, and they could not supply their troops in the south. And Turkey closed the Bospherous Straits, so no more supplies are coming in.

[@timkiwi]

I stand with Ukraine. This war is appalling BUT where was the outrage over the 7 1/2 year war with Yemen. Hospitals schools family homes wedding parties and woman and children boomed with US and British made booms. US midair refuelling for these booming raids. Where are the sanctions on Saudi.

[@dwaynemcallister7231]

Scott Perdue for president!

[@barking3933]

your ghost of keeevie footage is from DCS, easy to tell because how how jerky the camera moves/ how it zooms (as well as the things you mentioned) much more level headed, reasonable thoughts about the footage than from "some" other youtubers It will be interesting to see how the amount of MANPADS, javelins, stingers etc into one of the most corrupt countries in europe will affect the safe travel of passenger planes in the region, regardless of the outcome of the war.

[@noyfub]

Get the US out of the UN & Get the UN out of the US.

[@markbattista6857]

Good morning Scott , I'm happy you have put out a video of this mess going on in the Ukrainian now . You've spelled in out in an honest way that only a student in history could . I only hope that this doesn't crank up into a nuclear war especially with the current President and his minions at the helm . Thanks again , Mark Battista

[@ecossearthur]

Great take and common sense update!

[@derikwright3383]

We need Maveric and Goose. Done in a single sortie

[@petervanderwaart1138]

Maybe a couple decades ago, I read article about the future of war in some august journal like maybe Popular Science. The author thought the advantage would be shifted to defense due to high accuracy weapons. That's what's going on with the air war in Ukraine. Defensive weapons are preventing either side from establishing air superiority.

[@leoahearn7382]

Sounds like a situation that could be resolved in about 30 minutes with a few dozen A10s.

[@LTVoyager]

Not without first establishing air superiority and destroying ground launched missiles.

[@samrapheal1828]

@@LTVoyager Correctamundo ✔

[@stay_at_home_astronaut]

“Quantity has a quality all its own.” --Uncle Joe Stalin

[@mikeswanson6145]

Protection is defense not offense. What percentage of US fighter pilots do you think want to go in?

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Purely as a fighter pilot? I’d say most of them, including me. But you also have to think about things as an adult and look at the wider picture

[@10screenwriter]

Do you think Ukraine pilots can fly A10s, 3 squaddons of them are in Poland.

[@robertmoffitt1336]

🙏🇺🇦

[@robertbandusky9565]

Putin needed to study “ George Armstrong Custer” videos🇺🇸👨‍✈️

[@kevinbarry71]

Love your video but small correction. The Chinese communist got the UN seat for China in 1971

[@FlyWirescottperdue]

Thanks for the correction!

[@spacecatboy2962]

I have many bad feelings about how this war came about and how it most likely could have been avoided with some honest diplomacy, but with that said, if they let me be in charge (and they really should) I would draw a line north to south somewhere in ukraine and move in with air power to protect lviv from being turned to rubble. I would warn putin that if they fire into that area, there will be return fire. So, i would put a no fly, no artillery zone covering the western quarter of ukraine. Call it a humanitarian disaster relief/prevention action.

[@gregwilliamson3001]

You made a very important point about what happens AFTER this war ends? To allow Ukraine to remain devastated, without massive humanitarian and rebuilding aid from the West would be like repeating the mistakes made in Iraq and Syria. Except, these inhabitants would have access to radioactive materials!

[@ginacalabrese3869]

Interesting you don't mention Yemen which js by far a worse humanitarian crisis and is still occurring with US support all the way back from the Obama administration.

[@gregwilliamson3001]

@@ginacalabrese3869 Yemen. Happy now? Do you think I left Yemen out on purpose??? Should we make a list of all the countries that have been used up and trashed by other nations? You seem very touchy. You could've just replied "Add Yemen to the list", but instead you implied I deliberately left Yemen out? Chill...🍦

[@robertbandusky9565]

Perfect battle for AH-64 Apache helicopter. Night combat attacking Russian armor. Unfortunately, would need to be flown by NATO countries🇺🇸👨‍✈️