French election: exit poll predicts shock win for leftwing alliance

France's leftwing New Popular Front (NFP) coalition is expected to win the most seats in the second voting round of parliamentary elections, leading pollsters said on 7 July, putting it on track for an unexpected win over the far-right National Rally (RN) but short of an absolute majority.
Subscribe to The Guardian on KZbin ► bit.ly/subscrib...
An Elabe poll for BFM TV projected 175-205 seats for the NFP, while an Opinionway poll for C News TV said it would win 180-210 seats. Both surveys put President Emmanuel Macron's centrist bloc narrowly ahead of Marine Le Pen's RN in second place. For an absolute majority in the National Assembly, France's lower house of parliament, 289 seats are needed
Exit poll shows surprise win for leftwing alliance in French election ► www.theguardia...
The Guardian publishes independent journalism, made possible by supporters. Contribute to The Guardian today ► bit.ly/3biVfwh
Sign up to the Guardian's free new daily newsletter, First Edition ► theguardian.com...
Website ► www.theguardia...
Facebook ► / theguardian
Twitter ► / guardian
Instagram ► / guardian
The Guardian on KZbin:
Guardian News ► bit.ly/guardia...
Guardian Australia ► bit.ly/guardia...
Guardian Football ► bit.ly/gdnfoot...
Guardian Sport ► bit.ly/gdnspor...
Guardian Live ► bit.ly/guardia...
#francelection #france #politics #newpopularfront #nationalrally #marinelepen #macron

[@guardiannews]

Exit poll shows surprise win for leftwing alliance in French election ► www.theguardian.com/world/article/2024/jul/07/exit-poll-shows-surprise-win-for-left-wing-alliance-in-french-election

[@19katherine1213]

Putin must be fuming 😂 He burned a lot of money on this

[@UncleRuckus7600]

Does everybody think putin is messing with everyone's election all over the world now? What is going on lol

[@francoistinchant6408]

Aussi , il y a des inondations en France , c’est la faute à Poutine 😂😅

[@sariputraa]

@@UncleRuckus7600 bc he is

[@UncleRuckus7600]

@@sariputraa thats dum

[@jezg]

This is like scary Eurovision

[@trartalacrem]

For someone who lives in France this is not at all a surprise or a "shock" win. You could feel since the announcement of Front Populaire that the trend was changing.

[@tedishijaku8096]

I'm not from france can you explain to me this? Did election happen in france today or are these just projections based on News Media Polls and calculations?

[@Ineedyoulou]

WEF sorted that.

[@jammyjamzz]

Far Right when they don't win: It's the *Insert antisemitic dogwhistle* fault

[@stanh9521]

Wef?

[@shaneharper6851]

Yeah and the WHO, bill gates and those people who protect penguins in Greenland.

[@ithames2753]

Great news! The Labour landslide in the UK as well.

[@hubbletelescope1721]

The silent majority was motivated to go and vote.

[@RiverTheMagnificent]

England rejected far right. France rejected far right. America, you can (and have to) do it in November!

[@sacamain0]

Jill Stein 🙌

[@allansmith3837]

Not far right Just RIGHT.

[@adrien5834]

@@allansmith3837 Nah. Far right and completely wrong.

[@E_Rex_Sean]

@@adrien5834Oxymoron.

[@Kursk_Is_Novo_Ukraina]

La Pen just did a Farage and FLOPPED 😂😂😂

[@user-cf3cr8ki7e]

Youths played a big part in french election

[@mickeylickey123]

Yeah cause they know nothing. Probably promised free stuff

[@Leviathan02464]

You mean lazy basement dwellers

[@nigelhart3897]

The youth aren't obsessed by greed like the previous generations, and are certainly more aware of the damage it does.

[@ligondesenuts769]

@@mickeylickey123 No one likes thatcherite policies

[@boratroop]

@@mickeylickey123 cope

[@unknown185]

Literally everyone else vs le pen Shocker they don't have the most seats 🤯

[@Morning404]

Le pen came third. The majority rejected the far right, keep crying 😂😂

[@Myprobable952]

Cope😂😂

[@ad3l547]

Well actually, the reason it's unexpected was because they were believe to gain 210-280 Seats.

[@sans_hw187]

@@Morning404 Right wing forces still dominate (203 seats for the right, 195 for the left, 175 for centrists), the new government is going to be center-right and the RN is stronger than ever… that’s clearly not a “left wing victory”

[@unknown185]

@@ad3l547 no one had the absolute majority tho

[@johngalvin3124]

Vive la France!

[@UpstairsReserve]

Not France anymore. Say hello to the Progressive Democratic People's Republic of Ufaransa, translated to English, a now illegal language to learn

[@felixgarcia9650]

​@@UpstairsReservechill with the racism dude

[@campbell4show]

@@felixgarcia9650 How's the job going?

[@townee23]

how is this a shock? this is what they planned.

[@Morning404]

Who planned?

[@jonastrex05]

@@Morning404elitists dude

[@peter.p.]

Denying fair election never makes changes

[@ligondesenuts769]

@@jonastrex05 the elitists are right wing

[@MrObliviousegg]

​@@Morning404Macron and the left allied by dropping candidates to block RN. 37% (most popular by >10%) of the vote went to RN, but they got third most seats.

[@milumav]

VIVE LA FRANCE!!!

[@user-de7mb9rn9w]

ROFL you say while endorsing everything killing it

[@milumav]

@@user-de7mb9rn9w ANYTHING but a far right party is a win.

[@mav1783]

Vive La Francistan!! 🥰

[@shimpoopimpoo7643]

So much for the strengthening of the extreme right in Europe.

[@brentoconner2537]

An election stolen means revelation in your future.

[@MaximilianonMars]

Anything and everything is far right. Thinking is far right. Balancing a chequebook is far right. Understanding basic economics is far right. Standing for your individual beliefs is far right. Well, when you're not right, you're wrong.

[@PsilentMusicUK]

​@@MaximilianonMars Understanding basic economics definitely isn't far-right, or right-wing in general. Libertarians just pretend that macroeconomics doesn't exist and that you can run states like businesses.

[@Ulver27]

That's bs ^^^

[@gf6x3gkmfw38]

Thinking is exactly the opposite of far right. Hence constantly trying to ditch any education system​@@MaximilianonMars

[@frog8779]

Almost like when the entire political establishment unites to combat any real change, the establishment wins... 😲

[@xhshdd7113]

Left wing alliance = "the political establishment" You'd be funny if you weren't completely ignorant

[@dibdab101]

or when people from different walks of life get together to repel the fascists.

[@SlasherNL]

@@xhshdd7113 Anything left wing does always increases taxes for the middle income households. Because their policies involve great benefits to the poor (i.e. illegal immigrants). Stop going into your reddit echo chambers.

[@dtosmanm4743]

@@xhshdd7113 he is correct

[@nigelhart3897]

​@@xhshdd7113 Seems you're arguing with the delusional duo!

[@user-ly4el7qf7t]

so le pen went from miles ahead to behind? hmmm

[@Steven-vo4ee]

Weep

[@russelllawford5643]

Where did we see this ...... oh yeah 2020 in America

[@TC8787-yq7og]

Do you understand how the French system works?

[@supersardonic1179]

@@TC8787-yq7og A little, no matter the outcome the results are celebrated with a customary riot.

[@TheAircool1]

Miles ahead? Her party was polling omly 5% ahead of NFP, hardly miles ahead.

[@Budanevey]

Macron's _Guerre Civile_ prevented? Or just postponed...

[@francoistinchant6408]

👏👍

[@Chris-Roberts]

Subtitles are in French as well 🤣🤣🤣

[@Forg2]

I saw that lol

[@Kursk_Is_Novo_Ukraina]

Clearly you don't know how to use the CC button because I do and mine was in English.

[@beepboop9848]

​@daveoc5770. How does your subtitles being different mean they don't know how to use the cc button? This is a dumb comment.

[@marknorville4192]

@@Kursk_Is_Novo_Ukraina It was in French the subtitles, you then had to click on the cog and then select auto translate, without that it was all French subtitles.

[@Usernameneverseen]

@@beepboop9848 It defaults the subtitling the language used in the video, for obvious reasons, but you can change that to be "auto translate" to your preferred language instead with the cc/settings button which they clearly didn't even try before writing their comment I presume.

[@sygrovesteve5819]

The coalition may not last and likely to be ineffectual while it does

[@boofuu3145]

fixed

[@nicholasstokes8739]

Not really the great win they make it out to be. Took a combination of like 5 different entire parties and all of their supporters put together in order to stop a single right wing party.

[@sunsetsarenice]

And? It seems to have worked rather spectacularly if the poll's right.

[@Kursk_Is_Novo_Ukraina]

La Pen FLOPPED like Farage.

[@andymac7584]

​@@sunsetsarenice for whom? Not the indigenous French, that's for sure.

[@nicholasstokes8739]

@@sunsetsarenice I'm not saying they weren't successful, but if it requires an entire coalition of parties which are in many ways completely ideologically divided, all to stop one right wing party from reaching a total majority, then it's not really the huge victory they're claiming.

[@nicholasstokes8739]

@@Kursk_Is_Novo_Ukraina Farage got 4 million votes in only 4 weeks of campaigning, and came third overall behind the two major parties. That's hardly "flopping".

[@darthunleashed]

Cringe. I guess europe hasn't woken up

[@TC8787-yq7og]

😂😂😂😂

[@beastofackworth]

Almost as if it has been fixed

[@bob-yd8xv]

Or Almost as if more people voted for the other parties... I know shocking that not everyone wants the same thing 😮

[@pen2009]

lol or ppl just didn't vote for what you wanted not everyone thinks the same you know

[@VenomLeon]

Btw, sincere question , but can anyone explain the difference between Right and Far Right?

[@readisgooddewaterkant7890]

Right is more about conservatove and law and order. While far right is more about nativism and extreme nationalism

[@soundscape26]

Macron beating Le Pen? Delicious. 😂

[@chizzy201179]

No. he withdrew candidates so the far left can colition a hung paliment. but it keeps le penn out

[@eldwinlimbong9194]

Tragedie more War

[@martinwatson9615]

Melenchon beating Le pen. Macron is a neoliberal .

[@chrisbremner8992]

Rigged😂😂

[@soundscape26]

@@chrisbremner8992 Yeah right... always a useful excuse for when our preferred party doesn't win.

[@rationalgazer]

Thank F

[@John-kj7tv]

Er.. thanks for the completely french video there guys... Seriously.. you couldn't take 5 mins to at least put the french text in English...

[@Criminal1channel]

Viva Humanity ❤🎉 well done France and UK 🎉🎉

[@invisible-zt8xh]

FREXIT. Buh bye.

[@PearceFennell]

Rigged

[@soundscape26]

😂

[@duckcensorship7446]

Yup, by the commies! 😂

[@strangelee4400]

The FAR-LEFT.

[@reidger7778]

This election is so fixed it's unbelievable

[@zonule_]

fixed by...voting, of all things. cope and seethe

[@reidger7778]

@@zonule_ Only because the separate groups couldn't do it by themselves and had to join together to win and it still looks like they won't have a majority

[@zonule_]

@@reidger7778 which separate groups specifically

[@DaveyJones-cj4xg]

Bad weekend for the far right 🥰

[@jamieeddolls5605]

who is the far right in the uk?

[@bearimo2867]

A lot of Tories who wanted to rip up the ECHR, and Reform.

[@wanderingfool6312]

@@jamieeddolls5605Reform, who were in my day the national front.

[@user-ly4el7qf7t]

@@wanderingfool6312 how are reform far right? name a single far right policy of theirs

[@Steve-fk1jg]

​@@bearimo2867🤡

[@ascaronur8596]

Il ne partira pas, after all. We‘ll see at which price.

[@emmabrooker166]

Vive La France! 🇫🇷 🇫🇷🇫🇷

[@francoistinchant6408]

Quelle France? 😂😂

[@mdf2mdf287]

And we thought our elections in the UK were as bent as a Turk's boot..........France takes questionable election results to a whole new level. The results have swung by so much from the first round that you have to question their validity.

[@Lagiacrus1996]

Not at all, this is how multi-round elections work. This happens in France every election.

[@mdf2mdf287]

@@Lagiacrus1996 All French elections are renown for their manipulation.......the only people who can't see it are the French....

[@kevphillips02]

Awful corrupt world we live in

[@kapitanbarbossa7152]

Lidi budou platit za svoji hloupost krví. Teď jen žerou a tloustnou u TV a myslí si, jak jsou chytří. To už tady historicky bylo mnohokrát. Pak až poteče krev nejbližších, bude pozdě na nápravu.....

[@Jotakumon]

How so?

[@swag12344]

right wingers when democracy works as intended:

[@kingkong-gn6oi]

​@@swag12344left wingers do the same

[@sifuhotman1300]

Paris still burning ....

[@francoistinchant6408]

Et pour longtemps très longtemps encore … un vrai spectacle 😂

[@Nikitateagurl_77]

France dont let your country be the next Lebanon. VOTE RIGHT

[@BongoAboutBedfords]

C’est fkn Rigged !!

[@Steven-vo4ee]

Weep

[@theancientwinebeerexperime2273]

So more Bidenomics eh?

[@chrisbremner8992]

Rigged 😂😂😂

[@TAER99]

So corrupt

[@biffalump]

Shows us all in real time how fixed it is

[@Cherrytune386]

WELL DONE FRANCE Sanity has prevailed 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉❤

[@TheTrickshot77]

Illegal immigrants welcome, replace us.

[@maciejzbogdanca2904]

well, that was pretty much their last chance...

[@Steven-vo4ee]

Weep

[@Chardonbois]

Macron's gamble paid off...just!

[@samspot]

The dingy boys will be flooding in now 😢

[@ricardodsavant2965]

since I won, I won't riot.

[@tymc2564]

Oh well that’s France staying down the pan!

[@colme3673]

Brilliant xx. 🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉

[@Kevin-fq3zh]

looks like hung parliament

[@ssuwandi3240]

More protests

[@commonwunder]

@sambaliwingo Seventy-seven percents of voters didn't vote for Labour. The current system guarantees the political monopoly in charge...remains in charge. They can never lose power - it's permanent. Not unlike a prison.

[@robertdavies9099]

@@commonwunder 54% in Clacton voted against Reform but Farage was elected Reform MP 57% in Ashfield voted against Reform but 30p Lee was elected Reform MP 62% in Boston voted against Reform but Tice was elected Reform MP 69% In Basildon South voted against Reform but McMurdock was elected Reform MP 65% voted against Reform in Great Yarmouth but Lowe was elected Reform MP Using your logic none of Reforms 5 MPs are legitimate

[@PsilentMusicUK]

​@@commonwunder I look forward to PR. Left-wing and centrist parties always garner a larger collective vote share than their right-wing counterparts. Reform will do us the favor of consigning the right to eternal opposition.

[@commonwunder]

@@robertdavies9099 Didn't Reform garner more overall votes than the Liberal Democrats. Yet the libs have seventy-one seats?

[@nigelhart3897]

Seems the Gordon Geko party lost in France too!

[@jayreyndogz1791]

A sick world we live in

[@user-oy4hp2il7e]

France was saved from the worst, thank goodness

[@rosarose3443]

And now it is burning. The far left is celebrating by rioting, rampaging through the streets vandalising, throwing rocks and fireworks at the police and burning anything they can lay their hands on. Not surprising that mainstream media aren't showing what is happening in Paris tonight.

[@Steven-vo4ee]

Hardly a shock, it was the most likely outcome.

[@keterscp1064]

Vive NFP ❤❤❤

[@ssuwandi3240]

No Viva

[@CHALETARCADE]

Vive (pronounced veev) not viva, we're French, not Italians, very different cultures.

[@keterscp1064]

@@CHALETARCADE I'm German , I'm more used to viva ( Spanish) one but ok thank you for the info , I'm actually trying to learn french recently

[@Rome372]

most people voted for Le pen, so i don t understand why to celebrate?

[@Lagiacrus1996]

No they didn't, they didn't get a majority lol

[@beagle30]

Surprise, a win by the Far Left

[@sunshine-qk8qe]

The left will never be outed now , they will be a permanent fixture , thanks to all the corrption in politics .

[@gpadd_ow]

what happens from here?

[@E_Rex_Sean]

You know when a multicultural country is divided by everything and united by their hatred of Europeans. You can tell how brittle and how long a civilisation like that can last.

[@Lucysmom26]

The French far right is cozier than cozy with Putin, who is an enemy of the west. This is France embracing Europe, not hating it.

[@E_Rex_Sean]

@@Lucysmom26 You need to start charging rent to Putin and the far-right because they’ve been living in your head rent free.

[@CHALETARCADE]

Are you talking about British brexiters?😃

[@E_Rex_Sean]

@@Lucysmom26 You need to start charging Putin rent, he lives in your head rent free.

[@E_Rex_Sean]

@@CHALETARCADE I forgot you have to be apart of the EU to be European. 🤦🏻‍♂️

[@Communistbritistan]

Fix

[@PMTalksnow]

Is this people mad.nned to count again

[@invisible-zt8xh]

Cos Stalin and Trotsky were such nice guys! Far left. Oky dokey. 🙄

[@user-gg8iu8ic5k]

I predict trouble in the streets of France. 😞

[@hilwaamanamankiyar-pp5bf]

ABS

[@TC8787-yq7og]

The tears of the far right. What a SHAME. 😂😂😂😂 looks like the “silent majority” forgot to go out and vote.

[@sifuhotman1300]

The french got outbred and outnumbered. You guys are toasted 😅

[@Mike_5]

The DGSE have been working very hard over the past few months to achieve this outcome ...

[@Drugov78]

Cope more, and DGSE is for the operations on the outside (like MI6) it’s the DGSI which is the domestic counter intelligence office. Shows how much of an expert you are 😂

[@Mike_5]

@@Drugov78 Correct but the DGSE also has some very specialised departments within their organisation that are not replicated in the DGSI. Maybe listening to all that House and Rap Music has affected your logic.

[@MarjorieMay-kc6ls]

Big fix again. Marine Le Pen was way i no front. Something stinks. .

[@aramos3639]

Literal delulu

[@silo2003]

Vive le France 🇫🇷 far right get done again ! 😂 twice in a week too funny

[@guymersh3148]

​@cyborg1320 Zzzzzzzz 😴

[@russferris9149]

what a crazy way of voting so if all the left wing parties like conservative Labour libdems all got together against reform crazy

[@ac_1349]

😂 guy thinks Conservatives are left wing

[@TheTrickshot77]

​​@@ac_1349and you think they're right wing? 😂 You must be a BBC watcher.

[@ac_1349]

@TheTrickshot77 you're so far gone there's nothing I can even say to you. Caveman-level intellect

[@soniyasinha3496]

tweet...

[@user-de7mb9rn9w]

RIP France.

[@jonastrex05]

France is cooked 💀

[@captnaberystwyth2879]

Amazing what you can achieve with some jiggerypokery.

[@JimGers]

France I bid you adieu😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@nosuchthingasshould4175]

🎉

[@jackdubz4247]

About time something went right for the French.

[@rh8528]

Cheated probably..

[@thelaw6267]

The house always wins.

[@jonnobloggs1139]

Nigel will be raging. Quelle domage 😡🇫🇷

[@phinikas72]

FIXED

[@juleswinnfield8556]

Based

[@s.d.357]

Merci, France

[@daniele.tbarrett1630]

Fixed

[@Paul-nu7nj]

they rigged it!

[@MiemKing]

Cheated again 🤔🤷🤦💩

[@GeraldineHughes-oj9fs]

Voting. Still delivering the will of the people

[@mattsteiner8788]

aww, no vichy #2 then?

[@No-timeforimbeciles]

Incorrect......Vichy #2 win.....naz* collaborators !

[@SithStudy]

Nah, it’s the emirate of France, even worse.

[@SlasherNL]

This means in the following years France would be the place to avoid for tourism. Because of the NFP endorsement of multi culturism.

[@darrell3716]

Rigged.

[@gnoccialpesto]

Bonnes nouvelles, deuxième régime Vichy évité.

[@yannyloyer7177]

woohoo !

[@Woodman.420]

Rigged

[@nedmode9412]

cope

[@tsj-bn8yf]

cause of course anything that doesnt go the way you liked is rigged🙄

[@andymac7584]

​@@nedmode9412 stooge

[@Lucysmom26]

Serious countries - like France - don't rig elections. This is the will of the French people, and I wouldn't be claiming it was rigged if it had gone to the far right no matter how disappointed i was.

[@andymac7584]

​@@Lucysmom26 😂 nobody's buying it love

[@geraldineedgecumbe9771]

Rigged

[@thelordofgifts5343]

Rigged