Gridlock: Why It Takes Forever for the U.S. to Send Aid to Ukraine

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William Spaniel

William Spaniel

Күн бұрын

Check out my book "How Ukraine Survived": amzn.to/47gnlEf. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.)
After more than a half a year of delay, Congress passed a Ukraine aid bill on April 23. Soon, billions of dollars of military assistance will be flowing into the country, and the United States will begin building infrastructure to produce even more materiel. This video explores how this will change the war on the ground and why exactly it took so long for the legislation to pass.
0:00 Ukraine Aid Passes Congress
2:01 What the Bill Does
6:44 Why the Delay?
10:57 U.S. Status Quo Bias
12:52 The Hastert Rule
14:25 The House Majority Soap Opera
17:55 The Art of Logrolling
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
Additional media courtesy Ukraine's office of the president: • Звернення Президента В...
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By Rosavtodor.ru:
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By Kremlin.ru:
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Пікірлер: 1 900
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Ай бұрын
Because I didn’t want this to turn into a 30+ minute monster (and also I am facing a deadline), there is a lot of nuance missing from this video. Here are some extra notes: 6:24 There is a lot of debate whether using ATACMS would be a wise military idea. My description here is not an assessment of that, just that there is going to be renewed attention to the bridge. 9:02 By more sophisticated measures of ideology, Joe Manchin (D-West Virginia) is the pivotal voter in the Senate. The filibuster-proof pivot is John Hoeven (R-North Dakota). 10:10 I’m not making that up. 13:40 That is Paul Ryan’s official Speaker of the House portrait, but you would be forgiven if you thought it was AI drawn. 14:01 That is supposed to be 108, not 109. 20:44 Ganon has been vanquished. 21:21 Because the president is the commander-in-chief, trying to work around a veto would be difficult in practice. Also, Biden still needs to sign the bill, but that is the easiest part.
@FurrySpatula
@FurrySpatula Ай бұрын
Certified first comment, congratulations William
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Ай бұрын
Yay, I won!
@TheBlackAndDeckerBootyWrecker
@TheBlackAndDeckerBootyWrecker Ай бұрын
*WHEN THE US AID PACKAGE KICKS IN* --👺Ukraine: "ONG!! ONG!! ONG!!" --∫ \\___🤬Russia: "Oi blyat! Nyet!!" _∫∫ _∫∫ \ \ *CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP*
@F.R.E.D.D2986
@F.R.E.D.D2986 Ай бұрын
'Ganon has been vanquished' The needed updates in our current day
@nwahally
@nwahally Ай бұрын
Nitpicky addition: 00:36: "This took at least half a year longer tha would make military sense." It still makes sense militarily, but it much, much earlier would have been optimal.
@dylandarnell3657
@dylandarnell3657 Ай бұрын
Finally: Lines on Congress.
@williamzk9083
@williamzk9083 Ай бұрын
The tragedy is this. Ukraine may now still loose due to the delay, its a strong possibillity. This 5 month delay was devastating. The tens of thousands of Ukrainian lives lost wakening the counties ability to fight. The US Government needs serious reform.
@ianTnai
@ianTnai Ай бұрын
@@williamzk9083good thing the Congress gets reformed every two years on a schedule going back centuries. They do have to listen to their voters despite appearances.
@Claymann71
@Claymann71 Ай бұрын
🤣🤌 PUT THAT ON A SHIRT, WILLIAM!
@Newarkguy38
@Newarkguy38 Ай бұрын
Finally is terrible way to phrase this. Most Americans didn’t want this to happen and this is not money being spent. It is money being printed and causing inflation in America. So no America is not broken, America is broke no dinero stop crying for more stuff. We don’t got it
@JDSileo
@JDSileo Ай бұрын
If you do not pass universal rank Choice voting and convert your two-party system into a two coalition system then there is no political leverage inside your system your power concentrates to a handful of people in either party and you are effectively in a dictatorship
@kevinsips3658
@kevinsips3658 Ай бұрын
As a former DoD employee who did indeed carry logs, I can confirm that it is as hard as it looks, especially if you’re taller than everyone else that’s helping you carry the log.
@Cryptantha
@Cryptantha Ай бұрын
I think the weight goes to the short person, no?
@NyPer920
@NyPer920 Ай бұрын
In the Brit Army we were sometimes given toggle ropes - makes the log carrying much easier. It depended on the mood of the PTI (Physical Training Instructor)! 🤣🤣🤣
@alecmiddleton1842
@alecmiddleton1842 Ай бұрын
As a short person, there were times when I could only add to the weight if I kept my hands on the log.
@timmommens901
@timmommens901 Ай бұрын
Horse stance posure is devastating while carrying 😊
@Cryptantha
@Cryptantha Ай бұрын
@timmommens901 what is horse stance posture?
@fankrys
@fankrys Ай бұрын
This is like buying a new cell phone and giving the old away to your kid, and claiming you gave your kid $2,000 (the price of the new phone).
@jakesenju
@jakesenju Ай бұрын
Russian bot?
@rogerk6180
@rogerk6180 Ай бұрын
It has been like this with all the support that has been comming from the usa since the start.
@jlo7770
@jlo7770 Ай бұрын
​@@rogerk6180lmfao it's like that from every country wtf are you talking about? Most countries don't want stuff falling into Russian control like that f'ing leopard the russiand recovered with all the top secret nato shells that now Russia has and can start making. No country is sending ukraine high dollar/the best nato has. It depletes their military and f's up their economy for nothing. You're the same type that's crying about f15's when they're antiquated basically junk aircraft... aint no country sending them f35s
@Mrwutevah
@Mrwutevah Ай бұрын
​@@jakesenju Nah, I'd say it's valid criticism. The support is, of course, welcomed, but let's not exaggerate the generosity of the US.
@mikewilliams-jw8jd
@mikewilliams-jw8jd Ай бұрын
@@Mrwutevahboth the us government and us private citizens are the most generous by a mile. The us foreign aid is way more then any other country both in peace time and during crisis and us citizens donate way more then any other nation’s citizens to charities again both during peace time and during crises.
@randydutton1
@randydutton1 Ай бұрын
On a positive note, the delay from Congress motivated the EU to increase support for Ukraine.
@runesolberg7494
@runesolberg7494 Ай бұрын
funding the arms industry, corrupt ukraine oligarchs and dragging the conflict out by the months will just cause more deaths for both sides. russia is winning anyway
@jamesz9365
@jamesz9365 Ай бұрын
I'm amazed how little aid most EU countries have contributed and I'm not really sure why Germans, French, Romanian, Polish, and the Baltics, etc. have no soldiers in Ukraine yet. The US Aid pause, while devastating to Ukraine, will help these folks get their minds cleared for fighting before it comes to their home towns.
@Strideo1
@Strideo1 Ай бұрын
I'm disappointed in the US being too slow but I'm also disappointed that European countries aren't doing more when the threat is on their very doorstep.
@runesolberg7494
@runesolberg7494 Ай бұрын
@@jamesz9365 alot of thoose countries will not always prioritize fight proxy war. its more important spending money on things that matter for there society. there is free healthcare and more working civilisation than usa in all those countries. but usa cant even afford give there people border security, healthcare or rehabilitation of the crackheads that ruin the american cities
@runesolberg7494
@runesolberg7494 Ай бұрын
@@Strideo1 russia isnt a threat to nato. you really believe after ukraine they will push into nato territory? 🤣 like that would cause nuclear mayhem and we know both sides wont do that. if you are american instead fund every war in the world maybe spend money on your border security, free healthcare and rehabilitation of homeless/crackheads to make them a working part of society again. all that aid money past 2 years from usa could have fixed that instead restocking and produce things for ukraine.
@LevitatingCups
@LevitatingCups Ай бұрын
even without watching the video, i already know, it will mean new lines on the map.
@user-fs4rc4en8r
@user-fs4rc4en8r Ай бұрын
Nope. There was never a line on the map in this video.
@LevitatingCups
@LevitatingCups Ай бұрын
@@user-fs4rc4en8r it was only implied. not stated 😿; edit instantly, there were lines on the voting systems. I say it kind of counts.
@yuriyl1618
@yuriyl1618 Ай бұрын
@@LevitatingCups it counts.
@cookiecola5852
@cookiecola5852 Ай бұрын
‘Lines on maps’ Mmmm
@slavcpanigaz846
@slavcpanigaz846 Ай бұрын
@themapleleafforever1526
@themapleleafforever1526 Ай бұрын
William Spaniel is probably the best at breaking down what is happening in Geopolitics. Better than a Netflix series.
@oshawott4544
@oshawott4544 Ай бұрын
The Netflix part isn't high praise, but I agree. I used to follow a few others, but I started to notice they were rather biased, and made excuses for "their side." I don't believe William Spaniel would engage in that.
@memeshort7189
@memeshort7189 Ай бұрын
​@@oshawott4544What do you mean Oshawott...?
@oshawott4544
@oshawott4544 Ай бұрын
@@memeshort7189 Ryan Macbeth said the World Kitchen deaths "just happen" and refuses to cover misinformation Israel puts out. Preston Stewart also takes any Israeli information as fact, and makes it clear he's still military, which means there's a strong possibility for bias (don't want to make allies mad). And again, he gives Israel the benefit of the doubt more than he should.
@memeshort7189
@memeshort7189 Ай бұрын
@@oshawott4544 I'm surprised to agree with you. What a smart pokemon!
@dabomb199715
@dabomb199715 Ай бұрын
That’s what happens when a CIA agent makes videos. He has massive resources behind him
@greywolf6443
@greywolf6443 Ай бұрын
Watching CSPAN for several hours to keep us informed. Your sacrefice will not be forgotten, sir.
@SupaL33tKillar
@SupaL33tKillar Ай бұрын
It's spelt sacrifice
@guydreamr
@guydreamr Ай бұрын
Could've been worse, could've been listening to Fox.
@momelendez9691
@momelendez9691 Ай бұрын
@@guydreamrOr CNN
@0Logan05
@0Logan05 Ай бұрын
C-span😂..cnn-😂😂..Msnbc😂😂😂😂😂 To hell with Zalensky.
@0Logan05
@0Logan05 Ай бұрын
@@guydreamrall the same..Only a fool thinks it isn’t.. (Anyone that supports Zalensky is a fool). D.C. is NOT America..Its satanic!
@gansior4744
@gansior4744 Ай бұрын
Finally someone explaining correctly what the value in the bill truly stands for. Most Americans just think that Ukrainian Gov will be given 60bn in Cash that would be better served to fight the inflation or housing crisis. I always ask them, how tf does old artillery helps you with your ham getting more expensive?
@nikolabolesnik
@nikolabolesnik Ай бұрын
You make ham factories instead of having arms manufacturers
@nikolabolesnik
@nikolabolesnik Ай бұрын
@@eli3sfan im sure you need all those weapons for defense, defense ofcourse meaning in countries oceans away from your border
@perhaps1094
@perhaps1094 Ай бұрын
​@@eli3sfanThe military industrial complex is well beyond being needed, it's too big to fail at this point.
@kenle2
@kenle2 Ай бұрын
None of that changes the fact that most of the expendable weapons and ammo we are sending to Ukraine WOULD be the weapons we would have to fight with if the U.S. found itself in a shooting war absent the Ukraine/Russia conflict. Which, I would note, the U.S. has BEEN in TWICE in the past 25 years. Even if these stores were due to be replaced, the U.S. would still have to pay for the upgrades. Further, replacing these older weapons isn't like the U.S. logistics system in World War II, where we had massive, government-directed assembly lines churning out relatively simple weapons like Sherman tanks by the tens of thousands. Modern weapons are built slowly due to exponentially more sophisticated designs that allow them to hit an individual vehicle, even moving, on purpose rather than firing thousands of shells and MAYBE one hits. I don't object to providing this aid to Ukraine, but pretending this is all a "net benefit" to the U.S. is either mistaken or disingenuous.
@bidoof4938
@bidoof4938 Ай бұрын
@@kenle2yep, defending Ukraine is right, but let’s not kid ourselves this is about enriching the MIC too
@RobinOnYew
@RobinOnYew Ай бұрын
I checked it, and usually, almost always in my case, if someone says "he went to prison for something I don't want to say." it means child didler.
@gaoxiaen1
@gaoxiaen1 Ай бұрын
As usual, the Fedgov looked after its own. What would have gotten one of us peasants 20 years to life, got Hastert 13 months.
@jlo7770
@jlo7770 Ай бұрын
​@@gaoxiaen1shocking they got anytime honestly. The only people the dem gov goes after is Republicans even when their crimes are far less sinister than the ones "enforcing the laws" its a joke
@correctionguy7632
@correctionguy7632 Ай бұрын
He had a Scott Ritter moment
@bigsav1984
@bigsav1984 Ай бұрын
@@gaoxiaen1 I mean quite a few of them and there friends with islands seem to have that preference so they have to be careful with going after them.
@f-86zoomer37
@f-86zoomer37 Ай бұрын
yeah. people like hastert and republicans in general are like that. so-called family values party and "defending us from grooming."
@martinknapp7640
@martinknapp7640 Ай бұрын
I'm reminded of Winston Churchill's attributed remark that "The Americans always do the right thing, but only after they have exhausted all other possibilities" or words to that effect.
@Realitygetreal
@Realitygetreal Ай бұрын
That is not it... all the US congress had to get all the new bank accounts in place so that the could skim money off into personal accounts...
@joshuawilson8804
@joshuawilson8804 Ай бұрын
Johnson is not supporting Ukraine. Johnson is protecting Johnson. Don't suggest that he changed his mind because Ukraine is losing ground. Johnson's speakership was at threat and he didn't want to go out like McCarthy.
@nelsonwalker1473
@nelsonwalker1473 Ай бұрын
I guess it depends on who views that. Democratics would believe that it would have not passed with much republican fanfare and republicans would believe the hawks had pushed it through. Maybe unlike McCarthy, Johnson will be supported by democrats if he is attempted to be impeached. I am simplifying the issue however. Anyhow it looks like Johnson is safe anyway, he’s got the ‘I don’t give a fuck’ look.
@williamzk9083
@williamzk9083 Ай бұрын
I can’t believe a man that believes that God put the dinosaur bones in the sedimentary rocks to our faith is the third most powerful man the United States.
@jphineas
@jphineas 25 күн бұрын
This is true of every politician. That's why the goal is to design a system to align the politician's incentives with the electorate's
@dylandarnell3657
@dylandarnell3657 Ай бұрын
Somehow unsurprised to learn that Wyoming only has 2 sets of escalators. Very on-brand.
@pieter-bashoogsteen2283
@pieter-bashoogsteen2283 Ай бұрын
Guess that’s par of for the course when most of your state is corn and wheat fields and some nature.
@jlo7770
@jlo7770 Ай бұрын
Wyoming (my state) is the most based Maga state in the us. No one cares about your feelings there
@talltom1129
@talltom1129 Ай бұрын
And therefore its a state that is avoided by most other American citizens ​@@jlo7770
@Tadicuslegion78
@Tadicuslegion78 Ай бұрын
@@pieter-bashoogsteen2283 Corn and wheat fields? I think you're confusion Wyoming with Nebraska. Cause all I saw was endless sage brush for miles upon miles upon miles upon miles
@mikewilliams-jw8jd
@mikewilliams-jw8jd Ай бұрын
2 seems like a lot for them
@g_eddie
@g_eddie Ай бұрын
20:29 You truly pay a heavy price for making content for us. Thank you for your sacrifice.
@zeraphant
@zeraphant Ай бұрын
Christ Will 4 videos in a week, your on an absolute tear. Hope your feeling great about it!
@damonedrington3453
@damonedrington3453 Ай бұрын
I hate when they say “$60 billion in aid” because it’s a very small but misleading change in language. If I buy a new phone, and I give you my old one that I bought for say, $500, did I give you $500? No, I gave you something I don’t need that I BOUGHT for that. Most of what we’re sending in that $60 billion is $60 billion in military hardware value, all of stuff we don’t need anymore.
@moabman6803
@moabman6803 Ай бұрын
Your still giving away something. 60 billion in military gear is still worth a lot even if it's older equipment.
@_alienblood
@_alienblood Ай бұрын
​@@moabman6803alot of the weapons are close to there shelf life it actually costs money to disarn them only a fraction are used in military exercises
@Rockboygg
@Rockboygg Ай бұрын
But it is a 60 billion aid. What the US is doing is giving the equivalent of 60B in equipment while replenishing 60B of it. Its a net 0 sum but not necessarily a 1:1 trade. Still is a win-win situation. USA gets new updated equipment while Ukraime gains a ton of old, but still very useful equipment that was going to get destroyed anyway and it would have been more expensive to do so than to give it away so..why not give it Ukraine to force Russia to waste billions in new equipment to destroy one from early 2000 costing a fraction of the cost? While at the same time causing billions, maybe trillions of dollars in damage to Russian infraestructure? I say the Democrats and Biden are geniuses for this aid!
@GrahamCStrouse
@GrahamCStrouse Ай бұрын
@@moabman6803Not really. Regardless, roughly 80% of that money is being spent in the US & will stay here.
@conqc20
@conqc20 Ай бұрын
Im sure the army equipment is depreciated over time same as all assets. Like how your phone is $500 new, but 3 years later its worth $100 and a few year after that its scrap. So America is giving older Patriot systems and not the brand new out the factory versions. A new one could be $10million, but the old one is only worth $1million in the accounts. Maybe thats how it works? Also better to sell that old eqt before your have to scrap it. 🙂
@jpa5038
@jpa5038 Ай бұрын
The logistical chain is short. The components being shipped are as simple as it gets. It's predominately ammo for already existing systems like Patriots, HiMARs, western artillery, etc. It's smalls arms fire, it's GMLRs and ATACMs, it's Patriot missiles, it's 155mm artillery shells and DPICM. Yes, Ukraine will get more Bradleys, F-16s, Strykers, etc. But right now the focus is on ammo and it will start to filter out to the front line in a matter of days.
@GrahamCStrouse
@GrahamCStrouse Ай бұрын
When it comes to logistics the US top of the class.
@johndoh5182
@johndoh5182 Ай бұрын
Yup, and the other comment, the US has really good logistics for getting stuff around the world.
@shanerooney7288
@shanerooney7288 Ай бұрын
The US doesn't have the production. Take Patriot missile systems for example. One of if not _the_ best anti-air systems in the world. It had a running shortage of missiles to fire BEFORE the war in Ukraine. Or take 155mm shell production. The current projection of production; by the end of 2025 the West will _match_ Russia's production. And be paying more per shell due to Russia doing it cheaper (mostly energy and labour costs, not inferior end products) Or that the US sent HAWK missiles (early 1960s), and is restarting the Stinger missiles (late 1960s), because it lacks the production of more modern systems.
@uffa00001
@uffa00001 Ай бұрын
@@shanerooney7288 Part of the package goes, if I get it right, in expanding the production capacity. Every NATO country is getting into a "cold war" industrial stance. Increasing production capacity is the main focus now.
@shanerooney7288
@shanerooney7288 Ай бұрын
​​@@uffa00001 Still not enough. In May 2023 Ukraine fired 30 PAC-3 interceptor missiles (used by the Patriot system) in a single engagement lasting only 2 minutes. This single engagement represented 6% of Lockheed's *yearly* production of PAC-3. Planned expansion of production line will not be ready until early 2027... before accounting for delays and cost overruns.
@irBribe
@irBribe Ай бұрын
Thank you for putting out something on this so quickly
@frankjames4743
@frankjames4743 Ай бұрын
God Bless Ukraine and those who support Her.
@ReichLife
@ReichLife Ай бұрын
Given God doesn't exist, it says a lot about fate of both.
@skezer04
@skezer04 Ай бұрын
Look forward to these videos. Everyday. Even when they aren’t released. Still looking forward to it
@Illusion517
@Illusion517 Ай бұрын
"Not always the case" I think "never is the case" is more accurate thanks to our good ol friend gerrymandering
@anthonycastaneda6939
@anthonycastaneda6939 Ай бұрын
Great content totally! Every time I watch one of your videos, I feel smarter, and more informed… I really enjoy the deadpan delivery and in-depth analysis. Just fine work as always! Keep them coming William!
@dadaveda
@dadaveda Ай бұрын
Your history lesson was nice but you missed the main problem. Trump has a grudge against Zelenskyy for not helping to investigate the Biden family, and then threatened the GOP leadership about allowing the procedures to pass the aid bill.
@vicsmith8397
@vicsmith8397 Ай бұрын
Remember when Biden said no foreign aid unless you fire the prosecutor investigating his son? How quickly we forget.
@festivus7065
@festivus7065 Ай бұрын
And yet today the talk is that Trump supports the bill... So which is it?
@Oblivisci........
@Oblivisci........ Ай бұрын
@@festivus7065Does he though or is that just a “trust me bro” statement?
@dadaveda
@dadaveda Ай бұрын
@@festivus7065 Trump caved to the general popularity of support for Ukraine, but his opposition cost the lives of many Ukrainians in the past six months
@user-ku4yh4xc9s
@user-ku4yh4xc9s Ай бұрын
Also Trump recieved a lot of russian money via Paxum bank in 2022.
@marlenfras5490
@marlenfras5490 Ай бұрын
Good reporting. Thank you. Strong democracy.
@bierbrauer11
@bierbrauer11 Ай бұрын
You made me look up Hastert…. Damn!
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Ай бұрын
Sorry, friend.
@MrJackWorse
@MrJackWorse Ай бұрын
same
@Adonnus100
@Adonnus100 Ай бұрын
My guess before looking up.. looked at bad stuff... result.. he did bad stuff... what is it with Republicans and pedophilia/sex crimes? Gaetz, Trump, Hastert, Luis Borunda and Brad Benson.
@defective6811
@defective6811 Ай бұрын
let's just say that as a general rule if a channel which covers war related subjects considers it too bad to mention, its probably pretty gross.
@Adonnus100
@Adonnus100 Ай бұрын
@@defective6811 Why can't I see my own comment from earlier?
@AnNguyen-gx4tz
@AnNguyen-gx4tz Ай бұрын
I'm impress with this video. Lots of information but introduced as less puzzled as possible. Great job, really.
@PeterHamiltonz
@PeterHamiltonz Ай бұрын
Thank you for the excellent video (as always). Very different to watch all this stuff happen in real-time, vs looking back at it all in summary, and seeing the overlap and interaction.
@grfrjiglstan
@grfrjiglstan Ай бұрын
Hearing the story of Kevin's meteoric fall from power never gets old.
@kurtwicklund8901
@kurtwicklund8901 Ай бұрын
Golly, it sure is refreshing to watch these video essays from someone with genuine savvy. These never disappoint.
@gaoxiaen1
@gaoxiaen1 Ай бұрын
They're informative, I'll give you that, but the US gov't always disappoints.
@Chosen_Ash
@Chosen_Ash Ай бұрын
Lmfao
@andydechamplain
@andydechamplain Ай бұрын
I rarely comment but what the heck: Love your stuff, William. I really do. You speak so (too?) clearly, though; thankfully some humour (humor) leaks through to remind me you're not indeed a robot. Thanks for your work. Keep it up.
@jaypaige7550
@jaypaige7550 Ай бұрын
Nice one , was waiting on this!
@stevendaugherty7590
@stevendaugherty7590 Ай бұрын
William, thanks for this very informative analysis!
@Bml290
@Bml290 Ай бұрын
Everyone outside of military industrial complex and government wants peace!
@gups4963
@gups4963 Ай бұрын
Hey the politicians who voted for this will love seeing their stocks rise
@billmclellan8429
@billmclellan8429 Ай бұрын
It has been a joy watching your videos over the last year (or so?). Facts matter.
@SqFtGardenGranny
@SqFtGardenGranny Ай бұрын
Thank you SO much for explaining this.
@richardtabor8686
@richardtabor8686 Ай бұрын
Finally some good news. I look forward to your analysis, as always.
@General12th
@General12th Ай бұрын
Hi Dr. Spaniel! I hope the war goes better now.
@pogo1140
@pogo1140 Ай бұрын
The US will need to send an average of 120-150 billion per year
@aloispoth9859
@aloispoth9859 Ай бұрын
Great Video once again. Thanks!
@MorgDragon
@MorgDragon Ай бұрын
another great vid, William!
@Chuck_Hooks
@Chuck_Hooks Ай бұрын
Not sending ATACMS in 2022 was a sellout move. Ukraine was begging for them and only heard crickets from the Administration
@Horny_Fruit_Flies
@Horny_Fruit_Flies Ай бұрын
We still have Obama era appeasement cowards like Jake Sullivan advising Joe Biden, who are more concerned with "muh escalation" and Russia collapsing from the humiliation of losing, then they are with Ukraine winning.
@macattack5863
@macattack5863 Ай бұрын
It's pretty clear why we didnt we didn't want Ukraine attacking Russian refineries. We never really have but especially in 22 when gas prices were out of control. A further limit on supply could have been disastrous for the whole world even though it made sense for Ukraine.
@Chuck_Hooks
@Chuck_Hooks Ай бұрын
@macattack5863 Nope. Four of the most powerful congressional representatives sent a letter in November 2023 asking what the hell was the holdup in sending ATACMS.
@jakehansen3418
@jakehansen3418 Ай бұрын
​@@Chuck_HooksOneday people will have the orange man's bad glasses off and will accept and realize bidens a warhawk and endless wars are what he wants not to win them.
@DemonSliime
@DemonSliime Ай бұрын
@@macattack5863 the United States officially has to say that they don’t want Ukraine attacking oil refineries. But in private, they have full support from the United States, especially if they’re using their own localy made weapon systems. I don’t know why you think the United States has any issues at all with Ukraine tearing down our once thought “second strongest” adversary.
@nnonotnow
@nnonotnow Ай бұрын
Sir, you are a master of nuance but getting out a short (26 minutes!) quick one about this is much appreciated.
@LondonMoneyCashEnterprise
@LondonMoneyCashEnterprise Ай бұрын
No
@TheRisingFury
@TheRisingFury Ай бұрын
master of nuance? More like master of bias.
@jessehachey2732
@jessehachey2732 Ай бұрын
@@TheRisingFury😂 cry more! 🙄
@Handle1969
@Handle1969 Ай бұрын
Just thanks. I simply didn’t understand what happened. BUT. I couldn’t repeat this to save my life. Sure learned a lot about legislative down is up.
@nobodythisisstupid4888
@nobodythisisstupid4888 Ай бұрын
I live in Alaska and a big reason is a difference in our political culture. We are generally much more willing to listen to juxtaposing opinions to our own because of our semi-collective practices. An Alaskan will always help another Alaskan if your broken down, walking on the side of the highway in winter, and more. We help because the alternative is a much darker and be especially during the winter months.
@jlo7770
@jlo7770 Ай бұрын
Most places are like that once you get out of the inner cities. At least it was, the culture is changing too many people don't know their neighbors
@Realitygetreal
@Realitygetreal Ай бұрын
@@jlo7770 You really believe that?,, in the Big cities your car breaking down makes it a target to be stripped and you assaulted..
@jessehachey2732
@jessehachey2732 Ай бұрын
@@RealitygetrealNot in Canada, just north of your border. Clearly your society is beyond broken!
@TejDeol
@TejDeol 8 күн бұрын
one of the best geopolitcal podcasts. Glad I found you
@TheCrazyhorse88
@TheCrazyhorse88 Ай бұрын
This is surprisingly good to watch while taking a dump. And there could be no greater compliment than that.
@bigsav1984
@bigsav1984 Ай бұрын
Great analogy to what the government is doing to us
@LOGASTL
@LOGASTL Ай бұрын
Bro, you win compliment of the year.
@exploding_andrey
@exploding_andrey Ай бұрын
Same, literally doing that right now
@theinacircleoftheancientpu492
@theinacircleoftheancientpu492 Ай бұрын
I'm sure this will have an impact on morale too, I can't imagine Ukrainian morale was high, so it will provide much needed hope for the boots on the ground.
@badorjan8624
@badorjan8624 Ай бұрын
Thank you, this was very informative
@deadlyarturok
@deadlyarturok Ай бұрын
thanks for informing people on interesting info
@RobFalcon141
@RobFalcon141 Ай бұрын
I absolutely love and approve the random Zelda break. :) Everyone could use those.
@Deicide6666
@Deicide6666 Ай бұрын
I've also Met John Fetterman, when he was in York as LT Governor. I am 5'9 and to say he towered over me is an understatement. My oldest is 6'4 has also met him and was taken back as well. He is usually the tallest or one of the tallest in the room and to see "another tall" as he put it is nice haha
@GrahamCStrouse
@GrahamCStrouse Ай бұрын
Fetterman’s 6’9.” He’s absurdly huge.
@jessehachey2732
@jessehachey2732 Ай бұрын
Towering? You don’t have a clue! 😂 I’m 5’1 (barely) and actually 4’0” in practice sitting down in my wheelchair 🦽 😂 Most people actually tower over me, you’re not even a full foot shorter than Fetterman is!
@mike4480
@mike4480 Ай бұрын
Thanks for the update and your expertise in this matter..💙💛💙
@samphelps856
@samphelps856 Ай бұрын
Brilliance. What a well produced video.
@olafsigursons
@olafsigursons Ай бұрын
Sure the land bridge is an alternative, but it's in occupy territory and very close to the front line. The bridge down, it will make Russian logistic more difficult.
@shueyk2320
@shueyk2320 Ай бұрын
*annexed
@GrahamCStrouse
@GrahamCStrouse Ай бұрын
@@shueyk2320Goodnight forever, Vatnik.
@torinnbalasar6774
@torinnbalasar6774 Ай бұрын
The need for a land bridge is arguably a big part of why russia launched their full invasion. The Kerch bridge wasn't proving enough to sustain the peninsula long-term on its own, and they needed the greater capacity the land bridge provided before Ukraine cut them off. The land bridge's still the real prize even if/when the Kerch bridge gets knocked down again, but it's within much easier reach for Ukraine to harass.
@thepaintingbanjo8894
@thepaintingbanjo8894 Ай бұрын
Yep. It's a turkey shoot more than anything.
@funkiwi44
@funkiwi44 Ай бұрын
Agreed. I often hear the argument that hitting rail lines isn't that effective, because they can be repaired very fast. While that is true, and it is noted that hitting the locomotives and bridges is a lot more effective, when your enemy can see you 24/7 ... imagine trying to repair a railway line at any point, when yet other ATACMS is ready to hit that exact same spot. The Russians do not hesitate to use double-tap tactics against civilian targets. AFU will certainly not hesitate to use the same tactics against genuine military targets, as they have demonstrated already.
@UncleJoeLITE
@UncleJoeLITE Ай бұрын
Lignes sur les cartes at midnight! Sweet.
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Ай бұрын
à votre santé
@Ar1AnX1x
@Ar1AnX1x Ай бұрын
oui oui monsieur je suis d'accord Je suis l'un des vôtres
@Khal_Rheg0
@Khal_Rheg0 Ай бұрын
Thank you! Interesting as always! :D
@seanmellows1348
@seanmellows1348 Ай бұрын
Excellent presentation, really useful analysis. This channel also gets funnier the more I watch.
@nnonotnow
@nnonotnow Ай бұрын
Thanks for the civics lesson
@huy1k995
@huy1k995 Ай бұрын
So Jonhson isn't a Russian shill from this perspective, he just REALLY REALLY LIKE HIS JOB...
@fiyum333
@fiyum333 Ай бұрын
he's also doing it as a political gambit (hence the logrolling analogy)
@gregsutton2400
@gregsutton2400 Ай бұрын
Thanks you always do great videos
@darthpaulthesmithlord2158
@darthpaulthesmithlord2158 Ай бұрын
That segue to the book-selling was your best yet. Totally didn't see it coming
@jeremygibbs7342
@jeremygibbs7342 Ай бұрын
Before I dove into this whole video. I am guessing I know where you are going with this video. And I would say it is good the US has these road blocks to prevent someone like Donald Trump from being Dictator "for a day". But it is an absolute tragedy the delay happened considering American agreements, the ability to project power around the world and over all moral responsibility.
@moabman6803
@moabman6803 Ай бұрын
All Presidents are dictators for a day. Why would you single Trump out for doing the same as others?
@richardguerra3155
@richardguerra3155 Ай бұрын
WTF. Didn't Sleepy Hoe convince the world already?
@jeremygair4007
@jeremygair4007 Ай бұрын
Can you cover the Taiwan aspect of the bill?
@Calvin_Coolage
@Calvin_Coolage Ай бұрын
I'm very curious about this as well. The Ukraine and Israel parts of the bill are pretty self-explanatory but I'd like to know what kind of aid Taiwan is getting. Gonna need it with the way China is acting.
@cloudpoint0
@cloudpoint0 Ай бұрын
The aid for Taiwan is still mostly to be decided. But Taiwan has complained of delays in deliveries of U.S. weapons such as Stinger anti-aircraft missiles so you can assume this will be some of the aid.
@jeremygair4007
@jeremygair4007 Ай бұрын
@@cloudpoint0 I heard it might also be the logistics to relocate TSMC to Arizona (where a facility is/has been set up to accommodate them) in very short order.
@cloudpoint0
@cloudpoint0 Ай бұрын
​@@jeremygair4007 That doesn't seem like something that requires military aid. It's some kind of commercial endeavor aid. And it is aid that Taiwan would likely not approve too since TSMC in Taiwan is an added guarantee that the world would come to Taiwan's defense.
@brianmcquain3384
@brianmcquain3384 Ай бұрын
This man deserves recognition. Another great video. Thank you so much
@yurichtube1162
@yurichtube1162 Ай бұрын
This guy lies. You believe propaganda
@memefilms
@memefilms Ай бұрын
Thanks! Well done.
@shanerooney7288
@shanerooney7288 Ай бұрын
"The peace dividend" Afghan war = $2.3 Trillion 'War on Terror' = $2 Trillion Iraq war = $1.9 Trillion Gulf war = $0.6 Trillion
@CedarHunt
@CedarHunt Ай бұрын
Yeah, I laughed at that, too. "Peace dividend" what a crock of shit. Also, at the claim that the US isn't poised to defend against Russia. The US military has grown every year for the last 24 years.
@gups4963
@gups4963 Ай бұрын
@@CedarHunt He's right, it just never effected the American people beyond being in a war. The world as a whole has been better off, look at Sudan now for one example. That type of thing will continue getting much more common
@shanerooney7288
@shanerooney7288 Ай бұрын
@@gups4963 "The world as a whole has been better off" In spite of the wars, not because of them.
@khulgarulfsson8067
@khulgarulfsson8067 Ай бұрын
Wait a minute… a single Trump (7.8 trillion added to debt?) term was more costly than all those wars combined? Damn! 😮
@gups4963
@gups4963 Ай бұрын
@@khulgarulfsson8067 A. it is a problem B. What did that money go to? Come on big guy finish the comparison. The answer is......covid spending
@streetjustice4287
@streetjustice4287 Ай бұрын
I don’t think I’ve ever uttered the words “what a kickass bill” but here we are
@jlo7770
@jlo7770 Ай бұрын
This shit is garbage going to a garbage corrupt anti religion pronazi country.
@pieter-bashoogsteen2283
@pieter-bashoogsteen2283 Ай бұрын
@@jlo7770 a “pronazi” country that voted into office an openly jewish president and had an openly jewish premier not too long ago. You can’t make this up. You realize that you’re eating up a Kremlin propaganda narrative right? Of course there are nazi’s in Ukraine, like all western countries, but like those countries they are a tiny fringe group. How else would they elect an openly jewish president? Besides the far right party got like 2 percent of the vote in the last Ukrainian election. Have you ever actually engaged your brain to critically think about this, because I don’t believe you did. Meanwhile the former military leader of the main driving force (Wagner) behind the Russian capture of Bahkmut, the now dead Dmitry Utkin, wore literal SS tattoos on his body.
@gups4963
@gups4963 Ай бұрын
Just like "shovel ready jobs", you got played
@gigabyte128
@gigabyte128 Ай бұрын
just wanted to say, i ordered ur book, thank u for supporting ukraine
@BobLeton
@BobLeton Ай бұрын
Was about time!
@MrMelty
@MrMelty Ай бұрын
Finally. This took so much longer than it needed to.
@janhumiecki2827
@janhumiecki2827 Ай бұрын
​@@plastic14407I think he means the aid, not the video
@KonglomeratYT
@KonglomeratYT Ай бұрын
@@plastic14407 Bro he means the bill not the video lmfao
@MrMelty
@MrMelty Ай бұрын
​@@plastic14407I meant the process of getting this funding passed was much longer than it needed to be
@capuccina1103
@capuccina1103 Ай бұрын
6 months delay can be seen in Ukrainian cemeteries. Death dates reveal it quite reliably. The best, the youngest, the volunteer patriots rest there forever.
@istantinoplebullconsta642
@istantinoplebullconsta642 Ай бұрын
@@plastic14407 I think he was talking about his morning dump.
@janvanhoyk8375
@janvanhoyk8375 Ай бұрын
@15:11 Pennsylvania's favorite sons: Hoodie senator and lines on maps guy!
@LewisPulsipher
@LewisPulsipher Ай бұрын
Excellent explanation.
@kyk1682
@kyk1682 Ай бұрын
Thanks for the insight
@taylor_drift1
@taylor_drift1 Ай бұрын
The US, the bipolar superpower
@bevsman3284
@bevsman3284 Ай бұрын
Why the hell does every so-called authority on the issue think it's always the United States responsibility to provide all of this money? Europe needs to get their asses in gear and help out a great deal more than what they have thus far.
@trent3727
@trent3727 Ай бұрын
Because its America that is causing the war
@041mikey
@041mikey Ай бұрын
Budapest memorandum. Also the sheet size of the US economy makes the answer pretty clear
@pogo1140
@pogo1140 Ай бұрын
To whom much is given, much is expected
@michaelnieves9688
@michaelnieves9688 Ай бұрын
I have to install an equalizer to turn down treble so now I can listen to you. Your docs are very interesting.
@fnersch3367
@fnersch3367 Ай бұрын
Thanks!
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Ай бұрын
Thank you!
@Oblivisci........
@Oblivisci........ Ай бұрын
Bout time. As an American I’m ashamed at how long our speaker stalled for Moscow Marjorie and Co. Also out of fear of losing his job rather than doing the right thing.
@patrickazzarella6729
@patrickazzarella6729 Ай бұрын
ATACMS should have been sent this time last year. How many ukrainian soldiers and vehicle's were lost due to Russia air and rotary wing assetss. It was such a joke to watch us send 31 tanks and 20 ATACMS months after the Offensive had failed
@cmontes7961
@cmontes7961 Ай бұрын
Ukraine is finished. The money won't help. That is an unbiased fact.
@pogo1140
@pogo1140 Ай бұрын
@@cmontes7961 Yeah, it will take the Russians 5-6 years to get back across the river and about 50 years to reach Kyiv
@ReichLife
@ReichLife Ай бұрын
@@pogo1140 This nonsense again? This war for nearly two years became repeat of WW1, where it's not tactical victories which will decide the outcome but strategic exhaustion of one side, just like WW1 which barely moved for 4 years ended in mere several months in 1918. And witch-hunt on Ukraine fow new recruits, alongside debacles on front like lose of Ocheretyne suggests Ukraine is already on it's way to suffer German collapse of 1918.
@jessehachey2732
@jessehachey2732 Ай бұрын
@@cmontes7961😂 cry and cope more! 🙄
@thomasdelancey5105
@thomasdelancey5105 Ай бұрын
Nice, concise analysis
@janisripple754
@janisripple754 Ай бұрын
Excellent explanation 👍🏼
@YouOnlyIiveTwice
@YouOnlyIiveTwice Ай бұрын
We FINALLY did our part and got some much needed aid to Ukraine. I understand the EU is also putting in more aid as well, but it needs to continue so Ukraine isn't having to rely solely on the US for help. Things were getting pretty dire for them while Congress was dragging their feet the past 6 months.
@teddywoods6463
@teddywoods6463 Ай бұрын
All it took was the Speaker realizing that he didn’t want his name in the history books next to reason why Ukraine no longer exists
@vicsmith8397
@vicsmith8397 Ай бұрын
Republicans took exception to funding Ukraine border control while our southern border remains wide open due to Biden EO.
@daankw
@daankw Ай бұрын
Excellent video
@texasuavpilot
@texasuavpilot Ай бұрын
Great info
@Tundraviper41
@Tundraviper41 Ай бұрын
As a U.S citizen, I can confidently say that Johnson was the sole reason behind why Ukraine aid stalled. Because he for 8 months has been refusing to bring the bills for either border aid or Ukraine aid to the floor for a simple up and down vote. Because the Speaker of the house has the ability to bring bills to the floor for a vote and can choose not to. However many Democrates and conservative (non-Maga, or non-Trump allies) Republicans both agree that Johnson has been purposefully blocking Aid of any kind to our borders and our allies either of his own volition because of trump or political preasure and fear of ouster from Maga republicans.
@markjerling6109
@markjerling6109 Ай бұрын
Keep in mind, it works both ways. For months, Chuck Shumer has bottled up a good immigration bill that the Democrats don't like and proposed a really bad one instead. Spaniel only provides an example from one side. I support Ukraine, but like most of us I also support secure borders for the USA. The Democrats are not exactly the gold standard.
@maurvir3197
@maurvir3197 Ай бұрын
@@markjerling6109 Most Republicans who aren't sniffing Trump's backside agree that the border bill that got shot down was the best bill we have seen in decades. It would have massively increased funding to border patrol for one. Was it the ideal bill? No. However, Trump getting it shot down to play politics wasn't ideal either.
@DrHizenberg
@DrHizenberg Ай бұрын
Its funny to watch Americans from the side that everyone has the idea of blue and red and all of you constantly fight each other. While most of the American population is over with the aid to Ukraine and these bills still get passed 😄
@maurvir3197
@maurvir3197 Ай бұрын
@@DrHizenberg Most Americans have no concept of foreign policy or why it is important. This is literally why we have a "deep state" (AKA, career politicians) Those of us who *do* understand foreign policy understand why this aid package was so important, and why European security is vital to US security.
@sdfopsdmsdofjmp7863
@sdfopsdmsdofjmp7863 Ай бұрын
@@markjerling6109 Did he really take a stance? He just explained how it works and why Johnson has to act weird while balancing on a knife edge. He didn't really make fun of anyone other than Marjorie Taylor Greene and Matt Gaetz, which both rightfully deserve shit for being such utter clowns.
@angrydoggy9170
@angrydoggy9170 Ай бұрын
US politics sounds more like a soap opera than a well oiled machine. The idea that the speaker has the power to block any legislation even if the majority wants it sounds pretty ridiculous.
@damonedrington3453
@damonedrington3453 Ай бұрын
The US government has many checks and balances. This is itself a good thing. It’s bad because it doesn’t take much bs or many people to bring the government to a halt
@angrydoggy9170
@angrydoggy9170 Ай бұрын
@@damonedrington3453 Checks and balances needs to be in place and need to be solid as a rock. But the democratic process has to be allowed to go ahead. Blocking legislation shouldn’t be possible. No matter how ridiculous it is it should be voted on. The only thing a speaker (or better yet a bipartisan panel) should decide on is perhaps determining the importance on what legislation to vote on first.
@GrahamCStrouse
@GrahamCStrouse Ай бұрын
No arguments from me…
@richardguerra3155
@richardguerra3155 Ай бұрын
Says someone who never set up a government ever
@richardguerra3155
@richardguerra3155 Ай бұрын
Says someone who never set up a government ever
@johnnorris2716
@johnnorris2716 Ай бұрын
Thank you for your presentation. Interesting. The small graphic illustrating "gerrymandering" of Massachusetts Essex County is incorrect and spelled incorrectly as well.
@mariusmaxximus1520
@mariusmaxximus1520 Ай бұрын
Great video
@daniell1483
@daniell1483 Ай бұрын
I'm just glad the damn bill got passed. Ukraine needs help, and this isn't the time to play politics when the fate of a nation rests in the balance.
@geraint8989
@geraint8989 Ай бұрын
I was absolutely not a fan of Speaker Johnson, but I’d shake his hand on staying firm on getting this vote for aid done. His career has been made worthwhile.
@Nurhaal
@Nurhaal Ай бұрын
And it's garunteed to help our stocks! War is good money for retirement and I'm sure that helped him stay strong on securing the vote.
@jeroenvs1790
@jeroenvs1790 Ай бұрын
But you would still have to wash the blood off your hands afterwards. His inaction caused many, many excess deaths.
@Nurhaal
@Nurhaal Ай бұрын
@@jeroenvs1790 this is so true! If he had acted faster, we may have provided funding to stop the fentynal crisis that's killing many thousands a year but at least he did something Give him credit for that at least. Personally I don't care, the stocks are going up for me and the new contracts being awarded for new munitions to replace the ones we are sending over seas is ding great for my portfolio.
@moabman6803
@moabman6803 Ай бұрын
I doubt it's truly helping anyone's portfolio. What more likely is your a bot.
@Nurhaal
@Nurhaal Ай бұрын
@@moabman6803 oh its helping. LM just got 3 contracts awarded all for missile related systems.
@phemstros
@phemstros Ай бұрын
Hi William, I just bought all your books on Amazon.
@chateytung
@chateytung Ай бұрын
the 61 billion is not cash, Ukraine can use it to get USA selected weapon in return USA people get more Jobs , win win
@KaloyanKasabov
@KaloyanKasabov Ай бұрын
Unless you are dumb and speak lies aka what the uneducated and bots can't stop repeating here. At least there are some smart folks here
@war-painter
@war-painter Ай бұрын
Orcs to thick to understand this.
@user-mh5db3dh8u
@user-mh5db3dh8u Ай бұрын
@@war-painter There are even members of congress (MTG) too dense to understand this.
@moabman6803
@moabman6803 Ай бұрын
There are plenty of jobs in America already But inflation is so bad nobody can afford to live
@user-mh5db3dh8u
@user-mh5db3dh8u Ай бұрын
@@moabman6803 Inflation is only 3.48%.
@Adonnus100
@Adonnus100 Ай бұрын
There's gotta be at least one high level person in the Pentagon who regularly lurks on this channel.
@spurcell1
@spurcell1 Ай бұрын
Love this chanel
@jakelibbey4631
@jakelibbey4631 Ай бұрын
I am madly in love with your political science Mr William spaniel
@wiggerbigger
@wiggerbigger Ай бұрын
😮🎉🎉
@aimanmarzuqi4804
@aimanmarzuqi4804 Ай бұрын
I'm sure the Americans are thrilled to hear this news.
@blexaarron
@blexaarron Ай бұрын
We aren’t, just another endless war to ruin our purchasing power.
@maltheri9833
@maltheri9833 Ай бұрын
Mixed bag. Economy is so bad rn people really couldn't care less about Ukraine anymore but the common people wouldn't care about what's happening elsewhere that doesn't exist in their daily lives. It's what the politicians who's job it is to care about what's happening decide and this is their decision. Now the citizens will complain but they always complain and will continue to complain.
@robomonkey1018
@robomonkey1018 Ай бұрын
Many of us are.
@user-ee7bz3ip2b
@user-ee7bz3ip2b Ай бұрын
​​@@maltheri9833the US economy is still vast compared to everyone elses. The world is going through a restructuring right now. Manufacturing is being moved closer to the West and away from China. Thats why protecting important trading partners like Europe is more important than ever. China and Russia can create their own sad economic corridor with countries like Iran.
@sakonaga1
@sakonaga1 Ай бұрын
Definitely not. Aid without conditions was a huge mistake!
@Navigator2166
@Navigator2166 Ай бұрын
Thank you, Dr. Spaniel, for the clearest explanation. I have not yet heard of this whole aid bill debacle. I do take some very minor consolation. In the fact that democracy worked. But all good heavens it worked so slow and at what cost? Much appreciation.
@drang01
@drang01 Ай бұрын
Rip us taxpayers to another corrupt gov…
@KaloyanKasabov
@KaloyanKasabov Ай бұрын
2 God Damn TRILLION dollars in Afghanistan, with your support
@Danny-wv8ec
@Danny-wv8ec Ай бұрын
MTG is a dark spot in US history, i can't believe there are humans that voted for her.
@user-mh5db3dh8u
@user-mh5db3dh8u Ай бұрын
She'll stain Georgia's reputation for decades.
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