Why Putin Fragmented His Military: A Tale of Internal Rivalries and Intentional Mismanagement

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William Spaniel

William Spaniel

Күн бұрын

Check out my book "What Caused the Russia-Ukraine War": amzn.to/3HY5aqW. You can also read it for free by signing up for a Kindle Unlimited trial at amzn.to/3QMsBr8. (I use affiliate links, meaning I earn a commission when you make a transaction through them at no cost to you. Even if you read for free, you are still supporting the channel.)
Russia's military efforts in Ukraine are oddly fragmented, with the invasion force relying on a combination of traditional armies, private military companies, and regional battalions. Why has Putin structured his military in this way? The answer is a combination of internal competition and bureaucratic workarounds. This video explores five key pieces of the puzzle and what they mean for the war's outcome.
0:00 Introduction
1:19 Russia's Military Fragmentations
4:28 Why This Is Different from Normal Divisions
6:41 Mobilization Advantages
8:37 Casualty Sensitivity
10:50 Plausible Deniability
14:14 Coup Proofing
16:20 Internal Competition
19:58 Overall Outlook
22:50 #whereszelensky
The appearance of U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) visual information does not imply or constitute DoD endorsement.
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From Kremlin.ru:
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Пікірлер: 1 900
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Жыл бұрын
All of the Zelda references: 6:12 "given the Link to the Past war of 2008" 6:49 "Let's turn back our Phantom Hourglasses" 8:03 "Its Spirit Tracks with a bygone era" 8:23 "The Oracle of Ages determined" 11:26 I intentionally mispronounced "cannon" as "Ganon" 13:19 "With the obvious Links Awakening an identical anger" 15:32 "The military acts as a Link between Worlds" 15:59 "they will soon find out that it is dangerous to go alone" 16:58 #wheresputin captures the Triforce. 18:00 "in this Age of Calamity" 22:26 Legend of Zelensky title card 22:31 "Hey, listen!" 23:28 "if you have the power, wisdom, and courage" 22:56 "the game where I Try Forcing the Russian leader"
@NightSkyNyx
@NightSkyNyx Жыл бұрын
A commenter by the name of "Additional Points" seems to have gotten all of the Zelda references. They even managed to catch the Spirit Tracks and Cannon/Ganon pronunciation! It seems they might have missed the #wheresputin Triforce and also guessed 2 extra references near the beginning at 3:14 and 6:08 as Triforces (though I'm not sure if those 2 were intentional or not lol).
@sebuls
@sebuls Жыл бұрын
Honestly didn't catch any of those. Impressive interweaving, or maybe I'm just an absolute numpty.
@jeffstaples347
@jeffstaples347 Жыл бұрын
I heard the Ganon one
@gazzamildog6732
@gazzamildog6732 Жыл бұрын
Not gonna lie I thought something was up when you said phantom hourglass 😂
@rashkavar
@rashkavar Жыл бұрын
I'm amused that I missed "Phantom Hourglass, Spirit Tracks, Oracle of Ages, and Ganon, but caught Link to the Past, Link's Awakening and Link Between Worlds, given those are all titles that actually weave semi-organically into their sentences. (Link Between Worlds less so, as it was the one that caused me to pause and check the comments for Zelda references, but it was also the third title drop I'd caught, at which point one starts to suspect a pattern.)
@chrisjackson1215
@chrisjackson1215 Жыл бұрын
"Regional leaders are expected to recruit, supply, and train soldiers for battles." That sounds an awful lot like Feudalism to me.
@razorburn645
@razorburn645 Жыл бұрын
Oh God.. does Putain think he's a 21st century Shogun or something?
@rokkraljkolesa9317
@rokkraljkolesa9317 Жыл бұрын
@@razorburn645 no, he thinks he's a tsar
@planningahea8505
@planningahea8505 Жыл бұрын
Thats exactly what currently Chechnya is.
@whoisme678
@whoisme678 11 ай бұрын
​@@rokkraljkolesa9317 I know what he is, but I can't repeat it on here. 😮
@Rong499
@Rong499 7 ай бұрын
❤❤
@PapaOscarNovember
@PapaOscarNovember Жыл бұрын
Russian military reminds me a lot of feudal kingdom military - an army built by aggregating armies of feudal lords who owe their allegiance to the king. Progozhin, Shoigu, Kardyrov, Medvedev, etc. are nobles with titles such as duke, marquis, count, earl, etc. Some of the nobles seem to harbor royal ambition since the king (Putin) does not have an heir. They are jockeying for favorable positions in the court, in case the king falls from position of power. Putin has had to put them in their places (not giving them ammo and supplies).
@rjfaber1991
@rjfaber1991 Жыл бұрын
Exactly what I thought as well.
@Muaddibize
@Muaddibize Жыл бұрын
That is how politics works everywhere, sure the stakes are not as bloody as in the case of this war. But how do you think party's, or companies, work ?
@icosthop9998
@icosthop9998 Жыл бұрын
Nice
@cytrynowy_melon6604
@cytrynowy_melon6604 Жыл бұрын
​​@@Muaddibizeot to the extent in Russia. Better democracy usually means that government is controlling the army pretty well, as it has is authority as being elected by most of people. In authoritarianism, no one really has true privilege of being the winner of fair election, oligarchs and factions play a bigger role, replacing the general public role in democracy.
@adenoidhinkel34
@adenoidhinkel34 Жыл бұрын
Your warriors in Ukraine are sitting in the bushes and pits smiling. They did not participate in a single attack for a drug addict clown.
@Special_K_42069
@Special_K_42069 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting to learn all this - especially considering how Ukraine 🇺🇦 v Russland’s military’s used their time between 2014-2022. 🇺🇦 trained with the West and centralized it’s structure, whereas 🇷🇺 seemingly took no new action and carried on with old ways
@leerzeichn93
@leerzeichn93 Жыл бұрын
To be honest they also had a whole war in Syria. And attacking a country is always bad for morale.
@flipw3605
@flipw3605 Жыл бұрын
Attacking a military that is well below its skill level gave it a sense of complacency. Going up against a well-trained army is another matter entirely, as they are discovering.
@LaGrandeBayou
@LaGrandeBayou Жыл бұрын
You mean going up against 42 countries don't you? 🇷🇺 Has literally exhausted the surplus munitions tanks weapons systems and artillery of a dozen or more countries. But you won't hear Spaniel talk about that.
@flipw3605
@flipw3605 Жыл бұрын
@@LaGrandeBayou If one country invades another of its own volition then that invading army has to deal with whatever comes their way regardless of whether the invaded country has allies or not. If Russia does not like having to deal with the invaded country and their allies it can leave. Consider this. If Russia's invasion is in 'defence' of Russians how come they do not have allies willing to wade in on their behalf. While you wish to spread propaganda the facts are the facts. Look at the history of many countries and it is clear that the invading army has to deal with whatever is chucked their way. But as history is a convenient thing to be dismissed it will be again dismissed by you.
@xXRealXx
@xXRealXx Жыл бұрын
​​@@LaGrandeBayou sending supplies ≠ actually entering a war
@shrike06
@shrike06 Жыл бұрын
There is also the fact that Russia has two Armed Forces: the Rosgvardia and related Interior Ministry units (and agencies like the FSB), and the Armed Forces under the Ministry of Defense. The Russian State places much greater priority on crushing internal disorder and rebellion than on defeating external enemies. Since the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, the Armed Forces have spent a lot of time getting the shit end of the stick compared to other "power ministries" (parts of the government who get to have people carrying guns). Part of this may be due to bad memories of the Soviet Era, when 25% of GDP went to the Red Army.
@kerdart351
@kerdart351 Жыл бұрын
And now Wagner, and numerous other independant milicia (even Gazprom has its own milicia now)
@Ashinle
@Ashinle Жыл бұрын
All Zelda references: 3:14 Maybe triforce 6:08 Another triforce 6:12 Link to the past 6:49 Phantom hourglass 8:03 Spirit Tracks (wow that was hard to notice) 8:23 Oracle of ages 11:26 Cannon maybe Ganon? 13:19 Link's Awakening 15:32 Link between worlds 15:59 It's dangerous to go alone 18:00 Age of calamity 22:26 Legend of Zelenskyy 22:31 Hey listen 23:28 Power wisdom courage 22:56 Tri-force(ing) Love that ending message. Also thanks for finding the other references everyone
@JatSingh
@JatSingh Жыл бұрын
There was a "links awakening" somewhere too
@Ashinle
@Ashinle Жыл бұрын
​@@JatSinghAdding in with edits
@commandertaco1762
@commandertaco1762 Жыл бұрын
I didn't get it at first why all the zelda references
@commandertaco1762
@commandertaco1762 Жыл бұрын
15:58 it's dangerous to go alone
@scaper12123
@scaper12123 Жыл бұрын
God damn i didn’t realize he took the metaphore so far xD
@w0rmblood323
@w0rmblood323 Жыл бұрын
This channel and Perun are becoming my favorite channels. A collaboration would be epic
@alexanderchenf1
@alexanderchenf1 Жыл бұрын
Perun is establishment garbage, with no independent thinking at all
@aaronbaker2186
@aaronbaker2186 Жыл бұрын
A big problem with the fragmentation is that coordination is essential for military efforts. You don't want to have the right flank wonder off in the middle of a battle so your foe can roll you up. You want artillery or aircraft to provide supporting fire, etc. War is chaos, but adding another layer of confusion by having multiple chains of command will make things much worse.
@iitim2152
@iitim2152 Жыл бұрын
So basically he has created for himself the same challenges as early medieval armies where powerful nobles often controlled large sections of the military and king's we're beholden to their whims. Often was the case where one noble unexpected quit a flank to expose a rival to the enemy.
@camelofsiberia962
@camelofsiberia962 11 ай бұрын
This literally happened now lol
@iitim2152
@iitim2152 10 ай бұрын
@@camelofsiberia962 lol yep.. It's almost like it was predictable 😕
@Astronetics
@Astronetics Жыл бұрын
I only recently found this channel but I had no idea this guy is an actual professor and has a PhD in this. Much respect!
@gorethegreat
@gorethegreat Жыл бұрын
He is superb
@bearok89
@bearok89 Жыл бұрын
@@noneshere Damn bro you got the whole squad laughing
@agentorange9867
@agentorange9867 Жыл бұрын
@@noneshere go back to the woodwork you climbed out from, and cope a little. Maybe this will silence your tankie crying🤣🤣🤣
@someguyfromfinlandtj125
@someguyfromfinlandtj125 Жыл бұрын
@@noneshereGo to the frontline troll.
@Degarth
@Degarth Жыл бұрын
​@Noneshere well, you can tell the joke writers are on strike, too.
@rogerbrownreacts8528
@rogerbrownreacts8528 Жыл бұрын
Putin reads too many Warhammer 40k novels.
@krysu7777
@krysu7777 Жыл бұрын
That's really creative way to put it
@greywolf7422
@greywolf7422 Жыл бұрын
​@@krysu7777What's the guy referring to, I haven't interacted with the War hammer universe outside of pop culture memetics?
@gagaplex
@gagaplex Жыл бұрын
@@greywolf7422 The main human army in that setting is basically a giant, incomprehensible juggernaut of competing interest groups (military branches, troops from different planets, loyalties towards various feudal lords or governors etc.) and it's a bit of a meme that they will either abandon each other or outright sabotage, bombard, kill each other or declare them heretics and traitors for even minor political gain or petty revenge. Oh, and the incompetence, disregard for human lives and materiel and a massive bureaucracy makes them even more inefficient.
@foxbutt7410
@foxbutt7410 Жыл бұрын
I swear to god, you stole the thought out of my brain.
@spark5580
@spark5580 Жыл бұрын
You think Putin plays chaos?
@ev.c6
@ev.c6 Жыл бұрын
What has been staggering for me is how inefficient the Russian army is. I really thought Ukraine was going to fall within a couple of weeks, but I was proved wrong by their commitment to fight back and how incapable the russians were. Just bad.
@tomwithey711
@tomwithey711 Жыл бұрын
​@@davidcox9674 😂😂 nice try, comrade.
@khijir2
@khijir2 Жыл бұрын
​@@davidcox9674 provide links comrade cox
@mrcaboosevg6089
@mrcaboosevg6089 Жыл бұрын
@@davidcox9674 Russia just lost 2 miles of land in a city they have been fight for for months. If they had a defensive line it has been shattered and they currently getting shafted
@ralphmorgan6130
@ralphmorgan6130 11 ай бұрын
@@davidcox9674 Such delusions will see Russia continue to self-immolate until it has insufficient conventional military capability left to 'protect' parts of RF that 'historically' were parts of other sovereign nations eg. Konigsberg (previously part of Germany or Poland for hundreds of years), Crimean Khanate (previously part of Ottoman Empire/Turkyi for hundreds of years), Finnish Kaleria and Salie, Outer Manchuria (previously part of Chinese Empire for hundreds of years), and, of course, the Kuril Islands. The risk faced by a military power seeking to increase territory via military means is that it can (and often does) lead to the exact opposite outcome, despite initial belief that 'victory is inevitable'. Examples such as Roman Empire, Austro-hungarian Empire, Mongol Empire, Ottoman Empire, Japanese and German expansion in the first two years of WWII, etc.abound. The longer (and more unrealistic) a belief in 'ultimate victory' is maintained, the worse the final result -- just look at how Germany and Japan ended up after WWII, and what their propaganda machines (and large parts of the population and leadership still, apparently, believed well after the 'tide of war' had turned) were still pushing in the latter phases of the war. Keep up your 'think positive' fantasy -- it is doing Russia irreparable harm (as is Putin). ps. If Ukraine had lost 7-1 KIA vs Russian forces (by which one means all forces on the Russia side -- Wagner, DPR, LPR etc. not just Russian army controlled by MOD and reported as 'official casualty' fantasy numbers by the MOD) then the war would have ended last year, given the relative populations of Ukraine vs Russia. The fact that Russia has already been forced out of a large fraction of the Ukrainian territory it had initially captured in early 2022, and has now (as you say) 'adopted defensive positions' indicates that Russia MUST have suffered considerably more losses than Ukraine in absolute terms (i have no idea if it is actually 1:1. 2:1. 3:1 or 7:1, reliable data just isn't available), just so that the level of losses (relative to the population) could be roughly comparable. pps. If you think about the 'war of attrition' pros and cons, perhaps you should briefly consider the resources (population, GDP etc) of each 'side' in terms of equipment supply and future production (not just manpower). NATO isn't directly involved (despite what Russian state media likes to claim for the benefit of internal Russian consumption), but it is definitely involved regarding supply of equipment when talking about a 'war of attrition'. Given that 'the West' is supporting Ukraine, and Iran is supporting Russia, you might want to think about GDP of Russia vs 'the West' and how this might affect the outcome of a 'war of attrition'. Sure 'the West' may lose interest and reduce (rather the continue to increase) supplies to Ukraine (although that seems unlikely given the US lend-lease agreement -- think about how WWII went with lend-lease for UK and US supplying vast amounts of equipment to Russia) in 2024 and beyond - which would make eventual Ukraine 'victory' highly unlikely (but an indefinite insurgency would probably still make a 'Russian victory' pyrrhic in such an event). But you have to make some rampant speculation to come to the conclusion that a 'war of attrition' would actually work out well for Russia.
@joenichols3901
@joenichols3901 Жыл бұрын
I bought your book. I've watched all your videos so I don't think it'll be life changing, but I'm just glad we have people such as yourself educating American students on war. I mean, how many classes are in one credit hour of your lesson? I've watched at least 15, thirty minute videos of yours and gained a ton of knowledge. Is that somewhat like completing a geopolitical course on the Ukraine war? Of course, there is no test, but it's still interesting to think
@SRFriso94
@SRFriso94 Жыл бұрын
Reminded of something LazerPig said in his video about the T-14 (yes, there are reasons to question certain aspects of that video, but not so much this quote): "[Putin] knew that no matter how many knives glinted in the darkness behind him, no one would dare strike first if there was nobody powerful enough to replace him."
@casbot71
@casbot71 Жыл бұрын
What parts of the T-14 video are questionable?
@BurnBird1
@BurnBird1 Жыл бұрын
^
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368 Жыл бұрын
Whomever it is, they'll have to have the allegiance of the FSB/GRU. They can defenestrate any politician with impunity. And like all dictators, they have to pay cash money in exchange for the loyalty of their grubby little lackeys. Putin has both wealth and suction within the thuggish intel community of Russia. My bet is that someone with a media background replaces him. I bet there are a cabal of pissed-off journalists who can shine a light on all the obscene wealth and corruption of the would-be dictators to the point that a pitchfork-wielding mob can take care of them. That is, if average Russian citizens rethink the social model and become engaged in their future. That is a big ask outside of Moscow and St. Petersburg.
@jamesmilton6529
@jamesmilton6529 Жыл бұрын
The origins of the T14 engine
@Destroyer_V0
@Destroyer_V0 Жыл бұрын
@@casbot71 The part where he has issues translating Russian engine power units to the more commonly accepted... imperial based metrics of horsepower and torque. And ends up with a figure that ain't right. The whole, russian tank engine is about as powerful as a small coupe from the west.
@dmoney_pimpslap
@dmoney_pimpslap Жыл бұрын
I didn't think it'd be possible to slide that many Legend of Zelda references into a video about RUS/Ukraine.
@deirdrickrayner6198
@deirdrickrayner6198 Жыл бұрын
Outstanding channel. Watch every video. Gives information and objective insight not available in media. Thank you so much William and keep them coming. The occasional interjection of dry humor is appreciated too!
@becca125
@becca125 11 ай бұрын
Video aged like a fine wine 🤌
@michael-m
@michael-m Жыл бұрын
I cannot get enough of your work, my friend. Keep it up, it keeps us informed in a much more in-depth way
@dinozulic1624
@dinozulic1624 Жыл бұрын
At 11:26 he says Gannon PMC :)
@davidellett9316
@davidellett9316 Жыл бұрын
> The oft-forgotten Coast Guard This is the truth. Lee Greenwood (the guy who sings "Proud to be an American") performed at the Sun Bowl in 2010. He sang a song where there was a part that was like "Let's hear it for the ARMY! (the crowd goes wild) Let's hear it for the NAVY! (crowd cheers again) and the AIR FORCE! (crowd roars once again) and our boys in the COAST GUARD! (crowd audibly says "Huh?" in unison)
@susanmullen445
@susanmullen445 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for the end comments. It must be difficult for you to constantly think and talk about such things about the world. Thank you for just the information and keep up the good work. It is good to throw a little silliness in every once in a while. We appreciate you.🎉🎉🎉🎉🎉
@aFoundingYouTuber
@aFoundingYouTuber Жыл бұрын
Once again Mr. Spaniel's scholarship and insights do not disappoint. My measure of such things is that this 25-minute presentation seemed about 10 minutes in length. Time flies when listening to his pearls of wisdom.
@hilestoby2628
@hilestoby2628 Жыл бұрын
A theory I have heard is that Russia got the idea for private military groups from the United States during the 2001 and 2003 campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan. Contractors were used to make defense assets and private security companies like Blackwater were used for protection and in some cases combat. Some of the operations led to some abuses of humans rights.
@Yora21
@Yora21 Жыл бұрын
To nobody's surprise. Mercenaries had a very bad reputation historically because shit like that happens all the time.
@gabig3794
@gabig3794 Жыл бұрын
Wagner started as a neo nazi organisation, hence the name Wagner (Hitler s fave)
@user-oh6eg4ny3h
@user-oh6eg4ny3h Жыл бұрын
Yes PMCs are not a efficient way to win hearts and minds. In didn’t work in iraq and didn’t work in Afghanistan, it’s not working with Russia in Ukraine right now. Because pmcs tend to not have to go by Geneva convention standards It didn’t work in cod mw2 and advanced warfare with shadow company lmao if you want to go fiction 🤣🤣
@chaosXP3RT
@chaosXP3RT Жыл бұрын
Blackwater went bankrupt and became defunct because of its war crimes. Wagner seems to be doing fine though
@hilestoby2628
@hilestoby2628 Жыл бұрын
@@chaosXP3RT Wager is backed by the Kremlin and is used as Putin's mercenary force in Africa and Urkaine.
@JCtheMusicMan_
@JCtheMusicMan_ Жыл бұрын
A downside of using a PMC is that outsiders can destroy them with impunity.
@ParagonFury
@ParagonFury Жыл бұрын
We should ask Wagner group in Syria their thoughts about......oh riiiiiiight.
@doomedwit1010
@doomedwit1010 Жыл бұрын
Upside and downside. In TW3 this trait is called Meat Shield. The loss of the unit does not affect morale of other units. It's a valuable trait for units you expect to see destroyed!
@ParagonFury
@ParagonFury Жыл бұрын
@@doomedwit1010 The thing is how they get destroyed. If it seems like a somewhat fair/winnable fight or that the opponent was wounded by it then it MIGHT be worth it. If they're destroyed the way the Wagner group was in Syria, then not only have you lost that unit but the morale of any of your units who see it or hear of it is going to be absolutely gone.
@mcbrite
@mcbrite Жыл бұрын
@@doomedwit1010 The also have "Strider", but very low Leadership, Melee Attack and Defence, and only 30 Armor... ^^ Basically panicked Orc Laborers... ^^
@daviddenny4092
@daviddenny4092 Жыл бұрын
Hitler favoured the same fragmentation in the 3rd Reich - for very much the same reasons, I think. An excellent analysis, as always. Thanks
@14MCDLXXXVIII88
@14MCDLXXXVIII88 Жыл бұрын
reference? your bottom...
@cynicat74
@cynicat74 Жыл бұрын
@@14MCDLXXXVIII88 The Waffen--SS vs the Wehrmacht, as well as a separation of command. For example: Hitler was Chief of the Heer, which meant he had to report to his "superior", the Chief of the Wehrmacht, who served under Hitler as Fuhrer. In 1944, Hitler would report to Generalfeldmarschall Wilhelm Keitel, who had to report to Hitler. Are you seeing the problem yet?
@14MCDLXXXVIII88
@14MCDLXXXVIII88 Жыл бұрын
@@cynicat74 When Russia has a strong army but not that strong leader; army commits coup d'etat (just like Nikita Kruschev or Nikolai II). This is not a problem for Germans in history. (of course there were traitors like Claus von Stauffenberg, but they never got the whole army) The Wehrmacht was a cohesive and centralized military force under Austrian Painter's direct control. It was a state-run entity with a clear chain of command and an ideological alignment with the party. Every soldier had the same motivation to fight. On the other hand, modern Russia has a more decentralized military structure. Alongside the state-run military, there are numerous PMCs that operate semi-independently, often in international conflicts and in Ukriane. These groups have different motivations and loyalties, leading to divisions. German army fought with a sense of unity and coordination, as if they functioned as a single body with each soldier as a vital cell. However, despite this collective effort, it was ultimately insufficient for them to achieve victory. They look nothing like today's Russia.
@cynicat74
@cynicat74 Жыл бұрын
@@14MCDLXXXVIII88 The centralisation of the Wehrmacht has absolutely nothing to do with my comment. It wasn't a rivalry within the Wehrmacht, it was a rivalry between the Wehrmacht, the Waffen-SS, and the Luftwaffe ground forces. You can like your own comments all you want, you still completely missed the point.
@rhea7756
@rhea7756 Жыл бұрын
Zelensky is the guy in the middle in that picture. I don't believe the myth that he doesn't hide or sit in bunker. Everyone loves their own life you know. But he isn't delusional like Putin, he is realistic and hence understands that he has to appear before public to boost morale . And he does this despite almost daily threats to take him out. Massive respect to the guy!
@rutgerb
@rutgerb Жыл бұрын
Which myth? He slept in a bunker for months, he gave a mtv cribs like show of the bunker and his bed
@rutgerb
@rutgerb Жыл бұрын
Search: "Zelensky bunker" you will see a walktrough from 2 months ago
@rhea7756
@rhea7756 Жыл бұрын
@@rutgerb that's not his bunker. It's part of his office. It's there right from the time the palace was built
@wperfect
@wperfect Жыл бұрын
​@@rutgerbHe still travels overseas
@lukaslee7380
@lukaslee7380 Жыл бұрын
@@rutgerb which side are you on? also give me a *direct* source to this whole "Zelenskyy bunker tour thing"
@scisher3294
@scisher3294 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for that explanation of military efforts as “sports wagering”. That was very apt.
@rogerwilliams1556
@rogerwilliams1556 Жыл бұрын
William, very impresive.. thank you for cutting through the fog and explaining clearly to your viewers what is actually going on behind the scenes in the Rus/UA war. The quality of your work is second to none.
@Marlboroman500
@Marlboroman500 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting video, and great job on it and on the willingness to understand and stay up to date and share the latest news, even though sometimes it is frustrating, and maddening and makes you forget the laughter, humor, and happiness in life. War is maddening, politics is sometimes maddening, but knowing you’re not alone is important! Thnx for the vid!💯
@jevinliu4658
@jevinliu4658 Жыл бұрын
Seeing Richard Wagner looking at us when talking about the Battle of Bakhmut gets me every time, even though I know why he got on those pixels on my screen
@joelsmith5938
@joelsmith5938 Жыл бұрын
Is there some veiled irony considering Wagner’s own thinly veiled German nationalism and not-so thinly-veiled anti-semitism?
@loekbergenvan5410
@loekbergenvan5410 Жыл бұрын
Great how you make the game of international relations understandable for everyone! 👍😉
@canuckbucks
@canuckbucks Жыл бұрын
@William Spaniel, your contribution is immense. Every terrible crisis is simultaneously an awe-inspiring opportunity. This is merely the way of things and not a megalomaniacal personality's perspective. An informed public has a much greater capacity to ensure that promising opportunities are taken, and the evil dreams and wishes of the dark forces within us do not prevail... I'm just about having a nervous breakdown over here, now I know how slow the time must have crept by on D-Day -1. Intelligence departments alone carry the baton now, until the shooting really starts. As such their task is critical to success. I wish them every success, a success I know they are capable of. Glory to the heroes.
@hungrymusicwolf
@hungrymusicwolf Жыл бұрын
"The Legend of Zelensky" - I absolutely love it.
@rogerwilco2
@rogerwilco2 Жыл бұрын
ALL dictatorships can only function because of lots of internal rivalries and duplication and inefficiencies. It helps the dictator stay in power as those that could replace him are too busy fighting each other and nobody has enough power to topple the leader.
@hydroaegis6658
@hydroaegis6658 Жыл бұрын
So a dictator is effectively no more powerful than an elected official in a democracy.
@haxney
@haxney Жыл бұрын
​@@hydroaegis6658 I wouldn't say "no more powerful," but they don't have the unrestricted ability to dictate policy that we commonly imagine. If Putin tells Shoigu to take Bakhmut and Shoigu refuses, then what can Putin do? He could tell someone to shoot Shoigu, but would that person listen to Putin? Putin could do it himself, but if Shoigu convinces a few loyal supporters to defend him, then Putin is out of luck. So Putin has to convince Shoigu that Shoigu is better off with Putin than against him.
@vaevak418
@vaevak418 Жыл бұрын
@@hydroaegis6658 i think you took away the wrong message. Getting voted out as opposed to staying in until you die, would be the difference. 🤷🏼‍♂️
@mikedeveau3200
@mikedeveau3200 Жыл бұрын
You can tell that you put a lot of work in this story bravo brilliant work you are a great JOURNALIST!!!!!
@bounce12
@bounce12 Жыл бұрын
Love these videos. Many people are doing similar videos but not with your touch!! Great job on your work
@richardcory5024
@richardcory5024 Жыл бұрын
Hitler took a similar, but more limited approach with the German Army. The SS were an elite corps, more of a Praetorian guard than anything else, independent of Wehrmacht control. Hitler also interfered, and often overruled or supplanted, as does Putin, his Army generals. Moreover the Nazi administrative and governmental system was full of overlapping authorities competing for power. Hitler's view was that that his devotees in the Party should fight each other for power in these confused hierarchies and that the best would come out on top, Darwin style, through natural selection. It led to a lot more disorganisation than we have been lead to expect from authoritarian regimes, contrary to the myth that Nazi Germany was an efficient well oiled machine. Putin's regime is likewise hopelessly inefficient and corrupt. It has to be that way for him to retain power within it. Likewise Xi in China relies on a corrupt regime to keep him in power. As Prof. Kotkin said, authoritarian regimes fail at everything. All they need to do to remain in power is repress their own populations sufficiently well to survive. Russia and China do this remarkably well but the world leaders are without question North Korea.
@TheRezro
@TheRezro Жыл бұрын
And it was cluster duck...
@ronkolek613
@ronkolek613 Жыл бұрын
You forgot the Luftwaffe having 22 field infantry divisions and the Herman Goring Panzer Korps……..all a total waste of manpower.
@richardcory5024
@richardcory5024 Жыл бұрын
@@ronkolek613 Fair point. There were numerous Romanian, Hungarian and other motley Wehrmacht and SS divisions from conquered territories which did not necessarily prove to be very combat worthy. These represented some sort of dilution of military effectiveness.
@LaGrandeBayou
@LaGrandeBayou Жыл бұрын
PUPPETSKYYS Ukrainian SBU are the modern equivalent of the NAZI SS.
@cynicat74
@cynicat74 Жыл бұрын
What's funny is that during WWII, the Chief of the Heer would have to report to the Chief of the Wehrmacht. After the Battle of Moscow, Hitler appointed himself as Chief of the Heer. So, in 1944, Adolf Hitler would report to Generalfeldmarschall Wilhelm Keitel, who had to report to... Adolf Hitler
@TheDMG45
@TheDMG45 Жыл бұрын
Is it just me or is this video full of Zelda terms? Phantom Hourglass, Oracle of Ages? Pronouncing 'Cannon PMC' as 'Ganon PMC' at 11:27? The "obvious links awakening" at 13:24! A "link between worlds" 15:35. Age of Calamity.
@Poki3
@Poki3 Жыл бұрын
There are way more then just those. It's dangerous to go alone searching for all of them.
@b33lze6u6
@b33lze6u6 Жыл бұрын
i heard oracle of ages and was like what ?
@dplocksmith91
@dplocksmith91 Жыл бұрын
It's deliberate.
@wythewinchester3236
@wythewinchester3236 Жыл бұрын
Since William Spaniel has stated that he is an "AI"; what do you expect?
@joelsmith5938
@joelsmith5938 Жыл бұрын
You forgot *The Legend of Zelenskiy*
@garyknight8616
@garyknight8616 Жыл бұрын
Superb analysis. Very thought provoking. Thank you.
@billotto602
@billotto602 Жыл бұрын
Another fantastic lesson. You do such an amazing job of explaining things that get so twisted in any MSM from any country. Thank-you.
@muadhib001
@muadhib001 Жыл бұрын
Let's cancel all free medias like putin!😉
@HeisenbergFam
@HeisenbergFam Жыл бұрын
I hope the war ends soon, its sad to hear TV constantly talking about casualties and horrors of it
@turkeydoctor5546
@turkeydoctor5546 Жыл бұрын
I totally agree. Ukraine is natos proxy war
@rogerwilco2
@rogerwilco2 Жыл бұрын
I think it will last at least another year. We need to give Ukraine all we can as the war will only end if they win. Russia is not going to end this war until they are in Berlin.
@LoneWolf-wp9dn
@LoneWolf-wp9dn Жыл бұрын
it wont... the more russia loses the more iran and china will get involved
@Anuisgod
@Anuisgod Жыл бұрын
Turn off the TV. Why are you watching fear mongering box ? Live your life free from fear.
@ReySchultz121
@ReySchultz121 Жыл бұрын
I see this man everywhere.
@dalidaz72
@dalidaz72 Жыл бұрын
Great channel very informative and a very clever guy gooood job 👌
@GreatGatzB
@GreatGatzB Жыл бұрын
Eight minutes in and I already know the theme of this episode 😂 this guy isn’t an AI, he’s a gamer!
@pouglwaw5932
@pouglwaw5932 11 ай бұрын
Yes, stay unprogrammable, stay unpredictable. The UAF is always showing us that it has learned these lessons well.
@caryccharlson
@caryccharlson Жыл бұрын
This explains GasProm PMC. Very well done. You have open my eyes to a different way of looking at this.
@samyfay7786
@samyfay7786 Жыл бұрын
😯Wow. This capsule broaden my scope of view toward this war like no other. I am so glad you published it. I now understand a lot more about some details that where escaping my general point of view. Thanks again.
@-yeme-
@-yeme- Жыл бұрын
can you imagine if the secretary of defence of the UK or US also happened to run a mercenary company...
@overbeb
@overbeb Жыл бұрын
Or a certain Vice President owning a contracting firm (Halliburton) which profited immensely during his time in office from wars of aggression.
@_PatrickO
@_PatrickO Жыл бұрын
@@overbeb He screwed us all with the invasion in iraq. Sadam was keeping religious extremists at bay.
@nihluxler1890
@nihluxler1890 Жыл бұрын
No. In the US, mercenary companies own them, not the other way around.
@floydlooney6837
@floydlooney6837 Жыл бұрын
or a state-owned entity - Postal service? - owning a PMC?
@TonyM540
@TonyM540 11 ай бұрын
Sounds like a recipe for corruption.
@Edax_Royeaux
@Edax_Royeaux 11 ай бұрын
It appears dividing up the military and pitting them against each other was not that productive.
@vissitorsteve
@vissitorsteve Жыл бұрын
SO grateful to have found your channel!
@studiosnch
@studiosnch Жыл бұрын
On casualty sensitivity: in the former Soviet Union the numbers "200" and "300" are feared, because in Soviet military code "200" meant as casualties and "300" injuries. This was first practiced in the Soviet-Afghan War in a bid to hide real statisticsand standardize reporting. This was prompted because the Soviets decided to not centralize the burial of all war dead, instesd sending the soldier's body to their home town. To an extent this catalyzed the dehumanization of war deaths as the human loss was presented as "special cargo", hence you'll see and hear "200 cargo" often in pro-rus Telegram groups. Of course a new dimension evolved as well, with morbid jokes of dead russian men transforming into Ladas, refrigerators, or toilets for the benefit of their surviving relatives. Ukraine, on the other hand, moved away from this concept and adopted the Western casuality sensibility of "human lives lost", calling their war dead "those who bore the shield", publicizing their funerals so as to maintain the gravitas of human loss, and practicing actions that permit group commemoration such as the simple act of kneeling on one feet as the funeral cortege passes by in front of them as a sign of respect.
@Sladen70
@Sladen70 Жыл бұрын
4:45 a friendly reminder that we have 1 even more forgotten branch. The Merchant Marines. While not considered military, they have been our logistical backbone since the revolutionary war.
@jacobspaniel9568
@jacobspaniel9568 Жыл бұрын
Hey cousin! Another great quality video! Glad you told me about your channel that night at dinner. I enjoy your content.
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Жыл бұрын
Hey! Glad you like it.
@marcorigodanzo6107
@marcorigodanzo6107 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for all your work. I am always eager to watch your new videos. 👍
@martinvasquez818
@martinvasquez818 Жыл бұрын
Many times before, it has been said, "a team will ALWAYS beat a group of specialists"
@lastonestanding1641
@lastonestanding1641 Жыл бұрын
yeah right, "specialists"
@altide8784
@altide8784 Жыл бұрын
You mean a bunch of lions will lose to a hoard of sheep? Guess this happend in the movie 300 :o
@martinvasquez818
@martinvasquez818 Жыл бұрын
@@altide8784 I would've agreed, but the battlefield has proven Russia has no lions, only hollow paper tigers
@Connstein
@Connstein Жыл бұрын
@@altide8784 in the movie 300 they mow down a shit load of different types of soldiers/armys
@kieranelliott5607
@kieranelliott5607 Жыл бұрын
Final comments on the importance of staying sane, even with a bit of silliness when discussing serious things, was very poignant.
@jerelull9629
@jerelull9629 Жыл бұрын
If you didn't laugh, you would have to cry.
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368
@oldmandoinghighkicksonlyin1368 Жыл бұрын
I love your videos. You really add to the conversation.
@Keleneki
@Keleneki Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the great explanation. I'm glad I found your channel, sir.
@LOBricksAndSecrets
@LOBricksAndSecrets Жыл бұрын
"The oracle of ages" "It's dangerous to go alone" "Age of Calamity" Legend of Zelda references?
@LOBricksAndSecrets
@LOBricksAndSecrets Жыл бұрын
Okay the end of the video made it obvious. Yeah
@larzkruber822
@larzkruber822 Жыл бұрын
You could use the face of Gerhard Schröder for the Gazprom symbol
@kilianhzh
@kilianhzh Жыл бұрын
Would be epic
@x7xshark
@x7xshark Жыл бұрын
Highly recommended! Vlad’s expertise, attention to detail, and professionalism exceeded my expectations. My bathroom looks amazing. Thank you!
@MDCDiGiPiCs
@MDCDiGiPiCs Жыл бұрын
William, your videos are the best. Love your work.
@thepolticalone961
@thepolticalone961 Жыл бұрын
Internal rivalries just like in metal gear. And PMCs
@Gamer8585
@Gamer8585 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for having the courage to share your wisdom on the Russo-Ukrainian war on this powerful social media platform.
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Жыл бұрын
I see what you did there.
@libertyauto
@libertyauto Жыл бұрын
And to think that Seagall would be so gracious as to share the screen with Zelenskyy.
@nothingvenured.nothinggain4589
@nothingvenured.nothinggain4589 Жыл бұрын
And your closing comments from 22:50 where very powerful. A strong message. You are a 'tinker' Mr Spaniel.
@nanorider426
@nanorider426 Жыл бұрын
The outro really got me. Yep. We have to stay sane and a little silliness is always good. Take care Mr. Spaniel. ^^
@ArktinenPeikko
@ArktinenPeikko Жыл бұрын
I'm totally ok with a little bit of harmless fun even if there is a war going on. I'm sure the guys in trenches joke about some morbid stuff most of the time to keep sane as well. Gallows humor i think is the phrase. Anyway, makes these videos less depressing to have a slightly lighter commentary to go with the theme. Extra points for Zelda references =) Although you didn't repeat "Hey, Listen!" often enough.
@miniaturejayhawk8702
@miniaturejayhawk8702 Жыл бұрын
I love how you put a picture of wagner (the composer) to represent wagner (the militia).
@mikaeljonsson4686
@mikaeljonsson4686 Жыл бұрын
Thx for yet another great informative video! 👌
@denillefleming2942
@denillefleming2942 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for your informative videos!
@petersouthernboy6327
@petersouthernboy6327 Жыл бұрын
Very well done once again 👍
@_Ocariao
@_Ocariao Жыл бұрын
Your content is gold, William. Realistic, based on reality and make me think everytime. Such a remarkable work you do here, congratulations! Greetings from Brazil!
@supercellodude
@supercellodude Жыл бұрын
I recently read a book about the Roman Emperor Augustus' rise and solidification of his power after the civil wars and death of Julius Caesar. He had multiple kinds of units besides the 28 legions he allocated after the battle of Actium: Praetorian Guard, urban cohorts, auxilla from client kingdoms and tribes, and being able to recruit and free slaves into military service in emergencies. Perhaps Putin is trying to avoid all of the materiel that can move among the Vory, PMCs and the military from overwhelming his own "praetorians" in the FSB
@mariusmaxximus1520
@mariusmaxximus1520 Жыл бұрын
Great video, keep em coming bud!
@zacharyweller1029
@zacharyweller1029 Жыл бұрын
Fascinating videos, just started the book and it’s everything I had hoped for.
@tykosteamboat5570
@tykosteamboat5570 Жыл бұрын
@WilliamSpaniel Our family boycotts amazon bc we’re not interested in contributing to the decline of American commerce. Is there any other way to buy your book? Thanks
@catface101
@catface101 Жыл бұрын
Phantom Hourglass, Oracle of Ages, Ganon, Link's Awakening, A Link Between Worlds, dangerous to go alone, Age of Calamity My Zelda senses are Tingle-ing
@benlamprecht6414
@benlamprecht6414 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for providing this extremely interesting and insightful analysis
@seanwalker9904
@seanwalker9904 Жыл бұрын
Thanks, love your content. Critical reasoning and a broad point of view. The humor is appreciated, and welcome from my point of view. It helps ease the feelings of negativity and despair, while not taking so much away from the situation to trivialize what is happening to to Ukraine and others involved. Not every hero shoulders a gun. Slava Ukraine.
@fightingfinn1503
@fightingfinn1503 Жыл бұрын
Small world, I was just browsing you channel wondering when you were gonna upload 3 minutes ago 😅
@AtilaVasconcelos
@AtilaVasconcelos Жыл бұрын
same here :)
@lordomacron3719
@lordomacron3719 Жыл бұрын
Have you ever considered comparing and contrasting modern PMCs with one of days past. I wonder how the Wagner group compares to the Dutch East Indies company or the British East India company. Both were vast businesses with their own military. Is there any private entity that can equal what they had?
@markusseitz480
@markusseitz480 Жыл бұрын
Informative and entertaining. Brilliant. Thanks
@teashea1
@teashea1 Жыл бұрын
articulate, intelligent, organized presentation with very fine production values
@HexDominator
@HexDominator Жыл бұрын
Great video
@MichaelVII_
@MichaelVII_ Жыл бұрын
it's only been 5 minutes but you already know it's gonna be another banger
@TheSignatureKing
@TheSignatureKing Жыл бұрын
This video has a lot of great information but one thing I would like to point out is the incredible position this war has put Poland in. Poland has put itself into a position to be Europe’s most dominant military power ahead of Germany. Go Poland.
@UGNAvalon
@UGNAvalon Жыл бұрын
Poland, remembering what both Russia & Germany put it thru during WW2: “MWAHAHAHAHA~!!”
@mindliss92
@mindliss92 Жыл бұрын
Not entirely sure if that actually has anything to do with the vid tho?
@Brocuzgodlocdunfamdogson
@Brocuzgodlocdunfamdogson Жыл бұрын
It also works out well for S.Korea. Lil kim can’t take out S.Korean K2 tank production when there’s a Hyundai Rotem manufacturing plant halfway around the world in Poland.
@PELEGON1
@PELEGON1 Жыл бұрын
In the future Poland will surpass Germany, backed by the Baltics, Belarus, Romania, Moldova, Georgia, and Ukraine. Watch and wait.
@samasoku
@samasoku Жыл бұрын
sadly poland has about 0 soft power compared to germany, internationally. so it doesn't matter much.
@IsaiahSmalley
@IsaiahSmalley Жыл бұрын
I appreciate your message of hope atop your information. Very dope.
@barkydogable
@barkydogable Жыл бұрын
Very interesting and straightforward with available information. It would be especially interesting to hear how other nations benefited from the conflict. What with the contributions of aid and hardware from other nations as well as those that saw preferential energy deals. In time many truths come to light.
@juandelgado7873
@juandelgado7873 Жыл бұрын
I like your analysis
@alej2297
@alej2297 Жыл бұрын
Really looking forward to the final battle of this war against Calamity Putin.
@andrewstevenson9594
@andrewstevenson9594 Жыл бұрын
Fascinating insights. Thankyou.
@scotthazelton519
@scotthazelton519 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing
@user-cj2cx9up1d
@user-cj2cx9up1d Жыл бұрын
Very helpful analysis, thank you. One further nuance I think that plays into the PMC development is that oligarchs are preparing for a post-Putin Russia, with even the threat of civil war. How better can oligarchs defend their riches and be power brokers than to build their own PMC. These PMCs may be loyal to Putin today, but not after he goes, and that could be anytime.
@ZZKJ396
@ZZKJ396 Жыл бұрын
#whereszelensky Hes on the TV behind the crowd at 8:50
@onikavelka
@onikavelka Жыл бұрын
Steven Segall Is also in that frame
@dereksollows9783
@dereksollows9783 Жыл бұрын
Excellent work as usual. I save your presentations for my quiet times to avoid distraction. I love the "trash panda" association with that Russian paratroop unit. Definitely an addition to human culture.
@jakubklein
@jakubklein Жыл бұрын
Great and very interesting analysis, thanks!
@drew2276
@drew2276 Жыл бұрын
I think the most important takeaway here was that the phantom hourglass was a great Zelda game! :)
@Gametheory101
@Gametheory101 Жыл бұрын
I’m in the middle of my first play through of it. I’ve enjoyed the dungeon design. Hoping to finish the game on Wednesday.
@drew2276
@drew2276 Жыл бұрын
I've been a life long Zelda fan and wind waker holds a special place in my heart. Cheers!
@victorhugofranciscon7899
@victorhugofranciscon7899 Жыл бұрын
​@@Gametheory101 that explains all of the Zelda references in the video
@agnarrenolen1336
@agnarrenolen1336 Жыл бұрын
There was a forth option on how to send conscript soldiers into the special military operation: simply annex the four regions into the Russian constitution, and voila…
@jeffcool9769
@jeffcool9769 Жыл бұрын
Silliness is a gift we all need now and then, thanks for that.
@mariaantoniettapelo4028
@mariaantoniettapelo4028 Жыл бұрын
Very interesting Point of view. Thank you for your job👍🏻
@jplabs456
@jplabs456 Жыл бұрын
Damn it he snuck in a line on a map somehow. There's no stopping him
@Paulicz
@Paulicz Жыл бұрын
:D:D:D
@thek3317
@thek3317 Жыл бұрын
16:58 binocular man spotted right side of the screen on the green roof with the tri force of courage
@DonLuc23
@DonLuc23 Жыл бұрын
Thank you, gives me a better understanding.
@arditpapa7963
@arditpapa7963 11 ай бұрын
Very professional. Great comments. Respect
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