Is Ukraine Outmaneuvering Russia? Inside the Great Kursk Dance

Рет қаралды 798,025

William Spaniel

Күн бұрын

Пікірлер: 1 100

@jadencheeks2612 Ай бұрын

Oooo! Those additional info blocks are slick

@-Timur1214 Ай бұрын

Its a Professor what do you expect 😉 🐦

@jjthefish446 Ай бұрын

Lines and blocks on maps!!!

@31redorange08 Ай бұрын

They are trash. You have to stop the video to read them.

@control88able Ай бұрын

@@31redorange08 You mean I have to exert some minimal effort to read optional passages that aren't essential to the video? Holy shit. Pack it up guys, this channel is all downhill from here.

@stonem0013 Ай бұрын

@@31redorange08lol you clown

@TheLostScout Ай бұрын

The great Kursk dance of 2024

@concept5631 Ай бұрын

Second Battle of Kursk. 81 years in the making.

@SaikoEU Ай бұрын

"The Kurks Dance" sounds like it is a good title for a war movie in 50 years

@ReySchultz121 Ай бұрын

Dance of The Sugar Kursk Fairy

@termonostruman 29 күн бұрын

"Russia forces NATO Military to retreat from Kursks..."

@NikolayBychkovRus 28 күн бұрын

Yep. The dance is good.

@commandertaco1762 Ай бұрын

"Encirclement does not mean defeat" Hoi4 players: "NUH UH"

@dulguunjargal1199 Ай бұрын

"PIN THEM PIN THEM *Hyena Noises* "

@Adonnus100 Ай бұрын

Well in WW2 it usually did mean defeat. Even in cases like Korsun-Cherkasy Pocket where the Germans escaped, many of them still died on the way and lost their equipment

@lebawsski Ай бұрын

I meaaaaan if you fly supply's in...

@katebarrios6704 Ай бұрын

@@dulguunjargal1199 Pin them alta! Joe Biden! Pin them!

@vic5015 Ай бұрын

No, but it's bad. Really bad.

@mattlinden-jones1265 Ай бұрын

There's a dimension I think you're missing to this... literally. The Ukrainians hold all the higher ground. The push from the west into the flank of the Ukrainian main saliant was into a cut of low ground flanked by Ukrainian positions on higher ground and was a pointless waste. Whilst the small push in from the border when they opened the riverside corridor pushed perfectly to the extent of higher ground there. This reads to me like a the Ukrainian command structure in the area studied this land for months and the Russians are being toyed-with. Worse for the Russian command in the area is that they can't ask for more resources to overwhelm the Ukrainians and they cannot take the fall-back scenario back to Putin. So they're going to continue trying to wrestle with Ukrainians who're dictating all the terms.

@DoloresJNurss Ай бұрын

Wow--I completely missed that! Rivers make valleys. I wasn't paying attention to the most basic strategic principle: take the high ground.

@amonamarth6616 Ай бұрын

Owow the Russians know their own land! You believe to much western propaganda! They let you believe everything is ok for Ukraine and the Russians are the clowns,... Reality is that Ukraine is not getting any land back and this little peace of kursk is only a men and material slurper for Ukraine

@taylor_strand Ай бұрын

@@chrisdupreez6281 If you are so knowledgeable about this subject, then create your own videos about it and stop complaining. Why are you even wasting your time on channels with what you call "fake news." These are rhetorical questions and I'm just calling you out on your BS.

@myonline1985 Ай бұрын

@@DoloresJNurss Actually, valleys make rivers, rivers make deeper valleys

@kompatybilijny9348 Ай бұрын

@@chrisdupreez6281 Collapsing day by day??? Are we looking at the same map? Or maybe KZbin is interdimenshiona?

@Toonrick12 Ай бұрын

I think a reason that Russia is going to hard into Kursk is because it's political importance. No, not like Moscow or St Petersburg, but in a matter of historical mythos. The battle of Kursk is ingrained in the Russian mythos as the battle where the Soviets started to win over the Germans in WWII. Remember, Russia propaganda often compares Ukrainians to Nazis. If Ukraine wins, they would not only deal a heavy blow to the morale of the country, but to its ego as well. Imagine if someone invaded America and won in Yorktown. It would be super depressing to write that a Historical W turns into a Modern L.

@neurofiedyamato8763 Ай бұрын

Yea, there's a no end to the comparisons between modern Kursk and WW2 Kursk. It's more than just Russian territories. It is famous for being the largest tank battle, and Germany's last major offensive in the Eastern front. It was as important as Stalingrad.

@Mrwutevah Ай бұрын

This is naïve thinking imo. No general worth their name will let historical happenstance dictate the strategy of a conflict. This is the same kind of thinking that resulted in the belief Russia would launch some grand assault on Victory day of 2023, and it just didn't happen. Now, there is a political importance to Russia in reclaiming the lost land, but that is more due to the simple fact it is part of Russia proper, unlike the taken and lost areas of Ukraine, which are easier to explain away to the Russian public.

@dallysinghson5569 Ай бұрын

@@Mrwutevah Who cares about the general, the driver at the wheel, Putin, will dictate this, and he's obsessed with historical happenstance :D

@supercia1 Ай бұрын

Expect in America if you live in the west of the United States you don’t give a fuck on York town. Russia is different because you have a big country but not that many big cities that are important in the USA the diversification of the population won’t be affected by the fall of York Town. See American perspective is different.

@willmunny9279 Ай бұрын

But Russia is clearly fully committed to the Donbass and across the east. Russian assaults along the front have intensified *not* slowed down. They have not diverted resources to the north. Ukraine's bluff has been called. This much should be obvious by now. The only thing the Kursk offensive achieved was galvanising Russian support for the war.

@saltmerchant749 Ай бұрын

You tell an armoured formation commander that there's a sector of the front with no consolidated lines of defence and space to operate in, they'll get very excited about the prospect of conducting their favourite version of manueuver warfare that they've been fantasy planning since their days in the academy.

@shueyk2320 Ай бұрын

Yeah... for an unimportant backwater potato field

@saltmerchant749 Ай бұрын

@@shueyk2320 Men have bleed and died for seemingly unimportant clods of dirt and rocks for thousands of years, such is the nature of war.

@김익산-z8h 16 күн бұрын

두 바보의 만남은 국가 폭망 부른다. 국민 중 개인적 보복 시작 2025년도 시작 준비 완료. 국가폭망 수준 개인적 매일 잠수 폭파 예정 입니다. 국가가 다 모르쇠 한다면 모두 비밀리 폭파 해보고 싶다. 간단한 방법 존재!! 더 이상 문제시 개인적 보복 대기중. 원래 죽어야 복종하는 바보들 입니다. Встреча двух идиотов приводит к национальному краху. Персональное возмездие среди граждан готово начаться в 2025 году. Я планирую взорвать свой личный ежедневный дайвинг на уровне национального взрыва. Если страна не знает, я хотел бы тайно все это взорвать. Есть простой способ!! Если возникнут еще какие-либо проблемы, ждет личное возмездие. Они глупцы, которым приходится умереть, чтобы повиноваться. A meeting of two idiots leads to a national collapse. Personal retribution among citizens is ready to begin in 2025. I plan to blow up my personal daily diving at the level of a national explosion. If the country does not know, I would like to secretly blow it all up. There is an easy way!! If any more problems arise, personal retribution awaits. They are fools who have to die to obey. Зустріч двох ідіотів призводить до національного краху. Персональна відплата серед громадян готова розпочатися у 2025 році. Я планую висадити свій власний щоденний дайвінг на рівні національного вибуху. Якщо країна не знає, я хотів би таємно все це підірвати. Є простий спосіб! Якщо виникнуть ще якісь проблеми, чекає особиста відплата. Вони дурні, яким доводиться померти, щоб слухатися.

@ryanramey9673 Ай бұрын

Great stuff sir! Makes my lunch breaks worthwhile!!!!

@Dave5843-d9m Ай бұрын

The Kursk break dance.

@siddharthkr4816 Ай бұрын

Stop Gaza war

@김익산-z8h 16 күн бұрын

@BWBDCan Ай бұрын

You explain the reason why things are good or bad ideas/ decisions made in war, better than tv networks that have had many wars, any teacher I ever had as well. Keep up the great work.

@ryelor123 Ай бұрын

TV is meant to make money either from advertisers or from donations like in the case of PBS. Its not financially intelligent for them to be honest. Every news story needs to catch the attention and mess with the emotions of the watchers.

@moseszero3281 Ай бұрын

You didn't mention the CONSTANT ukraine drone attacks on the thin line of supplies along the river. Ukraine seems to prefer any situation where they can reliably attrit russian troops/supplies.

@pantalaemon Ай бұрын

They know that Russia is going to start running out of critical systems in 2025-2026. They've already lost 60-80% of their usable towed artillery (see covert cabal's excellent videos on this), and similar percentages of tanks, SPA, etc. Plus the Russian economy doesn't have the spare capacity to produce nearly as much as the war eats up. Plus the financial and political unsustainability of the war. Ukraine, being politically very much unified in support of the war effort, and being solidly assured of (EU and US) resupply-commitments over the short to medium term, doesn't have this problem. They know they can outlast Russia in a war of attrition as long as the west doesn't abandon them. Which we won't, no matter how much Putin tells himself we will. He can only keep doubling down on a losing hand; and this is a very easy weakness for Ukraine to exploit.

@chriswho12345 Ай бұрын

it makes more sense to instead make a decisive defeat in detail/divide and conquer and use that adv to springboard off, than to just stall when tempo is important to burn supplies and risk being overwhelmed.

@Chickymasala Ай бұрын

@@chriswho12345 ukraine does not have the resources to force a decisive battle atm. That’s just a hard fact. They are fighting heroically, scoring very asymmetrical damage with what they have, but are constrained by resupply rates from the west. We saw what happened early this year when ukraine temporarily ran out of steam post summer offensive: russia broke a number of their fortress towns. They won’t risk their reserves again unless something major shifts. So long as russia’s resupply chain is running full steam, Russia can afford to tank major loss after major loss because the replacements come tomorrow. Hypothetically, russia could pause all offensive actions with ukraine for 6 months to 1 year, cede whatever small attritional losses to ukraine while they rebuild a critical mass, then counterattack under a sea of fresh and fully armed troops. That would actually be the smart plan long term, but corruption, mismanagement and putin’s face saving thankfully will not allow it. As long as russia is still regenerating at its current rate, ukraine will likely fail any big offensive by simply running out of ammo before russia runs out of meat to throw. So ukraine has to wait until the russian regeneration rate has fallen to the point that the ukrainian reserves WOULD BE enough to break the back of the army at least in a localized front, before trying any major attack

@karnewarrior Ай бұрын

Trying to beat Russia in a war of Attrition seems like a really weird strategy, but it also oddly seems to be working. Hope Ukraine continues having luck with this.

@ВашместныйагентКГБ Ай бұрын

@pantalaemon I'm not sure about the war of attrition victory, as Ukraine has their own manpower problems but you are correct in Russian econmic and logistical problems in the war.

@FreeRojava2025 Ай бұрын

Last time I was this early Russia was the most powerful country in Russia

@krisfrederick5001 Ай бұрын

And the Black Sea

@michaelmadsen3696 Ай бұрын

Because? @@abhisekhkumar4948

@Dave5843-d9m Ай бұрын

Ukraine simply has to keep embarrassing Putin. To date, they are doing a great job of exposing Putin as incompetent

@abhisekhkumar4948 Ай бұрын

@@krisfrederick5001Ukraine can't keep up for long.

@Juho-uf8si Ай бұрын

@@abhisekhkumar4948 thats what everyone said back in 2022

@neoieo5832 Ай бұрын

all these encirclements make my head spin

@thisherehandleIdospout Ай бұрын

Combat on the Eastern Front is not for you then, comrade =p

@NikolayBychkovRus 28 күн бұрын

Just don't mind about them. Anyway simple truth will be clear in few months

@Mechanical_Turk Ай бұрын

God, this is playing out like a Go late game. Right from the start, when brilliant generals debated whether to call it an incursion, an invasion, or whatever else, I kept yelling at the screen: Gamers know what this is, it's called a Base Race.

@pantalaemon Ай бұрын

Pls explain

@AnonD38 Ай бұрын

@@pantalaemon lol brainrot

@dojelnotmyrealname4018 Ай бұрын

I don't know what he's talking about, but usually a base race is when two opposing sides are in each other's base trying to achieve the win condition first (usually breaking something).

@sebastiansandvik825 Ай бұрын

@@pantalaemon Imagine a strategy game like Starcraft or Age of Empires, or MOBA like Dota or League of Legends. Two teams competing to destroy each others bases. Often you find some front line, and try to beat the other team by strategic units, moves or attrition. Sometimes the game becomes a base race, where both sides rush to the other side, avoiding enemy forces, in order to reach and often destroy an objective (the other main base), which is necessary for the enemy to keep playing (producing resources, troops etc). Essentially rushing to the strategically vulnerable point, hoping that you reach your objective before the enemy reaches your vulnerable point.

@youkofoxy Ай бұрын

@@sebastiansandvik825 If is base race like league of leagues is a all out gamble.

@ryangrey Ай бұрын

This channel is so good, as soon as I see a new video posted I immediately watch it.

@aaronkiefer-he1jl Ай бұрын

same here

@loganclements4332 Ай бұрын

This is the best video you have ever created because it makes it so clear what is happening in such a complicated situation.

@johnm7267 Ай бұрын

You believe anything

@nick.v.g Ай бұрын

thanks for the informative video william was good information to digest while digesting my dinner

@krisfrederick5001 Ай бұрын

"Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee. Your hands can't hit what your eyes can't see" -Muhammad Ali 💙💛

@jebes909090 Ай бұрын

"I cant move because i got beat up too much" also muhjammed ali

@commandertaco1762 Ай бұрын

@@krisfrederick5001 blind people:

@iambicpentakill971 Ай бұрын

"Float like a float box, sting like an automatic stinging machine." - Bender the Offender

@USSR_new Ай бұрын

Мухамед Али боролся против россизма. А Украина за россизм

@OdyTypeR Ай бұрын

Linedances on maps?

@rrrrrrrrreeerrrrtyuii Ай бұрын

The Hitler Youth is being revived in Ukraine After numerous school camps like "Azovets", the Ukrainian government has finally decided to officially create an analogue of the Hitler Youth. The ultra-nationalist organization "National Corps" plans to create an educational center for young people in occupied Kherson. Naturally, its main activity will be ideological education and NVP courses for high school and university students. It is supervised by no less "worthy" representatives of Ukrainian independence: SBU agent and former racketeer Ivan Starostenko and former member of the Right Sector Nikita Tyutyunnik. The location of the center being created is also surprising. The headquarters will be in Kherson and is generally focused on this region, which at first glance seems illogical. After all, there are more Bandera fanatics in the west of the country, and it would be more logical to create such a center somewhere in Lviv. However, Kherson, like Odessa, has always been considered a pro-Russian city, so the Azovites*, who were invited to teach the youth, will be able to both control the local population and educate future successors. But then the local authorities entered the fray and staged a showdown typical for country-404. They do not like the idea of sharing the trough with the military, so various activists are trying to replace the current Gauleiter of occupied Kherson. *a terrorist organization banned in Russia VES.RF | Subscribe

@juliusmatijosius2219 Ай бұрын

You, sir, are a genius!

@SuhaybSuhayb-sc2po Ай бұрын

I remember when people thought russia could steamroll NATO lol

@darnit1944 Ай бұрын

In 2017 or 2018, i forgot, there is a National Interest article saying that in a war game, Russia would steamroll through NATO and reached Warsaw in 1-2 weeks. This was made to criticize the lack of readiness and defense spending of major NATO allies like Germany and Britain at the time. Gee... People in the 2010s were really buying into the Russian superiority myth huh?

@-Timur1214 Ай бұрын

While my german Chancellor visited Kacachstan or so, the Pesident officially said "It's evident that russia's military is unbeatable" into Olaf Scholzes face.. bruh I don't even know whether he is horribly misinformed as a president of a country or just a puppet from Moskau

@-Timur1214 Ай бұрын

@@darnit1944 yea they all thought "Yay no more UDSSR! The new system must be as good as us and truthful, what? they say they have the best and most tanks in the world? fuck man we already lost"

@kontrollierteschaos4068 Ай бұрын

It never was Ukraine alone, it always was Ukraine with its Western masters. Consindering that, Russians are not doing so badly.

@SuhaybSuhayb-sc2po Ай бұрын

@@kontrollierteschaos4068 people thought Russia would steamroll Ukraine easily

@FilmFactry Ай бұрын

This really is big boy chess.

@SianaGearz Ай бұрын

@@FilmFactry looks like Othelo or Go to me.

@the_mad_fool Ай бұрын

@@SianaGearz Definitely Go. The principles of encirclement, and how they're affected by impassable terrain, are all very Go.

@winsontam6334 Ай бұрын

Definitely more like go on the 2 Line

@skarhabekgreyrukh8601 Ай бұрын

The thumbnail itself say Ukraine will face terrible lose. are they even sure?

@blazunlimited Ай бұрын

Maneuver is by far the biggest reason for the Kursk incursion. Ukraine has become confident that they are good at combined arms maneuver combat. Russia is not.

@sirsmeal3192 Ай бұрын

The used NATO combined arms tactics and operational methods minus the air support. They rotated battalions in and out to give whole brigades experience without risking exhaustion. They rotated entire brigades in to do the same. Even the 47th Separate Mechanized Brigade had a stint there, losing Bradleys and Abrams.

@craigkdillon Ай бұрын

Agreed. Static front combat favors Russia. Maneuver and movement favors Ukraine. Another option for Ukraine is to expand the salient to the East, as Russia focuses on the West portion. The more conflicting decisions Ukraine can force on Russia, the better.

@willmunny9279 Ай бұрын

I don't understand what combined arms manoeuvre combat is supposed to mean? When combined arms first appeared at Amiens in WW1 it lead to the collapse of German lines and consistent advances over a period of 2 months. This is nothing of the sort. And it has not slowed Russian advances in the east which is Ukraine's biggest problem.

@craigkdillon Ай бұрын

@@willmunny9279 Combined Arms changes with the tech, I believe. In WW1, it was about artillery, infantry, and machine guns. In WW2, it was about tanks & infantry. In Viet Nam, it was about infantry & helicopters. Now, in Ukraine, I think it must be about infantry+tanks+IFV's+helicopters+drones. And maybe satellite intel too. It is more complicated now, I think.

@willmunny9279 Ай бұрын

@@craigkdillonCombined arms in WW1 was tanks, infantry and arty. My point was that the term "combined arms manoeuvre combat" doesn't mean anything. Also looking at the bigger picture Ukraine has not captured or destroyed significant men or materiel, or land or settlements of consequence. Yet its assaulting units were the cream of its armed forces. The nonsense in this video and comments seem like a desperate attempt to convince people and themselves of a different reality. The reality that Ukraine is in utterly dire straights across the east.

@Geoff-m7j Ай бұрын

Once again William your analysis explained with such clarity is what I look forward to most for Ukraine updates.

@friendlyskies3109 Ай бұрын

Thanks for the simple clear graphics!

@frankgulla2335 Ай бұрын

Thank you, William for this quick update that is not being covered by anyone else.

@francissantos7448 Ай бұрын

Thank you for the perspectives.

@dexg2670 Ай бұрын

Thanks for all you do! Can’t wait for the next update.

@MikeLamb-hj7ys Ай бұрын

Great explanation with excellent graphics as always. A ' Must Watch' channel for anyone into the subject.

@JeffWok Ай бұрын

William Spaniel ! You are killing it. I watch your channel for meaningful real info and your updates have been great. Keep up the good work.

@orktv4673 Ай бұрын

It's like a game of Go!

@xantiom Ай бұрын

Go is a strategic game that simulates a war the whole war theater. Chess is tactical game, focused on a battlefield.

@LucasDimoveo Ай бұрын

I hadn't thought of that, but yeah, you are right!

@skarhabekgreyrukh8601 Ай бұрын

but unlike Go, what if happen if the russia intentionally leave near river area? then focus on the eastern side to encircle ukraine from south?

@williamgoss4691 Ай бұрын

A comprehensive breakdown of Ukrainian & Russian strategies in Kursk; very interesting … Thks !!

@ZiggyBoon Ай бұрын

This reminds me of the East Asian game of Go; how to surround your enemy while your enemy is simultaneously trying to do the same.

@iancotham Ай бұрын

I like these "Pop up video" style info boxes that appear. Good addition.

@MagnumInnominandum Ай бұрын

Nice work. Thank you.

@theconqueringram5295 Ай бұрын

One thing the war taught me is you can never expect the unexpected.

@Emanon... Ай бұрын

Have you actually been in the service, or are you typing this out from the comfort of your mom's basement, all covered in Cheeto dust?

@seanmchugh3476 Ай бұрын

By far, the clearest presentation of the territorial contest that I have seen. It's a keeper.

@marlenfras5490 Ай бұрын

Good reporting. Thank you. Strong Ukraine. Strong NATO. Strong Poland.

@katyelder.5 Ай бұрын

Thanks So Much for explaining the tactics used by both armies. 👍

@laurynasjagelo5075 Ай бұрын

Fun fact: if you speed up the presentation to 1.25, you unlock 'the normal talk'

@danielbruh196 Ай бұрын

Holy shit this is 100x better ty

@legaspichristiani5694 Ай бұрын

😂

@JohnSmith-zn5nw Ай бұрын

I prefer to smoke a joint, slow my ears down to his speed.

@Vercingetorix525 Ай бұрын

Great video as always William

@Banexay Ай бұрын

will you be covering the pager attack in lebanon? its a complex topic that seems uniquely viable for some sort of game theory analysis

@infostudy101 Ай бұрын

Tell me how this relates to game theory. I think closer to terrorism to be honest.

@neuromancer692 Ай бұрын

@@infostudy101*anti-terrorism

@Banexay Ай бұрын

@@infostudy101 you understand that terrorists’ actions can be analyzed through game theory models, right?

@infostudy101 Ай бұрын

@@Banexay Well, I asked you to explain why it constitutes game theory. There are wider implications concerning history, moral action, and international law, etc.

@Banexay Ай бұрын

@@infostudy101 you implied that there is a strict separation between things that relate to game theory and terrorism. obviously there are broader implications in terms of history and international law, which is why im asking about game theory in the comments of a channel originally called “gametheory101”. stop acting like a fucking moron.

@aliasalias8433 Ай бұрын

Das hatte ich 2022 nicht auf der Bingokarte

@SianaGearz Ай бұрын

@@aliasalias8433 why not? It was pretty obvious the actual country border was less well defended than the front line.

@Timo0469 Ай бұрын

Dito!

@4DCResinSmoker Ай бұрын

Loved the analysis.

@ShardtheWolf Ай бұрын

I can't help but be reminded of playing Go. The way an encirclement can be reversed by an additional flanking attack

@lajoyalobos2009 Ай бұрын

Pushing along the river also creates a longer gauntlet for Russian supplies to have to run through. All of it would be in easy artillery range, especially since the area Ukraine occupies is the high ground in the region. This is very consistent with a theme in Ukrainian strategy since the early days of the war: stretching Russian supply lines over time taking priority over quick and short victories. This has an effect of creating a lot of damage to the Russian war machine over time, rather than a small portion damaged in a quick burst.

@ivanbadaev6621 Ай бұрын

You're missing the fact that Ukraine's lines are getting just the same with this push north. Moreover, Russia has air support and superior drone numbers. If anything this situation favours Russia more

@thomasscullion9449 Ай бұрын

i dont listen to any news channels about Ukraine war i subscribe to William to find my updates thankyou

@Fannystark007 Ай бұрын

Tbh every mainstream media is bs these days

@Sugarmountaincondo Ай бұрын

Part of the delays in AFU Forces advancing include anti-drone protection and artillery support, but most importantly they want to see more combat Ready forces withdrawn from the Donbass region to be redeployed to Kursk Oblast and that still gives them 2-weeks to prepare for their next move before said reinforcements arrive.

@garrettstickel1189 Ай бұрын

pretty sure they be falling back in most places

@Telecoma-xy7xr Ай бұрын

Thank you, short and precise.

@thepax2621 Ай бұрын

The Pontoon bridges were quickly destroyed... Are those really feasible in times of drone warfare?

@Dave5843-d9m Ай бұрын

The river is especially convoluted with wide boggy areas. Where you might get a bridge across there’s no solid land to get to/from said bridge. Then the enemy sinks it.

@neurofiedyamato8763 Ай бұрын

Pontoon bridges needs to be protected. They were also vulnerable to traditional air attacks by planes. They are also meant as a temporary or auxiliary measure to the main bridge. Otherwise, it's just to get a specific unit across, not as a long term supply route. For short term until a permanent bridge is secured is fine however. Issue for the Russians is, they don't have a main bridge to rely on and they don't want to or can't withdraw in time before the pontoons are hit. The latter mainly stems from the lack of effective drone defense. They should probably set up jammers, smoke, and some SHORAD systems and HMGs to cover the crossing until they can evacuate. Evacuating will minimize the time a pontoon bridge needs to be defended as it can be disassembled afterwards. Trying to defend the pontoon long term to supply the forces in the pocket is a questionable endeavor at best and suicidal at worst. But at the moment they seem to want to try and relieve or breakout from the pocket through a land route instead.

@hungrymusicwolf Ай бұрын

@@neurofiedyamato8763 The difference between being vulnerable to airplanes and drones is that you can avoid the limited amount of airplanes by being sneaky, you can't sneak through drones owned by nearly every damn soldier in the army (or at least a significant portion of it). There's simply too many. Planes have downtime and large expenditure, drones have little downtime and very little expenditure.

@sirsmeal3192 Ай бұрын

Yes, but only when supported by AA and troops.

@patricknicklaus9536 Ай бұрын

Awesome as always!! i just wish i could stop yelling "lines on maps! lines on maps!!" when i get the alert for a new video :p

@pixelprincess9 Ай бұрын

I never thought my 4k hours in Hearts of Iron 4 would translate to actual military strategy with salients and encirclements.

@AldrinAlbano Ай бұрын

I always nod my head in agreement to your analysis, William, while also giving me the snickers when you shamelessly plug your books. Keep up the great timely analysis!!

@JayMaverick Ай бұрын

Maneuver warfare is how Finland beat Russia back in the 1950s. They couldn't counter a mobile and rapidly adapting army. I'm happy to hear they haven't learned anything in 80 years.

@nenavujicin7882 Ай бұрын

It was The Soviet Union, not Russia.

@nicholasgutierrez9940 Ай бұрын

Finland lost the Winter War though. And the Continuation war. People tend to ignore that.

@warman1944 Ай бұрын

1950s? Are you sure about that?

@murrayhill9000 Ай бұрын

@@nicholasgutierrez9940 They weren't defeated and occupied. They did lose some territory but it was ultimately a standoff.

@609_uu_xD Ай бұрын

@@nicholasgutierrez9940 Technically yes, but Finland won their freedom. And especially Winter War was for Soviet Union at best Phyrric Victory, just like Ukraine War will be (if Russia wins).

@Behemoth138 Ай бұрын

Great stuff as always

@DonaldAtherton-l7u Ай бұрын

Very good explanation

@spacemax8896 Ай бұрын

Even if I didn't like the video I would have liked it because you gave me the option to "safely" skip ahead, which is not good for you with the YT algorithm AND I watched anyway. I'm glad I did because I learned a lot more than I had gotten from the news or other YT channels about this. YOU ROCK !! Thanks. I might even have to subscribe. 🙂

@aymenyahyaoui1771 Ай бұрын

Losing 250 skm² in 6 days is no outmanoeuvering when also they still pushing on other fronts

@metalsonn Ай бұрын

😆

@denverflatpackjedithornton Ай бұрын

I thought I hadn't seen this video and yet when I replayed it I realised I had but I was incredibly bored by it which is the first time William. Sorry but that's the truth love your work. honestly love it

@GlimpseMaster Ай бұрын

For me, not the same reaction at all - found this really positive and reliable analysis as usual. Hope you're sailing high again for more recent ones!

@mmitak Ай бұрын

Wow, I am amazed at the amount of russian trolls commenting. You're doing something right thats for sure. Thank you, mr. Spaniel, for your fantastic content, its always a treat.

@Mad_Dog_of_the_Regime Ай бұрын

If a lot of people would tell you that eating poop is not good for you, would you call them all russian trolls as well? 😂

@mikefallwell1301 Ай бұрын

@@Mad_Dog_of_the_RegimeRussians seem to have developed a taste for poop

@vez3834 Ай бұрын

@@Mad_Dog_of_the_Regime So I guess you are an idiot?

@RepublicaSindicalista_doBrasil Ай бұрын

It's nice to see Russia tampering with American politics.

@GizzyDillespee Ай бұрын

Thanks. The conclusions in this video make more sense to me than those in the previous upload. I liked the topic and scope of that one - it was just some of the analysis that I disagreed with.

@slepeckymamut9960 Ай бұрын

Kursk offensive explained for GO players

@Empathetik Ай бұрын

I know it may be insensitive of me to say, but it's fascinating watching this. It's like a real-world game of chess.

@FrancisFjordCupola Ай бұрын

As Ukraine would probably want to attrition Russia, Russia would have to be lured out to invest time, resources, manpower and so on on endeavors not really worth it. That means giving Russia the room to do so. Giving Russia the illusion it would be good for them to do so. Which gives Russia good headlines at first. Land area is not the important thing for Ukraine.

@Svarog0815 Ай бұрын

Attrition... We would have to boost our support xxxx times for that. One thing ppl forget is that ukrains population before the war was around 40 million now its only 23-25 million (the numbers vary). These ppl wont ever go back since they arrived in safe countries with better living standards. They dont hunt and shoot at their men trying to cross the border without a reason. Ukraine may not run out of material if we keep up the help but they will run out of soldiers. Even now less soldiers mean less tanks operated, less artilleries operated, less .... you get my point.

@limestonelizard Ай бұрын

This is the summary I have been hoping for. Thank you!!!

@boringmanager9559 Ай бұрын

this ages like milk

@tonicalloway7227 Ай бұрын

This is a good piece..

@mitchelldean5397 Ай бұрын

This is such a good video

@frisedel Ай бұрын

I love your sales pitch at the end of all your vids

@davidellis4084 Ай бұрын

You need to look at a terrain map. The Ukrainians fell back to the high ground and are staring down at the only highway that can be used to supply the western portion of this area. This may even have been a deliberate strategy to try to set up artillery and missile ambushes. This is not a perfect situation, but I think Ukraine still holds an advantage in the region.

@mezjean5966 Ай бұрын

Tactically maybe they have a slight advantage at the moment. strategically no real potential to speak of.

@louisavonweiler6594 Ай бұрын

Excellent presentation. Even I understood the conundrum 😉

@kman9884 Ай бұрын

Something that is rarely mentioned is that with all the western aid, Ukraine also gets the benefit of correspondence with American military officials. Getting all the benefit of our satellite imagery ands subsequent intelligence it provides, without needing to support that infrastructure

@RudolphoAqui Ай бұрын

Very informative thank you, excellent map graphics

@janlindtner305 Ай бұрын

Længe leve Ukraine🍀❤👍

@alcbaz Ай бұрын

William, great videos, please can you do one on the technology being employed by Russia and any innovations they’re employing to counter Ukr defences.

@tylerbryanhead Ай бұрын

Ukraine has lost more land in other regions than it took while it has been in kursk.

@flyingisaac2186 Ай бұрын

Lost a greater quantity of land than taken in Kursk? That's obviously false. It's only true in the sense that a village extra or so was lost in the east.

@tylerbryanhead Ай бұрын

@@flyingisaac2186 Ukraine has been steadily losing ground for months man. That's the whole reason for this push into Russia, hoping to pull troops away to stall further advances. It's failed in doing that. Russia is still gaining ground, and that rate increased since the Kursk offensive. I prefer to take a more nuanced and neutral view as opposed to "country I don't like took ground, I'm going to pretend it didn't happen."

@dirtyann Ай бұрын

@@tylerbryanhead poeple seem to forget that Kursk probably is a good thing for Russia, Small amount of forces needed to fuck around with Ukrainians in some fields and woods while the real bulk of the advancements and troops have an easier time in Donbass taking real strategical land like cities... But it's easier to say that they are stupid and ill equipped, but on the ground, the reality shows otherwise. Poeple seem to think that if an army doesnt advance 20km a day they are inept...guys theres thousands of drones flying and satellites looking in every nook and crany that there are, it's normal that the speed is slower, but it is steady, and that it what counts. The sooner poeple will realize it, the sooner this fucking bloodbath will see an end, cause in the meantime, it's the Ukrainian mens that are suffering and dying so some poeple can get richer...

@wojomojo Ай бұрын

Thanks for these great videos. Not sure why, but there is consistently an extra space character in your captions. Not a big issue, just letting you know.

@jacklin4029 Ай бұрын

I don't know what you mean by the encircled Russians in the center. Not heard news of that anywhere.

@nobodyherepal3292 Ай бұрын

The Russians there belong to the 810th naval infantry, and thanks to the Ukrainians destroying the bridges there, there basically now surrounded by UAF forces on Both sides of the border

@elizabeththornton-yk3vm Ай бұрын

Excellent! Thanks so much

@christophermorse6038 6 күн бұрын

Good job as always,William. Thank you! ❤

@GreeneLighte Ай бұрын

Wow, the more I watch this, the more it looks like a game of Go.

@kwanweimengwilliam5448 Ай бұрын

I am thinking of this too!

@claireanddexter Ай бұрын

Again Syrskyi shows his abilities which seem prodigious!

@peterturner6497 Ай бұрын

Delusional American the Ukraine troops are encircled and are being massacred as we speak. You are talking about this like it is some kind of chess game. In a sense it is but remember in all of history there has only been one Yankee who ever became a chess grand champion and he has been dead for years. American backed troops will always lose lose and lose more.

@Т1000-м1и Ай бұрын

A behind the photo section, that's a new one

@5602jerry Ай бұрын

russia still getting their ass kicked by a much smaller country!!!

@legrandfromage6450 Ай бұрын

🥱

@Mr.Funnyman273 Ай бұрын

А теперь покажи в каком месте 🤡🤡🤡

@5602jerry Ай бұрын

@@Mr.Funnyman273 the black sea fleet?? no air power over ukraine!! over 600,000 dead or wounded!!and now they invade russia !you are the real clown

@vv414-u9p Ай бұрын

@@Mr.Funnyman273 Why are zfags so obsessed with Biden XD

@RepublicaSindicalista_doBrasil Ай бұрын

I will make sure to come back here in a couple of years to say the very satisfying "I told you Ukraine would lose!". And then you will say: "Well, Pootin said they would take Kiev in 3 days, it took almost 5 whole years for Ukraine to become a dysfunctioning Russian satellite state. Cope harder, Ruzzia took a very long time to win."

@rogerjohnston9545 Ай бұрын

Are your books available in audio format? And thanks for your ongorning analysis.

@Zimbardoe2012 Ай бұрын

Both sides rolling dice like a D&D game

@sirsmeal3192 Ай бұрын

War is _always_ that way.

@arkanoid77 Ай бұрын

More of these kind of field analysis please! I'd also appreciate theorical tactical and strategic videos maybe using historical battles as examples. I still have to find a good source for stuff like that on the "lighter side" (not academic). Any advice about channells/books are very much appreciated. Thanks!

@edrd6257 Ай бұрын

Doesn't look like a jackpot to me.

@nobodyknows3180 Ай бұрын

Nice recap of the last month.

@randomwarehouse4702 Ай бұрын

What's reconstruction postwar looking like for Russia and Ukraine? Is it more likely that Putin or another dictator holds onto power (and likely becomes more influenced by China) or that he loses power and Russia opens up to the West (likely not with a healthy democracy). More specifically, what will foreign involvement look like? How big of a risk is there of a disastrous privatization and oligarchization like post-1991?

@darnit1944 Ай бұрын

Russia could never be free and democratic. Somebody would have taken over the weapons stockpile and held all the control. Unless there is an occupation government like the ones in Germany post WW2. The French, US, and British were the ones who stabilized west Germany and Soviets stabilized the east Germans.

@demsrchildabusers7959 Ай бұрын

The West has a dastardly plan to force Russia to pay for rebuilding Ukraine - they are going to let Russia take ALL of it! 4-D Chess!

@centercannothold Ай бұрын

Russia have no functioning institution outside of the Intelligence Service and the resource extraction industry. It cursed to be authoritarian by geography.

@NetAnon Ай бұрын

@@darnit1944 I would not say the Soviets stabilized East Germany so much as suppressed and looted manpower and industry.

@neurofiedyamato8763 Ай бұрын

Well Russia is already oligarchized. if it happens again, it's just switching up the seats

@davidsuzukiispolpot Ай бұрын

Great video!

@k-to9to Ай бұрын

What's happening now is a bottomless trap for Russia, where it has to commit even more resources, while Ukraine can employ guerrilla tactics and move swiftly across the area. All experts talk about the strategic city of Pokrovsk (which it isn’t for the UA, it’s operational important) while Ukraine is producing a master minded dilemma for Putin in Kursk. This one is one for the history books.

@skarhabekgreyrukh8601 Ай бұрын

unlike Avdeevka and bakhmut, there is no fortress in Kursk. its bait, but rusky didnt take the bait and keep advancing further in south.

@sharonmontag2389 Ай бұрын

There is a board game called Risk, a war strategy board game that game out years ago.if i recall the territories involved in the game, it was these same areas and involved strategic manuevering to conquer them.

@michaelhenault1444 Ай бұрын

The river will freeze in winter ☃️

@OfficialUKGov Ай бұрын

So the russians have to hold out for 2 whole months

@xkerchx Ай бұрын

Depends on the winter

@par1klegend Ай бұрын

and that they will drive heavy equipment on thin ice?

@par1klegend Ай бұрын

@@OfficialUKGov and that they will drive heavy equipment on thin ice?

@Charles-pf7zy Ай бұрын

@@par1klegend they're gonna go for a nice swim hahahaa

@ryananderson1518 Ай бұрын

I liked it twice because you told me to skip the prelude

@timmommens901 Ай бұрын

Tune in afterwards.👊🇺🇦👍 NAFO 69th Brigade new convoy. 🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦✌🇺🇦🇺🇦🇺🇦

@irenagrant-koch7159 Ай бұрын

Excellent explanation.

@frankjames4743 Ай бұрын

Square Dance

@racoming1035 Ай бұрын

Except the Ukrainians have made no gains in the rear of the Russian counter offensive. All available info suggests they have been pushed back. Ukraine forces in Kursk currently risk encirclement.

@SolveEtCoagula93 Ай бұрын

It's a shame this is outdated. As of 21st Sept there has been significant changes and Ukraine appear to be losing the initiative with Russia not only regaining land but very nearly encircling many Ukrainian personnel. Still, who knows what will happen? War is a strange stage when it comes to dancing.

@venomshot2815 Ай бұрын

Interesting, but i think since ukraine has troops on so many sides it'll capture a much larger salient than now

@isaacdalziel5772 Ай бұрын

It's impressive, but understand that Ukraine need these tactical advantages to overcome a lack of resources. They're outsmarting Russia yes, but they need to outsmart them in order to EQUALIZE the battlefield due to the disparity in troop numbers. To be able to beat them they need more advantages, or to remove some of Russia's advantages in resources