ProtonJon - Gambler's Fallacy: The Game

[@1PressL2P]

So basically if you're doing a coin flip with Jon, let him pick first... You'll be guaranteed to win around 75% of the time

[@PeteOfDawn]

75% of the time win in a 50 50 game ok now I'm just confused

[@middle212]

Sounds about right

[@lucario774pika]

@@PeteOfDawn It means you would win 75 out of 100 flips. Each individual flip is a 50/50 chance.

[@gagejoseph91]

00:21 Attempt #1: Left/Right/Right - Lose/Lose/Lose - 0 wins, 3 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Left 01:03 Attempt #2: Left/Right/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 02:01 Attempt #3: Right/Right/Right - Lose/Lose/Win - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 02:52 Attempt #4: Left/Left/Right - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Left 03:45 Attempt #5: Right/Right - Win/Win - 2 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Right/Right 04:38 Attempt #6: Left/Right/Left - Lose/Win/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Right/Right/Right 05:25 Attempt #7: Left/Right/Right - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 06:00 Attempt #8: Right/Right/Right - Lose/Win/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Left 06:31 Attempt #9: Left/Right/Right - Lose/Lose/Win - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Right 07:02 Attempt #10: Right/Right/Right - Lose/Lose/Win - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 07:33 Attempt #11: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 08:22 Attempt #12: Right/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Right/Right/Right 09:04 Attempt #13: Left/Right/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 10:10 Attempt #14: Left/Right/Right - Win/Lose/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 11:47 Attempt #15: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Left/Right/Left 12:42 Attempt #16: Right/Right/Left - Lose/Win/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 13:55 Attempt #17: Right/Left/Left - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Left 15:13 Attempt #18: Right/Left/Right - Win/Lose/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Right/Right/Right 16:08 Attempt #19: Left/Left/Left - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 16:53 Attempt #20: Left/Right/Right - Lose/Lose/Lose - 0 wins, 3 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Left 17:40 Attempt #21: Left/Left/Left - Lose/Win/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Right/Left/Left 18:27 Attempt #22: Right/Right/Left - Win/Win/Lose - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Right/Right/Right 19:01 Attempt #23: Right/Left/Left - Lose/Win/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 19:40 Attempt #24: Left/Right/Right - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 20:17 Attempt #25: Left/Right/Left - Lose/Lose/Win - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Left 20:58 Attempt #26: Right/Right/Left - Lose/Lose/Win - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 21:30 Attempt #27: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 22:04 Attempt #28: Left/Left/Left - Win/Win/Lose - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 22:39 Attempt #29: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 23:20 Attempt #30: Right/Right/Left - Lose/Win/Win - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Left/Right/Left 23:54 Attempt #31: Right/Left/Right - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Right 24:30 Attempt #32: Right/Left/Left - Lose/Win/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Right 25:18 Attempt #33: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 26:03 Attempt #34: Left/Left/Left - Lose/Win/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Right 26:47 Attempt #35: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 27:26 Attempt #36: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 28:09 Attempt #37: Left/Left - Win/Win - 2 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Left/Left 29:05 Attempt #38: Left/Left/Left - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Right/Right 29:54 Attempt #39: Right/Left/Left - Win/Win/Lose - 2 wins, 1 loss - Correct order: Right/Left/Right 30:30 Attempt #40: Left - Win - 1 win, 0 losses - Correct order: Left 30:57 Attempt #41: Left/Left/Left - Lose/Lose/Lose - 0 wins, 3 losses - Correct order: Right/Right/Right 31:44 Attempt #42: Left/Left/Left - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 32:20 Attempt #43: Left/Left/Left - Win/Win/Win - 3 wins, 0 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 33:12 Attempt #44: Left/Right/Right - Win/Lose/Lose - 1 win, 2 losses - Correct order: Left/Left/Left 34:00 Attempt #45: Left/Right/Left - Lose/Lose/Lose - 0 wins, 3 losses - Correct order: Right/Left/Right End results... Left wins: 43 Left losses: 40 Right wins: 20 Right losses: 27 Meaning... Left wins + right losses = 70 times the bag was in the left bucket Right wins + left losses = 60 times the bag was in the right bucket P.S. I know I'm missing one of the choice outcomes (there should be 131). When counting, I must have forgotten to make a tally one time. There should be 61 times the bag was in the right bucket, but I don't know if that one I missed was a "right win" or a "left loss", and I really don't want to go back and check it all again from scratch lol

[@helix3561]

The one you missed was a right win. You have 64 wins listed but put 63 (left wins + right wins) in the end results.

[@gagejoseph91]

@@helix3561 Gotcha, thanks for that. I won't bother editing the comment since I think that'd be disingenuous of me, and anyone wondering could just see your comment.

[@mr.marbles2325]

Meaning his gain/loss ratio is 64/67!

[@shis1988]

Thing is (and I know this by using save states. Really just to not have to grind) it's impossible to know the specific order because the game rolls per drop, not per choosing the minigame.

[@ClueFinder654]

I took this a step further, I wrote down the difference in each attempt to compile how much Jon won compared to how much he lost. 1) -63 2) -28 3) -47 4) -14 5) +663 6) -16 7) +224 8) -33 9) -24 10) -35 11) -83 12) -41 13) -36 14) +191 15) +211 16) -47 17) +490 18) +116 19) +273 20) -84 21) +172 22) +40 23) +52 24) -21 25) -19 26) -63 27) -48 28) +66 29) -67 30) +74 31) +343 32) -142 33) -40 34) -41 35) -63 36) -36 (the only time this happens) 37) +741 38) -28 39) +61 40) +360 41) -50 42) +588 43) +287 44) -30 45) -80 Jon's Gross Profits: 4952 coins Jon's Losses: 1279 coins Jon's Net Profit: 3673 coins In conclusion, Jon gained more than he lost, in a casino that would actually be really lucky.

[@JustCrazyDK]

33:55 He did have a win-loss ratio of 50-50 here.

[@pichugirl6]

Like how Jon says he'll stop doing this but continues to gamble anyway.

[@DirectorOfChaos9292]

Unless he gets a big payout then he'll leave

[@shis1988]

@@DirectorOfChaos9292 he gambled the Zenisuki money... so no. He just left after the first pull.

[@JJ_R]

In this day and age, the phrase “Don’t believe everything you see on the internet” is starting to die.

[@Anaxisca]

Hey isn't that minigame game where a player in Thrown Controlers got lucky 3 times and made Jon walks the stage? 😯😂😂😂😂😂😂

[@ChibiSkitty19]

Yep. XD

[@ekh.123]

Jon: “There has to be a pattern. There has to be. What is it...?” Also Jon (at the Thrown Controllers panel): “He just picked left three times!” Just brilliant. Lol

[@iAlphafox12]

What year was that hrown controllers when it happened?

[@ekh.123]

Magfest 2019, within the last 30 minutes or so

[@shis1988]

@@ekh.123 Yeah each pick is randomized individually.

[@rigbyrules99]

I mean Jon's luck was worse than a random contestant on thrown controllers and said the famous quote "why is it left every time. Why?!"

[@colossaldonut5190]

Jon tries to game the system so many times and just gives up, it's great

[@TheBrickBasher1996]

...I learned I don’t have a gambling problem, because I’m very bad at gambling...

[@camwoodstock]

ProtonJon should never go to vegas.

[@OhNoBohNo]

A gameboy angers Jon by doing nothing

[@GamermanGreene29]

Don't worry, Jon. Everything's gonna be alright.

[@Zek3nator]

This video can cause physical pain. That’s impressive

[@thedazzlingshell101]

You got to feel ProtonJon’s panic after barely clearing Area 5’s Boss Stage, he was close to ZONKing out at that time

[@Bentron88]

3 years later… still funny as hell

[@AgentG128]

Somehow, flipping the bucket caused the minigame to blue screen...

[@LiveFromtheGraveyard]

I watched this on a road trip and then threw up out of the vehicle's window.

[@Landmasters]

You know what would be cool? If Jon were to dedicate a week to streaming games focused on gambling or games with heavy gambling focus on the side The slots in Dragon Quest XI, PSO2's godforsaken casino, and anything else that will continue to torment his luck

[@wolfmanncsu2000]

I wonder if the clip from Thrown Controllers can be included where the player did the same gambler's fallacy thing.

[@1withthelion]

Get Emile to play

[@purin6792]

Did Jon really think he would have good luck?