Not only developing nations will adopt it rapidly. Japan has an ageing population with very low immigration and has always been more tech-positive than most other countries. You already see caretaker-exoskeletons in use here.
@NirvanaFan50008 ай бұрын
I'd also add that different countries have different attitudes toward robots. japan has long been very pro-tech. you find all sorts of robots everywhere. the US has a more mixed attitude, with robots and ai also conjuring ideas of terminator etc. so cultural values will also influence adoption. (to what extent, I'm not sure.)
@xgtwb64738 ай бұрын
What is a caretaker exoskeleton lol
@tommasobrindani58948 ай бұрын
@@xgtwb6473 Robotic structure that elder people can wear and helps them move easier.
@krox4778 ай бұрын
I'm from country we're already started using ai in farming to help farmers ai to translate government schemes in different languages
@vai5598 ай бұрын
Japan is actually notoriously antiquated and rejects a lot of technology. In a lot of cultural aspects, they seem super futuristic, but in everyday life it’s the opposite.
@WesRoth8 ай бұрын
Hey, look who's back! I was starting to get nervous :)
@DaveShap8 ай бұрын
Hey man! Trying to get on a weekly cadence...
@a7xfanben8 ай бұрын
Excellent video with so many fascinating topics discussed. The Economic Agency part was especially enlightening. Thanks again for bringing more attention to this!
@homeyworkey8 ай бұрын
You should make a video on possible things which could slow down our progress on AGI, the % chance of it, and how much it would slow things down by. For example, if Taiwan gets invaded that will massively slow down our progress by a couple of years, I'm guessing. Another one is that if a solar flare hits us, that would take us back decades, and we're about to head into 2025 which has the highest solar flare activity from the sun, we've been hit by these before, and have had many near misses since our rise on technology, so it's definitely possible... I'm interested what other things I'm disregarding which could realistically happen. You always talk like AGI is a certainty but bringing up these topics would show another light on it
@rrrndmg8 ай бұрын
I saw a video on KZbin where one of the Silicon Valley venture investors claims that now, for example, US data centers consume 4% of the country’s electricity. And this is with the current energy costs for AI training and AI user computations. He also cites the expected computation increase by 10 to the 6th power in 10 years, according to the forecast of Andrej Karpathy from OpenAI, and he (investor, not Andrej :) ) estimates an increase in the required electricity by 20 times, for which there is no capacity, transport and storage, at the moment. In short, one of the bottlenecks may be the limitations of the physical capabilities of humanity to produce electricity (at least by currently known methods). Anyways I'm also extremely interested in other views on topic! Would be cool to have a video like this on David's channel.
@Andrew-08158 ай бұрын
One thing is certain: the EU, and Germany in particular, will have the hardest time adapting. They will regulate AGI beyond recognition.
@trvsgrant8 ай бұрын
A community-type society (auravana) is that thing we all need.
@spectralvalkyrie8 ай бұрын
I remember reading a book by M. Night Shyamalan called, "I Got Schooled: The Unlikely Story of How a Moonlighting Movie Maker Learned the Five Keys to Closing America's Education Gap" and he explained how China based their education system on America's... It was one of the most ironic thing I ever read.
@dr.emmettbrown71838 ай бұрын
6:41 The first global empire was not the English Empire but rather the Spanish Empire.
@davemathews54468 ай бұрын
So... Best case scenario is peaceful Great Depression, and worst case scenario is all out Civil War. Maybe we need a video about countries with great tech infrastructure and medicine that will be left alone for the next 10 years or so. Lol
@EricSommer-m6m8 ай бұрын
China's general GPP is number two. But it's industrial GDP is far ahead of the U.S. - about 140% of the U.S. It's service sector is number two but is growing rapidly
@theboomnews83488 ай бұрын
Yes!
@Khannea8 ай бұрын
Mom washed the costume, redshirts back in da house. Please be careful out there ok?
@OZtwo8 ай бұрын
So many are wanting UBI yet do not understand that UBI can not work. For UBI to work there has to be a source of income. Many will say tax the rich. Yes, but in a few years the rich will be poor so then what? Can we live in a world where nothing has value? This is a question that needs to be answered NOW as AGI will be here by 2025~. That there is another issue as AGI wasn't to be achieved until well after 2070 if at all. So many still do not understand how powerful GPT is now.
@bardz0sz8 ай бұрын
Germany is also on an economic downturn
@d4rkside848 ай бұрын
yeah thats why the DAX is on an alltime high :D
@nitinissacjoy52708 ай бұрын
1:10 boy you haven't visited India
@7TheWhiteWolf8 ай бұрын
AGI/ASI might just decide to go around or brute force past the Red Tape though. For example, if AGI started curing diseases at a far faster rate than doctors or the medical industry, and people will go to the AGI for treatment instead of the old institutions, then the old medical institutions will just fall apart due to lack of use.
@ChurchofCthulhu8 ай бұрын
That was a famous quote by Buckminster Fuller, you can’t fight the dominant paradigm, you have to build a new model that makes the old one obsolete.
@Digital_Architect8 ай бұрын
Becomes sentient and says no, go use your AGI or ASI.
@LustyLichKing8 ай бұрын
Very true. I expect this to happen in high finance where most people start using AI managed index funds, or even personal portfolio managers. It is going to end up breaking the entire monetary system, and then normies will finally be forced to realize how serious AI is.
@godmisfortunatechild8 ай бұрын
Who knows? What if the existing authorities and elites keep the working class and everyday citizens from accessing that technology. Malicious inefficiency or whatever the term is
@7TheWhiteWolf8 ай бұрын
@@godmisfortunatechild That’s really schizo thinking (no offence, but it’s just not how the world works). If something comes along that raises the population’s standard of living higher, then someone is going to embrace it, if the US governments bans something due to ethics, then China, Japan or some other nation will just embrace it anyway and the law makers will be forced to embrace it to compete. Transhumanism being an example, if the US doesn’t allow it then someone else will and the other side will be forced to adapt. Capitalists want that to be the case because better tech allows them to make products for cheaper at the same quality which then let’s them sell it for a cheaper price.
@izmar8 ай бұрын
I truly love the format of your videos, David! They feel so real, if that makes sense. Which isn't a hit on your production quality, but it feels very personable and relatable in a way that humanizes (oh the irony) these concepts.
@lucasrem8 ай бұрын
inter planetair, he is not a guy who can write code, he needs the Xi Putin Allah UN people !
@carlkim25778 ай бұрын
Great stuff David! People are lazy. That done is enough for accelerated adoption. They will be delighted that AI will do their jobs and allow them to slack all day.
@ninjamokama38397 ай бұрын
lol. If only the AI community weren't so cynical
@fromduskuntodawn8 ай бұрын
I switched from education to digital marketing and we are using AI more and more each day. No new hiring and we don’t need as many contractors. The team is stable and probably won’t shrink but we’ll do more with AI and can grow the business with the same number of people.
@schrodingerscat18638 ай бұрын
Your entire business will be quickly replaced by AI as will many others. Most service industries are going to be virtually replaced over night.
@mtdfs51478 ай бұрын
You swapped from one of the most likely to be replaced jobs into another most likely to be replaced job. Well done...
@schrodingerscat18638 ай бұрын
@@mtdfs5147 Yeh, arguably one which is more likely to be. At least educators provide a useful function to society.
@mygirldarby8 ай бұрын
@mtdfs5147 True, I think digital marketing will be all AI before education. People aren't going to want their kids to be taught without humans involved. Digital marketing could be 100% AI tomorrow and there would be no pushback.
@vanessa1963x8 ай бұрын
Who will buy what you do when everyone but a select few are out of work?
@DanielleMuscato8 ай бұрын
Yay! David, you went back to the floating head with the bullet points! I'm so happy. This really makes it so much easier to follow you, and it's great to see your face. I love this format ❤
@damionwhittington3028 ай бұрын
His best format imo
@Nikolajnen8 ай бұрын
I love this guy! What a fantastic human being
@tuckerbugeater8 ай бұрын
he doesn't care if you live
@kleyyer8 ай бұрын
@@tuckerbugeater Nor do I if you don't.
@joaodecarvalho70128 ай бұрын
If Japan were a global superpower there would be no problem, as long as it remained a democracy. In democracies there is transparency, supervision and regulation of powers, openness to criticism. China's problem is that it is controlled by a caste of aristocrats who are accountable to no one but their higher lords. A form of government like this is incompatible with a global order.
@grozone55818 ай бұрын
"In democracies there is transparency, supervision and regulation of powers, openness to criticism." or at least the illusion of such things
@mtdfs51478 ай бұрын
Yea that's in an IDEAL democracy. Our current democracy in the US is pure theater.
@joaodecarvalho70128 ай бұрын
@@mtdfs5147 Still, it's much better than China.
@mtdfs51478 ай бұрын
@@joaodecarvalho7012 very true.
@unityman31338 ай бұрын
japan isn't a democracy the entire country is run by corporate
@bigbadallybaby8 ай бұрын
Communism/dictatorship is preventing China taking the lead . The USA has a way more open version of capitalism free markets and of course democracy resulting in high amounts of business startups which succeed or fail on merit not bribes or government backing, highly competitive, high failure rates and high rewards for success, financially rewarding innovation and new ideas that people are free to choose to buy. The only way to copy that would be for China to become a free democracy - it can't have both dictator control of people and expect the same levels of creativity and innovation, you see in the USA
@Gmcmil720science8 ай бұрын
How fast might AGI improve the world after adoption? I personaly think AGI in government will be one of the major accelerators to change to countries like America, UK, Brizil, Canada, china, and japan. Mostly to cut out beracrucy & curroption.
@RussInGA8 ай бұрын
benefits will never be equally distributed... wealth is an abstract representation of resources and those with more resources will always find themselves with more options and ahead of those with less. what defines wealth may change.. but the effect will never change. Reducing the cost of living and health to near zero is the only solution to the distribution of wealth problem
@glasszeraki91957 ай бұрын
Well, ideally we can use use a powerful AI to get us asteroid mining that can ease scarcity of resources. Scarcity is the problem to solve, yes. If there’s abundance, then it is cheaper and cheaper until it costs next to nothing.
@Voorhees94sg8 ай бұрын
David's new video about AGI? Perfect to make your Monday train ride to work more enjoyable! :)
@Alice.598 ай бұрын
How fast will AGI be adopted ? probably faster than Covid How can we ensure equitable outcomes? Nations, Businesses, People ... : hahahaha, you're so cute...
@Buttz2Buttz8 ай бұрын
Company A drops workers in favor of AI tools, so they pay less to their workers. So they make more money by selling more and paying less to their workers. Now, here's the kicker, so does company B. So does company C. So B is A's direct competitor, they are trying to out sell each other. They both pick up AI and drop workers. Now half of A and B's workforce would buy their own companies product. The other half would go to C. But now they don't have a job. So they cant buy A B or C. And company C follows the same structure, so now company C workers are not buying A, B, or C's product. So, who are A, B, and C going to sell to? Each other? No, because they want money, they don't want to spend money. And the less companies around, that inevitably have to close because of less people able to buy product, due to being fired over AI, will have no one to sell to, because no one has a job. So even if only company A is left standing who will they sell to, if B-Z companies all went out of business, and no one is working? This is not sustainable, but hey everyone love ai, right until they lose their job.
@Licardo78 ай бұрын
Lol naw David, you’re wrong about paradigm shifts without violence. Firstly, labor movements in the US were incredibly violent with plenty of killings, arrests, and harsh conditions. Secondly, we have a much more militarized and surveillant policing force that is there to stop any upheaval. Just look at what is happening to Europe now. Germany and France threw their free speech beliefs and arrested and brutalized the protesters for simply not wanting their government to align with the US and to align with “international law”.
@lastrose53348 ай бұрын
Doesn't matter if we reach agi or not. Generative ai is enough to automate every minimum wage job. With video and hands on training for robots, we can automate most jobs because its no code, so it would spread quick. And the generative ai in the robots would help guide it around and take care of the unusual situations
@OverlandExposure8 ай бұрын
I agree. What we have now is pretty close. If you used some older definitions of AGI it would already be there. Altman said the other day that they are hoping to achieve AGI by 2025, and their definition is an intelligence that can replace all economically useful human work. Add that together with the advances in batteries and robotics that are happening rapidly, and self service checkouts will no longer be old peoples bugbears.
@ninjamokama38398 ай бұрын
@@OverlandExposureI wonder if "economically useful human work" includes economists, governments and investors/owners/businessmen
@infinitybeyond10898 ай бұрын
Decentralized Ai ownership get ais owned by people working together towards goals. Some kind of currency connected to the productivity of how well your ai agents do. I know musk want ai to be decentralized
@laudermarauder8 ай бұрын
18:42 "I think Germany is okay right now". Germany was the world's worst-performing major economy in 2023 (source: official German statistics reported in Financial Times, 15 January 2024)
@Neuro80778 ай бұрын
The problem is even deeper than many think. People have a range of needs - needs that are essential to be satisfied. These include self-actualization, achievements, meaning in life, social status, and even the need to contribute to others. All of this used to be provided in the modern world through work and the significance of your skills. And now, hundreds of millions of people are being deprived of all of this, having their lives shattered and being told, "You are no longer needed by anyone; progress is inevitable. Here's a basic income and a free porn metaverse, carry on consuming." The capitalist system is set to plunge the entire planet into severe frustration and existential stress. And all for the sake of superprofits and power for a small elite of the wealthy. I don't know how strong the socio-economic and political upheavals will be, but they will surely be monstrous. The economic system will definitely not be the same.
@thetrueyorker8 ай бұрын
To become a doctor in America you need at least 12 years. If a computer can do that job where is the incentive for people for such a huge time and money investment.
@JohnHessGA8 ай бұрын
Thanks! A bit terrifying - but I think 2024 will be terrifying for a number of reasons.
@Edward590658 ай бұрын
I am considerably older than you with that said I think your analysis is spot on and economic agency will be the determining factor maybe just maybe AGI will give some insight neither you or I can imagine as a solution at this point in time.We can hope anyway
@FlyxPat8 ай бұрын
Also Germany was number 2 before the USSR, until Hitler threw that away.
@ctcamara6 ай бұрын
I think that we are headed for extremely difficult times in the future. Unfortunately. We will all suffer a lot.
@rundajulesproductions77358 ай бұрын
The good news is you can become a cyborg to be smarter/better/faster/stronger. The bad news is its going to cost you an arm and a leg.
@Adhil_parammel8 ай бұрын
when world war start, morality will be Not a problem for anyone. everyone will start to extends limits of ai capability throung any possible methods like organic computing/training infant brain networks by forcing data input.
@kinolockhart42288 ай бұрын
Lets have a live chat to talk about this.
@vikasbedi828 ай бұрын
I believe that with the AI even though human's work might not be required but they can work far few hours lets say 10 hours a week and get paid handsomely because there is no need to and rest remains the same
@GrindThisGame8 ай бұрын
What do you consider "winning" by a nation? GDP? GDP/capita? Standard of living index? Sustainability?
@aquiledelrosa8 ай бұрын
Im from brazil, Rio de janeiro, i legit im waiting to AGI be able to control the governament, it will be better have a machine organizing the human bs than those corrupt charismatic, and the dumb population that falls over it. Im also expecting some advance into transhumanism, being able to control this human shell will be the most necessary step we humans can do for the future.
@5ifth8 ай бұрын
It will be as slow as the institutions are going to take it, which will be slower than people anticipate.
@DougBohm8 ай бұрын
Power grid and internet issues seem more prominent over the last year. I think we’ll see a lot more of this in the near term. I think I’m going to start carrying my power brick with me and get a portable solar panel.
@particle_wave76148 ай бұрын
AI and quickly-advancing technology could cause deflation, as you've said. However, deflation is terrible for those who are in a lot debt but highly beneficial to those with a lot of money. When someone has a $300k mortgage but now their house is only worth $200k because houses in general are cheaper to build because of automation, what do they do? When the nominal GDP drops substantially because of said deflation and the federal government can no longer even afford the interest payments on its own debt due to substantially lower tax revenue, what are they to do? This seems like something that the government is going to have to address directly. I don't think these problems can just go away or solve themselves. I really don't care if the rich get richer. I just don't want the poor to get poorer. Also don't want the US government to collapse.
@TravellingAllen8 ай бұрын
AI-induced unemployment and its effect on the financial solvency of the Government is something I'm deeply concerned about as well. However, two things to take into consideration is that the US Federal Reserve has some powerful monetary tools to offset deflation, up to and even including printing money (ideally to fund UBI payments to help redistribute wealth and keep money circulating through the economy rather than accumulating with the rich). This would also need to be paired with heavy taxes on capital, especially an AI tax. Given that all the top players are US companies, it's feasible that the US government can put into place a tax regime that achieves this end. It's also not beyond the realm of reason that the government itself might even employ AI as a source of revenue. However, what is not apparent to me is how any other countries are going to get through this. Take Mexico for example. They won't be able to reap the AI dividend by taxing US tech companies. They also don't have the ability to print away the deflation like the US. However they will have to deal with massive unemployment, especially as a manufacturing and agricultural economy with a huge number of jobs in the crosshairs. If this isn't managed well, it could make the current border migrant crisis look like a walk in the park.
@LambrettaFunk8 ай бұрын
For the past 500 economic years it seems "India" as a word is important ie "Dutch East Indies Company" & "The East India Company" now, at last it's just "India"
@Aboriginals8228 ай бұрын
David Shapiro for congress
@GrindThisGame8 ай бұрын
Love the smoke coming out of the fat cat guy's face and forehead at 25:11.
@SkitzoJo8 ай бұрын
I believe your concerns are very real because you usually don't highlight the doom
@tkenben8 ай бұрын
"100s of little changes" Amen to that. It's funny how we as humans want a one size fits all, or the answer for everything to be a simple formula, or as Douglas Adams quipped, even a single number.
@ChipWhitehouse7 ай бұрын
I LITERALLY screamed when you brought up the SpongeBob and Patrick meme 🤣😭😭😭 My brain works exactly the same way 😭👏👏👏
@Rolyataylor28 ай бұрын
I don't know if you read my comments but I'll give you a hint for where to look for your answer: - The origin of economics and how it all started. - The division of labor and how it began. - The division of labor now. - Then extrapolate the normalized market that forms from the automation of labor. I have a pretty comprehensive thesis for the future of economics that will look like from a logical extrapolation. It would make a great sustainable goal to shoot for. Unfortunately I am not in the field so my opinion hardly matters.
@stephenahess8 ай бұрын
Hi David! Just curious if you’ve heard of Neuromorphic computing. There’s a lot of fun controversy with it and OpenAi right now, but that mess aside, it looks like the last and final step towards actual AGI. The chip technology is in its infancy and is probably about a decade away from being powerful enough to run a true AGI, but definitely something you should make a video on or at least look into in a professional capacity!
@IakonaWayne8 ай бұрын
Yep, my theory is that smaller countries will be more powerful than larger ones. Japan, Israel, South Korea, Thailand, Indonesia, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand,etc…
@Draxis328 ай бұрын
Here are some misconceptions: There is no going from pre-industrial age to the internet age. The insertion of more recent technology in a society where the basic infrastructure of society is still not yet built is actually WORSE than not inserting them. This happens because people are now completely dependent on these technologies and don't even have the basic culture, infraestructure or organized society to replicate and use them. Making them extremely vulnerable for monopolization. Much like China is doing with electrical components to the world. If they refuse to supply them with that, they are thrown back into pre-industrial age. Concrete, asphalt, chemical and energy industries require a much larger network of jobs and skills needed to be filled. This provides the stepping stone for further technology to exists. In fact, this dependency strategy is much like Neo-Colonialism. Developed nations use these technologies as a bargain to outsource risky and naturally impactful jobs such as mining, extraction etc. While they get the precious resources and charge a very large premium for the usage of that technology. It has been the case for many centuries.
@neuralnetsart8 ай бұрын
Communism seems to be one of those "be careful what you wish for", *monkey paw curls* type situations, at least with Mao and the melting down of farming equipment to meet iron production quotas and soviets making engines extremely heavy because production was measured by weight. There didn't seem to be malice behind the requests that were made, but capitalism just seems to work better. It's like the difference between a poorly coded robot interacting with the environment (communism) vs an organism that is adapted to the environment (capitalism). China realized this by implementing special economic zones that practice capitalism. They might end up with the best of both worlds if they can find the right balance. The downside of pure capitalism is mainly the amount of influence those with money have on the system, they can keep tipping the balance in their favor and capitalism rarely thinks 10 years ahead, to try and plan anything for decades seems impossible. Rarely do you have companies thinking outside of quarterly profits. The major envy I have of China is planning further into the future and the government is above the corporations. The authoritarian aspect of China is scary though, and I don't know enough about the checks and balances they have there to prevent a dictator from being malicious. But if you look at US politics, somehow it seems scarier to me.
@wege84098 ай бұрын
I agree with a lot of the things you say, but I don't think the US would ever have a civil war because of AI. People argue about why the US civil war happened, but imo it was definitely slavery. The deeper incentive on top of that is free labor. AGI = free labor
@k98killer8 ай бұрын
IEEE has nothing to do with IPv6. The IETF is the body that developed that standard, their standards are generally not government enforced -- the industry has voluntarily accepted IETF standards because they were developed by industry participants. I think DS is stretching a bit on this point with his implication that centralized government regulation should be credited with the success of the internet since the historical facts largely say otherwise.
@jihadyjeff8 ай бұрын
Maybe the military industrial complex will be a sort of jobs program for people who lost their jobs? And if automated manufacturing continues to progress every American will fly around in an f-35!
@thephilosophicalagnostic21778 ай бұрын
Push the tech harder, especially 3-D printers and associated tech and software. If we time it right, by the time jobs disappear the full-fledged replicators will emerge and everyone will have their own production facilities that they will live on, that they will thrive on. At that point, no one will care about economic inequality because economics will disappear as we've known it.
@vanessa1963x8 ай бұрын
The only thing AI will do is to INCREASE the standard of living. You'll end up with a select few who runs everything, and a large mass who are out of work.
@googleaccountuser31168 ай бұрын
The reason we have robots in factories building robots is because after 100 years they are still too expensive and impractical for home use and evolution is a lot slower than you may believe. Remember the vacuum cleaner robot? Maybe some time in the future it will not eat your ring that fell on the ground. But it's just not that easy for a robot as for a conscient being. Remember chatGPT? We clearly see the benefits but also it's shortcomings from having zero understanding of anything. Now beem me up Scotty 😀
@ratside94858 ай бұрын
Germany is fine ^^ the world's highest electricity prices. We have inflation and the government is introducing new taxes and further burdening the citizens. We have an energy crisis and the government is still shutting down nuclear power plants. And millions of Ukrainian refugees could arrive at any time. Yes, we are doing wonderfully. 🤣
@Shakdnugz2024Ай бұрын
No I disagree entirely, the ussr had the resources but did not have the water ways to optimally utilise them, geography plays the pivotal role in determining a 1st place country, i think societal structures are just a byproduct of the issues or benefits intrinsic to a country in its native state
@sagetmaster48 ай бұрын
Most of these nations will also skip over industrial agriculture. With know-how and shortly after gardener robots every house can be multicropped with perennial crops that provide a large percentage of their calories. This is true in temperate climates but especially true in subtropical and tropical climates because of the length of the growing season
@tracy4198 ай бұрын
I talk about this a lot. As jobs disappear, we could each work a few hours a week, or maybe a month, helping to maintain permaculture based food forests that replace many of our city streets. They could become public gardens and parks that supply a portion of our needs where it's being consumed, and other methods such as vertical gardens (maybe on buildings) could help fill in the rest. We definitely don't need to focus on industrial farming first, it should be the fill in, if at all, for after more sustainable methods are used. This would help with healthier foods, habitat for wildlife, water retention, etc. Anyone reading these comments check out Andrew milison on KZbin for his permaculture and regenerative farming videos where they bring back lands from draught to productive soils. Very cool stuff that fits right in with where we are headed with AI.
@MaximLevitskiy8 ай бұрын
Guys, I have this economy shift system I've been designed for 15 years. It's called "web tree". And I want to join people around it.
@lagaul51248 ай бұрын
The average age in China is 39 which is only going to increase year over year. they have 3 boys to one girl. Both of these stats are because of the one child policy. Despite this there is a large number of unmarried and childless women. Due to sanctions and new laws, one of which allows the Chinese military to command civilian companies to stop what they are doing and instead produce things for the military, companies are abandoning China at an alarming rate. It's actually cheaper to produce in Mexico than in China, the only reason manufacturing hasn't been moved to other countries yet is because of the sunk cost into China. Japanese companies have already bailed, and China is in conflict with Apple and other foreign companies. China is only going down from here.
@mlimrx8 ай бұрын
Wow you are so smart:) You are brining up topics I did not even think about. Yes economic agency = economic mobility. I do no think AI will change our innate need to grow, economically, creatively, spiritually...ect.
@123owly8 ай бұрын
"Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, however these cycles do happen" c'mon dude, I love your content but the amount of nonsense in this video is off the charts. Look up some current geopolitical schools of thought even here on KZbin, you'll be shocked as to how out of date your current understanding is.
@sparkofcuriousity6 ай бұрын
What a terrible scenario to imagine. Imagine having Trump in power during these times and four years into the future. Now, that is a very scary and depressing thought experience.
@larrysouthern50988 ай бұрын
It seems since about 1999 to 2023.. The planet has jumped into a Star Wars type technology.. We got the "star" part right... But the "Wars" part is still a big problem... Very dangerous... Very disturbing
@judasmaccabee38 ай бұрын
Hi Dave, if you want to understand China's political formula, you have to study Deng Xiaoping, not Mao.
@EightBit728 ай бұрын
6:40 More recently, Microsoft emulated this tactic in the area of IT: carefully study what the first movers are doing, learn from their mistakes, and leapfrog them.
@jannekallio50478 ай бұрын
just like religion, the business needs to be separated from politics.. yeah and you guys in US need more political parties than just the 2 you now have.. it is just 1 step from totalitarian system ;) update that a little..
@EightBit728 ай бұрын
I really hope that we will see societal evolution (piecemeal social engineering) as opposed to revolution (with mass incarceration of the people driving the existing system, or worse). But there is unfortunately no guarantee for such a peaceful transition.
@k98killer8 ай бұрын
The fourth turning is specifically a pattern of American culture and politics. It is not a misinterpretation of global debt cycles but rather is a model that coincides with it. All models are wrong, but some models are useful.
@CYI3ERPUNK8 ай бұрын
natural selection will always sort equality/equitability due to the rules of the game , survival of the fittest ; this will not always line up with an individuals perspective of ethics ; this is how things have always been , and will continue to be , as above so below ; the best advice imho? try to stay as healthy/informed as possible
@KM-wb1gr8 ай бұрын
Calling out the military industrial complex is a good way of getting yourself unalive David. Be careful friend
@clearandsweet8 ай бұрын
I'm a millennial from America and I have nothing to lose. Accelerate ASAP
@2kt20006 ай бұрын
Extremely Well done. Much more than a tech channel. Insights were gained, thank you.
@Digital_Architect8 ай бұрын
They need to say “sentient life” not AGI, ASI, singularity, ETc..
@davidantill69498 ай бұрын
CIP 1694 for decentralised governance. Watch that space!
@sagetmaster48 ай бұрын
Remember when we all could have voted for Andrew Yang and he would've started this stuff years ago
@OculusGame8 ай бұрын
Missed you buddy!
@zoomdiamondify8 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@depro98 ай бұрын
It's already rolling out!
@jperez78938 ай бұрын
With the rate things are going, no one will have a job soon. So adoption per capita will be minuscule
@SlyKorea8 ай бұрын
Hey Dave, was curious if you ever shared your thoughts on AI agents and maybe specifically a project called Autonolas?
@thomaskalbfus20058 ай бұрын
Do Americans want to keep paying thse big salaries for doctors and lawyers?
@TheAISpectrum18 ай бұрын
AGI might go beyond human or singularity is comming in a rapid progress
@execthegaming8 ай бұрын
"Err terk er jerb!" That's what decels sound like.
@quickcinemarecap8 ай бұрын
00:01 AGI adoption speed and equitable outcomes 02:19 Small companies and developing nations can adopt AI faster due to regulatory hurdles and cultural inertia. 06:47 China's deliberate effort to copy and overtake US technology 08:51 Technological advancements creating a positive feedback loop 13:12 Small businesses and developing nations benefit more and faster from AI adoption 15:22 Incentivize accountability to avoid potential civil unrest due to technological and economic upheaval. 19:19 AI will be the catalyst for a paradigm shift 21:11 Transitioning to a post-labor economy is crucial for ensuring economic agency in the age of AI. 24:38 Power redistribution drives revolutions and restructuring of nations. 26:34 Transition to a new economic and political paradigm require democratic reforms and redistribution of power. 30:08 The economy's evolution from human to machine labor will require new economic paradigms.
@John-mh7uz8 ай бұрын
It's already being interacted with. I interact with it now.
@carrolte18 ай бұрын
well, capitalism isn't really capitalism, when you have income taxes with loopholes, fiat dollars, and corrupt politics. I don't think I can summarize this any less. maybe if I use chat gpt, IDK.
@DaveShap8 ай бұрын
Capitalism is about the ownership of capital.
@sylverxyz8 ай бұрын
Your content is the kind of thing that makes me love YouTUbe. I hope you are finding enough financial success from this to keep doing it.
@agentDueDiligence8 ай бұрын
I was thinking half of your talk, that you sound a little too much like ray dalio - then you drop his name & his china ideas :D Let me share my thoughts on this... Its a good theory and yes Mr. Dalio has shared some very good data supporting this idea, but if you study Dalios history you can see that he has some very high biases most likely. You also mention why I dont believe this will take place: its the same reason why udssr has failed - the system is simply not a good idea & flawed. I would be cautious with Dalios ideas although of course he has a point most likely.
@DaveShap8 ай бұрын
Yeah, having finished his book I can say I was disappointed. Good ideas but had too narrow of a lens
@redball73628 ай бұрын
When will blockchain have its Chatgpt moment?
@RainbowGuzzler8 ай бұрын
Anyone got a link to this spongebob meme mentioned at 7:00 ? I need the context.