How is the war going? - Mid July 2023

  Рет қаралды 240,660

Anders Puck Nielsen

Anders Puck Nielsen

Күн бұрын

An overview of the frontlines and some reflections about Ukraine's summer offensive. The Russian positions have been harder to break through than many expected, partly because the West has been slow to provide the weapons that Ukraine needs for this type of war. But it's not too late, and the summer offensive can still succeed.
0:00 Intro
0:40 Frontline overview
1:31 Orikhiv
2:05 Velyka Novosilka
3:10 Bakhmut
5:20 Kherson
6:20 Maneuver vs. attrition
6:55 Equipping Ukraine for maneuver warfare
8:18 The West fights wars with airpower
9:08 Maneuver without attrition
10:07 Ukraine changed approach
10:45 Cluster munitions
11:50 Phases of Ukraine's offensive
Link to Phillips O'Brien's post on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/phillip...

Пікірлер: 1 700
@toby9999
@toby9999 10 ай бұрын
This has to be one of the best and clearest descriptions of the situation in Ukraine that I've heard.
@urban_housecleaner9454
@urban_housecleaner9454 21 күн бұрын
expect he was wrong
@barbaramassey3787
@barbaramassey3787 10 ай бұрын
Wow! Such a clear explanation of what is going on with the Ukrainian effort. All the little pieces of information fall into place. Thank you!
@johnbradbury8610
@johnbradbury8610 10 ай бұрын
agreed, As much as I like the fake stories about how the Russian army is about to be destroyed, It's nice to hear the truth,
@ThisisFred-dt4mq
@ThisisFred-dt4mq 10 ай бұрын
Totally agree. The best analysis out there. Hats off to the Puckman
@ronanrogers4127
@ronanrogers4127 10 ай бұрын
@@ThisisFred-dt4mqReally? It’s far too positive for Ukraine, and the entire video is peppered with ifs, coulds and woulds…that ain’t gonna happen. The only two valid remarks he made were that NATO underestimated how competent Russia is, and that the much vaunted NATO strategy of manoeuvre warfare was a failure 😂 He dismisses Russia’s attritional warfare as being unsophisticated, but then says Ukraine failed at manoeuvre warfare and its strategy is now attritional warfare focusing on Russian artillery…so all those NATO geniuses have taken 15 months to realise overwhelming artillery power and superior air power cannot be defeated by manoeuvre warfare tactics, this isn’t Iraq or Afghanistan.
@youtubewatcher2
@youtubewatcher2 10 ай бұрын
@@ronanrogers4127 because your unsupported bravado, sracasm, and air of superiority are so much more convincing than a structurally laid out case?
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
Sure, if you pick just the parts that suit your narrative and present them accordingly, then of course the pieces will fall into place. Confirmation bias at its best.😅
@Strype13
@Strype13 10 ай бұрын
Extremely well said, as usual, Anders. You're right. Unfortunately, it has slowly become readily apparent that casual observers simply do not understand the importance of air superiority when it comes to modern warfare. Particularly as it pertains to an offensive being waged against a military that has had a chance to implement any sort of defensive planning. In this type of scenario, barring any form of air superiority, expecting any iteration of a "quick breach" or "swift victory" is completely irrational. And the US is very aware of this fact. Had they gotten the ball rolling on providing them with proper air support many months ago, Ukraine wouldn't be facing nearly as many issues and their offensive would have looked a lot more like it did in the commercial advertisements designed to encourage western superpowers to provide them with the appropriate assistance they ultimately didn't receive in time. Honestly, if it wasn't so goddamn tragic, it would actually be a bit comical how Putin's spurious nuclear rhetoric always seems to keep the US/NATO a few months behind schedule when it comes to granting vital and/or essential assistance.
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
The plan never was Ukraine victory, nobody except completely deluded peabrains ever thought Ukraine could win. The plan was just to kill as many Russians as possible without ever counting Ukrainian losses. Ukrainians are literally used as cannon fodder, it's a disgusting tragedy.
@aynos629
@aynos629 10 ай бұрын
If everytime he brought the rhetoric up, they would attack his bunker, he wouldn't do it again. Its clear what kind of mentality he has
@major__kong
@major__kong 10 ай бұрын
But the first step is rolling back IADS if you want an effective air campaign. Do yo think if we just gave Ukrainians aircraft they would magically know how to do the SEAD mission effectively? It's a challenge for the US.
@mikeshoults4155
@mikeshoults4155 10 ай бұрын
The US was aware that the counter offensive would fail without air superiority, and still didn't provide them with air superiority..... So ....what is the the US doing? They are trying to walk by moving both feet at once.
@mikeshoults4155
@mikeshoults4155 10 ай бұрын
​@@major__kongyou said the same thing about artillery. Then you said the same thing about missiles. Then you said the same thing about tanks. Face it, they can learn, they can do it. The Ukrainians have kept proving themselves capable time and time again.
@ProfessorJayTee
@ProfessorJayTee 10 ай бұрын
Very nice summary, and quite close to what I'm expecting too. Hammer them until they have weak spots, THEN attack.
@idaho_girl
@idaho_girl 10 ай бұрын
Important to understand the significance of not having airpower with the consequential knock-on effects of having to resort to a more attritional type of warfare, at least at first.
@alexbort3082
@alexbort3082 10 ай бұрын
Yeap attrition... Which one will run out faster - russian bombs or ukrainian soldiers?
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
It's important to understand, that the Ukrainian offensive has been a disaster so far and it will not get any better.
@jessewhittemore784
@jessewhittemore784 10 ай бұрын
Eh if you define a disaster as dead Russians being gradually grenaded out of their trenches, sure.
@Paul-wo3qh
@Paul-wo3qh 10 ай бұрын
@@Princip666 Did Putin personally tell you this? Asking for a friend.
@JohnDoe-su8ew
@JohnDoe-su8ew 10 ай бұрын
@@Paul-wo3qh ure talking to bots
@morstyrannis1951
@morstyrannis1951 10 ай бұрын
For historical perspective, Caen is slightly less than 20 km from Juno Beach in Normandy. The Canadian Army was originally expected to liberate Caen on D-Day. In reality it took over six weeks. And this with complete air superiority and overwhelming fire support from naval vessels.
@markus717
@markus717 10 ай бұрын
Yes, the German defense held extremely well until it cracked, the Falaise Gap was created and it turned into a rout. Let's hope for a repeat now.
@sergarlantyrell7847
@sergarlantyrell7847 10 ай бұрын
@@markus717 But not a repeat of Market Garden...
@flipw3605
@flipw3605 10 ай бұрын
@@sergarlantyrell7847 sadly there have been elements of Market Garden all over Ukraine.
@LD-pt5ur
@LD-pt5ur 10 ай бұрын
So your saying they might reach Tokmak (sry for the spelling) in a few months, maybe…
@peka2478
@peka2478 10 ай бұрын
Not only air superiority (think having 150 planes against the enemies' 100), there was air supremacy (like having 3000 against 20). And it still took that long...
@polishgrlinvegas
@polishgrlinvegas 10 ай бұрын
Finally, someone explained what’s going on with counteroffensive, and in a concise way!.. Thank you, Sir! 👏👏👏
@MrGeorocks
@MrGeorocks 10 ай бұрын
Another good explanation from someone with the ability to actually explain things well.
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
Good...for nothing.
@johanselander7708
@johanselander7708 10 ай бұрын
@@Princip666 Have you not earned enough potatoes for today Ivan?
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
@@johanselander7708 It looks like you confused me with someone else. Maybe lay off the drugs, that may help.
@murrayjames3430
@murrayjames3430 10 ай бұрын
G'day Anders, long time listener first time caller. I've always appreciated your big picture thank you. Muz from Australia 🇦🇺 🇺🇦 🇩🇰
@damo682able
@damo682able 10 ай бұрын
Yeah mate. How smart is this bloke? Makes the situation so much clearer. 💪🇺🇦 from 🇦🇺 also.
@stevecam724
@stevecam724 10 ай бұрын
You can't give Ukraine the aid it needs AFTER it needed it and expect results. You need to supply them ahead of time so they have the capability on hand.
@alexandercampbell0001
@alexandercampbell0001 10 ай бұрын
Absolutely agree. I feared this from feb '22 onward, that the west would slowly seek to bleed the russians over a lengthy period of time. I hope thats not the case.
@Beniah107
@Beniah107 10 ай бұрын
Very much so. Glad to hear some one state the obvious. 👍🏻
@stevecam724
@stevecam724 10 ай бұрын
You have to state the obvious because all you hear is Ukraine's summer offensive has stalled. Someone in the US Defense is think 'We need to bleed the Russians white, who gives a rats about the Ukrainians, it's not about Ukraine winning.'
@benghaziwarrior3687
@benghaziwarrior3687 10 ай бұрын
We have them everything , the west has rebuilt their army twice
@Ork20111
@Ork20111 10 ай бұрын
Thanks for your work. Being a former soldier myself I came very much to the same conclusions you did. Especially your point about attrition warfare normally beeing before maneuver warfare is something that even former comrades of mine disagreed on. Because they never did it. The guys with the wings on their chest did. Over all things this war teached me is, that figthing a war in a NATO force is still war - but on easy mode. You constantly operated from a perspective of air supremacy and fire superiority. But you're way better at articulating it in a simple and convincing way than I will ever be.
@steadmanuhlich6734
@steadmanuhlich6734 10 ай бұрын
Good comment. Thanks for sharing your view of the issue.
@failedfishermanBC
@failedfishermanBC 10 ай бұрын
Never clicked faster on a video. Thank you for these
@smallakam7310
@smallakam7310 10 ай бұрын
Your big picture summaries are so much better than the daily hysterical stuff. Thank you
@TheRobertKlein
@TheRobertKlein 10 ай бұрын
Agree.
@marquisdemoo1792
@marquisdemoo1792 10 ай бұрын
Albeit the daily hysterical stuff has built this picture. I had come to very much the same realisation based on the daily hysterical.
@OceanGuy808
@OceanGuy808 10 ай бұрын
Your wartime analysis is simply the best. I look forward to your reports. Please create more🇺🇦.
@MC-9
@MC-9 10 ай бұрын
Keep it up Anders, great coverage
@SRFriso94
@SRFriso94 10 ай бұрын
The most readily available comparison we have is Desert Storm, and before the US and UK put boots on the ground, the air campaign lasted five weeks, featured well over 2000 aircraft flying over 100.000 sorties, and almost 300 Tomahawk missiles with a range of 1000 miles. What Ukraine has doesn't even scratch the surface of that. Plus, Desert Storm was to liberate Kuwait, a country three times smaller than the area of Ukraine Russia is occupying, plus, that was occupied by Iraq, which had much smaller stockpiles than Russia does - and stockpiles matter in attritional war. Expecting Ukraine to pull of something like Desert Storm is ridiculous, because they are trying to break through fortified enemy lines without significant air support, which is pretty the hardest operation you can ask an army do.
@nicktecky55
@nicktecky55 10 ай бұрын
Absolutely, clearly thought out and presented, well done. There is one factor that Ukraine is using that minimises the negative impact of the lack of close air support, That is the use of numerous cheap drones working directly with mobile artillery units. That provides metre accurate targeting to fixed or mobile artillery, any shell from which can destroy a tank with one shot. My guess is that artillery forces around the world are paying very close attention.
@Flight_of_Icarus
@Flight_of_Icarus 10 ай бұрын
I was very surprised when reading up on Desert Storm, and the following invasion in 2003, that both of them had very extensive air campaigns that lasted for weeks before the flashy ground invasion started.
@welshpenguin1
@welshpenguin1 10 ай бұрын
The Falklands War
@KRDUC
@KRDUC 10 ай бұрын
@@nicktecky55 By its own account, Ukraine currently "consumes" 10,000 small drones per month. Actually, they all come from China and China does not want to supply any more in the future. This will be a huge problem for Ukraine.
@mitchyoung93
@mitchyoung93 10 ай бұрын
Yet this was exactly what 'experts' like that General Rogers fellow that CNN and the British propagandists have on all the time said we should expect. They literally said Crimea would be 'liberated' by the end of summer. Welll, its mid summer now and the Ukrainians haven't even gotten past the Russian 'crumple zone'.
@johnnieadelby6913
@johnnieadelby6913 10 ай бұрын
Tak for din analyse.
@bimmebeau
@bimmebeau 10 ай бұрын
A very helpful, measured and clear analysis of the situation in Ukraine, delivered without emotion and exaggeration.
@petershores
@petershores 10 ай бұрын
Very measured commentary as always - very insightful - thank you
@mitchellhawkes22
@mitchellhawkes22 10 ай бұрын
Ukraine has almost no air force. The Russians on paper HAVE a powerful air force. You NEED air superiority when you engage in a modern "offensive." Until they get F-16s, the Ukraine march will be slow. But the fact that Ukraine has made progress at all, is almost a miracle. Good reflection on the gutsy Ukraine army, working without modern jets and helicopters above their heads.
@rolandmartin3833
@rolandmartin3833 10 ай бұрын
Comme toujours: explications claires et convaincantes ! Un véritable plaisir d' écouter A. P. Nielsen . Cheers from Belgium
@konrad01de
@konrad01de 10 ай бұрын
How true! Thank you so much, Anders!
@toddinde
@toddinde 10 ай бұрын
Great analysis. This makes good sense, but I wish we would have just given the Ukrainians what they needed to have a successful summer offensive up front.
@chrisczarnik3439
@chrisczarnik3439 10 ай бұрын
You and me both.
@sf4137
@sf4137 10 ай бұрын
Sukhoi jets?
@erg0centric
@erg0centric 10 ай бұрын
Politics, money, and quid pro quo
@affordablesolarguy
@affordablesolarguy 10 ай бұрын
No,, its not,, its idiotic. Its a lie. We are killing Ukrainians for profit, that is the only truth.
@k53847
@k53847 10 ай бұрын
The US kicked off the ground phase of the Gulf War firing 90,000 artillery rounds in 2.5 hours. That's 22 days of ammo for Ukraine. And on Day 500 of the war the Europeans promised they will order more ammo for Ukraine soon. Probably before Christmas.
@micke3035
@micke3035 10 ай бұрын
Know what Anders? You're awesome! Factual and to the point, not sweetening, not spicing, going neutral(we Swedes love that). You say "this is what we know" and "this is what I think", clear lines between facts and your own thoughts/assumptions etc. 👍Explaining things in an easily understandable way that is not "too basic" nor "too academic", qualified layman's terms so to say, as people knowledgeable and comfortable on the subject are able to! Sadly the subject of your talks is something I wished wasn't a reality, but still I look forward to your sober reporting when they appear. Many thanks for your great work! 👍
@michaelbennett7561
@michaelbennett7561 10 ай бұрын
I don't think he is "neutral" as to the outcome of the war, he would clearly prefer a Ukrainian victory. But he doesn't let his desire for Ukraine to win to cloud his perspective.I think the correct term is being "objective", rather than "neutral".
@SourVodka
@SourVodka 10 ай бұрын
The Russian Postal Office, recently issued a series of stamps with Putin to commemorate 500 days, but had to withdraw them because people were spitting on the wrong side of the stamp.
@bernarddavis1050
@bernarddavis1050 10 ай бұрын
Is that your idea of a joke, toerag?
@SourVodka
@SourVodka 10 ай бұрын
@@bernarddavis1050 Yes Cock snot . Here is another Putin wanted to know if Zelenskyy was still alive... Zelenskyy himself decided to send Putin a letter in his own handwriting to let him know he was still in the game. Putin opened the letter which appeared to contain a single line of coded message. 370HSSV-0773H Putin was baffled, so he emailed the message to Lukashenko, and his aides had no idea either, so they sent it to the KGB. No one could solve it at the KGB either, so a double agent sent it to the CIA, then the NSA. They also didn't know what it meant. Finally, the CIA director sent the message to The Australian Military for help. Within a few seconds, they called back with this message: "Tell that dumb wanker Putin he's holding the message upside down."
@baronvonlimbourgh1716
@baronvonlimbourgh1716 10 ай бұрын
Hahaha. 😂😂😂 100 points for you!
@Nobleheart111
@Nobleheart111 10 ай бұрын
It is pretty funny! 😂
@paulaspinall919
@paulaspinall919 10 ай бұрын
Such a large proportion of reporting about the war in Ukraine is propaganda, misinformation, non-news, unrealistic, impossible. Your analysis always feels relevant and as accurate as it can be. Thank you for your contribution.
@Princip666
@Princip666 10 ай бұрын
But Puck's "analysis" is nothing more than "propaganda, misinformation, non-news, unrealistic, impossible". He's a joke.
@user-mq1up2fw4r
@user-mq1up2fw4r 10 ай бұрын
Very true. This war is over and Ukraine should be striving for peace before they lose more land and Zelensky gets ousted.
@tylerdurden3722
@tylerdurden3722 10 ай бұрын
​@@user-mq1up2fw4rI don't think Putin would accept. He'd pretend he wants that, then create some false flag to keep going until gets that last gas field above Odessa.
@Rastloese
@Rastloese 10 ай бұрын
Sætter stor pris på dine analyser.
@Burkhard_Ehnes
@Burkhard_Ehnes 10 ай бұрын
very useful! Much appreciated! Tusend Tak! 🙏
@motorosso3349
@motorosso3349 10 ай бұрын
Thanks, Anders. A great analysis as usual. Come back soon!
@normanboyes4983
@normanboyes4983 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders you make an interesting point about Manoeuvre v Attrition and the overplayed Russian incompetence.
@Strype13
@Strype13 10 ай бұрын
They're still extremely incompetent. It just doesn't require a whole lot of ingenuity to put up solid defenses against a military with no effective air support. The main underlying issue here is air superiority. And the US is extremely aware of this fact. Had we gotten the ball rolling on providing them with appropriate air support many months ago -- Ukraine wouldn't be facing any of these issues and their offensive would have essentially been a cakewalk. Unfortunately, when national and global politics are being used as an excuse to avoid making obvious and/or morally proper decisions ... this is what you end up with.
@Grimshak81
@Grimshak81 10 ай бұрын
to be fair: Russia uses STILL frontal meat wave tactics with extensive losses and no ground gained and captured Russian defenders complain they were simply left alone without supplies or orders. Such a defense really does not require that much comptence. We will see how the Russians fare in defense when there is a Ukrainian breakthrough and Russia has to swiftly adapt.
@gaborjuracsik4847
@gaborjuracsik4847 10 ай бұрын
@@Grimshak81 Stop this nonsense. No one uses frontal meat wave tactics, in fact the last time it was used was during the first VH by the Russians in the Burosilov offensive. In addition, since they had successfully blown apart the artillery and trench system of the Monarchy before that, it was a complete success.
@robderich8533
@robderich8533 10 ай бұрын
Brilliant as always, Mr. Nielsen. Thank you.
@madlenexner7524
@madlenexner7524 10 ай бұрын
Brilliant update and explanations
@uytrewq55
@uytrewq55 10 ай бұрын
I just refuse to believe a U-tuber knows this, and that our best Generals don't ? Everything you said is Outstandingly Correct !
@barbarabroeske1061
@barbarabroeske1061 10 ай бұрын
Excellent, thorough and very well presented report. As usual! You provide TOP level analysis, Anders! Thank you!
@AutomaticBadger
@AutomaticBadger 10 ай бұрын
I really enjoy your videos! Thanks for the insightful analysis
@TheRobertKlein
@TheRobertKlein 10 ай бұрын
Yours is the best commentary about the war.
@alexl266
@alexl266 10 ай бұрын
"Bridgehead... Well the Antonovski bridge is already a bridge" LOL, love it.
@davidrobinson4553
@davidrobinson4553 10 ай бұрын
A great explanation as always Anders, clear and concise with no jingoistic propaganda just the known facts. I look forward to your next video.
@irwin-hirsh
@irwin-hirsh 10 ай бұрын
Great insights into the situation and it’s context (attrition vs. manoeuvre)
@financialservicesprofessio7377
@financialservicesprofessio7377 10 ай бұрын
You are making more sense than most of the analysts that I saw on the TV, lamenting about slow territorial gain.
@KarlFullerNZ
@KarlFullerNZ 10 ай бұрын
Great analysis thanks! New Zealand fan of your work.
@xyinterrupted
@xyinterrupted 10 ай бұрын
Mange tak Anders for denne video! 💟🇩🇰🇪🇺🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿🇺🇦🏳️‍🌈
@brandonLirvinSF
@brandonLirvinSF 10 ай бұрын
One of the few analyses I trust these days.
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
Poor you :)
@cjhoare
@cjhoare 10 ай бұрын
This perfectly explains the need for cluster munitions.
@lenaaxelsson5103
@lenaaxelsson5103 10 ай бұрын
Tack så mycket för värdefull analys och information!
@annemcleod8505
@annemcleod8505 10 ай бұрын
Once again: thanks Anders! I so appreciate your insights and the clarity of your presentation.
@jameschenmordecai5575
@jameschenmordecai5575 10 ай бұрын
Good job. Professor Anders. I enjoy your analysis of the current situation. Glory to Ukraine.
@danhubert-hx4ss
@danhubert-hx4ss 10 ай бұрын
Brilliant analysis as usual.
@aubiece5787
@aubiece5787 10 ай бұрын
Slavia Ukrainia ! Herojam Slava ! Anders you are so good at explaining what is going on, thank you so much ! Good to see the UAF putting pressure on the left bank of the Dnipro !
@Norseraider84
@Norseraider84 10 ай бұрын
Tusind tak for din professionelle og meget objektive tilgang til emnet Anders ❤️🤘🏻
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
Objektivt er det ikke. Det er pep talk.
@jensstergard9380
@jensstergard9380 10 ай бұрын
@@valeriesolanas4077 Jo, det er objektivt. Hans analyse er ikke farvet af, at Anders P.N. ønsker at bakke op om folkeretten. Dine påstande fremstår nærmest som spam, når de ikke er underbyggede på nogen måde.
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
@@jensstergard9380 Skal vi ikke bare være enige om som den store leder sagde: russia is losing the war in Iran. Og nu melder de sig squ ind i BRICS. Attero dominaus.
@Norseraider84
@Norseraider84 10 ай бұрын
@@valeriesolanas4077 ok Putin
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
@@Norseraider84 ?
@wilburnprice9886
@wilburnprice9886 10 ай бұрын
I always appreciate your videos.
@joesauer8068
@joesauer8068 10 ай бұрын
Once again, incredible clarity. Thanks!
@jamesvdv0
@jamesvdv0 10 ай бұрын
Excellent summary of the situation! Thank you very much for preparing this video.
@richardhack9830
@richardhack9830 10 ай бұрын
Thank you, Anders Puck Nielsen for this excellent episode. Outstanding Quality.
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
It is pep talk, not an analysis.
@richardhack9830
@richardhack9830 10 ай бұрын
@@valeriesolanas4077 Nobody has promised you this episode would be an analysis. Anders Puck Nielsen kindly shared his point of view on various locations in the Ukraine theater.
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
@@richardhack9830 I always appreciate peoples point of view. But here we are talking about analysis. Anders provide pep talk and not analysieses. And as spokesman for the conscripted (during the napolian wars:)...anders wouldn't live long ...trying to drag privates in to suicidal action while he is wawing his leftenant pistol. If FA claims to be a scientical institute I don't think they live up to thee stanard- But off course...compared to all the amercan think-thanks FA might have something to offer
@richardhack9830
@richardhack9830 10 ай бұрын
@@valeriesolanas4077Well, here's my analysis for this moment: "Im Osten nichts Neues" or "All quiet on the eastern front". (Converted from Erich Maria Remarque) 😉
@suem5082
@suem5082 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders. Love your work!
@lolo932
@lolo932 9 ай бұрын
This is probably the best analysis I've heard so far. Subbed!
@sammenter1
@sammenter1 10 ай бұрын
An excellent clear update on the war in Ukraine. Sam from UK
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
How abou getting a new government in UK? They are nuts
@12345678977421
@12345678977421 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders! Super informative video as usual!
@robertroot3790
@robertroot3790 10 ай бұрын
As always, thank you. Very valuable insights that continue to illuminate the reality of this war, and providing consideration about future conflicts as well.
@commandertopgun
@commandertopgun 10 ай бұрын
Etremely informative & telling wow-great update Anders.
@jamesg2382
@jamesg2382 10 ай бұрын
Thank you. I also really appreciate you listing your sources. Have a great week.
@philipmulville8218
@philipmulville8218 10 ай бұрын
Superb analysis. Thank you, Anders.
@cynthiastrawson3316
@cynthiastrawson3316 10 ай бұрын
The maps are really useful with the explanations for people like myself who are not good at analysing the daily news re the war. Thank you.👍
@kenithandry5093
@kenithandry5093 10 ай бұрын
Thanks Anders!
@richardburgess8657
@richardburgess8657 10 ай бұрын
Thank you, Anders.
@jcwoodman5285
@jcwoodman5285 10 ай бұрын
The Ukrainians are doing a great job keeping constant pressures on thier target fronts & NOT pushing blindly at literal dead ends...
@danieltucker3506
@danieltucker3506 10 ай бұрын
Lol so delusional
@guysangwine3816
@guysangwine3816 10 ай бұрын
Excellent vidéo thanks
@VladVexler
@VladVexler 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders!
@mathish1477
@mathish1477 10 ай бұрын
Highest quality commentary out there!
@will5286
@will5286 10 ай бұрын
Thank you- I always appreciate the insight and balance you bring to the table
@Simon39759
@Simon39759 10 ай бұрын
Another enlightning video. Thanks for that great explanation Anders. Very clear and well informed
@mariocerame
@mariocerame 10 ай бұрын
Thanks so much for this.
@simonbowden8408
@simonbowden8408 10 ай бұрын
Excellent analysis as always Anders. As you say it's clear that the Ukrainians have persuaded the US that a blitzkrieg is not possible, so we are back to attrition, hence the cluster munitions that the US has said it will provide. Let's hope the politicians in the West a) appreciate this change b) can communicate this change in the war to their electorates
@utrian4148
@utrian4148 10 ай бұрын
I didn't find it useful - I think it was excellent! I totally agree to Your analysis. It's hard to imagine what war in history was fought the same way as comparison. I can only think of Iraq 1991, when US had to overcome prepared defenses with minefields of Hussein. But even then the US had its massive air power and total air superiority even using A-10 for CAS - unthinkable in Ukraine war. And Gen. Schwarzkopf only had to oversight which weapon he wants to use. Zalushny now has to calculate which weapon AND when this weapon arrives AND how good is the training on that. If we want this war to end, then Ukraine has get all the weapons needed in the sufficient amount. Now!
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
And the war on Iraq was just...especially when we look at the outcome.
@Viktor-gk5ri
@Viktor-gk5ri 10 ай бұрын
Anders, you're doing a great job. Thanks!
@begun65vdal5
@begun65vdal5 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders, for explaining these details and giving a better understanding of what's happening. Best regards from Berlin!
@matthiasvanogtrop1754
@matthiasvanogtrop1754 10 ай бұрын
Incredibly clear and concise video, instantly subbed! Thanks very much
@thomaskronsodergren9489
@thomaskronsodergren9489 10 ай бұрын
I really appreciate your explanations and analysis, they are so good and understandable, pieces fall in to place. Keep up the good work!
@CNCCommunity
@CNCCommunity 10 ай бұрын
Great analysis, keep bringing us great stuff!
@h.alfred5320
@h.alfred5320 10 ай бұрын
Spot on! Very very good summary of the situation.
@ugljeshap8821
@ugljeshap8821 10 ай бұрын
Appreciate the clear & sober analysis of Mr Nielsen. I haven't read each of the nearly 1000 comments but a sampling of them revealed an intelligent and engaged public with serious points of view. Most or nearly all comment fields at other sites are filled with unreadable emotive dreck. Kudos to the serious participants in the conversation! One point I would like to add, and I am concerned about this: attritional warfare can only be conducted for an extended period if the munitions expended are being replaced by manufactured restocking armaments. To date, no nation sending material to Ukraine out of existing stocks is replenishing those stocks, and I understand that many of the munitions being sent are no longer in production. For example, the number of ShadowStorms in the UK arsenal was estimated at 1000...only a fraction of that number is now scheduled for Ukraine, and they are not being manufactured any more. I am afraid that the muddled and not well-thought-out supply chain to Ukraine will crash and burn before the Russians are driven out. The more I think about this the more pessimistic I become.
@andersgrassman6583
@andersgrassman6583 10 ай бұрын
Yes, the situation is very problematic. Just a month into the full scale invasion, the then Swedish defence minister sayed the defence coalition needed to discuss how to ramp up production of munitions. The calculus was aparently obvious to him already from the start. Only "good" thing is, the same applies to the Russian side. And when push comes to shove, I trust the western industrial capacity a lot more than the Russian. Things could get very tricky if China suddenly decided it somehow would favour them to support Russia. Fortunately however, I don't see any benefits for China to do so. But who knows, they might want to take a chance, and open up a second front for the west, atacking Taiwan? However, USAF inventories are HUGE! Ukraine support has only made a dent to it. Quite a lot of the stuff was sheduled to be scrapped anyway. But the rest of the free world needs to shape up - and quickly at that!
@julientabulazero103
@julientabulazero103 10 ай бұрын
Question: Why isn't the West discussing supplying Ukraine with fuel-air ammunition to clear the trench systems ? Wouldn't that work even better than cluster ammunition without the downside of littering the battlefield with unexploded submunition which are a risk if you are supposed to then advance on the bombed position ? Any answer on this topic would be appreciated.
@lisehgfeldt8234
@lisehgfeldt8234 10 ай бұрын
Thank you very much again for providing understanding!
@jeffm9326
@jeffm9326 10 ай бұрын
Quality as always. I always look forward to Anders presentations. Clear and accurate analysis.
@LMVG2233
@LMVG2233 10 ай бұрын
Thank you for this video re the evolviing Ukrainian counter-offensive. As always, your succint presentation was very informative.
@stevesteve7490
@stevesteve7490 10 ай бұрын
Once again excellent analysis, thank you.
@quasii7
@quasii7 10 ай бұрын
Superb, as always. Thank you!
@mickigarvey7608
@mickigarvey7608 10 ай бұрын
Thanks for the clarification that you give those of us who know next to nothing about warfare and different strategies. Very helpful.
@nian60
@nian60 10 ай бұрын
So will our cowardly Western leaders finally give Ukraine what they need to win now then? Or will they continue to expect Ukraine to win the war with one arm tied behind their back? It is beyond frustrating that we are not giving Ukraine what they need to win.
@charleslefurge7294
@charleslefurge7294 10 ай бұрын
Very good, and balanced analysis.
@zeplin4078
@zeplin4078 10 ай бұрын
Great video, thanks for sharing
@davidheath4536
@davidheath4536 10 ай бұрын
Wow! So well put and insightful.
@ianmorgan1325
@ianmorgan1325 10 ай бұрын
Thank you Anders for another cogent yet insightful piece of analysis!
@kaylidington
@kaylidington 10 ай бұрын
Thanks!
@anderspuck
@anderspuck 10 ай бұрын
Thank you.
@mois999
@mois999 10 ай бұрын
Excellent description with simple words that makes clear picture instantly.
@CleverSmart123
@CleverSmart123 10 ай бұрын
Thank you for the great analysis. Very insightful
@peterinns5136
@peterinns5136 10 ай бұрын
Thank you for pointing out the lack of air power that Ukraine suffers from. This should have been addressed from day one of the war.
@frederickharris3148
@frederickharris3148 10 ай бұрын
They had an airforce, but it was destroyed. They have received aircraft but most of them have also been destroyed. F16s will be no different as they have no major advantage over the sukhoi analogs they have already lost
@tellyboy17
@tellyboy17 10 ай бұрын
It's NATO's job to provide air cover.
@beersmurff
@beersmurff 10 ай бұрын
@@frederickharris3148 They have a biig advantage in the fact the Su and their ground based radar systems can scan 400km but only fire 70km while the F16 can maybe only scan 250km but it can fire more than 150km, so the Su will have seen the F16 and either tugged it's tail or it will stay and get shot down 80km before it can shoot back.
@nozhki-busha
@nozhki-busha 10 ай бұрын
@@frederickharris3148 lol cool story comrade! Ukraine does have an airforce still so stop with the Kremlin lies.
@nozhki-busha
@nozhki-busha 10 ай бұрын
@@beersmurff yes, because they are going to use F16s like that. You also seriously overestimate the numbers of Russian skilled pilots and planes. Not to mention Ukranian AAA is also strong where the F16s will operate. Cope more comrade!
@janlindtner305
@janlindtner305 10 ай бұрын
Godt gået. Udemærket analyse. Hold ud, bliv ved!
@annikamyren3026
@annikamyren3026 10 ай бұрын
Som svensk så fattar jag vad du skrev , kul
@janlindtner305
@janlindtner305 10 ай бұрын
Vi er vikinger
@valeriesolanas4077
@valeriesolanas4077 10 ай бұрын
@@janlindtner305 Hvad er lige betydningen af det?
@massengineer7582
@massengineer7582 10 ай бұрын
Maybe it means they want to sail someplace and conquer it. Hmm, an amphibious landing behind Russian lines could be very helpful right now. 😊
@janlindtner305
@janlindtner305 10 ай бұрын
@@valeriesolanas4077 At vi som Dansk Norsk Svensk ikke har nødig at slå over i engelsk for at forstå hinanden
@ChrisBrengel
@ChrisBrengel 10 ай бұрын
Great video, thanks!
@aletheia1800
@aletheia1800 10 ай бұрын
Finally. Clarity. Thank you Anders. Please post more often!
@judithcampbell1705
@judithcampbell1705 10 ай бұрын
I won't pretend to know a lot about the best tactics to fight a war, only to say that either I'm way off in my opinion that I'm angry with president Biden for not endorsing Ukraine's bid for joining NATO. Wouldn't that solve Ukraine's problems with Russia? Thank you 💛 Anders, for making sense to me.
What will happen in year three of the war?
11:20
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 255 М.
Can Russia win in Ukraine with nuclear weapons?
13:53
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 244 М.
КАКОЙ ВАШ ЛЮБИМЫЙ ЦВЕТ?😍 #game #shorts
00:17
Как быстро замутить ЭлектроСамокат
00:59
ЖЕЛЕЗНЫЙ КОРОЛЬ
Рет қаралды 10 МЛН
She’s Giving Birth in Class…?
00:21
Alan Chikin Chow
Рет қаралды 5 МЛН
1❤️
00:20
すしらーめん《りく》
Рет қаралды 33 МЛН
NATO-Russia war: Can it really happen?
11:23
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 457 М.
Russia's Kharkiv offensive - what is the plan?
13:58
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 240 М.
Fear is the new normal in Russian politics
11:34
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 181 М.
Is Putin ready for ceasefire talks - and does it matter?
7:33
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 162 М.
Can Russia win the military production race?
9:34
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 312 М.
The Bloody Birth of Socialist Yugoslavia - War Against Humanity 134
22:56
The role of smartphones in modern war
52:01
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 68 М.
Wagner attack was devastating for Putin
9:47
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 236 М.
Why is Russia bombing civilians?
13:24
Anders Puck Nielsen
Рет қаралды 196 М.
КАКОЙ ВАШ ЛЮБИМЫЙ ЦВЕТ?😍 #game #shorts
00:17