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If Ukraine loses to Russia, will China invade Taiwan? The war in Ukraine is being closely watched amid growing tensions between China and Taiwan. Taiwan's leaders fear that if Russia wins and defeats Ukraine, it may encourage China to invade Taiwan.
Taiwanese Deputy Foreign Minister Chih-chung Wu expressed this concern, warning that a Russian victory could give China the green light for invasion. This apprehension is heightened by China's increasing military activity near Taiwan, with rehearsals aimed at isolating the island both physically and digitally.
The stakes of a potential war in the Taiwan Strait are enormous. Economically, a conflict or blockade could disrupt global trade and the critical semiconductor industry, as Taiwan produces the majority of the world’s advanced chips. Politically, Taiwan is watching the U.S. response to the Ukraine war as a barometer for Washington’s commitment to defending the island.
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