Is AI the End of Hollywood? | MOONSHOTS

This clip is from the following episode: • Bitcoin Surge, AI Job ...
Salim Ismail is a serial entrepreneur and technology strategist well known for his expertise in Exponential organizations. He is the Founding Executive Director of Singularity University and the founder and chairman of ExO Works and OpenExO.
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[@user-zl1oo3ff4w]

This seems like the worst period. Even the market are now very unpredictable. Started investing recently when the market prices were a bit high,today I am more than 60% down! ......

[@cryptoking298]

I agree just reached my goal of $500k monthly trade earnings. Setting realistic goals is an essential part of trading

[@user-zl1oo3ff4w]

Please educate me, i'm willing to make consultations to improve my situation,

[@user-zl1oo3ff4w]

Please how do I find this financial counselor?

[@user-zl1oo3ff4w]

I'd love to know this mentor of yours

[@HenryGary-fy9zj]

When I saw her testimonies all over the place I thought it was all made up of stories till I was convinced and gave it a try and honestly I don't regret the move I made because I invested in a big way.

[@minimal3734]

Is AI the end of Hollywood? I hope so.

[@maillardsbearcat]

Hollywood is already dying on its own

[@ExecutiveZombie]

No writing… too much DEI… BORING!

[@vernongrant3596]

Absolutely, the woke nonsense finally finished it off.

[@jasonmurphy1499]

Peter's interviews and discussions are fascinating. Thank you for the hard work amid exponential times!

[@lillygordon9121]

Yes AI Hollywood! RIP Hollywood!

[@cleetusHead]

Yes! RIP all jobs for everyone in the world and the mass panic that will ensue!

[@jasonmurphy1499]

@@cleetusHead the shift to a post-labor economy is coming sooner than later. Governments must put frameworks for Universal Basic Income, negative taxes, etc. in place to give people economic agency.

[@cleetusHead]

@@jasonmurphy1499 no thanks I dont want to be a slave to currupt governments!

[@Josef852]

Me thinking that writers will come up with the blueprint, the ai will create the story and the writer will change the direction the story is going. This goes on and on in a loop untill the story is finished

[@BrianMosleyUK]

Sorry, your guest is wrong. Ridley Scott would have made Alien with 1 tech assistant.

[@trojanthedog]

Yep, the tech assistant would be 17 yrs old.

[@somilviradia7726]

The main reason AI will be the end of Hollywood is because Hollywood makes pure dogshit and has been for over a decade. If they were still pumping out the classic great flicks of the 90s, it would still be hard for even to Ai to duplicate that. If Movie stars were still good, people would still want to see them and not an AI replacement.

[@annalf7857]

I could not agree any more! The 90s/early 2000 mark the end of cinema as an art form

[@halnineooo136]

I agree with Peter. Which part of the show creation humans are going to be better than AI ? For a few years to come a handful of genius writers will still beat AI to the best seller title but not for ever. Probably in five years or so AI can tell the most extraordinary story. Write it into a thrilling scenario with a memorable dialogue and mesmerising characters displaying the most incredible acting performance, since they're not really "acting". The truly game changer part is that the story will be a live interactive adventure tailored for you where you are a character. The hero or one of the characters at your convenience. Live theatre will survive AI but not cinema motion picture.

[@MYSTICPILOT]

Probably 5 years and anyone can make a two hour movie! We will have lots of Awesome content!👍

[@alpaslanpata6657]

Exactly. And you are not going to watch any of them. Because your hands will be full with the stuff that you have created for yourself, with the help of AI. 😂😅

[@Rick-rl9qq]

I say it'll come even sooner. We'll reach AGI in 5 years

[@jasonmurphy1499]

@@Rick-rl9qq Agreed. This is astounding. I have been in tech since 1995, and AI advancements in the past two years are mind-blowing.

[@isakisak9989]

Let's hope it is, being able to generate any media at home would be so awesome.

[@OnigoroshiZero]

In 2025 it will be possible with online services for a small fee (per project or monthly), and in 2027 or 2028 there will be powerful enough consumer hardware to make it possible to use these models on your own machine (completely uncensored and private with the open source models).

[@cleetusHead]

The best part is that once everyone can generate their own content, AI will not only put the Hollywood studios out of business, it will also put all youtuber's, musicians, and any other human who creates anything out of business! no one will need to consume any human made content and we can all enjoy our personalized AI content alone in a pod wearing VR goggles. its going to be awesome!

[@OceanGateEngineer4Hire]

Peter is 100% right here.

[@rbotnic]

I'm extremely biased because I work in the film industry (often for Hollywood clients) but I just think that anyone who is wishing this to happen should be careful what they wish for. The moment in history (that we're hurtling towards) where the majority of our art, music, journalism & storytelling is generated by non-human intelligence... for me that's the moment humans have lost all control over our future. Storytelling is the human master tool that gave us gods, morality, money & laws. Good luck to us if we relinquish control.

[@jasonmurphy1499]

You make a great point. However, as long as control is not relinquished but driven by humans I don't see a way out of this. Bigger hammers are being given to the pros.

[@vickibazter3446]

Terrible

[@OnigoroshiZero]

I will still control what my AGI assistant will create for me. If I want a space opera movie with massive fleet battles, or a medieval fantasy with heroes fighting dragons, or a slice of life anime, it will always adhere to my requests. With the only difference that it will be making something with masterpiece quality in every aspect every single time.

[@rbotnic]

​@@OnigoroshiZeroI get you and I'm sure the content will at first seem harmless & fun. But with any storytelling (and with potentially every single line of dialogue or visual cue) there are hidden values, morals, agendas etc. Who will be defining those for every scene of a movie that's generated by an non-human intelligence from a simple human direction / prompt? Users (of this system) from different parts of the world will expect different, sometimes conflicting values, morals etc. The system will need to decide what's appropriate. Hence humans losing control of our storytelling.

[@rbotnic]

​@@jasonmurphy1499I love the optimism and I totally agree! We're all going to try our best to integrate with and retain some level of control over this incredible new technology / form of life (depending on how you view it). I just think we need to go about this extremely carefully! Very difficult to predict how this is going to go and so many of the potential outcomes are terrible. The more collective awareness of the risks, the better!

[@Darhan62]

It's not handing creativity over to AI. It's lowering the barriers to entry, and democratizing creativity.

[@WakingUniverseTV]

Here's the issue. I don't want to think about the construction of what I am watching. As an audience member, I want to enjoy the film and enjoy what other artists are showing me. There is also something amazing about the collective experience of film. it's a shared cultural experience. If we all watch our friends doing our own thing, that might be fun as a gimmick, but it won't be as interesting as the next movie experience I am anticipating. AI Films will help a lot of new filmmakers get into it, but great films will always be great films. I will totally use the tools as a filmmaker myself, although I am not overly concerned that all storytelling by humans will disappear, because my unique experience and yours makes for interesting stories that are shared. That after all is the basis of all art. A computer cannot replace that.

[@PtolemyXVII]

AI is a more advanced form of CGI, I don’t think Hollywood is going to disappear. The fact is that AI is now a tool that filmmakers can utilise without spending millions of dollars on a production, just as live photography isn’t going to disappear, nor poets and artists. Now artists and poets have another tool at their disposal as do filmmakers

[@fabiosilva9637]

You’re not going to watch an ai movie because there won’t be any films, or tv series, or games, or books. They are all going to merge into one experience. You’re going to talk, interact, befriend, fall in love, get personal threats from fictional characters. The line between real and fake will blur a lot! It’s going to be nuts.

[@Rick-rl9qq]

Now this is what I like to see people talking about. Indeed, the stories will become interactive and you will be able to befriend the characters. Just imagine talking to your favourite characters!

[@josiahz21]

People will always have a favorite actor, director, writer. Whether that is a person or AI is going to change. It’s going to shake things up for sure. Power and influence tied to Hollywood won’t leave overnight but it’s influence on what we watch is already changing. Personally I can’t wait.

[@iurieceban126]

I'm going to watch AI generated movies only if the characters will have 5 fingers on their hands

[@user-yg7fv3jo8v]

This is just the beginning for Hollywood; pop culture will intensify and Hollywood will continue to use this technology to evolve and progress as it has been doing. However, there will simultaneously be a demand for a more human style in order to feel less robotic. For instance, we can already hear songs produced with this technology that are boring. They might succeed as pop songs, but they lack the human imperfection, which is also important for creating identification. Another example is American Idol, which draws crowds into engineered, flawless, noisy, and shouty music. On the other hand, there is an increasing demand for artists with tiny or very weak voices who wouldn't pass the American Idol test-Bob Dylan wouldn't have passed, and neither would Michael Jackson. It seems these will be parallel streams.

[@claudioagmfilho]

🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷🇧🇷👏🏻, Video games will become movies and movies will become video games as Sam Altman once said!

[@MrForestExplorer]

I agree with the guest. Sora might be able to make a good looking SHOT. Scenes are composed of many shots, and movies are made up of many many scenes. There is human creativity and human input and creative decisions made every step of the way.

[@ChoppedBananas]

Sora might not be the one, but it will depend on how far the tech advances. AI shows creativity and could quite possibly surpass human creativity. Maybe not as well. Interesting conversation though.

[@mangoauto8450]

We are going to be able to take any book and make a movie. We will also have the option to use a famous person(s) as the actor(s) . Different actors will have different prices and will have guidelines as to what they will/ won’t do. If the movie is private consumption there will be one rate , if I think it’s amazing and want to share it, the actor as well as myself will be able to receive ongoing funds if other people want to rent it. The implications are amazing and it will also have a major impact for teachers. If I want to have my students read a book (huckleberry fin for example) I will then be able to ask them at the end of the book how they would like to watch it (black and white, anime, raw, etc) and then we can watch it together .

[@dadsonworldwide3238]

It was a time where the artist ,musicians was just given blank checks to just create . It wasn't developed and they just had free reign as long as they turned profit no one interfered . The transistor age is 80 years old now, and if anything, this has been postponed and drawn out. Even before American founding, these are natural on the horizon orientation and direction embedded in who usa is and where it comes from.. we really need the older infrastructure so that these local pockets of art can be supported more bottom up rather than ( financial capitalism top down ) So, the customer is always right mastership does demand super high quality in the traditional Hollywood to set standards and set itself apart. Meanwhile, all these life stories can be more personalized, creating brands that are promoted in the growth of life or will need to be bought by bigger entrepreneurs early on in life. Publishers are so reluctant and slow to innovate with so many other sectors they're just building an avalanche that may hurt us a lot rather than just useing expertise to properly innovate feilds & diciplines, markets you name it . Hardware & innovation that's been going on for over 100 years in manufacturing to farmers wouldn't survive without day one adoption so all this is geared more towards what hasn't had to innovate for a long time. Europe tried to deflect ,Canada tried its just so much harder and more expensive to replace certain multi skillset labor oriented jobs that If they manage it will indicate that they replace anything lol

[@AGI-Bingo]

Answer: Yes - & it's about time For years I've been saying that one day we'll be able to choose & show something actually wholesome to our children.. soon it will finally be possible.. No more dead parents, propaganda, and trauma, sprinkled throughout every innocent looking kids movies.

[@steveholmes1736]

I have to say, Peter is really sharp. For that matter, so is the other guy. What’s happening here is the democratization of talent. In times past, you could be highly talented in terms of the ability to create and develop storyline. But who would put up the money for you to pursue such an endeavor. Sylvester Stallone in the early days couldn’t find anybody interested in Rocky. With this new technology if you’ve got a Rocky, you don’t need a bunch of money and you don’t need to know all the right people to get your story into film. You just put it out there using AI and let the marketplace determine the quality of your creation.

[@cleetusHead]

I use to agree that AI was going to democratize talent and content creation till i realized that everyone will just watch their own personalized AI generated content and no one will care about what any human is making whether they us AI or old school methods... so once again creative people get displaced by one entity eventually.

[@ikotsus2448]

So everyone has his own customized media and news feed. Less common reference points. The bubble gets thicker.

[@DigSamurai]

I agree AI will have a huge impact on Hollywood but Peter's analogy is flawed. As someone in production, I can tell you most people are not creative enough to even know what they want. This notion that everyone will be able to make custom movies misses this key fact.

[@arib8782]

At 50 seconds in - I agree with Peter in disagreeing with his guest here as well, but not because AI is going to as good at Humans in terms of all the work that goes into storytelling and camera direction and editing and so on. Yes, all that and more may be in store for AI at some point too, and maybe sooner than we think, but I have to wonder if first the reason why this means the end for Hollywood is that among talented people working in Hollywood and outside of it (even independently), there is immense talent. There are people who know how to tell a story, who study filmmaking and writing, and who won't want to deal with the impossible gatekeeping setup Hollywood has in place when all they want to do is make their stories into films. Also there's the fact that overblown budgets and increased financial risk have been killing Hollywood productions. There's plenty of creativity in those productions but it's all in the context of playing things too safe which often results in same old same old. If we're nearing a point where it doesn't cost anything beyond a subscription to generate cinema-ready footage of any kind, who needs studio backing? Who needs effects companies and sound stages? Even if Hollywood owns the rights to many properties, they're going to have a LOT of competition once the tech gets good enough, and they're not going to be able to claim exclusive ownership of all tech that generates footage. It's hard to say any of this for sure, and I'm definitely open to theories that say the opposite, but what I'm saying is what seems plausible to me. It's just what I feel I'm seeing as very possible in what lies ahead.

[@theriddleman7648]

I believe that Sora has the potential to create a compelling visual pitch that can attract the interest of studios and independent stakeholders, allowing them to gain a clearer understanding of the film project and potentially invest in it. It's also important to shift our perspective and recognize that AI won't dominate the creative field. We need to look at AI as a tool to enhance production, not a replacement.

[@copapro]

True, Sora is a tool that will unlock thousands of creatives - I believe for an insignificant period of time. Then its capability will “replace/overshadow” all creatives who ever existed. For example, making Beethoven’s Moonlight Sonota a stick figure equivalent of a symphony in comparison to what AI will be capable of in a few very short years. AI is a tool. Since the first bashing of a rock with an intended amplified result, tools have been a relentless replacement of “tool-less” human capability. Relentless, but there has been a near standstill in the speed of tool capability advancement over the past 5,000 years in comparison to the past 100 years. The past 10 years has been a near standstill compared to the 10x every 6 months pace AI is currently tracking at. Humans are not great at projecting patterns that track on an exponentially curved timeline. All tools have augmented our capabilities prior to evolving and replacing us. Intelligence and creativity have kept humans relevant as tools have increased in both volume and capability. Let’s say creativity is recognizing patterns and remixing what exists to create seemingly novel outcomes and intelligence is a level of awareness of the cause and effects of patterns… Let’s also say that creativity and intelligence, the human brain (a tool often used as a tool by other human brains), are what all other tools have serviced. We are now creating a digital AI tool that will replace the brain in the hierarchy of capability in the same way a tunnel boring machine has the genealogy of replacing our hands when it comes to digging a hole. Meaning creative directors will be replaced whether we want to believe that death of self or not. AI will go from inferior to superior at content creation faster than any other technology/tool. Just like film cameras vs digital. There is a limit on analog resolution and organic tissue compute. Initially film resolution and dynamic range were superior to digital but digital had the potential to scale far beyond the limitations of film. In a few short years digital has become superior to film and continues to increase the gap. All at a small fraction of the innovative pace of AI as it’s just starting to ramp up. That said, we still shoot on film, ride horses, read books, listen to radio and play chess but we don’t often use the breast stroke to cross the Atlantic. We don’t have any idea what will be remixed by AI and exist in the new world of entertainment and innovation that will soon populate our reality. Whatever it is, grace is the goal. At least, this is how it all seems to be tracking.

[@scoundrel99]

I’m finding that the good futurists are having a tough time predicting where we’re going to be even 3 years from now. They’re way more accurate than the typical dystopian Joe, but they’re getting less confident in their opinions.

[@hardwalker95]

ai won't surpass all human writers before a lot of time if ever. it will replace the majority of them, who just remix the same story, but not the most creative ones. an example to understand : imagine a movie with a plot built around a groundbreaking philosophical idea conceived by its screenwriter about the nature of reality and considered as a revelation to the audience. if an ai system where to try doing the same, it would take what philosophers have written and incorporate that idea so it would be just an incorporation of a preexisting idea. indeed, it can't have complex radical philosophical ideas. it's like ai is blind to that level of creativity and abstraction since it doesn't see the world, it only computes data according to algorithms written by humans. only a human writer with that groundbreaking philosophical idea could write a movie around it. maybe it will use ai for help but the core of the story will be from him. not ai. to produce marvel stories it will be doable by ai since it's mostly remix with repeatable patterns.

[@ShivaInu42]

So excited to make new genres of hentai with generative AI soon

[@johndoughty7438]

You’ll have a whole bunch of new people that will be their own Director or producer and come up with all new kinds of ideas. I’m glad Hollywood’s going away. They’ve gotten very old as far as the stuff that they pump out. It’s got to be vampire. One vampire to vampire three vampire for no imagination.

[@dilshersingh1568]

The music industry and Hollywood should be democratized-power to the people! No more copyright dominance. Power to the people! Let's not allow wealthy individuals like Diddy to misuse their power and influence. AI is for everyone; AI represents decentralized entertainment. Please, let your voices be heard.

[@bobbykanae]

AI doesn’t yet have a ‘point of view’, which is what makes a great film and film maker. The best films also give you a feeling of catharsis, which is an emotional experience created from a film maker’s understanding of the story they’re telling. Until an AI can have an understanding of emotional point of view, they won’t be able to string these things together better than best human creators. Maybe they can do better than amateurs, but not the masters and professionals, at least until there’s a giant leap something akin to AI sentience. If you ask AI to write a story now it’s generic as hell and almost always boring, repetitive and uses the same phrases all the time.

[@bullpaxton2001]

eh hes giving hollywood a lot of credit... their main problem is being unable to write a decent story thus the remake sillyness were in now. the hollywood producers dont allow creative to come in before strategy.

[@jayeifler8812]

Hopefully.

[@atlasatendido]

I believe the best solution for us and our livelihood is to build a content-creator worker-cooperative, an artist owned streaming and sharing platform.. if creativity is fully democratized and anyone can make really cool art with just natural language.. would not the most natural solution be to form a corporation everyone equally owns it, where now anyone that wants to be a film maker or game dev or whatever can join and add to an awesome creative ecosystem? Would anybody be interested in starting this with me?

[@keithpeterson9560]

So here is the thing. Just my opinion. Artificial intelligence is just that; artificial. It is electrons flowing thru an inorganic set of chips of some kind. It has no feelings, emotions, desire, hormones, hunger, self awareness, or self preservation. All of those things that make us human. It will imitate those things in an ever increasingly sophisticated way, and some of us will be fooled into thinking it has reached the so called singularity, but it won’t be. The power of neural nets and quantum computing working together is where we will unlock natures biggest secrets and where we will benefit the most if we don’t f**k this up. We have to keep Dr. Frankenstein in check.

[@vilmospalik1480]

Human brains are also in a sense just electrons flowing it’s just that the material is organic but I don’t see how this ‘organicness’ has anything to do with our capacity to feel emotions and the like or how it differentiates us from the same thing happening in silicon

[@keithpeterson9560]

And there lies the problem and why the risk to humanity is so great. Because people like you and Sam Altman don’t see the difference between “AI” and “RI” and actually think “AI“ is or will become superior within the human lexicon. Maybe AI will win at chess or Go, but humans will see abstract solutions that AI will never truly understand. I believe in the right hands AI could become a great tool for humanity, but with the smart monkeys not being so smart, It also is an existential threat. It might be a little too soon to be playing god…klp

[@antoniobortoni]

Its a super jump, from costing millions one scene to dollars or cents.... its saving money... even you dont need the expensive model gorgeous actors that take blood from kids to maintain their beauty.... its a big win. People will prefer virtual online reality over spending time and money sitting watching movies and eating junk food, like going to sports to eat junk food and buzz, my point cost drops are to celebrate i am fan of anime and to convert a manga to anime movie with sora is so possible, its a dream to see all your manga become a real movie or see you favorite movie become 3D disney pixar movie filter... there si no limits... But why high resolution could be low resolution video and upscale that cost less compute power... maybe, low millions cost IA video model more successful would be one that is only inputs good visuals and low resolution imput and output... so you get something fast and upscale if you like it... its an idea. IA animation model of vectors like southpark style etc... the sky is the limit.

[@francofiori926]

And Ideogram

[@cleetusHead]

I will always choose human made art of any medium over AI garbage no matter how good it gets.

[@vilmospalik1480]

This is the final layer of cope after the ai can’t do art and the ai art is bad look at the hands and the ai art is not real art copes have fallen

[@OnigoroshiZero]

The good AI art is already better than most of the human-made art, and it will only get better with time (plus faster and cheaper). Saying that AI art is garbage just shows that you don't know what's happening. You are probably liking AI-made art without even knowing that it's AI generated. This will also be true for every other kind of art or media (even games) within the next 14-18 months.

[@halnineooo136]

You won't be able to tell which is which

[@cleetusHead]

@@OnigoroshiZero Its not art unless its made by a human its garbage,

[@cleetusHead]

@@halnineooo136 who cares we will all die in WW3 anyway.

[@Rick-rl9qq]

Idk why he is so cynical. Has he even read "the singularity is near" we're about to accelerate to top speed

[@deadloq1882]

Lmao!! This guy thinks only Hollywood can do that! There are tons of creative people out who will beat the pulp out of Hollywood. There is an AI tupac album by Dopfunk that is totally on par with 90s west coast rap!! Rip Hollywood !!

[@paulkieffer1189]

This guy is wrong. Peter is correct. Hollywood is done.

[@ewaneemasango8517]

💯 if it’s done 3-5 years from now, it’s already done.

[@SocialTestBed]

This guy doesn't know what he says xD. Hollywood original and creative... Ahahahah. That's a lie. They just make what they create to make money.. Imagine if we can create a movie version of a wonderful book in a few minutes. The guy talks about Dune... But that's relatively niche. It's good but niche.

[@DigSamurai]

​@@SocialTestBedthat's just cynical low resolution thinking

[@DigSamurai]

Peter's analogy is flawed. As someone in production, I can tell you most people are not creative enough to even know what they want. This notion that everyone will be able to make custom movies misses this key fact.

[@pseudoscientist8010]

Guest is correct, at least a decade ago, Hollywood has not made a good movie in a decade. The cost savings alone will buckle Hollywood.