What The Next Great Leap in AI Will Look Like | MOONSHOTS

This clip is from the following episode: • Ray Kurzweil & Geoff H...
Ray Kurzweil, an American inventor and futurist, is a pioneer in artificial intelligence. He has contributed significantly to OCR, text-to-speech, and speech recognition technologies. He is the author of numerous books on AI and the future of technology and has received the National Medal of Technology and Innovation, among other honors. At Google, Kurzweil focuses on machine learning and language processing, driving advancements in technology and human potential.
Geoffrey Hinton, often referred to as the "godfather of deep learning," is a British-Canadian cognitive psychologist and computer scientist recognized for his pioneering work in artificial neural networks. His research on neural networks, deep learning, and machine learning has significantly impacted the development of algorithms that can perform complex tasks such as image and speech recognition.
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[@KevinBurns86]

I hope Ray lives to see it all. Good man.

[@squamish4244]

He's pushing it. Damn he's gotten old fast.

[@jippoti2227]

@@squamish4244 I was thinking the same. I really hope he makes it, because his predictions made decades ago have been unbelievably accurate and the world needs him to make more predictions to tell us where we are heading.

[@chapbot2023]

​@@squamish4244That's what I thought, he looks awful

[@graphguy]

Good man? you don't know squat about him then.

[@KevinBurns86]

@@graphguy tell us more. Don’t just leave it there.

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[@cheponis]

Ray looks like he aged 30 years in the past year.

[@erikals]

nah

[@zsombornagy3935]

nawh its probably the lighting and camera angles bringing out his features

[@cheponis]

@@zsombornagy3935 Considerable paunch, considerably more 'jowly'. Now wearing glasses. Only 1 ring, used to wear 4. Eyes are droopy, not like the fire there once was. Speaks more slowly (although he was never a fast talker). He actually speaks as if he has had a mini-stroke. But what do I know, long live Ray K.

[@dennistucker1153]

I would predict that A.I. will be surpassed by Artificial Life.

[@alir.9894]

What the heck happened to Ray Kurzweil??! I saw an interview with him about 6 months ago and he looked so much younger?!!

[@adamd9418]

Irregardless of timelines, this is a very interesting, exciting (and occasionally scary) time to be alive.

[@KevinTheNoobie]

You used "irregardless" intentionally to piss people off, and I'm not taking the bait.

[@kairi4640]

I kinda feel like Ray made these predictions so close because he might not live to see it. 🙃

[@user-hh2is9kg9j]

He will live forever, remember?

[@thetrumanshow4791]

I don't believe we have to wait until 2045 for the singularity. I think it could happen much, much sooner and it will happen so fast, many people may not even realize it's happening.

[@thomasnielsen5580]

Yeah, singularity will come tomorrow.

[@Robinson8491]

Math is not a language in the brain, as it is not processed by broca etc. So how does the large LANGUAGE model solve this?

[@mikey1836]

LLMs are not the same as the human brain.

[@LaboriousCretin]

Singularity is a mathmatical artifact. You see narrow field sudo high intelligence. Glimmers of A.G.I. but more work needs to be done. From Googles Alpha and DOD playing wargames. To Alpha fold and such. Generative A.I. making new types of weapons. Or algorithmic trading and social engineering and algorithmic pipelines with silos and echo chambers with A.I. influincers. Multiple paths to A.G.I..

[@OldEarthWisdom]

But how will this "intelligence" affect life and the planet? Will there be more or less joy and goodness?

[@gareththomas3234]

The smartest out of 100 billion humans have only been 200 IQ or so. So really we are about to go beyond our human understanding next year. If you want to say the singularity has begun next year you may as its a personal choice ;-)

[@itzhexen0]

Let me just put out my findings to the internet... oh no we have to compete with china we have no choice. lol.

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[@nmeau]

100 years - this guy is so funny. Try 1 year.

[@thomasnielsen5580]

Try 1 month or 1 day.

[@coolcool2901]

AGI by September-January 2024-2025.

[@mistycloud4455]

AGI terrifies me hope we have more time than that so we can manage the risks

[@kairi4640]

You watch David Shapiro I assume? That's the time period he suggested too.

[@raul36]

Based on what? The completion of the stargate project in 2028 may give you an idea that AGI will not be available until then. Stop speculating, because there is nothing under the table to indicate otherwise.

[@justinleemiller]

4-8 months?

[@thomasnielsen5580]

No AGI by January 2025.

[@edwin.jansen]

So let me get this straight. Increasing the speed of personal access to information is now equivalent to having higher intelligence? So creating a direct link in your brain to Elon's SkyNet somehow makes you more intelligent? Really?!? I think we are having another erosion of a word going on, something that seems to be a rampant disease in my lifetime. You are not more intelligent just because you can access information faster. You still have to process it and do something with it. This is also the whole problem with our 'education' today. It makes the same assumption. As if cramming in as much as possible of most of the time useless facts into a young person's brain somehow makes them more intelligent. The word education comes from the Latin word educate, meaning to draw out from within. Not cram into from outside! We still have no real clue what intelligence really is and how our brains really work. We are still only scratching the surface. I think that it might be better to first define the word intelligence, which is almost impossible. Don't ask me. I have an opinion about what not constitutes intelligence but what it really is I have no clue. Perhaps it does not even really exist and it is just a term scientists and other legalised, formalised 'professionals' have created to justify what they are doing? By the way, no chip will enter this body unless it is a matter of staying alive. I rather by 'unintelligent' than being hooked up permanently to SkyNet.

[@BruceThomson]

- The reality is that merging with IT is 'functional' augmentation of the human to be effectively, usefully more in intelligent. It's not just 'access to information'. It's access to processing that augments the person - effectively making them 'more intelligent' in the ordinary functional sense of being able to sense, process and express information, and at a speed that's orders-of-magnitude faster than a human brain can. - In a comical contrast, how 'intelligent' is a person who's enclosed in a sound-proofed box, inescapably tied hand & foot, gagged and drugged insensible? Dynamically not intelligent. - And-and-and, we're already (with Neuralink) implanting devices that can digitally interface with our cerebral cortex, and could today implant a cell phone within us if we really want to. - E.g., I'd suggest my recent new ability to create assisted intelligence artwork 'increases an important portion of my intelligence' in that way 'augmenting me', 'making me effectively, practically, usefully more intelligent', just as my computer does. That is, I can now rapidly acquire creative visual art ideas from it, choose which ideas I like, modify them, display them to myself and others in great new, fast ways that process information. ChatGPT augments my intelligence 'effectively' despite being 'external' (so far).