Keynote - Peter Zeihan - 2022

Presented Sept. 8, 2022 at the 54th Annual ECC PerspECCtive Conference in San Antonio, Texas. “Energy at the End of the World”. Peter Zeihan is a geopolitical strategist whose irreverent approach transforms topics that are normally dense and heavy into accessible, relevant takeaways for audiences of all types. Peter combines an expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future.
Peter’s fourth book, "The End of the World is Just the Beginning: Mapping the Collapse of Globalization" was released in June 2022. Find it at your local bookseller: www.indiebound.org/book/97800...
#geopolitics #eccconf2022 #eccconference #globalization

[@roxxcoroxx498]

Why isn't this stuff on our news channels? The major networks need to see not only our hunger for this real information, but our need for it. Educate, rather than divide. Thank you to all involved in making this available.

[@blafonovision4342]

There is profit in division and obfuscation.

[@Kieran.Net_]

@@blafonovision4342 not really. There is power and leverage. Informed people are more productive and overall profitable.

[@blafonovision4342]

@@Kieran.Net_ but for whom?

[@mri3384]

Most Americans will be bored and frustrated with such info. You feed them either red meat like fox or frivolous crap like abc news.

[@Kieran.Net_]

@@blafonovision4342 profit is generated between consenting parties in mutual transactions wherein people value what they are receiving more than what they are giving

[@zmdeadelius]

No one brings the bad news as entertaining as Peter.

[@Subhumanoid_]

How is it "bad"? This globalized p.o.s. world has done nothing but deindustrialize the West.

[@kevinmckay1389]

Maybe he can work for Xi😅

[@timrichardson518]

He takes Data today and extrapolates it into the next five years as though it’s carved into stone - hell, I don’t know what’s gonna happen tomorrow and neither does Peter

[@ChrisBrengel]

Good one! You can count on Peter to always be entertaining and provocative. You can also count on him to occasionally over simplify outrageously and make unlikely assumptions in order to _stay_ entertaining and provocative! Which is not to say he doesn't make some valid and useful points. It's just a good idea to take what he says with a grain of salt and find someone else's opinion!

[@ChrisBrengel]

You can count on Peter to always be entertaining and provocative. You can also count on him to occasionally over simplify outrageously and make Unlikely assumptions in order to _stay_ entertaining and provocative! Which is not to say he doesn't make some valid and useful points. It's just a good idea to take what he says with a grain of salt and find someone else's opinion!

[@lisakistler9795]

I love Peter, and I am a progressive liberal. My dad is a Trumper. We constantly fight about politics. I sent him a Peter video. He asked for his latest book. He has now watched all of the videos he can get his hands on. Thank you Peter- we now have things to talk about which don’t end in a stalemate! ❤

[@francisvantuyle]

Liberals have had a greater negative impact on the world. Lately Liberal criminal behavior within government have awakened so many people. That the coming elections in November will switch the country towards Republican policies. While reverting presidential decrees that are poisonous to the USA and the world. It has been Democrats that have allowed deadly Fentanyl to fl8w unchecked into the USA. KILLING OVER 300 people a day. Americans have had enough of the deadly drug trafficking by Democrats. Additionally Democrats weaponizing the DOJ and FBI against all Republicsns and Conservatives. You are not going to like it when this is turned against you. You started it. Hispanics and Black's are on to you. It is over for Democrats. Your big mistake was not Killing every Republican in two years.

[@mri3384]

You dad probably thinks that Peter is another avatar of lord trump. Like joe Biden is.

[@jeebusk]

Bernie and Trump are some of the only non-globs in politics.

[@JoeyDaBull]

r u really a progressive liberal 🤮r u pro trans surgery for kids too? and lgbtq diversity hires?

[@jeebusk]

@JoeyDaBull, the Left is NOT liberal. That's probably why you deleted your message...

[@TGravy-wp4rc]

Peter Zeihan has made me stop being obsessed with domestic political nonsense and more focused in global economics, which is what truly matters, and I've seen someone appear so negative but also so positive at the same time and actually make sense lol!

[@RonCecchetti]

Me too

[@JesusChristian-dn4cm]

I think that the national socio-economic issues are the distraction they use to keep us obsessed w/stupid things..like debating stupid stuff like CRT etc

[@stevenshorten6184]

As a Millennial who "got screwed", thank you for acknowledging this Peter.

[@randyross5630]

Dude the Boomers Bullied US so Hard, and still Do... Most of my Bullies have been Boomers! And still are, my Boomer Rich Liberal Summer Home Neighbor was making Fun of me at the Gas Station and Kept calling me Brandy! When he 100% knows that's not my name and was smirking and smiling way to much to ever think he didn't know exactly what he was doing. Here's the Thing, they are our Parents, and have Power over US, they out Number every other Generation and have since childhood, and took over the Secret Societies, and they don't let us in, and they've designed society to bleed our generation dry for there Profits. They lock US up at a multiple fold higher rate than they were, in For Profit Prisons they have Stock in or Pension Stock in, they have US paying Social Security, that we in Turn won't get, the whole system was designed for 80 years, it's a Boomer Ponzi Scheme on US, and they weren't even nice enough to have enough kids so it could keep going before it Bursts! The Boomers have left US with 30 Trillion in Debt! They Robbed our Generation and the next 2 or 3! The Boomer is Pure Evil!

[@randyross5630]

Dude If you Only Understood how Intentionally what the Boomers doing to US is, you'd be in the Streets Rioting! Just think, they make fun of our whole Generations! When we are their Kids? Why do they need the Anti our Generation Propaganda? To Justify and Validate what they've done to our Generation and the Next X amount! 30 Trillion Dollars in Debt so the Boomers can live a Life Style the Rest of US Mathmatically Can't!

[@randyross5630]

The Boomers out number every other Generation, so they just by pure Numerically Superiority Racked Up 30 Trillion in Debt mostly for Them, that we have to Pay! In a Hundred Years what they did will be so obvious there will be laws to ensure that never happens again!

[@randyross5630]

The Boomer Had to Embezzle my Education Funds and Completely Refuse me an Education, as for 15 Years till I learned to become my own lawyer, first having to learn how to write 1st! In my Mid Twenties, Self Taught! And Eventually learning the Law and Slaughtering Careers as I had back and forth messages with the Gov-Ner! All they did was Arrest me for No Reason and the Boomers would just Refuse me a Trial! We basically didn't have trails were I came from, they Arrest you often over nothing, put you in jail for weeks (to keep it full per Private Contracts with their Pensions Tied into the For Profit Prisons Systems besides the Contractual Penalities if the place wasn't full) than give you time served and a fine, make you take the Deal, and they'll just not give you trial, and just keep arresting you, to beating you, till you take the Deal! All Boomers! And Guess What, all those Boomers, go to the Same Lodge! And our Generation isn't supposed to know all about that, otherwise we wouldn't be their Slaves! I don't have Rights... I'm just a Slave to the Boomer who's Broken Free and is Rebellion!

[@randyross5630]

And it didn't matter when they gave me 3 IQ Tests I kept coming back as Genius to Almost Genius! They Still Kept Declaring me Retarded 🤤 and refused to Educate me based on that False Pretense!

[@culpepper4356]

Peter made this presentation Sept. 8, 2022 at the 54th Annual ECC PerspECCtive Conference in the Grand Oaks Ballroom, JW Marriott Hill Country, San Antonio, Texas

[@frankcrosby6222]

Thank you!

[@billySquanto]

Wtf...How did I miss this? That was right down the road!

[@superiordelivery4256]

Thank you. I look forward to next year's presentation. Hopefully Peter will return.

[@davidelliott5843]

Peter had been saying this stuff for years. To date he’s been about right. Coof and Ukraine accelerated the issues he discusses.

[@Tysca_]

Gotta say Peter, the "Kerch Straight Bridge *gonna get blown up*" prediction was pretty damn timely. If only this event was postponed a week or so. Kudos.

[@richardphilpott1225]

My money says the perpetrators had no access to UAF Intel.

[@paddyotoole2058]

It’s hardly a revelation given that this had been discussed openly as potentially something that might happen for several months beforehand.

[@TheAngelOfDeath01]

@@paddyotoole2058 Yeah, but still, it's pretty damn prophetic!

[@enthoo7902]

@@TheAngelOfDeath01 It was pretty damn obvious to those involved in the globalist group. I wouldn't doubt if he was sitting at the round table during the actual planning of this attack lmfao

[@youtubedrifter5594]

@@TheAngelOfDeath01 It’s not prophetic it was probable. Highly probable. That is a major distinction to make.

[@michaellorenson2997]

Um, wow. I've now watched Zeihan describe this situation at least three times. New tech breakthroughs and advancements always have the potential to change the setup he describes, as do political surprises. But he is on the most fundamentally solid ground available. Demographics is destiny, as they say, and nothing is economically more important than abundant and affordable energy.

[@pruff3]

Yes, yes they is

[@myjizzureye]

Your father is cheap and abundantly available.

[@timwhiting6721]

Ashtabula ohio had a giant pig iron plant that was finished last year and is up and running and chip making facilities are coming to ohio as well. I'd rather pay more for American made and have the money , investment and jobs stay in our country.

[@paperandmedals8316]

I have a TSMC plant being built 15 minutes from me in AZ.

[@jsnel9185]

Better quality over time too. Maybe we can get back to the days when my tech lasted a decade or more.

[@thomasherrin6798]

Rather than fund Autocrats who use the money to moan about you and make weapons to cause you harm!

[@gunbacker9428]

Here in Pittsburgh we used to be the capital of Steel and it all left for the most part.

[@paperandmedals8316]

@@gunbacker9428 Between steel worker’s Union and the ridiculous transport rules of the Great Lakes that only US ships with US crews could sale through killed off the iron ore mining of northern Minnesota and regional iron ore to Pittsburgh steel plants. It all became ridiculously expensive compared to global alternatives.

[@castlecircle7612]

I consume all of Peters work voraciously, every presentation i can find and have read all of his books, this is classic Peter, slightly sober and on his game.

[@tuckerbugeater]

Peter wants Edward Snowden dead.

[@ryanward10]

@@tuckerbugeater He is a gay neocon, so it's not surprising.

[@vNCAwizard]

@@tuckerbugeater oh well.

[@sidanx7887]

Seems to be on a different level this guy

[@normanvanrooy3113]

Peter is incredibly ill informed and speaks with such confidence that he sways lesser minds quite easily. This is unfortunate but much of this speech is misinformation. Personally I like Peter and have listened to most of his talks, but have also listened to other’s far more informed regarding Ukraine and Russia and NATO. Almost all legacy media are reporting highly crafted propaganda as fed to them by the neocon deep state bent on the destruction of Russia using Ukraine bodies and Western armaments with the traditional lies of defending democracy. The hypocrisy is immense look no further than the utter destruction of Iraq the rape of Libya the ravaging of Syria all with lies resulting in the creation of Isis with millions displaced and dead. Remember Afghanistan? 20 years and abandoned with billions of $$ equipment left behind intact. Do you remember the mountain of lies told to us? And you expect to know they all of a sudden are telling you the truth about what they are doing in Ukraine? Grow up.

[@briangrimmer8225]

The only man capable of herding all the Black Swans at once. Hugely entertaining and prescient.

[@kryptokc3800]

Lackey

[@George-pt8tb]

I am also a geopolitical analyst and owe a huge debt of gratitude to Peter Z. for this interest. That said, I can think of many he missed

[@eliotnes6036]

Well, if you belive that Gaddafi was a pirate who jumped on ships with rice, then this makes a lot of sence. Althogh the USA makes less then 2% of the world's population, it somehow manages to impose its opinion on majority of the world, but, ironically, you are willing to die for democracy. You are capable of thinking that USA is self-sustaing, but you will attack anyone if they don't give you a cuts. Demography. I belive that board is real, you would never lie like the Chinese, or God forbid, bad Russians. Still, how many on that board are in prisons, mentally ill, people affected buy the opiod pandemic, people who are too overweight, ill people, or just mass shooters. On end, as he said, there are a lot of places that you protect from war, because of the past, luckily the USA past is known for its peaceful politics and racial tolerance and party indivisibility.

[@hg2.]

How about keeping the Bretton Woods/US Navy security guarantees???? Can't that stupid United Nations get its act together for that?

[@ernestovelasco6182]

I love how he presents the current events like ; Ukr/Russ war, China problem etc. , he was so intelligent, gifted person who can even discuss and explain events within his own perception - my praise ! watching from Philippines..

[@lonelytraveller5062]

Kabayan here. We have to get ready. We must learn to be self sufficient and not be dependent on the US. China cannot be our friend (I'm of Chinese descent) and we must learn from China's mistake and not apply it in our country.

[@GailColeman]

I've never been good at math concepts. Economics is like taking math and mixing it with political science and sociology, put a bow on it and light it on fire. At least it SEEMS to be burning now! 😀

[@Make_Boxing_Great_Again]

Google false dilemma.

[@shostako1284]

he is a professional smoke seller and knows exactly what americans wants to listen, and in what manner..

[@pocnit]

@@shostako1284 Really? So who's good at analyzing geo-political and economical trends then? Give us an example and enlighten us.

[@Showmetheevidence-]

He’s good & knowledgeable on global topics… But he does 2 things - 1) seriously exaggerates & 2) never factors in adaptation (people don’t just sit and watch things happen, they react).

[@richardj163]

As an X’er saying “not us” Peter Zeihan is right on the money. My experience growing up was exactly as he described.

[@superiordelivery4256]

He's brilliant.

[@fazdoll]

Same here. I'm a GenXer who used to be in R&D. Those boomers not only sucked up all the jobs, they sucked up the R&Ds budgets. In the 1980s, R&D funding was easy to get, so boomers lapped it up and became "experts." Then when R&D budgets began to dry up, boomers still got what was left because they were the experts. Younger researchers trying to build expertise got almost nothing. The worst part is that the boomers thought they were brilliant, when really they were just lucky to get when the getting was good. We're all going to feel it when they take their expertise to the pickleball court, with no experts to replace them.

[@toddbilleci8563]

@@fazdoll Same. R&D management was brazenly incompetent as well hubristic.

[@cooldudecs]

@@fazdoll I see it at my job… I’m a millennial and tech is going to nose dive..

[@SilverSliver9999]

@@fazdoll Even worse with all the "Six Sigma" and "Lean". Since R&D and Tech doesn't show up in the bottom line it gets cut out. Problem is that it isn't seen how it affects everything else. I had a job where I wore a lot of hats. I fixed our internal servers, we sold equipment so I'd help smaller companies that got in over there heads, I helped salesman plan what to sell and participated in numerous sales calls usually selling more than originally planned, and created new products like a NAS box that did more than Open-E at the time using free software so was cheaper. To this day they sell that box. Problem is sales got credit for all the sales whether I was on or it included new products, and internal IT is seen as a cost not benefit. So come a downturn only thing the new counters saw is money that came in directly from hourly support to customers in over their heads. Many times salesman would include some 'Free Hours' which made it worse. So I cost x$ but only brought in y$ so I had to go.

[@joshuarosenblatt]

Had to rewatch this on 10/8. Kerch bridge. Enough said. Well done again Peter

[@learnedhand8559]

He did an interview in March 2022 and said there was no way Nordstream survived - 6 months later he was right. Dude is very interesting to listen to.

[@martynhaggerty2294]

Love the way he connects demographics, history, geography, politics and technology all in on vast sweep .. all backed up with facts .. must have a photographic memory.

[@user-dx7jn2tq4z]

You should read the stratfor cables referencing him released on w. leaks. As I recall they were quite impressed by him back then.

[@Ratkill]

I love how when people argue against his projections, its not that they are based on bad evidence, or that the events are unprecedented, or even that there is something missing from the equation , its that they simply seem extreme. I've heard no legitimate counterpoints to anything this man says, other than insisting drastic change is somehow unlikely.

[@lieshtmeiser5542]

He will say something like 'this is what Russians think', just because Putin thinks something doesnt mean its the actual facts of the situation. For example, before Putin showed how weak his military is, noone had any intention of invading Russia or threatening it. Putin implemented a self fulfilling prophecy, because now any player that wants to knows that they can chip away at Russia and theres a good chance it will break up.

[@superiordelivery4256]

Unfortunately, there is nothing "extreme" about famine, fuel shortages and situations where nations are on the brink of collapsing. It happened throughout history. In fact, Peter was going easy on us. Japan's extreme fuel shortages, brought on by the U.S. in the early 1940s (to deter them from expanding their war on their neighbors and China in the Pacific) caused them to attack Pearl Harbor and start WW2 for us. Hitler murdered all across Europe and Russia in his search for raw materials and oil. This is how world wars begin.

[@mysterioanonymous3206]

I think that's more because you have preconceived notions or because you aren't listening. The US won't exist in a vacuum, and if you think you can I think you're in for a surprise. The US has a host of advantages that they can and eventually will loose, from the dollar as reserve currency to fossil fuels to military expenditure. By definition what gets you is what you don't see coming. History is littered with unforeseen events, and this will be no different. Maybe not this year, and maybe not next, but it'll happen one way or another.

[@mrgyani]

Well he says it with too much confidence. I don't understand how he can make such specific predictions in a complex world, where things can change, humans can adapt and there may be stuff he just doesn't understand. Like his prediction of food shortage - there was a counter to that, that we already produce way more food than we need. Except a lot of it goes into feeding cattle. So worse comes to worst, it's the cattle that die hungry not humans. The lack of shipping insurance hasn't impacted the Russians ability to sell oil yet.

[@bighands69]

@@mrgyani People are mixing up his solid predictions with that of the things that he shows can play out. He is rock solid on the demographics of Russia, EU and China. What that sort of world looks like once a certain threshold has been passed. The US has already demonstrated that it is withdrawing from world police duties and will focus its efforts on certain partners that benefit the US.

[@Carrera6rennsport]

Peter's presentation make me feel like a fly on the wall in a high-level military war room meeting.

[@simonseverino]

Best delivery of relevant information. And free! Thank you Peter.

[@SubBrief]

This is absolutely amazing. Well done.

[@jeebusk]

So are you

[@musashiwebb]

I've been preparing for the last decade for a life style similar to how my great grandparents lived. Mostly hand tools/food production/food preservation, with a sprinkle of modern technology to help. I never imagined the last few years. I'm grateful that I had been. Close to owning land. Best of luck to all.

[@mattmatthewm2489]

Plant potatoes, cabbage and sweet corn. Especially potatoes. Tear out your flower garden if necessary.

[@odoylerules4503]

owning land won't mean jack when the law of the land dissipates into thin air

[@musashiwebb]

@@odoylerules4503 this is true, however I hold enough ammunition and firearms to arm myself, son, and make friends with the neighbors. Warriors in the Garden.

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

Prepper alert! JK. Me too. 👍

[@willchristie2650]

My grandparents were farmers in Wisconsin. Very very hard work. But all the food was healthy. My grandmother would can just about everything for winter, which is harsh in Wisconsin. It was a system that worked, but again it is a hard life. My grandfather died at 52 of a stroke while working in the fields. When he didn't come to lunch, my grandmother walked the fields until she found him. This crushed her because without a man back then, running a farm is very hard. She had to sell up. An end to an era. And for the record, they had NO GUNS. Where is all this paranoia coming from, the right wing? Fox and Q have damaged this nation like nothing else since WW2.

[@johnboy1379]

Peter makes the whole world make sense! Absorbing his take reading his books the world makes so much more sense Thanks

[@tuckerbugeater]

Peter wants Edward Snowden dead.

[@toddinde]

Peter is great, but nobody is 100% on prognostication. You need to hear some that take the opposite position. Peter is much more persuasive in my view, but it is good to hear the other side. I was listening to some former CIA guy arguing that China is ten feet tall. That is what most politicians and military leaders think. It's ridiculous. There is no reason to get into a war with China.

[@propertysolutions4773]

How does all Peter Z say make sense? USA has unproductive workers, has a opiate epidemic, non existent household savings, dangerous cities with extreme violence & a white supremacist undertone -so why is none of the above discussed??

[@thekaiser4333]

What a pile of crap. On his map Germany is beige. Truth is, Germany is a top agricultural powerhouse, Texas could only dream of. So, ,,, no, sorry. Peter is rubbish. He should better return to the Texan tradition of shoveling dung.

[@purity_control]

@@tuckerbugeater Who said that Putin does not believe in climate change?

[@Subhumanoid_]

I'm loving this and Peter is nothing but a harbinger of _good_ news disguised as bad.

[@Vanderlayindustries]

The first of his books I read was Accidental Superpower. It put me in a horrible mood for a month before I could finally accept it.

[@305dreamhonda]

I’m sorry, but this comment makes me laugh cause I understand! Still I feel his predictions are xtreme.

[@MietoK]

3:00 ”If You go to the right. The Blue. Nobody lives there.” As a Finn now I am defenetely quite depressed 😢

[@ryanstucke7811]

Your not a nobody to me

[@lembergnative7731]

we love Suomi - cheer up! :)

[@joshuajames2425]

The Finns are awesome

[@piknick111]

I noticed that on the map as well. Sweden as well? Dunno never been. Would like to visit Finland some day.

[@aldonfroelick7392]

Welcome to NATO! We definitely know you are there on the front lines. Let's remain at peace together.

[@clarityquester1653]

Peter's tie pattern looks symbolic of the swirling admixture of today's global dynamics.

[@Ed-pv6ke]

Texas is larger than France. A country that Peter here picked as one of the few countries that will succeed in the new realignment. Nice to know we are living rent free in his head.

[@TheBrittKoball]

No one on the internet gives more quality information, faster, than this guy.

[@hikecampdrinkrepeat2162]

It's amazing when someone like Peter comes around, the man's brilliant

[@sigmsctt8130]

@men!

[@w8stral]

Damn, you are easily lied to it appears and you claim "brilliant"... Suggest a ships basic range of which China literally has 10's of thousands of them where he spouts blatant Bull Shit about range bringing into question Everything else he says. He makes many good points, but damn is the hyperbole THICK!!!.... Just look at his so called "NEON" problem... Talk about laughable. Vast vast majority of neon is used in signage.... a tiny amount is used in silicon chip production. USA could by itself supply everyone in the world for silicone chip production. Next BS line is Fertilizer... yes there is a problem but not nearly what he claims it is.

[@manlyadventures]

Not when it comes to US politics, he is a Biden supporter even when his mental decline became noticeable!!

[@ragged_claws_scuttling]

I like your handle very much.

[@eriklondon2946]

So glad I listen to you @Peter Zeihan! Thank you for explaining things so well.

[@Stephensilver1]

Fascinating! I recently discovered you Peter and so glad that I did! If I may make a respectful suggestion...I would love for you to do a speach/video/book where you score your predictions in your first two books as to how accurate you were and where you were not. With your brilliant mind I think this would be fascinating to hear/read and also be a benefit for you in helping you tweak your skill set.. always looking forward to your daily emails. Stay Well!

[@KingJJ109]

I to have just recently discovered him and I instantly gravitated to him.no b.s .. doesn't try to walk the line just says it how it is.. articulate and with humor

[@TheSurgeIsHere]

Some one else could do that. Probably a more fair way anyway

[@01gerro04]

Just discovered him today on this clip ... Not even sure how it popped up but very glad it did. Fascinating breakdown on the global integrated economy.

[@salestherapy]

hes 95 percent correct on most things about 95% of the time. i would bet on him every time because mathematically his logic is superior. the few times or percent hes off is easy offset with whats right. hes far more accurate about the future than the news/weather reporting after the fact. im a die hard reader/listener. ive heard and learned most of it all by now. genius.

[@francisvantuyle]

Peter Zeigan has the magical Crystal ball on Strategic analysis of the world. Everyone should listen to him. He has come to some eye opening conclusions in Ukraine and China. His analysis certainly did get my attention.

[@protorhinocerator142]

Color me impressed. This is a real video with a roll-up to date with all the lessons learned since the start of the Ukraine invasion. It's been a while since we saw one of these hour long videos that wasn't a copy/paste from 3 years ago. Probably around 3 years is how long it's been. I mean the math on that wasn't really very hard.

[@ctcollinthib]

If there is a podcast, presentation, book, or pamphlet Mr. Zeihan has produced or contributed to, it is worth your time to consume.

[@bugvswindshield]

The man is Amazing. So glad I found his channel months ago.

[@Tysca_]

What was that bridge Peter was talking about?

[@bugvswindshield]

@@Tysca_ if you can get me a time stamp I'd be glad to answer like. 20:30

[@jamesodwyer4181]

Here we are 2 weeks later: Ukraine is gaining ground on both fronts and the Kerch bridge is badly damaged. This is why I listen to the man's insights.

[@87street79]

This event took place at the 8th of September in Austin, Texas. 1:40 Peter Zeihan starts speaking. 2:26 - 7:45 Peter Zeihan's thesis on what Russia is fighting for.

[@JuteTwine]

He says that Russia wants Ukraine for use as a "launch pad to" Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Oh, man, that was a howler. These three Baltic countries are bordered by Kaliningrad, Belarus, a little bit of Poland, aaaaaand....European Russia.

[@luckyo11]

@@JuteTwine You didn't listen to what he actually said in context. He said a launch pad to two next sections, which include those nations. The two sections are to the North and South of Carpathian Mountains.

[@cosmicmuffet1053]

@87 Street thank you

[@JuteTwine]

@@luckyo11, can we read a map? Russia would need no new "launch pad" for the Baltic countries---which are separated from the Carpathian mountains by Belarus and Ukraine. Pete is a moron and, as I suggested in another comment, a liar. The war was instigated by an armed habitual criminal, named NATO, which can't bear any resistance to the neocon vision of "full spectrum dominance" over the whole planet.

[@RetiredInThailand]

both Ukrainian offenses have stalled, one of them, Kherson being a complete disaster. now there are twice the number of Russian troops on the way. so long Ukraine!

[@rhammond2152]

For any of his 'lectures', it is geography-geography-geography. On a display, it does all make sense.

[@NickMart1985]

A bad political system can destroy all of it.

[@kingothesea1]

I had a feeling that the Russian invasion of Ukraine had the unintentional effect of certifying American dominance on the world stage for the next century, I feel like this keynote does a great job substantiating my suspicions. Peter Zeihan is an amazing analyst.

[@abdulachik]

as a mexican, i’m excited to get started into becoming an industrial powerhouse Besides most of my family and friends are already in texas, i’ve even worked for several texas companies remotely already xd

[@Btn1136]

We’re in Peter’s manbun era.

[@protorhinocerator142]

That's how you know it's recent.

[@gerryconstant4914]

Thought the same

[@adamking6005]

Y, not a good look...

[@artsseriouschannel]

ECC stands for Engineering and Construction Contracting Association

[@0909cxc]

Thank you!

[@daruneenorasan2528]

The best thing about this KN episode was how diverse it was. You had a Mexican chef cooking Chinese food in an Italian restaurant.

[@drclarifaerman8052]

As a geo-political strategist, you bring us a perspective of the world we live in with clarity and specificity…., with a multitude of details and realisation. Thank you for the work you’ve done …., your research…, and a desire to share it with us!

[@cbyrd2010]

This is absolutely compelling, but to be fair I could listen to Peter argue for an hour how ketchup is better than mustard.

[@cosmicmuffet1053]

Watch the ECC association get their first 100k views video on a channel with 1.17k subs.

[@87street79]

They already have two big videos by view count: Peter Zeihan in 2019 and Frank Abagnale in 2011.

[@drendir]

Can't help but love this guy's finesse. Sure it's not for everyone. But it's definately for me. Helps me swallow the subject's heavyness somewhat. 3rd time watching this. Jezeeeessssssss.

[@abodabalo]

I am not sure yet how to take Peter Zeihan's presentations in general. But thr first chapter of this one is definitely eye-opening regarding the scary long-term mental state Russia is in, and why this war matters so much globally. Turning the map by 90 degrees helped looking at it with fresh eyes.

[@ledhalenV]

He’d make a good president. Just tell us how it is without sugarcoating or playing politics to get ahead of problems. He’s probably the most unifying figure in the last 4 decades I have heard, without attempting to unify. He realizes everyone has a part to play, regardless of your personal beliefs, if we want to make it out of this with minimal damage.

[@superiordelivery4256]

I like to think that Presidents of the United States have people like Peter serving them on a daily basis. After all, they're trying to lead the free world and keep our enemies at bay at the same time.

[@ledhalenV]

@@superiordelivery4256 except they don’t have people like him or Thomas Sowell. They have people with agendas like hiring solely based on race or destroying oil to usher in renewables. The problem with “stop at nothing to push an agenda” means they can’t see how they are going to make things worse.

[@stupidvideos7337]

He knows what he's talking about, but he'd make a lousy president. He's 100% globalism. These talks are meant to scare the elite to do something to maintain the current system.

[@SheaStoney]

The only place I've been to in the mid-west is Marshaltown of all places! I had no idea it was Peter's home town.

[@markfrombriz]

how can such an insightful and comprehensive analysis only have 6k likes ??

[@nickmccarter2395]

I have to watch this video in 20 minute segments just to fully process all the information in it

[@NoWarFools]

The dude is brilliant at mixing half knowledge and panic into an entertaining mix but its also mostly that. Germany immediately diversified their gas imports to Israel, Egypt, Qatar and soon Saudi Arabia. We will get more gas from Norway snd the netherlands. The only really expensive LNG we get is from our allies the US that charge us 10x of what the russians are charging. Ultimately we will of course get energy from russia again )

[@propertysolutions4773]

Greetings from Mumbai-India You are right about alternative supplies which your Germany will get & in the medium & long term -Russia has to supply mostly to Europe & the only issue is if they get a better price & with Putin's defeat the position & economic prospects will still mean cheap gas Of course the Demographics, small internal market & lower exports all over the world because of local mfg will effect Germany in the medium & long term

[@bighands69]

Germany has not immediately diversified its gas. Where on earth did you get that idea from?

[@NoWarFools]

If you say so Mr Big Hands)

[@NoWarFools]

@@propertysolutions4773 I agree with you

[@sowireless]

I wonder if a future Russia will be part of the EU? I would guess that that is going to be the price that Russia, if you can call it a price, will pay in order to get their European customers back.

[@joannemeeks745]

Brilliant as usual. Peter Zeihan and Doomberg are my go--to sources for understanding the way the world truly is operating.

[@ckniffen7111]

Highly suggest adding Jim Rickarts to your reading. When I overlay him and Ziehan I get serious clarity.

[@meintingles4396]

@@ckniffen7111 LOL! How? They're absolute opposites.

[@RSZA011]

Honestly I would watch Peter present a 7 hour treatise on geopolitics any day of the week !

[@JoeyDaBull]

gay

[@sigg3504]

This is phenomenal!!!!!!!!!!!

[@HybridHalfie]

If you study a lot of of what he talks about this is actually really good investing research.

[@dre6289]

Yep.

[@patrickleigh1523]

What would you invest in if you knew inflation was going to be 8% to 15% per year for a decade?

[@dre6289]

@@patrickleigh1523 it's not going to be.

[@FerventReminder]

@@patrickleigh1523 Get some precious metals if you don't have any. At present you don't need that much $$$ in them to have much more than the average person.

[@MarcosElMalo2]

@@FerventReminder and stock up on brass, because if silver and gold becomes more than a hedge, you know what comes next. I do not think it will come to that. I don’t think it’s anywhere close.

[@vsubhuti]

Came to this by random you tube playing. I love this guy

[@Dima-rj7bv]

An amazing talk.

[@godspeedseven1791]

one of the best analysis of the war yet. good Job !

[@jeannettejordan7104]

Peter Zeihan is such an entertaining speaker that listening to all that data is enjoyable. Wish there was someone informed enough to challenge him, but until that happens thanks for this presentation.

[@samtedesco3529]

expert perception on world situations ...it's difficult to argue against Peter's analysis

[@TheStringBreaker]

*Phenomenal stuff from Zeihan again!*

[@natesterling7157]

Intelligent and wide ranging talk that is the kind of talk that mainstream media would never air due to a bias for short soundbites of woke ideologues but is exactly the kind of talk and analysis that people need to learn and that should be aired on not just youtube but on mainstream media.

[@CouchPotatoWizard]

You talk like a NPC.

[@s.d.3236]

Love Peter's talk as always. However, when it comes to video editing, volume level kinda matters on youtube. This video has the volume pretty low, so I have to turn the volume up really high, which makes the ads REALLY F&(*@ING LOUD

[@gomerpyle7721]

You need Premium, well worth it. Good music app too

[@davidelliott5843]

I tried to listen in the car. Gave up. Couldn’t hear him over the tyre noise.

[@echambers1112]

Install an ad blocker on your browser, I haven't seen an ad on KZbin in 10 years. I watch on my computer, not sure if that will work on a phone.

[@swankydanky8025]

get either adblocker or YT premium

[@protorhinocerator142]

@@swankydanky8025 lol YT premium

[@SkyRiver1]

Some say, "Demography is destiny." I say the history of civilization has demonstrated that one black swan event can change everything for anybody: fire, domestication of the dog, the invention of the bow, horsemanship, artillery, steam power, electricity, antibiotics, nuclear bomb/power, AI, robotics -- and most importantly the things not yet imagined.

[@friendlyone2706]

Invention can change what part of demography is most important. 50 years ago no one cared about lithium.

[@SkyRiver1]

@@friendlyone2706 No doubt about it. Thus changing the "destiny" of the principals involved. Changed "destiny" was a transient factor mistaken for destiny. For instance with the Spanish discovery of a mountain of silver in Peru it could have been said by a commentator of the time that Spain was now destined to dominate European economics for centuries. However a bunch of rowdies in a coffee shop in Amsterdam had other ideas. Changed destiny was not destiny and destiny fabricated in retrospect is history not destiny. History is a story. Destiny is not fungible, only human ideas about it are.

[@friendlyone2706]

@@SkyRiver1 Ironic the massive wealth the conquistadors "imported" from the New World in the long run brought more poverty than wealth to the once mighty nation. People who are forced to work creatively are wealth creators. Those who simply take become dependent on theft and are wealth-user-uppers. Like the difference between farmers and lazy gluttons.

[@jimluebke3869]

Ah, chaos. The bane of Asimov's "Foundation" Although these days, it's almost as if there's some media apparatus trying to play the part of the mind-controllers of the Second Foundation, to keep things on track.

[@friendlyone2706]

@@jimluebke3869 The assumption the smarter, wiser should guide humanity is a great part of the appeal of the Foundation Trilogy. An assumption I'm embarrassed to say I once wholeheartedly believed. I was wrong. You are right, it does seem as if there are those who think they should guide us primitive undereducated. An accidental conspiracy? Or deliberate "guiding?" I don't know, but I understand the road to Hell is paved with good intentions -- and agree with Dr. Sowell the over-educated but under-experienced elites have much to answer for.

[@lenastar5364]

Great presentation and would be great to know what will happen in Australia

[@robertdonnell8114]

Wow! Good stuff Maynard. This is several months out of date now but the information is still very relevant.

[@quirkmaster3064]

Peter is the best.

[@MikeRyzhikov]

Best consultant in the last several decades.

[@JonathanLoganPDX]

Monstrosity?? No - it's an absolute gem!

[@julianbryantjb]

I wish peter would do a state by state analysis. To present a blueprint of possible gains of each state.

[@UnarmingGnat]

So fertiliser futures are something to look at

[@DzheiSilis]

As for Noble gasses. The Fabs already have neon recovery system. They just never used them heavily until now.

[@fidesedquivide3486]

Thanks Peter. So enlightening.

[@geoffreyharris5931]

Excellent. Thank you.

[@randr302]

😳thank you Peter. Appreciate your work but, now I need a blankie& a whiskey

[@thesilkpainter]

So fun to listen to. Coming from a German....yay .

[@datsunlambchops4624]

Germans need to give the middle finger to Brussels.

[@Listener827]

Brilliant, thorough, and knows and applies relevant science, demographics and economics, always making relevant the historical aspect, realizing what we do will create its' own history!😎👍👍

[@johnpombrio]

Mr. Zeihan can talk for an hour and terrify me more than any horror movie. His book, "The End of the World is Just the Beginning" was scary enough with the careful explanation of just the topics of famine and demographic collapse. Add in CoVid and the war on Ukraine and he makes me want to grab my survival GO bag and hide in the woods for the next two decades. I hope this entire presentation is COMPLETELY WRONG but world events are already heading the way he is predicting. Into the Woods.

[@propertysolutions4773]

Hello John P What is terrifying about what Peter Z is saying? USA does not have the resources to own a unipolar world system & in a multipolar world -those countries with a significant population & population youth & sufficient local market will thrive -it is normal to expect a country with a significant population to be reasonably food self sufficient & have exports-tourism as *significant but not crucial in their economy* & naturally no country wants to be the world's producer like China was/is -but China's cheap exports *destroyed their cultivable land, led to reckless DEBT & urbanization* and selling at a loss meant the Chinese factory owner *send his/her ill gotten money out of China* , led to massive corruption & unwarrented non democratic ONE CHILD RULES & in 2022-2032 -everyone on Planet Earth will see the real face of China

[@willchristie2650]

Once you've heard one presentation, you've heard them all. Everything is basically a repeat.

[@propertysolutions4773]

@@willchristie2650 You are Right -Will Christie & all these seem to be bits & pieces of longer presentations in lecture halls In simple terms*the US Dollar is the last true asset of USA* and Covid has proved that *citizens in Anglo Saxon countries* have Zero Savings & after *current inflation* there is less incentive to save China is reducing its population by 45% & has less incentive to *export cheap goods to western countries* & Countries like India have *no interest in replacing China in selling cheap goods* & their IT Service Exports are already 300 billion US dollars in 2021 & will touch 1000 million or 01 Trillion US dollars by 2030- so Western countries *need to step up production to meet the needs of their own people* & anyway prices & inflation will continue until 2032 at least

[@sam71119]

Yep

[@dave4882]

I work at air seperation units. We have 100s in the usa. And not just at steel mills. My company does not make neon due to the roi for building the infrastructure needed. But its all low tech stuff. With the price going up, management could have us producing it within the year if the $$ was there.

[@swankydanky8025]

between the QT and the boomers retiring (and putting all their money into T bills), we won't have easy money though

[@abracadabrablah]

Lies

[@dave4882]

@@abracadabrablah so what part of what i said is a a lie?

[@sowireless]

Neon is the fifth most abundant element in the universe. However, it is present in the Earth's atmosphere at a concentration of just 18 parts per million. It is extracted by fractional distillation of liquid air. This gives a fraction that contains both helium and neon.

[@sowireless]

That stuff about Russia being the only source for neon is a whopper. Anyone that has access to the planet's atmosphere can make it.

[@franko2348]

Got his latest book - it is already outlined and dogeared... outstanding read.

[@cherdoful]

Ive been binging on PZ lately and I, in all honesty, appreciate his general, pragmatic approach, but i just cant ignore his underlying tone that pretends working wages are fair or up to par with inflation (which will only increase and is here to stay). I just hope all the transitions he talks about will actually come to fruition. GODSPEED TO ALL 🙏🏼

[@Nallah108]

That was REALLY INTERESTING!!

[@ikm64]

One of my favourite "thinkers" and one that makes even the most alien concept...folksy

[@Jonzouz123]

Excellent

[@hawk9664]

This is the best geopolitical and world economics lecture ever. I've watched a lot of Peter before, but this presentation perfectly brings all the ideas together in a way that's equal parts engaging and terrifying.

[@bruceabercrombie2539]

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[@Make_Boxing_Great_Again]

His projections are not likely.

[@Make_Boxing_Great_Again]

That’s all they are, just ideas, if he can predict the future then why doesn’t he make a fortune on the stock market. Go figure.

[@petenztube8592]

This looks fascinating. I look forward to watching it when you re-upload it with the sound fixed.

[@Tarkonomist]

doubt that’ll happen boss

[@themoonman-4]

Peter at his best

[@richarddelotto2375]

Thank you for sharing this!

[@m.h.1287]

In Germany 🇩🇪 we are not taking it very serious at the moment. We have big discussions about the energy problem, but demographic comes far behind energy and climate. How can we deal with it in a prosperous way? Are there possibilities? It is just breathtaking how rapidly everything changes probably several times during just one generations period

[@marietzannetakis7870]

Thank you for this! I haven't felt this exhilarated since B school (1987)!!

[@Rjsjrjsjrjsj]

Standard Zeihan. He always throws in some little gem that he doesn't mention in his other presentations but it's like a comedy act in that it's basically the same. I'm just trying to figure out where he's going with his personal grooming and clothing choices. 🤔

[@sd40t-23]

I agree, but I wish I could say it appears he's wrong.

[@MrLifecereal]

The man's living in the future, predicting global trends in energy AND fashion lol

[@Alex_OBL]

My thoughts exactly.

[@tuckerbugeater]

@@sd40t-23 Peter wants Edward Snowden dead.

[@hardrada3534]

@@tuckerbugeater He did kind of just take the documents without checking them so banishment is fine.

[@manaloola2018]

Great tie!

[@pmmw8468]

He is an original with his new hairdo, ties 👔 that don't kinda go with suits. Never-mind I am addicted to his opinions of the world 🌎.

[@MrStupidactivities]

This guy saved me from losing my mind. We're constantly getting gaslighted by the media to think in a right/left mindset.. Peter speaks from a non-biased, reality mindset. This is a reminder that nothing is as it seems...

[@raphaelhaslecker614]

Just love how he never takes any prisoners. A bit too pessimistic on humanity's (or rather that of open liberal democracies) ability to adapt, as we have seen since this speech.

[@Van_Liberty]

Very much enjoy Peter's insights. Bought his two latest book on Audible. It was good to hear him say he was completely wrong about Ukraine. I'm sure he'll be, shall we say, less than correct on other things. However, I would trust his insights much more that others. There's no reason to be myopic about one person. I do check myself as much as possible with all of the very interesting data Peter presents. I really loved his take on green tech in his newest book. I mistakenly assumed he was a greenie weenie. Not true. He's a "data" expert and not much of a partisan. Very much what I crave in my own research.

[@lieshtmeiser5542]

"I'm sure he'll be, shall we say, less than correct on other things. However, I would trust his insights much more that others." I think Zeihan is more on the money than lunatic apologists like Mearsheimer.

[@el_naif]

Zeihan was wrong on Ukraine’s reaction and performance to the invasion. He was right about what was about to happen, even predicting the year where the invasion would start.

[@Orhan6125]

@@lieshtmeiser5542 always trust more a man who is willing to admit he was wrong, than a broken robot that keeps repeating the same lines no matter the context or change in evidence.

[@kgjung2310]

Everyone was wrong on Ukraine including the gross majority of the military experts. No one saw Ukraine surviving and everyone predicted Russian victory. When you look at the data and the presumptions of the time, there was no reason to think otherwise. No one saw just how incompetent and corrupt the Russian system and military really were. The war exposed all of that. The lessons the Russians should have learned from WW2, the Chechen wars, and the Georgia conflict were all ignored. Even lessons detailed by the Soviet/Russian General Staff on the conduct of proper, effective operations were thrown to the side.

[@Make_Boxing_Great_Again]

His projections are unlikely to occur, what do you research?

[@adurpandya2742]

1:01:00 Zeihan previously said that India will face a fertilizer shortage and and will have to go back to subsistence agriculture to avoid starvation. So, the economically relevant population of India will be maybe half of 1.5 billion at most.

[@stevengiji3886]

This guy is an entertainer

[@adurpandya2742]

@@stevengiji3886 yes he is, but I’d say first and foremost he exaggerates a lot, picking the worst case scenarios. he says 20% of russians have aids, and relies too much on data maps which go directly against my experience. he literally thinks that china isn’t able to make anything high value, cannot take over operations of east ural oil and gas, and doesn’t consider that china has enough of its own oil and gas to continue its militarization efforts. he was surprised that russia completely screwed up the invasion of ukraine even though it was very obvious it would. he’s still overconfident in the US and how it has very little time left to save its demographic structure, and only partially understands why birthrates fall.

[@millennialmind9507]

@@GUITARTIME2024 no dude, technology has significantly changed things here in last few years

[@HarukiYamamoto]

As an African, my answer to the qn at 1:06:54 was "none" even before she finished her sentence. Peter Zeihan is right. There is a very long list of obstacles from geography to politics preventing us from connecting to international trade centers. The cost of importing the infrastructure we need for manufacturing is painfully high, assuming zero taxes. And once the infrastructure has been imported and the manufacturing plants are running, the cost of production and cost to export makes our products too expensive to compete with China, India or Mexico. This is assuming stable politics, low cost of capital and skilled manpower, all of which we do not have. It is possible that we could become self sufficient, all signs are pointing towards that, but becoming a major manufacturing hub the size of China won't happen on human timescales.

[@mdturnerinoz]

Without a doubt, IMHO, PZ is THE MOST compelling speaker of MY (our?) time!