Peter Zeihan

@pax4370 4 жыл бұрын

Whose from caspian report? At least a quarter of us should be!

@dwayne1625 3 жыл бұрын

Myself

@Pelaaja20 3 жыл бұрын

Hell ye

@extendedclips 3 жыл бұрын

♟💪🏽

@francoluissotomayor5521 Ай бұрын

Yeiah

@francoluissotomayor5521 Ай бұрын

How about Covert Cabal?

@ChipmunkRapidsMadMan1869 2 жыл бұрын

Watching this today in ‘22 is like watching prophecy.

@changye9604 2 жыл бұрын

It’s wild man

@jhonklan3794 Жыл бұрын

demographics are destiny. He focuses on the fundementals, so the details may be fuzzy but generally he is right.

@dh7531 2 жыл бұрын

90% of what he said already happened, is happening or is extremely like to happen. This man is a genius

@jestice75 2 жыл бұрын

He said this in 2014 and stated the Russians wouldn't be able to mount a campaign in 5 years, 2019. This is happening in 2022. He stated it was due to their 50 year old engineers beginning to dying out due to the male mortality age of 59. Lots of Russian men drink themselves to death by 40, which isn't going to happen to well educated engineers. He also states Russia's draft aged men would be too greatly reduced, which they went anyways after his do or die by date.

@IpSyCo 2 жыл бұрын

@@jestice75 a difference of 3 years is actually pretty good in the realm of geopolitics. Timelines tend to be decades off if they ever happen in the first place.

@redmonkeyass26 2 жыл бұрын

@@jestice75 You forgot to mention covid, that changed the timing of many things.

@nathanielmcneal5835 2 жыл бұрын

Yet with ukraine and corona.... yeah it changed the timelines on alot.

@LRRPFco52 2 жыл бұрын

@@jestice75 Trump told Putin that if he moved into Ukraine anymore, something bad would happen, so Putin waited. Then COVID was released. When puppet Biden-su got into the WH with a rigged election, comrade Xi told Putin to wait until after the Olympics, because China needs to bolster their image internationally. As soon as the Olympics were over, Putin finally launched and the campaign has been lackluster at best. Key problems Russia has had: * Rail freight transportation * Military leadership * Coordination * Logistics * Conscripts with substandard training who were lied to and told they were on exercises * Limited ability to even bury or account for their own dead * Lack of air superiority, even though Ukrainian Air Force has been severely reduced * Cargo ships turned into fire balls in-port * Ships on-fire in the Black Sea that fled from the port * Putin announced Phase 1 is complete, back to focusing on Eastern Ukraine region Now let’s look at their energy industry. Remember what Zaihan said about petroleum engineers? Guess who Russia has relied on even since the Soviet Times? Foreign experts. Haliburton and Slumberger have been providing the technical expertise and tooling to extract from the permafrost fields in Siberia, and now they’re out.

@canosisplays5152 Жыл бұрын

Just saw this guy on Rogan in 2023. I came back here to see what his calls (historical trend, geo stats, and logic driven analysis) were 10 years ago to see how they played out. I’m very impressed. I just hope world leaders are leveraging people who think like this.

@mmendi1114 Жыл бұрын

Hats off to you sir, this method of analysing analysers by looking at how they predict in the past and that whether it unraveled in the future is ...well rational and wise.

@runaupa Жыл бұрын

I'm excited to see how his BTC call from Rogan plays out.

@General8675 Жыл бұрын

Dude has had a pretty consistent message and lens. Either that means he is right or blind. Still more to see.

@everythingiswonderful.ever8651 Жыл бұрын

Why are there so many comments on his JRE clip saying "check this guy in 10 years" as if he's made bad predictions? I'm guessing those people are from China lol

@janus3555 Жыл бұрын

@@everythingiswonderful.ever8651 Most aren't no. They're just the types who favor China because of misguided positions, that or because they're blinded by their fervent hate for the US. It's a bit like the daughter who hates her father and runs away, but into the arms of a guy who over time, uses her to ruin her father and then rapes and kills her. That's an analogy of the paradigm.

@kiwoongpk91 Жыл бұрын

watching in 2023 to see how right Peter was almost a decade ago god damn he was right about almost everything

@grbradsk Жыл бұрын

Well, Ukraine didn't roll over and the US didn't stand by. England left the EU. NATO is, for now, strengthened.

@losthighway4840 Жыл бұрын

um no hes been saying this exact same pitch for 8 YEARS!!!! His deglobalization pitch never happened and never will.

@yungploomer6476 Жыл бұрын

@@losthighway4840 he’s not the only one warning of deglobalization and it’s not that far fetched considering supply issues post pandemic. Let’s see what happens when countries start to run out of food and then converge back here.

@losthighway4840 Жыл бұрын

@@plstewaf3 how's it deglobalization? All the existing supply chains are still in place, especially electronics.

@RJay121 Жыл бұрын

AND in 2023 the Russian military fell apart. And maybe in 2023 Putin is destroyed 🤔

@hermeticascetic 5 жыл бұрын

Wow he absolutely called Venezuela

@Pfsif 5 жыл бұрын

Like hunting in a zoo.

@mashotoshaku 5 жыл бұрын

He called a lot of things with unbelievable accuracy. And also explains something I have been wondering about. Basically the US does not need the world but the world's needs the US, that's why a lot if the developed world is rushing blindly into the cult of globalism. And the US has had the good sense to divorce itself from the fiasco. Also explains why China is now suddenly the global "darling". The rest of the world sees that the US is more and more self sufficient and so they are looking for a "partner" to align with, particularly economically speaking. I think this is a great analysis of the board as it is. A country is only as good as this people who live in it.

@JamesR1986 5 жыл бұрын

@@mashotoshaku Abandoning globalism sounds like a great idea, until you disrupt half the planet and people start fleeing their homes with nothing but the clothes on their back.

@LordInquisitor701 5 жыл бұрын

building the wall makes sense all trump needs to do limit Travel to the US 40% of illegals overstated Their visas In the US And we be able to survive. Chaos begins we get a vast ocean protecting us the only thing the US we need to do is protect its own borders and maybe select few countries

@phils5221 5 жыл бұрын

There's another video where he predicted Xi being dictator for life for China, scarily accurate.

@brexistentialism7628 Жыл бұрын

"you probably gonna see the Brits doing some currency manipulation"😂 on point!

@MarkMcelligottPeaches Жыл бұрын

Absolutely, manipulation into BITCOIN!!!

@jeff58436 Жыл бұрын

Overall, this has aged very, very well. The ability of Ukraine to recover and re-invent their military (with a lot of help from the West) clearly caught him off guard, but he's got a lot of good company there. The intersection of unanticipated Russian incompetence and unprecedented effective EU/Western cooperation made for quite a black swan event.

@garyshan7239 6 ай бұрын

If the market is strong I dont see the avg retiree putting everything into cash esp now when inflation is high since you net per year is a loss since your buying power is less-not saying it is in agressive equities but its will go into dividen stock and they can spend the dividend money things like Coke-Cola

@orveljackson3829 2 жыл бұрын

Great Research, Peter Nostradamus. I caught this guy during the Pandemic and I point him out to anyone who can speak on Geo-Politics, which is unfortunately too few. The demographic & historical knowledge of other countries is spot on.

@pedroSilesia 2 жыл бұрын

No it isn't a great research he made many mistakes.

@nathanrigger15 Жыл бұрын

@@pedroSilesia what specifically makes it bad research?

@richardhanes7370 Жыл бұрын

I haven't found anyone to debate these topics

@augustuslxiii Жыл бұрын

Nostradamus? The man is smart, don't get me wrong, but he's not a prophet. (I mean, neither was the real Nostradamus, but....) The "Green" bit was certainly off. (Unless Trump signed some Green deal I'm not aware of, lol.) Odessa didn't break away. Belarus isn't going to be taken over. And most of all, Russia isn't going to try anything with regards to NATO land. C'mon, now. That's a World War. He's acting like Russia is going to storm NATO land to close land gaps. "In four years, this [Eastern Europe] is someone else's problem." Well.... Alberta breaking away? Something like 1/5 of the province actually wants that. Mexico "THE economy to watch"? Mexico as the fastest growing economy for the next half century? Mexico's GDP growth rate: #89 as of right now. Again, the guy is intelligent. I'm not saying I know better than him overall. I'm saying - me, with the benefit of 8 years on this video - he wasn't a prophet. I give him passes mostly because, well, COVID changed a few things.

@blaisepascal5197 Жыл бұрын

@@augustuslxiii all one has to do is study patterns. But which patterns?

@joep658 Жыл бұрын

holy prophecy this dude nailed everything on the head 8 years in advance

@sabrinahutton1193 2 жыл бұрын

This is happening now…this guy is a genius.

@sibstl9569 2 жыл бұрын

i just came across his video right now during the war in the ukraine .. all coming together

@Trias805 2 жыл бұрын

As a Pole: [chuckles] I'm in danger

@redrum2812 2 жыл бұрын

This video aged like fine wine

@karelpipa 2 жыл бұрын

so he will try to conquer as much europe as he can?

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims. r

@Aizsaule Жыл бұрын

22:27 "Sudden-onset shortages...that don't end." Predicted in 2014, this is why i watch Peter Zeihan's videos.

@jeffreyfernandes2662 Жыл бұрын

Watching this in 2023 you realize just how smart he is.

@alexchen4518 5 жыл бұрын

This video aged very well: Ongoing trade war between China vs Us Russia recently seized Ukrainian ships escalating tension sanctions on Iran which prompted Iran to threatened to close the Persian Gulf

@TheTrueAdept 5 жыл бұрын

It is odd overall, a lot of his predictions DID happen within various levels of deviation outside of outside context problems and things you can NEVER truly predict...

@kokofan50 5 жыл бұрын

Aaron Neumann, if you understand the ultimate causes, the proximate causes will find themselves.

@TheTrueAdept 5 жыл бұрын

@@kokofan50 Nope, there are things here that basically are OOCs that happened over the last five-ish years... particularly in the cyber and meme warfare department.

@laetrille 4 жыл бұрын

Don't forget Venezuela prediction.

@vivekbagaria3324 4 жыл бұрын

Quite the opposite. He predicted Russian capturing many, up to 11, countries . Expected problems in Canadian political system. Completely missed the drug legalization effect on drug war. Never predicted US vs China war. Half expected US to work with Iran to destroy its neighbors. Expected Sweden goes nuclear, Japan re-militrization. One can go on and on. These predictions are very hard and if he was even half correct, he would be the richest person on the planet! Instead he makes money by selling books.

@Bluesonofman 7 жыл бұрын

Long live the American Republic

@KaDaJxClonE 7 жыл бұрын

A republic, If you can keep it.

@sidvyas8549 5 жыл бұрын

The Republic is dead. Long live the Empire

@Fish_King 5 жыл бұрын

All hail God Emperor Trump

@traditionalfood367 5 жыл бұрын

1776 - 2026

@rickw7903 5 жыл бұрын

Sounds good to me. I just wish they could go back to making an effort to create the illusion that we have a say in what happens.

@jacobrosewater8811 6 жыл бұрын

Looking back on this in mid-2018 is interesting. Although the effect of shale was slightly less than he predicted, many of his predictions have come true. The biggest one being on Venezuela, who had only just started to decline when this lecture was given.

@chrisbruce5711 5 жыл бұрын

Well we are now exporting oil

@AsG_4_ 5 жыл бұрын

Us was at one time in 2018 was the world's largest oil producer.. so was he ?

@thirstyserpent1079 5 жыл бұрын

Their exports are only growing, the Americans are on track to be a lead energy exporter tha will dominate energy markets while also being independent of markets by 2025 which doesn't actually bode well for the world as what exactly happens to the world if the US decides to withdraw militarily politically diplomatically etc and attempt to declare a European style neutrallity non interference policy as opposed to the status quo where they guarantee free trade for anyone regardless of if its Canada or a tiny place like San Marino or Malta, the possibility of the world finding itself in a scenario where a single small nation could seize a local area of land or sea routes and completely fuck up trade, for instance Iran cutting off the Straights of Hormuz in the middle east and over night stopping all oil flows, who would stop them? If the US would not then who would guarantee Europes oil shipments or Japans, what if China became very unhappy and decided to park themselves in the region to guarantee their supplies in response to a crisis.

@jeronimotamayolopera4834 5 жыл бұрын

LEGALIZE DRUGS.

@JoeBlow-fp5ng 5 жыл бұрын

@@thirstyserpent1079 Now if we could only get the courage to cut back on some military spending and cut the national debt while saving Social Security and Medicare.

@Waiakalulu1 2 жыл бұрын

Going back to watch these lectures and, yeah, they're prophetic.

@alexiskiri9693 Жыл бұрын

Brilliant. Love this guy. He knows his stuff. Wish more people were this smart.

@jianqinhu1620 Жыл бұрын

Read his new book, which just came out in June 2022

@el_naif 6 жыл бұрын

This talk is like poison to all those who still think that peace and respect in this world come from the UN Human Rights Council and through peaceful demonstrations, instead of good old trade. I used to be one of them.

@MrMurica 4 жыл бұрын

The un human rights council is a joke

@innosam123 3 жыл бұрын

Ace Nelson bait

@ericjohnson7234 3 жыл бұрын

i hope your still alive your needed. You bring sanity to this world.

@hansfrankfurter2903 2 жыл бұрын

It comes from power my dude

@gsthree9534 2 жыл бұрын

Humans don't change - "I drink your milkshake". We are all murderous animals and "society" has done little to change us.

@sean3533 5 жыл бұрын

No one has ever talked about these things in the way this guy did ever before. He's like the first guy to invent the letter R.

@andrews3545 6 жыл бұрын

So...we should annex Alberta then the rest of Canada.

@backcatcher1 5 жыл бұрын

Then denoune Russia for annexing Ukraine. Those were our free peoples you stole there!

@davidthorp01 5 жыл бұрын

Andrew Stansbury I mean...if they would like to join Id be down to party...

@paperxplane1 5 жыл бұрын

Just Alberta. The demography everywhere else is looking unfun.

@russellewis3331 5 жыл бұрын

Don't try to annex Alberta. You likely aren't expecting cruise missiles from the snow. Just saying haha. But it would be nice if you paid a fair price for all our oil. If you took a trillion out of the defend Saudi budget we could build enough oil plants you could have 20 dollar oil forever. Just saying haha.

@thirstyserpent1079 5 жыл бұрын

At the current rate, having looked at those rates of Albertan's being taxed while having a small population but all the resources and money in order to keep the french part of Canada quiet and happy I wouldn't be surprised if The region at some point in the future as economies get progressively more fucked up and the U.S. disengages fucking up oil prices which will in turn mean less revenue for Canada while at the same time they're population continues to grow meaning less money per person decided fuck this why should we put up with this? Why not leave?

@manniking233 Жыл бұрын

To all those throwing shade at Peter in the comments, I agree he shouldn't be treated like some Jesus but you could just simply call out what you disagree with and acknowledge what he got correct. It won't kill you to do so.

@timkrueger1179 Жыл бұрын

Its called manners, something we forgot since social media started.

@mr.frandy7692 5 ай бұрын

i want this guy on my trivia team

@ratnasurin 11 ай бұрын

Tanty Melbourne 18 June 2023 This guy is Genius ❤️💪

@jmehn203 2 жыл бұрын

I agree with him 100%... I've always said that America's worst enemy is America itself...

@Cecilia-ky3uw Жыл бұрын

Not only is he right he is enjoyable, a good entertainer

@theknight4317 4 жыл бұрын

I love his presentation :D. Especially the "photo" part xD

@buddermonger2000 2 жыл бұрын

I love this man more and more. Been trying to find and listen to him ever since Whatifalthist mentioned a book of his and what it predicted. It's amazing to listen to him 7 years ago tell EXACTLY what happened. Almost to the year.

@TheFactsMan Жыл бұрын

Same

@wallygator1827 Жыл бұрын

I don’t know how I found him, but very happy I did.

@Stanthemilkman Жыл бұрын

Exact thing I was doing

@dah_goofster Жыл бұрын

Dude bringing up whatifalthist as a reason hurts your case. That youtuber is the worst predictor on the platform. The dude will have all the info right in front of him and then come up with the dumbest conclusions from them all but say it with such righteousness.

@SebastianHernandez-gd3br Жыл бұрын

Fellow man of culture

@jgberzerker Жыл бұрын

Watching this is fascinating because no one even considered the possibility of a global pandemic.

@00TheD Жыл бұрын

I don't consider it now. He covers it under the weird stuff will happen and then we'll get used to it

@DejectedCat Жыл бұрын

Zeihan often lays a bit heavy into the theatrics. But damn, can't deny that he's got a pretty good batting average at predicting things.

@THEEck5000 4 жыл бұрын

This is his best presentation forsure.

@Anthropic312 7 ай бұрын

I have literally watched every video on his channel and every single thing I can find of him

@stacyclarkson6202 9 жыл бұрын

8:40 Well my wife and I have 7 kids...:) We have the basics down...

@KingofDrama1 7 жыл бұрын

Thanks for saving the country

@deniapacalda7017 6 жыл бұрын

Stacy Clarkson have another for me

@allendesgagne2206 5 жыл бұрын

Same as me but I have one grandson so that’s one up lol fun to have big family

@mfawls9624 5 жыл бұрын

But...but...overpopulation! 🤯

@_Wai_Wai_ 5 жыл бұрын

@A Serious Salamander you make the kids work. Don't automatically fund their college nor their wedding.

@xBeatnikx 5 жыл бұрын

2018 Dirt Cheap Gas. Removing Troops from Middle East. @ 55 mins France "colorful" prediction... This guy is good.

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.a

@kestutismorkunas6760 4 жыл бұрын

I watched this to check how the prognosis holds up in 4 years from the presentation. As noone expected the main wildcard - Mr. DT of USA at that point. It's still (very) scarily acurate...

@vanillasnowx 4 жыл бұрын

watch his more recent videos

@avroarchitect1793 Жыл бұрын

Trump was a wild card that accelerated some of the predictions, and slowed others.

@Daniel-qy9mb Жыл бұрын

If you came here to see if Peter Zeihan has made historically accurate predictions pre joe Rogan let me be of service. He had it all right. Only exception I found was at 34:36

@Hannodb1961 6 жыл бұрын

Very informational and entertaining. It's a pity he didn't have time for those other topics as well. It just confirms the old wisdom: demography drives history.

@rich8304 5 жыл бұрын

Listening to him makes me feel better for my nieces, nephews and there children. Great presentation.

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.

@seraphfawkes 2 жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp Indeed. Not to mention, that this is only one position, one view, that benefits only USA. There's way too many people, who wouldn't like that point of view.

@cooldudecs Жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp he predicted the war… His point is demographics have to be healthy for an empire and he doesn’t see it in China or Russia… He is looking at data

@Spur-li7ec Жыл бұрын

@@cooldudecs He is mainly cherrypicking the part of the data that support his view. Demographics of the US don't look too pretty either for instance. About the war: many experts and even my grandma predicted it: the USA showed weakness by electing Biden and the Afghanistan-desaster and Ukraine pushed hard for NATO while increasing shelling in donbas and even hosting US-biolabs. Also if you listen closely Zeihan said Russia had to move within the next 5 years - that was 8 years ago.

@Spur-li7ec Жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp I agree. He is jumping to conclusions on so little information. For instance: "China's population will drop - that means they will disappear completely". Really? Even with 700 million they still double the US. And why so certain they will rather die geopolitically in order to take care of their old generation? Isn't it rather "country before individual" over there? One medium problem is enough for him to dismiss a whole country. Oversimplifying complex issues - that's the source of his humour, but it really takes from his quality.

@darhlvercaigne8795 Жыл бұрын

Very informative

@RandominityFTW 4 жыл бұрын

"In 5 years Venezuela will have destroyed it's own market" Fuck son. You hit that one right on the head. Not just that. A lot of your predictions have been on point.

@vibratoryuniverse308 3 жыл бұрын

Listen to how effortlessly he talks about so many varied topics. Only a well-read genius can do that

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

@@vibratoryuniverse308 We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.

@murfnturf23 Жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp Zeihan is also predicted total collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Judging from those 6 areas where he is an "expert" in, as you say, it seems so. China is so fucked.

@yungploomer6476 Жыл бұрын

I think there’s three things that he couldn’t have predicted: Covid, Trump, and supply chain issues He’s spot on with everything else. It’s eerie listening to him talk about Russia, Iran and China 8 years ago

@albionnika 5 жыл бұрын

Can't believe this guy predicted the Venezuela Crisis

@bonkersblock 5 жыл бұрын

Albion Nika any 12 year old can predict Venezuela crisis! 🤣 that country walks around with a grenade pin off! Scaring not only Venezuelans but their neighbors too!

@walterbates1654 2 жыл бұрын

Feeding the KZbin algorithm. Great video. I appreciate it.

@r3b3l10u5 Жыл бұрын

One of the most interesting things I've seen lately

@johnpombrio 8 жыл бұрын

I have read his book "the Accidental Superpower" three times now and find it a fascinating read. It is unfortunate that this video cannot compare to the book as Mr. Zeihan is forced to just hit some of the highlights without any sort of explanation of how he reached these ideas. The book is much better. If any of this video intrigues you, go to the library and get his book. Will the world change the way he writes it will? I really hope not (and the author said the same thing!) but his reasoning makes good sense of what has happened and what will happen in the future, like it or not.

@kimmelzhang4185 7 жыл бұрын

Really? You actually finished one entire book? Good boy.

@jeronimotamayolopera4834 5 жыл бұрын

SHUT THE BORDER.

@stevedavenport1202 5 жыл бұрын

The book is always better than the movie 😀

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.

@energyfitness5116 2 жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp ALWAYS DOUBT. But all ive seen Peter claim that he uses to make these 'bold' models is Geography, Demographics, and Energy. Simple, but seems to have been forgotten in the Information Age. I think he is wrong about Shale, though it may play a larger role later. Nat Gas may be a big thing and he kinda ignores Nuclear, which is very quietly making VERY big moved now.

@JoeBlow-fp5ng 5 жыл бұрын

You need to show the powerpoint, not just the speaker.

@SupremeNoob3231 Жыл бұрын

This is the greatest analysis I’ve ever seen

@dong.7519 7 жыл бұрын

good talk brother. . u keep it real

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims. b

@ryanb4932 5 жыл бұрын

We hit energy dependence in about 3.5 years. Very prescient of him.

@Withnail1969 3 жыл бұрын

no you didnt.

@cooldudecs Жыл бұрын

@@Withnail1969 yea we did. We export a crap ton of oil…

@Withnail1969 Жыл бұрын

@@cooldudecs no you didn't. you re-export other peoples oil that you refine in the US. and you export some shale oil that US refineries can't use. Overall the US is a net importer of oil.

@T1000.Android 9 жыл бұрын

Energy and Transport. Great presentation. This sheds a lot of light on whats going on in the world and why. Optimistic but rational.

@brexistentialism7628 Жыл бұрын

So brilliant

@MB-xq3ol 2 жыл бұрын

Peter your podcast was incredible You had all the topics covered history, demographics, nations militarizes, currencies, and putting it all together and predicting the future. You went around the world even covered energy markets and its future impact along with great visual graphics with some lively humor. You even checkmated China by predicting a war against Taiwan would go bad for China because there energy imports on the west and trade exports on the east would be interrupted along with similar global sanctions that Russia faces starting a war with Ukraine..

@JinKee Жыл бұрын

The only thing that can kill America is America. That is why America is being pushed towards a violent civil war, manifesting as "domestic terrorism" of increasing frequency with alternating periods of government overreach. Check out Robert Evans "It Could Happen Here"

@PhoenixRiseinFlame 2 жыл бұрын

As an Albertan I find this absolutely fascinating. I’ve been a separatist since I was in high school. Canada doesn’t respect us, all they want is our taxes. We gain almost nothing from being a part of Canada. If we were a US state we would have state rights which would allow us to keep our money and develop our economy more directly, as well as having greater access to international markets.

@elscorpioperfecto3260 Жыл бұрын

I recall this getting traction 2015-2016sh, and I knew that Alberta anger would also reach a tipping point since I was certain Quebec would kind of one day be a bit overbearing ( I support there independence but come fucking on Quebec) and it would just tick more people off in Alberta.

@kevindorland738 Жыл бұрын

We'd love to have ya.

@cristy7381 Жыл бұрын

Here's the thing. I can never be an Indian. I can never be Chinese. I can never be German. I can never be Brazilian. ANYONE can be an American. We'd love to have ya.

@paulj8726 Жыл бұрын

@@cristy7381 Well said. Every American should remember and be reminded that this one principal is the key ingredient that makes America Great. Not great again but forever great! Forever moving forward!

@brendanh8193 Жыл бұрын

You can become Australian Cristy.

@vratko3155 7 жыл бұрын

It really makes sense now that Trump wants to leave NATO.

@jeronimotamayolopera4834 5 жыл бұрын

LEGALIZE DRUGS.

@laetrille 4 жыл бұрын

No

@Narukosaki 2 жыл бұрын

Let Them Fight have them remember how much they needed us and we end it except this time we Annex them

@midgetydeath 2 жыл бұрын

@@jeronimotamayolopera4834 Nah, let the cartels kill the gangs and when they try to fight each other on a large scale, let the National Guard and angry armed citizens wipe them out.

@UncleBensChannel Жыл бұрын

Fascinating

@60zar 2 жыл бұрын

Predicted the future! What an amazing analysis.

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.

@anonymous-dk1is 2 жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp hmmm.. what about 'red dragon' ?

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

@@anonymous-dk1is Do you mind explaining what you mean

@anonymous-dk1is 2 жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp War' 'Older men declare war. But it is youth that must fight and die. And it is youth who must inherit the tribulation, the sorrow, and the triumphs that are the aftermath of war.' - Herbert Hoover ...

@murfnturf23 Жыл бұрын

@@Adrian-rb4qp Dude, you just literally copied and pasted your comment.

@allnet135 5 жыл бұрын

This is one of the most interesting economix seminar i have seen. Great speaker.

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

We should be wary of people like Peter. They're popular within the first 10-20 years of their predictions because it's not that hard to predict the near future. But when their bolder claims never come to pass, they're discredited and we move onto the next person predicting the end of the world in 10-20 years. In the 80s, George Friedman, Zeihan's former boss, predicted a US-Japan conflict and failed to predict the fall of the Soviet Union. 20 years later he predicted the fracturing of Russia by 2020 and the complete collapse and dissolution of China by 2030. Zeihan, on the other hand, in his books and blog posts, none of his wild claims cite works from any studies or findings from other experts in the field. In academia, the bolder the claim the higher the burden of proof. That logic would imply that his books would have a truly massive bibliography. The Accidental Superpower doesn't have a bibliography. Zeihan gets away with this because he claims that he's an expert in 6 fields. His website says "Peter combines expert understanding of demography, economics, energy, politics, technology, and security to help clients best prepare for an uncertain future." That's A LOT of areas to be an expert in, quite frankly. He doesn't cite anything but, don't worry, Zeihan knows what he's talking about so we should trust him. This is, of course, a logical fallacy called "argument from authority". It's a well known fallacy and it's often associated with bold or even miraculous claims.

@pixelgio 2 жыл бұрын

The prediction of Russia invading Ukraine would have been even more accurate in the timing base if COVID haven't slow down international politics

@LRRPFco52 2 жыл бұрын

And if Trump hadn’t been President 2017-2021. Trump threatened Putin with something, and Putin didn’t move beyond his Obama-years advances. Meanwhile, Trump pumped Javelins into the Ukraine by the thousands as a deterrent. I’m not sure if Putin’s advisors fed him dismissive capabilities data and talked up their roof armor on tanks. Now they have 2019 vehicles and combat systems, including 318 tanks, 232 AFVs, 307 IFVs, 79 APCs, 13 MRAPs, 66 IMVs, 12 mobile comms stations, 61 engineering vehicles, 63 ATGMs, 42 towed artillery pieces, 24 MANPADs, 60 self-propelled artillery pieces, 36 MRLs, 17 fixed wing aircraft, 35 helicopters, 16 UAVs, 2 trains, and 651 trucks/jeeps/vehicles.

@LearnWithBahman 2 жыл бұрын

in his book he recommended the year 2022 as last year that Russia would do it. Hahah

@andrewroy6845 Жыл бұрын

He did think Ukraine would fall quickly.....but to be fair, I don't think anyone thought they'd hold this long...we'll see what happens when stuff thaws

@maxdecphoenix Жыл бұрын

@@LearnWithBahman he wasn't exactly wrong. Russia did invade Ukraine under the pretext of preserving 'democratic institutions' and annex the Crimean penisula region in 2014. Most people forget it even happened. Primariliy because there was zero response from NATO. Nor Obama. Other than some sanctions. which backfired.

@NikolaYordanov357 Жыл бұрын

Since it's 2022, I checked a couple of forecasts (oil independence and USA younger than China) - not exactly precise, but in the ballpark. :-)

@OtisTyler 9 жыл бұрын

The top of all the slides are cut off. Peter gives the presentation assuming everyone can read the slides. Too bad we can't download the slides separately and follow along.

@007kingifrit 5 жыл бұрын

55:30 "keep an eye on france" ok i'm watching france......paris has been on fire for 3 months hahahahaha

@immortaljanus 3 жыл бұрын

Well, he did say it was going to be colorful...

@Tarik360 6 жыл бұрын

39:00 M-my God... This entire minute. No wonder EU wanted it's army.

@Adrian-rb4qp 2 жыл бұрын

Yeahhh….😂

@saccount-z3 2 жыл бұрын

we still want.

@brendanh8193 Жыл бұрын

Hmm...

@Dreamer66617 Жыл бұрын

Peter is GREAT

@NIKOLASAV1 7 жыл бұрын

Last year i was working in Yamal Oblast in Russian Federation. Where they are building largest Gas exploitation field in the world on permafrost.

@benjigp9305 5 жыл бұрын

"the sun doesn't shine in Germany!"

@tommynajor9809 5 жыл бұрын

25:00 called it

@RockJusticeVids 4 жыл бұрын

I missed this the first few times, but omg yeah he did... What a brilliant man....

@riggo4457 Жыл бұрын

Amazingly educational and yes, genius. IMHO and with my sincerest respect, the humor is great for the book. With humbleness i submit a bit of self-aggrandizement

@kai89tracid 7 жыл бұрын

nice

@jakepetersen6311 7 жыл бұрын

Can we get a copy of that slideshow? I'd love to study the Russia maps more closely.

@srdxxx 5 жыл бұрын

"Can we get a copy of that slideshow? I'd love to study the Russia maps more closely." It's been a year, but if you're still interested, Peter has all the maps and charts from his books available on his website.

@elijahtalmud8281 8 жыл бұрын

Success breeds jealousy. This comment section just reminds me that America's going to stay #1 for a good long while.

@richardnixon7550 8 жыл бұрын

+Elijah Talmud U S A S A

@mrclarkson3812 8 жыл бұрын

+Elijah Talmud truer word never spoken...:)

@robheusd 7 жыл бұрын

It is more the fact that the "success" of US imperialism is based on the petro-dollar (in close connection to the gulf despotic monarchies which practice a very backward form of islam, called wahabism, which they spread around the world) and the military power of the US (the US military is the #1 oil user in the US), the oil wars and drone wars, just to control the rest of the world, which have costed the lives of a million or more people (including tthe Iraq war and aftermath), and even bombing prosperous nations like Libya back into total chaos. That is not something to be "jealous" of, it should make people ashamed.

@mrclarkson3812 7 жыл бұрын

America is the new energy super power.oil and Gas in spades...We dont care about the middle East...

@smoggrog5155 7 жыл бұрын

robheusd All that means is that i can afford college for my kids who will have garenteed jobs and the rest of the world can suck it. welcom to the end game.

@SoloRenegade Жыл бұрын

50:30 many of those are pretty accurate

@coachmen8508 2 жыл бұрын

At 29:52 he says "get them high on " ???? Couldn't make out what he said there anybody please and thank you

@vjflow749 7 жыл бұрын

Peter Zeihan, Romania is not dependent on Russian gas, we have enough gas in Transilvania, and also we discovered gas and oil in the Black Sea to give to Europe for the next 80 years. We just want to be left alone to develop. we were under Turks, Austrians Russians(USSR),... we just want peace and neighbors(countries with imperialistic aspirations) to leave us alone

@oldtiedyeman 5 жыл бұрын

Oh now, don't be like that. Come and join the good old U.S.A. Beat Alberta to become our 51th state ! Become the five-one !

@philipgates988 5 жыл бұрын

I know lots of Romanians. You guys are smart and hard-working. You will prosper when everyone leaves you alone. And I think that you will have a peaceful century.

@pax4370 4 жыл бұрын

Trust me when i am saying this, your big problem is gonna be turks. Watch out erdogan! Turkey wet with ottoman era dreams. But tge most in danger is not u guys but places like bulgaria or greece!

@k_tess 4 жыл бұрын

@Leroy JenkinsNow Now. This is Vee's stream you can't talk like that around here.

@michaelmaroney1660 4 жыл бұрын

I just saw your comment on a lecture that Peter zeiner gave. How are things looking in Romania today compared to 2 years ago

@EIixir 2 жыл бұрын

Some of this was pretty spot on.

@davedreher9254 Жыл бұрын

Like most of it.

@joelchamberlain9620 Жыл бұрын

Wow, nailed 90% of his predictions!

@samibabar5524 Жыл бұрын

Good

@nickson1431 Жыл бұрын

I literally cannot get enough of this guy.

@AFuller2020 Жыл бұрын

He's wrong....been saying the same crap for 15 years.

@nickson1431 Жыл бұрын

says the random guy in the youtube comments. Why are you watching?

@jasonbeary5771 9 жыл бұрын

Watch. Learn. Understand why things happen. Don't be ignorant. Stupidity is a choice. Now, this guy is ONE analyst and some things he suggested didn't happen that way. And he seems to base everything on war and conquest. But either way, it is thoughtful and thought provoking and completely a-political.

@AndyJarman 5 жыл бұрын

Apolitical! Get yer hand off it. He's old school neo con, isolationist. He makes Trump look like a Marxist.

@thomasbrooklyn1820 6 жыл бұрын

What is the date of this talk?

@bradleyjones6578 Жыл бұрын

By any chance has he done an analysis of Australia, like this?

@steampunkskunk3638 Жыл бұрын

He tends to be US centric (because thats where his clients are). he has mentioned that Australia will take a hit because the China collapse will remove the market for a lot of stuff they sell. Australia imports a lot of fertilizer, this will not be available to buy so agriculture will slow down. The price of food will go up though so this may balance out. Australia is a close US ally (US are giving them nuclear subs) so they will stay within US protection and trade circles. Australia SHOULD be building infrastructure to make steel (they have all the raw ingredients).

@crewlj 5 жыл бұрын

Noticed nobody here has disputed his central thesis regarding Bretton-Woods yet are quick to proclaim they know the world is entirely different than what he describes it as.