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Peter Zeihan: China, Food Supply Chains, Energy, Ukraine & The Future of Humanity

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Real Vision

Real Vision

Күн бұрын

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@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk CHAPTERS: 1 What's Your Current Assessment of China and the Ukraine War? 09:10 2 Has Europe Averted or Only Delayed Their Energy Problem? 09:23 3 How Fragile Is the Global Food Supply Chain? 0:16:21 4 Semiconductors and Deglobalization 0:24:09 5 The Ambiguous Path Forward for China 0:31:29 6 The Rise of Authoritarianism and the Ukraine War 0:42:19 7 The Economic Impact of Reshoring 0:47:26 8 What Are the Most Underappreciated Geopolitical Risks Right Now? 0:51:41 9 The Takeaways 0:56:49
@renevaldivia2430
@renevaldivia2430 Жыл бұрын
❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤❤ Ghu
@powershift2024
@powershift2024 Жыл бұрын
Great video, incredibly informative. Angry Communist Fifty Cent Army mass flagging incoming.... 😊
@sergeant64
@sergeant64 Жыл бұрын
*Yeas,* _this is a death blow to EU._ It also means that even if Russia loose the war in Ukraine on the tactical side *Russia will win* on the strategical side. USA will loose its allies in Europe. Its fully possible that a European financial collapse will put EU-governments in charge that are outright hostile towards US. in Iran style fashion. US. loose Russia wins.
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf Жыл бұрын
why bringb on an incompetent authoritarian apologist?
@powershift2024
@powershift2024 Жыл бұрын
@@wasdwasdedsf speaking of incompetent, nice spelling on your post above. You must've been all worked up over the talk about Chilli dren. Try not to 'blow a gasket' thinking about the younger generation wadswallower.
@daneracamosa
@daneracamosa Жыл бұрын
I love Peter's stuff and he is incredibly entertaining but don't confuse confidence in one's Viewpoint with true knowledge of the future. Just in this interview he's backtracking on many of the things he said last year were definitely going to happen like Mass famine and people freezing to death in their homes. What prognosticators like Peter fail to realize is that there are billions of people that are conscious actors in this world and all have a vested interest in survival. Charts and spreadsheets are great but they don't speak to the human spirit.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@chrishooge3442
@chrishooge3442 Жыл бұрын
The outcomes might be speculative but the underlying demographics, geographies, and existing industrial and energy complexes take years and decades to change. The world was sleep walking into this deglobalization and fed into Peter's narrative very well. Then Russia invaded Ukraine and woke everybody up. It's like they suddenly realized there was cobra in the room and took immediate action. It clearly took Russia by surprise. It's unfortunate because Russia has so much to offer the world...if only they'd be a better neighbor. He made an interesting point here I've not heard before. He's said in the past that Germany was demographically declining. He's also said since the invasion that their economy is on the precipice of an energy induced collapse. What's new...the large portion of the EU economy that Germany represents puts them all in peril. I'd not heard him explicitly state that before. Peter could be all wrong but we'd be foolish not to make contingency plans for various scenarios.
@Terra_Lopez
@Terra_Lopez Жыл бұрын
Great points -- thank you!
@user-nw5te4mo1q
@user-nw5te4mo1q Жыл бұрын
@@chrishooge3442 How about you become a better neighbour for Russia? How come Russia and India can collaborate very well but people can’t in Europe? India is a democracy. Why do you blame EU policy failures on the Russians?
@zhoubaidinh403
@zhoubaidinh403 Жыл бұрын
He's a charlatan selling his pabulum to fools parting with their money for feigned sophistications...
@Fierbepere
@Fierbepere Жыл бұрын
At least some of Peter Zeihan's predictions might be proven wrong, but I think he deserves credit for encouraging his audiences to think systemically.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@wilsonluytan212
@wilsonluytan212 Жыл бұрын
This bagpiper will lead you all to the precipice.
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
Peter is completely wrong about everything. He is being a NATO shill Unless he has just swallowed the NATO narrative hook line and sinker. Quite a disappointment.
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
No Peter it's not going to be 600,000 Russ😂ia is increasing its mobilization to 1.5 million. At least you can get some facts straight.
@reuireuiop0
@reuireuiop0 Жыл бұрын
​@@wilsonluytan212Never knew Hameln was somewhere up in Scotland. Interesting perspective nevertheless.
@jp5617
@jp5617 Жыл бұрын
It is a rare occurrence that interviewer makes a summary of important points at the end and for that alone would deserve praise but of course there were much more.
@beelikehoney
@beelikehoney Жыл бұрын
peter has successfully predicted 62 of the last 5 global crisis.
@anthonyfam5469
@anthonyfam5469 Жыл бұрын
Huh That doesn’t make sense 🤔
@wasdwasdedsf
@wasdwasdedsf Жыл бұрын
@@anthonyfam5469 thats the point, hes saying he keeps predicting things incessantly so eventually he has to become "right"
@bobmcbobson8368
@bobmcbobson8368 Жыл бұрын
Don’t worry Anthony, there are 3 times of people in the world. Smart people and this who don’t understand simple jokes.
@scottwarner6785
@scottwarner6785 Жыл бұрын
😂😂😂
@jameswilliams9655
@jameswilliams9655 Жыл бұрын
Welcome to the expanding world of entangled quantum economics.
@brianlynnthomas9881
@brianlynnthomas9881 Жыл бұрын
Great interview Maggie. I watched you interview Peter a year ago. He made some strong predictions and you challenged him on them a year later. It's important to test our prophets. Peter has sound logic and Intel but he needs to be challenged. Thank you for doing what I couldn't. An extremely helpful podcast
@tedball8677
@tedball8677 Жыл бұрын
Very _very_ concise summary at the end. Watch the whole thing so the summary is a review. It's a summary, not a substitute for the conversation.
@blackseabrew
@blackseabrew Жыл бұрын
Finally Peter admits the Russian people understand privation. So I've spent a lot of time in Ukraine and ventured into Russia once. One can't help but understand how similar their societies are. Most of the Ukrainians I speak with note their families raise 100-200kg of potatoes every year. Food preservation is a normal activity. As long as they have access to their preserved food and potatoes they will not starve. One also has to understand normal salaries. Unless one lives in a city the equivalent of $200/month is normal. And it seems like everyone's boss skips out on paying them at least once a year.
@juniorjames7076
@juniorjames7076 Жыл бұрын
I taught English to Ukrainian university students (Slavyansk) from 2018 to 2019. My faculty colleagues told me they regularly give 5% cut of their salary to their boss, the heard of the English Department, who gave 5% of his salary to her boss, the head to the university, who gave 5% of his salary to the head of the state Bureau of Education, etc, etc.......
@peterjohnson4116
@peterjohnson4116 Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@speeddemonpainting7050
@speeddemonpainting7050 Жыл бұрын
One year has passed since his first wave of predictions and let's actually be honest... very little of it actually came to fruition.
@taran5209
@taran5209 Жыл бұрын
Exactly
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing!
@garrettpatten6312
@garrettpatten6312 Жыл бұрын
This guy clearly takes state department propoganda at face value. Ukraine has been a us proxy since at least 2014......they've gotten completely wrecked, the us sends them weapons that don't even work. All their military is dead. No one even left to use the junk they keep sending.
@philippe2715
@philippe2715 Жыл бұрын
He is the smartest propagandist out there. The White house should hire this guy. Most people accept for facts what he says, even if it is false.
@boltyboy
@boltyboy Жыл бұрын
But it will! It will (Or maybe it wont)
@75blackviking
@75blackviking Жыл бұрын
Interesting interview. I think Maggie is doing a fantastic job of asking the right questions in the right order, at the right cadence. I'd like to see her do more interviews with listenable interviewees like Zeihan.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@lawrencefunding8219
@lawrencefunding8219 Жыл бұрын
First time I've heard her...she is excellent.
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
O dear but let’s hope it’s just me
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
@@lawrencefunding8219 not really
@User0resU-1
@User0resU-1 Жыл бұрын
Peter is listenable, but not a very good analyst. Wrong on so much, too much personal bias.
@tonydownunder5703
@tonydownunder5703 Жыл бұрын
Great interview, I’ve heard Peter speak about all this quite a bit lately and he does it very well. But what I liked the most was the end summary the young lady gave about what Peter spoked about and she did it in plain English 👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍👍 Thank you 😊
@mikerudd4943
@mikerudd4943 Жыл бұрын
This perhaps the most amazing interviews ever. A brilliant man.
@nathanelms71
@nathanelms71 Жыл бұрын
The master of false certainty is always entertaining
@vivafreedom4947
@vivafreedom4947 Жыл бұрын
*I know right. There's nothing more dangerous than a "fake friend" (Puntin & Xi)*
@0patience4flz
@0patience4flz Жыл бұрын
This dude Peter is nuts!
@sedevri864
@sedevri864 Жыл бұрын
Care to clarify your statement?
@rayfonz9128
@rayfonz9128 Жыл бұрын
​@@0patience4flz you are so true
@gaoxiaen1
@gaoxiaen1 Жыл бұрын
That's why brainwashed PRC residents believe Pooh-Daddy, or say that they do.
@Steve-yf9my
@Steve-yf9my Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching.
@Kuzyapso
@Kuzyapso Жыл бұрын
Great interviewer. She knows what she's talking about but she gives space for Peter to say his opinions
@edwardmclean3781
@edwardmclean3781 Жыл бұрын
My comment was intended for the advert on during a pause in Peter's programme. By chance it could technically apply to Peter but as an economist I hang on his every word.
@Multiman40
@Multiman40 Жыл бұрын
I think Peter needs to watch a few Douglas Mcgregor and Scott Ritter interviews to understand the dynamics on the ground.
@Infodawg2012
@Infodawg2012 Жыл бұрын
Totally agree.
@GLeszega
@GLeszega Жыл бұрын
She is hands down the best interviewer I have seen. I thoroughly enjoy her interviews.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@mr.goldfarmer4883
@mr.goldfarmer4883 Жыл бұрын
Amazing interview, truly.
@jacobvanveit3437
@jacobvanveit3437 Жыл бұрын
I haven’t heard a better breakdown of the macro situation that affects the world today. This guy is good!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@jacobvanveit3437
@jacobvanveit3437 Жыл бұрын
@Jack Smith yet… it’s a slow moving iceberg
@KGold53
@KGold53 Жыл бұрын
Peter’s opinions are almost being stated here as facts. He’s rather extreme in his views, and I’d be careful.
@postscript5549
@postscript5549 Жыл бұрын
I've listened to about eighteen minutes of this podcast so far. Your very knowledgeable guest is only underscoring my fears.
@Novastar.SaberCombat
@Novastar.SaberCombat Жыл бұрын
XiXiPi's goals have been worldwide domination by 2049 for decades. This is no secret, but the majority of individuals have no power nor resources to do anything about it. It's GOING to happen, and the only possibility that could thwart it is highly unlikely to materialize.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching! Check the whole conversation, will give you extra insights!
@domcizek
@domcizek Жыл бұрын
THIS MEANS SAVE YOUR MONEY FOR THE FUTURE, BECAAUSE SS MAY NOT BE THERE,
@diperf
@diperf Жыл бұрын
Excellent Maggie. Well done
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Many thanks!
@carlosbasilio5220
@carlosbasilio5220 Жыл бұрын
TSMC announced the Arizona factory in May 2020, initially pledging $12 billion toward it. In December, the company increased that to $40 billion, with plans to upgrade the factory with more advanced - though not the most advanced - chip-making technology.
@VenturiLife
@VenturiLife Жыл бұрын
They're building 12 chip fabs there I believe.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing!
@abhijitsen2197
@abhijitsen2197 Жыл бұрын
Deal cancelled
@Davido50
@Davido50 Жыл бұрын
Intel is building 2 chip plants right now in Columbus, Ohio. 50bil+ investment!
@getsmartpaul
@getsmartpaul Жыл бұрын
Ok, but still dependent on ASML chip fabricating. Anyway US can develop this technology?
@earthling017
@earthling017 Жыл бұрын
The summary section at the end was excellent. Really great ending!
@rogerhorner7431
@rogerhorner7431 Жыл бұрын
Great interview, appreciate your summary Maggie Lake, thanks.
@ET-vj1zc
@ET-vj1zc Жыл бұрын
The best interviewer and the topics. And Peter as usually is fantastic!
@marcusantoniusAfterDark
@marcusantoniusAfterDark Жыл бұрын
Lots of wrong predictions. Always USA centristic and thats a Problem. All his predictions about Germany wrong btw, too.
@johndickson9677
@johndickson9677 Жыл бұрын
Nice to hear from a real expert who explains whats going to happen ...and later explain why exactly it didnt.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@anongal7875
@anongal7875 Жыл бұрын
the way you put it.. it's hilarious! 🤣
@kashd4668
@kashd4668 Жыл бұрын
You got a way with words my friend! Well put!👍👍
@janisripple754
@janisripple754 11 ай бұрын
Thank you
@btspyglass4077
@btspyglass4077 Жыл бұрын
The more i listen to him The more i th8nk we are going into a world depression
@imapimplykindapimp
@imapimplykindapimp Жыл бұрын
If globalisation truly is ending then yeah word real gdp going down down
@jeffthornberry8329
@jeffthornberry8329 Жыл бұрын
Peter is smart for sure. History may disagree on some points in the end. I suspect most of his macro analysis is close to home. That said, I think Maggie Lake was the STAR of that interview. Going forward, I would subscribe to see all of her interviews!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Maggie is top-notch!! Thanks for watching!
@benhascybertruck
@benhascybertruck Жыл бұрын
This guy sounds like a correspondent from CNN talking about Russia/ukraine.... if you know what I mean.
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
Still amusing
@aburetik4866
@aburetik4866 Жыл бұрын
As a Chinese, I wish all Americans vote for this Peter Zaihan dude as the president of the united states
@Octavus5
@Octavus5 Жыл бұрын
Is that sort of like wishing Biden was President of the US?
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
O dear the man is dilusional
@paulginsberg6942
@paulginsberg6942 Жыл бұрын
A really excellent interview. I've been listening to Peter on multiple platforms and this might be the best. Simple lucid questions and the ability to listen without interruption. Well done.
@User0resU-1
@User0resU-1 Жыл бұрын
And you've not realised he's wrong on so many levels, and can't see past his own biases. Your not paying attention.
@matthewsheeran
@matthewsheeran Жыл бұрын
Well Peter tends to see the worst case likely scenario but people , states, leaders and the world do have a habit of muddling through.
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
​@@User0resU-1Right you are this man is a NATO shill 100%. If he knows anything of the truth he's not speaking it.
@jimmydee1130
@jimmydee1130 Жыл бұрын
Zeihan gets a lot right......and so much more very, very wrong. Mostly he LOVES hearing himself talk. He'd be perfect on NPR
@dingfeldersmurfalot4560
@dingfeldersmurfalot4560 Жыл бұрын
Specifics please.
@hardwoodthought1213
@hardwoodthought1213 Жыл бұрын
@@dingfeldersmurfalot4560 He said China would be done a decade ago, and has just pushed the claim back 10 years. Believed Russias nuclear hyperbole was just that, then considered it serious against certain targets, and is now saying it’s bull again. Flip flops constantly on how well either side is doing in this war.
@adrianobernardes4448
@adrianobernardes4448 Жыл бұрын
😂😂😂😂😂
@stgravatt
@stgravatt Жыл бұрын
​@HARDWOOD THOUGHT well he updates his views with new information. Id prefer that over sticking to the same theory even when presented with new counter-evidence. He is certainly wrong about timelines, that is the hardest part to predict in anything. But just because his conclusions are wrong doesnt mean he isnt worth a listen. Look at the evidence he has and it has value. Unexpected or unpredicted things WILL happen. So no, he isnt nostradomus, but he does have some great points: demographics is influencing our economics in the background, globalization made the economy very vulnerable and we may be looking at its end, and things like energy and raw materials are taken as a given in the modern world but the abundance of them is a luxury we have been living with and gotten used to, which isnt sustainable.
@xXxMarqxXx
@xXxMarqxXx Жыл бұрын
​@HARDWOOD THOUGHT I haven't noticed any flip flopping when it comes to anything, he has been VERY consistent to be frank.
@chrishaidinyak4621
@chrishaidinyak4621 Жыл бұрын
Good interview; been watching Peter fairly intensely in the past weeks and have been able to deduce a lot of his logic. There is a lot of common sense baked into his predictions but there hasn't been enough time to establish his hit rate yet. But, in aggregate, I think a lot of his views make sense assuming the data he uses as established fact is true. But I appreciate his ability to transform his understanding into entertaining discussion flow that helps to educate and to provide for provocative dialog.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@holdReset
@holdReset Жыл бұрын
Thank you for the review at the end! Love Zeihan on!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@13Feynman
@13Feynman Жыл бұрын
This Peter guy is full of it! She actually said "balloon fiasco"!
@lorrainesaviano855
@lorrainesaviano855 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for your time and your smarts 😊
@scarletpimpernel230
@scarletpimpernel230 Жыл бұрын
Adele said so herself, in the song 'Skyfall'. "This is the end Hold your breath and count to ten Feel the Earth move and then Hear my heart burst again For this is the end I've drowned and dreamt this moment So overdue, I owe them Swept away, I'm stolen"
@rusty9045
@rusty9045 Жыл бұрын
I just saw and listened to this vid for the first time, but I've been listening to Peter for a long time. Peter tends to stick to a tight script in his interviews but I believe he's at his best and most interesting when an interviewer can take him off script a bit with more detailed questions and discussion. Maggie you did that and it resulted in a great discussion. There is so much happening! Thanks.
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
He is sticking to the narrative that the CIA gave him. There is no truth in anything he says usually you can imagine it's the opposite of what he is saying. Ukraine is no match for the Russian military. You will see soon. Soon they will not be able to hide it anymore.
@skeptic4031
@skeptic4031 Жыл бұрын
Great interview as usual, Maggie. Always great to hear Peter even though he makes a lot of black and white predictions without factoring that some Nations (or new blocs) may outplay and outperform at Geo political chess.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching! 🔥 Get a 14-day 𝐅𝐑𝐄𝐄 trial to Real Vision 👉 rvtv.io/unfk
@Equalzer
@Equalzer Жыл бұрын
Lots of bad news for people who want to believe their countries can just ignore geographic realities if they just play better at geopolitical chess. It's perfectly normal for Peter to get a lot of pushback since he is the bearer of bad news for a LOT of people around the globe.
@Prashant44082
@Prashant44082 Жыл бұрын
@@Equalzer But he is usually wrong... Russian crude is still flowing, no starvation or food shortage of any consequence happened last year, I can keep writing but his most important predictions turned out to be hyperbole at best.
@davedreher9254
@davedreher9254 Жыл бұрын
@@Prashant44082 He's usually right, we are only one year into Ukraine war, let it play out. Countries had reserves for the past year and the Ukraine grain deal lasted a year. Look at China now, 21% youth unemployment, economy slipped into deflation, real estate prices collapsing, exports down and that's not counting what they are hiding.
@nosnerd1967
@nosnerd1967 Жыл бұрын
AMAZING INTERVIEW . well done . Great questions and conversations… lessons learned and a new subber from Ottawa Ontario Canada 🇨🇦
@shakthidhasan4544
@shakthidhasan4544 Жыл бұрын
Getting Peter Z is such a score for Real Vision. Wonderful Raoul. Thank you
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
You may appreciate this guy but I can tell you that he is fundamentally completely wrong and everything that he says you should think oh it's the opposite of that that's true. He's a NATO shell singing the NATO narrative. I won't send for that It upsets me to be lied to.
@saabukas
@saabukas Жыл бұрын
I would have liked to hear Peter make a comment on the increasingly authoritarian regime of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in Canada. Never the less, Peter digs deep in how interconnected the whole world is.
@hankhillsnrrwurethra
@hankhillsnrrwurethra Жыл бұрын
Peter's take is that Canada isn't a 'country' at all. It's a string of provinces that are each more connected to the US than to each other.
@yoiyomismo
@yoiyomismo Жыл бұрын
Wow, what an interesting show. I love this macro outlooks, thank you for your work
@konigvonpreuen8065
@konigvonpreuen8065 Жыл бұрын
Appreciate the summary at the end
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
We love making the takeaways for you guys!
@bigjared8946
@bigjared8946 Жыл бұрын
My pedantic quibble is lasers are not typically used in "etching" semiconductors as Peter often states. That's generally done with plasma or terrible acids. The neon lasers are on the photolithography equipment that makes the pattern to be etched, in a later step.
@philblum1496
@philblum1496 Жыл бұрын
True enough, but the point is that the UV lasers are required to make the make the best semiconductor chips, so it's a distinction without much importance.
@bigjared8946
@bigjared8946 Жыл бұрын
@@philblum1496 That's true but I did say I was being pedantic. More broadly, it's good to be technically correct in what you're saying when you wade into commenting on technical stuff and this is the most technical of stuffs.
@zenscout
@zenscout Жыл бұрын
Finally remembered to exhale. Thanks Peter for sharing your due diligence.
@juniorjames7076
@juniorjames7076 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for this interview.
@davidmichael8122
@davidmichael8122 Жыл бұрын
I'm less concerned about his prognostications and more interested with the scope of his analysis. When he is wrong, what factors are being left out? He and the creator of "Real Life Lore" are rich in both information and analysis. With every sentence I feel like I am, at least, gaining perspective.
@charleswomack2166
@charleswomack2166 Жыл бұрын
The number one lesson that the Ukraine situation is to never ever underestimate the will to fight.
@paulczar
@paulczar Жыл бұрын
Never underestimate what a blank check from the United States can do for you. If it were strictly Ukraine and Ukraine alone, russia would have won within a week. Ukraine has the full backing of nearly all of Europe, US, Canada, NATO, etc… so russia is actually the clear underdog
@charleswomack2166
@charleswomack2166 Жыл бұрын
The entire world thought that Kiev would fall within a week or two. I personally know that the Ukrainians see this fight as an existential threat to their democracy, and democracy of the entire world writ large. If Kiev were to surrender, the Russians would kill literally every Ukrainian civilian as well as every serviceman that surrenders. After that, it would be Moldova, then China would feel confident enough to invade Taiwan. The CCP sees just how strong the will to fight to save not only your democracy in their country, but countries everywhere. The PRC would lose half of their military force within 2 weeks.
@thane816
@thane816 Жыл бұрын
@@charleswomack2166 Some of the Ukrainian speaking Ukrainians are wising up to the fact that Zelensky isn't a good guy. They are Orthodox Christians, and Zelensky has been jailing Orthodox priests and nuns. Don't be surprised to see a backlash for this.
@f.e.dzerzhinsky
@f.e.dzerzhinsky Жыл бұрын
​@@charleswomack2166 Having to defend your home has that effect on people. Unlike much of the rest of the world, Americans luckily don't know anything about that, hence their egregious use of tinfoil that only makes them more susceptible to BS: incubator babies, fifteen minutes from a mushroom cloud, the GWOT that must be fought "over there" even when we all know 9/11 would've been prevented were it not Cheney's LIHOP moneymaker. Getting your home occupied without your consent turns anyone into a fighter, from Palestine to Ukraine.
@garrettpatten6312
@garrettpatten6312 Жыл бұрын
You have been completely played. It's kind of amazing.
@loucatozzi7656
@loucatozzi7656 Жыл бұрын
Great interview and exchange of ideas. I particularly like the summary at the end.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@LinasVepstas
@LinasVepstas Жыл бұрын
@Dr. Pyssinshytz That's the title of his book. Actually, several books..
@JosePena-ku1db
@JosePena-ku1db Жыл бұрын
EXCELLENT. EVEN I DISGREE
@rolandyamel6376
@rolandyamel6376 Жыл бұрын
This is a great interview however I would have to disagree slightly about the Neon and semiconductors coming to an end neon is used as a buffer gas just like argon and Krypton however I believe there is a company called gigaphoton that back in 2011 invented a technology that would recycle Neon gas which would reduce neon usage by 25% for complex semiconductors. The hTGM rolled out of production around 2016 and I believe is offered as a free option to add to their technology from the company if vendors switch to a Neon gas recycling program that reduces the usage by 25% which is significant. Semiconductor manufacturers will probably be able to stay ahead of the problem.
@pwatom22
@pwatom22 9 ай бұрын
Interesting analysis. Surprisingly there hasn't been more discussion on these key factors in mainstream media. Now the difficult question, who can and how can they fix this or improve the situation?
@kellyt2018
@kellyt2018 Жыл бұрын
Good work!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@nomdeplume4543
@nomdeplume4543 Жыл бұрын
Interesting!
@EliJon378
@EliJon378 Жыл бұрын
What I find farcical about modern China is the confusion of the people, and even the government officials. One one hand they defend the Chinese Communist system religiously and get extremely offended when other nations criticize them, they always argue that China has made so many successes and so much progress that people are just jealous, but these same people on the other hand don't realize that it was the economic zones (capitalist policies) under Deng that helped the Chinese nation become what it is today. This shows a disconnect between the understanding of the authoritarian system under Communism and the economic success under capitalist policies that helped it become the second largest economy. They can't seem to understand that the two do not go hand in hand, one will always ultimately push the other out, they oppose each other, why else would Xi be opposed to these policies, prohibiting capitalist policies now, if they didn't achieve success or oppose his Communist bias? Basically what Xi is currently pushing cannot end well for China, because it prohibits the policies that Deng implemented and therefore ultimately hinders Chinese economic growth, it basically takes China back to the era of Mao and thus destroys the entire current system reverting back to what it was before Deng. When last did we see a fully Communist system succeed economically? Never! The big question here is why Chinese people can't see this? Have they been so brainwashed that they don't understand they will go backwards with the current government policies? And a bigger question is why many experts outside China can't see this or argue the opposite of reality?
@powershift2024
@powershift2024 Жыл бұрын
Students of all ages are being taught "Xi's Thoughts" which is rehashed Maoism. The CCP is feeling pressure from within it's borders along with outside pressure. It has doubled down on ultra-nationalism, logic has no place when your government tells you the world is your enemy. Cheers!
@xXxMarqxXx
@xXxMarqxXx Жыл бұрын
Good point and well spoken.
@bobs_toys
@bobs_toys Жыл бұрын
This is why I laugh when people say the PRC is an example of socialist success. The CCP was saved by (grudgingly) allowing capitalism. It's a wonderful case study on how badly socialism failed.
@yangshujian
@yangshujian Жыл бұрын
Here's the question: If communism is nothing but trash, and capitalism is everything that helped China become so wealthy today, then why China's GDP and GDP per capita are five times as India's today while they were almost at the same level in the early 1990s?
@paulsutton5896
@paulsutton5896 Жыл бұрын
Semiconductor shortage. If my refrigerator is unable to communicate with my lawn-mower, I shall endure the consequences with stoicism.
@maxilopez1596
@maxilopez1596 Жыл бұрын
This guy's record is dreadful...can't wait to see what he's going to be wrong about next
@paullarnce2167
@paullarnce2167 Жыл бұрын
How can we find out about Zeihan's track record?
@robertmacdonnell258
@robertmacdonnell258 Жыл бұрын
You can nit-pick the details or see the trends he's pointing out. Those, I believe, are pretty valid.
@christopherstewart1163
@christopherstewart1163 Жыл бұрын
He has been saying the Russian will recover over a year. He should reevaluate. Nearly a million russians have left and there is no indication that 500 -600 thousand are willing to fightand die. His assumption that the Russian peoples will submit to this is just that. His underestimation of the west to ability to supply Ukraine and overestimation of Russia to supply themselves has proven to be incorrect.
@rd9102
@rd9102 Жыл бұрын
Fantastic interview. i love Peter and i watch his channel too, have all his books and he has some great information all the way around. As with anything, he isn't a prognosticator but he does bring up some important points and some possible outcomes, i agree with most of what he says just based on his data he puts forth and how he frames it. Love seeing his view on things.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@peterclarke3020
@peterclarke3020 Жыл бұрын
Peter bases almost everything on data, he uses real data to back up his analysis.
@youdonthavetoreadthispost.5850
@youdonthavetoreadthispost.5850 Жыл бұрын
Peter is more often right than wrong in his predictions. Timing may be off, but it's not hard to extrapolate scenarios that lead to his projections. Hope for the best but prepare for the worst, as always. Made in the America's beats made over seas i.m.o.
@reuireuiop0
@reuireuiop0 Жыл бұрын
Not if it's made in Germany. But most of the best American engineers have German pedigree anyway. Or an other North European country
@stereomtl9001
@stereomtl9001 Жыл бұрын
Peter Z is the go to analyst that American normies follow to reaffirm their beliefs in US exceptionalism and help them sleep better at night
@takeflightfinance644
@takeflightfinance644 Жыл бұрын
The US is by far the most exceptional by every measure. And I do love to hear it
@BeyondXRStudios
@BeyondXRStudios Жыл бұрын
Great channel do feel we get some great intel on what is going on in the world here. Great job!
@VenturiLife
@VenturiLife Жыл бұрын
I wouldn't write off China too easily, with more than four thousand years of recorded history, and probably plenty more undocumented history behind that. To say China can be stubborn, and willing to make sacrifices, is an understatement. They certainly can adapt to a degree, but they do believe in a total top down hierarchical control (effectively with a "King" or royalty). The economy is certainly a huge part, but China survived before the West came along to engage economically, and they're far more self-sufficient now. Russia proved when the USSR fell in the late 80's, that it's not impregnable to external pressures.
@bobs_toys
@bobs_toys Жыл бұрын
Long term, sure. Within our lifetimes? They're in for some bad times. And yes. Particularly their leadership is painfully stubborn. That's not a good thing. Also, they're not self sufficient. Not remotely.
@Anne-LiseH
@Anne-LiseH Жыл бұрын
Younger Chinese have a saying “Lie Flat” as in they don’t believe they will receive proper compensation for work. New saying is “Let it Rot”.
@NATO-POC
@NATO-POC Жыл бұрын
Brilliant commentary as usual from Zeihan, but it's very sad to see how his desire for gov contracts has introduced bias. Seen it happen many times!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@10317
@10317 Жыл бұрын
Peter Zeihan and George Friedmen both have studied geo politics…and worked for the government. We are lucky to have them so willing to share information otherwise we would all be left leaning on the news channel for information. And you know where that would go. I don’t judge. I listen and watch how things play out. We live in interesting times and having guys like Peter really helps.
@gaoxiaen1
@gaoxiaen1 Жыл бұрын
Especially your mom's contract to become a comfort woman. At least she enjoyed her work.
@eightoneeightcontemporaryp6476
@eightoneeightcontemporaryp6476 Жыл бұрын
Great conversation!!
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@shaun906
@shaun906 Жыл бұрын
i dont know if you realized but you've bought a faulty map, the map in the background is missing New Zealand. the NZ government did a campaign to educate people not to forget them when printing a map...
@jeremybowen5813
@jeremybowen5813 Жыл бұрын
My wife is the Director of Business Incentives for our state. I stumbled across a video of a talk that you gave in Shreveport Louisiana. As we are also within that 600 mile radius from New Orleans, we found the video very informative and have been sharing the link with local developers within the state. Thanks for the insight!
@maxwalker1159
@maxwalker1159 Жыл бұрын
Fantastic
@sonnyeastham
@sonnyeastham Жыл бұрын
Fantasy-tastic
@orboakin8074
@orboakin8074 Жыл бұрын
I would love to hear Peter's opinion on my country,Nigeria, especially after our recent election.
@crazywaffleking
@crazywaffleking Жыл бұрын
Is the government still trying to force everyone to use the cbdc?
@louth1770
@louth1770 Жыл бұрын
African countries won't pay back the debts.
@LinasVepstas
@LinasVepstas Жыл бұрын
I'd love to listen to a Nigerian who took the time to study the detailed, boring economic statistics, the detailed, boring statistics about education, employment and industrial activity, and then turn all this data into fun, exciting and entertaining material. Because this is, more or less, what Peter seems to be doing.
@klovvin
@klovvin Жыл бұрын
Peter Zeihan is my favorite boomer fan fiction.
@towboattrash
@towboattrash Жыл бұрын
Just some advice….you should learn what the foundations of your society are, and figure out what happens if those foundations go away without a plan to replace them. Good luck kiddo.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@ln6593
@ln6593 Жыл бұрын
He is not a boomer. He was born in 1973 hence x generation.
@supermash1
@supermash1 Жыл бұрын
I think this guy honestly believes he knows it all. He's potentially very dangerous.
@sonnyeastham
@sonnyeastham Жыл бұрын
He is new face of CIA
@olh16507
@olh16507 Жыл бұрын
Don’t think he has been to China 😂
@xyxyx5
@xyxyx5 Жыл бұрын
If you could reverse everything by 180 degrees, he would be right
@grassrunner7983
@grassrunner7983 Жыл бұрын
Peter's best moment was when he told Canada they weren't a country lol !
@JDAbelRN
@JDAbelRN Жыл бұрын
Don't you know, you know Trudeau and Canada will be the greatest socialist nation in North America?
@กนกลักษณ์-ล3ฅ
@กนกลักษณ์-ล3ฅ Жыл бұрын
Wow, this guy opens his mouth and in 10 seconds shows me he is absolutely out to lunch.
@seahorse2
@seahorse2 Жыл бұрын
How does the Xi / Putin agreement for energy affect predictions, and switching to yuan currency.
@bighands69
@bighands69 Жыл бұрын
They have to transport that energy several thousand miles.that will drive the cost of the energy any where from 5 to 10 times the industrial average.
@retiredoba2836
@retiredoba2836 Жыл бұрын
MIT Romney is getting attention these days, speaking on his concerns, with China overtaking the U.S in every way, including Militarily… when I read an excerpt of MIT’s speech, this Real Vision - PZ interview came to mind. For me… this interview is a great PZ update. Thanks to all!
@fruitloops3718
@fruitloops3718 Жыл бұрын
Mitt Romney is nothing but a rino sellout. He's one of those that were doing big business with china but talking bad about them here at home. I wouldn't put a dimes worth of interest in what mitt has rlto say about anything particularly when it comes to pharmaceutical companies.
@Mywaayy
@Mywaayy Жыл бұрын
An excellent discussion with Peter Zeihan. Thank you
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching!
@matthewpierce4714
@matthewpierce4714 Жыл бұрын
This dude is the Peter schiff of geopolitics.
@cstevenson5256
@cstevenson5256 Жыл бұрын
Not at all. Peter has been the most prescient commentator that I have witnessed over the last several decades.
@meeep520
@meeep520 Жыл бұрын
Putin was slow at the start because Putin was preventing loses on the civilian population, hope you understand that.
@lowe102
@lowe102 Жыл бұрын
His viewpoint is the reason we are in trouble today and in the future
@peterhumphrys
@peterhumphrys Жыл бұрын
About one million Russians have left Russia while there is six million plus Ukrainian refugees from a much smaller base Therefore I conclude that Russia is beating the snot out of Ukraine We need to send much more aid to Ukraine if we want them to have a chance of beating off the Russians
@sonnyeastham
@sonnyeastham Жыл бұрын
Yes,,,much much much more Hunter-bucks $$$...lol
@taran5209
@taran5209 Жыл бұрын
First he goes from really confident about his predictions in the past to maybe this and maybe that if this happens. This guy has more back doors to the NSA.
@sedevri864
@sedevri864 Жыл бұрын
Well I assume everyone changes their level of certainty about things as new information comes in? If he were to maintain his certainty despite changes in reality would that make you happier?
@DarqIce
@DarqIce Жыл бұрын
16:30 Don't worry about us Europeans - we're used to surviving and coming up on top and we will do it again.... We are not called the Old Continent for nothing :) Great inteview - very informative.
@meetadi4u
@meetadi4u Жыл бұрын
I am not sure what Peter Zeihan means by 1/3rd Indians digitised is enough . AADHAR digital ID is covers over 98% of the population . India is onboarding supply chains and have free trade agreements with UAE,South Korea , Australia (Western country ) . Discussion is going on with European Union . Not having free trade with USA does not mean India does not believe in free trade
@milesanddizzy
@milesanddizzy Жыл бұрын
PZ is one of the best and most insightful social/political/economic commentators out there…
@genebaughbba
@genebaughbba Жыл бұрын
I disagree this man is nothing more than a NATO narrative shill. He is spouting misinformation and does not even have his fax correct. Russia has increased the mobilization in Ukraine to 1.5 million and he doesn't even know that or he does but won't tell you.
@I_Lemaire
@I_Lemaire Жыл бұрын
Fertilizers won't be a problem, for now. We got tons of Sargassum being harvested as an alternative every day.
@l3rucewayne1
@l3rucewayne1 Жыл бұрын
That's encouraging, ty.
@kathreenpoulos3341
@kathreenpoulos3341 Жыл бұрын
I don't want to see a world without Putin. I look forward too the multi polar world and real fair trade. No more wars. Free Assage.
@leestephens1670
@leestephens1670 Жыл бұрын
Love the channel but honestly I wouldn’t write China off like this guy is
@danm2144
@danm2144 Жыл бұрын
Demographics are inevitable. Short term they are OK, but over the mid to long term they will fail as their population time bomb goes off. The west will survive due to immigration ... nobody moves to China.
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
Nothing wrong with being silly
@johngogoll3897
@johngogoll3897 Жыл бұрын
Really need to dissect truth from BS with this guy. I'd like to hear his take on BRICS.
@jeffreysmith8801
@jeffreysmith8801 Жыл бұрын
Very informative
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@gdurant
@gdurant Жыл бұрын
Thank you Peter
@TR1P0DL1F3
@TR1P0DL1F3 Жыл бұрын
This reminds me of the general systems collapse theory in regards to the Bronze Age Collapse.
@Radioactive-Cactus
@Radioactive-Cactus Жыл бұрын
Doesn't it? It feels like a much larger version happening in real-time. And you know, think of how awful it was when the Bronze age collapse happened. How bad would it be if...
@reuireuiop0
@reuireuiop0 Жыл бұрын
Yeah, at some point, this age will be known as the era preceding the Fossil Collapse. Instead of the Digital Collapse. That being because digital don't go down well into the archaeological record
@johnmckee744
@johnmckee744 Жыл бұрын
Great work excellent questions America rebuilds
@aJarrowLad525
@aJarrowLad525 Жыл бұрын
Just take a walk down your street
@pabs5270
@pabs5270 Жыл бұрын
Vietnam vs US ...who won?
@joesmith3590
@joesmith3590 Жыл бұрын
It can be hard to win war with people that have nothing worthwhile. You can’t bomb the entire jungle. But the usa left and went on to become extremely wealthy and dominate and Vietnam is still as poor as it was then hoping USA companies come and pay them 1 dollar a day. Nice “win” lol.
@marcwichmann2012
@marcwichmann2012 Жыл бұрын
Taliban vs US ... who won?
@robertmacdonnell258
@robertmacdonnell258 Жыл бұрын
@@marcwichmann2012 Neither of your putative winners came to America, occupied the country, or did anything beneficial to them that would suggest they had won. Ha!
@vtecro1826
@vtecro1826 Жыл бұрын
Jim Sim... I like the red and white line of words above the screne . Appeals to my sence of humor. Peter is superb as usual I like your interview style . Knowledgeable and not interesting. An interesting video all round . Thanks.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Many thanks!
@wizardoftas7779
@wizardoftas7779 Жыл бұрын
The difference between science vs politics and religion, is that science is meant to change as it keeps testing and challenging its assumptions. Politics and religion are more prone to sticking to their ideologies no matter how the world changes around them. I like the fact that Peter can be wrong. He keeps taking in new info and adjusting his projections. I have more confidence in that approach than in any insistence that he always get it right.
@RealVisionFinance
@RealVisionFinance Жыл бұрын
Thanks for sharing!
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