Master River Calls: 3 High Stakes Poker Hands That Will Change Your Game

[@timicham]

really like this kind of theory video, the thought process of river call down is very useful. Thank you!

[@ShowofForce]

Something I need to clarify (found in the theoretical video): this is an *offensive, EXPLOITATIVE (but based on GTO principles)* process that aims to maximize EV against the opponent We do that by first finding the indifference threshold with his value/bluffs ratio, then determining if he is clearly under/overbluffing so we can call/fold most of our range (max exploit). If on the other hand it's close, we can just call 'GTO' or overfold (our bluffcatchers would be 0 EV if he is balanced anyway). We just don't make much money this way. GL

[@1LevelUpGuy]

I am doing everything EXACTLY like you did (for the first 22 seconds..) :) Edit: Thank you for the video Appreciate the value your are bringing to our thought processes in the game! "Baller" - Yes, portalled from the recent "free" coaching session you did! Thanks for that, again! :D

[@harryhartnell6377]

Thank you so much. Must useful video I’ve seen on KZbin. Hope you continues thanks for giving value back to the community

[@ShowofForce]

Nice, glad you liked it!

[@xxChacaronXX]

You cleared so much up for me! Thanks man!

[@ShowofForce]

You welcome

[@IronFist2508]

LOVED it! More of this ;) 🤙

[@fefe2222]

Nice i liked it

[@jaeshbalachandran5766]

Awesome video

[@ShowofForce]

Thanks!

[@nachoasens9238]

sory but, if they are betting pot, we need to win 30% to be break even right? doesnt that mean that we need that he have 30% of bluffs combos compared with his value combos?

[@Humanprototype-wh8qr]

nice vid for sure

[@Amstadhelloween]

With a 3x sizing villain can't bluff 73%, the number of bluffs can never surpass 50%, otherwise any bluffcatcher is a call If he 3x pots, we're calling 3 to win 7, so the optimal bluffing % is around 43%

[@MrVeenrok]

Its 73% from Value bets. And its 42,2% from range.

[@ShowofForce]

Exactly

[@GEORGIADIS1000]

at 4th minute at FD also 74s and 68s

[@DesertWolf-lr3ef]

what about raise-allin turn with 5/6? it looks strong and opponent will overfold, and we have good equity, good blockers, and we won’t be run over by a higher flush

[@ShowofForce]

Hard for him to overfold, when he overbets he has a very strong range. In theory we shouldn't really raise vs this sizing, keeping that in mind when I am playing a strong opponent so I'm focusing on my whole range and river playability, instead of my hand.

[@mariodiaz3976]

Maybe I am wrong. But you are saying that if you bluff 2x the pot you can have a bluff ratio of 3 to 1. What sense does that make? Your opponent could call 100% of the time and win so much money, because the pot odds are mathematicaly always lower than 50%. I think value to bluff ratio is a number that's always greater than 1. Gto wizard made a KZbin video about this and says the same.

[@noThankyou-g5c]

4:23 why specifically is KT with a club a bluff? Why not K8,K7, AT, JT etc? (im bad at poker so sorry if it’s obvious)

[@ShowofForce]

KTo with club is better because of the flush blockers, it's preferred over the others when it only has overs as outs. It's a good turn for me so he shouldn't have too many non-equity bluffs. JT is a good catch, I forgot to mention that one ingame!

[@noThankyou-g5c]

@@ShowofForce Oh that’s very helpful. I think this helps explain a lot of what I always considered to be fairly random hands Ive seen pros list as “straightforward” bluffs

[@speakarabicnow-GBD]

Hi, great content . how can I contact u for a online coaching session?

[@ShowofForce]

Hey thanks. You can fill out the form here highstakespokercoaching.com/ and I will contact you

[@marcoslujan1040]

in the first example i think the bluff ratio is not 50%, if he bets POT the bluff ratio is 67% value 33% bluff according to GTO

[@ShowofForce]

The bluffs are 50% of the value, or 33% of the _total_ betting range. However, you don't know the total betting range without first counting the value combos so it's faster like this.

[@enricobernucci3527]

If i can help Daniel (even if you erased my last comment): let's say you count 50 value combos on the river. Now you use your ratio of 67% value 33% bluffs. You calculate 33% of 50 combo = 16.5 combo of bluffs. But this is the wrong number. This is the bettor bluffing % of 50 general combos (or total combos). 33% bluffs and 67% value = 16.5 bluff combos and (50-16.5) = 33.5 value combos. But you started this process counting 50 value combos and not 33.5! As u can see the ratio between 33.5 and 16.5 is 2:1 = 50% value and 50% bluffs.

[@ShowofForce]

I didn't delete any comment wat. That is not what I did in the video, my process is correct, rewatch it

[@enricobernucci3527]

@@ShowofForce You deleted my comment on this one: kzbin.info/www/bejne/naiciX6vdryfi9k But it's okay. No hard feelings on my own. Fair enough imho 'cos i was criticizing some general aspects about poker coaching and poker coaches. In regards of my answer here: i had the same doubt of @marcuslujan1040 and i can't truly understand your answer to him. I did some math, I understood what you said and i was trying to explain why you were right my friend! Thought this could be helpful but if i did something wrong with my math plz tell me.

[@andrewdinns1746]

@@enricobernucci3527 idk wat u going on about. to find total bluffs allowed at nash just do value combos * betsize/(betsize+pot). so for pot with 50 value its 50 * 1/2 = 25. for 3/4 with 50 value its 50 * 3/7 = 21.428571

[@seslocrit9365]

Isn't the ratio bet/(bet*2+pot size). So if its a 2x pot bet he should have 200/(100+2*200) = 2/5 = 40%

[@ShowofForce]

those are the pot odds he gives us. That ratio is between his bluffs and his _total betting range_. However we can't know the total betting range without first knowing the value range ( thus counting combos). This is why in the video I am talking about the bluffs:value ratio (not bluffs:total betting range ratio). It's faster.

[@seslocrit9365]

​@@ShowofForceThank you. That made so much sense

[@MDAPokerSchool]

Man, i loved the video, but i really dont get it about the 65s bluffing frequency. I dont understood what you mean by 73% bluffing he can have. Like, he has 22 value combos in our analysis, and we need to call 42% to be breakeven, so he would need to be bluffing 9 combos, dont? where this 73% and need 16 bluffing combos comes from?

[@ShowofForce]

You are confusing concepts a bit. The 42% is the pot odds he gives us. That helps us play *our range* in a 'GTO' way. Which allows us to make 0 EV, unexploitable calls. With the 73%, I am addressing how he should construct *his range*, and find holes in that to make massively profitable river calls. He needs to bluff 73% of his value combos, and we try to see if he hits that.

[@tinoruescas7458]

love it

[@modeob88]

Maybe a more basic video -> counting combos for a dummie :D

[@ShowofForce]

U can find that easily with google search, but I will consider it ty

[@andrewdinns1746]

3:43 A9 but not TT~~

[@dantonkull6491]

Where are you now bro? You used to battle with the best.

[@ShowofForce]

Still in the mix battling, posted a HU hand at NL10k the other day where I get stacked by limitless

[@dailypokerstudy1943]

discode adress plz

[@wangfoo2693]

Did you really have to make a video about folding the 80th nuts to a 3x river all in?

[@ShowofForce]

Haha it's not a bad bluffcatcher against what he's repping

[@MDAPokerSchool]

if you play on hard games, it was actually an incredible hh analysis

[@FreeFlow__]

for one bluff you catch, you are wrong 5 times.

[@karlo5967]

Wow you talked 20 minutes to show how you folded and we dont even know was it right..

[@ShowofForce]

It was right ✅️