Nate Silver on Risk-takers, Politicians, and Poker Players | Conversations with Tyler

In his second appearance, Nate Silver joins the show to cover the intersections of predictions, politics, and poker with Tyler. They tackle how coin flips solve status quo bias, gambling’s origins in divination, what kinds of betting Nate would ban, why he’s been limited on several of the New York sports betting sites, how game theory changed poker tournaments, whether poker players make for good employees, running and leaving FiveThirtyEight, why funky batting stances have disappeared, AI’s impact on sports analytics, the most underrated NBA statistic, Sam Bankman-Fried’s place in “the River,” the trait effective altruists need to develop, the stupidest risks Tyler and Nate would take, prediction markets, how many monumental political decisions have been done under the influence of drugs, and more.
Recorded July 22nd, 2024
Transcript and links: conversationsw...
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[@db_cio]

Already have a feeling it’s gonna be a great one!

[@BPerriello94]

Why doesn’t this channel get more views?

[@HarryPainter]

Because it’s called “Mercatus Center”

[@tuckerbugeater]

it's not a marketing channel

[@Liface]

Who cares. Just be glad you're viewing it.

[@innersquirrel]

A lot of people listen to it as an audio only podcast. It's on every podcast app.

[@OOCASHFLOW]

You're right it's wildly underrated. One thing that might help is if they timestamped the different sections of the podcast

[@ThuTran-uo5ob]

Need timestamp

[@aaronrey2658]

great interview, Nate just watch Champions League on Tues/Wed & then pick 1 of the 5 major European football leagues a year to start to watch and in 5yrs you will sound like a pro.

[@shailidalmia3722]

why is he not answering the question he is asked?

[@JameBlack]

He's pro

[@anonymousAJ]

Poker solvers aren't subgame perfect (so in an actual poker match you can deviate profitably)

[@LAZERDISC]

He starts a lot of his responses with "Look..." It makes him sound defensive. But he's probably not confident with his responses so he's overcompensating with insistency.

[@CChristi5]

Nate probably needs to get liver enzymes checked. Beer belly is not n display.

[@susan908]

he really needs to hit the gym