MIDDLE EAST CRISIS: WHY FADING THE MARKET MOVES COULD BE RISKY!

[@kellyschneider2545]

I have to tell you I'm frustrated I just discovered you a month ago, but now I can't wait for your next video on a daily basis. I appreciate your no BS approach to trading and that which is the markets. Thanks for the content, Jason!

[@KenMasters1399]

Me, too.

[@adammichaek8967]

Jason is the best!

[@famesux]

for real. give me these 5 minute videos any day. saves a bunch of time listening to fluff.

[@crowdedmarketreport]

@@kellyschneider2545 really appreciate this comment. Thanks.

[@kellyschneider2545]

@@crowdedmarketreport I've really learned a lot from you in this short time. Your realistic take on things is what's most appealing. BTW...I'm also a music/guitar freak in case you ever feel like shiftin' gears. (ha ha) Thanks again, Jason!

[@bobbyberridge7973]

Can you make a video on your risk management process? How you handle correlations, do you reduce position size if correlation between assets increase? Whats your overall risk typically at any point in time, etc? Analysis is great (dont ever stop) but seeing the nitty gritty of risk management would be awesome as that information is never really spoken about.

[@hutch1819]

Thanks Jason.. awesome video.. appreciate the free content.. will like / schill!

[@darwinmolina8531]

thanks for this free content man

[@anishpawar8852]

Jason the OG Shapiro💪🏻🔥

[@frankderio5757]

Awesome and educational video!

[@AdamSmith-yc8iz]

Thanks Jason!

[@jonathanlee5185]

👍Thanks. By making sense of things, your kind updates give me peace of mind 👍

[@RipoffRadar]

Only up! There will be no recession

[@bradelliot1027]

Thanks Jason. Interesting day. Shalom.

[@RoTelnCheese]

My heating oil long is heating up nicely. Thanks

[@JordanRyan-sh4hi]

By fade today’s market in Yen, are you saying short the Yen? Thx

[@crowdedmarketreport]

Short yen has the best risk/reward profile from a positioning standpoint

[@jw1522]

Thanks man. Have a good day

[@axzipa]

This man is a living legend.

[@zetolone]

Thanks for sharing it ❤

[@crowdedmarketreport]

Thanks for watching!

[@michaelstock9351]

Another great video

[@Reutzel507]

I faded it. Made money. See what tomorrow brings.

[@mehdikhosh8879]

Thank you, brother.

[@Archie-td6ox]

Assalamu alaikum to you sir, Peace be with you, Namaste

[@SAMMYJR00777]

So u think short term markets can do a shake out few days into the weekend? Seems like

[@islaperez1151]

Its worse here, our economy is like a flailing fish, fighting for its life. The normal state of the U.S. economy is actually very bad. Because of this it goes into convulsive spasms fighting to grow any way it can out of desperation. Tricks, gimmicks, rule changes try to stimulate the economy and prevent it from falling but they only bring temporary relief to people since, when you factor in inflation we are declining.

[@gergmohsen9472]

People believe their currency has the worth it does because they have no other option. Even in a hyperinflationary environment, individuals must continue to use their hyperinflationary currency since they likely have minimal access to other currencies or gold/silver coins.

[@stevenvan5104]

Inflation is gradually going to become part of us and due to that fact any money you keep in cash or in a low-interest account declines in value each year. Investing is the only way to make your money grow and unless you have an exceptionally high income, investing is the only way most people will ever have enough money to retire.

[@Dylancool8048]

I've tried investing in the stock market several times but always got discouraged by fluctuations of stock value. I would be happy if you could advise me based on how you went about yours, as I am ready to go the passive income path.!!

[@stevenvan5104]

I don't really blame people who panic. Lack of information can be a big hurdle. I've been making more than $550k passively by just investing through an advisor, and I don't have to do much work. Inflation or no inflation, my finances remain secure. So I really don't blame people who panic.

[@islaperez1151]

Right! People underate the importance of a financial advisor and Business analytics...what you do with your money is more important than the money you get...unwise investments has rendered a lot of people,celebrities inclusive bankrupt.

[@Jay-jd1bi]

Holy shit what a call here. GOAT

[@go4384]

I looked at the actual performance of Yen futures given current long positioning, it’s actually very bullish yen short term with 1 week gains of 3-5% having happened in the past. Small specs are not that long, and pre recent bull market long yen positioning just mean a bull market in yen.

[@timedowntube]

v practical 👍

[@anishpawar8852]

Short the weakest Long the strongest in short

[@Yetified_Mayhem]

Been sitting on hands for almost a month. Lots of bullish charts across the board. But also weekly negative divergences and weakness still in semis. Does look like safety plays like bonds, Utilities, staples need to digest. So maybe $ will rotate back into tech leaders. Patience is my game, not interested in giving back gains from the last few years.. Good luck everyone.

[@savvyguy1353]

Fading 100% on my end.

[@rjlc_]

the jobs number was good and it kinda felt stuff was going to bounce there for a moment

[@gualtieri6058]

shalom!

[@R53Hole]

Oy gevalt!

[@PEOdysseus]

so if I understood correctly - the Yen will drop more - the move up will fade and continue to drop. I am not clear on equity market and which direction crowded market believes it will go.

[@Jay-jd1bi]

there is no what "will" happen. its an odds game

[@matthewjohnson2704]

Does BOJ’s commentary about holding rates steady instead of hiking act as another catalyst to the short yen thesis? Or is BOJ action not really relevant

[@freedomordeath89]

I got lucky on oil and I'm fading the move now by going long stocks. Indeed.

[@aggelosvasilis7457]

how about Gold? speculators sitting at 387k longs,which is only 20k below All time high longs of 407k.

[@crowdedmarketreport]

Not fully set up for me. Small Specs not there yet. Large Specs are maxed out like you wrote.

[@iutubtivi]

What is the meaning of “fade” in this context?

[@Tunka80]

short

[@johnbeard653]

Not short in this context mate, it means to take a trade against the prevailing trend. So if the market is running low like it was today, to take a long position (fade the move) hoping it will bounce back in your favour. Fade is basically what it sounds like, hoping the move will fade and run out of steam and you catch the bounce back.

[@crowdedmarketreport]

Do the opposite. So fading a move up is shorting, fading a move down, is buying

[@TheBulldogsk8]

Conichiwa

[@fidelsalazar74]

What are members think?

[@YOLO-IN]

שלום, שנה טובה מישראל ❤ Love the channel from Israel 🇮🇱

[@rickfool1452]

Halo Namaste saar

[@gracewalsh4908]

😊

[@ericmetts2289]

NZD/USD is a big sell imo. .48 by 3Q 2025

[@crowdedmarketreport]

Curious. Why is it a big sell?

[@ericmetts2289]

@@crowdedmarketreport from a technical perspective if you zoom out on the long-term historical charts, it looks like a massive multi-decade Head and shoulders pattern for whatever that's worth, and it's not worth a ton admittedly. Then I'm looking at a potential 5th wave down from a long-term Elliott wave impulse that started in July of 2014. The .50 level(ish) offers a much greater long-term support level than .55. not that the 50 level is a magical magnet though. Also when looking at the 6 month chart on tradingview, where every candle represents 6 months of price action, every time this pair has bottomed out and started a multi-year uptrend the bottoming process has been pretty quick. January of 1985, January of 1993, July of 2000, January of 2009. This pair has been trying to find a bid at around the 55 level for 4 years now. If this pair starts to find a strong bid from here on out. It would be a very anomalous move. They could definitely still go to a higher level before It ultimately trades down, but that's not my base case. Fundamentally speaking, I don't necessarily think the hard landing scenario is out of the realm of possibilities. US unemployment has been trending up, The Sahm Rule has been triggered. China's economy as everyone knows is not doing well and The recent bazooka that President Xi just fired isn't very imaginative and might have limited effect. Who knows what kind of idiosyncrasies are going on in New Zealand. I'm not that sophisticated of an investor to have a truly robust and quantitative edge but I'm bearish this pair. Once it breaks belows of 2020, that's easy money down to the .50 level

[@prolific1518]

Get ready for the desperate pumpers that bought the top try to keep positive sentiment going