Putin's Caucasus crisis: Kremlin loses control of satellite states | Mark Galeotti

After an anti-Israel protest shut down Russia's Dagestan airport, questions are being raised as to the Kremlin's capability to control their satellite states, says Mark Galeotti.
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[@tonupharry]

The cracks appear , the ruble is worthless.

[@dpelpal]

The ruble is worthless, which mean it holds the same value as the russian army.😂

[@stevev238]

Can always be used as toilet paper.

[@khiem1939]

Thank you, you made me smile!@@dpelpal

[@khiem1939]

When I lived and traveled in China that's what we said about the RMB, since Chinese hotels as a rule, ONLY supplied guests one SHEET of toilet paper per guest! Of course we knew that fact and always carried our own toilet paper with us!@@stevev238

[@janetbarkwith]

I do so like the fact that Times Radio interviewers give their interviewees time and space to answer questions. No grandstanding, or interruptions, nor "questions" framed as speeches. Much appreciated.

[@ScienceTalkwithJimMassa]

Of course, the counter offensive didn't go as hoped. Ukraine was not given everything needed to make it a success, no planes, no long range missiles. If Ukraine was given all the kit needed last year, they would have liberated Crimea and the south already.

[@andyabuteo6084]

Even with all these billions of dollars and all the required war equioments, Ukraine will never get back Crimea and the annexed territories. Russia will stand its ground and defend its annexed territories at all cost.😅

[@matthewcummings9024]

@@andyabuteo6084 Come back to us in a few months time after Ukraine gets the jets and western trained pilots 😉

[@clarkeorchard2304]

💯👌🇬🇧

[@andyabuteo6084]

@matthewcummings9024 Heard that before from the likes of you. Game changer after game changer.... HIMARSH, Patriot missile system, Stinger, now ATACMs but no strategic gain of annexed territories!!! Now F16 and next submarines!!! 😆 As if Russia does not have those....Russia is budgeting its arsenal for this kind of escalation as well and will respond in kind. Don't think the Russians will sit idly by and allow the American led west's proxy to have it's way...

[@lanceash]

@@andyabuteo6084 Your comments further down betray your true loyalties. You are a Putin fan-boy. Nothing you can say be trusted. ONWARD CHRISTIAN SOLDIERS, MARCHING AS TO WAR!!!

[@Dutchcris]

Great interview , great guest . Thanks! 🇱🇺🇺🇦

[@FrankdeGroot-qc2do]

Hou zee

[@marisabenson1222]

Ukraine is also producing it's own military capabilities and is partnering with international companies to manufacture. They are preoared for winter and will continue the counteroffensive, if not on the ground, then elsewhere.

[@tonupharry]

As Israel found out early on its best not to rely on promises from foreign governments. Make your own.

[@dogstar8871]

@@tonupharry - but unlike Hamas, AFR will destroy any new military equipment factories in Ukraine the first day they actually produce anything - your flogging a dead horse

[@terjeoseberg990]

@@tonupharry, Everyone already knows this, and yet Israel still didn’t manufacture the rockets for their own Iron Dome system.

[@Djamonja]

Bur Ukraine is dependent on western aid (money, ammo, equipment), Russia still sells a lot of oil, gas, and other resources to places like China, India, etc. which provides it with the money to fund the war in Ukraine.

[@DissectGibberish]

@@DjamonjaThis doesn't mean that Russia is able to take Ukraine, look at the losses in men and equipment that they suffer, while gaining virtually no ground! Russia is puffed up on its own ego, and not much else.

[@laurie9557]

Crimea is Ukraine. Ask the new Ukrainian defense minister.

[@mera1379]

Tell the defence minister Crimea is celebrating with mother Russia 🇷🇺 🎉😂

[@stephenglover8828]

in his dreams

[@pauln6803]

​@@mera1379 A different man is "celebrating" with your mother every night 😅

[@mera1379]

@@pauln6803 your catheter needs changing every night !

[@pauln6803]

@@mera1379 Keep it up, only 200 more posts and you will receive a letter of authorisation to buy a washing machine. The Russian boys at the front send their regards to your mother.

[@marisabenson1222]

When next you interview Mr Galeotti please ask him to show evidence of support in Kyiv for trading away Crimea and the desire for people in Crimea to be part of Russia. Any polls post 2014 are not satisfactory evidence for obvious reasons. Lastly how does he suppose so many partisan activities are occurring in Crimea.

[@letXeqX]

Not only that a vote actually was taken after the fall of the USSR in Crimea and they chose Ukraine.

[@gregorymagarshak7953]

OK, here is the full picture regarding Crimea and their desire for independence from Ukraine (much like Ichkeria/Chechnya's desire for independence from Russia, etc.) In the 1950s, the population of Crimea - approximately 1.1 million - was roughly 75 percent ethnic Russian and 25 percent Ukrainian. A sizable population of Tatars had lived in Crimea for centuries until May 1944, when they were deported en masse by the Stalinist regime to barren sites in Central Asia, where they were compelled to live for more than four decades and were prohibited from returning to their homeland. 1954: Gifted by USSR heads, from Russian SSR to Ukrainian SSR (officially “to evince the boundless trust and love the Russian people feel towards the Ukrainian people”). People on the ground weren’t asked, but accepted it without violence and life moved on: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transfer_of_Crimea_in_the_Soviet_Union 1991: 94% of voters in referendum wanted to be independent of Ukraine (no Russian troops present) en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Crimean_sovereignty_referendum 1991: Later that year, Crimea takes place in a referendum for whether Ukraine should be independent of USSR and whether they should be part of that. Only 54% vote yes: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1991_Ukrainian_independence_referendum#By_region 1992: Crimean parliament declares Republic of Crimea with self-government. Passes Constitution with conditional independence from Ukraine. Ukraine/Kyiv are incensed en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1992_Crimean_constitution 1992: Later in December Ukraine created a Ukraine Presidential Representative in Crimea, kicking off a wave of protests there: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_Crimea_(1991%E2%80%932014) 1993: Crimean Parliament votes to elect its own President, which Kyiv denounces as unconstitutional. 1994: Popular referendum in Crimea once again strongly supports autonomy and independence from Ukraine: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1994_Crimean_referendum 1994: The Crimean public popularly elect pro-Russian president Yuriy Meshkov. Crimean Parliament and President clash in a constitutional crisis and he disbands them. 1995: Ukrainian government intervenes in the crisis, removes Meshkov, and deports him to Russia. Kyiv appoints Anatoly Franchuk to run Crimea instead, rather than a popularly-elected leader. Crimean people and activists ultimately agree to Ukrainian sovereignty but force Kyiv to expand on the already extensive autonomous status of Crimea. 2006: Crimean Protests against NATO presence: www.nytimes.com/2006/06/11/world/americas/11iht-kiev.1947814.html 2014: March 11 the Republic of Crimea once again proclaimed its independence from Ukraine, citing the Kosovo precedent: en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kosovo_independence_precedent 2014: On March 16 Crimeans headed to the polls for a referendum that presented only two choices - be part of Ukraine or rejoin Russia. OSCE refuses to observe a popular refendum in Crimea, so as to not give legitimacy to its outcome: www.themoscowtimes.com/2014/03/12/osce-will-not-observe-illegal-crimea-referendum-a32885 The option to keep the status quo remain an independent Crimea was NOT included among the available choices in the referendum! A major problem for self-determination. Given the choices, Crimeans largely voted to be annexed by Russia: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_Crimean_status_referendum

[@stevev238]

All evidence today is that they're almost in position to repel Russia from Crimea totally.

[@michaelhenault1444]

Good 👍 interview

[@cavaleer]

Ridiculous to hear Europeans talking about they're fatigued of this invasion. You would think they hadn't been slaughtered and incarcerated by Russians and Nazis two generations ago. Utterly unreal.

[@hrvojesvetec3058]

Ukrane will not give up,at any cost..even if the aid from west will go down..Ukrakne wont just give up,Russa would have lot of problems with all kind of gerilla warfare,assasinations,car bombs,you name it..

[@portwills]

From the West and I'm supporting Ukraine always. If some clown politician wants to change that I am certain he or she will hear our voice loud and clear

[@tonupharry]

Exactly the west has put restrictions on Ukraine . They will do what they have to .

[@junegoddarddevon8306]

With you

[@jamesj9537]

Unfortunately the Russian government has shown (Bakhmut, Mariupol) that if they can’t have it then no one can.

[@johnhariis250]

Just like the Dog in the manger 🦴 I don't want that 🦴

[@simonbowden8408]

Could listen to Mark Galeotti all day long. Such a thoughtful and engaging commentator on Russia. Simply the best!

[@FitzgeraldKrox]

18:08 Regime in Kiew? Talking in Kremlin terms, are we now?

[@juliarichter6987]

Thanks Mr.Galeotti.

[@michaelwoodbodley8099]

Why do you refer to Kiev as a”regime”? Why not “government “?

[@silencemeviolateme6076]

They don't have real elections.

[@stevejohnson6593]

He must have bad intentions!

[@Realist369]

Elainesky is a fascist ,so that’s why

[@martavdz4972]

Might simply be a slip of the tongue. You talk about the Kremlin regime and then for a second you forget the word "government" just when you need it. I'm a court interpreter which in some ways is similar to being a radio journalist (fast talking, fast thinking, keeping a thousand details in your head), and things like this sometimes happen even to the best of professionals.

[@Realist369]

@@martavdz4972 no ,elainesky is a total fascist like that German bloke 85 years ago.both drug addicts aswell,both work for the CIA,both have jewish ancestry.both don’t care about human life.

[@davidbrancaleone3039]

This Times interviewer describes the Ukrainian sovereign state as "a regime", and in his next question refers to the Russian "regime" whereas Mark Galleotti uses the word only in reference to the "Russian authoritarian regime". So, Times journalist, James Hanson, how can you refer to Ukraine as a regime - assuming you bother to read our comments - Would you refer to the British sovereign state as a "regime"?

[@brianguenther4285]

I think you are overthinking it. I’ve heard US presidents cabinets described as the “Biden regime” and “Trump regime”.

[@marisabenson1222]

5he word regime does have authoritarian vibes about it

[@Dark_Bandon]

You really do have a muddled mind. Ukraine and the UK are democratic sovereign states. Russia is a authoritarian regime.

[@robinbailey7460]

Probably he would.

[@plebius]

Regime due to the frequency it is used with non-desirable administrations around the world has negative connotations. You will notice whenever it is used it is nearly always if not exclusively by an opponent. The original commentator is correct in highlighting it, although I don't think the journalist did it on purpose. Words carry weight, and hidden meanings and he should know better and to edit it would have been easy.

[@TheMrCougarful]

I am a simple cougar. I see Mark Galeotti, I click.

[@Gayzenon]

❤Ukrainian ❤

[@jasperchance3382]

Now this is a guy who talks about reality in a knowlegdable way. Kudos

[@kevinn1158]

Thank you for such a clear and well thought out interview. Mark gives an astute accessment of this conflict. I am hoping that the Russian people revolt against Putin and put an end to this insanity.

[@williestyle35]

It is a fine "wish" that the people of Russia will do anything, but even when they don't... "approve" directly what Putin does, most Russian's are desperate to hold their position as a "major power" in the world. At any cost they can never admit (to themselves or anyone else) that their "empire" is now completely depleted, and their position as "spoiler" to Western policies is now just a meme.

[@Zookeeper.]

Hi @kevinn1158, what makes you think revolt against President Vladimir Putin is warranted, and what makes you think about "insanity"? I found out that psychiatry is kind of dated in its reference textbook from 2015 (the DSM-5). I haven't checked the latest versions though. Mental health is a rather new discipline with its growing pains and it is constantly being improved over time. I met several psychiatrists, one of them that could have been described as a "malignant narcissist". I do think narcissism is a weird way to talk about some overly rational people. Some have a single point of view from their own rational minds - they trust that what they see in the mirror is themselves, a normal point of view that's rather comprehensible. They are actually seeing a mirror image of them. A planar reflection... And "narcissists" are seeing the world in reverse with them at the center - exclusively. A properly improved sens of empathy can help them balance their views better over time. Some young children that did not benefit from a proper loving care can stay in that state of "being alone in their minds" for a long time... Seeing the world more fully is feeling it openly and having shared experiences and life stories with other empathic people. That implies shared confidences in our ability to heal and reconnect ourselves with the world. Makes for better days I know. What do you think? Can improved shared confidence in one's ability overall (and recognition of individual skills) be helpful for one's health? I sincerely think so. I trained for that but I do not have any real skill. I have confidence in a properly balanced application of intelligence emotional and cognitive. I did that and reconnected with people already so I know this works. Peace might be around the corner when more people realize war (against their fear, really - but that can extend outwards) is not the answer to everything in international conflicts. I think President Vladimir Putin is a very intelligent person with a large ambition. I think he achieved a lot with some strange means (fear) but that this will be sorted out over time. It mostly come from shared kindness in our environments and a willingness to improve together. Have a nice day @kevinn1158 🖐 "We can't solve problems by using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them." (Albert Einstein) "Never gonna give you up" (Rick Astley)

[@gregmchale5011]

Russians will never revolt they are all cowards and just accept whatever crumbs their leaders chose to give its citizens

[@Hindu_Shahi]

So whites think ProPalestine is ok if its also anit Russia. Genocidal Imperialsim Europes largest export.

[@Realist369]

Total nonesense

[@LMVG2233]

Always enjoy hearing Mark Galeotti's insights. He is a great guest.

[@Viktor-bb]

Ещё подкиньте оружие Израилю, больше будет погибших детей, стыд и позор ЦРУ

[@xcrockery8080]

This is how it ends for Putin.

[@Youssef51]

Excellent commentary and analysis by Mark Galeotti. Please have him on more frequently.

[@mrkeogh]

With the smart munitions they're receiving, Ukraine doesn't need as much artillery ammunition as Russia does to achieve to same effect.

[@Havardr_Ash_Kenaz]

That was excellent reporting

[@johncromwell2529]

Slava Ukraini🙏🇺🇦

[@andyabuteo6084]

Get back Crimea and Donbass already rather than spewing nonsense😅

[@ennediend2865]

​@@andyabuteo6084 SLAVA UKRAINI🇺🇦✌

[@andyabuteo6084]

@@ennediend2865 victory ✌️?? Without regaining every inch of 1991 Ukrainian territory???? How hilarious 😆 🤣 😂

[@hardtackbeans9790]

@@andyabuteo6084 I have seen your lies on this & other channels before. You were gone for a while. Did you get caught in too many contradictory lies for Mad Dog? You know, maybe you wouldn't get ripped so bad if you just sounded like you knew what you were talking about . . . Just a thought. You simp for numbty-nuts putin anyway you like..

[@elainehafzalla6441]

I very much appreciate seeing your faces

[@imaginemetoo]

SLAVA UKRAINI 🔱🇺🇦💪🏻✌🏻

[@andyabuteo6084]

Get back Donbass and Crimea already rather than spewing nonsense!!😅

[@lanceash]

@@andyabuteo6084 Say something original rather than taking up space.

[@imaginemetoo]

@@andyabuteo6084 👈🏻🤡

[@andyabuteo6084]

@@lanceash Slava Ukraini is original???? 😆 🤣

[@hardtackbeans9790]

@@andyabuteo6084 I think Lance is talking about your copy & pasting the same thing over & over, andy. Something original . . . Humm . . . Glory to sick boy putin!! May his mighty army, 2nd (worst) of the world, gloriously regroup all the way back home!! How was that? Original enough for ya? I could add 'May putin's grave be spat on for generations to come'. LOL!!

[@bungalowjuice7225]

I'm so disappointed in how us Europeans dropped the ball. We knew a year ago about all this.

[@tedcrilly46]

Hello Ivan.

[@robinbailey7460]

Had the west lived up to promises promptly in 2022, Ukraine could have got troops ready, used to western arms. Perhaps even shelled the russians building the defence lines. The slow offensive is really the struggle to get through multiple lines of russian obstacles. Lack of air support for advancing troops is also a huge issue. F16's not until well into summer 2024, if even then, will make any offensive as difficult, probably more difficult as the west gives up. Because it will. There is no staying power in the west. Feeble and fickle. I have often wondered why the 'nations' in the russian federation - Dagestan, Chechnya etc haven't taken the opportunity to go for independence, especially as we are told most of the troops are called up from these 'remote' states. Relatively few from the three big wealthy cities in the west or russia. Now Muslims in such states could turn on Russia. Majority in the military, stage their own 'mutiny' in a push for independence from Moscow.

[@buddyrojek9417]

I agree . This is the main reason why Ukraine May lose the territory. It’s a disgrace and there must be an enquiry and all politicians held accountable

[@dogstar8871]

west incapable - were not ready - still incapable - still believe their own war propaganda: AFR incompetent, corrupt, badly outfitted, badly trained, yadayada - typical Collective West hubris

[@paulhargreaves1497]

@@jrchefal "taxpayers"...........dog whistling again?

[@buddyrojek9417]

@@jrchefal Ukraine will never be Russia’s friend . Go make friends with China and Iran

[@righthandstep5]

​@@buddyrojek9417not on your life Ukraine will never concede territory

[@SurfinScientist]

Why does the interviewer refer to the Ukrainian government as a "regime"?

[@hrvojesvetec3058]

Im very shameful of european weaknes,softnes,doubleface politics..they saying big,fine words like "we are with Ukraine as long as it takes" "Ukraine will prevail" "They fighting for us all" etc etc..we will see how much all that is worth but not looking very positive..hope im wrong,that EU step up and do whats needed..

[@buddyrojek9417]

Unfortunately they are littered with Russian spies and the politicians are on the take with Russian gas money

[@righthandstep5]

This is war. Not a video game. The media needs to stop framing it this way.

[@stevejohnson6593]

You think it's wise to march into Russia with our combined might? Maybe politicians are a bit too careful, yes, but what would the result of open warfare be?

[@hardtackbeans9790]

Not only in Europe. The US & I would argue other so called allies to Ukraine seem long on cheerleading for Ukraine & not delivering on a lot that is promised. Or it takes forever in insufficient numbers. Europe may have openly hostile parts, but drip feeding Ukraine help isn't much better..

[@martavdz4972]

You can't blame "the EU", as this differs a lot from country to country. There are also countries that risk their own safety in order to help Ukraine. Latvia has given Ukraine all, ALL its battle helicopters.

[@vortigern3910]

Mark Galeotti, remind me to never try to get an education in the uk, this guy is just intelligent enough to be wrong.🙃

[@artmcteagle]

Mark doubling down on the necessity of Ukraine giving up Crimea. It's not on the bargaining table, especially when the Kerch bridge is brought down.

[@docinparadise]

Agree. If he were in charge, how many of his own people would he be willing to leave stranded under oppressive Russian rule? How many citizens would he sacrifice?

[@JoeyBlogs007]

This reflects either Russia aligning with Hamas as a protagonist state to help fulfil a broader agenda in order to divert western resources from Ukraine or early signs of Russia disintegrating via the dilution of its influence over non Russian regions.

[@ProfessorxVile]

No reason it can't be both!

[@JoeyBlogs007]

@@ProfessorxVile Very true professor.

[@bobcrowther4717]

​@@ProfessorxVile99

[@jennyfromtheblock.7153]

Did you see the videos of Kadyrov preparing for “something”? They showed him gathering battalions non supportive of Russia. I’m sure he’s aware of how the people in his region are feeling right now. And as they said months ago, Dagestan is the region with the highest death rate for soldiers, high poverty and they’ve been complaining about unfair treatment in the SMO. Also they boycotted and threatened Russian Christians who were upset about a mosque being built near Moscow.

[@Anna87147]

Russia has never been stronger and more united. Disintegrating??? Stop watching propaganda.

[@jasonhodge2597]

This war will end in Russia not Ukraine

[@RazorMouth]

Yes so it's important for Ukraine to hold the lines at the very least.

[@arthurm4726]

If Russia can’t use Crimea what is the point? If Russia doesn’t have a Black Sea fleet, what is the point?

[@amblincork]

Indeed - what Russia has proved it is still the backward ignorant country it has laways beem

[@righthandstep5]

Exactly. They retreated knowing they cannot win

[@APW554]

Kerch bridge on fire again?

[@johncromwell2529]

Thx

[@finophile]

James, thanks for introducing yourself (something a particular pair of pro-terror regime agressive hosts fail to do), your interview with Mark was well conducted and thoughtful. I hope you have great success in your career. Thanks for giving me hope that the Times is not just a mouthpiece.

[@FrankdeGroot-qc2do]

Correct Ukraine will not stop because of the weather They will adapt and make choices, when, where and how

[@hitreset0291]

True. Drones seem to travel over soggy muddy ground very well.😏👍

[@user-qf7ud5de9h]

No necromancers no cannibals

[@orsolyafrank573]

Thank you for this and for all of your balanced and analytic content. Oddly, since the Israeli crisis broke out, the BBC and DW have demonstrated a degree of one-sidedness and almost propagandistic herart-string playing that Times Radio has remained the only listenable-to news source. Please, carry on the good works, we need information, ideas, analysis, facts, - quality journalism.

[@bungalowjuice7225]

HAMAS' Pallywood division is great at deceiving even seasoned journalists.

[@mikemccormick6128]

How are the BBC and DW one-sided and propagandistic? I'm not arguing that they are not, it's just that I typically don't get my Israeli war news from them because I'm overloaded with American news. American news doesn't really cover Ukraine hardly at all, so I watch the BBC and DW for Ukraine news.

[@LA-kc7ev]

Agreed. Thank you.

[@Realist369]

Balanced ? Where🤷‍♂️😂😂😂

[@Realist369]

Quality journalism? Where🤷‍♂️😂😂😂

[@tridbant]

Where was the demonstration against the treatment of the Chinese Uighur’s?

[@kevinhiggins7838]

The UN doesn’t care about them

[@marievictoire1939]

The introduction is simply irritating once is enough to hear an interview

[@charlesjurgus]

May he live long enough to reap what he has sown.

[@here_we_go_again2571]

It is said that his greatest fear is ending up like Gaddafi

[@JonathanReynolds1]

@@here_we_go_again2571I think his fate will be more like Nicolae Ceaucescu.

[@DissectGibberish]

@@here_we_go_again2571Sounds appropriate for Putin.

[@gloriahoulihan8717]

Is Lukashenko asking for peace talks just expressing Putin's instructions?. Russia are losing so badly at Avdivka. Russia has lost so much equipment and 15,000 soldiers in this battle so far. 900 casualties a day is not sustainable. Or is it to Russians?

[@syon600]

And who were signatories to Budapest memorandum

[@ennediend2865]

So many non Russian people in the " Russian Federation" 😳 Not even Slavic , not even Christian... Russia strange "country" 🧐

[@kaiying74]

10:50 - Glad to see him calling out the poor quality of modern journalism, they really have become appallingly bad in the last decade. I have to say in some cases the Times panders by continuing to repeat asinine questions like the interviewer has just asked Re: Ukraine's offensive stalling. Such a lazy question to anyone paying even the slightest attention to what's been going on over the summer. Literally all of the guests I've seen answer it have answered similar to Mark but yet the question has been continually asked since the early days of the push. You are partly to blame for seeding & contributing to the "public impression" of it being stalled by having it be part of the narrative from the start. I expect better from the Times.

[@hardtackbeans9790]

Journalism has been chasing one sensationalist story after another for the last century. In some ways it was worse 'back when'. Now you get caught in your lies pretty quick. If you mean last decade over the previous, I won't judge. I don't see much difference but you might have a point in some countries.

[@carolwilliams8511]

I tend to agree.

[@user-wr8vc5vx1n]

thanks👌

[@nicolaasstempels8207]

A lull? Hundreds of armed vehicles and thousands of troops destroyed a lull? Not really the best choice of words.

[@philipstrachan6212]

He teases out the issues well. Thank you.

[@silassoule5077]

The depolarization will bring about the demise of Putin

[@jules1again]

Of course they knew it was going to happen. They needed someone for the people to hate more than themselves.

[@reuvenpolonskiy2544]

Borat is back at it again

[@oleopathic]

Mark, Keir Giles liberally references your work in his new book. Aside from Giles' work, who might you recommend I read on the topic of Russia? Thanks Mark.

[@peterwhimster]

Why doesn't Mark name the backsliders?

[@whoisme678]

If the west doesnt keep focused on BOTH then I'm thinking far worse to come.

[@user-qb3ig1qg1s]

I like this idea. It should teach him a lesson here.😊

[@hybridarmyoffreeworld]

Yes. Seems to me there should be more explicit emphasis that US support for Ukraine is a national security issue, not a “foreign aid” issue.

[@WhiteThumbs]

Trading Crimea is never going to happen imo

[@dodgeewanker2179]

Is that a Romulan Warbird over your shoulder?

[@captainhadd0ck]

Mark Galeotti is always worth listening to. Slava Ukraini! 💙💛

[@peterwhimster]

No chapter on the Caucasus and satellite states.

[@docinparadise]

We need a way to demine the frontlines. Also, you’re not helping.

[@andymcleod3253]

When will people wake up.war started by politics for there own gain by owning shares in munition companies etc.they don't give a toss about you and me.mps etc should declare interest in companies they have shared in.iys an eye opener

[@tcritt]

That's the hottest take in the sixth form common room.

[@stephenglover8828]

you are totally right

[@karloyu3484]

👍

[@RalphBrooker-gn9iv]

Fascinating talk. Thank you. With due respect I disagree about how Putin will feel about 2023. If he feels ‘moderately satisfied’ then that must be set against the backdrop of a catastrophic ‘special military operation’. Whether he’s ill or not, he’ll cut a different figure from that of the swaggering manipulator. I recall reading in Vassili Grossman’s ‘Stalingrad’ the moment at which the very idea of relocating power, steel and tractor plants to the eastern bank of the Volga simply ran out of time. The Germans were too close. This actually motivated the exhausted factory workers to keep the factories open 24/7 for as long as possible. The prevailing indecision turned to near universal commitment. The parallel with Russia’s economy can just be glimpsed.

[@steveducell2158]

I am surprised that Poland doesn't start, covertly, utilizing Russian tactics, in tandem with its neighbors, against Russia.

[@pgf289]

Insightful analysis from Mark G as usual, caveated with plenty of honest "we just don't know" 's, which many Russia-watchers could do with adding more often. Regarding Crimea, he is spot on, making Crimea untenable for high value Russian assets like large warships, submarines, and possibly even aircraft, is one thing, but physically taking control of it is another. The Russian military would have to be facing total collapse to fail to defend the narrow strips of land leading to the peninsula. In fact even if there were a collapse in Zaporizhia, I expect you'd see Russian troops fleeing into Crimea before making a stand there. Being able to hold Crimea under threat, which Ukraine is already doing, is already a powerful bargaining tool that they must make the most of, but the prospect of Russia losing or surrendering Crimea is almost unthinkable, as it is probably the only true "red line" that Putin has, as Mark stated.

[@poucine832]

I would have thought it would be easy to blockade crimea. I assume they have not done that yet because the ukrainiens don't have enough air superiority

[@cynthiagarnham1157]

It going to be interesting, what effect the developing El Nino has on the war. After new year, it should be come much colder than the previous couple of winter, that's in northern Europe. Might mean the frozen ground is more useful for heavy machinery ( tanks ect), to get around. Presumably NATO standard , cold weather clothing, is far superior to the Russian? Might make all the difference, should Ukraine decide to make a push, before the Spring. Don't forget both Hitlers a and Napolean were beaten by the weather. Bit further north of Ukraine of course ! But still can get below minus 20C!!

[@khiem1939]

True, the Ukrainian Forces are rotated out of the front lines on a regular basis, the Russian Forces NOT SO! Last Winter I saw Ukrainian drone footage of dead Russian soldiers who appeared to be frozen. Some who were not dead didn't even try to take refuge even when drones dropped grenades on them! If this is a COLD Winter it can do more damage to the Russians than the Ukrainian Forces!

[@currawong60911368]

Another hot zone means Western arms manufactures are brought closer to increasing production. Which can be quite considerable, when required.

[@philippajoy4300]

Galeotti is this one reason I occasionally listen to Times Radio on KZbin.

[@christinelapping7903]

He has his own podcast "In Moscows Shadows" which is worth a listen.

[@PAVANZYL]

Nothing happens in Russia if Putin does not approve it - unless Russia is falling apart. A crowd like that does not just happen, it gets organized. By somebody.

[@DanielleKingdjdinosaur]

how to destroy an empire when trying to re build one

[@arthurarthur6083]

🤩

[@nickcharnley19]

random silly question, got to know a bit about Georgia, it's geography is unique, they are a tough bunch. Russia has dipped in physically, limited success. I would like to see them do well. no strategic value, can they kick, the Russian bear out and grow?

[@khiem1939]

Depends if they "remove" their pro Russian Government!

[@David-fj5lz]

These satellites states are leaving Russia now

[@portwills]

Our economies are infinitely more powerful than Russia's, why anyone wouldn't want to put 20 cents to keep supporting Ukraine is beyond me.

[@dogstar8871]

problem is this: the Ukraine project was always a neocon Moscow regime change project - that's now a bust - ain't gonna happen - all that's left to learn is how many more Ukrainians are to be sacrificed to this lost cause

[@andyabuteo6084]

Infinitely powerful economies when Germany is currently the sick man of Europe!!! Lol😅😊

[@plum_bit]

@@andyabuteo6084 Yet it's still vastly more wealthy than Russia

[@edwardkantowicz4707]

@dogstar8871 Quite frankly, that sounds like a lot of dogshit. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

[@andyabuteo6084]

@@plum_bit Germany's economic success over the past 4 decades was largely due to cheap Russian energy. Now Germany's economy is contracted and is now regarded as the sick man of Europe.... 😆

[@d_baumberger]

Can’t lose what what you never had

[@jimmyjemal8802]

You cant just view this as whats going on in the battlefield. Russias economy, its arms sales, its influence on neighbouring countries and the threat from its own provinces. The war is weakening Russia by the day.

[@khiem1939]

Before Putin's War the GNP of Russia was about the same as that of Italy and LESS than the State of California. Today, with their natural gas business defunct, their selling oil at cost to India and China to keep their fields producing, their weapons business STALLED, and little else in exports to help them much, Russia is having major problems! With over 1 million young Russian men already fled from their country, they now rely on their Eastern "Asian" Russians who are being used as cannon fodder! This cannot continue for too much longer since fractures are now starting to appear and can only get worse!

[@paulfreeman1191]

😮

[@user-qf7ud5de9h]

Get rid of Crow/johnson the war monger

[@syon600]

Didn't putin recently state that russia supports palestine?

[@ann3856]

Putin is 'big friends' with Iran. I think 'Anvika' is/was a town. Nothing left. America cleared money/equipment for Ukraine last week. What does Putin look? When he appeared when 'Proghozin' were there, his face were small. Other newer ones he was thin. One picture latest where his face were big.

[@irishcanuck9489]

Steroids does that, my son was on them for a blood disease

[@lobstermash]

Title is a clickbait.

[@PeterHanson-nz6wu]

Oh look it is a "game changer", another NATO wonder weapon. It will undoubtablely succeed were the Challenger 2 tanks, Bradleys, the Abram tanks, Leopard 2 tanks, all failed.

[@scottkrater2131]

Get educated Vatnik.

[@PeterHanson-nz6wu]

@@scottkrater2131 Stop wetting you bed, soyboy.

[@user-jb3no4ju2c]

Hamas ? Hezballa ? Im confused

[@louisebean9428]

Putin…”I will keep on retreating until I win”….

[@tomasnozka1]

Crises waiting for Russia next year. One very urgent is the debt crisis in Russian population. The problem is huge and we are gonna hear about it.

[@carlchong7592]

Putin has a pain in the Caucasus?

[@christineb2666]

Ha ha pootie

[@dramatika116]

Protests , really😅, the author clearly has no idea what is it like in Russia right now

[@RazorMouth]

Interesting how Brits often call foreign governments regimes. Now Ukraines government is a regime 🤔

[@Texas240]

It would help Putin keep control of the caucuses if he had any military power in reserve. Imagine how long the Soviet Union would've lasted if they had to send in the entire military to quell the rebellions in Czechoslovakia or Hungary. All the other states or Warsaw Pact nations would've been under popular rebellion due to no available boot to pin their neck to the ground. Ironically, Putin recently said it was a mistake for the Soviet Union to send tanks and troops into those 2 countries. He countered his momentary lucidity with the delusional statement that the United States is making the same mistake in Ukraine... Nevermind the fact that America isn't sending troops to Ukraine and Ukraine's only complaint about the US and other Western countries sending tanks is that we're not sending enough materiel fast enough. That one old, delusional man can cause so much death, pain, and destruction in the modern era is almost unfathomable.

[@sashagrey2984]

I like the West is "helping" Ukraine by cheering them to continue the massacre for years and on and creating modern Ukrainian demograhics (may google for them), while it would've ended like Georgian conflict in 2008 in severals weeks - removal of threat to Russia and an immidiate return to common life. But the West deciced to HELP. Well, I hope ukrainians will be very happy in next 50 years that this gloryfull and very meaningfull war for Ukraine had indeed happened and was not avoided by all means.

[@khiem1939]

Apparently YOU are IGNORANT of Russians, a Peace Treaty with them means LESS than the PAPER it's written on!

[@toddclean547]

I am not a big fan of his comments. Too shallow of reasoning.

[@jayspik6498]

Ukraine 🇺🇦 offensive is over. Has been over for weeks.. 😅

[@martinkeith5543]

I watched Putin every day for over 6 months from april 2019 to march 2020 and in my early life looked after parkinson sufferers Putin has this disease he has all the early noticable symptoms which tells me he has had it for a while now four years later it can only be significantly worse. If he lives long enough he will likely die a bad death

[@davidhowse884]

The war was always likely to continue into 2025 or 2026.

[@rabbott-ee4yu]

You are making the assumption that Ukraine will pause during the winter instead of, as in 2022, continue their removel of the Russians from their lands during the winter months, not allowing Russia to take a breath and regroup.