Repeating The Same MISTAKE, This CAN'T Continue, Real Intentions - Ukraine War Map Analysis News

G'day Legends, I hope you're doing well,
Today we talk about the Russia's offensive and look at the war map updates.
If you're new here thanks for coming across, I served in the Australian Infantry from 2014-2021, With a tour to Afghanistan as a crew commander of a Armoured Mobility Vehicle.
Upon my Return I was unexpectedly diagnosed with a Incurable and Inoperable Brain tumour that is slowly killing me. I was also awarded the Queens Order of Australia Medal (OAM) hence the post nominals after my name. Then Being medically separated from the Army I flew to Ukraine in 2022 for 6.5months and now make content full time. I really appreciate you being here Thankyou
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[@willyOAM]

Hey legends, One Update since upload and publish: New footage has confirmed the air defense system destroyed was an S400, (footage is on the telegram and will be on tomorrow's video), Apologies dudes

[@luciusdomitiusaurelianus1024]

Willy you Aussie Bastard...... You look great in a suit.... Keep up the Good Work Mate :)

[@gian7707]

Your man is EXACTLY correct...100% it was the land bridge and ports

[@verypleasantguy]

The *BIGGEST* mistake for Ukraine is to believe that a certain Benjamin Zelensky is their savior

[@jamesgornall5731]

More where that came from, unlike storm shadow/scalp missiles, under 1000 total made and now long out of production. How many to destroy an S400 component (whole system includes radars, control centres, individual missile batteries, logistics vehicles) and which component hit? Nobody mentions, ever, the complete devastation of Ukraine's 100+ S-300 systems, which did the large majority of interception work and not the Patriot, yet another point-defence system, as is commonly believed. Now they lie in ruins, even Oryx confirms this. The surviving units have no ammo, even after scavenging from other nations.

[@maryginger4877]

Given China's industrial capacity, should they start seriously supplying Russia; its not only game over for Ukraine, its game over for NATO.

[@OleDiaBole]

Those speed boat drones are made in Britain. Stop calling them Ukrainian. Not even food, uniforms and boots on Ukrainian feet are theirs.

[@thfrussia6717]

Those weapons are not only British made but mostly operated by Brits and Americans. Brits just sank that Moskva cruiser and said it was Ukrsinians.

[@Jedi_Pimp]

Russia earned it so Ukraine owns it 😂😂😂

[@peterrisbergs7156]

Sending weapons to Ukraine is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenagers.

[@Euroscot9155]

​@@thfrussia6717Thats a wild accusation!, take your tin hat off for a while and have a coffee.

[@thfrussia6717]

@@Euroscot9155 Im never taking it off! Good try CIA.

[@СергейЯрков-у4с]

There are absolutely no downsides of being drawn into yet another meat grinder in wagner-occupied dead city. This tactic has never failed

[@doctordetroit4339]

They elected dual nationals for leaders...it shows.

[@artificialstupidity4541]

Ukr complaining bout nato tactics not working cause of no air support then you have musicians grinding cities without air support, skill issue really.

[@thatonejoey1847]

​@@artificialstupidity4541ukraine trying to copy verdun/stalingrad forgetting that you actually need sufficiently built defence fortifications

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@thatonejoey1847 the lines of defence were built, just not up to the border because of drones and russian artillery. russians havent even reached the 1st lines lf ukrainian defence yet. they are still in that border grey zone which exists on both sides.

[@thatonejoey1847]

@@giovanni-ed7zq I think that's cope tbh, I'll just wait till later

[@fairworld990]

The wealthiest economies are arming and financing Ukraine but if some helps Russia is a no no

[@maryginger4877]

Given China's industrial capacity, should they start seriously supplying Russia its not only game over for Ukraine, its game over for NATO.

[@dhanu_4539]

​@@maryginger4877China and Russia are allies as much as they are rivals. China has been stealing their tech for decades, and selling the reproductions at discount prices to 3rd world countries. Ruining Russia's weapons export business, they also keep fighting against India which Russia prefers to deal with rather than China. Some Chinese are immigrating into Russia and taking over local jobs. The US just pushed Russia into China's hands. Now China holds all the cards. Russia is having to sell their resources for cheap just to maintain the cash flow. If China decides to invade Taiwan Russia will help them directly or indirectly. The hypersonic missile tech and the latest submarine technology itself could make things very difficult for the west if it gets into Chinese hands. We already know that Russia can kill patriot systems

[@Jedi_Pimp]

Game over China economy done

[@Benz2533]

@@maryginger4877that why China did not supply the Russia Federation like how NATO send their equipment to Ukraine. China is helping Ukraine by not getting involve. Specially when US is poke poke China with Taiwan and such.

[@Euroscot9155]

​@@maryginger4877Dream on!.

[@patricklarsen8078]

When people realize Ukraine did not want to perform the "counter-offensive" last year. They were pushed to. Just as they were pushed to not sign in Istanbul. Sacrifice the lambs.

[@thorpedersen8868]

This entire war is just so the USA could destroy Noordsteam and take over the supply of gas, oil and allied industries. Ru also had a contract to assist Israel with the Leviathan gas field and the US was never going to accept that. Ukraine was also to be the poster child for the WEF digital currency and id system.... there is a lot that was going on there.

[@delawareK]

they weren't pushed they got options to choose

[@kaboom1655]

All Zelensky needs is a nudge to bend over for the West.

[@glintongordon6811]

USA literally told them it wouldn't be successful so they shouldn't do it

[@ЕвгенийПершин-е1ь]

​@@glintongordon6811 you can two US guys, one from Pentagon telling you you're insane and another one explaining, in his funny hat, that you better show some good show and glorious struggles. Otherwise support would fold quickly

[@MeHighLo]

If you want to know the truth in any case in this war just wait for an announcement from the Ukrainian MOD and extrapolate the total opposite.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Go on give me a clue because that means 500k Russians have spawned on the battlefield.

[@brotherbrovet1881]

@Willy OAM, those Sea drones are why Russia is going to take Odessa. That and because this war started in Odessa when Banderites murdered protestors in Odessa May 2014

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

lol russia cant take odessa, they couldnt even take it at begining of the war when they had a huge advantage in men and weapons.

[@Samuel-hd3cp]

Giovanni, everybody knows Ukraine had a manpower advantage until Q.4 2023. It must be awful being you?

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@Samuel-hd3cp its not about manpower. its about rising inflation in russia that will turn into out of control hyperinflation and then its game over for russia. at current rate russia will take 40 years to take ukraine and russian economy doesnt have 40 years lol. with inflation rising 18-24 months tops.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@Samuel-hd3cp dont worry inflation in russia doesnt care about your russian propaganda. inflation doesnt lie.

[@usergiodmsilva1983PT]

Hahahahaha taking Odessa... With what navy bub? 😂

[@bkxt]

This conflict is covered so much by everyone it gives me the impression this is a football match. The rich are betting money watching this match smoking cigars and sipping scotch.

[@mrdoerp]

The rich are the bookmakers, they dont bet but always win

[@cruiser6260]

They're making money not gambling.

[@NDR-hn3ue]

Some are even (almost macabre) commercials for gum and other products

[@markorsrpska7230]

In combat, as we are witnessing in the north, there is a simple math of casualties. The more shells used by one side, the more casualties the other side has, and according to Ukro's statements, the exchange of shells is 10 to 1 in favor of Rus.

[@enixword2637]

You talk as if you saw my comment from last week. 😂😂 Only Ukro-Nazis agree that the exchange of shells is 10-1 in favour of Russia but at the same time believe casualties rate is 10-1 in favour of Ukraine. 😂😂😂😂

[@chrissmith7669]

It’s never been that simple or the landings on the islands during WW II would have met no resistance

[@thatonejoey1847]

​@@chrissmith7669 because amphibious landings are always easier for the defenders, history skews towards Gallipolis and Anzios and less Normandy's

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

nah go to wargonzo's report, he says ukraine has artillery superiority in kharkiv. he also said russia took huge casualties in kharkiv and its why the offensive stalled. you are using some generalized statement that isnt true in kharkiv. wargonzo's report tells you the russians dont have artillery superiority in kharkiv.

[@markorsrpska7230]

@@chrissmith7669 Check the casualty rates for the US and Japan in the so-called "island hopping campaign" before commenting.

[@FeralVG]

Much noise has been made about USA$60Billion aid finally being made available as if it’s going to turn the tide. It sounds similar to the hype prior to the now failed Ukraine summer offensive. Russia appears to be implementing sound strategies which provide daily advances. It’s difficult to see how Ukraine can push Russia back. Stranger things have happened, though.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

wargonzo reporting ukraine has artillery superiority in kharkiv causing huge russian losses.

[@attilamarics3374]

@@giovanni-ed7zq No they did not.

[@Samuel-hd3cp]

Giovanni. Is there something wrong with you?

[@mikemckinnis3877]

​@@giovanni-ed7zq I'm sure denny says the same 🤣

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@mikemckinnis3877 enjoy your high russian inflation turning into out of control hyperinflation lol. inflation doesnt care about your russian propaganda.

[@kurtschuster8078]

Tha Russian still don't control as much land as blackrock.

[@eleveneleven572]

Good of you to point out Ukraine's real government. 🐙

[@redbaron6322]

@@eleveneleven572 Keep going Russiya ...break Blackrock!

[@Jedi_Pimp]

Sad on Russia's part really

[@hadesunderworld4203]

Isn’t blackrock also involved with the rebuilding of Ukraine whenever this stops . That 400 billion deal . In there. They probably end up owning most of it … private corporations now run the states and most democracies… kinda sad

[@zszempty]

yea except Russia will not respect the deals and sales made during an illegitimate regime, only fair after the west froze assets etc... honestly its such a stupid move by blackrock that Id wager they actually want to deal with Russia after this and will figure out a deal.

[@OneShadow7]

A person with a functioning brain will never come to the conclusion that a side with 18 000 soldiers (in western propaganda 60 000) will try to take a city of 4 500 000 people defended by 100 000 soldiers. It is simply not enough they'd have trouble keeping traffic going with those numbers.

[@ЕвгенийПершин-е1ь]

Mustache man did an oopsie and declared war on US, while he was busy enough with other mustaches on the east - stupid people do exist Since people allowed to be incredible dumb, imagine them thinking the other side is not humans, but mindless orcs, waking up each day, thinking where to restore USSR today. Start sound pretty common conclusion between people, power of propaganda. You can even convince people that Ukraine is being invaded by aggressive pigeons...

[@drogonmax8781]

Which city is that Kharkiv is about 1,5 mils and Kiev around 3 milion population?

[@Euroscot9155]

​@@drogonmax8781Doesn't make sense, probably got his numbers from Solovyov!.

[@zszempty]

there isnt a single place in Ukraine - that has 100,000 soldiers available anymore... the fact they just did forced marches to reinforce Sumy from Avdiivka front should tell you everything you need to know - endgame now, the final reserves are up, its just now a question to see how much Zelenskys incarceration/death will cost in terms of human lives.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

its actually 15-20k fighting troops for russia, rest is all support personel like all armies. also russia isnt trying to take kharkiv, they just want to get it into artillery range so they can shell the residential buildings like they did to that one norther part.

[@hajtomjones4077]

Those FAB winged add-ons are the real game changer, not the NATO weapons so far. Russia basically has millions of FAB munitions as they were originally designed to be for carpet bomb, now each one has been turned into a cruise missile. Accurate, cheap, powerful. Once this started the grinder just increased speed, FABs are destroying all ukrainian defenses in the front line.

[@usergiodmsilva1983PT]

FABs do need a plane to be deployed.

[@chrissmith7669]

They aren’t that much of a game changer. They’re only effective if launched relatively close to the front. If Ukraine‘s air defense is working the glide bombs are inaccurate according to Ukrainian reports

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Drones have been more important especially for Ukraine

[@chrissmith7669]

@@CheeseLovingGuy I’m betting the explosion (pun) in drone usage is rewriting everyone‘s playbook. Any country not heavily investing in drone warfare is going to be very behind when hostilities breakout

[@andreaskraft8818]

I assume, Russias first goal is to completely take the annexed oblasts of Zaporishia, Donetsk and Luhansk and to install a "security zone" all along the Border to Kharkiw and Sumy. Their tactics of attrition, spreading and exhausting of the ukrainian army is working pretty well. If Russia faces strong resistance at one point, they simply open up or re-open small scale offensives at other points. If they recognise kinds of weakness there, they continue. Russia got the initiative and reacts pretty fluent. I can't see how Ukraine with it's limited ressources of men and equipment will stop them. In my believe, Ukraine should start negotiatons asap to reduce the losses among territory, men and infrastructure. At least, the war is lost.

[@danielkurtovic9099]

Until the end of Ukraine offensive, Ukraine has had manpower advantage.

[@pedrocesarsakihara1853]

The easy way would be to retreat across the front to shorten the border

[@Olegstuff21986]

Should but won't, Ukraine is not a sovereign state. It's a proxy with a population that is to be sacrificed at the altar of U.S. "hegemony" (unfortunately).

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

russia cant take zaphorizia completely. they dont have enough man power and resources. they wasting it in kharkiv from wargonzos report russia had huge casualties so the offensive stalled now. it will take russia like 40 years at the pace they going to take all of ukraine. and the russian economy will be bankrupt well before then.

[@springbloom5940]

Ukraine can't negotiate anymore. They've doubled down so many times, that now they *have* to just keep going and hope for a lucky throw of the dice to break even.

[@andreimordovskoi9192]

AFU have destroyed a Ruzzian Imperial II-class Star Destroyer and 2 Walkers according to Denys.

[@nathanbrompton453]

I would highly recommend folk to read or listen to transcripts from German soldiers fighting on the eastern front during WW2. At the most basic level, Russian tactics are the same. They would push a little, become static and draw the opposition to them. Then grind the Germans down. The Russians call this defensive attrition. From what Ive read this tactic sent shockwaves through the German army, time after time they walked straight into the Russian traps.

[@deus5185]

yeah basically its what they are doing

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

I would highly recommend you enrich yourself with knowledge.

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

Ukraine fought the Germans.😂😂😂

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

Ukraine sending shockwaves like we seeing now.

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

Ukraine using same strategy on the rif-raf as in ww2.

[@24hourjukebox55]

Fabs aren't game changers Willie ? Bollox. Game winners , no, but game changers, yes.

[@Ozark-nq9uu]

I read fabs as facts

[@Mr250HondaRider]

I think ukraines main mistake was not working out a peace deal 2 years ago 😂

[@drron5608]

Russia doesnt talk about their goals land wise in ukraine very much but I think the russians will take land up to transnistria then over n up to sumy area this is wat the pro russian voting map was since the early 2000s

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

And on to Portugal probably

[@el3ali]

Wondering when will the Russians will make a dash for Odessa?

[@deus5185]

2026

[@tomk3732]

2025.

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

When the Ukrainians are sufficiently depleted to the point that they can no longer concentrate a viable defense.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

2022

[@ded12021]

September 2024

[@nnenguengoti9611]

Getting surrounded is not even the worse thing ukraine is doing, i think the worse is striking russian mainland, we know putin takes alot of time to react, i think he is gathering every element and proofs to do something huge and irreversible by the end of this year.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Ah the Russians can do so much more just not yet line. That has been the line since way back.

[@hokuspokus8766]

I'm here for the comedic effect .

[@TJ-jf4ez]

Been following since before the war, love everything you’re doing and just giving us the info! Keep up the great work Willy!

[@ScrappyDo__]

i find it amusing in a war we are talking about a plan downed here, a missile landed there. i mean wha......

[@cruiser6260]

You mean there might be no plans downed at all if there's never any proof. 10 operating fighter jets is as many as most western countries have

[@fartsyfloxy855]

I know! Is there truly this much of a lockdown on war info? Imagine before the net. People probably got more info over the radio then, than we get now. A war that we're actually involved in!

[@Sun-Tzu--]

Ive just been watching a video of Russia,s new 5 ton thermobaric glide bomb. Its insane 😳

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

You must check nukes...it will blow your hair back comrade.

[@GANRIK]

8:28 The Russians have a Wunderwaffe. Called Blyatmobile 😎

[@garynew9637]

Haha

[@doublehelix7880]

Regarding the tactics remarks from your friend - it is not only about what Ukraine is allowing the Russians, but most of all - what Ukraine is able to stop. And at this point it is not much.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

go to wargonzo's report, he says russia took huge casualties in kharkiv and why offensive stopped. russian soldiers even complaining about ukrainian artillery superiority in kharkiv.

[@brandonlance3601]

​@@giovanni-ed7zqliar

[@doublehelix7880]

@@giovanni-ed7zq I have no idea from what alternative universe you are getting this, but on the WG official TG channel there is no such report.

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

​@@giovanni-ed7zqtrue. They are now claiming that the offensive was planned as a failure.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Well to be fair they have stopped the Russian army.

[@gregchijoff9959]

Insanity. Repeating the same mistakes and expecting a different outcome. Zelensky. Downfall. 2024.

[@jamesgornall5731]

Steiner! Wo ist Steiner! Ummm, Steiner ist tot. Sheisse! Genau...

[@jamesgornall5731]

I would love to know the ratio of ATACMS hit v interception ratio, month on month, and how that is evolving. Obviously, that's going to be classified, but still, a rough figure would be nice to know.

[@chrissmith7669]

Just looking at the claims from both I’d bet 1/3 are making it through.

[@Peacewar2020]

@@chrissmith7669 You could be spot on there

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@chrissmith7669 its likely higher than that, i dont think ukraine got hundreds of atacms. its likely they got 50-70 of them max. i dont think the americans have alot of atacms also since production was stopped like 10 years ago, as they were gonna be replaced with something better.

[@chrissmith7669]

@@giovanni-ed7zq I think they’re still producing the latest variant but all we’ve sent Ukraine are those „end of life“ variants we’ve retired a decade ago like you wrote.

[@SerbanOprescu]

I've seen a sniper from the Russian Army who said that during one night he shot three Ukrainian soldiers, sentinels, in the same one spot. He couldn't understand how was it possible that none changed position, or do something to avoid being the next in line. Ukrainians are mindset to hold on to their initial plan or thought, or intention, to the very end, an inheritance from their Swedish ancestors, who had to be that persistent in order to survive in their unforgiving, resource-deprived land. I remember a novel from Tolstoy saying the same (about Swedes) - they push the fight wat beyond reason. I think this is an important part of Ukraine's monotone use of tactics. They've got one, they stick to it.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Sweden or Finland ?

[@SerbanOprescu]

@@CheeseLovingGuy Ukrainians are a mixture of Russians and Swedes. A long (loong) time ago a Russian king (knyaz) invited Swedes to live in Russia, in today's Ukraine. One interesting common feature with the Swedes is that they cannot pronounce the letter "g" . Swedes say Yo-te-bo-ree instead of Goteborg, their capital, Ukrainians say Serhiy instead of Sergey (Serge), and Englishmen, as a gift from their Norman (Norse-men - Swedes...) conquerors, say war instead of guerre, the French word the Normans learned. They skipped the "g". Finns are a mixture of Swedes with... Huns. Their language is called Ungro-Finnic No Finns in this story.

[@marknicol4957]

The Ghost of Keiv is back

[@jamesgornall5731]

The S300 has evolved over time and they are bloody good systems, but nothing is perfect, and if overwhelmed

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

if 5-6 atacms is overwhelming then russia has a problem. they had 4 anti-air defence systems there that hold 4-8 missiles each. its not like they had to single load them one by one.

[@tertiusduplessis2581]

Gosh, overwhelming attack from country with limited soldiers and limited weaponry.....you very sharp comrade.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Drones are the changer.

[@steveningrahm8928]

Willy has been parroting Ukrainian propaganda throughout this series of videos. Why question their honesty now?

[@fartsyfloxy855]

Sure. That's why you take time to watch and comment on vids. Just stop it!

[@ДмитрийСвергин]

The uselessness of such missiles mounted on a marine drone primarily stems from the fact that even if hit, they will not cause much damage to a warship. To understand Russia's tactics, and its advantage, you first need to understand Ukraine's goals. Ukraine is trying to maintain a defense line of more than a thousand kilometers with limited means. There are strategically important areas everywhere along this line of defense. And each of them can be attacked by Russia. Ukraine does not know, and will not be able to find out which of these important sites will be attacked and which will not. If Russia were moving in one or two directions, the Armed Forces of Ukraine could strengthen the defense in these areas at the expense of quiet places. But Russia uses tactics, spontaneous, not deep advances, in different sectors of the front. Choosing those areas of the front where Ukraine is least ready for this. Ukraine has no other options but to constantly transfer forces, fending off these attacks. Ukraine's weak point, a limited number of forces for a very large defense. Russia's advantage is to force the APU to bear as many losses as possible. Reducing the already small forces. Many analysts make one recurring mistake when doing analysis. They attribute to Russia those goals that it does not have. In every offensive, they try to see something more than what it is. The advance near Kharkov has already reached its limits. Now he has a different goal in front of him. Now Russia will try to ensure that the Armed Forces of Ukraine, trying to counterattack or stabilize the front line, suffer as many losses as possible. Could Russia completely occupy the northern district of Volchansk left by the Ukrainians? Why didn't she do it? Let's recall the assault on Bakhmut. The last stage of the defense of Bakhmut was a disaster for the AFU. They were constantly driving reinforcements to a limited location in the city. And there it was immediately destroyed by artillery. Now we see an invitation from Russia to repeat Bakhmut in Volchansk. The APU's attempts to respond to false attacks cannot be called a mistake. All attacks are directed at strategic targets, and if the APU does not defend them, a false attack will simply become a real one. Strategically, this is an inevitable decision. It is a mistake to get into places like Volchansk. Where the APU is guaranteed to suffer heavy losses. But this mistake reflects all the flaws of the Ukrainian ideology. The idea of national superiority requires great heroic deeds. Every time starting an operation, the AFU command is raving about the complete defeat of Russia. The disgusting quality of the APU is its complete disregard for the lives of its soldiers. For this regime, they are only a tool for achieving their "heroic victory". The combination of these flaws condemns the APU to get into every new Bakhmut. And Russia sees it.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

its more of a distraction than anything to get the drone to get close to hit the ship. you basically have a machine gunner seeing like 5-10 rockets coming at him and he likely wont shoot the drone but take cover.

[@ДмитрийСвергин]

@@giovanni-ed7zq These missiles can be shot down with a machine gun. And what he will see will not be missiles flying at him. Willie is right, he will see rockets flying somewhere. I think that attaching missiles to a drone indicates that Russia has managed to destroy the production of these drones. And now the APU is trying to figure out how to make the remaining drones reusable. And yet, the question may also be related to quantity. Perhaps a dozen missiles from a drone won't be able to do anything. But what if there are two dozen drones themselves? These missiles do not have accuracy at a distance. But the drone was designed in such a way as to swim close enough to the target.

[@MingusCasey]

Comrade have you tried putting a Katyusha on that?

[@whome146]

Those rockets on the drone boats are to confuse the targeting systems of the mini guns (Gatlingun) on the ship. They are fired toward the ship creating a covering arch of smoke and flames that the boat sails under.

[@naatdd492]

interestingly, what your friend says about the surrounding/taking of Kiev by the Russians is what Jacques Baud says in his books

[@dragonsclaw2nd]

Thanks for the update

[@orepaunovic2189]

Hey Willy, I just wanna say that I had a fantastic week so far and a fantastic Friday! :D Cheers!

[@redbaron6322]

Aren't you special!

[@retrocool]

@@redbaron6322 He's a legend!

[@rf7192]

Do you know if the Ukrainians have restored the old WW2 German lines of defense? Just curious.

[@drutter]

They're even using some of the old Notzi uniforms! Why not?

[@thea6573]

16:15 like Sunwu said your keep man but lost land but your want to keep everything your lost both, because land can be retake but manpower that you lose cannot bring back.

[@Anil-zg9gh]

ZOV

[@M4DHUSKY]

"Is China's aid legal or not"?wtf😊

[@RandomDude-l5f]

Blinken salty AF

[@LoveBagpipes]

Is ours for Ukraine legal then? 🤷

[@OPA_Ceres]

I like how they said they would sanction China. They can’t sanction china all theses political parties are funded by donors who make their money from manufacturing their products in china.

[@redbaron6322]

Without double standards, we have no standard at all!

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@redbaron6322 its really about sanctioning chinese economy which is hurting now cuz of this war russia started that slowed global economies.

[@luciusdomitiusaurelianus1024]

Willy you Aussie Bastard...... You look great in a suit.... Keep up the Good Work Mate :)

[@workingproleinc.676]

TLDR : "Ukraine is winning Backward"😂

[@PvtMartin78]

Those rockets on the boats may be for suppressing gunners on the ships during their final attack run.

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

6 unguided Grad rockets mounted on a boat at sea, no way they are evein going to land anywhere near a ship. Anyone that has ever fired a gun from a ship at sea knows how hard it is to hit anything when you are standing on a platform that constantly rocks back and forth unpredictably.

[@ColetteHart]

Unguided rockets are pretty simple and cheap. It doesn't really matter how effective they are as long as they look good on propaganda photos.

[@dxux4679]

I don't want to say anything bad about this dude. Looks like he says coherent things but why does he appear when I write military summary? Willyoam doesn't have any letter similar to military summary... Well the I, and L. You get my drift?

[@richardthomas4471]

It's "targets down and patch out" for Ukraine. Willy, I served 23 years in the Australian Army (Infantry, SASR) and I enjoyed your talk. I don't really care much about the means of war (equipment, technology, etc), only the reason and/or rightness of the fight. And with the conflict in Ukraine I'm here to ya... Russia has this one in the bag.

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Interesting theory

[@I_am_not_a_bot-s6i]

That's a ukr s300 no way are they going to be taking selfies with a Russian S300 behind russian lines these are typically 100s of miles behind the front I call BS

[@bobjones-bt9bh]

the range of glide bombs depends heavily also upon their weight thrust assisted glide bombs can double range Some unassisted FABs have 60+km range, usually the 250s. The 1500s are down at 40 or less. 500s in the middle.

[@livebythesworddiebytheswor5969]

Good job as always Willy! 🙂👍🍻

[@thatsbollox]

The difference we have learnt over and over is when there is damage to russian assets we are allowed to actually see it. They admit to it. Unfortunately Ukr/USA seems to think that pushing a narrative is the important thing. It is very much the "little boy that cried wolf"

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

Why don't we see it the other way. There has to be a reason.

[@TheoCapteijn-kh8nj]

I,m going to watch the repetition once again, I,m convinced this time the outcome will be different.

[@HillBilly1905]

Good morning Willy! Hello from California my nightly routine is catching up with the Ukrainian war.

[@thehunzz]

Same here, man. Except I'm on ET, so it's breakfast (early breakfast if medical issues decide they want to wake me up at 0 dark 30).

[@gregnelson5022]

Hello from Ohio you need to leave California asap

[@HillBilly1905]

@@gregnelson5022I’m in a small mountain town safely tucked away from the craziness. Im in oil refinery operations so finding work is pretty difficult if not impossible

[@mariobadia4553]

They used video game footage the 110ths official face book page

[@thehunzz]

For real?

[@Milan_M95]

Lmaoooo

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

The Ukrainians have been doing that since the start of the war. I remember when they tried to pass off Arma 3 footage as actual air to air combat.

[@mariobadia4553]

@@thehunzz yep. They deleted it though

[@samsudinudin1563]

Ukraine should be very careful when it comes to Crimea attack. Russia may attack Kiev administrative centre and Zalensky' s Palace which she had been avoiding.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

lol its not like russia isnt sending missiles and drones to kiyiv anyways. its called target of opportunity taking out expensive billion dollar air defence systems russia cant replace quickly when they have a shortage already.

[@danchik1335]

Crimea-Russia 2014

[@ddtoxic4423]

Another great breakdown !

[@ukraine_tbic]

I love that suit Willy!

[@Jedi_Pimp]

It's pimp ❤ love your work Brandon thanks for your volunteer work.

[@King.Arthur1981]

I would have thought Vov is a bit of a shit town to attack with the water barrier both sides will have issues crossing over and keeping supply routes steady

[@NEKRWSPHERE]

The S-400 is typically deployed as part of echeloned air defense. Which makes it more difficult to hit, because you have both Pantsir-SM and something like "Tunguska" protecting it from low flying threats like drones. The S-300 is sometimes deployed on its own, near lower value targets and they are often highly mobile, in order to compensate for lack of echeloned defense, which is good on one hand, but really bad on the other, because it can be hit while it's being deployed on a new location, and in the few minutes that it takes it to become operational - it is highly vulnerable. It all depends on how quickly the Ukrainian side can receive the updated intelligence, and on the flight time of the incoming missile, or drone, as well on whether there are Russian fighter jets patrolling the area. But you could sort of guesstimate which system it was just based on the value of the target it was protecting.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

american satellite intel is 24/7 updated every 15 minutes.

[@albertoamoruso7711]

Willy which suit will you wear at Zelensky's war crimes trial?

[@ericpts6811]

You mean Putin war crime trial!

[@mah4705]

Your bud is right, I always wondered why the Ukrainians didn't cover their flanks or do pushs on the flanks.

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

Because they lack the manpower and artillery to do so. They have to concentrate their troops in order to provide them with adequate artillery support to hold a position.

[@waddlesticks]

The hard part is a unipolar system could work. The problem though is that it relies on the U.S at the moment. If the U.S maintained its neutral status rather than trying to be the world police, it probably would not have started to move towards a duo system like we're seeing. Since they use it for the benefits of themselves and their own partners as a weapon. Which as we've seen just breeds a lot of hatred towards the West.

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

No, a unipolar world order can never work because of human nature. Every time in history when too much power was concentrated in one place, people inevitably started abusing it. Rome, the Catholic Church during the middle ages, the colonial powers, the examples are endless. From the moment the USSR collapsed, it was inevitable that USA would start to abuse its power.

[@clarkkable780]

That dog loves being in the video. Woof woof😂

[@Robertlynschultz]

This is a family fight that neighbors are egging on…

[@bojanradic6440]

1/1 bravo !

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

I hate to see the big guy bullying the little guy so in this case I am on Ukraine side.

[@Robertlynschultz]

@@CheeseLovingGuy Fair Enough... but how do you choose between two bullies?

[@CheeseLovingGuy]

@@Robertlynschultz You let them fight it out and think the one that started it may or may not regret it.

[@breakfast00club..11]

Stay strong Russia 🇷🇺

[@benton9571]

good intro today Willy. (good warmup before hitting the maps)

[@carkawalakhatulistiwa]

32:38 Remembering that the second world no longer exists. And Sweden, Finland moved from the third world to the first world. Why don't we say the west vs the rest of the world

[@mfallen2023]

Because there are a great many developing nations that weren't dumb enough to fall for Chinese debt traps and want nothing to do with the axis

[@sebastijanglozinic8630]

Because it does not sound so good in western propaganda.

[@jacobfrederick3614]

It’s been a multipolar world, just US vs china is stale. A war that cannot, currently be won. Flipping the main adversary back to Russia, is a war that was already won. They’ll bite any provocation. It’s just good business.

[@qaseemabdii2591]

Listen Willy , ush ush go take a cold beer 🤫🤫🤫 Don't teach the enemy anything , we need comedian monkey to make the same comic show , we love to laugh and we win as always so again Do the ush ush my friend 🤫🤫🤫 Have a nice weekend 🤫

[@steveblomefield9513]

Its true. Russia advances like the wings of an eagle or the horns of a bull, instead of one bull head to head with another bull. Ukraine then is forced to withdraw or being captured.

[@eternalwheel]

"If you dont succeed at first then try and try and try and try and try and try again"

[@WilliamBarber-g9s]

This isvthe definition of madness

[@tochka4881]

The definition of insanity, doing the exact same thing over and over again while expecting different results

[@adocuric9154]

Sound like a waste of time and resources.

[@roypena6622]

maybe is for smoke. to create smoke screen

[@Livengoodhunting]

And what’s up with skipping past all the ships and going right to open water? 5:51

[@jonnes__4657]

🗽🕊 Correct, the Ukraine leaders are not looking to realistic goals in this war. They are just looking to holding area, what ever it costs, because the costs others are bearing. That always in life is a very bad combination! ☝

[@wonkothesane7000]

Kiev was both a hostage and a decoy. Ukrainian solders stated that the Russian troop transporters had no troops in them. A bluff to pull Ukrainians away from the east. The hostage part didn't work but the decoy did.

[@13thmistral]

Just because it was a fake show of power does not mean Kyiv was a faint.

[@chrissmith7669]

I’ve never seen a claim those transports had no troops. Kinda dumb to waste your best crack special forces to secure a landing zone for empty transports.

[@Benz2533]

and where did you obtain your information from ?

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

if you are referring to kharkiv, wargonzo reporting huge russian casualties and why offensive stopped. he even says russian soldiers complaining about ukrainian artillery superiority locally in kharkiv.

[@tochka4881]

​@@giovanni-ed7zq might as well start watching denys

[@zlatkokovach7862]

The Russian army captured Berestove. The US responds by sending another $275 million worth of weapons to Ukraine today (Friday).

[@ostosix]

cracking willy cheers, interesting about the glide bomb mods

[@nonodaclown9033]

Why don't you ever cover the Israeli Palestinian conflict

[@Archer89201]

He'd get cancelled

[@linusmayden8465]

​@@Archer89201 He used to though

[@showdown66]

Probably his viewers aren’t interested.

[@tegdirb7062]

I'm glad he doesn't. He had shit commentary bordering on evil. His hypocrisy on rules of engagement and international law compared to his coverage of Ukr conflict was disgusting.

[@Jedi_Pimp]

Boring covering cowards in holes not much to cover 😂😂😂😂

[@DanOBrien-q1g]

SU 24 is a ground attack aircraft and the ground attacks them too so losses with this aircraft are to be expected. The Russians have lots of SU24 as a result

[@bamageddrain]

Great show today! thanks!

[@kovy2005]

I think those missiles could be used as suppression for the people mounting the machine guns on the side of the ships while the drone attacks the ships.

[@gian7707]

Your man is EXACTLY correct...100% it was the land bridge and ports

[@Mrandy8895]

Reoccupided NOT recaptured just like the "supposed" ukraine offensive. The ukraine never "recaptured" shit. They simply Reoccupided positions that Russia gave up.

[@LodewijkVrije]

UMPB does NOT have its own engine. and anyone that takes even a cursory glance at it can see that. where is the air intake? considering it is SAT guided, and carries a 125KG warhead and has a cutout in its body for the folding wings. where is the space needed for fuel tanks and an engine? it isn't there. because its not a jet engine powered weapon. its a mistranslation. it can be fired out of a ground based Tornado-S or G system. with an attached ROCKET booster. when deployed from an aircraft like this, its just an unpowered glide bomb similar to the USA's "SDB" and the principle of attaching a rocket booster to it and firing it out of an MLRS system is the same concept as "GLSDB" that Ukraine has received from the USA.

[@GeoffDemarest]

Great video, Willy. At, say, the operational level, you introduced some commentary from one of your trusted friends suggesting that the Russian goal has always been to gain the coastal land bridge to Crimea, and that the Kharkiv offensive is just doing what it was supposed to do, that is, draw off Ukrainian forces. I think that is a most reasonable interpretation. At, say, the geostrategic level, you suggest (@ 30:00 mark) an overall strategic error on the part of the 'West', that of moving the Russian and Chinese regimes into alliance. I agree with that assessment as well. We have been living a tri-polar world for some time now, and to the extent balance-of-power theory holds water, we should have been most keen to keep the advantage of US-Russia on one side of the see-saw and China on the other.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

the problem with that is, russia needs numbers to make small break throughs. wargonzo said russia took huge casualties in kharkiv and its why the offensive stopped. reports are russia pulling from other sectors now to back fill the losses at kharkiv.

[@harryflashman4542]

@@giovanni-ed7zq spam spam glorious spam

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@harryflashman4542 inflation in russia dont care about russian propaganda lol. inflation dont lie. chinese pla that volunteered in russian army and went home now breaking the truth about russian army lol. he says average lifespan of russian soldier is 8-10 hours from when he goes to the active front.

[@steveblomefield9513]

Russia and china, north Korea and iran as slowly isolating the USA. China has growing influence in nations starving for cash or development projects. For example Mexico has warmed up to China. China will work on south American nations and pacific nations.

[@waltergro9102]

It was reported that Russians use to place (older) aircrafts that could be confused with modern ones at airports in easy reach of ATACAMs for testing counter measures. Competent helicopter pilots shouldn't have any problem to avoid to get into the reach of unguided rockets shot from sea drones. They should always be able to approach and attack sea drones without being hit.

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

i doubt they will confuse american satellites which have high resolution and updated every 15 minutes.

[@johnyblamounth9142]

Wrong! Ukraine not allowing Rus to do the same, they cannot do anything about it. That's the fundamental difference which your mate failed to understand.

[@stefanreischl6248]

Russia has only copied V1 and V2-Rocktes wirh it's Glide BOOOMS! But on a much more educaded level. A war always starts with weapons of today, sometimes with weapons of yesterday, to end up with peace negotiations, crippled an dead people (mostly young men) and the best Hi-tech-weapons for futur peace negotiations with crippled and dead men. We don't learn. Best wishes and greetings from Bavaria in germany.

[@staskouzmine]

I think unguided rockets might be a good countermeasure for big ships fighting these drone boats. Especially something with proximity fuze.

[@tompoynton]

I agree 1000% with your correspondent

[@bigsiege1848]

why can't they put guided rockets in the launchers on the drone?

[@sergiossanoudos]

Also my mate do you think the US or the mainland UK think u are the same. I was under the impression the UK was sending to Terra Australis all the people they saw as a problem or considered inferior. Please mate , i love u australians , dont bow down the Lords and Ladies of Aristocracy.

[@gbxmusicchannel3836]

Most dead wins -Dictator Elensky

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

go read what wargonzo said, russia took huge casualties at kharkiv and why the offensive stopped. russia pulling from other sectors now to backfill the casualties.

[@mbrofoc]

​@@giovanni-ed7zqcopium lmao

[@giovanni-ed7zq]

@@mbrofoc nope even chinese pla soldier who had volunteered in russian army is telling how bad it is. he says average life span of russian soldiers because they are poorly trained is 8-10 hours. he says they were fighting in an urban area, everyone dead but him and one other member. he said 12 russians came to support, they were all killed because they had no training. then 12 more russians came, all rusky dead also again. he said him and his african volunteer were taking shelter and watching as 12 russians after 12 russians were just killed wave after wave. these are the video blogs of pla soldier li jiangwei who volunteered in russian army for 12 months and left. now he is telling the world and all chinese how bad it is in the russian army.

[@mbrofoc]

@@giovanni-ed7zq another joke lmao

[@davidsmith-ef3rr]

Update . Russia still winning 🇷🇺☦️👌

[@Livengoodhunting]

Absolutely not a last chance it’s to soften the target before they hit it you should know that being military

[@Redmist370Z]

Willy! You need to start a line of bespoke purple velour body armor!

[@NurseGi]

I'm tired of my hard earned tax $ going to Ukraine! The US shouldn't even be there!!!

[@adocuric9154]

The money mostly stays in theUSA, weapons and ammo going to Ukraine. The US isn't even there yet, they are only supporting this country.