Stop Drafting The Wrong RBs (Take These 5 Instead)

[@RonStewart_]

Use promo code 'Ron' to claim your Special Pick + First Time Deposit offer up to $250 in bonus cash: play.underdogfantasy.com/p-ron-stewart 2024 Fantasy Football Draft Rankings: www.patreon.com/ronstewart

[@johnmorgan7279]

WELCOME BACK TO THE BASEMENT IM RON

[@TheBlank8234]

No you ain't 😝

[@trendkill08]

WELcome BACK to the BASEment. OMRON

[@aridagan7143]

VVS STONE

[@jasonplageman742]

Welcome back to my parents basement I'm Ron***

[@JaredO22]

"Welcome back to the basement. Amon Ron (St Brown) and today..."

[@maximilianroth6435]

Unironically, I thought he was saying this for the longest time. Somehow never heard it as “I’m Ron.”

[@lukefarrell3147]

Its always sounded like he said that 😂

[@MonSanity]

as a chicago native, i am now petitioning to bring back the chance intro

[@Dlannin05]

Obviously we should call the good RBs from the dead zone the bread zone RBs, because they're going to win us money.

[@PatrickHenry-pz1pd]

These Rbs are going when you should be taking Wrs. They’re going in the 3rd and 4th rounds

[@colinshanta1001]

The Walking Dead

[@Nanasfavnurse]

The Alvin kamara hate won’t be tolerated sir.

[@armonrahimian8657]

You’re one of if not the only fantasy football creator I’ve seen that actually backs up his takes with real useful information

[@zach5297]

To avoid confusion I think it makes more sense to say “exception” running backs instead of exceptional.

[@darrenhill3514]

This video further confirms my semi-Hero WR gameplan...WR, RB, RB, WR...so on and so forth...No reason you can't lock in your starting WR's and RB's in the first 4 rounds then still grab an elite TE and QB and fill the flex spot(s) afterwards...I see too many people trying to stack their bench instead of their starting lineup. Bye weeks matter but it's better to stack your starting lineup than your bench that you'll lose only a fraction of the time, pending injuries.

[@BigKenny7054]

Ron out here INVENTING METRICS

[@pjmcguinness5153]

You just know bro dominated his stats class in college

[@danromeo]

This was my take too 😂

[@matthewdennis1739]

Glad we agree. Jacob's, Cook, Najee are my favorite RBs through that range. Unfortunately, I like a lot of QB/TE/WR in those rounds so I don't get them a lot.

[@ernie1410]

That’s why it’s all about those early rbs and then going for the fords/spears of the world later on. QB1 especially has such a drop off you’re not going to win without at least one elite QB. Imagine having to play against AR, JH, JA, or PH when you’re stuck with Rodgers,love,etc assuming all else is relatively equal

[@matthewdennis1739]

@@ernie1410 Depends on league size. In a 12-team league I agree.

[@orlandowhite5386]

Nice work Ron. Appreciate the analysis that you provide.

[@mclovinlife4018]

Hearing Dameon pierces name still hurts my soul. Dude screwed my entire season last year

[@itsdeggy942]

I got Kamara in a trade last yr almost halfway through. The first few games Kamara was really good for me but faded down the stretch.

[@soflo549]

“Welcome back to the basement. Amon Ra.”

[@AcrylicGoblin]

Great analysis in this video

[@ceej010]

A lot of these didn't pass the sniff test to me so I went back to check. Just looking at the outliers on your chart, 2022 Chubb was RB17 pre-draft (based on ESPN) and drafted RB15 in my home league. 2022 Fournette was RB10 pre-draft and drafted RB12 in my home league. Joe Mixon 2018 was RB11 pre-draft (don't have the history but I'm sure he was drafted top 12 in my home league). Hyde in 2017 was coming off MCL and RB16. I do remember 2017 Ingram being a much later pick due to concerns over Adrian Peterson and Kamara being drafted that year.

[@ceej010]

Also, the reason you think James Cook is a steal in round 4 home league is because he goes at the 2/3 turn...Jacobs is mid round 3. You can stay away from Giants, Pats, Commanders, Seahawks, Titans, Saints and Cards backfields - their offensive lines are mid at best. Chubb, Chandler, Zamir, Javonte, Moss, Dobbins and maybe Swift have the best chance to payoff at cost because you're either making the bet their offense outperforms or that better talent prevails. Of course that assumes we are excluding clear guys like Braelon, Allgeier, Charbonnet, Corum, Wright, Bucky and Ray Davis. No point in taking anybody after Jacobs when you can stack your roster with six of these guys plus your first two hero picks.

[@matthewdennis1739]

@@ceej010 I don't think your point is correct for the Cards. Conner, while he is healthy at least, will be a good fantasy asset. He was last year with just as bad of an OL, and much worse offensive environment. That offense is going to be better than people think.

[@ceej010]

@@matthewdennis1739 maybe, maybe not. I like Conner but their SoS is brutal and could be playing from behind a lot with Kyler out there scrambling. Could turn into see what we got mode quick if they start the season 1-5. I think they are favorites in two games all year (NE/WAS).

[@matthewdennis1739]

@@ceej010 Yeah, we will see. They were worse last year and they still stuck to the run. I know they want to see what the young receivers can do but I think they'll stay fairly balanced.

[@renzonogueiramargotto3141]

Yep, The avg points per RB drop around 2 points from round 1 to 4. And from 4 to 10 it´s almost the same average fantasy points. While the avg points per WR drop almost 5 points from round 1 to 4, and after round 4 its just garbage WRs.

[@sturttv]

Love the video but you conveniently overlooked the “switching teams” factor when discussing Josh Jacobs. Hopefully that doesn’t affect Jacobs negatively as he is a tempting draft pick.

[@jaredwolff6688]

He’s in a much better situation, history says he won’t be a bell cow in Green Bay but he’s also getting paid way more than the next 2 on the depth chart so maybe they break precedent for him but either way he’ll get early down snaps and 3rd down snaps the whole drive so he’ll load up on catches and yards and maybe lose out on TD’s worst case. He’s in the best offense of his career and could very well compete for the rushing title again. He’s also in his prime and usually the switching teams thing applies to older players going to worse situations who have more cap space and offer a bigger contract. I think the switching teams factor would apply to king Henry or Joe mixon not saquon or jacobs

[@treydaugherty865]

The new editing is a big W nice work Ron.

[@xcwilliams7980]

This is a great video... feels like a real league winner

[@XanderStoute]

Love the analysis. Thanks Mr August

[@tecurran64]

Nice work here Ron.

[@haysmolm4293]

People sometimes ask me if I prefer summer, fall, or winter. I tell them I prefer Ron szn. Real ones know

[@martytheall1348]

This was great! Good job!

[@joedoakes909]

Turns out it was Ron who has Legendary Upside the whole time...Mr. August

[@stephencarmickle]

A lot of good information here. Definitely subbed. 👍

[@rohanshah7559]

Honestly the big takeaway I’m get isn’t from this video, and especially the graph at 3:25, is that I should get my RBs in rounds 1-3 and find Wr value later so this never even becomes a problem

[@rohanshah7559]

Which he does just say outright, so I do appreciate that

[@mr.taptap7949]

It depends on your leagues scoring format. If it's full PPR it might be better to take 2 WR and only 1 RB and pound RBs late

[@jrandt08]

No. prioritizing PPR RBs early will give you the edge ​@@mr.taptap7949

[@SuperK1320]

Thanks for the video! New subscriber. Love the research and analytics!

[@ssaustin2686]

We got back to back masterclass videos this guy is cookin ik this finna be a w video.

[@masxce5058]

James Conner is a beast! If the cardinals offense stays healthy it’s going to be electric this season

[@erastourdenvern1]

Rule #1 Never skip a Ron Stewart video 😤

[@ItsLud_]

great video man

[@scottevancho2669]

Fire video as always

[@patrickmitchelljr.166]

I have a team with jacobs, Mixon, ekler, pollard, conner and trey Benson. I agree with a lot of your takes. Hoping for heavy receiving work from ekler and pollard.

[@jaredricci9278]

Ekeler is toast

[@matthewmcclure3181]

Appreciate the well thought out analysis. If there is a way to work in TD potential, I think this would be highly actionable. James Cook is unlikely to be in a position to score many TDs, which significantly limits his upside (in comparison to Walker and Jacobs). Cook's "fatal flaw" is his size, not something he can fix.

[@soxfan5240]

This is a big one for me. I just can't get myself to buy Cook at his current ADP, but I am a huge fan of Walker as rb2 in round 5 or even an rb1 in traditional 2rb, 2wr, 1 flex leagues where you can start WR WR WR/TE and QB through round 4, in some order. I landed 10th of 10 teams, went AJ Brown and Garret Wilson (didn't love Wilson there but had to get a piece somewhere), then Nico Collins and Josh Allen at the next turn. Ended up Ken Walker and Dalton Kincaid in the 5/6. If I'm touching that Buffalo offense, it's probably that stack or a couple Keon stashes, but I'm not a fan of Cook and that run game. I know that's not possible in sharper leagues and underdog, but in home leagues on Yahoo, the boards line up beautifully if you pick near the end of rd 1.

[@0scarSerran0]

Alvin kamara is the check down king. Picked him up in round 6 🤘🏽

[@TheKotamayne]

Hey Ron, you should add to your analysis if the RB changed teams from the prior year to the current year to your checklist. I think looking at that is statistically significant.

[@forrestjinks]

I don’t really understand why I’m hearing so many people say Josh Jacobs is an “aging” RB when he’s 26. I heard another FF analyst that grouped him with Derrick Henry as “getting up there in age”. While Henry is over 5 years older than Jacobs.

[@CydeandSkopez]

all in on Conner this year

[@Gogi2Fresh]

Best fantasy youtuber no glaze

[@dengar6971]

Great stuff as always! Just an FYI the white spreadsheet makes the timestamps hard to see. Not sure if you can move it or just change the shade.

[@chasingtiger]

Luv ur content. Ur why I got into and am now addicted to Underdog drafts. Quick question, who is the "we" doing the research do you have a team behind you?

[@thesoundsession]

Ron totally agree with this list. I should say i would target charbs over Walker but other wise hot damn this is a solid take. Regretting trading Najee last year. He’s also finally healthy

[@matthewdennis1739]

OC has been praising Walker. I like both, would like them a lot more if their OL wasn't hot garbage.

[@JayShwag]

My biggest problem this year is finding a WR because it's a keeper league and I'm stuck in the range of Collins, Harrison JR, Evans, Olave as my WR1 which scares me.

[@Whatnamenow-t4n]

Keeper league…no problem running Harrison as my 10 year long WR1….kind of a no brainer. Great WR in most likely a high scoring offense

[@erastourdenvern1]

With Najee Harris, does the Steelers schedule scare you off a bit? They could be playing from behind often. Does that favor Harris or Warren?

[@matthewdennis1739]

It makes me lean Warren, but I think the defense will be good and I think they'll be behind less than you think.

[@michaelhatfull3305]

Thank you bro!! Smash Najee

[@Ryan-ot9bf]

very great analytics love the ability to read the game in different prospective instead of listening to household names i appreciate the time you take. veryyy underrated everyone subscribe and leave a like!!!!!

[@Refusestolose]

James cook going late 2nd early 3rd on espn. Would you pick him there?

[@GWsoccer35]

Keeper PPR league. Take Hall in the 3rd or Achane in the 8th?

[@davidhache1267]

What’s your take on Brian Robinson Jr?

[@cameronhall1422]

The people forget Tyler Algier had an 1000 yard season under Arthur Smith. I’m hammering Najee

[@Ryan-by8ui]

Yup, Arthur smith loves giving the less talented back too many carries

[@joshholmes1372]

Yeah good luck. You'll end up with 2 mediocre backs you never feel great about starting

[@matthewdennis1739]

@@joshholmes1372 I don't know about mediocre. They were RB23 and RB24 last year in PPR. Offensive line is upgraded. Run-scheme is upgraded. Overall offensive efficiency will be upgraded. WRs downgraded. They're both going to get volume and be part of the passing game. Overall TDs for the offense should increase considerably. I think the most likely outcome is two RB2s with contingent upside to be an RB1 if the other goes down. And you're drafting them as high end RB3s. That's a bet I'm willing to make. People are upset about Arthur Smith because they spent 1st round draft capital, but if you're spending 6th round draft capital that's different. You need to look at the context, what are you spending and what are you likely to get in return?

[@dariomics8520]

FSE uses the term “Bet Zone RBs”

[@mclovinlife4018]

I need my draft to happen so I don’t have to continuously doing a million mocks drafts and overthinking my picks

[@claydaddy253]

I like cook and walker. My problem is you gotta take cook in the 3rd round on espn and walker very rarely survives the first half of the 4th round and I just can't get there when I'd rather be taking my second wr in the 3rd. I end up with dmont in the 5th quite a bit and I'm okay with it, the rbs are just so pushed up on espn that is hard to land a decent rb2 in like rd 7

[@tannerw5011]

kind of feel the same, definitely not touching cook late 2nd or early 3rd. same with walker, not when the elite QBs and waddle kupp and aiyuk and stuff are there as well

[@Grumpsy45]

I’m not drafting Jacobs but the others r fine

[@joshuaphilbert7995]

"Welcome back to the baaaasement" what i tell me coworkers 😂

[@Maximus20345]

Would you take Jacobs in the early 3rd where he’s going in Sleeper?

[@antonioayala7453]

I will never be off the Kamara train bro, not until he proves to me he’s completely fallen off

[@countrybumkiniii9003]

Exactly!! With the worst O line n the league and Carr at QB Kamara could have a 100 receptions and 1,400 total yards! He’s the perfect Ppr RB…..

[@barrybands3897]

Kamara proved last year that being on a bad offense does nothing to hurt his fantasy value. His rushing efficiency has been tanking for a few years now, yet he’s still an easy pick in ppr. Dude has always been an outlier.

[@qazzaqstan]

Truthfully to me it looks like he completely fell off given just how inefficient he's gotten. The 1 thing that makes him not a clear dead zone back is if he has 80 receptions this year I wouldn't be shocked and even in half PPR that is easily good enough (and just for a slight win he likely hits decently big if that happens). It is a matter of price though since I've seen him go anywhere from round 4 to round 6 (even later in Underdog but I'm not talking about that) round 4 and even round 5 I just can't do it. No longer good player on bad offense is just not a traditionally winning recipe, but round 6 is just a bit too cheap for me even though it feels gross.

[@countrybumkiniii9003]

@@qazzaqstan I agree, won’t take him n 4th or 5th I’ll take him n 6th or 7th all day though along with Walker who is next to him on ESPN. They have the worst ranked O line n football this season so I can see Carr dumping off early and often to Kamara. Half Ppr he’s a good pick but full Ppr to me he’s a must have! I’ve did 35 money drafts and now people are starting to reach 2 rounds for him and Walker because they’re starting their draft with 3 WRs and TE. Then n 5th & 6th they’re trying to go Kamara & Walker which I must say I like doing the same if I can. Good luck on your season and hope you win that ship!!✌️

[@qazzaqstan]

@@countrybumkiniii9003 Thanks, You as well

[@jonathanleshko]

what league do you have James cook going round 4???? he's going early 2nd over here (espn)

[@marcusa2252]

Do you guys think David Montgomery will make a good RB2? I feel like the red zone opportunity on a great offense is too good to pass up. As long as he stays healthy he could have 1000 rushing yards and 10+ TDs easily

[@leviscottmusic]

God dammit Ron I just want to get some sleep

[@wpl8275]

If you can find a thousand yard rusher then it’s not a dead zone.

[@grantpickard3825]

Had to take Kamara today because my new jobs work league was HUNGRY for RBs. Noted for next year 📝

[@skins4thewin]

What is the "dead zone" exactly? Thing is I feel drafting too many RB's early is too risky! The chance of bust or injury is too high. Feel like it's better to focus more on getting an elite TE & QB early. Good to take at least 1 in the first 3 or 4 rds but that's it.

[@crumbsnacker4817]

I’m with you. Been mock drafting a lot lately and find myself going WR, QB, TE, WR before I even consider a running back.

[@matthewdennis1739]

The 'dead zone' is the area where traditionally the difference in bust rates between WRs and RBs is greatest. Typically described as rounds 3-6.

[@matthewdennis1739]

@@crumbsnacker4817 ...QB in the 2nd? I've been doing RB, WR, WR, TE, QB the most I think.

[@Azdralon]

Josh Jacobs or Isiah Pacheco?

[@chunkin9799]

Kamara is putting egg on your face right now. Dude has been reactivated. I faded him too.

[@JamesFarley335]

So I’m in a 8 man superflex league with two flexes as well. I have the 6th pick in the draft but the first pick just asked me to trade picks with him. What’s your advice for me? Should I keep my pick or trade up for one? And either way what’s your advice for my draft?

[@adanoreyes]

If it’s not wheels up, I don’t want it

[@ADRIAN-xn2si]

I love James cook this year

[@scottbaron121]

As a Buc fan...I LOVE the revisionist history. This offense was PUTRID for the vast majority if the year. Y'all look at Canales like the Messiah. His offense SUCKED until we beat Philly in the playoffs. He TRUSTED the run and COMMITTED to it. Full marks for that. Our offense wasn't built to be actually GOOD at that.

[@michaelford3716]

If anyone wants to give me feedback on my team, here is what I drafted pre Gibbs injury (ESPN): QB Jayden Daniels RB Jahmyr Gibbs RB Najee WR Marvin Harrison WR Nico Collins TE Pat friermuth FLEX Deebo Samuel Bench: Tee Higgins Rome Odunze Javonte Williams Chase Brown Rico Dowdle Khalil Herbert Tua

[@joshholmes1372]

Yall need to stop drafting so damn early. Never works out

[@joshholmes1372]

You're cooked at rb

[@drew284]

Kamara is the same lock for volume that Derrick Henry is, except he's a pass catcher instead of a rusher. top 5 fppg last year and NOTHING has changed. Same backup, same qb/offense/coach

[@fweakidd1964]

At pick 9 aj brown an Barkley ,Taylor available who would you take first ?

[@Reaper13-hi3yo]

AJ & grab whichever rb falls

[@fweakidd1964]

Thanks bro that’s what I been doing in my mock draft

[@Reaper13-hi3yo]

@@fweakidd1964 np man good luck

[@MSUCollector]

Call it Dead Exception RBs

[@michaelhatfull3305]

Bangers

[@idropzy5721]

What is your ideal pick for pick 11 if Wilson doesn’t fall to you( JT Gibbs puka ?)

[@Drew_WhatItDo]

I got 11, planning to go Gibbs/Marv for upside

[@idropzy5721]

@@Drew_WhatItDoI don’t trust Marv him being a rookie and all

[@danielcook3515]

I got 25 left in underdog whens your next bestball mania draft i want to try to hop in

[@stevensimpson8231]

You say RBs changing teams are not a good idea but jacobs is on a new team and he's a target

[@RonStewart_]

Only a sith deals in absolutes my friend

[@hashslingingslasher2613]

Ron you , Flock Fantasy, And Sal helped me win my league last year, it’s hard this year because everyone saying different things lol I’m at pk 8 and it’s either Aj brown or Bijan if he falls who do I take ?

[@mikerothenberg163]

Bijan > AJ Brown

[@ethanmietzner5218]

@@mikerothenberg163I heard Ron say to take Bijan. He is in the top 3 tier 1 of running backs whereas Wide receivers like Chase, Jefferson, and Amon Ra are a 2nd tier behind the first WR tier

[@ilovekebabs]

Start Najee or Rhamondre week 1?

[@matthewdennis1739]

Najee for me.

[@desmondjones7643]

🐐

[@junakathetruth]

Deadzone 50 50's

[@tonyperkins-stocktonhearin1190]

You really think we should take 2 RBs with our “first three picks”?

[@sladen3884]

MR AUGUST and everything after.

[@zarbon8]

Bonkers

[@aidanmurphy8286]

Only issue with James cook is his ESPN ADP. He goes late round 2 early 3 next to achane there. Not as good of a pick in ESPN home leagues.

[@jeffreywienecke8526]

Exceptional rb 😭

[@jacobmiller3295]

Mr August🗣️🗣️🙏🙏🙏

[@TheBrothersBlue]

my brother in christ… when do you sleep 🤣

[@RonStewart_]

We sleep in September

[@Enrique-ou2dy]

Zombie RBs.. they’re back from the dead zone with some life

[@miggycatchem]

Ice cold ❄️ oh oh

[@forwork2601]

Why does he keep inviting us to his basement

[@Bindles90]

MR THUMBNAILS

[@RonStewart_]

Thanks for noticing!

[@nickhubert3804]

James cook Stinks

[@kmacadaeg7]

@21:45 don’t ever say man gap again. 😭

[@derekxavier220]

You need sunblock at the desk

[@scottgerber8172]

Keep preaching swift not being a target. As my RB2 because I drafted stud receivers I’m ok with this. Swift was on an offense last year that their QB scores in the red zone. The entire eagles offense sucked 2nd half last year. People are forgetting Williams is a rookie and they aren’t just going to have him throw it downfield 40 times a game. Swift is a superior pass catcher and is absolutely my most underrated pick where you can get him. If he’s going high I agree. But I literally got him in the 8th round. Sign me up

[@timothybrown5999]

How many guys are in your league? 8th round for Swift seems super late, especially in a PPR

[@scottgerber8172]

@@timothybrown5999 12 team PPR

[@Kyles_Money]

Mr. August 🫡

[@treycobb6262]

Daddy Ronald

[@IAMLove33]

🌞 blessings ❤️‍🔥