Signs of War With China

[@RyanMcBethProgramming]

Go to piavpn.com/mcbeth to get 83% off Private Internet Access with 4 months free! Get my novel "The Win Machine" here: a.co/d/ekVdlci Also available as an audiobook here: a.co/d/ekVdlci In my novel “The Win Machine,” one plot point involves China’s attempt to break the Guinness Book of World Records in blood donated during a single day. Since blood donation is not popular in China, it is seen as a prelude to war. It’s a good book and you should read it. But what other signs might we see before a full scale invasion? Stockpiling commodities: Food, fuel, medicines, machine tools and spare parts. Basically anything that can be embargoed. Note that China now has a playbook to see how the world will react with the war in Ukraine. It might use that playbook to predict how to survive and fight with sanctions. Rare Earth Metal Restrictions: Rare earth metals are critical components in things like LED displays, touch screens, magnets, and radars. China might stop exporting these minerals or encourage the US to divest from rare earth mining. Restrictions on VPN usage: VPNs or Virtual Private Networks act as tunnels to connect your computer to a “private” network. This might be your workplace, or it might be a VPN service that allows you to bypass local censorship or restrictions. Technically, VPN usage is banned in China without special permission. However, this ban isn’t aggressively enforced. If tourists and expatriates suddenly find the bans enforced, it could be an indicator. Divesture of markets: You might see China divest from American and Western markets along with the purchase of more gold. You might also see China shift toward the homegrown CIPS banking system over the international SWIFT banking system. Disinformation: China will use disinformation as a weapons effector with kinetic effects on target. For uncensored video, check out my substack at: ryanmcbeth.substack.com Like my shirts? Get your own at: www.bunkerbranding.com/pages/ryan-mcbeth Want a personalized greeting: www.cameo.com/ryanmcbeth Watch all of my long form videos: kzbin.info/aero/PLt670_P7pOGmLWZG78JlM-rG2ZrpPziOy Twitter: @ryanmcbeth Instagram: @therealryanmcbeth BlueSky @ryanmcbeth Reddit: /r/ryanmcbeth Join the conversation: discord.gg/pKuGDHZHrz Want to send me something? Ryan McBeth Productions LLC 8705 Colesville Rd. Suite 249 Silver Spring, MD 20910 USA

[@jaydee6268]

Ryan, you planning on doing a book signing sometime?

[@TobiKellner]

Ryan, sorry but the suggestions that people calling for divestment from fossil fuels, or people pushing for strict environmental regulations in mining, are somehow gullible idiots or paid shills controlled by China is absolutely ludicrous. I would expects like this from the looniest end of the loony right fringe. Climate change has been identified as a major threat to the US by the pentagon itself. Divestment from fossil fuels and investment in renewable energy is a logical reaction to that threat. And people don't need the CCP to be concerned about mining polluting water and air in their area. It is true that we in the global North/West need to have a conversation about mining - protesting against mines while consuming the products of mining simply pushes the burden of mining on poorer countries where people who have less power to protest against it, and where environmental standards are lower. But to suggest that future protest against mining will be orchestrated or financed by China is bizarre.

[@The_New_IKB]

Ryan, what is so bad about a girl from watertown? I am a Brit and I don't get your yanky jokes!

[@bsadewitz]

Um, is it inconceivable that there could be an organic peace movement and/or opposition to the influence of the military-industrial complex? The way you present it is simply "if you notice antiwar activism, that's how you know China is getting ready to invade." There are American citizens who oppose war on all kinds of grounds, and to insinuate that their decision to protest is ultimately determined by a US adversary implies that there can be no legitimate antiwar mass movement. Similarly, I'd have to be an idiot not to think that e.g. defense contractors like it when there's war. In this particular conflict I happen to support Taiwan (and the US helping them, even) but not quite as much as I support freedom of speech in my own damn country, and not as much as I oppose untoward influence of the military-industrial complex. You aren't necessarily WRONG in that I agree it's likely China would support antiwar organizations, but actual citizens have to turn out for the protests. I should add that I am bothering to type this at all because I value your commentary.

[@MorganMaclellan]

I laughed out loud. Best VPN commercial ever haha

[@Folap]

If NATO aligned countries stop supporting Ukraine and allow Russia to win or end the war with a settlement massively favoring Russia then China will see that as a green light for their own invasion. If the world stays strong against Russian aggression that will certainly give China pause to reconsider their own military plans.

[@MrRainrunner]

agreed!

[@Steve-ev6vx]

I agree. American politicians need to get on top of domestic issues big time though. Everything is going to crap and we have homeless addicts everywhere.

[@Knightfall21]

This is really short-sighted thinking. China wants us to continue to waste resources on Ukraine so we have less to defend Taiwan with.

[@andrewcrus]

China is protected from behind by Russia's territory and its production is provided by its resources, China cannot under any circumstances allow Russia to be defeated. At the same time, China's population is 50% larger than the population of all NATO countries combined. The only threat to China is India, but India has a fairly small territory and is not seeking to fight China. We must also remember that Russia has a population of 145 million, of which about 30 million are a mobilization reserve. Taking this into account, as well as taking into account China's statements regarding Taiwan - a scenario in which NATO does not give in with the support of Ukraine and Russia loses, and then China rethinks everything - is not possible even hypothetically.

[@ellkir1521]

You have no idea how the Oriental or Russian mind and Government works. We as a Nation, have always made that mistake throughout history.

[@Kastrenzo74]

in December 2021 / January 2022. there red alert sign was when there were Russian hospitals notifying staff to prepare for mass casualty events, collecting blood donations. and the smoking gun was the mobile crematory units being moved to the border. a few weeks later, tens of thousands of people were dead and full scale war was raging.

[@frenchtelemarketer]

1988: After significant international pressure, particularly from the United States, Taiwan officially dismantled its nuclear weapons program. They agreed to sign the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1968, although they only ratified it in 1971.

[@RandoBurner]

That's not exactly a "sign", it's just common sense. It's too late when that happens.

[@dynamicascension981]

Russia thought that it would be over in a matter of months

[@thepunish3r735]

I knew they were invading when Putin said he wasn’t going to invade with 300,000 soldiers he had to kept fed and tent hospitals going up … still no one believed it until it happened , crazy

[@Wallyworld30]

@@dynamicascension981 Russia (and other experts) thought Russia would beat Ukraine in 3 Days. We are in Year 3 now.

[@Zeebopbudoobop]

I’m heavily involved in the US rice industry and it’s generally well known that global rice prices are heavily impacted by whatever China is doing (as with most grain commodities). The moment rice prices shoot up, you know something’s coming.

[@anrit5972]

When was the last time China was up to something? When was the last time China sent an expeditionary force over seas to wage a war. China has 1 military base outside of their borders the US has 908, how many puppet governments has China installed in the world? How many wars have they started in the last 2000 years it’s zero, China has an isolationist policy, the US has an imperialist foreign policy. The US is picking a fight because China is about to become top dog and the US empire is eating its self alive.

[@niagarawarrior9623]

pretty interesting, keep an eye on Thailand's rice production. Very recently China has been helping Thailand grow their rice production and modernize their farming, more and more Thai farms are starting to get access to tractors, night-time automated tractors, and China has shared a lot of technical skills with Thai farmers recently, which should improve future yields. Regretfully, China could easily invade Thailand to gain a modernized rice industry, if trading doesn't work.

[@snowboarder50000]

I too am heavily involved in the US rice industry. California makes so much rice we dont really need to worry about anything rice-wise.

[@hurrdurrmurrgurr]

@@snowboarder50000 The point isn't American rice security it's China's.

[@newwonderer]

@@niagarawarrior9623 invade Thailand? they didnt show you the world map in school did they? china dont have border with thailand and if china use another country north of thailand to cross mountainous regions east of tibet will be very costly, myanmar dont have good roads either. jeez, easily invade Thailand.. they do not know how to easily invade island near them...

[@krisvires]

Best sign in my mind is the Ferry Boats. The PLA-N doesn't have enough sea transport for the forces they would need for an invasion. The PLA-N already drills to use civilian car ferry's and cargo ships as military transport. So, if you see ppl on Chinese Social Media complaining that all the Ferry Boats are suddenly gone... invasion.

[@cameronspence4977]

Yup. Fortunately, those ships don't have torpedo or missile defenses

[@doug4572]

Hi Ryan, China already stopped selling the main rare earth metals (gallium, germanium, and antimony) to the U.S. and it's allies. These metals are used in most major weapon system from soldier mounted thermals to the targeting acquisition system of land/air platforms. These metals are almost exclusively refined in China and Russia, with very limited capabilities and capacities in West. While antimony is the latest, China hasn't sold germanium to the U.S. in over a year. It makes no sense to stop selling the metals now unless China anticipates taking action soon. Why give the U.S. time to adapt and bring their own industries on-line?

[@miraphycs7377]

gallium and germanium are NOT rare earth metals. They are byproduct of aluminum processing

[@AxolotlGaming_Official]

they can make chips damn near advanced as the west with much older technololgy too

[@miraphycs7377]

@@AxolotlGaming_Official except the so-called older technology are all imported

[@doug4572]

@@miraphycs7377 you may want to check the periodic table my friend. Germanium is mainly found in high concentration in some deposits of zinc and coal. its from these end trails that germanium is further refined.

[@myintmaunmaun]

Because they master this technology, not US

[@rogerthat4545]

"On audiobook for Marines" 😅😂 Epic

[@CyclesMcHurtz]

Is there a wine-and-cheese option for my friends in the chair force?

[@CodyChepa88]

I hope so it sounds nice ​@@CyclesMcHurtz

[@YBWhooby]

LOL! I just spit crayons out my nose.

[@SandorSoptei]

@@CyclesMcHurtz they only read the hardback copy

[@NickC-xr2vv]

Picture books or crayon coloring by numbers sometimes also work for us.

[@jeremyjackson7429]

As a dual Taiwanese-American citizen, I saw that China was building barges with 400 foot ramps this week. fml

[@frenchtelemarketer]

They show you what they want. Real secret is never shown.

[@gerryjamesedwards1227]

Was that from H.I. Sutton? I just saw that. They are basically invasion barges, they have no peacetime purpose that makes any sense.

[@fractalart8352]

It's a worrying development of obvious escalation towards the neighborhood of SE Asia.

[@frenchtelemarketer]

@ It is for domestic propaganda purpose. They show what they want. They never showed the p4 laboratory and their biowarfare research with coro-n@v1rus.

[@frenchtelemarketer]

1988: After significant international pressure, particularly from the United States, Taiwan officially dismantled its nuclear weapons program. They agreed to sign the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) in 1968, although they only ratified it in 1971.

[@Red_Four]

One question I have for you is how do you think that the Chinese civilian population is going to respond to a war? Even if the US does not directly intervene, Taiwan isn't just going to roll over and take it from China. There's going to be a lot of dead Chinese soldiers laying on the beaches, and while manpower may not be an issue for the CCP, civilian support for a war could be seriously impacted. From what I understand, there are very few Chinese people in China that come from families with more than one child due to the one child policy that was in place for so long, and even though that's been lifted, most Chinese do not want to have more than one child now. This has resulted in a disproportionate ratio of men to women because Chinese families considered a male that can carry on the family name to be of greater importance than having a girl. Once thousands of families realize that their family's bloodline has ended on the sands of some beach in Taiwan, how are they going to react, and how is that going to affect the rest of the population that may be staring at the same scenario once their only son is deployed? Also, do you think that is something that can be used, at least in the short term, as a means of conducting our own information warfare against China to deter them from going to war?

[@londonnight937]

You assume that the chinese citizens think like western citizens do. They don't. They're sort of like russians. If their supreme leader tells them to go head on and sacrifice themselves for the country, they will. Look at russia.

[@whiskeythree1622]

15 years ago or so, there were more smokers in China than the total population of the US. Taiwan is about 100 miles distant from China. It is included in China's manifest to retake Taiwan by 2049. Xi has stated it's his intent to complete that by 2027. Hm, what's gonna happen next.

[@gregp7379]

Believe it or not, it is extremely hard to get into the military in China. My brother is law, his father had to bribe to get him in. (And he was politically connected )

[@jaa1969jaa]

In a country of 1.2 billion, the families of a couple of hundred thousand soldiers will have little impact.

[@coconut7490]

They're not a democracy so the people have little choices but to accept what the government does, it was the same with zero covid lockdowns where hundred of millions were forced to stay home and anyone who protested were arrested and reeducated. Generally an authoritarian country with little war support can still go on without much problems unless their internal security apparatus fails and anti-war protests, groups and movements gain traction before they're crushed.

[@mackyhilden4573]

Imagine being worried about college students when we have MAGAts IN OUR GOVERNMENT literally causing ukrainian aid to get blocked for almost a year while spewing Russian talking points.

[@redcat9436]

TDS

[@cameronspence4977]

Or hear me out, how about theyre both a massive problem? Like when aforementioned weak minded students led to us losing 2 wars, both in vietnam and kind of, admittedly it wasn't really a war, but in afghanistan in 2021 as well? Which might I remind you directly emboldened russia to invade ukraine in the current day. Or do I need to remind you about the literal millions of college NPCs that answered the call to subvert our own congress and government in support of China's TikTok cyber weapon when they first tried to ban it for our own people's well being?

[@cloudstrife5209]

MAGA won the popular vote. 😉

[@dcc70]

Trump is being misled by maga-ino talking heads like Tucker and MTG. He needs to show who's the boss by crushing Russia.

[@AWSMcube]

What's wrong with Russian talking points, as long as they're true?

[@dantupper1784]

My Grandpa and I were talking about his much-improved hearing aids, cell phones, and computers used rare earth metals about 25 years ago. He pointed out how many of the same materials were used in TV and Radio tubes from the 1920-30's 'til the '80's. He was an electronics hobbyist back in the '30's. He thought it would be smart to find all the landfills used from that era since they would have a lots of tubes- the 'duds' ftom the neighborhood tube tester to the old radio's, tv's, medical & military equipment, etc. There have been studies of 'recovering' other materials from old dumps, Communist China's chokehold may really motivate things along.

[@crasharr]

Its called recycling, great to hear the US is catching up to that now.

[@whiskeythree1622]

Wow, your Grandpa had a great point -- landfills could become gold mines! I've heard China is recovering old warships for the iron too, btw.

[@Butchdabuilder]

We have one company in the US called MP materials. But it's far from enough.

[@niagarawarrior9623]

@@whiskeythree1622 pretty interesting perspective. China was caught red-handed salvaging WW2 ship wrecks (designated war memorials) for their pre-atomic steel.

[@85November]

Great info!

[@pookatim]

Rare Earth elements are not "rare" they are just messy to process. As a result, any country that is concerned about its environment will shy away from processing rare earth materials in their country. It doesn't mean they can't. If push comes to shove, America is certainly capable of providing its own "rare earth" materials. Yes, they will cost more but in war that means very little. On the other hand, China needs to import everything necessary to maintain itself in war. That will be cut off immediately. Now this doesn't mean China isn't crazy enough to start a war, but it does mean it has zero chance of winning one.

[@dx-ek4vr]

I think there were some proposed methods of mining Rare Earths more cleanly (as in, the process of extracting them doesn't pollute as much as traditional methods). Also, IIRC, apparently the waste products of Coal mining (or Coal ash) contain rare earths in them. So maybe it's worth looking in there as well

[@APDM_Analysis]

China is specialized in rare earth material precessing, not just “having resource”. China currently controls the upstream, midstream and downstream of the whole rare earth supply chain. People think rare earth resources is about excavating stones in the ground, they are wrong. Currently barely any country has the technology to purify rare earth materials expect China. Can this tech be developed in the US, sure can, but it will take decades. China does not lack gas or oil due to Russia being in the north, and do you know how hard it’s to cut off a country’s entire maritime traffic? It’s impossible to intercept all civilian ships coming out and in from China even if war broke out. Civilian ships are still coming out of Russia three years into the war. If US sink every single ships out of China, it’s gonna escalate to nuclear war.

[@throwback19841]

​@APDM_Analysis plus, China has a not insignificantly sized navy to protect it's maritime commerce...

[@j.p.ijsblok5304]

I don't think the goal is to stop other countries getting their own, but to make sure any countermeasures are met with delays. It takes a lot of time to start a mining initiative, with all the refining and logistics involved. China can use that time to meet their goals.

[@TonygectGee]

"China needs to import everything necessary to maintain itself in war". Such as what？

[@jakelilevjen9766]

Interesting. I hear a lot of talk about not being tied up in wars from the incoming administration, and its supporters. It is no coincidence that the same kind of language came out in the US in 1939 and 1940.

[@ThisPartIsAndrew]

Technically the GOP (Newt Gingrich) was the first to reestablish formal diplomatic ties after the GOP (Nixon) was also the one to cut them and sponsor the People's Republic of China in the UN, with (Taiwan) Republic of China out of UN so it is karma, indeed

[@jakeaurod]

I wonder why McBeth didn't mention this but kept referring to college students and Hollywood instead.

[@sachyriel]

By 1939 the world was already at war, the western powers didn't want to see it. China was being invaded by Japan and the Spanish Civil War heralded a new ideological conflict in Europe. America is always late to these things, that they were talking of war in 1939 isn't a conspiracy, try harder.

[@Saerkal]

Fourth turning moment

[@Khronogi]

​@@jakeaurodits what i thought too. Too much reference to college protestors and not also militias or right wing protestors. Equally able to be influenced.

[@ipred2]

Maybe mention that the issues for protest movements can be genuine. The propaganda does found and propagate them disproportionately. That does not necessarily mean they are not issues that some do feel strongly for.

[@xunqianbaidu6917]

Ryan's sort of incapable of thinking that someone can be wrong without assuming that they're doing it on purpose.

[@BhavyaSura-j7z]

@ xunqianbaidu6917 reminds of a saying that “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by incompetence” . Some times people are just stupid and not doing it intentionally.

[@itsROMPERS...]

There are always people who believe anything sincerely, so it's not hard to just find such a group, and fund and encourage them. Countries like China have purely Anglo American agents, so it's not like a Chinese guy in Mao pj's will approach them. That said there are many anti-war groups protesting was for perfectly good reasons, it just so happens that those priests also support goals of other countries, maybe like, "we support anti-war, especially against us."

[@nyalan8385]

Plus the switch to alternative energy is definitely necessary as well, we should be advocating for alternative energy and we as a country should also be manufacturing that, the ability to be the world leaders in alternative energy and have the rest of the world come to us for it is right there but hasn’t happened due to the oil and gas industry’s continual interference, which will definitely hurt us if a war comes, the military needs all the fossil fuels, and our domestic alternatives are all made in china.

[@andezong9565]

You don’t think the CCP can just find a legitimate organization and fund/support them? The CCP doesn’t need to start any of their own movements (although they can), it’d be a better use of time and money to just piggyback off of an already established group

[@guve25]

As a Chinese descendant, I can vouch for the blood donation thing. The old generation considers It has something to do with blood as energy and letting blood out, disturb the energy flow. Being a third generation, I don't follow the old ways as much, and I donate blood yearly.

[@SomeoneFromBeijing]

Chinese people in China are also changing. The last time I returned to China, I saw blood donation spots everywhere. There are always people walking into the booths and people coming out with bandages on their arms (which means they made the donation). Chinese hospitals also encourage (or force, wink wink) patients' relatives to donate blood. So I think Ryan is a bit behind when it comes to what the new norm is in China.

[@havetwo6280]

Sometimes, a difference of opinion is not a foreign actor , sometimes the US can be wrong as well. In a transactional administration , many "truths" will exist to obscure a self serving endgame.

[@TheAmbex]

100%. Its good to understand we can also be wrong.

[@kylehurlburt6114]

Some of the implications in this video were a bit disheartening. I usually like Ryan's video, and there are legit nuggets of good info here but then it also basically felt like a sideways shot at environmental activism of any kind.

[@bower31]

@@kylehurlburt6114 generally environmental activism is wrong, short sighted, and just a nuisance, it's frequently backed by the thing it's going against to stir things up

[@johnhaller5851]

Fun story, I figured that Desert Storm when my local blood bank called me to come in for a same-day appointment. At the time, I only donated at employer blood drive. The blood center denied any knowledge of that, but I doubt the low level people were informed. Sure enough, the ground war started that night. It might have been a coincidence, or possibly not.

[@toddburgess5056]

Did the US even sustain any casualties during operation desert storm? 😆

[@were-owlinwisconsin4441]

@@toddburgess5056 Yes, we did. Total Coalition casualties were about 250 KIA and 750 WIA. I don't know exactly how those figures break down, but most of them were American.

[@artnull13]

So the massive build up over several months wasn’t the clue 🤔

[@johnhaller5851]

@@artnull13 Not for the exact day. I wonder if it was replacement blood, but even with local donations, it takes a while to be ready. If the buildup hadn't happened, I wouldn't have even thought about it.

[@BlossomField91]

@@were-owlinwisconsin4441 That's basically nothing tbh. More people in America probably died or got injured from slipping in their bathtub in 1991 than that.

[@TfiveR]

From Red Storm Rising, the Soviet forces were manufacturing and replacing batteries for trucks at a much higher rate than normal. Same with tire manufacturering.

[@darkstorminc]

And subs, though iirc it was the civilian vehicles that supplied much of the batteries for mil trucks and other vehicles. Now give a positive attitude check.

[@TfiveR]

@darkstorminc it's been a minute since I read the book, but you're right, I remember the subs too. I think that's where the interest in looking at their battery production started, too.

[@darkstorminc]

@@TfiveR The Bear and the Dragon was a good book about China invading Russia.

[@ericmartini2980]

The bear and the dragon was a amazing book same with red storm rising

[@were-owlinwisconsin4441]

@@darkstorminc Oh, so they were taking batteries from decommissioned subs to use for their trucks? I could never understand what the significance of that scene was.

[@3of11]

Americans: well if you don’t let me have TikTok I’ll download literally “the little red book” instead. people placing their vanity over national security.

[@dx-ek4vr]

The "First generation immune to Propaganda" strikes again!

[@stankythecat6735]

Nailed it ! Americans have become narcissistic beyond what I thought possible

[@EgnachHelton]

Had Biden/Harris won, China might never get the chance to invade before they implode, now that the orange man got elected, everything is going out of whack. Half of American electorate is batshit crazy and the other half don't understand the consequence of their (in)action.

[@underthedice1231]

Well, after the shutdown of pro-palestinien and anti-genocide protest in US aligned media pauses the question: Why should they trust the US? Biden has done a lot of damage to the trust in the US media (not that he is alone on this).

[@FieldAgent-D]

I'm glad we're banning tiktok

[@daviddanielian9525]

Like many others here I gotta point out Ryan’s biases here. It’s getting tiring hearing you say there’s no military industrial complex, or that anyone protesting war is falling for Chinese propaganda. I didn’t need china to tell me that the US military isn’t perfect I looked at our own damn history. We know there were never WMDs in Iraq, the Vietnam war is unanimously considered a mistake, hell we can go as far back as the USS Maine. Freedom of speech is about holding our government responsible.

[@aaronschaefer4167]

While I agree he does connect a little too many dots with every protester, The military industrial complex is way weaker than you might think. Ryan actually did another video on that very subject. Of course his video will be very biased towards himself but it's worth checking out. kzbin.info/www/bejne/eWPKenyaZsmjetUsi=pPkoRzPXNrCZWN2A

[@cameronspence4977]

The fact that you and millions of americans think there were no wmds in iraq is extremely disturbing historical revisionism. Literally everyone who was there or who studied the war can tell you that saddam hussein had chemical weapons. Nukes are not the only wmd. Holding the government accountable is important, but not nearly as important as us not losing the next war with china, or with taiwan being lost to china. If we really are on the brink of war, this is not the time for this anti-government BS propaganda that frankly, has been perpetuated for far too long.

[@ronaldfharring7326]

Well, gosh. So we can avoid blundering into disastrous military conflicts if we know the outcome beforehand.

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

Responsible protest is one thing, Actively subverting troop movements by gluing yourself to a warship is another. Seeking out apps that share your data with a hostile foreign government (like the Rednote kids are doing) because watching the Hong Kong protests and the Ukraine invasion convinced you that America is the bas guy is a third, incredibly foolish thing.

[@stevejobs5533]

You're either being thick or disingenuous

[@KarlKarpfen]

Another thing indicating very strongly, that invasion can't be far off now, is the mass-production of landing craft, which is currently under way in China, most likely in an early stage, but satellite pictures show a modern adaption to the mulberry harbours of WW2 being built at quantity in parallel in Chinese shipyards today.

[@flaviofuentes7476]

China invade Taiwan 2027

[@FirstDagger]

China started building new specific landing dock / bridge ships, the preparations are starting.

[@fearlesspotato3429]

They have been preparing since the 1950s lol

[@ThiccShaxx]

98 miles of ocean + precision western munitions = few survivors making it to shore

[@MintJdjsh]

China is stockpiling on commodities since 2021 like crazy

[@FirstDagger]

@ Look at the UKR front, RUS has incredibly high losses, do you think Putin or his Generals care? Now apply that to CHN, the party thinks that it is an existential question for them.

[@Team6OWG]

Bruh they are not going to invade until like 2030 +/- 1 year

[@rangerrick2246]

Last Aug 2024, I took a vacation with family to see a former student who live on Pingtan Island (across from Taiwan). He told me that it is common knowledge with the local fisherman, that they will be forced to evacuate prior to any activity the Chinese make against Taiwan. I guess any misses by Taiwan would easily go a few more KM to the mainland (Fujian). When I was there, we were able to see a considerable amount of military activity around the island. Heavily guarded sites in many places.

[@mikesuperglide]

00:51 that reminds me, back in the 80's I was stationed in Hawaii in the Army. On weekends we'd take our meal cards and hit up the Air Force and Navy mess halls and eat like kings. One weekend we were on the K-bay side and stopped at a Marine mess hall. As we waited in line to get our food I turned to my buddy and said "Hey, wanna hear a Marine joke?" He flabbergasted a bit and reminded me that we were in a Marine mess hall. I looked around and replied "oh okay, I'll tell it slow then"

[@annehersey9895]

CONGRATS ON PASSING 1 MILLION SUBSCRIBERS! Way to go Sarge!

[@lowtec1969]

Extremely interesting... Thankyou very much. Keep up the good work.

[@Astywillson]

"Events" in Ukraine launched these chains of attempts to demarcate territories. If "yesterday" there had been a response to aggression from Russia, then other countries would not have seen in this incident their opportunities to seize territory. The US and NATO, which acted as "guarantors of peace", have lost their authority and significance due to the events in Ukraine, and now the threat from them to the aggressors is practically intangible.

[@sumduma55]

Ukraine was never part of NATO. I'm not sure what you think the guarantors of peace means but I'm pretty sure you are wrong about it.

[@yonizaslavsky4246]

Afghanistan is what made America lose its authority, Ukraine is still being watched because China doesn't want to be like Russia so they are seeing how it goes

[@Leon1Aust]

@@sumduma55 But they want to be in the EU and NATO and Russia has no say in it! Ukraine know they will be better off with the EU rather than clapped out Russia. Just ask Poland, Estonia, East Germany, Hungary, Latvia etc

[@sumduma55]

@@Leon1Aust I do not really care what they want. I was addressing the guarantors of peace aspect.

[@orangutanenthusiast5631]

@@sumduma55guarantors of peace means that, major ground conflict in economic zones hasn’t been tolerated by nato for decades, it’s bad for trade. Both Gulf wars and Iraq were mostly because of Saddam doing the same. When was the last time a country in somewhere people care about actually faced a successful full scale invasion? The answer is just after soviet collapse, that’s not a coincidence. For the same reason, global shipping is so cheap because unprecedented marine time safety is essentially guaranteed by the US/NATO navy globally. The precedent of relative peace enjoyed for the last few decades is likely fucked for the next century because NATO did nothing.

[@4362mont]

Ryan is vastly more informative than a lot of creators who do a lot more talking.

[@jesssy1315]

Not unless he sees swigglingly lines, then he gets triggered and calls other people liars with no evidence. XD

[@Alex-jb8wr]

@@jesssy1315 what you mean?

[@Paulkjoss]

As with anyone, you need to be careful with Ryan because he sounds very authoritative, but unfortunately he has been badly wrong about some big things. To his credit, he has put out videos owning up to it.

[@jesssy1315]

​@ I will give him half credit, as he did made an apology vid but it was really insincere, like paraphrasing "Yes I lied about that and apologize, but you would have done that do cause we all want to be the first put that out" I'm like that last part was so unnecessary and weird as he's making up excuses.

[@jesssy1315]

@ Alex Ryan found a guy that he didn't like on a large podcast with an email having edit mode on and emotionally claim that is enough evidence for both people to be liars. The FBI verify the email to true. Ryan video spread to other people who never heard of him and now gave alot of new audience bad first impressions

[@user-pe9qg3hg3k]

'you're going over somegirls house and you dont know how many menhave connected to her hotspot and when was the last time the thing was virus checked': 3:52 - oh my god im weak, best ad ever

[@fractalart8352]

Quite genius but perhaps offensive to someone named Karen

[@SavageHenry777]

Especially important if pia

[@johnshite4656]

I think he should have stuck with "wireless access point" over "hot spot" but whatever.

[@atakorkut5110]

To all people who love and trust Ryan, as I do, I still do think no matter who is telling you and what they are telling you, whether it be China, the US, Ryan Macbeth You should always take all information with a grain of salt and verify for yourself through critical thinking and primary sources just like China has active measures against the United States. The United States has active measures against China and its own citizens just like China has gotta realize that this is a massive competition, not only economically not only geopolitically, but socioeconomically ideologically and no matter what side of the divide you sit on, just be sure to remember this there is someone with an agenda that they are trying to push does that agenda lineup with yours? Are you willing to die for that agenda? Those are the questions that you must ask that we must all ask ourselves you are not necessarily evil because you accepted money from a rock to block a US naval vessel, although highly illegal activity, I would not discourage you from taking money from these corporations and NGO’s and then just sitting on it. There’s no one on earth that’s going to make you go and do these protests. You can show up and leave immediately. Get yourself paid just make sure you don’t get yourself arrested.😂

[@NathanAtkinson590]

You made a mistake, you set a date for your guess. You never set a date because if your wrong, it will always be used against you. You always say "in the near future". This is why Peter Zeihan is so popular, he makes predictions but never sets a date so in theory, he is never wrong.

[@williamblaker2628]

The invasion, if it occurs, will *definitely* occur in the months of April or October, give or take a week. The year is questionable/debatable. Those two months are definitely because of weather trends. The Strait of Taiwan is too rough for an armada during other months. Perhaps climate change may alter that weather pattern in the future, so I guess we'll see how things go.

[@freedom_aint_free]

Plot twist: Skynet won't have affiliation to no country

[@multilad816]

Nor any non state organizations

[@ciaranReal]

Modern day EIC

[@jefe.amo32]

Funny that Skynet is the name of their public law enforcement surveillance computer.

[@cameronspence4977]

Skynet will never exist.

[@gallagjg]

When I was in the hospital in China- they went through several bags of blood, and I’m 90% that it wasn’t sourced voluntarily. PLA soldiers have to donate but… other than that, it’s pretty sketchy.

[@ChrisMoffat-ov3lx]

They have millions of Uyghurs in concentration camps. They could get blood from them.

[@x--.]

this is terrifying. Not just slaves but also cattle? my god.

[@PermadeathHD]

what grounds do you have to say that, literally any speck of evidence, please, say it.

[@ulysseswho9870]

​​@@x--. indeed its terrifying that u believe what his saying 😂

[@SomeoneFromBeijing]

The policy in China is that people who donate blood can get preferential treatment when they need to use blood. And the same preferential treatment also applies to their family members. Since many Chinese need to use blood, the hospitals literally pressure their relatives to donate blood. Idk about the PLA, but logistically speaking, it is easier to do this than getting blood from whoever you think they get their blood from.

[@MeCrazy516]

but people have always talked about the military industrial complex...hell we protested that before the iraq war

[@JPGotrokkits]

Our host doesn't believe in the MIC. He's literally part of it, and doesn't want you see it for what it is.

[@Andreas-ov2fv]

He barely believes that it exists, and that it doesn't matter that it does, and anyway that it's tiny compared to what it used to be, and doesn't make anywhere near the money the other large corporations like Disney does. You can pretty much smell the cognitive dissonance whenever he talks about it. Maybe he's upset about turning to shilling, it's hard to tell, but someone somewhere really got under his skin about it. He's largely reliable about bringing fairly good neutral analysis, but on this topic just ignore him.

[@Pravlord]

he meant new propoganda saying china good MIC bad is funded by china is a sign of coming war.

[@Gojkira]

The 'military industrial complex' does not outweigh the rest of the American economy, which would make less money in times of war. There are some specific businesses that benefit from war manufacturing. These businesses are economically irrelevant and altogether they are worth less than companies like Apple.

[@JPGotrokkits]

@Gojkira still doesn't mean that it doesn't exist nor that it's influence is disproportionately large. There are other factors to be considered as well, such as ongoing contracts, corporate health, jobs, and other business concerns. The comparison to Apple is really bad faith, consider that Apple has 8 billion potential customers and the MIC is concentrating on weapons development and sales to their natural country and a few friendly nations. Trying to compare it to Apple, is an apple to oranges situation, and anyone trying to make that argument is not to be taken seriously.

[@MagnusElpron]

Two problems with what you say : 1. China knows this, so would not do that, to avoid telegraphing 2. China can use these signals to pressure in a negotiation process without actually being willing to go to war

[@chrisedwards3866]

Your contention that they could strategically support the use of wind turbines to make the US dependant is contrary to the fact that, once the turbine is installed, it will continue operating for 20+ years without needing a motor/generator replacement. So, if anything, they are an advantage for the US because they provide long-term service with far less maintenance and none of the refueling needed by fossil fuels. Why do you present this as a vulnerability when it is so clearly a beneficial asset?

[@carsonneal1703]

Wind turbines are the most inefficient way for energy. You don’t plop one down and forget about it. You have to maintain them every week with OIL so you don’t burn up the gears. The energy created from the turbine is so little that the cost associated makes it worthless. They kill birds by the thousands and are also extremely ugly. They are not a benefit, but more of a hassle to the American people.

[@Pertinax193A.D.]

​@@carsonneal1703where did you read that, that is not true

[@JesusJK7290]

I don't think they're ugly. Js. Ik it's a popular take- that they're ugly/stain on the land.. but personally I think they're pretty cool. Must be an outlier 🤷‍♂️

[@widedog3210]

Not really true, they require at least 2-3 checkups a year usually revealing a problem with the wind turbine unfortunately, I wish they were reliable.

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

I think his main point was that China has massively invested in the tech for renewable energy for multiple reasons - yes, as a domestic alternative to coal, but also to establish the industry as the market leader long before the financials made sense. Now, the Chinese state is supporting efforts to entrench green tech in the US, knowing that we're 10 years behind. This makes us dependent on China for basic needs, which gives them a lever over us.

[@davidwagner9644]

98 miles. That is the distance China's military would have to traverse.

[@rickdiesel2k]

in open ocean. extremely vulnerable

[@timogeerties3487]

They have a much more difficult starting hurdle, both because of the amphibious landing they *have* to nail but also because Taiwan has the money and allies to employ and equip a NATO standard military. But Taiwan isn't as large as Ukraine and China's military is bigger and appears (arguably) better equipped than Russia. Still, if push comes to shove, I believe Taiwan will be a surprisingly hard nut to crack for China

[@soul0360]

That's one deterrent that China can't change, and obviously have accepted. Another one is, whether Taiwans big ally is still trustworthy, under the upcoming administration? Personally I'm on the fence, on that one. If I was a betting man though, I'd put my money on, the US staying clear. For the low low price, of delivering Red hats at cost.

[@timogeerties3487]

@@soul0360 I trust neither Trump nor his cronies. They can be bought. But Japan and Australia have the integrity to stick to Taiwan. My take at least

[@jordanhicks5131]

​@soul0360 I trust the incoming administration FAR more than Kamala and her cronies. Trump and his team are VERY hostile to China, unlike the soft-on-china left

[@two50ne77]

what do you think Trump would do if China invaded during his term in office?

[@ajc5479]

Obviously the Chinese leader would be "smart".

[@darkstorminc]

Depends on if Xi butters him up like Putin did his last term.

[@x--.]

Well, he'd look around for who else he could blame it on.

[@crazychase98]

China will wait .

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

Bluster, blame Macron, announce and cancel two unrealistic plans, eventually say that there's nothing that could be done because Biden and Elaine Chao left him with his hands tied.

[@harlanbaker7476]

I wish the US put more funding and research into biofuels so we didn't have to choose between the environment and supporting our adversaries. Just because China has money to gain from the "green" movement doesn't mean that it's all a hoax. Humans have an effect on the atmosphere whether you believe so or not.

[@damianm-nordhorn116]

What's there to research about biofuels? You take some carbohydrate-heavy stuff like corn, put it in some bioreactor and make ethanol or methane from it. That's it. It's been done on a large scale for decades (so it's basically been perfected) and if your car drives with petrol/gas, you probably have some in the tank. The only question you have to "research" is: How much food do you want to turn into ethanol or methane? *here in Germany I can choose between E5 and E10. Pretty obvious what it means.

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

If you are in the USA, you are completely free to fund any research you want. But I think what you are really saying is I should be robbed to pay for your interests.

[@marcomoreno6748]

​@@TheDuckofDoom. They are your interests too. You don't live on a different plane of reality. Collectivism is true and valid, whether you believe so or not. It's called the common good.

[@crazychase98]

Your brainwashed

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

​@ It is also in my interest to eat healthy. But a robbery isn't justified simply because the thief left me a healthy sandwich made with food from my own fridge. A "collective" is an abstract construct with no sentience, interest, desire, moral value, or ability to act. Thus nothing more than the sum of it's members, a machine with no rights.

[@prototype_0xD1]

Before Germany attacked Poland, they bought anvils from the Soviet Union. Like ship loads leaving every day from the port of Odessa to Germany. My grandparents were always wondering why the Germans were buying so much. Once they war toke out, everything made sense.

[@marcomoreno6748]

And then everyone clapped.

[@BCM16AR]

Ryan you're legit the only person I've ever heard say the Military Industrial Complex doesn't exist. Maybe you know more than Eisenhower?

[@baileygregory9192]

Yeah whilst I like and don't disagree with alot of his stuff some of his rakes seem a bit like his had too much kool aid

[@BCM16AR]

@@baileygregory9192 He sounds like a CIA asset

[@x--.]

@@BCM16AR Nah, he's a true believer.

[@asterlyons8564]

@BCM16AR he's an insider, he profits from the military-indistrial complex's continued existence

[@williamblaker2628]

During the Eisenhower administration, and throughout the Cold War, yes, there WAS a military industrial complex. Since the Cold War ended, the military industrial complex was dismantled.

[@noterrormanagement]

You're a great person Ryan. Collected, professional and hard working. Thanks for everything you do

[@onothankyou]

If Ryan knows this, so does the CCCP and CIA. So don't be surprised if there's A) a "dress rehearsal" by CCCP beforehand to judge response and/or B) might do a build up to try to negotiate different terms on something.

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

CIA for sure, but the CCP has a strangely difficult time understanding western mindset.

[@williamblaker2628]

CCCP is the abbreviation for the old defunct Soviet Union. Equivalent to USSR. The Chinese Communist Party is abbreviated as CCP.

[@crazychase98]

​@@TheDuckofDoom. What you assume is ccp not understanding is not correct. What you see china doing is called not caring what the west thinks an doing what ever they want anyway

[@sammym.belfastchild]

Thank you Ryan 🍀for all your informative content. Cheers 🍻

[@TheAdequateMedia]

What benefit does china stand to gain by engaging in a genuine kinetic situation? Frankly i would go as far as to say the majority of their propaganda surrounding the one china policy and it's implications are aimed more inwardly to keep the populace focused on outside problems rather than the fact that they're infrastructure is falling apart under their feet. we're also making a lot of assumptions about their militaries actual readiness for an undertaking that's bound to invoke immediate movements from Japan, Korea, and the the Philippines… Obviously that complicates the US as well due to various treaties. It just doesn't make that much sense that China would essentially nuke its entire economy, trying to take over an island over what amounts to hurt feelings. I understand it's in your best interest to keep this topic alive, but I think it's failing to take into consideration many other aspects of the situation.

[@bob_412]

China's infrastructure is anything but failing under their feet. It is sadly the collective west's case. Most of us haven't been there nor witnessed the progress that has been made in the last decades, and have preconceived notion that the whole country is poor people and rice fields only.

[@whistlingchickenleg]

Correct assessment, flawed analysis. Domestic politics is the main driver behind nearly all political acts, which absolutely covers genuine kinetic situations. From Ceasar to Putin, regime security is THE reason to send thousands of young men to a pointless death. Aggressor nations do it because they think they can get away with it, defenders because they know something the aggressors don't. Can't see what makes Xi immune to this mania. You?

[@a.vanwijk2268]

Not to mention that, if TSMC and other chipmakers shut down bco war, China is in a pickle.

[@danielk.english6004]

China will see no benefits. But China is not a democratic-leaning country, so it doesn't matter what the Chinese think. What matters is what Xiping wants, since he's the ruler. And he has mentioned countless times his ambitions to take Taiwan. If the Chinese suffer for it, then that will be a sacrifice he will have them make.

[@TheAdequateMedia]

@ I know it’s a “pride” thing mainly

[@sergiitk]

Loved the book, Ryan. Very easy and fun read. Finished the audiobook in about two days. Looking forward to more novels from you.

[@RyanMcBethProgramming]

They are on the way,

[@ChrisDante-q7t]

​@@RyanMcBethProgrammingsame here, finished it in a day and a half! The book was awesome! My only comment was the voice actor could have been better (acting-wise, and in differentiating characters).

[@Mogthrasir1989]

8:25 Is there any scenario where anti-colonialism and peace activism and those motivated by a desire to see less funds go to Defense spending are not motivated by Chinese (or other) propaganda? I understand that there was a caveat at the end of the video that no one of these signs alone is a single determinant of imminent action, but it there seems to be a bit of a dismissive and derisive tone towards anyone who holds anti-colonialist views. It just feels like the ol' talking point of, "Anyone complaining about the IDF bombing refugee camps in Gaza is just a puppet of anti-semitic Iranian/Hamas/Hezbollah propaganda!!" Like someone couldn't come to their own conclusion that 20,000 civilian casualties in response to the October 7th attack was misdirected overkill.

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

Colonialism and the military-industrial-congressional complex are not synonyms. And the CCP is the biggest "colonizer" in the world today, going all the way to forced labor concentration camps and forced "boarding schools" for the children. (separately)The people of Hong Kong desperately want to return to being a British colony, CCP control has done nothing positive for them.

[@biteof78]

20,000 is putting it very, VERY, lightly. Other than that you're completely correct. Good on you for noticing Ryan's dishonest demagoguery.

[@bower31]

It's all organic in some form, it's not like being anti war is a foreign concept in any conceivable way. It's just adversaries involvement in these wax and wane as it's useful for them.

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

There has always been some level of guilt by association in all human society, birds of a feather flock together. Hamas does not exist in a vacuum, those civilians have at the very least refused to self-police or ask for help policing, or separate themselves in any meaningful way, let alone aid Israel in hostage recovery or accurate targeting of Hamas. And being less generous in our estimations, many actively aid Hamas while claiming to be innocent civilians.

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

@@TheDuckofDoom. Hamas runs a totalitarian state in Gaza. Until recently, they were aided and abetted in administering this totalitarian state by Israel, which was quite happy to hand over funds to them. There is no forum in Gaza where a Palestinian who just wants an end to hostilities to express dissent, or engage in dialogue. If you live there, you can support Hamas, you can keep quiet, or you can die. Those are the choices. Given this reality, it seems a bit disingenuous to hold forth on the complicity of the Palestinian civilians in the crimes of Hamas. Hamas does not "represent" Palestinians in Gaza in any way that grants political legitimacy. The myth that they do is advanced by Iranian accelerationists (who want war) and Israeli imperialists (who want to do the full Ataturk on the Palestinian territories). You should question it.

[@baconbrew3761]

To be fair the whole not divesting from fossil fuels is a Chinese influence thing not only greedy oil companies. The smart thing would be to focus on green energy and save the oil supplies for military use or export. Instead we fell for the BS and now china is a leader in a tech that WILL be relied upon as oil runs out and its price sky rockets.

[@yasmineyusuf2890]

Yup, the fact that we have to rely on oil exports from other counties who commit heinous atrocities against its citizens like Saudi is a problem.

[@TheDuckofDoom.]

The only skyrocketing price will be artificially government created. Oil (and gas) supplies are not going to fall off overnight, it's just not how the market works.price will rise as supply shrinks but that will reduce demand thus moderating the price change, and so on over a century. The increased price will naturally drive demand to alternatives, no subsidies needed.

[@gorkyd7912]

@@yasmineyusuf2890 We don't rely on Saudi oil. The US is one of the largest oil producers on earth, we make almost all of our own oil. We export as much as we import. Of the oil we do import, the majority comes from Canada.

[@yasmineyusuf2890]

@ “Crude oil imports of about 6.48 million b/d accounted for about 76% of U.S. total gross petroleum imports. The top five source countries of U.S. gross petroleum imports in 2023 were Canada, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and Brazil” www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.php?id=727&t=6#:~:text=Crude%20oil%20imports%20of%20about,Arabia%2C%20Iraq%2C%20and%20Brazil.&text=Note:%20Ranking%20in%20the%20table,million%20b/d%E2%80%946%25

[@thegoondockswarcouncil9543]

“As oil runs out” 😂 tell me you’ve drunk the coolaid without saying you’ve drunk the coolaid

[@alfb2453]

That's a scary scenario. I live in Philippines and tensions with China is a bit high. Sure, we might not be the direct invasion target but China is just there and we're definitely in range of missiles or aircrafts or drones.

[@overworlder]

They already stockpile commodities. I’ve seen stuff say they have about 12 months stockpiles of numerous key resources.

[@H33t3Speaks]

For the Central Committee and Army, not normal people. 🎉

[@susrev88]

they did this with wheat a couple of months before russia attacked ukraine.

[@richardmardis2492]

Girl friend lives in Taiwan, when and how best to get her out?

[@MrStickthrower2001]

Now, using a visa. Same way anyone does.

[@goldmanjenkins4629]

💍

[@richardmardis2492]

@@goldmanjenkins4629 🤣🤷🏻🤔

[@richardmardis2492]

@ 🤔👍🤣

[@MartinPHellwig]

Yesterday and student visa.

[@LaughingSeraphim]

Audiobook for the crayola crunchers. Upvote right there.

[@chrisUSA]

Excellent commentary and analysis.

[@KathyXie]

Taiwanese in Taiwan here, I think western countries will tell their citizens to leave few weeks before the war, similar to Lebanon, but at that point it may be too late for most taiwanese people, airplane tickets prices will sky rock and sold out imadiatly, the issue is the only way to leave Taiwan is by airplane, there is not ferry to Philipines nor Japan and the airspace will be probably close to civilian flights as soon as the war starts.

[@fireantfury2539]

I'm not an analyst or have ever worked in intelligence of any kind. Just a critical thinker but not to delve too deep into this story because I'm sure nobody actually cares but I used this same line of thinking prior to the Ukraine invasion and predicted it weeks before it happened and nobody believed me. When they moved troops to the border, I told people "okay now they're definitely invading." Like 2 days after that they invaded. Keep a lookout for the signs. Geopolitics is important

[@chri6393]

We will know it's coming when all our devices stop working

[@fractalart8352]

Well... It will be already in effect and you better hope you've prepared adequately enough by that point

[@whiskeythree1622]

Dang that's brutal Probably true too

[@cameronspence4977]

​@@whiskeythree1622its not even 1% true. Please describe to me how that makes sense?

[@whiskeythree1622]

@ I did say probably So much of what we buy includes at least parts ( including microchips ) from China And/or their combined hacking efforts with the Axis of Resistance I hope you're right

[@Roofus1212]

by the way, people seem to forget the fact that bytedance has a history of working in the chinese defense industry. that combined with everything else about tiktok, i don’t see how even the less observant of us don’t get how much of a danger tiktok is.

[@chingtuckmeng1122]

facebuck, goorgle, cnn safest

[@hold9389]

War does benefit major corporations. This is literally a Pro War KZbin Channel from a guy that wouldn't last 10 minutes in combat.

[@elbolainas4174]

My guy, he's literally a veteran. He may not be at his prime but he used to have a body that could last more than 10 minutes in combat.

[@hold9389]

@elbolainas4174 I understand he is a Veteran of sitting in front of a computer to aid the men in the fight.

[@JJE2010MO]

Another great video! I just picked up The Win Machine, looking forward to it!

[@bigcharliepilot]

In the oral arguments before the SCOTUS, the government’s solicitor let slip the threat from TikTok. It’s that people can connect and communicate with each other - that’s the fear of the govt, that the people will communicate and organize on a platform the US govt can’t manipulate and control.

[@endlichdrin]

So you are saying, Trump´s latest moves towards Panama chanel, Canada and Greenland are not imperialism? And US citizens protecting nature do this to support China? I wish you reflected some more before publishing this piece.

[@sputniktechno3203]

Gotta love American exceptionalism.

[@iangoodman4148]

Can you define what one country having ambitions on other countries is then?

[@PlatonsArm]

Lol!!! The Military Industrial Complex is the only state socialism that all US politicians love. And it’s not only because of the revolving door between the MIP and Government, or the extreme lobbying. It actually works stabilizing for society in that it creates jobs for hundreds of thousands regardless of the economy. And it’s a profitable export, one of the few things that the USA still manufactures. The MIP is also crucial for supplying the 800 plus US imperial bases all around the world. It’s state socialism supporting capitalistic empire. I am not paid by anyone to understand these basic facts. But if anyone feels like paying me, it sounds like a good idea!

[@nortonman5238]

You have fantastic comments. I wish I could follow them.

[@PacRimElectric]

I dont know if that line about "Audiobooks for Marines," was a dig at us crayon connoisseurs but, that line did catch me off guars and gave me a chuckle. Being a Marine myself I did matter a fact get your book in the audio form and will listen when I go back to work. Thanks for the work you do and looking forward to rea... listening to your book

[@backchurchboys]

I love this guy but the incessant self-promoting is so off-putting

[@jpkitchen7195]

Thanks for the facts, McBeth. Your content is always Illuminating

[@Jackmerius_Tacktheritrix5733]

Not sure why Ryan denies the existence of the MIC

[@tallshort1849]

Compared to Tech and healthcare it's a very minor player

[@redacted3610]

@@tallshort1849 Why can’t ya’ll focus on more than one thing at a time. ffs guys

[@marlowize]

I always wondered why the protestors who wanted the USA and NATO to get rid of our nuclear weapons were never worried about what the USSR would do.

[@fbueno123]

I loved the way you sell pan. Really creative scritp/text. I don't really need a VPN, but I'm thinking about signing piavpn just because of the ad :)

[@Green4CloveR]

Many also have pointed out that due to weather conditions and terrain off the coast of Taiwan, China will likely attack either in the months of April or October. It’s pretty remarkable how many factors in place make these assessments valid and would lead to predictable likely outcomes.

[@samtoaster]

Last time i was this early I became a dad.

[@Aex3f4]

Not your kid

[@styx544]

congrats :D

[@jompy151]

😂

[@rafaelperes4140]

😅😂

[@auron44053]

0:52 and on audiobook for marines lmao

[@PulseTriangle]

Sings of fear mongering via the yt algorithm

[@PastorTerranceRhodes]

Love your stuff! Thanks Ryan

[@overworlder]

in Australia the major finance newspaper published an anti-Taiwan piece by the CCP ambassador full of lies about UN resolutions and international law. The FinReview did publish a very good rebuttal from Bryce Wakefield though, listing all the lies in the ambassador’s article.

[@marcomoreno6748]

That's frikkin' awesome... no idea about this. I'll have to go check them out. Funny I found out about that article thing from a video like this, "capitalists will sell us the rope we bla bla bla" etc.

[@overworlder]

@@marcomoreno6748 - the USSR made the rope for itself

[@loltank5315]

Quick note: This is somewhat adapted from a reply to another comment, however I think it's pretty good and holds up on it's own with minimal changes. I'd say this is a point that I've begun to notice this (Ryan's bias towards US interests and global neoliberal capitalism) is coming up much more frequently. I don't totally disagree with the idea that a lot of these movements will get supercharged by our adversaries, but I think Ryan really suffers from a very pronounced case of being entirely uncritical of US actions. I think it's very important to note that often being a "centrist" or "debunking misinformation" aren't always going to be very factual or unbiased as ideas. Centrism is often very biased, in fact I'd argue that in many contexts and with a lot of information "centrism" is incredibly biased. In the US being a "centrist" more often than not means being in support of neoliberalism. By extension, "debunking misinformation" could be seen in a context of "correcting" arguments against a neoliberal status quo. However, there's actually a surprising amount of scientific and factual information that could be easily turned on it's head to effectively debunk a lot of neoliberal arguments. For example, not a single study has been able to effectively prove the idea of a capitalist meritocracy. On multiple occasions people have tried to prove that those who possess wealth and power are more intelligent on average via general intelligence. While I personally disagree with the idea of a general intelligence, there are some circumstances where it can somewhat prove useful. In just about every instance that people have tried to prove that the wealthy are smarter on average than the general public, it has failed miserably. In fact, it has failed so badly that they've inadvertently proven the opposite (that the biggest determining factor for one's own wealth is often the wealth of their family) to be true. So yeah, I don't really think that Ryan is this "enlightened centrist that effortlessly debunks misinformation" that it feels like he really lets on to be sometimes. I don't really think he's that bad overall, the fact that I still like most of his content and think he usually makes good points proves this, but he really shouldn't adopt the image of being unbiased or correct.

[@andrewmorke]

Good on you for promoting your book.

[@Dalwhinnie15]

Love the PIAVPN ad!

[@paperburn]

China started building 5 dock ships ( floating Mulberry) this year/ there is your time line

[@RyanMcBethProgramming]

Yeah, Sub Brief talked about that. I tend to stay away from naval topics because I'm just not that well-versed in it and I don't talk about stuff I don't understand.

[@ajc5479]

Yes, HI Sutton did a video on it.

[@albertstebbins7590]

It was their tank transporter Ro-Ro ferries which impressed me. A whole deck full of tanks

[@nedkelly9688]

Australia has Chinese intelligence members and spies coming to Australia with information between 2027 and 2035 is China timeline of when they will be ready to invade Taiwan, maybe they want to speed it up.. what Pine Gap in Australia does is gather intelligence in the Asia Pacific region, why is so important to USA .. all the satelites linked to Pine Gap watch over China, India and Korea...

[@cameronspence4977]

​@@albertstebbins7590unfortunately, those civilian ships have zero anti-torpedo and anti missile defenses.

[@carlosvasquez9890]

Hey...that's absolutely right! You are 100% correct on the "nuclear winter" being BS...even Carl Sagan later retracted on that. Kudos for you man, first time I hear a KZbinr being honest on that !

[@be.g.1074]

Ryan has been wrong more than right recently... and continues talking about disinformation while jumping to conclusions and putting out "I was wrong" videos. Is he just click bait now?

[@redacted3610]

gotta pay the bills

[@absoluteapricot]

Hey Ryan always good videos man. Just wanted to point out a factoid on the off chance you come across the comments section re: blood drives in China since you mention this often. I'm sure you may already know this, but the cultural disinclination to donate blood in China originated from a mass outbreak of HIV/AIDs in plasma donation centers and grey markets in the 80s and 90s to where people were terrified of getting HIV if they donated blood. The social stigma sticks around to this day. One of the pre indications for blood drives your Taiwanese viewer might look for is PR campaigns in China with regard to blood donation being safe and more education overall on HIV/AIDs. The stigma is still pretty real there and this would be an obstacle to overcome before getting people in line to donate. Of course, there's plenty of unwilling donors in Xinjang province they can steal blood and organs from if the occasion called for it. Love the video and the channel. Thanks again.

[@RyanMcBethProgramming]

Yeah. I didn’t want to get into that because it slowed down the narrative but you are correct.

[@ahb5819]

I'm getting tired of living through historical events.

[@SirAntoniousBlock]

😂It's been going on for quite awhile.

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

@@SirAntoniousBlock No, history ended in 1989, remember? This is History 2.

[@SirAntoniousBlock]

@ Do you mean Fukuyama? 😂

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

@ Sir, I read it in the New York Times.

[@SirAntoniousBlock]

@@jeffrey.p.thornton It was a book from him called "the end of history" The Cold War was over, the USSR had crumbled and the USA had won Gulf war 1, he posited that history was "over", the Western model of neo-liberalism had triumphed, the ink wasn't dry on it when the planes smashed into the WTC.

[@stephenbrickwood1602]

Or stay tuned to Ryan 😊😊😊😊 April or Oct 27, or April or Oct 28.

[@BrewStewChew]

Nothing ever happens

[@OhNo4Sho]

It’s unfortunate you ruined your credibility. 🙁 I used to think you were a pretty smart guy.

[@sergiom9958]

Im confused... why do you say "China invades Taiwan"? According to the US and every single recognized country on Earth except for 11 (and even Chiang Kai Check himself) Taiwan IS NOT a country; because there is only one China, and China extends from the mainland to its islands (including the island of Taiwan). And now we get in the sticky situation of what of the 2 China we should recognize... the PRC or the RoC... every single country that accepts the "one China premise" recognizes the PRC and not the RoC, and this includes the US. And even after the RoC renounce to reclaim mainland China they havent get more recognition. So, in the same way Ukraine was fighting its rebel provinces after the coupdetat of 2014, the PRC has been fighting a rebel province (following the US and the other 180 countries logic). And since you can not invade your own country, saying that "China invades Taiwan" is not correct. Maybe we could clasify that statement as disinformation? After all, isnt the PRC doing the same the US unionist north did against the rebel confederate south? BTW; if you want Taiwan to be a country accept that 180 are wrong and that the one China policy is not true. And in order not to be hypocritical accept that any 4rmed group that claims its independence should be accepted (because thats what has happened in Taiwan). PS: No, I dont support the PRC nor the idea that a regional independence can be achieved and recognized unilaterally via 4rmed strugle.

[@ferdifernando1799]

Thank you so much, Ryan! I learned a lot from this vid.

[@80airforce]

Ryan you are the man. As someone who studies philosophy and loves wisdom and the truth. You are someone who is truly pursuing the good and I thank you for that. Unlike other veteran influencers out there. You truly live the warrior poet life instead of the made up “sheepdog” life.

[@Charles-pf7zy]

you're talking about spreading public awareness about nuclear winter like it's a bad thing

[@mipa8581]

You can get a population more willing to become glass if you convince them the risk is minimal.

[@bower31]

@@mipa8581 The risk isn't minimal, but it's significantly less than it was framed. Realistically 100-150 million Americans will die, most likely another 50M to follow years after. Though within a (relatively) short time, society will be functional again. Estimated 10-15 years. We wouldn't have "how to deliver mail and collect taxes after a global nuclear exchange" plans just for fun.

[@bruceweissman8772]

Are you seriously stating that constant war doesn’t benefit the military industrial complex ?

[@geoswan4984]

Woah! Did you jusf assert the idea of Nuclear Winter was a nasty disinformation campaign? Carl Sagan was one of the researchers. I find it hard to believe I should not trust Carl Sagan. Did you do a video that backs up your assertion?

[@philipr.6090]

There is some interesting reading and research out there questioning the conclusions of the nuclear winter proponents. Reddit has a number of discussion threads, for example.

[@geoswan4984]

Okay, I am going to show I am a senior citizen... what is this reddit you speak of, and why should I consider it reliable? I've only become aware of it in the last two years or so. Near as I can tell, just like comments here, anyone can post anything, including partisan hoaxes. Mr McBeth is a serious person, and a truth teller. I trust everything he writes is true, to the best of his knowledge, and that he would never promote a hoax... But, from my limited look, reddit seems built hoax vulnerable.

[@Awesomes007]

Glad to see you at 1 million plus. Keep at it. Stay humble but keep being bold. We need you.

[@rdyer8764]

Great work, buddy!

[@LeprinhaGul]

I absolutely love your videos! Very informative!

[@HuzarFilms]

Congrats on 1million subs

[@MarcelLaPorte4346]

You’re on the record with that prediction of an invasion window

[@dans.2058]

The fact that you brought up Tenet like that and other things you’ve said lately shows who you really are and what your purpose is.

[@jeffrey.p.thornton]

Come on, bud . . . The Tenet thing is not a good look. You can feel that it's unfair to go after Dave Rubin for what Lauren Chen did - but what Lauren Chen was doing is assembling a conduit of influence for a hostile state actor. It's fair to link that back to the was the KGB used Philip Agee in the 70's, and it's fair to call it out as a model the Chinese might use in the future.

[@Strype13]

[8:30] War absolutely benefits big corporations, though. That's not propaganda, and certainly no secret. Particularly weapons manufacturers, oil & gas companies, and military/building contractors. These sectors make an inconceivable fortune off of international conflict and war.

[@rockbutcher]

Ryan you do a great job. We had a saying in the CDN Light Infantry (rock out with your chalk) "Non illigitemus carborundum." That's really bad Latin for "Don't let the bastards wear you down."

[@raggen5039]

Thanks for answering my question!