Several Stealthy Solar Storms Hit at G3-level and More Comes | Informal Live Briefing 3 May 2024

00:00:00 | Welcome and Sound Check
00:04:01 | BLUF (Bottom Line Up Front) Forecast
00:15:50 | Solar Storm and Aurora Five-Day Outlooks
00:18:41 | Solar Flare and Dayside Radio Blackout Five-Day Outlook
00:20:29 | Radiation Storm and Polar Aviation Five Day Outlook
00:22:19 | Post BLUF Q&A and Deep Dive
This live forecast was made by and for patrons of Patreon. Without their generosity this briefing could not have been made.

[@kee-rah]

Just awesome! I love when you debunk that fearmongering bs and show us such cool data sources. Thank you, Tamitha ❤

[@Moonbunny55]

Oh, you mean like micronova s and pole flips where most of humanity is annihilated? That fear mongering? 😂

[@TamithaSkov]

@@Moonbunny55 Yes, exactly.

[@TamithaSkov]

Thanks for saying so! I was worried I came off a bit too intense, but everyone has been saying it was quite appropriate. Glad you enjoyed seeing the data sources. We really do have some great resources in heliophysics that are far too underutilized!

[@kee-rah]

@@TamithaSkov Oh no it wasnt. Even if it might seem so for some, it was so sincere and for really important reason. Common sense is quite a treasure nowadays

[@SacredOwl]

That is why I only listen to Dr. Skov for the most part. The only thing she doesn't fully understand is the health effects of space weather and the fact it is the primary trigger mechanism for most medical episodes and diseases, but she is not in the medical field either.

[@catherineleslie-faye4302]

Thank you for showing the stealthy solar storms.

[@metalhalokj7vzy164]

Wow I missed the live show so I just watched the replay, very good information about todays solar flares and such, I enjoyed your presentation very much Dr. Tamitha Skov thank you very much😎

[@pjdave66]

X class right after this pod cast

[@american_patriot6218]

love to see you debate Ben Davidson

[@TamithaSkov]

Thank you, but I would respectfully decline.

[@spocksdaughter9641]

Yes murder no matter how gentle is a sin​@@TamithaSkov

[@SacredOwl]

Ben doesn't know what a stealth CME is; just one of many things important to know, especially if he is going to claim that lower red aurora is another sign of a coming pole flip or his earth crust displacement doomsday prediction. Also, as a professional photographer for over 24 years, Dr. Skov is absolutely correct about capturing more color with digital and these new phones. There is a lot that adds up to understanding space weather, this is also true when many believe in false axioms that can add up to doomsday making sense.

[@richoffman6226]

Thank you for the sanity check. I have a laymans knowledge about space weather. I all ways try to finding your indepth space weather updates. As a large system communications design draftsman back in the 80's. I like your inclusion of space weather impact on large area communications systems. Public Safety wide area system interruptions are of deep concern for all of us. The robustness of our current communication infrastructure is another of my concerns. I need to take your space weather program. I'm 64 years old and thirst for knowledge in the space weather discipline. Again your attention to detail, and awareness of your audience is why I come here. Thank you Dr. Skov I truly value your detailed analysis of the space weather we encounter from our sun.

[@TamithaSkov]

I am pleased to hear you find my forecasts so informative! Especially considering your expertise, that is a real compliment. By the way, you are also able to take my Millersville classes at a much discounted rate because of your advanced years. (Getting older does have its perks!) Please feel free to contact me at (Tamitha dot Skov at Millersville dot edu) if you'd like to know more about the SWEN program.

[@sjpp71]

Great explanation, specially from around 56:00 to 1h16. Thanks heaps Dr Skov!

[@TamithaSkov]

You're so welcome! Glad my explanations make sense!

[@HollyLewallen-Smith]

Thank you for taking the time to make these videos and sharing it with the World Wide Web. 🌞🌎🌏🌍💫

[@ravenkeefer3143]

Always great to hear from you Tamitha. X1.6 at 1030pm EDT. Going to be interesting year with Aurora so far south with minimal solar activity. Know that I shouldn't, but looking forward to seeing more in NC this year. Mahe Ohna ✌️ Favour ALL

[@petragallert9198]

How do you know? How do you measure it? And How do you know what it is you are measuring? Dr Skov, thank you for this brilliant encapsulation. I'm a retired teacher -and I wish I could've pointed my USAFA and USMA cadets to your work.

[@TamithaSkov]

Wow. That means a lot coming from a retired teacher at the USAFA and USMA. Thank you. I have a friend who teaches at USMA West Point, and she is simply brilliant.

[@user-fg5we5bk3h]

Thanks for the update and all you do

[@JayN4GO]

Thank you tamitha.

[@medimoneim9717]

Good night and thank you ❤

[@medimoneim9717]

My question has been answered .Thank you ❤

[@TamithaSkov]

Youre so welcome!

[@Chris_KS5KY]

When you went through the annual Kp indices and made the comments you made, in the tone you did, it brought to mind that we have never had more access to information, as you also stated, and it seems we are more ignorant for it in some capacities. Instead of questioning things that seem unbelievable, we've been told what to think and never question what we've been told. I prefer to know how to think, not what to think or believe. Thank you for your passion and sharing your knowledge and time.

[@TamithaSkov]

This comment made my day! I was concerned that my tone was a little too straight-forward and uncompromising compared to my typical delivery, but your response lets me know it was appropriate given the context. Much appreciated. I agree with you that our modern era has spoon-fed us so much information that we have lulled ourselves into a sense of complacency. Critical thinking has become an option but not a requirement these days.

[@VE6XTC]

You're like me. We ought to weigh the data and decide for ourselves what's true.

[@Chris_KS5KY]

@VE6XTC I figured I would get put on blast for that comment, so I appreciate you guys standing with me on it.

[@Chris_KS5KY]

@TamithaSkov Sometimes, we have to be steadfast and make sure the truth is told. I appreciate your dedication to the field and willing to grit your teeth and take the lead.

[@jemdeweare6432]

Just great , amazing explaned

[@OneOfAMineRocks]

LuV Yer Compassion Doc...just got a new Patron!❤

[@TamithaSkov]

Aww! Thanks so much and welcome to the family! You will find a lot more dialogue happens in the community there.

[@alanreader4815]

Hello Tamitha Just watching the replay. 9:06am Friday

[@VE6XTC]

Thanks again for a fascinating podcast! I'm always learning new things. I'm also glad that you mentioned cycle 19 and 20. Earth survived those two and they gave us HF users so much enjoyment. So I hope we get a G5 this cycle and that it's compatible with earth's magnetic field. I haven't seen a good aurora since 2015.

[@gerartsmith]

👍missed your original broadcast but after hearing things about the sun ☀️ I felt I needed to know what you had to say. 🙏

[@deborahsayles4896]

Good analogy with the bangs! 😂 Brought a smile to my face.

[@TamithaSkov]

Oh good! Sometimes the analogies come to me in the moment. They are often silly, but I run with them anyway! Glad to know it helped!

[@medimoneim9717]

All good ❤

[@davewarri8497]

Systems 5 by 5 👍

[@user-fg5we5bk3h]

Yesterday was really bad for solar storms and magnetic storms

[@TamithaSkov]

True, but more for forecasting than in the actual impacts. However, we are in the solar maximum phase now so storms and flares will continue to be the norm for several years yet.

[@deborahsayles4896]

Thank you for laying my fears to rest. I was all up into Suspicious Observers until I found you. Pretty sure you know what I mean.😢

[@morningdew2594]

I thought he talked about the pole shift. Not sure about its threat with global snap-back since I don't fully understand. He does sun activity as well.

[@Angel-4God]

Science is possible through the creator giving us the brain capacity to try and understand the physics. However we must not loose sight of the creator. Humans are doing things that they don't know the outcomes. No one knows the time or the day God will regain control of this creation, but their will be signs. 😉We must remain Awake and aware. Eyes to the skies. Stay vigilant. No fear just love and prayers for all souls.🙏❤

[@spocksdaughter9641]

His history explains a lot. In the begining there were several in early and I followed them all. Big Egos selling fear is a major part of any content makers. It is a little harder to sort out the science tighter interest types. Just depends on your couisoity. Welcome

[@Vmm069]

Love your knowledge and excitement! How do these flares and corona things affect the weather on Earth, if any, other than the Northern lights?

[@richoffman6226]

Hi All

[@TeslaTales59]

TS: I've never seen you so serious! Great presentation as always.

[@TamithaSkov]

Yeah, I know. But Ive just seen so much of this fearmongering lately and so many truly frightened people. I even gave an invited talk about this very thing two weeks ago at the NOAA/SWPC Space Weather Workshop. It has become a real issue for us scientists and communicators in the field.

[@nealbeach4947]

So much for HF. The bands haven't been very good lately.

[@petragallert9198]

Thank you--from someone who lives in a place that scared people with money are migrating to, because of "survival" concerns. Problem is, the Colorado high desert is a hard place to make a living, if you're non-human. Delicate ecosystem, where humans just think they have precedence.

[@TamithaSkov]

Wow. I hadnt even thought of that impact. Thank you for your insight and perspective. I hope my continued advocacy for sanity and calm helps even a little bit!

[@spocksdaughter9641]

Wow excellent point. I am from the Boise Valley- recorded history of some of the best climate and richest farm ground in the states when water was channeled early 1900s. NowTotally covered with housing built on big cash sales of homes in Calif. I agree Totally the ones planing to grow their own food have animals they know nothing about but a dream never wked to nature's time table hard as hell IF they knew what it takes SCARE me. They will get angrier and anger be very scary neighbours when down on their luck eventually! Two grandparent families settled early Colo me now in UK. Soil near useless but climate wonderful if one is from the desert. All old skills lost here too. Bty (joke) don't 'key their cars' or yell Karen...Grin been gone a long time.

[@helenloughrey7660]

Appreciate debunking the magnetic excursion = magnetic field collapse & polar flip, believe me, but explain more please? What about Einstein discussing the crust rotation of 90 degrees, the geologic evidence of a 12,000 year cataclysm cycle, the galactic current sheet inducing star nova-like events? How is excursion measured, what is the situation measurement right now? Are you saying the excursion pattern does not necessarily indicate an end of cycle polar flip timing, or are you saying the cycle never even happened every 12,000 years? Thank you.

[@sharont1]

Book of Enoch chapter 72. luminaries of the heaven Knowing the law that does not change will allow you to understand what you believe to be changes. Mankind always want to know more that usually don't benefit long term causes. Speak Judah

[@medimoneim9717]

Do you anticipate stronger flares for the 4th onwards ?

[@TamithaSkov]

Region 3663 is definitely an issue right now and will be over the next few days at least!

[@prepperdan]

our power went out and came back on instantly this morning around 8:30am eastern.. i wonder if it was due to the solar weather. the clocks did not reset but the wifi did it was that fast

[@VE6XTC]

It could be just a power blink. We get lots here in Alberta.

[@lanceowens5902]

I have a bad case of the rare from of lupus and I'm supposed to avoid the sun as much as possible an I checked my weather app to check the uv level earlier and it says 0 low does that seem correct after 2 CMEs

[@spocksdaughter9641]

Good guestion

[@nandtc1]

I get migraines with solar flares and storms. Any research on that

[@TheAkasha2012]

I’d love to know if there’s any research on sleep/energy levels in conjunction with flares/storms etc.

[@spocksdaughter9641]

Hi many of us are also interested but as far as I know imited coordination. Could you possibly organize or suggest a way folks could collaborate? I'm in a hurry currently but know of a free cell/mob health app that possible others could use to log their anecdotal experience. But matching the type of events similarly graphed to cross ref would take a lot of volunteering. Sadly I am personally limited to ideas and networking. There are those in this group collecting pub papers. The window of interest is Now due to activity. So I agree right now it would be the best time to gather even unscientific comments to learn what can be decerned. I will go get or will soon try to get a link of the app. And post here. App is not a for profit scam advert thing provided by legendary mushroom Good guy a 'Boomer' in WA I think. Not used as I wear body bio feed back monitors. It seemed more for folks seeing the benifits of consuming the popular powdered mushroom drinks for well being that is a run away fad.​@@TheAkasha2012

[@spocksdaughter9641]

​@@TheAkasha2012no quick direct link...hunt 'Microtracker' app 1.0.7 (15) seems easy daily ck in self report rate log a scale 1-4 covers Sleep..moods..clarity..focus..creativity..motivation..energy..adaptability..etc and a note field. Paul Stamates sp??? Sorry crack of dawn where I am in UK this last KP 30 was tough for me. Best wishes pass it forward...spocksdaughter

[@davemiller6055]

I get headaches but not migraines.

[@amandadonegan2137]

Yes use Springer to find it.

[@ironfistdave8571]

I use to do construction in Death Valley when it was over 120 and we had to eat salt pills and this was fifty years ago so the sun being hot is nothing new

[@RichaRat]

I worked in a paper mill in South Louisiana in 1980. There was a salt pill dispenser by every water fountain.

[@SethBrewer-pk6gp]

NASA shield powergrids

[@ramshacklefarm9957]

Could the problem solar storms be because of us entering a grand solar minimum in about 5 years?

[@TamithaSkov]

Actually, we are exiting a grand solar minimum. Cycles 23, and 24 were in the deepest part of it. Cycle 25 is larger than 24, which is indicating we are climbing back out. The questions remains whether we are on a climb towards another grand maximum or not.

[@spocksdaughter9641]

WOW totally had my understanding of this incorrect. New questions to know eventually. ​@@TamithaSkov

[@charlesbrightman4237]

MASS EXTINCTION EVENTS OR NOT: (A plan that works either way): While we did not come from a Garden of Eden, it is wise to plant Gardens of Edens wherever and whenever we can. a. Mass Extinction Event: Having many Gardens of Edens with trees, shrubs and vegetation as food for insects, birds, small and large critters including humans, and even aquatic species where one can. At least one Garden of Eden might survive out of many. The odds would be increased that at least 1 single species, and probably more, would survive. b. No Mass Extinction Event: Having many Gardens of Edens with trees, shrubs and vegetation as food for insect, birds, small and large critters including humans, and even aquatic species where one can. The odds would be that many species might survive and flourish. Either way, plant Gardens of Edens wherever and whenever we can as food for species and have water where one is able to. A plan for the ages.

[@SethBrewer-pk6gp]

NASA shield satellites

[@anthonycoffee7683]

I watch you and the kooks. The difference is that I don’t trust the kooks, just listen to what they have to say and watch to see them proven wrong. 😂

[@TamithaSkov]

LOL. At least you have a light-hearted approach. We can all learn something from that!

[@costaverde5945]

Wow the Moon is ........que guapa es esta mujer

[@SacredOwl]

I know you don't like attorneys, but you should not be so hard on Ben.

[@TamithaSkov]

I mentioned no names, nor did I single out any one person, specifically. There are a lot of people on YT who fearmonger for their own benefit.

[@SacredOwl]

@TamithaSkov I know, was just trying to be funny. Haha. You always stay professional which I appreciate. Even if others get things wrong, eventually people seek the truth.

[@suthunrath1220]

🤔Wonder what happens to 3,666😬

[@TamithaSkov]

Its getting busy too! It may follow suit after region 3663.

[@suthunrath1220]

@@TamithaSkov your so awesome 🤣😁👍🏼