SNP could face humiliation at the hands of Labour | Sir John Curtice analysis

[@seantaylor9758]

I wonder who they ask as I've never been polled or anyone else I know.

[@FrenchTheLlamas]

Old people with landlines, I used to know someone who it was their job to conduct polls in a big depressing call centre.

[@paddymeboy]

It's always a pleasure to listen to John Curtice. A rare case of somebody who really knows what he's talking about.

[@jandavies4400]

Even he can be wrong sometimes

[@paddymeboy]

@@jandavies4400 Well, he's usually pretty careful in the conclusions he draws. He's not wrong just because you hope he is!

[@jandavies4400]

@@paddymeboy never said either way I was just saying he could be wrong. God you lefties either way we’ll see won’t we? I’ll vote my way. You can vote your way marvellous isn’t it? Democracy

[@oneoflokis]

Does he now.. 😏

[@royw-g3120]

Lib dems used to have a dozen seats in Scotland when Charles Kennedy was in charge. Something like that might happen.

[@julianshepherd2038]

When the libdems deposed Charlie they also moved to the economic right, e.g. selling off the Royal Mail. Scotland didn't so Libdems lost most of the Highlands.

[@royw-g3120]

@@julianshepherd2038 good point. But Scots do need to remember why they have free social care and uni unlike the rest of us. (Think that is still the case- happy to be corrected).

[@julianshepherd2038]

​@@royw-g3120you get HS2, we have a single track railway from Perth to inverness, some of the v expensive cancer medicines are not available here and we still send a lot more money ey south that doesn't come back.

[@therealrobertbirchall]

​@julianshepherd2038 If the SNP had done what it says on the tin, the British parties wouldn't have a seat in our real parliament. Labour will level Scotland down, and we only have ourselves to blame for voting for the SNP for 15 years while letting them keep us in a failed union.

[@uingaeoc3905]

@@julianshepherd2038 Utter twaddle. The distribution of medicines is entirely in the hands of the Holyrood government. HS2 is a waste of m oney but local transport isalso a devolved matter. The Scots send NO money 'south' ie to Whitehall at all.

[@georgeoneill6942]

Last poll I noticed had Labour and SNP both on 36%, This was before Dougie's expense claim.

[@neilarnott4895]

Which has been thrown out! Unlike Matheson’s

[@PaulFulton-o9u]

It’s now labour on 30% SNP on 37% SNP on 35 seats

[@mrdunns3338]

@@PaulFulton-o9u In your dreams. The snp will get thrashed but as usual, they'll claim that holding seats running into double figures is a mandate for another referendumb. Pathetic.

[@lincolnrichford3617]

THis interview with John Curtice is not recent.

[@PaulFulton-o9u]

@@lincolnrichford3617 thanks for letting me know 👍

[@keithbuckley3220]

Scotland has a wonderful chance of getting a coalition government which will have to consider all Scottish people, not just a few

[@susangemmell9401]

Coalitions just water down their policies, take forever to reach agreement amongst themselves and generally get very little done to any positive effect.

[@drstrangelove4998]

Sir John, is always worth watching…

[@richardscullion9381]

well if you allow corrupt practices at the top of the organisation you deserve to be booted out

[@lincolnrichford3617]

As the Tories will be but only to be replaced by another corrupt party in Labour. You have obviously swallowed the anti SNP propaganda

[@moldyolddough1]

And be replaced by another party which is at least as equally corrupt?

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

how come Rishi is still there ?

[@Hamish2016]

​@moldyolddough1 so that makes it alright....SNP CORRUPT TO THE CORE

[@andrewberry6194]

PS Scotland and the Scots are wonderful!

[@ganndeber1621]

lol yeah sure they are, English hating bigots.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

The Ipsos Mori Scotland polling data was very interesting indeed. Amazing how many undecided voters there are at this stage. Think it was 35% from memory.

[@alisdairmclean8605]

Bear in mind that it is plausible that many 'don' knows' are 'won't say(s)'.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

@@alisdairmclean8605 As John said, there is very little polling data from Scotland. Ipsos Mori have an Edinburgh office and do Scotland only polling, but not very regularly. I tend to follow them for this reason. Most of the other polling you see is mostly conducted in England, with a tiny sample from Scotland.

[@Gary-le7dz]

The dont knows is misleading as many of them arr not don’t knows but are just in the won’t vote carergory

[@samturner8028]

Given that Gen Election turnout is around 65-70% then it's not unreasonable to expect most of the undecided not to vote.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

@@samturner8028 That’s a whole different category as far as polling is concerned.

[@pauls3204]

Voter apathy is the only thing that will assist Starmers WEF branch SNP voters may not vote for them but they won’t change to labour

[@FranzBieberkopf]

Sir John points out not many polls in Scotland. Maybe wait and see till there's some more before making predictions?

[@Jesus420.69]

haha don't shoot the messenger. game over for the nats

[@johnmartin7158]

Do you think Sur John is wrong. It does seem to me like a wipe out.

[@esioanniannaho5939]

Nah I think that Kid Starver has alienated the majority of non Tory voters. There is no reason to lend the vote to get rid of the ToeRags thus SNP will hang on to the majority of their seats.

[@clearspira]

Not many does not mean none.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

@@johnmartin7158 What he means is that most of the polls you see are over 90% English voters, with a tiny sample from Scotland. Usually less than 100. Ipsos Mori does Scotland only polling from its Edinburgh office, but not very regularly. The Ipsos poll out last week had an enormous 35% undecided, with Labour and SNP neck and neck. Tories on 13%, Reform on 3%. First time Reform has been mentioned.

[@solitarianihilista1454]

A low turn out from a thoroughly disillusioned electorate introduces another complicating factor that makes predictions even more tricky and unreliable than usual, especially in marginal seats. There could be all kinds of shocks on polling night for everybody.

[@jandavies4400]

Totally agree with your assessment. I think the two main parties are going to have a shock in the UK and in Scotland.

[@jondarbyshire-s7k]

@@jandavies4400 Agree, expect Labour to lose seats in urban areas.

[@borjastick]

No idea why SNP and Plaid are included in any of the national debate on this election, they are minority and regional parties with an interest so narrow that makes them totally irrelevant on the national stage.

[@John-e5k9x]

These parties are looking for independence for their nations. So, they are extremely important to people that support that point of few. The British record for the past 70 years is not a good one, going from one crisis to another. The welfare state has been dismantled and you are now on your own to navigate an uncertain future.

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

oh dear....the essence of why we want independence....in a nutshell, from an ignorant little englander

[@andrewwmacfadyen6958]

You may not have noticed but SNP had a large number of seats in Westminster, some or many of those are likely to go Labour but none to any of the other parties. Conservatives in Scotland are likely to become extinct and Farrage is hated in School

[@John-e5k9x]

@@andrewwmacfadyen6958 The SNP and the other Scottish MP’s have very limited power at Westminster. The SNP are there to protect Scottish interests in Westminster. The Labour, Conservatives and Liberals take their instructions from London and the power resides there. We await anxiously to see what Starmer’s labour will do! The Scottish electorate know the difference between a Holyrood and Westminster election. We will see if this constant media message will make a difference. Scotland can only try and make the best of a powerless situation. As Westminster and Starmer, show no signs of compromise or compassion.

[@John-e5k9x]

The SNP and the other Scottish MP’s have very limited power at Westminster. The SNP are there to protect Scottish interests in Westminster. The Labour, Conservatives and Liberals take their instructions from London and the power resides there. We await anxiously to see what Starmer’s labour will do! The Scottish electorate know the difference between a Holyrood and Westminster election. We will see if this constant media message will make a difference. Scotland can only try and make the best of a powerless situation. As Westminster and Starmer, show no signs of compromise or compassion.

[@richardgregory3684]

Funny how the SNP stopped calling it a "de facto referendum", isn't it?

[@lindamcguigan5989]

That will be in 26

[@richardgregory3684]

@@lindamcguigan5989 Only if the polls are favourable to the SNP beforehand.

[@paulsaunders6536]

@@lindamcguigan5989 They’ve been telling you that since 2014. Maybe in another 10 years the penny will finally drop. These days the only time that the SNP mentions Indy is when they want your money or your vote. Haven’t you figured it out yet? You’re being conned…😂

[@paulsaunders6536]

ANY independence negotiations with the UK government after an SNP victory in a General Election "should involve Scotland having a referendum", the First Minister has said. The SNP leader's comments, which came as he was interviewed by Nick Robinson on a BBC Panorama special, appear to represent a rowing back on the position adopted by the party under previous leader Humza Yousaf. During Yousaf's time in charge, the SNP passed a motion at conference saying that, should they win the majority of Scottish seats at Westminster, the SNP government would be "empowered to begin immediate negotiations with the UK Government to give democratic effect to Scotland becoming an independent country". However, Swinney has only said the negotiations should lead to a referendum - not independence itself. Speaking to the BBC, he said: "What we're saying is that if people vote for the Scottish National Party, and we win a majority of seats in this election, that will trigger a process of negotiation with the United Kingdom government to bring about Scottish independence, and to enable people to have that choice." However, asked if that meant "Nicola Sturgeon was right" to say that the SNP would treat the next election as a de facto referendum, Swinney said: "What our position is, if we win a majority of seats, there will then be a process of negotiation with the United Kingdom government to give what we set out and will set out in our manifesto, democratic effect to the rights of the people of Scotland to be independent. Looks like no de facto referendum to me… keeping’s SNP snouts in the trough is the objective, not Indy.

[@user-gu1un7pb7k]

To be fair that was Humza Yousaf's idea who was an absolute disaster. I doubt many in the party supported it at the time

[@colinmacfarlane6838]

Bring back humza yousaf then the snp will have no seats 😅

[@azillliasmith2734]

Or Scotland will have no white people....... as in his opinion there are are too many white people in Scotland.....

[@alanfrost4661]

What a failure he was

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

@@alanfrost4661 but nothing like the failures of Boris the liar, Lizz Truss and Rishi rich.......oh ...and Brexit

[@susangemmell9401]

Thought he'd moved to Gaza!!!

[@chriswinter6672]

And then some.

[@Colinmills-o9q]

Do not be complacent the election is not over until the votes are counted. Do not stay at home thinking it's a done deal get out and vote.

[@nevillemason6791]

At the last Scottish Government election the SNP got 1,291,204 votes but 1,564,000 didn't bother to vote (turnout 63.5%). Complacency unfortunately is a feature of elections, slightly worse in Scotland than the last UK General Election (turnout 67.3%). Every vote counts.

[@Frederick-in2rz]

Comming from QLD, I can say that any political entity that uses a Name like National, or Patriotic term always turns out bad, corrupt or at least a dissapointment to the people they say they represent.

[@therealrobertbirchall]

True the SNP have really let Scotland down by not shredding the voluntary treaty of union with England long ago.

[@lindamcguigan5989]

That's a lie. British nationalism is fine, but Scotland independent nationalism is wrong

[@philipmarsden7104]

@@therealrobertbirchall Things could have been so different had Salmond used his brain in 2014. Had he chosen 1 Haggis= 100 MacHaggises rather than saying ''we want oor poond'' as the currency, people might have taken him and independence more seriously.

[@therealrobertbirchall]

@philipmarsden7104 All Salmond had to do was explain Modern Money Therory and say we establish a national bank like the Bank of England and do as the BoE does and create fiat currency to lend to ourselves. That would have settled the 'national debt' con and probably given the English electorate a shock, as well as exposing the money lie.

[@therealrobertbirchall]

@lindamcguigan5989 Scotland is an independent nation with a trade and political treaty with England. We need to secede from the union is all simples.

[@JamesBarber-p7b]

The latest poll in scotland showed the Labour led as dropped by 5% thd SNP as gone up by 1% and and concervatives vote ad gone up by 1% as well but fof some reason yiu never report when thd concervatives go up in the polls

[@struancochrane753]

A general election carries a different weight in Scotland as they have a devolved parliament too. I feel the SNP will fare better in the general election than they will in the Holyrood elections. The protest vote element holds up in Westminster, where people may feel the SNP gives them better representation, where in a Holyrood election the SNP's record in government will be under closer scrutiny, and I think they will be found wanting. It is worth remembering that a lot of issues that people face day to day are devolved so a change in Westminster policy may not have the same effect in Scotland.

[@Bl0ckHe1d]

I’m from Scotland and will NOT be voting labour or tories or libdem…

[@ganndeber1621]

oh your a bigot

[@Boghopper9999]

Just out of curiosity, what are the primary considerations when it comes to a party courting your vote?

[@ganndeber1621]

Ahh an English hater

[@Bl0ckHe1d]

@@ganndeber1621 why do idiots like you automatically come up with the diatribe “ahh English hater” when someone from Scotland say their aren’t voting for a certain party or parties?

[@Bl0ckHe1d]

@@Boghopper9999 flushing out the deadwood within parliament including those in the civil services, abolishing career politicians and ensuring no one spends more than four years in parliament as an MP! If Carlsberg do voting 🙄

[@68tonyn]

Well it Certainly isn't Labour anymore !!

[@andrewwmacfadyen6958]

Labour will gain a lot of seats in Scotland but to some extent the tise of Farrage will push a lot of Scotland back towards SNP. Voter sentiment in Scotland against Farrage cannot be underestimated.

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

why would anyone in Scotland vote for a party that says that voters in Scotland should not be PERMITTED to choose Scotlands future

[@Boghopper9999]

​@@edwarddonnelly-l7b because Independence might not be the key motivator for many voters (just like Brexit no longer is in England). Just a theory.

[@chazwyman]

Nah. Farage has nothing to offer and no influence on Scottish affairs

[@fitzstv8506]

@@Boghopper9999 The vast vast majority of votes for the SNP come from people whose key motivation in voting for them is Scottish independence...this is not a theory!.

[@fitzstv8506]

@@chazwyman Farage has nothing to offer full stop.

[@JohnGallacher-g9o]

bye bye free prescriptions and education and you get a privatized n h s under labour mark my words

[@matthewbentley1236]

The party that created the NHS, and the party under which waiting times have fallen massively every time they're in power? Seems unlikely.

[@user-cu5gc4qz8p]

SNP really struggling, the centre of their support did not like the coallition with the greens and all it came with, the left of their support did not like the SNP eventually telling the greens they had lost the plot and to take a hike.

[@timmcgrath8742]

Exactly, and I don't see that support coming back anytime soon. The big question, is where that support goes. Libs? Labour? Reform?

[@New-ye2fl]

Most people that voted SNP had greens as there second 😂

[@2000bhoy]

@@New-ye2fl I did that.

[@MarjorieStoker-oj8fh]

They need to because its not for Scotland

[@stephenmorley3285]

Sir John Curtice, Shame he doesn't answer emails sent to him and now we can tell which way he leans politically. Like much of the MSM he is and will become more and more irrelevant. Why is it that pollsters never discuss publicly how many undecided voters there are in each poll?

[@kevinbrown5737]

Let's hope so

[@Theslavedrivers]

I'm loathe to doubt Curtice, but the SNP losing more than half of their seats?? - Can't see it.

[@vtechead1]

Can only hope so

[@johnrussell3961]

Scotland has to help labour get the Tories out. Being a voice of protest in a Tory Westminister has done nothing for Scotland,

[@davidrobertson9271]

Get REAL. We live in Edinburg, my daughter gets free university education. Cherry has need an excellent MP. SNP have consistently favoured EU. Fine, no more “fishy” Members but SNP get my vote.

[@ganndeber1621]

Got to hate the English haven't you

[@somthingbrutal]

the SNP still have my vote for Westminster, they still support rejoining the EU

[@ganndeber1621]

Then go and live in the EU

[@PurushaDesa]

@@ganndeber1621 That used to be quite easy.

[@ganndeber1621]

@@PurushaDesa it still is, off you go

[@PurushaDesa]

@@ganndeber1621So you’re admitting other countries have more lax immigration laws than us?

[@fitzstv8506]

@@ganndeber1621 Cant do that anymore because freedom of movement has been lost!.

[@GhostlyWhisper-vn9rr]

great

[@siv8976]

Labour, tories, and recently, SNP, have all been a disaster for Scotland………. I’ve got to laugh at all the cheerleaders, cheering for their chosen party, never holding them to account, but aiming at the opposition………bunch of clueless clowns.

[@des_smith7658]

And now Reform is kicking it

[@New-ye2fl]

And what are you doing you edgelord?

[@andrewelphick2304]

To be fair, it seems there were a number of Labour vs SNP marginal seats that fell to Labour on the night. There will always been a significant number of scots who seriously consider independence.

[@just-gaming213]

Doubtful

[@messi8921]

Scotland always votes left 😂 Wake up ffs

[@JohnGallacher-g9o]

they voted left when they got the right wing tony b liar now they might vote for right wing kid starver the blue labour party

[@vordman]

The Scottish people have a gift for self-delusion. Embodied by their football team if the other night is anything to go by!

[@jujutrini8412]

The Thatcher years put them off ever voting for the Tories. Reasonable decision.

[@messi8921]

@@jujutrini8412 what about the following 40 years? 😂

[@KnowYoutheDukeofArgyll1841]

​@@jujutrini8412 Well, we've had Labour, then SNP up here during Devolution. Neither lived up to their expectations in the end. And both supposedly left wing parties. Just need slimy Harvie to be FM next, that'll be a barrel of (tragic) laughs.

[@j.johnson3520]

I think, to be long term successfull, it would be a good idea for TR to have a Welsh, Scottish, NI and England varied broadcasting base. It requires more work, but isn't that what the job's about?

[@maltesetony9030]

John Curtice walks on water. Wish HE was running the gaff!

[@davecross4493]

Anyone who is in politics would disappoint you when they get to be in charge I'm afraid. Just the nature of getting there.

[@maltesetony9030]

@@davecross4493 I was joking, you plonker.

[@Mounhas]

The SNP have some of the best MP’s in the Houses of Parliament. I’d vote for them were I in Scotland.

[@nomoreheroes93]

Finally, looking forward to seeing the back of the scexit party

[@fitzstv8506]

Someday you will be looking back at scexit!.

[@ianinkster2261]

Now the only difference between SNP and Labour is Labour want to keep the kingdom on one piece, but will still find a way to empower separatists in the long term anyway.

[@2000bhoy]

Now the only difference between Labour and the Tories is..............errrmmm.

[@hiwattman]

Pish. Indy supporter won't flock to unionist parties in any numbers

[@bespokefencing]

True, that's because they're taken in by the cult. Unionists will hold the South as usual.😂

[@paddymeboy]

Die-hards no, but not everybody is as obsessed with independence (and cats) as you are. 10 years ago people thought the Nats were the future. Now they're already a busted flush.

[@carelgoodheir692]

@@paddymeboy The SNP has beern a busted flush more than once before but has recreated itself successfully each time. The near 50% who see indy as the better option will see to that in future too IMO. To stick to your your metaphor, the cards keep getting dealt again. It would only take the coming Labour government to start to feel iike a disappointment for independence to loom large again - and the SNP will for the forseeable future be the main party of independence.

[@Boghopper9999]

Is Independence the primary consideration for most voters in Scotland? Assume much of the historic SNP support was down to the perceived competence of Sturgeon, but now that those days are behind us, do you think the SNP still has the same support?

[@markwilkie3677]

@@Boghopper9999 Given that polls are showing that half of Scots support independence, I doubt that Labour will win 30 seats.

[@NogHenson]

It’s election time : dig up and wheel out the fossils !!!😂😂😂😂

[@annepoitrineau5650]

In this instance, I do not think Sir John is correct.

[@jamesmonkey5314]

He's only going by the polls. But you are right they could be wrong only time will tell.

[@davecross4493]

What do you think he is wrong about?

[@annepoitrineau5650]

@@davecross4493 I do not think the SNP will be down to 32% and come second after labour. At the moment, Scotland is cross with the SNP, but they are also very cross with labour (brexit as well as no independence). I think the big winners will be the greens and Libdems. Tories can book a long holiday starting July 5th.

[@beachcomber1able]

Curtice is a Unionist.

[@ganndeber1621]

@@annepoitrineau5650 There is no independence because the Scottish people voted against it

[@alanconway94]

Every Times Radio title is clickbait. Check them all out. 😂😂

[@shaun906]

its a right wing organisation, linked to Murdoch!

[@martinanderson4721]

The presenter could have welcomed Sir John. CNN would have.

[@shonagiffen4913]

I hope Labour get back in the SNP have let Scotland down badly !

[@fitzstv8506]

The UK has let Scotland down far worse than any political party could ever do.

[@andrewmaccallum2367]

Roll on independence! Saor Alba

[@xxxxxxxxxxhardy]

Must we have the irritating "preview" even on brief clips like these?

[@KizzyKismet1]

Union Scotland v's Scotland freedom! Imperial masters goodbye! :)

[@rogerwilco6377]

I wouldn't give courtess house room another talking head I would be more inclined tae say starmer an the tories are in more trouble.. go SNP

[@ganndeber1621]

Got to hate the English haven't you

[@margaretwyatt6689]

Nor me.

[@alanabroad3471]

Nigel said he's not expecting many votes here in Scotland. I think he might be surprised.

[@andrewwmacfadyen6958]

Farrage was run out of Scotland a few years back by Glasgow Uni students, he didn't realise how much he is actually hated in Scotland, he hasn't been back since

[@2000bhoy]

Doubt it!

[@ianmccuaig9867]

Don’t think labour will do very well well they are tories and maybe worse if the get in government you can kiss all the benefits we have goodbye

[@WVislandia]

Doubt it.

[@julianshepherd2038]

Mibees aye Mibees naw

[@markwilkie3677]

Exactly Julian.

[@des_smith7658]

Nonsense talk

[@sheilaroddick5853]

It appears the word "Socialist" is a swear word in this so called Labour Party.Wouldn't vote for them if they held a gun to my head.

[@margaretwyatt6689]

Precriptions are not free the tax payer pay for them NHS more or less private now cant get to see a GP when you need one etc.

[@Glasgow_kiss]

polls are not seats. they are overall estimates of votes

[@PixelRatedGames]

hang on - is this right? seriously?! why on earth isn't this front page news?!

[@paddymeboy]

But you can translate them into seats fairly easily.

[@carelgoodheir692]

@@paddymeboy With a margin of error: and when the proportion of "don't knows" and "might not votes" is high that margin is high. As well as which Scotland is not being as extensively polled as England this time round.

[@alanfrost4661]

SNP and TORIES fantastic news make it happen

[@garemacquarrie6705]

And on the other hand the SNP may not lose.we want out Westminster control and labour won't allow that.

[@ArtyFactual_Intelligence]

Labour will progress slowly to more regional and national devolution.

[@fitzstv8506]

@@ArtyFactual_Intelligence Maybe they will but the SNP want nothing short of full independence for Scotland.

[@2000bhoy]

@@ArtyFactual_Intelligence Not enough.

[@pipoo1]

The clue was when last year a party that holds 48 seats set their election target as 29 seats at the party conference. The deluded faithful couldn't see the symbolism in spinning a serious reverse as a triumph. 😅

[@BinanceUSD]

You get the government you deserve

[@gdutfulkbhh7537]

Nobody deserves the SNP. Even if they go temporarily bonkers!

[@hosephanerothe1440]

No one deserved SNP AND the Greens , it never rains, it pours !

[@azillliasmith2734]

@@gdutfulkbhh7537I agree it not the fault of the Scottish people they have been treated disgracefully by their govt who have been unable to accept responsibility for their truly idiotic decisions and blame Westminster for everything....

[@TC8787-yq7og]

@@hosephanerothe1440 the greens have never been in power

[@paddymeboy]

Yeah, that's only true if parties are honest about what they'll do if elected. The SNP have not been.

[@soton5teve]

Remainer tories should vote Lib Dem 🔶️ because brexiteer tories are voting reform. Vote Lib Dem 🔶️ because labour are not left enough & only Lib Dem can be the opposition. And get rid of the house of lords.

[@1ForTheShieldz]

Reform voter here.. former brexit support. 100% with you ❤ *ps labour are practically wearing burka in parliament... ou say they srnt extremist enough. That does scare me.

[@bloopynoose12452]

No thanks, tried that in 2010 and they threw their lot in with the Tories and kicked off the 14 years of chaos, I was also 19 at the time and was about to go to university, you can see why I despise and distrust that party. Labour for me thank you.

[@geoffpegler4506]

​@@bloopynoose12452👍

[@julianshepherd2038]

Libdems are pro brexit now. Need to vote snp or green to back in to the EU

[@RJD2838]

@@julianshepherd2038 lid dems have openly said they want to rejoin the EU how are they pro brexit

[@Scitch-et4vk]

Reform have my vote

[@barrysteven5964]

Well, if it splits the Tory vote then that’s a good thing. But if you are genuinely believing anything Farage says then I must question your judgement. He offered unicorns before and he’s offering the same again. He’s also got more cuts and austerity in his sights than even the Tories would dare go for, he’s a fan of Truss economics and everything he offers is designed to make his friends richer and you poorer. But he keeps offering people a bag of their favourite sweets and people keep coming back for them long after they should have realised his sweet bag is actually empty.

[@silondon9010]

​@@barrysteven5964Free movement from the European Union was a wetdream for big business and the oil for the gig economy,

[@fitzstv8506]

Enjoying wasting you vote do you?.

[@microfarming8583]

Vote *REFORM* 🇬🇧🚀💥💪🏾

[@fitzstv8506]

Reform are just a septic pimple on the extremity of Scottish politics.

[@2000bhoy]

Why?

[@isabelstokes4042]

Fascists!

[@microfarming8583]

@isabelstokes4042 If you actually understood the meaning of the word you'd realise its far more applicable to Labour and Conservatives

[@microfarming8583]

@@isabelstokes4042 Bet you took two jabs and the boosters😅

[@markjohnston7869]

The problem with John Curtice is that he has a bias against Parties that are not in the Westminster bubble and predominately English. I hope this just wind up the Scottish people to vote for the Scottish Party and thumb their noses at the English Parties.

[@gio-oz8gf]

Thanks for not calling him a guru. A genuine guru would never choose that wallpaper.

[@daydays12]

It is lovely wallpaper

[@johnmulligan912]

And the Glass beautiful.

[@robertmcdougall3166]

Why would Scotland vote for a total liar like Starmer? The Labour party's stance on Gaza sickens me to the very core.

[@julielyus399]

Have you got any evidence of this

[@2000bhoy]

@@julielyus399 🤮 There you go!

[@gerryclarke7702]

LABOUR IS NOT THE ANSWER

[@kevinkevin-ug9po]

This is an old broadcast, ive seen this before, recent poll have Labour less than the SNP.

[@shaun906]

3 days ago, but no other polls are out yet? tomorrow there will be though!

[@roblayton4311]

If you vote SNP do you get free wifi and a weekend away in a camper 😂

[@chriswinter6672]

Until you get found out.

[@2000bhoy]

No.🤡

[@jamesdunn8968]

We are all Voting Green in Norwich. In the Norfolk country side Greens are doing well❎❎❎

[@daydays12]

That's good news. Good for you in Norwich.

[@azillliasmith2734]

Not very green though are they hardly protecting the environment when they say they are going to welcome thousands more illegal incomers..... not prosecute them and will process them quickly so that can live here in our small county creating more strain on resources .....

[@gherkamum]

SNP have had some dodgy people....SNP will fail.

[@fitzstv8506]

You are a bit out of touch with Scottish sentiment and politics!.

[@eddakendrick445]

The Scottish people should vote REFORM INSTEAD OF LABOUR IF YOU DO NOT WANT ISLAM RULING YOU. STARMER GAVE IN TO THEM TO GET THEIR VOTES. THIS IS THE REALLITY. SO PLEASE THINK HARD. PLEASE VOTE REFORM. LET'S GET BRITAIN BACK TO NORMAL.

[@maryotoole7389]

Why would anyone vote for a party who is more right wing than the Tory’s

[@des_smith7658]

Who gives a toss about the snp

[@fitzstv8506]

I think you will find a very significant amount of people in Scotland do give a toss.

[@derekmiller6091]

I hope so, I really do…enough of the SNP nonsense

[@carelgoodheir692]

As long as the SNP is the main party standing for independence it will always recover from any setback. Indy still has the support of close to 50% of the population. Many of those who switch from SNP to Labour this time will not have changed their mind about independence and will return to the SNP if Labour disappoints.

[@azillliasmith2734]

⁠@@carelgoodheir692don't know where you get this from most Scots don't want independence..... they want good schools health care transport etc .....pouring more money down the toilet while neglecting bascics is not in the interest of Scotland .....the money that has to be paid back to the eu monetary fund should have been spent on our children on decent ferries on hospitals .......not hoarded by ego driven "leaders" for their personal dream....all those millions could have been spent on the "rest and thankful" making it safe for once and for all.....most of these "free Scotland" enthusiasts don't even live in Scotland.....

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

we have had enough of Westmonsters nonsense

[@edwarddonnelly-l7b]

@@carelgoodheir692 why would anyone in Scotland vote for Labour...they have nothing to offer Scotland

[@lindamcguigan5989]

And you voted for whom the Tories give your head a shake

[@johnsim3722]

The biggest challenge is the exclusion of voters with the photo ID requirements. How will that change voting? How low will the turnout be because of it? Disgusting for a country that doesn’t have ID cards. Boris to blame.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

Remember last year when the Tories got destroyed in the English council elections and Boris Johnson got turned away from voting because he had no ID.

[@dademags77]

If this happens we can say goodbye to free prescriptions, free education, child welfare payments, free bus travel for students, ALL the benefits we have from SNP policies will disappear and also any chance of us ever being independent. We will then, like Burns said, have been bought and sold by English gold’.

[@alansmith5340]

What you don't understand is that nothing is free .

[@dademags77]

@@alansmith5340 what did you pay for then out of that list?…….NOTHING….so it was free to you.

[@garshanon]

Could. Won’t.

[@uttaradit2]

he called the galloway by election wrong - biased broad caster

[@paulmorgan6269]

John appears to be sitting in a 1940's house ? Original doors. Is it his ??

[@jimmeltonbradley1497]

Its a Glasgow tenement apartment.

[@johnmorris2414]

And sitting in the hallway?

[@2000bhoy]

@@johnmorris2414 Yes.

[@2000bhoy]

1890-1910 most likely. Very similar to mine.

[@fitzstv8506]

The SNP will lose seats but not that many and anyone suggesting otherwise is not too familiar with Scottish politics and sentiment.

[@炖小瓶]

east renfrewshire seems to be a 3 way marginal

[@taekwanlew]

Ive never voted SNP but will do this election. Labour must be stopped in getting a foothold in Scottish politics again. A disgusting branch office that cares nothing for the people of Scotland

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

The weird thing is that 38% of Labour voters in Scotland support independence. Anas Sarwar hates this being pointed out. It has been the case for many years. He prefers to talk Scotland down, attack the public services and lie constantly.

[@taekwanlew]

@@gordonmackenzie4512 Absolutely.

[@2000bhoy]

So correct.

[@markwilkie3677]

The latest poll in Scotland shows SNP with a 7% lead over Labour, equating to 37 out of 57 seats.

[@charleslouden6600]

Keep taking the drugs

[@amcc5887]

If the Scottish people realy want independence they must vote Snp,there going to get no were with starmers Labour or the tories,vote snp people for ur independence,🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

[@JohnM...]

32 percent is STILL not low enough for everything these people have done to Scotland. We need ZERO percent.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

Name me one public service in England that is better than its counterpart in Scotland. I’ve just watched Nick Robinson savaging Rishi Sunak. He told Sunak that everything in England is broken, no reply, no defence. He told Sunak that the rivers and seas are full of sewage, no reply, no defence.

[@fitzstv8506]

Scotland is by far the most functional and united region of the UK!.

[@JohnM...]

@@fitzstv8506 yes - against the SNP, good point!

[@fitzstv8506]

@@JohnM... The SNP are and will remain the largest political party in Scotland and they will also post the election remain the largest political party representing Scotland in the House Of Commons so in essence all your derogatory comments towards the SNP are wasted. You are out of touch and commenting with emotion rather than logic.

[@JohnM...]

@@fitzstv8506 wrong. EVERYONE who can see it coming knows the SNP is going to suffer a huge defeat - and so they should. Entirely leaving emotion aside, why, UNDER THE SNP, has Scotland become the laughing stock of the education tables in Europe? Why does it pander to drug takers, giving the poor little things safe places to shoot up? Why, if you walk through ANY town (example Glasgow) have DOZENS of businesses closed (hint: they received ZERO Covid support)??? I could go on but if you have a brain you’ll soon realise, and if you’re an SNP stooge, then nothing I say will make any difference. Just wait for July 5th - you are in for a seriously nasty surprise! Ps. my comment was entirely without derision. Know what that means?

[@gladiatorprogramme]

I live in Scotland and it’s reform, reform, reform for me.

[@gordonmackenzie4512]

So you want Reform MPs from Scotland in Westminster. What advantages to the people of Scotland gain from that ?

[@timmcgrath8742]

@@gordonmackenzie4512 For a start it's not Labour, and unlike the SNP, Reform may actually do what they say they are going to do, unlike the SNP. To put it into context, I'm over fifty and have voted SNP all my life. Not this time, I'm voting Reform.

[@ArtyFactual_Intelligence]

What a pack o' lies.

[@ArtyFactual_Intelligence]

That's the English Nationalist / White Grievance Party for you, then ?

[@timmcgrath8742]

@@iberian5319 Yes, I am. That's the perks of living in a democracy. I make the decision of who I am going to vote for, not you :)

[@flabbybum9562]

There are lots of people who voted SNP last time round, who simply will never forgive the SNP for inflicting Humza on Scotland.

[@lindamcguigan5989]

The outcome was zilch zero. we moved on, not your racist trope and lies

[@fitzstv8506]

But most of them will continue to vote SNP because they ultimately want Scottish independence.

[@lindamcguigan5989]

@fitzstv8506 Yes, hopefully, because the future will be dire

[@Stiffytheenlightened]

It will almost certainly be the other way around. NOBODY wants Starmer (or Rayner).

[@BarryCampbell6822]

*Principal*

[@truckerfromreno]

SNP should be in jail.

[@jaybee4288]

SNP also abused power and need to go with the Tories

[@julianshepherd2038]

Just no. Tories broke many laws. Scottish government didn't. No PPE scandal, no private medical industry "support" and no corporate donors.

[@PaulFulton-o9u]

Latest poll has SNP on 37% Labour on 30% SNP getting 35 seats

[@williamingram4755]

Curtis is just a chancer.

[@oneoflokis]

SNP are a way better party than Labour...

[@DaleHanson-nw9yc]

Good news

[@Matthew-bu7fg]

come on Scotland, vote SNP. You don't want Labour.

[@ThomasBoyd-gx9wr]

Electoral calculus England London told the truth Labour party win 31 seat in Scotland UK general election in July 4th. Brilliant content. Spot on. Pleased that conservative party finished as British government.

[@1ForTheShieldz]

As long as we don't get those awful extremists from labour in! 😢

[@julianshepherd2038]

Yeah, what does this guy know, he lives in Scotland Glasgow and all knowledge lives in England.

[@Lindafoy11]

​@user-wj7cv9hb5j ONLY Extremists I know of (Apart the Farage Foghorn) are the RIGHT Wing Fascist Nutters in the Tory party.......

[@Dwina5892]

Yeah, cause these people are so reliable when it comes to looking after Scotland