特朗普遇刺對中港經濟的影響(莊太量）

[@jackyykk]

莊教授, 謝謝詳細分析和分享 🙏🏻🙏🏻🙏🏻

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

Welcome Jacky

[@wongsimon2387]

Thank you Professor.

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

Welcome Simon

[@coralpacific1942]

Thanks professor

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

Welcome Carol

[@pennyzispy3446]

教授推論前提係有組織的刺殺，個人偶發的行動則不同。

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

也有可能是staged,自編，個人偶發可能是有組織下的最優选項，而且兇手已死，所以資料都是傳媒說的。

[@pennyzispy3446]

@@profterencechongtheeconomi8391 而傳媒不見得都是支持共和黨的, 相反, 新聞自由傳媒自主更多是民主黨追求的價值。反而更可以是敵對的組織行動, 而非自編。

[@raymondcheung2775]

百幾米对一般人看能让子弹擦耳而过，已是很準的，因为那一刻，特朗普把头移向左边而让子弹打在他耳朵而非腦袋、这自编被刺的说法很難让人接受。😅

[@yinnungandylau1497]

自編又搞笑咗D, 要粒子彈係耳邊過, 城市獵人裏面嗰個冴羽獠才有呢個槍法🤣​@@profterencechongtheeconomi8391

[@Shamolx]

降息对股市or币圈是否利好呢教授

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

If other things dont change, lowering interest rate will benefit stock market, but not sure if it is good for crypto.

[@matthew6826]

Thanks Professor. There is a saying that “protectionism policies” enforced by Trump may boost supply driven inflation. Further, there will be potential fiscal deficit which has to be funded by monetary easing. As such, although we are stepping into a potential rate cut cycle, there is a high chance of re-inflation in medium term. Thus, the yield curve may steepen and room for lowering short rates is limited. Wondering if professor can share your views on this? Is this a valid logic flow? Very much appreciated. Matthew

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

This is under the assumption that US economy will not collapse. If it collapses, there will be deflation and interest rate much be cut to stimulate the economy. I see the chance of US steps into recession a high probability event with in 6 months.

[@matthew6826]

Thank you professor, very insightful! Thank you very much for your time. One follow-up question if I may - The US economy has been showing resilience (stronger than expected non farm payroll, solid GDP growth). The only indication should be unemployment rate which lately has been trending up. May I understand how to interpret the data ? Wondering what’s indicating a potential recession?

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

@@matthew6826 unemployment rate has been rising, last year July is 3.5 percent and now is 4.1 percent. Last 3 months unemployment has been rising nonstop. Commercial property market may also burst, as well as the all time high stock market, whose chance of burst is high.

[@matthew6826]

Thanks for your view Professor

[@edwardli3398]

對中港有否好大影響，股樓。Edward Li

[@profterencechongtheeconomi8391]

只要利息加快向下便有利香港