The Confirmation Bias

[@sprouts]

Help us make more people learn about mental biases: patreon.com/sprouts

[@battleframestudios8989]

"Familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth." That right there is the most important thing in this video. We see it everywhere nowadays. Everyone jumps on a bandwagon just because they've heard the same few phrases or sentiments uttered over and over and never questioned them. The way Daniel said it was so beautifully simple and easy to understand. I applaud him for that.

[@sprouts]

Yes!

[@thomasjamison2050]

The best word of caution there is as we are now in a situation where the recognized as free press is no longer a free press because it is owned by only a very few individuals who aren't afraid to push their personal biases on the public. The Nazi's did it and it can really be effective. .

[@gray12566]

I think it's more complicated then that. 😂

[@drachaksakcha]

I always knew confirmation bias was a thing and now this video proves it!

[@smitias_8474]

Underrated comment

[@mueezadam8438]

@Autochron gottem

[@AHighlandParaglider]

Ha!

[@alanbejarano4940]

I see what you did there

[@smitachavan6234]

good point

[@srijasarkar3382]

I'm a Psychology Masters student and I cannot thank this channel enough! LOVE IT ♥️

[@sprouts]

❤️

[@kirkury]

2,_4_ 6_ as a sequence is ambiguous. Detecting a specific pattern or sequence depends on what mathematical principle relates the first 3 numbers. It is intentionally undefined here, so each person applies their own interpretation.

[@sprouts]

Yes !!!

[@luamfernandez6031]

Yeah, it may be a repeated +2 or the sum of the antecedent numbers determining the next one.

[@truefilm6991]

@@luamfernandez6031 that is the best answer I found so far! I was searching for another rule besides +2 and you found it. If course we need to go about it: what rule is LIKELY being implied here, otherwise it could be an infinite number of rules, including: increasing by any amount, increasing by an even number, increasing by a whole number.... Anything that doesn't contradict this sequence if three numbers.

[@MICHAELIAKOVIDIS]

@@luamfernandez6031 or multiplying numbers and then subtracting 2. i.e. (2 x 4) - 2 = 6; (4 x 6) - 2 = 22

[@HandbrakeBiscuit]

@@sprouts The rule that defines the sequence may even be as simple as the next number is bigger than the current one. 2, 4, 6, 7, 112, 200, 309, 415... [Edit: tried to include a non-conforming number in strikethrough text, but the formatting wouldn't show up properly...]

[@Yui714]

Confirmation bias is less predominate in people who genuinely don't care either way. The more someone cares about a subject the more skeptical you should be about what they tell you. If someone cares a lot about an issue then you can bet that they've ignored opposition the whole time while allowing all support to build up their tower of ignorance higher. These are people with decades of tower building who don't even have the capacity to imagine what it's like to be on any other team and their likelihood of changing their mind is a strong 0%. They've grown old, their lives stable, their social circles locked in place, and changing what they think now is too radical and risky for their comfortable lives. It's also worth noting that a large undetermined percentage of the population has a wildly different approach to beliefs. Instead of using their own mental ability to form beliefs, they simply preserve energy by adopting whatever beliefs are most popular in their desired circles. These are the same kinds of people who fail to understand that having social approval for a belief isn't the same thing as that belief actually being true. They just lack the ability to process information so the best they can do is copy what other people think. To them, there is no difference between people thinking they are right and actually knowing the truth. This fault has led to popularized immorality throughout our history as a species.

[@charldutoit9994]

Your words are as insightful as the video itself.

[@j.m7555]

Very accurate, it seems to me that the average human could care less if they are being lied to, as long as the lie keeps them comfortable or gives them temporary satisfaction.

[@SnootchieBootchies27]

All true stuff. At least thats what my brain tells me... 😉

[@raefmitchell6161]

But you would be engaging your own confirmation bias if making generalised assertions about other's confirmation bias. E.g. it is not always true that anyone who cares deeply about a subject is necessarily ignoring opposing views or contradictory evidence. After all, it is possible to care about something deeply and acknowledge POV's different to your own.

[@javierborda8684]

@@raefmitchell6161 You're right. And I think caring is absolutely paramount. He says that confirmation bias predominates less in people who don't care either way. Maybe he means that since you must care about something, the highest form of care would be for the truth, which must be precisely linked to morality, which is what he condemns about those who vehemently care about keeping their own opinion. In that case he'd be right. Care must be placed somewhere though, or there would be no point on believing anything (nihilism). Care for truth regardless of what one might initially believe is the highest form of avoiding confirmation bias, and indeed takes incredible courage in many situations. Many academics for example suffer from this "indifference bias" and call themselves skeptics, but use it as an excuse to never look further. Truth requires deep care, even passion I would say.

[@prasastiaich9207]

Reading about manifestion a lot and eventually forming assumptions that good things happen because i constantly repeat it so everytime a good thing happens to me i immediately associate it with all the good things i have been doing like manifestion and forgetting negative experiences so i cant counter it with how powerfully 'manifestion' has positively impacted my life is a confirmation bias example for me. Like i knew this existed but never have i heard it spoken out nor written down to exactify my thought. This video is great and i am interested more than ever to keep reading about this!

[@TheRealGuywithoutaMustache]

The perfect way to end the year. This is a surprise and a good one at that.

[@kalacmadhavan2510]

Jellal

[@leeeroyjenkins555]

Oh oh

[@dalgo_na]

This is the least expected place to see you. I always found you in anime videos only

[@xinthebox]

You are everywhere lmao

[@Ricky-nn3be]

3:52 tell me I'm not the only one who thought his nostril is his left eye...

[@ozzyzee1770]

Looking at it through that perspective makes the face look so creepy lol

[@cyb3rspac351]

Maybe it is intended to be an ambiguous image.

[@martincattell6820]

He looks like a devious frog-man

[@halicusnguyen8864]

I CAN'T UNSEE IT FRIGG

[@traininggrounds9450]

I still can't see it any other way. I'm having so many problems with that

[@PlanetSenzu]

Just being honest - - I have a very negative confirmation Bias. My mom brought me up to expect the worst of people and growing up I have had more of the negative actions confirmed than the positives. Super simple example "Joe says "anytime you need me i'll be there no matter what." I have learned that people say things like that without any actual substance so naturally I write it off as "yeah right". I'm a very independent person and do my best to handle situations on my own but one day I really needed "Joe" so I reached out to him telling myself he wont be able to help. Sure enough Joe 100% says he cant help nor does he even provide any type of alternative answer. I'm not saying by any means EVERY single person is like this but chances are 9 times out of 10 I expect that type of result. I'm trying to change my mindset on this and its a long journey in the making. I'm 28.

[@iliasepit7385]

since you have identified the problem its 50% solved already

[@sprouts]

The fact that you are aware of this is a big first step towards change already! All the best to you!

[@norwegiannignog2470]

Dont be like this because people who genuinely care about you will be turned off. Maybe one person (could be joe could not be joe) iust happened to be caught up with his own problems and genuinely couldnt help you Its a confirmation bias to say he was a dick, or to say confidently, oh he was just busy, bias itself is leaning too far into one side so as to close your head to another perspective. But theorizing he couldve been busy is not so much a bias but a more positive rationale which can navigate your way until you actually find out what happened. Again, not talking about your joe friend specifically, just making an example

[@jyot17]

I am the same but it stems from emotional neglect as a kid. It took slow retraining of my mind after marriage (my husband is very caring) to realise my own needs. I still struggle with asking for help as I feel I will be rejected, I am not worth anybody's time and effort.

[@greylatern]

Don't depend on inconsistant people. Don't allow inconsistant people to have a position of importance in your life. At the same time if you come at people with a negative mindset you will come off negetively yourself. It could repeal good people and attract bad. It's a mind trap. I had a friend who had a similar issue and her nasty attitude was a huge put off.It's hard to bring yourself to go out of your way for someone like that. To top it off she would ask for help last minute which greatly increased the chances of a no.A Self-fulling prophency?

[@itWouldBeWise]

This is a fundamentally important concept to understand before critical thinking can even BEGIN.

[@osse1n]

Confirmation Bias - survival of the Ego If I am aware of judging for the sake of being right, I have taken a big step towards open mindedness.

[@kevper96]

Wow you’re everywhere aren’t you?

[@yoosh9034]

Right... Actually, I believe that the "ego", was Freud's way of describing the outcome of our most primal and base desires (id) as conflicting with our learnt behaviours which we participate in out of social obligation and expectation (superego). The ego in that context (i.e. its academic psychological context and the context of this video) isn't really a negative thing at all, and certainly not something that should be stopped from "surviving". It isn't a negative aspect of one's psychology, nor a positive one. It is an entirely neutral psychological description of the balance between our primal desires and our learnt behaviours. At least in its original academic sense (as opposed to the honestly pretty obnoxious and airy spiritualist co-opted understanding that has become popular), you literally can't be without an ego - it is an integral and entirely necessary part of your psychology without which you would be essentially braindead. If that's what you mean by "open minded", I'm not sure that's a great goal to be striving towards. Not to come off as aggressive or anything, I don't have anything at all against you - but this idea you're attempting to propagate has literally nothing to do with this video, and is actually based on a totally inaccurate and misleading understanding of psychological sciences. Cheers.

[@AbdurraheemGreenReal]

@@yoosh9034 interesting. I was following Buddhism for a while as a youth and although I thought it had many useful and salient elements I realised the basic underpinning of the whole philosophy was wrong. I never been able to articulate it quite as comprehensively as did in this comment. I do think that our primal desires often can get the better of us to our detriment and we are not always successful enough at employing our willpower intact (as Kelly McGonigal calls it)…so perhaps its not completely neutral in one sense. It can often be a real enemy.

[@Counter-Intuitive]

The Priest was practicing confirmation bias in this story

[@acoolducksloveryeahweexist]

Psychologist and Nobel prize winner Daniel Kahneman said "A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition. Because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth"

[@ukrainetoday960]

That's why that no one can't distinguished Daniel Kahneman speech from truth?

[@ili626]

That’s Trump’s main strategy.. his lying is pathological because he found power in it, and he’s addicted to power

[@HumansOfVR]

*_Always happy to see you upload sprouts!_* Addicted to these illustrations

[@HandbrakeBiscuit]

The dinosaur at 3:09 is cute...

[@tanjapeters6516]

2 - 4 - 6 - 2 (repeat) / 2 4 7 (comes after 2 4 6) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 0 (when the original sequence starts with 0 and repeats) / 2 - 4 - 6 - 6 (when the last number becomes first of the next sequel)/ 2 - 4 - 6 - 8 (repetition plus 2) / 2 - ( 4 - 6 ) - 8 (equals - 8: as a math problem) et cetera. Let us please ad the context to an equation.

[@ayushvishwakarma3547]

And may be the rule is the next number must always be greater then the previous one like it could be 7 or 8 or may 10 but not less than the previous one

[@ohnoknux4163]

reddit in a nutshell

[@ralfbond258]

agreed

[@thezplayer3002]

and twitter, i considered twitter to be worst, based on personal experience, i also have similar experience in reddit, but i'd rather be dealing with reddit users than twitter

[@TorgerVedeler]

Confirmation bias is also influenced by desire. If you want to believe something is true, or not true, then you are more likely to hold that belief. And since we need our social support network to survive, we are also more likely to agree with our peers even if we know they are wrong.

[@M.S.K-es2cw]

For me: Not listening to diverse opinions, not considering different options from the one you have, is a weakness, better described as CONFIRMATION BIAS.

[@mueezadam8438]

2:13 An atheist doesn’t have to be raised in a family that is atheistic to be able to reach an apistivist outlook. However, to become a Christian, or a follower of any other Abrahamic faith, you need first be exposed to the mythos in order to even be able to accept it. What I mean is this: How was a Polynesian living all the way on the other side of the world during the spread of Christianity ever expected to convert within his lifetime? Anyway, your video was a beautifully concise explanation of the topic and major kudos to the illustrator!

[@georgios_5342]

That isn't true. It still could happen, and it would be false to assume that one of the two sides is wrong just because it is less probable.

[@peakjvs4967]

Incorrect. If an individual is born and raised in a family with an atheistic outlook on life, he/she will most likely continue to be an atheist. The same applies to people who are brought up in a religious family. This does not mean that an atheist person cannot convert to a religion, just as a religious individual cannot renounce a religion. What you are thinking about in relation to Christianity in e.g Polynesian is that it is correct that exactly this interpretation of God (Christianity) was initially not known everywhere in the world, but came around due to missionaries. But this does not exclude that people in Polynesian did not believe in a god(s), but their interpretation of god(s) was just different. All countries in the world have/had a belief in god(s), some interpretations were less logical, while other interpretations were more logical, and as time has progressed, the more logical interpretations have become mainstream (Abrahamic faith).

[@suleymanbabak1973]

​@@peakjvs4967what's logical about a god sacrificing himself to himself to create a loophole for a rule he created? Also I was raised in a religious family and that didn't give me any confirmation bias towards religious interpretation of events.

[@MrApw2011]

@@georgios_5342 There are plenty of claims we reject because of their improbability or else we have to accept every claim. This video did a disservice by trying to compare belief of a particular religion to rejection of all religious ideals. It would be better if they had compared something else or compared three spiritual standpoints rather than the false choice that was presented here. Funny that a video on logic used a logical fallacy to commence their discussion but seems like someone wants to push a narrative.

[@omerd602]

2, 4, 6, 163998. Take OEIS series A258107 (2, 3, 4, 82000), double each term, and subtract 2. Obviously. :)

[@traininggrounds9450]

Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8" since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is wrong.

[@omerd602]

@@traininggrounds9450 It was a joke. Don't take it seriously.

[@traininggrounds9450]

@@omerd602 I did not not know that

[@jijov.j1545]

Pls, make a video about "productivity"

[@Gloomygarden666]

well, it could have been a coincidence that 2 4 6 have some rule behind them, so I suggest that the answer is any random number.

[@LearnTheCode5734]

It’s either 8 or 10

[@abhimanyusingh7163]

The best channel on YT!

[@sprouts]

Thank you, Abhimanyu!

[@abhimanyusingh7163]

Sprouts You're welcome. And thank you for such amazing videos! 🍻

[@cathjimin]

My first thought was 8, because pairs.. but then I thought about 10, because you add the numbers too...

[@Antiqvity]

When they said the correct number it made me think there was only one answer so I thought well then it has to be 8.

[@gernottiefenbrunner172]

@@Antiqvity the video misrepresented this test. iirc the correct answer was "three numbers in ascending order", but originally you got to guess a few numbers before locking in your answer and the thing was, people only guessed numbers that they expected to pass, not any they expected to fail, so most got "n, n+2, n+4" as their answer, which always produced three numbers in ascending order, but was still wrong as a rule. which would make perfect sense if you got evaluated on how many numbers you got right, but that wasn't the case.

[@jarrod752]

2, 4, and 6 don't equal 10.

[@VeraDragon]

Jarrod 2+4 = 6, 4+6=10

[@jarrod752]

@@VeraDragon I was wondering how long it would take for someone to call me out on bad math...

[@shivamgupta-tk2dd]

A very informative video . Great work pal 👍

[@MC-go3sx]

Can u please do a video on monocular and binocular perception..

[@mangalpuri2001]

Your sketches are awesome...

[@amyj.4992]

Just learned this term, in my psychology lecture this past week

[@moonknight_666]

3:39 is it 8?

[@ministermichael7243]

2, 4, 6, whats next? There is not enough information to figure that out with any amount of certainty: Could be 8 - counting by 2's Could be 5 to infinity - Ascending numbers. Could be and even number- even numbers only. Could be any number( or nothing )- A rule made up by a smock for the video? Hehe There is no way of knowing for sure with the information we have. Was that it? A question that by the very nature of the problem has many valid anwers to show our human biases. Mmmmmmmm

[@driftking062]

Man, why do you complicate that much? It's simple arithmetical row, difference equals 2 😜

[@JohnVDenley]

Here's a better version of that question!! kzbin.info/www/bejne/rHykZapohJtkjtE After all the right answer could be 7 (numbers increasing) and it could be 10, adding up the two numbers before it (2+4=6, 4+6=10) we need to find out what the wrong options are to be able to work out the correct rule

[@traininggrounds9450]

This statement invalidates everything that the IQ test is founded upon. Being able to recognize patterns is a fundamental component to intelligence. Being able to recognize contexts and overlaying realities is another component to intelligence. But now, you are literally doing what the video is talking about because you are trying to validate the video instead of thinking in terms of the bigger context which is life itself. Just because we all obviously recognize the pattern of counting by even numbers doesn't mean this is a bias. It means we can follow our gut to arrive at a conclusion for information we do not know. Albert Einstein did it spectacularly and we call him a genius for it but now for some reason this one video you want to confirm it? But for what reason?

[@neilh4443]

@@traininggrounds9450 As long as it's the same one *you* recognise? That immediately casts some doubt on your own ability to approach this question intelligently. The implication of the presenter's request for us to note our answers here is in itself part of a 'pattern' (behavioral) in that it may be inferred that the answer is not an absolute given. :)

[@traininggrounds9450]

@@neilh4443 Context dude. Don't lose yourself. Don't miss the wood through the trees or throw out the baby with the bath water. Don't strain a gnat and swallow a camel. Don't forget the big picture when you look through a microscope. Does any of this resonate with you? Just because people may see different avenues or paths to get from A-B, doesn't mean that the given context of A-B doesn't have what is called a "least path". In this instance, 8 is the least path to arrive at and make any continuation of the pattern and its this basic skill that is almost entirely what the IQ test is founded upon to determine some metric of intelligence. So the point of the video is very "use-case" in that it doesn't really pan out in life that we need to think of all the paths from any given A-B scenario but that we only need a path that works with what we have on hand. In general, people get by with that level of intelligence and that's ok. The least path is generally the most obvious or simple solution and sometimes it's actually hard to see that through the trees.

[@Zekr0_]

Thank You for explaining such a wonderful topic. I am disappointed that it doesn't have much views as it is something i would consider as eye opener

[@khanzara9329]

Finally I got the concept of confirmation bias after seeing more vdos abt it... Damn great teaching standard 👍👍👍

[@jerrycapodilupo9195]

❤. WE DON'T BELIEVE WHAT WE SEE.....WE SEE WHAT WE BELIEVE.....😮😊

[@MS-ll9qb]

Very powerful, now apply it to religion and science

[@Kam1kaz3dreamer]

It would be appreciated if you guys could do a video on as many Logical Fallacies and bias issues as you can fit into your schedule

[@lexxite]

It’s hard to say what the next number without knowing an example of a sequence of numbers that shows the pattern being broken. For all we know, the next part of the pattern could just be a mirror of the first sequence. But based upon my own confirmation bias because of another video I just watched showing this same sequence, my guess would be that the pattern is ascending numbers, so anything above 6 could be the next number.

[@augustinpol]

It might be 8 for pair numbers as well as 10 None=0, 0+2=2, 2+4=6, 4+6=10

[@sixtoewolf2]

2_4_6_ X 2 3 4 5 6 7 2_4_6_8 X=7 or 8

[@eugenevaticinator4540]

1X4-2= 2 2X3-2=4 4X2-2= 6 6X1-2 = 4 Sequence could go... 2_4_6_4

[@sixtoewolf2]

@@eugenevaticinator4540 You're right. It's the patterns that you are most familiar with. Your answer and how you got to it as more of a self description of your own habits

[@augustinpol]

Really nice and interesting! All the answers we got for now are 4, 7, 8, 10 and 12

[@gonzapra1]

The answer could perfectly be "38" or "0.5" for all we know. Thats the idea of the experiment.

[@AnirudhJas]

My thought was 2-4-6-8, successive even numbers. But I saw some good alternate sequences in the comments. Good one!

[@4better1]

Helps to make things better! Thank you

[@ukrainetoday960]

To say that a person has confirmation bias is pure bias, it is accusing a person based on facts of bias without any evidence (confirmation) of this.

[@myysterio2]

Well, it can at least be 2,4,6,8 or 2,4,6,10. There might be other options, but I'm not going to be figuring them out today

[@chadliampearcy]

Compromise and say 9. Lmao. Actually for real through. The difference of the terms increase by 1. Modify this slightly and get 12 because the difference f(x) of the terms x increase by 1 f(x) = x!

[@chadliampearcy]

@@ozzyfromspace Uh.. Bias? Why does that apply?? This is just supposed to be a fun missing term in a sequence game. It's not about being open minded or closed minded. Any function is just the same. Missing term games are not a real or valid problem. Not this. Sure you can make problems of the games. But this is not it.

[@chadliampearcy]

@bad1dobby You are right. My mistake. Thank-you.

[@orange-vlcybpd2]

Best example i found so far to convey the topic in a such concise manner. @sprouts Did you create the illustrative story yourself, just for the video, or where is it originating from or what was the source of inspiration? Also surprising for me was the moment where the priest recognized the divine intervention, he didnt even ask for how it happened exactly. And this is one very important part of the bias, you stop to search for further evidence once you got your confirmation.

[@sprouts]

Yes, our artist Pascal Gaggelli, draws all our videos by hand and David Foster Wallace tells this story in his great speech “This is Water”: kzbin.info/www/bejne/enTFeIBqotZ4jNk

[@stevesmith4374]

Another possible solution: The numbers are in increasing order. Any number above 6 would fit the pattern. Including 42069

[@vurk2crzy]

Nice

[@omkarajagunde4175]

The numbers can also be any even number but mostly at first sight we believe it would be the arithmetic progression with distance of 2

[@migueldejesus8344]

Can somebody tell what program is used to make this animations?

[@sprouts]

Drawings on iPod using a Hand

[@pyschologygeek]

HAPPINESS starts with you. You can be happy with little or miserable with much. It doesn't depend on what you have, rather WHO YOU

[@imjustagirl_1234-q8b]

aint no way i thought abt this during dinner and this video appears on my fyp 😭

[@HrabiaVulpes]

Probably the best thing for those reliant on confirmation bias is something that can be even fount on sprouts channel itself - no matter what your views are, you can probably find psychologist, sociologist or philosopher sharing those views.

[@adventureswithfrodo2721]

There are no Alaskian backwoods bars. All Ak backwood are are dry.

[@MaryJaneHancock]

Good presentation.

[@Hampsteadnw3London]

Could someone please let me know what software program is used to do the animation for these videos would really appreciate it. Thank you

[@FarQuZeDesigns]

3:43 There you have it. Whatever you‘ve been told in your entire life, it just has to be told enough times for you to believe it.

[@Chiqsan]

Wow your comment just helped me out. I couldn't grasp the concept. I said ohhhh ok aha! So TY! 😄

[@Seductus99]

Lik safe and effective?

[@pihi42]

Next number in unknown sequence 2,4,6,? could be ANY number. BUT the most important sequence in mathematics that fits the pattern is 2,4,6,8, ..n, (n+2), .. It is not about guessing which is the next number but about recognizing the sequence, the rule. If you live in a world where the most important sequence is a(n+1) = a(n)+a(n-1), you should answer 10. You should also be able to understand how to make up the rule given any number in place of ?, for example: find the rule for 2,4,6,11. Confirmation bias has NOTHING TO DO with 2,4,6,? whatsoever.

[@ShitHappensBeReady]

Thank God I'm not the only one who doesn't agree. That was not an example of confirmation bias.

[@SiMeGamer]

Hard confirmation bias is just an epistemologically corrupt philosophical framework one might have. The example with the atheist in the snow does not and cannot be used to prove or disprove a god because an argument based on a real specific example cannot explain metaphysics. Metaphysics can only be explained using the laws of logic and the most basic epistemological observations (first hand sense perception over time). The priest works on a second handed presupposition which is a logical fallacy and the atheist is just acting agnostic rather than philosophical. One of them is necessarily right and there is a way to disprove the existence of a god, but it requires a completely different approach to the issue. If you want part of the explanation you can check out the video "How to Think About the Universe" by Charles Tew as well as his video on the unmoved mover problem posed by Aristotle that is used as a false argument for many religious thinkers. As a general rule, confirmation bias is good. It is more likely to get you the results you want and steers you away from being a complete skeptic. It's just that when one sees things not going their way they should try and convince themselves according to their bias because it is very possible to be wrong. Many are taught from a young age that if they don't think like somebody even partially then they are completely wrong and belong in another camp and thus when seeing someone even partially right, many tend to wholeheartedly agree with every point they make even if deep down the don't agree. The sense of second handedness being a priority is destroying entire societies. It's fine to have some confirmation bias. Just be a critical thinker and you'll find where you are wrong without needing to feel extreme anxiety. Happy new year everyone! May there be another good one with Sprouts :]

[@kra4687]

3:38 Maths wise it would be 8 as all the numbers are multiples of 2, each number is increase by 2 as well, all of them being even, but there is no definitive answer for this, is not like there is a rule something fixed in place, if the number is 9 or 6 or 112 there is nothing that says it can't be, depends on what you choose here.

[@jimhurt9343]

or 2 plus 4 is 6 plus 4 is 10.

[@evancroft4268]

Ascending numbers

[@avishiperera7767]

Is bias assimilation and confirmation bias the same thing?

[@traininggrounds9450]

Due to the amount of time we were given in the video to determine a number that went with the sequence it would be MORE obvious to say "8" since it would take less processing to come to that conclusion which is also obvious. But for some reason you felt the need to confirm the bias of this video as if you were understanding the concept. So in this case it is clear that there are many rules that would establish many different answers but the most obvious one is obvious and the fact that it is obvious is proof that this video is confirming its own bias and is wrong. What makes an associative rule more obvious than another is directly dependent on the complexity of the logic of the association. Once something becomes communally well established or a "meme" then the level of complexity is smudged. But before knowledge becomes well established in the community, all people are statistically bound to adhere to making simple associations because they are easier to associate.

[@sprouts]

A+

[@mobilephil244]

This is a variation on the fact that habit is necessary. Ok, sometimes it backfires and makes an animal predictable to a predator but mostly habit is what has always worked, it is the safe route to the waterhole, it is the safe food to eat, it is the noise to run away from. If that is bias then I am biassed and so is the entire animal kingdom.

[@trainsareepiv]

0:54 Bro became prime Eden Hazard

[@alan2here]

There are infinite endless continuations, evens yield (8, 10, …), while for composites the answer would be (8, 9, 10, …). Both are reasonably (mathematically, regarding the abstract world) natural, while many are probably not.

[@dieselguitar1440]

2 is not composite though. But yes, there are an infinite number of sequences with 2, 4, 6. However I think it's fair to say that 8 is the least complicated answer.

[@livenfree]

I was watching how confirmation biased cause two pilots to land in the wrong runway that they were convinced was the right one despite all the red flags and warnings going off on their instrument panel... And it occurred to me. This is perhaps what can happen when we are emotionally and intellectually motivated to get married ... We overlook all the red flags and warning lights telling us this isn't a healthy person to marry.

[@Kara-q6x]

The heart is deceitful indeed!

[@joenefercarique8124]

Is this the same with selective criticism?

[@DerrickJones19]

I think I read somewhere where it said if you can't clearly explain it to a three-year-old that means you don't understand it.

[@beverywhereyouare]

Had to look up the rule ... thank for the challenge :o)

[@alexcringes9740]

Why was the script deleted? UnU

[@Akoalawithshades]

omg, could not figure out that last picture for the longest time, I thought it was a frog face man.

[@PopovSB]

If 2_4_6 are musical degrees, then I assume the sequence is 2-4-6-1-3-5-7

[@Gimmickvr]

2+4=6 therfore it is 4+6=10 its a starting of the fibbonaci sequence starting with 2 and 4

[@LeontrenetteWhite83]

😂😂😂 Duhhh... GOD allowed those eskimos to come his way to help . 🙏🏽🙏🏽🙏🏽

[@Garfield_Minecraft]

3:29 2+4=6. 4+6=10.

[@LantawsaKinatibuk-an-k6w]

Confirmation bias is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms or supports one's prior beliefs or values. It involves the selective gathering of information or searching for evidence in a one-sided way that is consistent with current beliefs while ignoring alternative hypotheses. In medicine, this may lead to diagnostic errors. In the legal field, it affects judges' decisions. In personal relationships, it may lead to misunderstandings and conflicts. ​However, considering that these biases are undesirable, mitigation is needed.​ The first step is recognizing its existence and educating individuals about cognitive biases and their impact on decision-making, especially for the next generation.

[@jamielouis4506]

People hate God because they don’t want a higher power that has authority over them and because they’ve moral problems with him. That’s it.

[@Hello_Chibi]

oh man Amen to that , human beings are just straight up selfish, they just want to live their lives to the fullest and not give anything in return to the one and only creator. We need to control our sin and repent . God speed to all.

[@BoldOne8760]

Why would someone hate a made up deity?

[@curioussrinija8738]

Even numbers in Natural No. Set .... 2_4_6_? The next no. Is 8✨ But ya ! Confirmation Bias..... Explains a pot of things😅

[@sprouts]

Or 7 ;)

[@tonybuzantraining]

Numbers are in ascending sequence. Therefore, any number could be next.

[@FredSlocombe]

The priest can then say "How do you know it wasn't God that guided the other people" etc. It's not a very scientific argument from the supernatural.

[@dazedazed]

I wanted to use this video in a media literacy class until I came to the part where you refer to "Eskimos". This is a deeply offensive term. The correct usage is Inuit.

[@Georgia-Vic]

Confirmation Bias is: Preconceived Outcomes resulting in Self- fulfilling Prophesies!

[@sohtech7723]

this is good. thank you very much.

[@ehpg120988]

What an art!! Stunning!

[@diwakarkumargupta1550]

Which software/ website do you use to create videos?

[@menoskidesign]

Hello, please how did you create this animation? Which application? Anyone can kindly tell me, please

[@sprouts]

Hand drawn sketches, recorded with MinuteVideos.

[@krishnantampi5665]

Eight by natural training, all are symbols without symbols and logos we can't learn anything, in short we are babling naked apes, without symbols wr become reptiles of lower order, but birds and animals are happy says william words worth though it's metaphor and metaphysics but we create our own story, all are incidents with some links but many can't relate the incredible incidents as it's because it goes out of our memory we have only random stuff and selective stuff, actually every thing is dunnig Krueger effect😊❤ thank god

[@walterkersting1362]

Believers are chosen.

[@aratrikasarkar6203]

Is confirmation bias and belief perseverance the same thing?

[@manikantacharanmasineni7493]

The answer is 10 Cause 2-4-6 is organised by 2+2=4,2+4=6,4+6=10. It's my perception it might differ from person to person

[@ashraful2010]

“And when they board a ship, they supplicate Allāh, sincere to Him in religion [i.e., faith and hope]. But when He delivers them to the land, at once they associate others with Him” Al-Quran 29:65 When that athiest called upon god being sincere, god guided some people towards his way to show him the way, but when he was rescued from the trouble he went back to his disbelief saying god had nothing to do with it. Thus he associated partners with his lord.

[@carol-us4xn]

Familiarity is easy mirrored, not necessarily a good idea or thought, but a design for a particular outcome by manipulation will prompt a person to adopt an idea as their own. This can prove dangerous as well as senseless.

[@alexkumarsingh2805]

2_4_6_? Maybe 8 or 10 8= 2*4 or 10 = 4+6

[@The_Other_Ghost]

The priests and atheists could BOTH be using Confirmation biases.

[@ralfbond258]

possibly ✅

[@bonitabromeliads]

that's the point of the video

[@davinjohnson1110]

I thought this was the poorest example they could use

[@kingharry3260]

@@davinjohnson1110 I agree, but I think they had to use spirituality vs religion because facts and evidence can be used in every other debate to prove a point.

[@RiteOfSolaris]

That's what the video said. It said it directly, and set us up with two stories of confirmation bias.

[@archhangell]

Various possibilities for that followup number...it could either be "8" or "10"...or something completely not considered by me.

[@billskinner7670]

Or 7. Could be "ascending numbers".

[@darsruiz]

I was pretty sure its 2,3,4,5,6,7 but now I'm doubting

[@ozzyfromspace]

Diego Ruiz there are 5625 registered functions that generate 2,3,4,5,6. Google OEIS and search said sequence :) 99/100 times, your response works, but it just shows that WE have predetermined solutions for a lot of things. Catching yourself applying functions to logic and reasoning is so satisfying 😊🤓🍾

[@halleffect5439]

Wasnt the questio 2,4,6,X Do we ask for x? However, we can never be sure if its 8 or 7 or something else. Maybe its not even a number...

[@jakeislavic3024]

Xn = Xn-1 + 2 Next number = 8

[@mosesmunthali8382]

@2:18 he's saying it like a fact, but it isn't. I'm atheist, my family are all religious believers and I wasn't influenced by them to stop believing. Anyways let me get back to watching the video, I'm yet to finish it. Lol

[@ministermichael7243]

@bad1dobby Contextual assessment based on past experiences. Bro, that sounds exactly like experimental science to me. Hahahahahahahaha!

[@ministermichael7243]

@bad1dobby - I was only referring to the exact line "Contextual assessment based on past experiences". That line sounds like experimental science to me. For example: You have 50 plant seeds you bury in the soil without any water at any time. Then plant 50 seeds buried in wet soil and water once a week. (This is an example of context) The 50 with water grow. The 50 without water stay as seeds. ( our Contextual assessment after the objective is completed) Doing this experiment over and over again and knowing with complete certainty that seeds will not grow without water is our Contextual assessment based on past experiences. Thats science. It was your word choices and how I understood them. It was funny to me! :-D. I feel like I understand what you where trying to convey in your first comment to our other KZbin friend. But to get back on TOPIC, Yeah,.....Maybe its confrontation bias we believe our confrontation bias came from our parents and their parents before them.... and so on! Hahahahahhahahahahah

[@kunalkashelani585]

Same here.. Although when somebody is just trying to explain something through an example, you have to consider it as a general phenomenon and not as a stated fact. Also its obvious that one situation would not apply to everybody in the world!

[@mosesmunthali8382]

@@kunalkashelani585 yes you've made a very good point, it's impossible for one statement to be true for everyone. Thus I think it would have been better had the narrator said something like "the atheist was raised in a family believed in scientific knowledge" not "only in scientific knowledge". He is painting an image of the rather more far fetched scenario for atheists. I think more atheist are coming from families with religious backgrounds than ones born into families that believe only scientific knowledge. If he left out the word "only" then potentially it's more inclusive of others who identify as atheist but come from religious backgrounds.

[@adventureswithfrodo2721]

Each number is larger then the preceding number.

[@sprouts]

Correct

[@serenasibani6078]

Thank you

[@TheGreenPig321]

3:32 I came from nexpo, so obviously 21

[@andjelakrstic139]

me too and in your user name you have number 21

[@Luxiel610]

what you see is what you see..

[@rayzorrayzor9000]

Why is “Bias”, such a thing ? , I lived my life being “Right” all the time, even when I know I’m wrong and it has bode me well . It’s not my fault if others choose to believe me, it does however serve me by getting what I want . Am I so wrong to seek what’s best for me and my family ? I never pointed a gun to get what I wanted I simply used words . It seems to me that those that lack the ability to use thier greatest weapon, language, choose instead to make up reasons why it’s wrong for those of us who do use words to get what we want . Hmmh you could say they are biased against us lol . Anyway I’m old, you young‘ens can argue as much as you like but know this there will come a time when you you realise yes the environment matters, yes current affairs are important but ultimately what really matters to You is that you’ve given your family the best start in life you can, and if I achieved that goal by twisting the words of others then I will tell you this, I sleep easy at night !

[@sprouts]

Thanks for your insightful comment

[@Ossian-dr1vr]

People like you, who don't care about truth and only try to bend reality and decieve for the gain of you and mabye a few others who are as twisted as you are a big part of the reason this world is a horrible place to live in. This is the way corrupt politicians and charletons think.

[@Carabas72]

That's a neat trick you go there to make people leave a comment and play the algorithm game.

[@ocean8784]

I already know it by my social experience but later I came to know it have some scientific name.