The Hard Truth About Jon Jones vs Tom Aspinall

[@ArtemGurevich-t2d]

The reason jones was able to stay away from stipe because stipe is slower than a turtle on Xanax

[@bryanfox6726]

Stipe's Stand-Up ... I don't even need to say it, do I? Aspinall's a Horse of a Different Color ...

[@bryanfox6726]

Stipe doesn't LOVE the Game ... He does his thing ... Aspinall's a Martial Artist ... It's an Entirely Different Thing Altogether ...

[@Dru2037]

Tom likes to move forward which plays into Jon's hands.

[@bryanfox6726]

@@Dru2037 That doesn't matter when you have no power in them ...

[@patrickjorda5523]

For as slow as stipe was he was in the right place pretty often.. not enough but he still got in a few good shots

[@James-712]

Jon is more skilled than Aspinall (in everything except boxing) But Aspinall is just way faster and way bigger that I can't see Jones beating him without being perfect for 25 minutes. If grandpa Stipe can land punches on Jon imagine what aspinall would do

[@Bon_Gamin98]

Perfect analysis. People overcomplicate it but it's just that simple, Jon is surely overall more skilled than Tom, but Tom is younger, faster, more powerful and way bigger. I don't think Jon has many chances, that's why he is ducking

[@AkiMinorikoOfficial]

How can anyone confidently say that Aspinall is less skilled everywhere when we've barely seen him fight in the UFC for more than a combined 5 minutes. There's a lot about him that's still unknown.

[@liamcoulter9627]

Just semantics, but do you not think Tom probably has a better submission game? Top pressure, chain wrestling etc. give to Jon, I guess it’s tough to really know with how little we’ve seen of Tom

[@joeswanson5486]

@@AkiMinorikoOfficialaspinal has 20 minutes in the octagon still short though

[@claudemaggard7162]

Yall are all idiots to think tom is gonna beat jon jones. Jon is gonna slow the fight down. So he can control it. Just like he did in the first round against stipe.

[@Timonathon]

The truth isn’t as hard as I am when I see a Che notification

[@garfrockbreadtroll]

Nice to see you Mr tzu

[@mrt445]

The majority of his predictions are wrong. He previously said Khamzat was trash, now he's acting like he's always claimed that Khamzat was the best middle weight.

[@Timonathon]

@@mrt445 don’t talk about my king mma Che like that ever again

[@Timonathon]

@@garfrockbreadtroll always nice to meet a fan

[@monkeeeking2114]

@@Timonathonyeah thats right!

[@junkmale3763]

bro coulda got new teeth if jones just took a lil less steroids

[@davepowell7168]

Guy isn't planning a beauty pageant fortunately. Valid opinions l hear

[@zachary_smith1]

lmao i was thinking why he buying bitcoin if he won, fix your teeth shoulda been first thing said

[@hanzohasashi4534]

Tom Aspinal walks around 13 lbs heavier than Jones. This whole "he's 30 lbs bigger" thing is a Jones quote.

[@FrigidHeights]

you realize that he literally just weighed in at about 20lbs heavier than Jones this past weekend as the backup fighter? 20lbs is a huge deal especially when most of Jon’s weight is fluff because he’s not built like a heavyweight. Tom’s size advantage would be substantial not to mention his age.

[@shawna7813]

There's a difference between walk around weight and fighting weight...

[@ColmPadraig]

What's your source for that?

[@MuhGlassRibs]

remember stipe like to say that ngannou was 50lbs heavier than stipe. it's just mma exaggeration

[@MrToadGaming]

Tom normally weighs 255 while Jon fights at his best at 225. Jon got up to 235 against stipe while looking a little slower and still giving up 20 pounds to Tom

[@ArtemGurevich-t2d]

Big Tom finishes Jon “💉💊👩🤛🤰🚗🏃” Jones inside 2 rounds

[@claudemaggard7162]

Your such a stupid little man. How did you come up with that

[@bigruckus8664]

Forgot the lgbt flag bro.

[@ArtemGurevich-t2d]

@ true that

[@charlieruisseau2476]

and where's the duck? :)

[@ArtemGurevich-t2d]

@ 🦆

[@Rix54A]

I think a strange point people are completely ignoring is that whenever Stipe decided to simply not just sit there eating kicks and went forward to pressure Jon. His ONLY answer to forward pressure was literally turning his back and running away caution to the wind. Just run away and restart at kicking range and there goes Stipe doing nothing until he feels like pressuring again (Which his corner was begging him to do). Now can anyone really look at that and say confidently: "Oh yeah Aspinall, Volkov or even Pav would fall prey for something like that and just give up the pressure" When Volkov was facing Pavlovich. He needed to establish a strong jab and straights while keeping himself away to deter his advances. All Jones had to do vs Stipe was turn his back and run back to kicking range. I don't understand how this performance gives people confidence.

[@gigachad6885]

Jones fans have low IQ and are disingenuous because they project themselves onto Jones' success, that's why they'll never be fair (and will continue to claim Jones would win easily while he ducks Aspinall)

[@groscaramelmou2583]

Perfectly said. People are arguing about tom, but to me, there is not a single hw with some wrestling skills who would lose against jones, not in the top 5

[@minovictor]

All time, Jon jones is the goat but current jon jones is getting starched by Tom in 1-2 rounds in my humble opinion. Jon looked good against stipe but Stipe looked TERRIBLE. If stipe said fuck it and applied pressure for the whole first round it might have been a very different fight. Those few moments where stipe landed some shots, Tom would do more damage and if Jon does that running away defensive thing, Tom will chase him down. I genuinely don’t even think it would be a close fight 5:03 this part right here, Tom aspinall is getting a finish

[@Warpig9]

Exactly! Francis would've just kept chasing him until he caught him clean.

[@Rix54A]

@@Warpig9 Not even chasing, Francis is not only either taller or exact same height but him and Jon have the same reach. This tall man defence of fully extending his arms to run away is not doing anything. Francis best tool remains a really nasty check hook he does when the opponent is trying to get away. In a striking bout he's cooked. There's literally no argument that can be made about it based on any of Jon's past fights spawning the last 5yrs.

[@wolfgangrecordings]

the hard truth about jones vs aspinall is that it won't happen. jones will retire rather than get smoked by tom, i just hope they strip him first 'cos he doesn't deserve to retire as champion if he avoided fighting the #1 contender

[@jass2375]

Jones will just vacate the belt and fight pereira , he wont retire. its a big money fight and much easier for him.

[@wolfgangrecordings]

@@jass2375 dana said pretty unequivocally that jon won't be fighting pereira during the post-fight for 309 though, he pretty much said fight tom or fight nobody

[@MiggsMultiple]

It looks like a different hype angle to me...Instead of insults and aggression he's avoiding and then he'll do it White canned Periera Jones says he won't retire Jones gets the money that's worth possibly losing for, why wouldn't he?

[@JayS.-mm3qr]

​@@MiggsMultiplelol no I think Jon is legitimately ducking. I don't think it's even negotiation. I think he will just ask for a number they won't give. He asking for "fvk you" money in more than one way. The money asked for will be a fu to to the ufc and fans. Lol. It's all his way of refusing to fight Tom. Figures he can just fight Alex for an easier fight and get paid lots still.

[@gentlemandemon]

​@@wolfgangrecordings you can never trust anything Dana says. He'll turn on a dime and call you stupid for remembering things he's said in public

[@ArtemGurevich-t2d]

Fedor is a better HW than Jones bc at 220 lbs he has beaten so many guys that had nearly 50 lbs on him

[@groscaramelmou2583]

That's not even comparable man. Every hw champ in the ufc history is a better hw than jones, who did jones has beaten at hw? The most favorable matchup for him in the ufc and a 42 yo retired legend..

[@bryanfox6726]

@@groscaramelmou2583 Clearly.

[@EG-mw8kp]

​​@@groscaramelmou2583Nah, that's a dumb answer, the real reason why it is not comparable is because Jon doesn't have Fedors power. But if you think you know Jon Jones wins to everyone on Hw except Aspinall

[@sanjayjohnson5830]

​@EG-mw8kp very true bro atleast someone has some sense left l. john beat gane fair and square. realistivally John Jones beat every heavyweight anyday. only tom and Sergei Pavlovich can give him a competitive fight

[@TomAustinIII]

Fedor weighs 240

[@AnnoyedFrog-wu1zi]

Franchis vs Aspinall is the biggest heavyweight fight. Both with insane power.

[@cynicalmandate]

It could be... But Aspinall is just younger, faster, sharper. Francis definitely can, but if the match drags it likely goes to Tom.

[@Kortifex]

Don't see aspinal doing well in that fight lol Francis takedown defense incredibly improved and his ko power is unmatched he will likely get slept

[@FirstnameLastname-do1px]

I wouldn’t say Dominick Reyes was any more skilled than Jones in any one martial art (either than Boxing, which I think Aspinall is more skilled than Jones is as well) but the fact that he was so much faster really helped him in that aspect.

[@Kaisukiii]

lets be honest Reyes is a bum

[@FirstnameLastname-do1px]

@ A ‘bum’ that beat Jon Jones.

[@gamessportsandmore3371]

​@@Kaisukiiiand he beat jon.

[@Kaisukiii]

@@gamessportsandmore3371 jon jones didnt take him seriously though, Jon Jones would beat him up if he actually was taking him seriously

[@chiquita683]

Jones adjusted to the speed in 2 rounds and won

[@iOwnASubaru]

It’s not disrespectful to say Stipe looked old, slow, washed and lost. If anything, it’s respectful towards the Stipe of old and how good he once was whilst Jones fans try to overvalue this win like Stipe was Elite. Not even the goat of the division is going to perform great being closer to 45 than 40, retired for 4 years and coming off of a KO loss. Always will be a legend though.

[@karimw.9954]

So Tom’s fans are not overvaluing his wins over Curtis and Sergei?

[@iOwnASubaru]

@ entirely different situation it’s not even relevant to what I said at all..

[@karimw.9954]

@@iOwnASubaru it's very relevant. You want to criticize Jon's opponents but not Tom's opponents.

[@iOwnASubaru]

@ I didn’t even bring up Tom. And anyways Jones is the sitting champion and opted to fight a retired old man, Tom is the defending interim champion and has beaten everyone in his division, his only fight that makes sense and is deserves is Jon Jones. I don’t really get what you mean

[@karimw.9954]

@ Jon vs Stipe was contractually agreed long before Tom was in the title picture, true or false?

[@kevinmurphy5878]

Stipe should have known he was at a major disadvantage and gone ooga booga mode from the bell. He should have been lunging at Jones swinging haymakers from the hips with every ounce of power he had. He needed to fight like Michael Chandler on PCP.

[@MuhGlassRibs]

and jones takes him down with him getting off balance chasing him

[@clockworkslave0180]

he would have gassed out, he was too old to pose any threat

[@tomig_9]

Dumb take . That plays into Jones game

[@kevinmurphy5878]

@@tomig_9 if they fought they way they just did 100 times, Stipe is winning 0 times. If they fought 100 times and Stipe spazzed, I'd say he flukes out a good 4-5 wins out of 100

[@Pfannkuchenkanone]

What is "Ooga Booga mode"?

[@pt5728]

I learned why Jones didn’t want smoke with Ngannou

[@no_going_back8456]

Watch the Gane vs Ngganou fight Jones has the best distance management and would keep his range and tire Francis out. But Francis is still dangerous and can ko him.

[@DravkatRakhmonessis]

​@@no_going_back8456 Keep his distance just like he did against against reyes and santos against a guy who is bigger than him with the same long limbs?

[@darksteeltorqueo4397]

MMA Che good analysis. I am in my late 40s. From my experience power is not the last thing to go. I think the saying sometimes confuses strength and power. Power is generated from speed more than muscular strength. That's why you see boxers are typically skinny with good abs but not huge muscles. They want to generate power through speed like snapping strikes like a rubber band. As you age those rubber bands age and they can't keep up. You can still be pretty strong though. I could probably still bench press what I could 25 years ago if you gave me 6 months to lift and get back into it. But could the current version of myself "beat down" the 24 yr old version of myself? No.

[@jonathanthrasher70]

This is a solid take There are different kinds of power punches Some are about Accuracy Some are about Timing And those go quicker then raw power Like Conor vs Rumble

[@Warpig9]

I think they call it muscle elasticity.

[@MasterSpencer2483]

Your videos bring me a smile in a way that Guru, Bedtime, etc don’t. Your videos feel like I’m chatting with a friend I really like

[@kevinmurphy5878]

This is true

[@rajyavardhansingh4491]

Lucas Tracy & MMA Che>>>>>

[@bisonbeard2121]

Stop being gay for him, dude

[@MuhGlassRibs]

One thing people dont remember is that jones cranked on stipe's elbow like he did glover. that could have taken some pop out of his right arm. And the hellbows and the body kicks did slow him down

[@Mokuteke]

He had no pop from the start bell

[@MuhGlassRibs]

@Mokuteke he did, but jones avoided most of his punches. Jones took stipe down and rode him for over 3 and a half minutes raining elbows on stipe. stipe used a lot of energy on his back when he made every effort to get up but couldn't. this was a masterclass

[@zacharymorris9917]

The dramatic difference between 37 and 42 is only appreciable after you've lived it. For me, there was less difference between 18 & 38.

[@CybertruckCity]

What happens? What is the difference?

[@theunkownguy5574]

You get older ​@@CybertruckCity

[@AQBPlays]

Your body just starts to depreciate in truly noticeable ways

[@thezerowulf2046]

0:30 not some mew front teeth? Or is that all you want for Christmas?

[@suavek3128]

😂😂😂

[@HeliodromusScorpio]

Stipe looked like he was 55

[@forgive.them.]

He lasted longer than gane who probably beats aspinall lmao

[@troy3423]

​@@forgive.them.I want whatever you're smoking

[@matthewr956]

@@forgive.them.No grappling Gane😂😂, knocked down by tai tuivasa😂

[@joeswanson5486]

@@matthewr956tuivasa still beats aspinal

[@AkiMinorikoOfficial]

​@@joeswanson5486Aspinall easily beat Pavlovich and Volkov, who both destroyed Tuivasa.

[@PopSosa-qq4nh]

Ignoring jones 6 inch reach advantage?? Extending both arms is how he kept that punch from landing 😊

[@techjuvas]

6 inch reach advantage equal to 3 inch reach advantage due to how they meassure reach, you know that right?

[@h2woah127]

Idk if it was just me but Jon seemed a bit slower than he used to move

[@mrt445]

He definitely is a lot slower, even during the Gane fight. He's no longer in his prime. I don't see him beating Aspinall or Ngannou right now.

[@fosyay1780]

That happens when you age and put on weight

[@ItaDapeeza]

what are you serious I can't believe it I thought a 38 year old would exactly how he did when he was 28

[@Kancerru]

He looked way faster than in the Ciryl Gane fight, at least.

[@sam2clean981]

Jon jones striking has always been slow to me

[@rezyraiden7931]

who wouldve thought a 41 year old MMA/Fire Fighter would have aged well

[@joeswanson5486]

dc a 41 year old mma/food guy did well against Stipe in their trilogy

[@hipdrive]

​@@joeswanson5486food guy😂😂😂

[@josieandy5874]

Great analysis Che. However, I have yet to hear you sing "O Hino" by Fernandinho in flawless Brazilian Portuguese, so I'm not convinced that you really are much of a Charles Oliveira fan.

[@mrnaps6734]

Charles’ walkout song is so good

[@Aka_GodSpeed]

Jon definitely has the tools to beat Tom but at the same time Jon has the tools to beat almost every fighter but if ANY fighter beats him rn it's Tom aspinall or Curtis blaydes

[@walterreed5849]

at 5:00 if pereira were in that situation that would be his best chance to beat jones

[@motsy15]

First round finish. Tom is a lot bigger , stronger and faster as well as being really skilled. And Jon knows it. He doesn’t like fighting guys with a chance to beat him

[@FrigidHeights]

did you just start watching mma like 2 years ago? What about when he fought prime Rampage? Rashad Evans? TRT Vitor? Prime Shogun? Machida? DC? Gus? Dude has fought many many guys that could’ve beaten him, they just didn’t.

[@matrixxx3662]

@@FrigidHeightsAll fighters are different. It's true Tom hasn't faced anyone like Jones, but that goes both ways. Because every fighters has their unique styles. And throughout his career Jones has fought and beaten lot of fighters who were all different from each other. Of course Gustafson first fight and Reyes are the most debated topic In his career. Even to this day. And he didn't want a rematch with Reyes. Let's not forget that.

[@neeks3782]

@@FrigidHeightsget out of here with your facts

[@stefanomasci7104]

​@@FrigidHeightsQuinton, Evans, Vitor are Small than Jones.

[@TChalla-yg8bl]

Being bigger and stronger does not always win fights

[@shawna7813]

You're wrong about the sequence when Stipe lunged in with punches and Jones stepped backed with his chin in the air. Jones is the best at measuring distance in a fight, he had Stipe measured, all he had to do was back away and reset. You don't want to step back with your chin high if a guy is in range, Stipe was never in range...

[@305thief8]

1:47 disagree his Dominick Reyes fight he looked pretty average compared to how he usually fights we don’t see his unorthodox fighting style there

[@garmdee3188]

Probably was bored and not taking him seriously, and it almost cost him.

[@timothybrowneel3366]

This was the most level headed and thought out perspective on this situation that I have heard. Very well done 👍

[@mikerelva6915]

Any time you think Jon is going to have a hard fight, he steam rolls the guys. It's the fights you think 'Oh boy, this is gonna be a waste" that he struggles. The guys steps up, or "pulses up", to the occasion. He is so fast with the grappling early at heavyweight. Before the action starts he is on a body lock and BOOM. Dude is down getting smashed or passed. I think his work with Gordon Ryan has really paid off. He is so good at using his range and not getting hit. He won't get in boxing range often as he uses teep and kicks to keep you at range. I can totally see Tom blitzing him and ending it soon, but I really won't be surprised if Jones just man handled him. It's the fight to make, but I'm leaning towards Jones at this point. He is the closest to Mayweather of our sport as we got, the guy just doesn't lose and Aspinall has lost multiple times already.

[@matrixxx3662]

@@mikerelva6915Two of his fights were controversial. Especially Reyes fight and Gustafasson first fight, and are the most debated of all his fights. To beat Jones you need a top striker like them with great takedown defence. Both Gus and Reyes had crisp boxing and was tagging Jones a lot. I think you need more than that to beat Jones. You have to be more creative with your strikes and not a head hunter all the time. This is why Jones is In a position where top strikers In this era have bad ground game. So you could say he has all the advantage In a fight with Alex or a rematch with Gane. However, If their takedown defence have Improved a lot and are able to keep Jones on the feet like Gus and Reyes did first time, Jones will be In more trouble than he has ever been. Because they are not just top strikers but also creative Kickerboxers and Muay Thai fighters that can close the distance with him on the feet. They would target his leggs a lot more. And that something Jones is not very used to. He is used to opponents target his chin most of all. With them he will have to deal with their body kicks, legg kicks, knees and elbows. While time will just try to box with him. Which can do the job now that he is older and slower. Hence why he wants that very big fat paycheck incase he loses.

[@matrixxx3662]

@@mikerelva6915 Aspinal has that speed that could catch him. That's about it. I assume he will be trying to knock him out from the start. If Gane and Alex had his takedown defense, there is no doubt In my mind Jones would have been ko'd or tko'd In the championship rounds. Because they are not headhunters and would target different part of his body kicks because as World champion Kickboxers and Muay Thai fighters they are use to attack with punches and kicks In different ways but also used to being attacked that way. It pose a different challenge to Jones then what he is used to. He is used to stretch his hands to protect his face. With them on the feet he has to worry about every part of his body.

[@jemillmilton8257]

Can’t wait to see Jon knockout Tom in 2025..!

[@ghozt9119]

That’s exactly what’s gonna happen

[@leonard.castillo1937]

They sleep on Jones , they think it’s a walk in the Park for Tom . John’s best weapon is the ability to adapt, stay out of harms way and use unorthodox striking .he looks for the path of least resistance, very Tactical. Not like the rest of these HW Lugs that just sit in the pocket whaling at each other till one lands a big shot .

[@elu5ive]

Aspinall became INTERIM CHAMPION by destroying active heavyweights ranked 3rd, 4th, 5th ,7th, 8th in their prime, not a retired old man who hasn't been in the ring for 3.5 years. Duck Jones is a coward.

[@karimw.9954]

Jon became champion by destroying the number one ranked HW. Not the 3rd, 4th, 5th, 7th or 8th. And those rankings you’ve listed are current. Spivak was not ranked in the top 10 ahead of his fight with Tom. Tybura was 10th

[@TChalla-yg8bl]

U must be a newbie, cause Jones finished the number one contender for the title,c'mon man all cap

[@TChalla-yg8bl]

​@@karimw.9954I said the same thing,this guy has not been watching for long.Been watching since day one

[@yoyochan6668]

I'ma Charles fan too but having a giant cut and then two of the same posters of him on the walk is crazy

[@Jacksonmma123]

bro is really taking credit for my slip

[@bourneslippy8039]

“Hands up” is a bit of a fallacy in mma-those little gloves don’t offer near the protection of boxing gloves and punches get past them pretty easily. Slipping is more effective. *Edit-unless you’re poking eyes of course 😅

[@ItaDapeeza]

I still think aspinall's grappling is largely untested, he's good offensively but how good is he defensively, stuffing takedowns from spivac is nice and all but he's not faced anyone with nearly as good wrestling as jon, someone who had no issues taking down a literal olympic bronze medalist

[@olivermalcolm7076]

Sheer size and athleticism makes a huge difference between DC and Tom. That same Bronze medalist couldn’t take down stipe in their third fight? Do you think ngannou is a better wrestler than stipe? Because he looked pretty good in that last fight grappling-wise. I know I’m just asking rhetoricals but I think that shows the weakness of your point. It’s all just mma math that you could easily argue from either side

[@joshuazylstra5745]

@@olivermalcolm7076very intelligent takes

[@ItaDapeeza]

@@olivermalcolm7076 That was 42 year old dc who blew his back from sneezing tho, I get strength plays into it but jones doesnt just have wrestling his grappling(judo,ground and pound, jui jitsu) as a whole is just so slick

[@charleskageleiry7116]

@@ItaDapeeza Jones couldnt take down reyes. Not as simply as jon jones make it out to be dominick reyes and thiago santos arent olympic level wrestlers jon couldnt do shit to them

[@olivermalcolm7076]

@@ItaDapeeza firstly, that’s a fair assessment of the dc fight (age was a huge factor for sure) I also think dc at heavyweight was a factor. Much like Jon he’s not built for that weight class and only ever wrestle fucked Derek Lewis who has no grappling. I’d argue that stipe looked similar levels of slow/old last week as DC did in his trilogy fight. I’m not trying to discredit Jon (although I’m not at all a fan of his personality) his grappling is great and I’m super excited to see how coach Gordon Ryan makes a difference in a potential Aspinal fight. I just want to reiterate, although it would be silly to argue Tom is a better wrestler, I don’t actually think he needs to be to beat Jon. Tom’s basic scramble ability and the ability to find a whizzer like the spivac fight are good signs imo that would be silly to put to luck or something of that sort. Long story short, although size/strength is often beaten by considerable skill, size/strength with basic skill can absolutely be a challenge (see Stipe vs Ngannou 2) Fuck me I hope we see the fight lol, if I’m way off after the fact you’ll have some juicy receipts lol

[@Zezumii]

That mic makes it look like Charles Olivera's head is in your lap

[@osamamanan2723]

Jones upper body looked bigger than stipe. I was surprised because jones was 11 lbs lighter.

[@rudi5139]

Doubt it. You unironically look bigger with darker skin.

[@HoboWithAShotgun]

Jon thinking: Tom, your eyes are as blue as the ocean, and im lost at sea

[@neeks3782]

Gay

[@diegovazquez3566]

Make a breakdown on Yan vs Figgy

[@MMAChe.]

I already did, it's a members only video

[@N54htmare]

@@MMAChe.boooooooooo shame this man shame him

[@saltyman66]

​@MMAChe. Brooooo im so broke😭😭😭

[@efraimsoloway4420]

@@N54htmareif people are dumb enough to pay he has to reward them somehow

[@jboy4023]

What do you think about JJ using these fights to warm up for Tom. He didn’t fight for a long time. You definitely don’t want to take on Tom first off after a long break.

[@giacalonebuilding4443]

I think you are selling Jon short. I think it’s fair to say Jon will not get submitted and he will not get taken down. I also don’t see a world where Tom wins a decision vs Jon. I just think with all that muscle there’s no way he will keep up with Jon’s cardio in championship rounds and I don’t really see him winning all three of the first 3 rounds. After rewatching the Arlovski fight I think Jon finds a way to stay out of harms way for rounds 1/2 and chips away at the body and gas tank of Tom and maybe edges out the 3rd with a late round takedown and some elbows before taking over in championship rounds. Also I think you’re selling Jon’s defense a bit short. He has probably the best defense we’ve ever seen and even if his speed is a bit slower than his prime his instincts are still the best in the game. Stipe fight included you almost never see him get cracked, he’s always moving with the shots and 7” reach over Tom will definitely help. Maybe Tom blitzes in and cracks Jon early but if he doesn’t get him out of there first 8 minutes or so I think Jon wins a legendary fight that goes down in history. That said Jon weighing in at 235 means he could pretty easily cut back down to LHW and challenge Alex for his strap maybe in early summer before fighting Tom at MSG in November for his final fight. Also I don’t think Tom will be able to blitz in on Jon like everyone seems to think, Jon is world class in all 3 styles of wrestling and his Greco trips and throws are literally made for someone who blitzes in ntm adding gable Stevenson (probably the p4p best freestyle and folkstyle wrestler on the planet currently) to his team just an iron sharpens iron type thing.

[@RationalLlama]

I think the weight will be a big issue for Jon when it comes to grappling with Tom, but when it comes to the striking, it's a different thing. Jones' kicks can hurt any heavyweight on the planet, no matter how big they are. Tom will be severely compromised after eating a few of those kicks to the body. But at the same time, Tom is much faster with his hands and one shot can put Jones down. The thing about Tom is that he's never been tested and Jones will test him. How Tom performs in the championship rounds in a mystery It's such an intriguing fight. I hope it happens.

[@claudemaggard7162]

Tom isn't gonna make it to the championship rounds if it goes past two rounds

[@JoeMma-oz4zq]

i think aspinall will win hes just too big and fast but obviously mma is a unpredictable sport

[@DefinitelyAhriman]

I don't think Jon's kicks will be as reliable when facing someone like Aspinall. Tom's use of lateral movement and feints makes just chipping away at him a lot tougher than someone like Stipe. He constantly shifts from side to side, dips in and out of range and feints to force reactions. I'd recommend checking out Mighty Mouse's breakdown of Aspinall vs Pavlovich for a pretty in depth look at it. The question really is can Jon survive the first couple of rounds, and can Tom keep up that high energy fight style past R2. Though if Tom can somehow keep that pace up deep into the fight (I doubt he can), then Jon is probably in for a real rough time.

[@86lanzo]

Not cutting weight..doesn't make your chin worse... It honestly wouldn't surprise me if Jon Jones makes this fight look easy.. And Jon Jones does have a heavyweight frame...Jon Jones is 1 inch shorter than Tom..with 6 inches reach advantage.. That's one thing ppl get get about jon..dude has a heavyweight frame but his comically small legs allowed him to make lightheavyweight and beat up smaller fighters Jon jones will likely do what he does v dangerous strikers..neutralize their attacks with a grappler heavy gameplan.. And we haven't really seen Tom in deep waters..how does he look in the 3rd,4th or 5th...

[@RMor66]

Great boxing, insane speed, hard to take down, and bigger than him is basically Jon Jones kryptonite

[@FrigidHeights]

If Jon was a natural HW he probably beats Tom ngl. especially in his prime.

[@DravkatRakhmonessis]

​@@FrigidHeightsWhat does that even mean. He had the hw frame from the beginning with his height and long limbs, so he is technically a natural hw.

[@FrigidHeights]

@@DravkatRakhmonessis not at all, as explained in this video. Jones doesn’t hold heavyweight well at all. Guys like Gane, Aspinall, Ngannou, are just naturally 250+ and muscular without needing to bulk. They’re just massive. Jones had to bulk heavily to get to 250 and in doing so had a lot of fluff on him, he has a lanky, wiry, frame. hence the name “Bones”. He’s not built like a heavyweight the way Tom is. Tom could absolutely never make LHW in a million years.

[@yetiman6263]

Skills vs Hype!

[@discoshrew7403]

Perfect breakdown of the situation. Even chael said it the other day “there’s not a single man walking the earth who weighs 30lbs less than me that I can’t beat in a fight”

[@ILYxIW]

To piggyback on that, I hate when people seem to think heavyweights are all just terrible and easy to beat. While they definitely aren’t as technically skilled, the size and strength makes up for it. Thats why you don’t see long reigning heavyweights, you can lose to a less skilled fighter if they just catch you with something big or rip a submission with crazy strength. If heavyweights were trash, then the ripped 205ers would just move up and dominate the division but that doesn’t happen.

[@MrSteezEnvy]

Why are people making it seem like Jon hasn’t dealt with people SIGNIFICANTLY faster than Tom? We do realize Jon has fought people who are, without a doubt better than Tom right? He fought at LHW for almost 13 years…I get you guys like Tom, but Jesus stop making it seem like Tom is some famed fighter. In all reality Tom’s “career” is comprised of average heavy weights and no real competition, because he joined when the division was at its weakest. No Ngannou, DC, Stipe, Gane or Jon. These takes are just wild. The recency bias is really frustrating with the UFC. It’s mind boggling that you can even form a thought that a guy with 6-7 fights against average at best fighters is somehow better than a guy who spent damn near 16 years beating hall of famers.

[@ILYxIW]

You’re conflating technical ability with actual fighting. Yes Jon fought faster guys and more skilled guys but they’re still way smaller guys. That’s like saying bantamweights beat Tom because they’re faster and more skilled. If 205ers were so easily better than the best heavyweights, they would simply move up and become champions or ranked, but that almost never happens and they don’t usually do that well when they move up.

[@CheshMMA]

So because Jon beat some old middleweights his resume is amazing? Recency bias has purpose. Tony Ferguson was interim champ and title contender, now hes on like an 8 fight losing streak. No ones expecting him to be like the old Tony. Why do you expect Jon to be like old Jon? He spent no where near 16 years beating legends he's been out the sport for years at a time 😂

[@FrigidHeights]

@@CheshMMAWtf? have you taken a look Jon’s resume? Lol it’s far more than old middleweights.

[@CheshMMA]

@@FrigidHeights His best fight early on was Shogun. Most of his opponents were over 10 years older. Hes had 24 fights in 16 years lmfao. His win over TRT vitor was good, but Jones was on steroids himself. Chael sonnen said Jon was pushing him like nothing and he was on juice himself 😂 he beat Lyoto after his prime and winning streak was over. He has daylight robberies on record, which without watching the fights you wouldnt even know.

[@MrSteezEnvy]

@@CheshMMA Everyone he fought went on to fight for 6 - 7 more years in the UFC with the exception of Rampage. They were all in their late 20s or early 30s except for Vitor, who was 35, and btw is on more Roids than probably anyone on the planet. Recency bias has no purpose if you're attempting to compare someone who's fought nothing but greats, to someone who's beat average fighters at best. Tom has no one big on his record except who Curtis Blaydes? Lmao.

[@eminemfann1000]

I like aspinall but tbh Jones has a point the whole Francis thing didn't happen because of money and Dana being difficult with both fighters trying to negotiate for more is more the point. I don't even like Jones but giving aspinall too much confidence could end badly. Guy is an absolute beast but i still think jones can scrape it if it goes past 3 rounds. Apart from Francis or a cross into boxing to box Tyson,usyk or dubois Tom is probably his perfect last fight in the UFC so i don't think he's wrong asking 20-40$ mil for his last 2 fights then boosting across to PFL if he wants to try big Francis and retiring. If he beats tom on drugs or not he'll be definitively the absolute goat of the UFC wether you like him or not. Tom is a great fighter but hasn't got that sociopathic do anything to win look about him like Jones does.

[@zfin87]

Jones looked like his joints were rusted to the bone compared to his 205 self and you could hear him creaking every time he moved, but Stipe somehow simultaneously looked like he was fighting underwater and on the moon. Aspinall batters both guys who showed up that night in the same night imo

[@bluechili7036]

After Jon twists the vertebrae of Tim Aspilands neck he should just retire, it's like Khabib said they respect you for that moment when you're in the cage, but they're always going to bring a new guy up and say hes the one to beat you, until eventually it'll happen

[@stephencox8723]

Jon’s natural best is between 220-225. His rehydration weight against Gus for the second fight was within that range.

[@malikjenkins6395]

Bro I had to subscribe when you said your power went out I don’t know why I laughed but w video

[@douglaswilliams4687]

Maybe my age is showing but I think you have not seen vintage Bones, he goes at peoples strengths negates those and either uses those skills to beat you or he changes his game plan instantly throughout the fight to adjust. No one does that better, you are a victim of recency bias I believe. If you think Tom has decent elbows, good luck on not taking a few of those from Jon. Has Aspinall faced anywhere near the competition of Bones? Please I heard how fast and mobile Gane was before that fight as well.

[@bouski6752]

If you won't fight the best in the division because there is larger than normal chance you won't win, you dont deserve to wear the belt of that division. This is about who's the better fighter, not who has the better resume

[@AKMcF]

I reckon that the lack of tape is the biggest issue, Jon needs a solid game plan for Aspinall but there's just too many unknowns for his team to do that. Also, can you imagine Jon taking a calf kick from Aspinall.. it would snap him ! 🤣

[@JohnDean16]

Jones’s defence has always been really bizarre. He has a really good chin and a good ability to roll with shots but his boxing defence in particular has always been fucking horrendous. I’m not sure how he’s managed to get away with it for so long.

[@powdermuaythai]

"all the normal stuff" indeed XD

[@dionshaewishum4179]

Jon has the skill to beat Aspinall and the skill to get paid what wants. Jon is going to hurt Tom. A knee and kicks to the body, spinning elbows, every legal dirty maneuver he knows. He knows plenty. We have to pay for him to exhibit that skill and expend all that energy. Tom has knockout power, but I would have bet Jon over Francis for the same reason. Some fighters are more dangerous because they don’t give a shit about you, your career, family, wife, nothing you love.

[@Mokuteke]

This is the most glaze ever pls never comment ever again

[@dionshaewishum4179]

@@Mokutekeso you can read and provide feedback? Amazing

[@christophercurtis9392]

I generally hate MMA youtube channels. I say that with a passion, and my dislike of them is well documented. But I actually enjoy your takes and thoughts on things. Well done

[@tnoinetwork]

No one would be talking about his age how big Jones prior to this fight he was the greatest ever ever ever and people showing in droves to watch him beat Jones and says he got beat by now about his age. He doesn’t have it anymore. Excuses excuses, excuses, and Jones beats Tom. You guys will pull another great white out of your ass

[@Mokuteke]

Then you haven’t looked at any mma media besides Dana’s interviews if you think nobody said anything about his age

[@jimmygundes6266]

Stipe was slow after round 1, which is to be expected considering he took almost 50 elbows. JJ getting away because of Stipe's reach doesn't matter, he calculates the reach just well enough... And JJ said that Stipe's punches were the hardest he was hit with, so Stipe had power. Stipe was also heavier than JJ, JJ took him down easily. Stipe was out since 2020, JJ had just the fight vs Gane since 2020, fought in a weight that Stipe is way more used to, had an injury which took 6 months from training... So all issues you think Stipe had, JJ had too. Yet he dominated... Stipe still lasted longer than Gane even after the round 1 punishment. Totally disagree with your analysis in regards to JJ and Stipe. Like some ppl say, Stipe lost to JJ, not father time. It's the truth... JJ is that good and that tough. GSP talked about how tough he is, that ppl underestimate just how tough he is to take out. In fact, there isn't a single time in his career that he was wobbling, almost getting KO'd, not a single one...

[@charleskageleiry7116]

stipe hasnt' beaten a young HW contender since 2018 when he fought francis. His time at the top was extended by histrilogyy with DC then he retired after he got KOd by francis. Stipe was done and this fight was clearly made just to make jon look better

[@kraterkrate2014]

You should just film with candlelight from now on

[@CrisCris-y7q]

You underestimate JJ's chin. To say that Stipe has lost power in his punches is so stupid. He is still young. Look, Im 63 and can still punch as hard as I did in my 20's and 30's. Just dont have the endurance, lost that years ago, so the strength does wane if you go for more than a round or two.

[@techjuvas]

Doubt, seriously doubt. Not even pro boxers hits as hard when they are 50-60 compared to what they did in the 20-30s.. Sure maybe you hit just as hard on target that is standing still, and you can load up - but your speed and timing isn't even half as good at that age so there is no way you hit as hard on a moving target. Just no chance at all.

[@CrisCris-y7q]

@techjuvas Look, if your loading up in a fight, you telegraph. If you already rocked someone you can then load up to finish them off. If you fight with someone who has had some training and is fit, it's true your reflexes and eyes on a moving target are not as good compared to youth, of course. The hardest thing about getting older, even if you can still whoop some young guys, you just can't do some of the things you remember doing in your youth days. I think I can speak for many older men who prefer to not make it to a very old age, coz you don't wanna become a shadow and depend on others. Living under certain conditions is what I fear most, not death itself.

[@techjuvas]

@@CrisCris-y7q I defintely understnad your point better now, thanks for clarifying :)

[@JerseyJersey100]

Jon will shock the world and beat Tom by decision. Been saying it since round 2 vs Stipe. I hope I’m wrong.

[@THeGoat-x6e]

Guys this fight has been unofficially announced because Dana has said publicly that he doesn't want Jon to fight Pereira because he knows Alex would lose and that would be diminishing his future stardom, so with that out of the way I think Jones would 100% take the last payday, even if he'll lose. (like Stipe did).

[@travistodd4576]

Bro switched to the candle like a G instant subscription lol

[@apealeal3973]

Candle light bit made me laugh out loud

[@IndianaJones44]

John is going to kick this shit out of him and take him down whenever he wants. Pin this comment

[@leolovetoparty]

That was a great analysis. Thank you

[@ChamaUFC300]

Terrible take because people don’t realize he makes people freeze up due to his tools like low kicks oblique kicks teeps spinning kicks etc plus stipe has never faced a striker with that style and that reach of jones isn’t the same as fighting DC

[@mishagelenava2962]

I think Tom's background is catch wrestling. He trained in BJJ after he started with catch wrestling and boxing as a child. But he knicks people out so much and so quickly, ge doesn't showcase his wrestling and grappling skills as much. It would be interesting to really test his wrestling against someone like Jones, who's known as an elite wrestler.

[@realeyesrealizereallies6828]

We know about Tom's speed and power, but that's about all we know for sure..So it's hard to have a good idea what would happen in that fight..Jon will certainly make it a distance fight, spamming kicks, jabs, clinch and maybe a take down here and there..Sitting down on a punch against Tom takes extreme courage..But if you don't, Tom will take some shots to knock you out quickly..But, Jon could certainly win that fight, I would lean Aspinall though..

[@DSM-w3z]

8;34 isnt volk like 5'7 with a 6'0 reach? he certainly should be able to guard like topuria, more of a skill thing than anatomy

[@brock1934]

I hate the steroid argument, most pro athletes are just on it. It’s underrated how easy it is to pass these tests. Not defending jones but it’s just how it is

[@BenitoElduce-o7k]

No, there is no evidence to suggest your claim

[@techjuvas]

Seems like Jones have had a very hard time to pass those tests then ;)

[@brock1934]

@@techjuvas Oh I agree drug tests are a IQ test and obviously bro isn’t smart (his past is interesting)

[@Person_gu]

The way i see this fight going is, jones is well rounded , elbows , take downs, kicks as we saw, jones frustrates ppl because you never know at what time jones will kick, or take down, or elbow but tom doesn't have to be bettter or more well rounded than Jones to beat him. All tom has to do is time jones and thats all she wrote. I highly doubt jones will survive a brutal haymaker to his chin. Jones best but still risky defense is to stay at range, stay away and beat tom by points but I highly doubt Jones... despite his kicks and elbows will be able to to escape without something landing on him. Tom is a volume puncher. My prediction is, Tom will knock jones out in the 2nd round

[@EG-mw8kp]

7:37 Pereiras timing

[@Pottsfitnesssys.superpatch]

Tom needs Jon in order to get the big money. If Tom is the stud his fans claim he is then he should be the reason people pay money no matter who he fights. Jerry Cooney 2024. Dudes always looking to us for the big paycheck. Starve him. Make your own way. He is an overrated fighter who will be forgotten in two years.

[@honestabe4768]

Jones' kicks were great, but his hand speed looked slow to me. Tom WILL check Jon's chin. We will see if it holds up. I want to see Tom in the 3rd - 5th rounds. Could get interesting with Jon's elite cardio and championship experience.

[@someguy701]

Lil bro who’s “I” you mean Jackson’s 100k.

[@MMAChe.]

@someguy701 nah it costs a pretty penny to appear on stream with me

[@Jacksonmma123]

someguy701 knows whats up.

[@MMAChe.]

@@Jacksonmma123 🫥

[@oneofyus3799]

1) Aspinal is winning if he comes self confident and aggressive 2) Aspinal loses if he doubts too much - Jon will piece him up with technic

[@Deimian676]

Che ? That wasn’t the same Gustafson that faced Jones the second time around . Gustafson had no movement . The one thing he did well in the first fight were the feints and constantly in and out movements. Gustafson was just walking down Jon Jones slowly( very little movement). Not the same Gustafson

[@tomjones6347]

Tom is from Atherton, not far from Wigan... Which is the birthplace of catch wrestling. I don't agree that Jon has a better chance with the takedowns etc. if two black belts of a similar level go at it, I'll always pick the bigger more athletic one to win

[@wilarz89]

The thing is its hard to compete in MMA, now imagine also being a fireman....

[@DaveKaraman]

“With candlelight”😂

[@ramirosuarez4141]

I get what youre saying when you say Jones was probably on PEDs for the first Gustafsson fight. But to be fair Gus was probably on PEDs as well, since that fight was before usada, its only after they started testing when a lot of fighters declined, except for Jones who tested positive like 3 times after that. So thats why i still stand by Gus in the rematch, Jones cheated and the fight shoulndt even happen

[@groscaramelmou2583]

The difference is that jones got caught 4 times for ABUSING peds, not guss. Every pro athlete is on peds, but the usage is controled, they cant abuse of it if they dont wana get caught, but jones, even if he is the most privileged fighter ever, got caught 4 times. So no matter how much guss was on peds this night, bet on the fact that jones got at least double dose

[@SavedSinnerbyJesusChrist]

​@@groscaramelmou2583A lot more fighters than you think take them none of them have careers anywhere close to Jones

[@ChristianHart-ne7fk]

I think for most of John’s opponents if he has his harms stretched out and on them they can’t reach him.

[@shreyanshraj8542]

The candle lighting actually seems better

[@DominickSalvato]

We don’t want nothing but the Aspinal fight the world’s gonna erupt when we get the aspen fight

[@DominickSalvato]

Vs jones bigger then any Conner fight Tom vs Jon

[@samlazar1053]

Jones vs stipe is a fight that should have taken place 12 years ago. Stipe is 43 years old for hod sake

[@karimw.9954]

12 years ago when Jon was a newly crowned LHW champion and Stipe had less than 10 fights under his belt?

[@yukimamapogiii]

Excellent video and analysis my friend! Many key points here that let's us predict the possible outcome of their fight!

[@urielcalderon9639]

Jones will attack that surgically repaired knee which also is the side he leaves out, destroying that knee will take away his power and speed and it’s the easiest attack Jones can do at distance

[@devinmurdock5717]

I wonder if theirs a possibility that the reason why Jon Jones is delaying agreeing to this fight is so he can cycle peds and allow enough time after getting off of them to pass the drug test when the fight against Aspinall is official whilst still reaping the performance benefits.

[@Di11zCODM]

I swear to god people are going to say I’m crazy, but watch the fight back. Jon pretty quickly in the fight realized Stipe is way way past his prime and was fighting like a literal bum. Jon purposefully allowed Stipe to land some shots and drug the fight out way longer than it needed to be to avoid hearing how bad a decision it was to make this fight. He tried his best inside that octagon to make Stipe look good without actually putting himself in danger. That’s why immediately when the post fight interview started he just talked about how good Stipe was in there. This man’s a master manipulator and gas lighter. Dude tried to gaslight all of us watching that fight

[@Someguyagain246]

I’ve been telling a friend of mine for years jon is not a heavyweight…maybe if there was a 225 division he would be perfect there

[@Mario-y7r]

Simple answer, Bones fights Aspinall for undisputed.

[@kennethalbright3427]

Every fight once Tom gets hit that's when he goes in for The knockout or finished

[@Mahhhdeee]

Dudes 6’4 he’s a natural hw lmao

[@abudujana13]

Thanks for the video, MMA CHE

[@DRIPZERO5]

I think a lot of people are going to be surprised for no reason when jones subs aspinall in the first.