The Inevitability of War | Prof. John Mearsheimer

John speaks with Prof. John Mearsheimer about the nature of political realism and the fight for global power.
See the Full Interview Here: • Ukraine, Taiwan and Th...
#Russia #Ukraine #America #China
John J. Mearsheimer is the R. Wendell Harrison Distinguished Service Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago, where he has taught since 1982. He graduated from West Point in 1970 and then served five years as an officer in the U.S. Air Force. He then started graduate school in political science at Cornell University in 1975. He received his Ph.D. in 1980. He spent the 1979-1980 academic year as a research fellow at the Brookings Institution, and was a postdoctoral fellow at Harvard University’s Centre for International Affairs from 1980 to 1982. During the 1998-1999 academic year, he was the Whitney H. Shepardson Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York.
His recent and most notable works include, "The Tragedy of Great Power Politics" (2001), "The Israel Lobby and U.S. Foreign Policy" (2007), and "Great Delusion: Liberal Dreams and International Realities" (2018).
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John Mearsheimer Socials
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Website: www.mearsheimer.com/

[@jespee4155]

“The supreme art of war is to subdue the enemy without fighting.” ― Sun Tzu

[@leevan2332]

Yeah it's happening to the US right now....With all the WOKE Politically correct garbage

[@xijuncui2776]

Finally something actually said by Sun Tzu

[@Memovox]

USForeverwars Inc. never read Sun Tzu.

[@thedownunderverse]

Like buying all your enemies houses

[@genestone4951]

​@@xijuncui2776"We sure need Mark Milley back" -- Sun Tzu, The Art of War

[@MotherEarth573]

People don’t want war, only politicians

[@ramonching7772]

Only US politicians.

[@OfficialGapTV]

Exactly generals forget we’re in the age of information…nobody can just pump war propaganda & posters like early 1900’s….people are more connected together than they are with their own governments

[@scotteaster1141]

Politicians want war to cover up their corruption and distract us from real problems we face as a nation.

[@evmollet5418]

Bankers, investors, fanatics (religious or not), politicians…. You can combine these how ever you want..

[@powergrassp7769]

This is not hate speech, but what I am saying is the fact that the era of collusion between the US government and the Chinese government to produce cheap goods for each other is over, and whether there will be a war is beyond the control of the government

[@cocoacrispy7802]

As always, what gets you in trouble are the things you think you know that you actually don't.

[@cheecharron1244]

Expect the unexpected.

[@nibiruresearch]

I like Prof. Mearsheimer. Clear analyses based on a lot of knowledge from recent history. And I like John Anderson for listening without interrupting.

[@pwcrabb5766]

Misleading title. Inevitability is very different from his statement of non-trivial probability.

[@scottythetrex5197]

Not necessarily, if one assumes the content was meant to rebut the idea war is inevitable.

[@ticiusarakan]

what probability man, putin knoked to nato door in early 2000's.

[@cherubimcherubim9515]

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter said the United States has been at peace for only 16 of its 242 years as a nation, calling the country "the most warlike nation in the history of the world." From directly launching wars, backing proxy wars, stirring up inter-state hostilities to engineering "color revolutions," the United States has been involved in most of the major warfares or military conflicts since WWII. These wars and conflicts have devastated the invaded countries, killed millions of civilians, and displaced tens of millions.William Jones, Washington bureau chief of the U.S. publication Executive Intelligence Review, has said that Russia's main concern about NATO eastward expansion has never been heeded by the United States, "which is only interested in maintaining its hegemonic status in Europe, and which has been steadily retreating from that collaborative policy which the West committed itself to after the Cold War."

[@garyguyton7373]

Jimmy Carter, the man who gave us the Ayatollahs in fascist Iran, being cited as a source of "blame" for the worlds woes is an absolute joke. No other President was such a total failure in terms of foreign policy.

[@Devastating-queen-destroyrKing]

Very true mate

[@Oxol33]

Meanwhile we can't afford universal healthcare or education like other countries can, and our infrastructure is falling apart. But our obsession with the Middle East continues...

[@cherubimcherubim9515]

@@Oxol33 yup a sail 8000 miles to south china sea to claim so-called freedom of navigation. Given over 200 billions dollars to zelensky. Lol

[@Devastating-queen-destroyrKing]

@@Oxol33 "where there is oil🛢️, there is need for human rights" and thus US comes into 🎬

[@Jan-qg1iy]

Short and Brilliant!! So only one minor caveat: confrontation *not **_"decades ahead,"_* but *within this decade,* I'm afraid.

[@themindsojourner]

Seeing how desperate the US for having a war in Asia is very disgusting

[@User-jr7vf]

That's because the Americans know their time is running out. If China continues to increase its influence over the world, there will come a time when the US dollar will no longer be the world reserve currency, thus the US will have no say in internatinal matters and hence it will lose its dominance. By that time the US will no longer be able to deal with China militarily because China is increasing its military strength each day. They know all of this in Washington, thus they are hurrying up so as to confront China now.

[@echen71]

When did “non-trivial chance” become “inevitable”?

[@johnhugh3198]

When China is cornered by US like Russia now.

[@djtan3313]

When warmongers talk.

[@chrisl442]

Since clickbaiting has become a new art of deception.

[@Ozgipsy]

Mearsheimer has been a frightening conversation, John. He sees the world as Kissinger saw it, very strategic.

[@nikolaikrustev1159]

I don't think MereSchemer is frightened of anything at his age while pedalling Kremlin propaganda. I'd suggest he goes 'toward the light.'

[@MsLS8]

@@nikolaikrustev1159u r so blinded by the hatred towards Russia that u r unable to see what’s in front of you

[@twanderson7756]

What's frightening is hubristic US foreign policy, of which Kissinger was an overrated and arch-exponent. Mearsheimer is simply a true realist.

[@nikolaikrustev1159]

@@MsLS8 My hatred is not towards Russia but only for its murderous regime. I do know and read Russian, unlike many ignorant 'Z-cheerleaders' familiar only with translated Kremlin propaganda.

[@nikolaikrustev1159]

@@MsLS8 Kremlin is NOT Russia, which I don't hate. The real decent Russians are either oppressed, in jail or exiled.

[@denislim123]

Let us not forget that John's is part of the US establishment whose perspective is US hegemony.

[@yummytummy88]

Johns ideology is the white man needs to rule the world and if any nation that believes otherwise is a threat to our ego.

[@samanthajones4877]

The faster the world de-dollars, the faster we can avoid WWIII.

[@AnarchistDoc]

Indeed, US is a war machine

[@cjyoung7372]

CDC is our savior 😂

[@jackz166]

Give me your usd pls. Thnx

[@TheSNDObserver]

Is that BRICS I hear calling?

[@careyfreeman5056]

Don't hold your breath. Even under the "best" conditions, US dollar remains what it is for at least 2 decades. Even BRICS stated in their last meeting that they have no desire to replace the dollar. Their words, not mine.

[@iamjordonbarnett]

You should get John and Peter Zeihan on a podcast to discuss this!

[@jacobmee]

US has no capacity to stop China in Asia, so what she does is to ask Taiwan become a block to stop China. The issue is Taiwan is too weak while China keeps growing.

[@ngg9544]

Let’s bring the freedom of navigation to Hawaii Coast of California the Caribbean Long Island Gulf of Mexico. Let China Russia hold military manoeuvre there

[@npc2480]

War can be avoided if the dollar crashes.

[@art2103]

😂

[@Opressed]

You Phd's can elaborate as much as you want. At the end of the day, nobody knows sht about what's going to happen

[@necronlord52]

What he says is "may be yes, may be no, it depends". Or, simply put, he have no idea. And it is pretty easy to guess: today nobody have any idea, what will come next.

[@thienkim1754]

😂 basically it depends on who is the next US president ??? Biden more likely ? Trump a little less likely?? And the unknown???

[@warzy01]

Like everything in life...

[@thelastaustralian7583]

This is a great example. That Humans are being dominated unconsciously, by 'unevolved' Primal instincts .

[@warzy01]

You too dude you are no better ...

[@user-gf3lw5pi4t]

Yes we’re stuck with our little monkey brains

[@sharegreats2157]

An interesting platform.

[@edwardlim7253]

Seems like Mearsheimer is suggesting it's ok to have nuclear war in open seas..

[@NaturalLanguageLearning]

Fraudsheumer is ok with wars of conquest and genocide, as long as it's the geopolitical opponents of the US who do it.

[@jenniferlawrence2701]

He didn't say it was ok. He said the US and China may be more willing to use those weapons at sea than they would on land.

[@doyouwanttogivemelekiss3097]

Perhaps mearsheimer underestimates another révolution: the semiconductor revolution. I.e., even in the ocean, the battlefield value of a nuke is no longer that great, because modern guided weapons will hit ships just as well, and are (relatively) cheap to produce in mass quantities. And therefore sufficient to sink fleets without nukes. IMHO, throughout out the past half century, the counter value aspect of nukes has been consistently becoming more important than the counter force aspect. And without judging nuclear powers specifically (us/rus/cn/..), saying that counter value is a legitimate strategy is like saying genocide is ok because the other guys do it too. This is where humanity is at 🤷‍♂️...

[@jessgatt2306]

I have seen this on the horizon for decades, but now I see it somewhat athwartship.

[@hugokolontaj6051]

pls mark the short excerpt clips as that... great anyway.

[@helokitty991]

We can imagine a war in south China sea that US navy is distroied and never been able to rebuilt fue to lack of skilled worker and high inflation

[@careyfreeman5056]

Destroyed by what? PT boats? Water-fueled missiles?

[@josephschuster7181]

I always thought that Nuclear War as a probability was supposed to be a deterrent to war of such magnitude? Insanity!

[@jamesrogers47]

If both sides in a conflict cannot afford to lose, then all options to avoid defeat can become acceptable. No rational person would choose to use nuclear weapons, but people are seldom entirely rational when facing potential defeat. The temptation to use a limited number of nuclear weapons to escape defeat could become too great to resist. In a hypothetical war between the United States and China over Taiwanese autonomy, both sides would find themselves in a position where they could not afford to lose. A return to the status quo antebellum, in which Taiwan maintains its autonomy and functions, as it has, as a defacto sovereign nation, would be unacceptable to Beijing. If they choose to use force to recover Taiwan, their definition of victory will be regaining total control of the island. For the US, if they choose to confront China militarily over Taiwan, the only acceptable outcome will be Taiwanese independence and Beijing's abandoning all claims to the island. There really isn't room for a face saving compromise that could allow each side to declare "victory."

[@npc2480]

@@jamesrogers47if you research Chinese history and how the west bullied and divided pieces of Chinese territory amongst themselves. You’ll soon realize that China will not accept an independent Taiwan even if the US intervenes militarily. You better pray Taiwan elects the next president that would want unification, otherwise, we here in the US might see some fireworks for the first time and may very well be the last time.

[@supriadiramlan5545]

bro, the decision making family get into safezone somewhere in dessert, they dont care abt their voter family, or the citizen whose tax payed their salary (politician) the insanity is the people 'believe" the politician working for the citizen or the people, or the country..... no, the politician working for the donor whose financing their campaign :) simple example, if u live in western world why all western world politician buy dangerous and experimental vaccine 3-5x of population dose? lol big pharma is big donors for their campaign fund raising :) the country just need enemy so they create enemy (Russia or China or both) why? because people need distraction other wise people will realize 0.1% super rich worth as much as bottom 90% lol

[@jamieharmer5654]

The idea of having nuclear weapons to prevent war is M.A.D

[@anthonygerace332]

Well, it's been plausibly argued that the Cold War was "cold" (rather than being World War Three) because both sides had nuclear weapons (and because, fortunately, none of the world leaders in that era were actually insane).

[@MichaelMyall]

US must back off, study history, learn diplomacy, and show respect.

[@Shilo-fc3xm]

So of course it's good to get clarity, even confirmation but basically that offered nothing most of us didn't already know. No disrespect. John and Professor Mearsheimer offered everything they could and this video needed to be shared, but nothing breathtakingly surprising here.

[@jt1559]

True, but no one in the mainstream is really saying this.

[@Shilo-fc3xm]

@@jt1559 I wouldn't know. I have rarely watched mainstream news or current affairs in over twenty years.

[@careyfreeman5056]

Especially from Mearsheimer, who hasn't changed his narrative for 20 years. Makes me wonder if he's pushing an agenda and if he's being paid for maintaining that agenda.

[@careyfreeman5056]

@@jt1559 Sure they are. On Republican PR outlets. Colby and DeSantis are using this logic to create a wedge issue with the Biden administration.

[@rogeralsop3479]

A realistic view.

[@rationalthinker2200]

If Each Superpowers stick to their side of the Pacific ..there will be no wars . Remember SOUTH Vietnam...how many young US men were forcefully drafted to fight and sadly some mained and died in the jungles of Vietnam 10,000 km from their home ...and for what?. Is South East Asia a more war torn place after the US left Vietnam... .? Instead South East Asia population enjoyed Peace and Economic development after a period of political adjustment ....from the 1980s till today..half a century of Peace when the US does not pivot to Asia..

[@rationalthinker2200]

@@Rob-iz6nm you must be off this planet..American youths were literally seeking asylum in Canada,Mexico etc to avoid the war draft to fight in Vietnam..there was so much opposition to it that no American President could continue with the war...because the American people had enough of their Youths dieing in the jungles of Vietnam and for what...

[@buildmotosykletist1987]

ATT JOHN: Click bait titles will lose you viewers.

[@johnkruk6929]

Crazy presentation 😢

[@alfred-vz8ti]

if you are really, really, worried about war, start a citizen initiative to de-fund the military, bring the military missions home, and start re-building usa. that's the beauty of democracy.

[@62adrianm]

Cannot do that mate, try to be realistic: you’ll end up dead in a car accident, or a sudden heart attack or committing suicide, or an overdose and so on. Democracy ???? Oh my God, you’re so naive.

[@MusicShortsGlobal]

It costs a lot of money to the U.S citizens to pay for various wars. We should seek for peace and harmony while guarding democracy.

[@fvo911]

I was born in 1991 Russia, it was the bless as I had 30 years in continuous rise of everything and complete freedom, the year 2022 hit harder than Covid and what I see is that we go more and more into a world of chaos reshuffled by nation states.

[@DajeilGelian]

Why the US empire can only be stopped by force to restart global development: Empires like the US one are complex self-organizing systems that are constantly in search of cheap energy. This search drive is causing their intrinsic urge to expand and control sources of energy (energy=resources). These systems can never stop themselves, only the embedding system and competing systems can, and only by force. This is nature. It has nothing to do with governments and presidents or any specific party or group of companies. If a system perceives it could expand along a specific dimension or sets of dimensions it will try to do so, and will push even violently if it sees a positive ROI. Global peace is therefore only, and only possible through a multi-system balance, where expansion yields negative ROI. As the US empire, for the last 30 years expanded into the Middle East and towards Russia it has now experienced a push back by two equally powerful systems: Russia and China, and a third one which is BRICS. The US empire systems could only be stopped by force in the Ukraine. It was honourable that Russia tried to end the empires expansion peacefully but it was in vain as the intrinsic drive can only be stopped by force- when the expanding system "feels" it cannot expand anymore. However, the main reason for having multiple systems (poles) balancing each other are evolutionary market forces. Only plurality can lead to competition and innovation and thus progress. A world with one imperial system would be a global monopole and world dictatorship with no innovation and no evolution. And nature would very quickly see to an utter implosion of such a system. So Russia did exactly the right thing from an evolutionary point of view. It stopped the empire's expansion and freed up secure space for the emergence of a innovative polypole global collaboration platform based on the Ricardo principle of free competition of natural competitive advantages : BRICS. Everything else like is Taiwan China or not is secondary to that. It is not about the Ukraine or Taiwan or controlling the oil, it is about monopolistic stagnation v pluralistic evolution and prosperity. This is why the US empire, the last European empire, must be stopped. Stopping it means also that the system will break down, as it is based on constant expansion. When you take away the expansion space, the Hegemon will have to drain its existing domains of energy, as it happens in Europe and Japan, and that will lead to the inner break down of existing balances between the Hegemon and its colonies. Currently the US Empire controls ca 50 countries fully and some 40 dependencies partially. These 90 countries pay a 5% (Piketty ,2012) free imperial rent to the Hegemon, which enables a low innovation and low productivity growth of the core, the Hegemon, in this case the US. Once colonies leave, the Hegemon will try to compensate for losses from the the 5% (which are now around 1.25 Tn $ annually), by a combination of expansion wars and increased rent from the remaining colonies. The more colonies leave the control space the more the remaining have to pay. This at first leads to effects like inflation, then shortages, then the departure of sectors from the colonies and then higher taxes to pay for the Hegemon's rent and that invokes ever more protests and government changes, which are countered by regime change activities of the Hegemon which will become ever more open, for example in the EU, where the Establishment just installed their favourite successor to Macron, years ahead of his departure. The real break down will only happen, when the alternative model shows its higher performance- for as long as you can tell people somehow they still live in the best of worlds they will not rebel. But once they understand that BRICS is better and the imperial model drags them down- then the dissolution of the empire begins. This is why of course the Hegemon will fight any naturally competing system. All so predictable- and amusing!

[@thienkim1754]

W0W long but good

[@ganboonmeng5370]

Sometime I see...supposing great thinkers....thinking of geopolitical development...without the consideration of the new reality which is " There can be NO WINNER amongst near peer War today " and still thinking about the inevitable war of geopolitic competition...I am shake my head !

[@bloodwork993]

Just like everyone unspokenly agreed to not use chemical weapons in ww2, the same thing could happen regarding nuclear weapons in a war between China and the USA.

[@user-qv6ud2hx6f]

Nobody agreed, it was just not effective.

[@Sora_Nai]

Yeah no one agreed it was just bad. Even the slightest wind and the chemical attack one side threw would be coming right back at them. They’d be killing them selves. So it wasn’t because they agreed to not use it, it just wasn’t practical.

[@adolft_official]

why do you think after corona , chinese economy is slowing down?

[@booger65man]

There is also a non-trivial chance that I will win the Powerball one day.

[@qianghuang7320]

its pretty trivial

[@User-jr7vf]

I can imagine a scenario where China and the US are forbidden from using nukes by the other nuclear armed nations.

[@Myonin]

South east markets are the thing on the table for US

[@stevensmith743]

Professor Mearsheimer has been remarkably prescient on Eastern Europe and Russia for several decades. It's noteworthy that the arsonists at the US State Dept. and within the US IC have been consistently wrong during the same interval...

[@ronnie2.803]

As usual america is TOO eager to bounce around the word “nuclear” just so long as it is a neighborhood far from american heart land.

[@AbuMusaAlFaradi]

Dear Prof John, what is the chance of a war between India and Pakistan, when Pakistan as a state at the edge of collapse and its military is holding the political power directly or indirectly.

[@oblivion_007]

War will happen only if pakistan try to sell gilgit-baltistan to china.. Otherwise status quo. India is not in a mood for war. We know its just waste of money and hinderance in becoming a developed nation

[@oweona]

God will come.

[@cherubimcherubim9515]

People around the world want more democracy, and they see the U.S. as one of the biggest obstacles to that, at least that's according to a new poll out today. More than 50,000 people across more than 50 countries were surveyed. Startling finding, nearly half (44%) of respondents in the 53 countries surveyed are concerned that the US threatens democracy in their country; fear of Chinese influence is by contrast 38%, and fear of Russian influence is lowest at 28%.

[@TheBluesman511]

Professor Mearsheimer. We did not know it. Tell us somwthing about it. 😃😀

[@hansweissmann_xviii6754]

Korea, Vietnam, Taiwan……

[@MessengerGoddess]

I noticed that the current conflicts in the *Middle East and Europe* are causing complications potentially allowing *China* to strengthen its position in the *West Philippine Sea.* *Observations:* *•Ukraine* are consuming significant resources and attention from *US that provide supports.* *•Hamas* *_(funded by Iran)_* made a surprise attack against *Israel* which is the *significant US allies.* *•China* who insisting its position in the *West Philippine Sea* and *Invasion of Taiwan* which is also *threatened by the US.* *•North Korea* is also increasingly threatening *South Korea,* with the likely goal of *distracting the US from supporting other nations at risk.* *_Russia, Iran, China_* and *_NoKor_* who are *antagonistic countries* to the *US* are likely using their *simultaneous tactics to exhaust the US's resources* who recognized as a *global superpower* in war scenarios. *Do we imagine about what would happen in the end when US defeated? You may already know..*

[@dougburden2539]

Rich man’s war. Poor man’s fight.

[@sean7908]

First, I find it almost amusing that you believe a war is inevitable at East China Sea or South China Sea. Those areas are within Chinese interior boarder. I could not imagine how are we having a war there without breaking the UN ruling? 😅

[@christophermilne3314]

UN ruling said that those areas ARE NOT within China’s borders. Whether you agree with the UN ruling is beside the point. It continues to exists because a majority of the world’s countries would like its rules to still have weight. Also, Taiwan might be a part of China, but it has never been governed by the CCP. Shouldn’t its people have a right to choose whether they want CCP leadership? If the CCP wants to govern Taiwan, let it convince the people of Taiwan to join the People’s Republic. Surely, this should be possible if the PRC is truly the great country that it claims to be.

[@hamidhamidi3134]

@@christophermilne3314 Do you say the same about the eastern parts of Ukraine where people revolted against Kiev and wanted to separate or join Russia as they are Ethnic Russians ?

[@ZweiZwolf]

Yes, "there's a non-trivial chance that the United States will end up fighting China". There's a non-trivial chance that the United States will LOSE VERY BADLY fighting China, and the likelihood of that happening increases EXPONENTIALLY every year, as China's economy and military grow bigger and bigger. What happens to American hegemony when that happens? What happens to America's allies and proxies?

[@BifidokKefir]

What will happen? America will be in a crisis, like Russia had after the collapse of the USSR, so you have an example of what to expect. Allies and proxies will seek new partners... Among ex-enemies, obviously.

[@qwert671]

@@BifidokKefir GNP in USSR in 1990 was at Holland level. USA is still the bigest economy of the world.

[@Memovox]

@@qwert671 US debt and poverty rate is through the roof.

[@mikexhotmail]

Do you believe in the sign?

[@williamharris6217]

@@qwert671 The USSR in 1990 had a space program, the biggest nuclear arsenal in the world, and free public health - Holland did not. Your "GNP" measured in US dollars is meaningless because you need to compare using Purchasing Power Parity - the amount of local money generated in a particular country and what that money can buy in that country. In PPP terms, China has the biggest economy. And in US dollar terms, China has the greater industrial output - it makes more things.

[@fractalart8352]

Mearsheimer knows a lot about what the reality is, assuming everyone acts as intelligently and according to what appears to be the current trajectory. Unfortunately the bigger truth is that humans have a long and storied history of tragedy.

[@thienkim1754]

Simple word "" Mother Nature "" explains everything 😂

[@paulrath7764]

well, that was happy

[@jeffyu3488]

Why war, not peace.

[@careyfreeman5056]

Well, if the reports are to be believed, Xi is doing some serious reassessment of his military capabilities. They were awfully quiet given who won the election in Taiwan the other day.

[@thulomanchay]

Can the Filipinos realize what they are being used as?

[@robertsansone1680]

I really look up to John Mearsheimer. I've said for a long time, the Cold War was like a chess game. The coming conflicts will be like a bar fight.

[@CuriousPersonUSA]

What does using nukes on the ocean means really? hitting islands? fleets? just as a scare tactic?

[@elastotec173]

No that's how you take out air craft carriers and nuclear submarines which are the USA's main strategic advantages in imposing their military will outside their borders. This is a reasonable assessment of how China would deal with action by the US around Taiwan.

[@PeterWayne77]

"To cure erectile dysfunction one must consumed bat soup"- Sun Tzu

[@jamesruscheinski8602]

divine central authority unity overcomes imposing of political government around world by two state solution at UN

[@scottwatrous7649]

It's going to happen because warlords abhor being surrounded by large publics. That's realism.

[@normannorum]

I was sad when I realized that wasn’t Steve Martin.

[@jamesruscheinski8602]

divine central authority unity overthrows imposition of political government

[@geralddesmarais6504]

Are we seriously going to send our young men and women to fight for Taiwan?

[@FrankyZielmann]

Not decades….. months ….

[@como3378]

M. Anderson, let us not confuse the "reality of the world" with political science's analytical abstract notions that are self-proclaimed as "realism"... Political science realism is ontologicaly as idealistic and unrealistic as any theoretical model that is not pluridisciplinary, comprehensive, and holistic. International relations are as much about the state and not-state actors' interactions with each other and also, if not more, about humans interracting as part of those institutions.

[@danielkrcmar5395]

Almost every shift from one superpower to the next has ended in war for all of human history. I see no reason why this time will be any different.

[@thienkim1754]

😂 nuclear could be the reason why ??? Probably another proxy war like Ukraine? When two nuclear power don't go head to head ???

[@danielkrcmar5395]

@@thienkim1754 No other advancement has ever stopped war, nukes will be no different.

[@thienkim1754]

@@danielkrcmar5395 since ww2 No 2 superpower going directly at each other in a war . So far so go . There's a reason Iran , North Korea and other countries wants Nukes.

[@hamidhamidi3134]

What will be a rough casualty rate of such a war ? just curious.

[@danielkrcmar5395]

@@hamidhamidi3134 It'd be horrific. Probably large numbers of most major cities but for counties the size of US, Russia and China they could take the hit. In most wars at least since the industrial revolution most casualties have been civilians. The 30 years war cut the European population by 25-30% I believe.

[@daniellansade1873]

What for ?

[@georgekoroneos3892]

Prof.mr.john...what are you saying is absolutely true , I suggesting that the best thing to do is to come to some understanding with China , although for the time being the cards of Taiwan is in the hands of uncle / Sam therefore the collision it hold the security of well being of the people & deserved it , but we don't know what the political situation will be at different times in the life of people is going to be ,that of course in the long run remained to be seen , on the other hand if AMERICA retreated now then is possible to regretted it a fine day because china will over run smaller countries & new allies possible established a new collision of defenses & china will dominated the far east , therefore the impression i am getting is that next war if not checked is extremely possible to go nuclear for the simple reason that the chinese are so many ...

[@careyfreeman5056]

Unless it happens in Korea, it will be a purely naval war. Those numbers (that we all know are declining by the day) won't matter outside of workers. Given what's going on in the CCP military, my guess is it never happens. By the time they fix this mess (if they ever do), it will be too late.

[@adolft_official]

You need to know russia wanted to join NATO, see tucker's interview. See the similarity between boxer rebellion and G7 countries

[@surprisedmike]

The people of Taiwan should think carefully. Do they want to try to reach some kind of accommodation with China or place their bet with the U.S. preventing China from exerting its influence over Taiwan more directly than currently? In the end the U.S. doesn't really care about Taiwan anymore than it cares about Ukraine. It is only because these are points of friction with challengers to their dominance that the U.S. is involved. That's realism and so the respective people in these countries are nothing but pawns in a power struggle - not a great place to find yourself in.

[@lktan224]

If America is serious about Taiwan , why not support Taiwan independence. America is definitely no serious and using Taiwan as a proxy to contain China.

[@akejukelechi8922]

why is nobody listing to this man

[@san209nha9]

Mearsheimer is a prof in political science. He joined army long time ago, but he has never participated in any war or never held any high level in Pentagon. His analysis about the conflict is just for students.

[@lifeisthefun]

A lot of people are because he's been right about so many things including predicting the Ukraine crisis year ago. It's just that he doesn't sign on to the MSM narrative so doesn't get much play there.

[@yct6500]

He is a war monger, and a trouble maker of peace.

[@yct6500]

He is a professor who strives on war mongering.

[@Memovox]

@@san209nha9 An American not participating in one of Americas many wars is a man of integrity and intelligence.

[@josephsomers2858]

And America would not listen to Professor Jeffery Sachs who was an American in Russia as an an advisor to Gorbachev He over the years has brought to light the ignorance of the USA in relation to the RUSSIAN Federation

[@robg_]

Mark 1:15 Bible “And saying, “The time is fulfilled, and the kingdom of God is at hand; repent and believe in the gospel.” (Jesus Christ)

[@seanomaille8157]

Harry Truman has aged well. From President to Presenter. Hope he's not dropping any Nukes this time round.

[@nkltpls]

How about the gulf of Mexico

[@harrykuehn2421]

You can imagine what it would be like if the great powers went at it conventionally. With basically bare skins and stone tools comparably to today. They killed in the 1940s 60 to 80 million. Imagine using military tech in say WW2 would look like.

[@muhammadnadeem4909]

Why the wars of America and Britain are fought in Asia, Middle East or Africa?. Why not on their own land?

[@walking_luggage8105]

You've nailed it. America started and fought many wars, but those wars never reached America mainland. This is likely why America is such a warmonger, becuase it never suffered the consequences of war. But if a war that America started reaches the American mainland and they suffer the consequences of that war, then perhaps that will teach America a lesson and they will become less warmongering.

[@MissTalmo]

What about S Korea? He always avoids making comments about KOREA

[@braveshine2579]

done

[@lawrenceralph7481]

And for sure, not one of our defense partners in NATO will send a shovel to help an ally.

[@anonymous.369]

NATO is north Atlantic. China is half way around the world away. Besides, Europe is not North Altantic - east actually.

[@A.UNIVERSE.within]

The quickness to addr3ss reaction speed, recognition speed, and creative capacity is the invisible filter that will always be the bar for humanity to overcome. Racism at this point is for cavemens since we all have at least english to fall back on. If another race can be good at the 3 areas of mind, why fear them?

[@javedmamun]

A great war is imminent as doomsday knocking at the door 🧨

[@MrTartuVaim]

Future ia not for old people, Just accept it.

[@nilosantos4862]

The iran procedures isnt correct. But the china is bad in many aspects

[@MichaelE.Douroux]

Very simple. The U.S. gets back to dominance in the semiconductor business -- which we invented -- and the Taiwan issue quickly becomes not such a big deal. Just takes the right kind of leadership that is not carrying water for the Military Industrial Complex business model of perpetual war like this guy.

[@augustusomega4708]

well it was a close race, everyone was working on the transistor...you invented bubkis

[@user-rr5mq4em5w]

U invented...lol, get a life..😂😂😂

[@miri9600]

get a dominance by a fair competition not by starting wars

[@MichaelE.Douroux]

@@augustusomega4708 Shockley Semiconductor, Fairchild Semiconductor and Intel (Gordon Moore and Robert Noyce), Texas Instruments, a little pioneering place that became known as Silicon Valley, etc., etc., etc.

[@Memovox]

@@MichaelE.Douroux Today it is known as a shat-ole, well most of America is.

[@san209nha9]

America and democratic countries never won any war against Communist. Its because they are so afraid of death because of the nuclear war and the Communist leaders don't care how many people die. The Communist leaders only care is to lose their faces if they lose. You can't win a war against communist, but don't surrender and don't let them totally win a war either. Look at Soviet invasion Finland war as an example. When the Soviet invaded Finland, Finnish put up the fight and and after 3 months they lost 70k soldiers and some land, but Soviet lost almost 1 millions, then Soviet agreed to cease fire.

[@adolft_official]

Braindead, see US-Saudi relationship, then see US-Iran relationship

[@1slandB0y77]

My money is on "Yes, there will be some kind of war between China and the US", provided the Chinese stay their current course in politics and social engineering. Loss of face is a massive issue for China, one the west does not yet fully grasp. I don't believe China's military will perform as well as they want it to, or that westerners fear, but they still have enough "men under arms" to put lots of boots on the ground, and at the end of the day it's not high tech that occupies land, but soldiers. Now, whether the Chinese could hold onto whatever ground they occupy is highly doubtful in the long term, but in the short to medium term they should have no trouble holding whatever they invade for 6-12 months. That might be long enough for flimsy western sensibilities to cave in and accept the new status quo, or it might not. If the Democrats are in power at the time, that's likely. If not, the US may have the oomph and drive to push the Chinese out of any acquisitions, but at a price the American electorate may not be prepared to bear. I think the Vietnam war continues to cast very, very long shadows...

[@vincentjue5015]

This type of Americans have a habit to talk about war everyday, and seems excited wars happening in other countries.

[@user-hu7io5th8w]

What about discussing something more realistic, such as the war at Red Sea which is ON

[@johnnysins6851]

I am inevitable:- Thanos

[@amolsonawane1476]

You reap what you saw.

[@JonathanHerz]

Seems to conveniently forget Korea

[@seangaun]

THE CULPRIT IS US 🇺🇸!!

[@3damina911]

What about the Cognitive Warfare? Do you know that in parallel the are hidden preparation is ongoing for that?

[@dadsonworldwide3238]

Usa is forgetting its strength in knowing one gens structure becomes the next gens jail. Epistemology of self is not conditioned to be so wise atm. Usa can not compete if it continues to mirror what China is doing with Centralized consolidation of everything because it has to many cogs in the wheel thats already conditioned as such. 1900s Structuralism built in the image of powers that be of that generation in an anomalous time in history, a stepping stone requiring large gatherings of labor is becoming a handicap in this new paradigm. Control mechanism and financial tools of skimming off the top is holding us back and ensuring our demise. The only way usa ever made wealth was when it enlisted its rare rights reserved private sector individuals entrepreneurship to take part with access and incentives.

[@dadsonworldwide3238]

All globalism or global socialism did was spend the wealth , sell the nation and cycle it into the hands of a legalized oligarchy of few who hides behind those rare rights. It manipulated our system through rules and regulations while enriching the world to industrialize nations to get on their feet. We achieved this they now have tradable goods for resources and no need to war for them.

[@hjjiang7766]

I don't know how can that be crisis of US if the conflict is in South CHINA Sea, East CHINA Sea, and the Republic of CHINA. Did he know how far it is from CHINA to the US?

[@janettucker3196]

It's patriarchy.

[@emreozgun3846]

This guy hits paranoia different: 'The reasonable distrust'

[@jessgatt2306]

I figure that if we should devolve into another world war it will likely go nuke, if so I will die, o-k, I see that. What has me a bit nervous is the fact that no weapon, nor any weapons system, has ever failed to be put to use.

[@user-yp4mk8up5u]

Desant Pentagon in Pohsy golf Yelow sea sout of Peking?

[@kevinl7173]

Right now even China doesn't use nukes, it is 10 times more powerful than the China during Korean War, ya think