Tony Seba just revealed why Elon Musk is no longer interested in EVs

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The Electric Viking

The Electric Viking

28 күн бұрын

Tony Seba just revealed why Elon Musk is no longer interested in EVs
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Пікірлер: 3 900
@softwarephil1709
@softwarephil1709 11 күн бұрын
There’s a deep satisfaction in doing any useful work. If you wash windows for a living and are able to support your family, be proud of that.
@happyskeg1
@happyskeg1 6 күн бұрын
That's one way to keep the peasants where they are I suppose.....
@bitflogger
@bitflogger 5 күн бұрын
An honest job is an honorable job.
@kevinwhite2380
@kevinwhite2380 4 күн бұрын
Fine! But, what if you did NOT need to wash windows for a living. You could employ a robot to do that on your behalf... Then, you'd still have a decent income, but could now spend MORE time with your family. 😊
@nononsenseBennett
@nononsenseBennett 4 күн бұрын
At the pace of change even that will be taken over by robots!
@pipersall6761
@pipersall6761 2 күн бұрын
@@kevinwhite2380 Well you would have to afford the robot and the no doubt hourly or monthly charge for the software and upgrades and maintenance and you would have to be able to charge enough for the robot to wash windows to support it and the needs of your family. The future will be great for the already wealthy, not for everyone else, Im believe.
@carymui3143
@carymui3143 7 күн бұрын
I almost fell out of my seat laughing when he said poverty would be eradicated. If no one has jobs no one has money to buy the goods and services and foods the companies who own the robots will provide. There is no motivation or historical evidence for the wealthy rulers to care for useless people if there is no profit to be made. I don’t think UBI will happen.
@hokeywolf3416
@hokeywolf3416 5 күн бұрын
UBI will happen because politicians need to buy their votes.
@miked8121
@miked8121 2 күн бұрын
First, in the first slide, batteries are not a source of energy. They provide storage for energy produced by wind and solar. Second, in the U.S., more expensive green energy has done nothing but reduce the standard of living for all Americans. I have my own solar panels to provide most of the power I need but I spent $36,000 for them. The average American doesn't even have $400 in the bank. Slight problem.
@darrylhughes4900
@darrylhughes4900 2 күн бұрын
About one quarter of that price in Australia Mike. What’s going on mate?
@miked8121
@miked8121 2 күн бұрын
@@darrylhughes4900 First .... import tariffs on the panels. Second ..... permitting and government approvals. Third ..... high cost of installation.
@mrbizi5652
@mrbizi5652 Күн бұрын
@@darrylhughes4900cost of install and paperwork is higher in US than AUS
@abderelhoudaigui6283
@abderelhoudaigui6283 15 күн бұрын
Can we replace all politicians,as most of them are corrupt 😂
@tedg1609
@tedg1609 16 сағат бұрын
Citizens United case makes that impossible
@jefsel881
@jefsel881 21 күн бұрын
Remember when computers came out. Paper was supposed to be obsolete…. 25 years later, I’m still buying ink for the printer. Oh yeah and Ben Ashenden grew up without manners.
@user-tg9xk9sy9k
@user-tg9xk9sy9k 14 күн бұрын
yeah but that's your fault, who cares Luddite?
@jefsel881
@jefsel881 14 күн бұрын
@@user-tg9xk9sy9k huh, looky here an anonymous commenter with nothing to do.
@tedecker3792
@tedecker3792 12 күн бұрын
Hope it’s not an HP
@frankact6342
@frankact6342 10 күн бұрын
Still, printouts are becoming less and less now, mostly all online forms, bills, invoices, etc
@AutisticCuriosity
@AutisticCuriosity 10 күн бұрын
And printers are still as unreliable expensive and rubbish as they’ve always been.
@Clemsnman
@Clemsnman 24 күн бұрын
The abundance of stuff should not be mistaken for prosperity. We have more stuff now than ever but happiness and contentment are not higher.
@josdesouza
@josdesouza 23 күн бұрын
What's the point of producing more and better stuff if there won't be anyone left to buy? Unless the UBI is raised to an equally massive level. Then we'd be outside of the capitalistic realm.
@mrcead
@mrcead 23 күн бұрын
The stuff is not better. The physical case is being made to cull back a "wasteful population." They just need enough data to pass any historical litmus tests since the anti-savage, civilising and spread democracy campaigns drew too much criticism from historians
@MrSteeDoo
@MrSteeDoo 23 күн бұрын
Well that's up TO YOU.
@sinjab5908
@sinjab5908 23 күн бұрын
the things that make me the happiest are being with my lady no cell phones no tv, just nature.
@rogerk.8600
@rogerk.8600 23 күн бұрын
You nailed it!
@JoshuaFinancialPL
@JoshuaFinancialPL 25 күн бұрын
Loss of sense of purpose and self-worth will be the most dramatic social impact.
@MyKharli
@MyKharli 23 күн бұрын
Get a grip , they done a number on you if you ever get to feel that way .
@gabrielserrano5054
@gabrielserrano5054 23 күн бұрын
People need to join communities and buy only made by human products. Maybe then it will help prevent this technocratic rulership.
@IAMhuman-Divine
@IAMhuman-Divine 22 күн бұрын
That IS THE PROBLEM! Our society was never intended to find our purpose via a 9-5 "job". This will allow humanity to reDISCOVER what it means to be human again.
@keithfoundfun
@keithfoundfun 22 күн бұрын
It ALREADY is!
@andycalifornia426
@andycalifornia426 22 күн бұрын
@@IAMhuman-Divine You think it's that easy to throw away thousands of years of evolutionary programming? The need for purpose comes from it. And it's there to ensure survival. You won't change the programming in just a couple decades. So generations to come will be unhappy. Until evolutionary adaptation happens (or human self-destructs looking for ways to be happy)
@SeattleCoorain
@SeattleCoorain 24 күн бұрын
American farmers were the canaries in our coal mine 100 years ago. With the introduction of gasoline powered tractors and later harvesters, farm output grew dramatically (pun intended) as horses were displaced in most farm production tasks. In the 1920's approx 1/3 of farm labor was directly tied to horse infrastructure and maintenance. All these workers were displaced in rural America, but this was not the key disruption. The most important factor in the collapse of the human worker driven rural farm economy was not immediately apparent. Tractors were expensive requiring a significant capital investment. Larger farms were best positioned to make these initial investments and grew their farm output faster than smaller farms. With increased output and profit, big farms began purchasing smaller farms at an accelerated pace due to their head start in farm mechanization. The size of farms grew 10x, 100x while the number of workers per acre needed to manage these new large farms shrank. The number of acres under cultivation didn't change much, as the adage goes: "they don't make new land very often". The initial disruption of farm mechanization had a domino effect: small rural towns with stores, schools ...etc, that served thousands of families living on small family farms surrounding them, were devastated due to the decline in farm workers and families on the land. Many rural farming communities started to resemble ghost towns as businesses closed. Because rural communities were politically less advantaged than larger urban areas, their plight went unheeded and was simply ignored by the rest of America. I submit the current MAGA movement, primarily a powerful factor in rural communities, is a direct result of urban disinterest in the collapse of the rural farm worker economy and the families pushed into poverty, despair and hopelessness. One-hundred years ago, farm families on small farms took pride in their productive farm work. Today, large farms have become more corporate even if owned by a single family, less a way of life and more an agribusiness. The Electric Viking needs to get a grip and study the big picture. If citizens do not collectively share ownership in the new wave of robots many of our fellow citizens will be driven into poverty, despair and hopelessness by the capital rich elites just as small farm families across America have been in recent history. If my work years ago in embedded systems: designing industrial computer control systems contributed unwittingly in a small way to the rise of human robots, the future generations of serfs have my sincere apology, which we agree will be of little comfort in their suffering. The Electric Viking is hesitant to call these developments a brave new world, but that is exactly what it is as Aldous Huxley envisioned.
@pipersall6761
@pipersall6761 2 күн бұрын
Excellent summation of things. Living in rural Indiana I see the reality of what you describe and worry about the future for everyone around me. Our Brave New World will be an enormous challenge to survive. Thank you.
@shiulai5804
@shiulai5804 2 күн бұрын
A very thoughtful essay. But as you said, your work in embedded systems: designing industrial computer control systems did unwittingly contribute in a small way to the rise of human robots. Scientists and engineers in many other field have and are doing the same. It appears the progression to automation will not be stopped. How can we use our past experience to prepare for the future?
@mrbizi5652
@mrbizi5652 Күн бұрын
@@shiulai5804 the industrial systems may have helped lead to robots, they also helped drive more productivity which allowed more people to eat and avoid starvation as one positive example
@mgfinley4986
@mgfinley4986 Күн бұрын
Read Hoffer’s book; The True Believer. A very possible outcome of mass economic disfunction is the something similar to the French Revolution, the Facist movement and the Communist Revolution in Russia. Those are just some of the recent revolts created by economic distress.
@t.ypuppy6283
@t.ypuppy6283 19 сағат бұрын
I think they want to eliminate us useless eaters
@peterboy209
@peterboy209 20 күн бұрын
"Soylent green" is describing what will happen to most of us. We will be food or fertilizer...
@adg8269
@adg8269 26 күн бұрын
The perfect storm: - Humans valued only as a means to transfer UBI to large corporations. - Super intelligent surveillance systems. - Digital currency to neutralize dissidents. - RoboCops for law enforcement and suppression. - A global meaning crisis.
@rapauli
@rapauli 23 күн бұрын
Add global climates further destabilizing --- the damages will far exceed robotic repair capacity. ( as long as both humans and robots don't overheat )
@kennethbarr6842
@kennethbarr6842 23 күн бұрын
WE All Have To Be Special delivery Consultants In Your OWN Subject ? 10 Thousands Hour's Plus ➕ Use AI to Expand my knowledge Platform ? Use Technology to Up Your Game?
@wfdroneservices3690
@wfdroneservices3690 22 күн бұрын
💯%
@TheSkene
@TheSkene 22 күн бұрын
@@rapauli there’s nothing going on with the climate.
@frank254100
@frank254100 22 күн бұрын
OK DOOMER!!😅😂😂
@stephenwirtz2057
@stephenwirtz2057 26 күн бұрын
A quote from Ambassador Kosch of Babylon 5: "The avalanche has alredy started. It is too late for the pebbles to vote."
@LoanwordEggcorn
@LoanwordEggcorn 25 күн бұрын
Kosh
@musicboy2003
@musicboy2003 25 күн бұрын
Whatever. Great quote. Stay focused.
@tedmoss
@tedmoss 25 күн бұрын
Really? You can DO something right now, not tomorrow, not yesterday.
@stephenwirtz2057
@stephenwirtz2057 25 күн бұрын
@@tedmoss I agree. What do you suggest?
@wolfgangpreier9160
@wolfgangpreier9160 25 күн бұрын
@@stephenwirtz2057 Migrate to Mars.
@RacerX888
@RacerX888 23 күн бұрын
I studied Industrial Robotics in college in the early 1980's. We already have robots that can do most assembly line jobs already and do it much faster, cheaper and built more reliable products than most humans and have had them for at least 40 years.
@bobweiram6321
@bobweiram6321 18 күн бұрын
Too bad you didn't learn how to write.
@IsThisALongUserName
@IsThisALongUserName 17 күн бұрын
But at a high capital cost. The newer robots should be a general all purpose robot that learns quickly and is relatively cheap compared to older technology.
@MrChiangching
@MrChiangching 17 күн бұрын
​@@IsThisALongUserNameNo purpose built will be cheaper and better in 90 percent of used
@paulward8087
@paulward8087 15 күн бұрын
The key missing part has been the AI to drive them in to more generic multi-purpose robotics. With the advent of LLM's and companies like Open AI telling us "GPT 4 is about as dumb as it's ever gonna get, we already know what to do next", this will change everything! We are moving from the Industrial age into the Information age.
@MrChiangching
@MrChiangching 15 күн бұрын
@@paulward8087 We entered the Information Age decades ago, try to keep up.
@andarooriordan5660
@andarooriordan5660 23 күн бұрын
So the reason all prices will drop for business goods/ services, is because humans will be out of work and have reduced purchasing power?
@pinonnut
@pinonnut 9 күн бұрын
Lol yes… hence another needed pandemic…
@Gabriel.Ponce.De.Leon.777
@Gabriel.Ponce.De.Leon.777 26 күн бұрын
I think with this, poverty will probably rise like never seen. Not because of lack of resources but for the well known greed of those who have all the power. We tend to forget the typical evilness when we predict the future.
@truetech4158
@truetech4158 24 күн бұрын
Not only that, but the greedy dont seem to care that starvation and homelessness frostbite never really produce any afterlives whatsoever, but they probably shadowbanned this comment or you or they might pretend you never read it and not reply back.
@Harrythehun
@Harrythehun 24 күн бұрын
@@truetech4158there is socially aware companies out there.
@robbdudeson346
@robbdudeson346 24 күн бұрын
Yep... It's not good... It's NEVER been good. Humans are Essentially Evil little Selfish Greedy Monsters (by defenition actually) - I always tell people... If you wan't to see a Real Monster... just have a look in a Mirror.... Even "Advancement as a Civilization is ALWAYS a Greedy Selfish Forceful Push towards a Lifestyle Noone ever Needed or Asked for, which often goes horribly wrong"
@todd8155
@todd8155 24 күн бұрын
Exactly! Human greed is often boundless.
@PhonePhone-sf8te
@PhonePhone-sf8te 24 күн бұрын
lmao, when he said china doesn't have 600 million people in poverty I laughed. You're right.
@dagda825
@dagda825 24 күн бұрын
Just remember: the carbon footprint they are working to reduce is everyone not in the club.
@ddoherty5956
@ddoherty5956 6 күн бұрын
And make sure that you remember the Achilles heel is the electricity network 😉
@TheOMT
@TheOMT 17 күн бұрын
People fail to grasp the fact that once you've trained one robot in a task, you have trained EVERY robot in that task.
@jasminerochas-oq8jw
@jasminerochas-oq8jw 13 күн бұрын
Only if all robots r made by same blueprints and standards and soft
@a.tevetoglu3366
@a.tevetoglu3366 11 күн бұрын
​@@jasminerochas-oq8jw you mean like standards in the automobile and IT industries? That is easy to achieve.
@JamesHawkeYouTube
@JamesHawkeYouTube 10 күн бұрын
AI robots are sci-fi.
@a.tevetoglu3366
@a.tevetoglu3366 10 күн бұрын
@@JamesHawkeKZbin AI itself was sci fi once.
@MichaelDomer
@MichaelDomer 10 күн бұрын
~yawn~
@Mariposaland
@Mariposaland 3 күн бұрын
I started as a computer programmer just out of college in 1981. All of the computer forecasters said that computer programmers would be obsolete in 5 years. Most people who forecast the future are wrong.
@abelincoln3261
@abelincoln3261 26 күн бұрын
20 years ago the steel plant I worked in employed over 360 men and women, operated year round, producing 1/4 th the steel it produces today in 2024 with less then 150 men and women. Mostly due to automation... That's 210 less jobs.. and a 300 percent increase in production... corporate profits up... labor cost down.. the name of the game.
@Aggie4life77
@Aggie4life77 26 күн бұрын
This is an early example of what’s about to come!
@monkeysuncle2816
@monkeysuncle2816 26 күн бұрын
But look at how steel prices have dropped! 🤣🤣🤣
@craigruchman7007
@craigruchman7007 26 күн бұрын
With unions throwing their weight around, robots can’t come fast enough.
@basilmcdonnell9807
@basilmcdonnell9807 26 күн бұрын
The lead/zinc factory I worked in during University employed 5000 people. It now employs 300 and produces about the same output.
@jacksmith4266
@jacksmith4266 26 күн бұрын
If you willing to donate 10-15% from your annual salary, by all means do it. In reality almost no one does that, the employee nor the employer
@johnunderwood9575
@johnunderwood9575 26 күн бұрын
Where is the market? How do you have an economy without customers? If all production is automated, who will purchase the products? If nobody has jobs, who are the customers? People will become dead weight in the eyes of the 2%. It will become necessary to simply eliminate the bulk of the population. Our usefulness will have expired. This is the frightening truth. It is underway as we speak. The new slaves will be robots. Here is the problem for the elite who think they are going to be in charge, they will just as quickly become dead weight in the eyes of AI. They completely underestimate how fast AI will progress. It will happen in the snap of your fingers. We are the ancients. We are the dinosaurs.
@tarcus6074
@tarcus6074 23 күн бұрын
It will happen gradually and until 30-40% unemployment, companies still will have enough customers, especially if company produces something for rich customers (tesla for example). And there are a lot of customers worldwide that can buy their products...It's a process that will take years or even few decades...
@MrTimeAttack1
@MrTimeAttack1 23 күн бұрын
We will see a MASSIVE $$ grab by governments.... redistributing wealth from the top .01% and corporations down to the general population. Universal Basic Income will be a thing... The very concept of "money", may also disappear over time.
@kristianlavigne8270
@kristianlavigne8270 23 күн бұрын
Target population is 500 million or less, this has been the plan for decades, see Agenda 2021, Limits to Growth etc. The Plandemic showcases one way how they can quickly “cull us” if need be…
@bubbajones6907
@bubbajones6907 23 күн бұрын
We're in the middle of a population crash. We'll need robots for the nursing homes. Maybe, in the brave future, we'll use robots to conceive and grow children in nurseries. Of course these children will have the right traits.
@mr.makeit4037
@mr.makeit4037 22 күн бұрын
​@@bubbajones6907Didn't Kurt Russell make a movie that showcased exactly what you are saying? Soldier I believe was the title.
@ScrapKing73
@ScrapKing73 23 күн бұрын
This is the truth with nearly zero uncertainty? No matter how good his track record, that overstates things IMO.
@sparkysho-ze7nm
@sparkysho-ze7nm 21 күн бұрын
Somebody needs teach th robot schmuks how ta dance - i get nuthin
@ericdelf
@ericdelf 17 күн бұрын
The only thing you can predict about the future is that it will be un-imaginable.
@tony0x48
@tony0x48 17 күн бұрын
Dare I say, the whole Tony Seba thing on this channel is a bit cult-like.
@ScrapKing73
@ScrapKing73 5 күн бұрын
@@ericdelf Yes/no. Some things about the future are impossible to imagine. Others are pretty easy. For example, how we interact with doors has changed little for generations, and is only now starting to change in a significant way due to the growing popularity of keypads. That's despite the fact that we have the technology to make it way more high tech than we do, but people aren't interested in paying huge sums for fancy tech when a simple lock and key is good enough. The future rarely looks as futuristic as people imagine it looking. To accurately predict the future, always cross-reference emerging ideas with what's likely to be affordable to deploy.
@user-nb4ex5zk3w
@user-nb4ex5zk3w 20 күн бұрын
It is assumed that purpose in life comes from work. However creative work especially is not repetative grind, art or poetry has no practical value but is fun. Secondly spiritual inner work, more fulfilling lives, growing our vision of life is another possibility. The obsession with owning stuff is not the only way of life. We will have time to do what we love.
@softwarephil1709
@softwarephil1709 11 күн бұрын
There’s a deep satisfaction in doing any useful work. If you wash windows for a living and are able to support your family, be proud of that.
@frankfromupstateny3796
@frankfromupstateny3796 8 күн бұрын
I don't think mankind will be around in another 75 years,...let alone hundreds. Jesus Christ is my Savior.. is he YOURS?
@user-nb4ex5zk3w
@user-nb4ex5zk3w 8 күн бұрын
@@frankfromupstateny3796 If I'm not around in 75 years time what is there to be saved....only joking, relax.
@andreaturno4904
@andreaturno4904 26 күн бұрын
I have a fundamental question: if most of humans will end up without work since ai and robots will take over, who is going to buy all the products and services that the robots and ai will produce?
@KidHorn7001
@KidHorn7001 26 күн бұрын
There will be new jobs for people. In the 1800s half the population worked on a farm. Now 2% do.
@LarryRichelli
@LarryRichelli 26 күн бұрын
I don't think this subject was covered except the minimum income from the government?
@VMYeahVN
@VMYeahVN 26 күн бұрын
@@KidHorn7001 No there won't. That comparison isn't an apt one because the jobs all those former farm people moved to, won't exist anymore once robots take everything. There eventually won't be any new jobs for displaced people to move to. All these companies are making robots for those jobs too. It's not just car factories or Amazon warehouses. Companies want to replace as many workers as they possibly can and they will. That's why Universal Basic Income has to become part of the conversation. Otherwise all robots will cause is more profit to end up in CEO pockets while the rest of us starve and die.
@user-it7lf7kk8m
@user-it7lf7kk8m 26 күн бұрын
Rich people. They will produce enough to keep rich people happy. You won't be able to afford anything so start watching mad max films to prepare for your new life.
@MichaelMartusevich
@MichaelMartusevich 26 күн бұрын
Just a few scenarios up in my head: 1. Human race ends, the continuation of the ever expanding consciousness of the universe continues through Artificial life. 2. Human race reaches Civilization type 1 status. Total symbiosis and synergy. Everyone would get “promoted “ to god like lifestyle. Everyone lives an abundant life. Humans continue to expand throughout the galaxy and work towards a type 2 civilization and so on. 3. We finally wake up from this simulated world and the “Matrix “ reboots. 4. We finally realize that we are the universe, or as i would like to say, “I” am the whole universe. We wake up to realize that we are playing a game of hide and seek with ourselves. (please refer to Alan Watts) 5.Humanity self annihilates and destroys this planet. Hopefully the universe popped out a new species somewhere throughout the galaxy.
@kokopelli314
@kokopelli314 26 күн бұрын
I was a fan of UBI for about 5 minutes but then I started wondering were the billionaires that own all the means of production and all the labor power going to be controlling that UBI? If you have a tiny class of people controlling everything then why would they even need the rest of us?
@ChristianWagner888
@ChristianWagner888 26 күн бұрын
They might try to release another virus to reduce the world’s population to 500 million as those elitist cultists envisioned on the Georgia Guidestones…
@magyararon6918
@magyararon6918 24 күн бұрын
Isnt its already like that? They get huge fundings from all the printed money, the rest of the society gets the inflation part of the game.
@kokopelli314
@kokopelli314 24 күн бұрын
@@magyararon6918 Except they still need us to do all the dirty work The only way out is if we relearn how to do everything for ourselves, eliminate land and resource ownership, and shun a master class.
@pinonnut
@pinonnut 9 күн бұрын
Next plandemic will answer All your questions…
@DarylOster
@DarylOster 20 күн бұрын
Thanks Sam. Tony has been a friend for many years, many more people need to see and understand the trends that Tony makes crystal clear.
@grishonkamau3
@grishonkamau3 18 күн бұрын
if we do not have work, how will we derive meaning out of our lives? Apart from money, people (especially men) derive a sense of purpose and meaning from their work. Without it, they destroy themselves.
@IsThisALongUserName
@IsThisALongUserName 17 күн бұрын
Religion
@Piaseczno1
@Piaseczno1 14 күн бұрын
Most people will derive their value by weeding municipal lawns and gardens. That's why it's key to be able to distinguish weed from good turf and pull it up by the root accordingly.
@MrSteeDoo
@MrSteeDoo Күн бұрын
They will have to grow up, quickly!
@MrSteeDoo
@MrSteeDoo Күн бұрын
​@@IsThisALongUserNamethe religious nuts will be the end of it all.
@fiddley
@fiddley 24 күн бұрын
He's also been prophesising fully unassisted self driving cars next year for the last decade.
@ColinFox
@ColinFox 23 күн бұрын
Elon doesn't have a great track record with timing. However, he's been right 99% of the time and most of his predictions and plans have come to pass. Still waiting on absolute FSD, but if you take one out for a test drive now, you will be amazed. It's stunning how good it is. Remember the model S only came out in 2012, so 12 years from the new car to a car that can almost drive itself. This is INCREDIBLE and people are like "yawn, still waiting". Jesus christ, this is ridiculous. This is like that Louis CK skit where he's talking about people flying and being disappointed because the seat doesn't go back much.
@kandrkandr
@kandrkandr 14 күн бұрын
@@ColinFox Elon is one of my favorite Oligarchs, but he is a confidence man/salesman through and through. He makes a lot of empty promises in order to increase his company's stock price. Promising to be the last out, and then sells a bunch of his overinflated stock with the free speech excuse killing his supporters portfolios. Nice trick. Being the best Oligarch does not say much. I like how he fights for free speech, (see trick above) but I have a hard time believing anything he says. Some of what he says may come true though. Even a clock is right... yadda yadda yadda. But You always have to keep in mind that he is also trying to manipulate the masses for his personal gain. Just curious. What has come to pass? He runs a rocket company that has a much worse track record than when the GOVERMENT RAN IT. lol. He makes the worst, most expensive electric vehicles IMO that you are forced to have him fix when it inevitably breaks down. He advertises bullet proof glass that doesn't break only when soy boy is throwing with limp wrist. I will give you that he is a great confidence man, and he can get people to follow him no matter what he promises without delivering. That is it in a nutshell. Great con man.
@glasperlinspiel
@glasperlinspiel 26 күн бұрын
In the 1970s, I asked myself, “how do we structure society when new tech is disrupted before it can be commercialized?” I published my answer in 2023 in Amaranthine: How to Create a Regenerative Civilization Using Artificial Intelligence. My experience discussing my findings over the years was that I was telling the monkey with its hand in the trap to let go of the banana. That’s why I turned to AI. The way AI is being developed will be catastrophic, but it does not have to be that way. AI can be used to create a paradise for us as readily as dystopian hell. But we have to let go of our current socioeconomic banana and replace it with a human-centric rather than money-centric society
@FloydThePink
@FloydThePink 26 күн бұрын
Money is power and influence. The people that have that will die before they give up the money centricity.
@TurdFergusen
@TurdFergusen 26 күн бұрын
money is motivation, motivation to have more than others is a survival instinct… california state employees are a study of systems that lack motivation and thus become heavily inefficient
@GFY11
@GFY11 26 күн бұрын
Why do we assume AI will not figure this out on it's own? We seem to think that the monkeys creating it will have control over it. Maybe it will see them for what they are and treat them as such
@travisyarbrough4033
@travisyarbrough4033 26 күн бұрын
Elon loves Money ......
@dhood15277
@dhood15277 26 күн бұрын
@@TurdFergusen Your bias is showing. PLEASE REFERENCE THE STUDY if there is a legitimate study which usually are unbiased. Sounds to me like the state fired you.
@alanhart5740
@alanhart5740 22 күн бұрын
Many people comment « if nobody works anymore, who’s going to buy what will be produced? ». Think ahead and consider the ecosystem of a family: parents have 2-3 children and they produce enough value for the whole family and the retirement. 1-2 robots (or more) could donthe same instead of people. No longer need to work, except if you want to earn some extra or just get occupied. Otherwise it will be doing your passions and hobbies. This perspective is possible. Therefore it’s the path to this society change that could be rough…
@77.88.
@77.88. 8 күн бұрын
Black Rock and his fellow HEDGE FUNDS buddies can answer that question as they will use the UP's and DOWN's to make more money, or do they???
@supertona83
@supertona83 12 күн бұрын
The question is if we are going to get beyond consumerism. Right now we don’t need more than half the shit we produce. Making labor cost to zero, would only make that worse.
@LarryRichelli
@LarryRichelli 26 күн бұрын
I am a retired and a disabled vet so not worried about a job so I will just sit back and enjoy the show! I already drive a ford lightning and have solar on my house.
@billfrehe6620
@billfrehe6620 26 күн бұрын
Disabled my ass. Freeloader is more like it. I probably provide more taxes in a single year than you have in your whole life.
@SvPVids
@SvPVids 26 күн бұрын
Thanks for serving, have a great retirement.
@IDNHANTU2day
@IDNHANTU2day 26 күн бұрын
Right on brother. XLEO here and at 72 I have solar, a Tesla MYP, and waiting for my Aptera solar vehicle. I also stand back and watch it happen. I only have time for myself and my family but very little time for politics and other BS arguments. Nothing you and I can do about it but go vote. I thank you for your service.
@startupdownhome
@startupdownhome 26 күн бұрын
Good on ya and TYFYS! But all of the rest of us will be looking for work.
@adamkucera9094
@adamkucera9094 26 күн бұрын
@@startupdownhomeLearn to code.
@TreeHugger826
@TreeHugger826 26 күн бұрын
My concern is that the Greed that permiates society today will destroy the potential this represents. If the companies continue to over compensate the executives while under paying the worker class, who will be buying the products/services the robots produce. The very rich are not a large market for consumer goods. If regular people get money, they tend to spend it. That is what makes the wheels of industry work. The global economy is at a dangerous place now. GREED KILLS.
@mnhsty
@mnhsty 26 күн бұрын
The problem of greed is not restricted to any one group in society. The greed of CEO’s is highly visible, but may be only a small part of the problem overall. In many cases greed is not a problem at all, since it incentivizes work and investment as well as fraud and rent-seeking.
@monkeysuncle2816
@monkeysuncle2816 26 күн бұрын
Once more for the back row: THEY. DON'T. CARE. They'll go from billionaires to trillionaires, while the masses struggle, starve, and die. Ironically, after the .01% are gone, survived ONLY by THEIR children, money won't mean anything as the micro-minority of people left has hundreds of billions. They need the poors in order to be rich, but they'll exert every effort to end said poors.
@vladimus9749
@vladimus9749 25 күн бұрын
Greed is a symptom among the elite who have structured the inflationary monetary system which continually widens the gap between those who own assets and those who do not.
@toddmarshall7573
@toddmarshall7573 25 күн бұрын
" the Greed that permiates society today": Please elucidate. Compare and contrast to any other period.
@haywoodhall4439
@haywoodhall4439 25 күн бұрын
so this massive development of infrastructure needed … will be provided in the public interest by the 8 multi- billionaires who literally own half the countries wealth?
@rmack9226
@rmack9226 22 күн бұрын
"These new robots can learn a billion times faster than a human" Meanwhile, b-roll of a robot bumbling to pick up a strut, and robots taking 30 seconds to pick an apple. Bro, come on.
@cricticalthinking
@cricticalthinking 22 күн бұрын
The thing about inventions and technology is the unintended or unseen consequences. It gets humans every time.
@nanokbie
@nanokbie 25 күн бұрын
There is just one little caveat: if everybody is on UBI, who is going to afford to buy all the products coming out of the increased productivity?
@CraigBlack123
@CraigBlack123 24 күн бұрын
UBI will be more than sufficient. Goods and services will be significantly less expensive.
@steveclark..
@steveclark.. 23 күн бұрын
​@@CraigBlack123 You really think that these greedy company bosses are going to let us have goods and services for UBI/social credit score points? I can't see it myself, they are more likely to want us gone period.
@curtissharris8914
@curtissharris8914 23 күн бұрын
Why do you think elites are talking about population reduction. They dont need you anymore, and they will seek to eliminate the excess.
@gabrielserrano5054
@gabrielserrano5054 23 күн бұрын
No one will be able to afford it they would need to earn more. Fixed incomes aren’t good people that like them think they will survive on them but won’t. The only people like that will be the first few generations then inflation will diminish it like ebt cards.
@erikhansen5326
@erikhansen5326 23 күн бұрын
@@CraigBlack123 but ppl will not have children if they lose purpose we are already seeing this some counties are down to 0.8, this will make it 10x worse, this is the end game for humankind that will make the way for the next species "AI robots"
@janjson435
@janjson435 26 күн бұрын
What Sam ignores when stating the eradication of povery is the lack of distribution of that additional wealth/GDP. The very rich elites will captalize on the robots however they will not deliberately share those gains with the ones who got replaced. That simply is a no-brainer.
@BittermanAndy
@BittermanAndy 26 күн бұрын
They will try to, yes. But if there's a few thousand billionaires and a few billion people starving, that situation doesn't last long. There will be no choice but for them to redistribute (a generous amount of) the wealth.
@linemanap
@linemanap 26 күн бұрын
The poor of today will live like the middle class in the future and not have to work. We just keep moving to goal posts.
@metsfanal
@metsfanal 26 күн бұрын
@@BittermanAndynot really. Look at Brazil, India, pretty much all of Africa, inner cities in America. Billions of poor people already that can't do anything about rich people taking everything. And they don't even have robots armies yet, just modestly paid soldiers and police that are happy to keep the poors down.
@user-nf4st5kn6l
@user-nf4st5kn6l 26 күн бұрын
They will have to. Just for their freedom.
@fernandopimentel5463
@fernandopimentel5463 26 күн бұрын
@@linemanap Idk, if you dont have a job and essentially make 0 or some bs welfare I dont think a very cheap robotaxi and the Irobot maid you bought will help you that much.🥲
@lordhumungus9993
@lordhumungus9993 10 күн бұрын
Remember, people in Australia, wind and solar, need batteries when it's dark or not windy and battery technology is not looking that good. We're getting closer to that year when we can no longer use fossil fuel and can't buy energy from our neighbours as we live on an island. Let us forget our outdated biases and look towards nuclear power.
@jac4YouTube
@jac4YouTube 3 күн бұрын
nuclear power is hard to maintain, control and store but there's your answer if you are wanting to get rid of the millions out of work problem
@Langfocus
@Langfocus 24 күн бұрын
Assuming there's hyperabundance and UBI, I don't really fear the loss of purpose. Think about what you would do if you weren't allowed to work for money, but were allowed to volunteer (with your material needs met). A lot of us would be doing more of the things we find fulfilling, and less of things we don't. Maybe I shouldn't assume, though.
@MrTimeAttack1
@MrTimeAttack1 23 күн бұрын
This exactly!!!!!!
@michealophigoid6215
@michealophigoid6215 22 күн бұрын
Sure but if everyone wants to be a Rockstar there'd be a problem
@bearclaw5115
@bearclaw5115 22 күн бұрын
You probably should fear a robotic future. For one thing we don't know what it entails.
@Freerider93
@Freerider93 20 күн бұрын
You have been put into a trance by the lies of big tech. There is no such thing as hyperabundance. It literally isn't possible. Big tech just made up the word to get people like you to talk delusionally about it rather than focus on the crap they have gotten us into. I thought people would eventually wake up from the nonsense of big tech but it's clear that too many people want to live in a delusional fantasy. The future isn't headed to Utopia. We are on a collision course with species extinction...crop and harvest failures, record heat waves, lack of fresh water resources...and you're talking about everyone having their needs met and volunteering 🤭 In reality billions will die and those that don't will move causing more conflict. There will be no era of abundance because we won't have the manpower to build it, yes, manpower.
@twig3288
@twig3288 20 күн бұрын
The Devil makes work for idle hands
@unfixablegop
@unfixablegop 26 күн бұрын
Great new wealth doesn't eradicate poverty. An even safer prediction then that robots will outcompete us in the future is to predict that this will not be managed wisely.
@mnhsty
@mnhsty 26 күн бұрын
How can you say that? It already has to a great extent.
@toddmarshall7573
@toddmarshall7573 25 күн бұрын
Wealth is always achieved through leverage. If you don't understand that you don't understand wealth.
@Ffoo_ffighter
@Ffoo_ffighter 24 күн бұрын
There will be more poverty. If there is no poverty, there is no rich.
@The_Ballo
@The_Ballo 24 күн бұрын
Idle hands are the devil's workshop. This will be the end of humanity
@mnhsty
@mnhsty 24 күн бұрын
@@Ffoo_ffighter Tell that to Norway.
@hereforthechips7710
@hereforthechips7710 25 күн бұрын
I’m in manufacturing and we already confirmed we could replace 70% of our staff with robots that are available now.
@rockets4kids
@rockets4kids 22 күн бұрын
On the other hand, the companies designing, building, programming, and repairing robots are desperate for employees.
@MrSteeDoo
@MrSteeDoo 22 күн бұрын
@@rockets4kids Sure so the people with IQ's of 140 or better will be fine. What about all of the low-IQ trump voters? LOL
@user-jd9kg3pd9z
@user-jd9kg3pd9z 22 күн бұрын
@@rockets4kidsYou make a very good point here. And those new professions will pay very well. This is not new. In the days of the ancient Greeks the SAIL replaced hundreds of oarsmen ( a thankless job). The steam engine replaced the sail, and created a whole new class of high paid tradesmen called “ Boiler makers” and “Engineers” who operated those boilers. The “Steam Shovel” replaced hundred of men and their shovels. The computer did the same to bank tellers. When was the last time you chatted with a bank teller when you deposited your pay check? It is hard to envision exactly what these new technologies will will ultimately be but they will come.
@BRUCE_the_MOOSE_
@BRUCE_the_MOOSE_ 21 күн бұрын
All these robots will replace workers and make products for unemployed people to buy who won't have any mon... Hang on a minute.
@davestennes305
@davestennes305 21 күн бұрын
Np jobs for illegal immigrants.
@user-ox4vu2fi8z
@user-ox4vu2fi8z 2 күн бұрын
I am reminded of an old black and white movie, The Man In The White Suit. Its about inventing an indestructible fabric that does not need cleaning and lasts forever thus disrupting the entire textile industry. The question is what are people to do for employment?
@cruzzer52
@cruzzer52 17 күн бұрын
I hear you loud and clear. The pace of tech is accelerating beyond our comprehension and our ability to accept change as well as adapt. I look forward to the future as long as it includes humans quality of life and equailty
@itekani
@itekani 26 күн бұрын
I don't dare to think about what this means for military applications. 😐
@mnhsty
@mnhsty 26 күн бұрын
Or police. There could be robots following us around all day, every day.
@jamesvandamme7786
@jamesvandamme7786 26 күн бұрын
@@mnhsty Now they just watch us.
@jamesvandamme7786
@jamesvandamme7786 26 күн бұрын
WW3 is being fought now with drones.
@DynamicUnreal
@DynamicUnreal 26 күн бұрын
It means no more soldiers dying in wars for the countries that have robots.
@autohmae
@autohmae 26 күн бұрын
I'm worried about drones, they are in the front lines of wars, not humanoid robots.
@victorgalagan1151
@victorgalagan1151 26 күн бұрын
Is that what will happen? Or will it become like the movie Elysium. People living at the top, with the rest living in groveling poverty. Enforced by robots.
@user-it7lf7kk8m
@user-it7lf7kk8m 26 күн бұрын
That would be my bet. The stuff we have now is through social struggle of our ancestors. It wasn't given to us just to be nice.
@Myrslokstok
@Myrslokstok 26 күн бұрын
It kind of allready is we just don't see it!
@jackson8085
@jackson8085 26 күн бұрын
If the prediction is correct, and abundance for all is easily attainable, why would those at the top want to create a situation ripe for revolution and live in fear? It would be like a slave owner having the option to keep human slaves knowing they could revolt and kill him and his family or use robots that do whatever, work harder, for free,etc..
@TankUni
@TankUni 26 күн бұрын
Never underestimate our ability to take an improvement and use it to ensure a select few benefit enormously both materially and in terms of power.
@gdonepercent
@gdonepercent 26 күн бұрын
That depends on government, to a large degree. One could argue NYC, LA, San Fran, Seattle, Austin are already early versions of Elysium. Not trying to be political here, but these cities all have something in common; Terrible management. Don’t shoot the messenger.
@user-ln5nk7mg4v
@user-ln5nk7mg4v 7 күн бұрын
If the labor market disruption occurs similar to as recently predicted, then there is no benefit to the wide income disparity that currently exists and there will be a power shift of some kind to reflect the change. Don't be surprised if many super wealthy suffer the consequences.
@todddavis8805
@todddavis8805 9 күн бұрын
i dont wanna live in this world.... Im glad that im old and have no children that will have to experience and suffer through this coming hell....
@JosephHurtsellers
@JosephHurtsellers 26 күн бұрын
Honestly, if you don't believe the robots are coming, may I suggest that they already are capable of replacing every single one of our politicians, and frankly doing a better job.😅😅
@The_Ballo
@The_Ballo 24 күн бұрын
Politicians do an excellent job. Your mistake is assuming they're supposed to work for you
@robertlstrand
@robertlstrand 23 күн бұрын
Lol😂
@mattg432
@mattg432 23 күн бұрын
Yes, that will be the future world.
@barrellcooper6490
@barrellcooper6490 23 күн бұрын
I thought everybody knew...JB is a low AI robot.
@SoRealSuccess
@SoRealSuccess 23 күн бұрын
Logan's Run?
@migmigjohnson9351
@migmigjohnson9351 26 күн бұрын
If people are put out of work, no one will afford whatever these robots are building.
@charlesrovira5707
@charlesrovira5707 26 күн бұрын
That's what *UBI* (Universal Basic Income) is for. It'll keep you scraping by *_or,_* if you have brand, gumption, initiative, and/or skills you can get ahead.
@drivingforcebehindu
@drivingforcebehindu 26 күн бұрын
They will all live in trees near Berlin gigafactory and come down to protest
@alhkcblack9617
@alhkcblack9617 26 күн бұрын
If peoples labor isn't needed and everyone get Ubi to buy stuff isn't that just more money printing? That money isn't earned by a person's output. Only people with jobs are high tech workers since even your typical office admin staff will be taken by AI processes.
@steve.k4735
@steve.k4735 26 күн бұрын
@@alhkcblack9617 Basically .. NO .. Money printing is only a problem because you can print money but not say a car so you end up with inflation, its not that moneys `earned` by human labour its that that human labour produced a object like a car, if you just print money and give it you have nothing BUT if you print money and produce enough `stuff` its not a problem.
@steve.k4735
@steve.k4735 26 күн бұрын
YES but if we don't do this what do you want that children are always to spend their lives, their best years working in a factory, spend 5 in 7 days `working` .. I am 62 now and retired its wonderful I have just spent a English Summer's day sitting by a river with my dog, I will die in 20-30 years and I am sure I will not look back thinking how wonderful it was to spend my youth working shifts and not spending time with those I loved. UBI for the love of god don`t let my children's children not live a full life free of work.
@CatsMeowPaw
@CatsMeowPaw 23 күн бұрын
This is fantastic news. I hope it happens as fast as possible. Why? Come on, how many people enjoy working 8 hours a day, getting up at 7am on a cold Monday morning to commute an hour to work? Anyone? I thought so. But where will millions of unemployed people get money to live, I hear people ask. Easy and simple. Tax the machines. They have an owner, they don't own themselves. If a corporation tries spin like 'this machine here in Sydney Australia is really owned by someone in Monaco, so we pay no tax!', just change the tax laws. The machine is taxed where it works.
@bearclaw5115
@bearclaw5115 22 күн бұрын
You're delusional if you think that somehow robots are going to give you an easy life. They are more likely to end it.
@garybulwinkle82
@garybulwinkle82 19 күн бұрын
My dad had a saying he used to describe the legal system, "Whoever has the money, pays!"
@jac4YouTube
@jac4YouTube 3 күн бұрын
I beg to differ, I actually like getting up and going to work, even in a factory, it gives me purpose to have something to live for. except my job is only 20 minutes away still its better then sitting at home with nothing to do.
@robertnicholson6686
@robertnicholson6686 26 күн бұрын
This is your best episode yet. Amazing. Thank you.
@sparkysho-ze7nm
@sparkysho-ze7nm 21 күн бұрын
Why th long face
@Sendu7
@Sendu7 26 күн бұрын
Some remote communities in Australia already are functioning on UBI money, otherwise known as 'sit down money'. Sadly it tends to destroy many people by taking away their life's purpose and not making them feel useful.
@autohmae
@autohmae 25 күн бұрын
thanks, I didn't know about this.
@boatbeard7767
@boatbeard7767 23 күн бұрын
Would that be all the ones subject to twice the activity tests and work/study hours before they receive any benefit of those not in remote communities? (hint, I live in a rural Oz town and personally see exactly how it is applied, so think carefully before answering...)
@Sendu7
@Sendu7 23 күн бұрын
@@boatbeard7767 I was thinking about some 'communities' in remote areas getting paid welfare with no expectation of doing paid work. Some do useful work - rangers etc.., but others are total disasters.
@dddux
@dddux 23 күн бұрын
Many thousands of years ago we were hunter gatherers, and we were happy. What does a hunter gatherer do whole day? And women? ;) Social life, hobbies, entertainment... oh the possibilities.
@autohmae
@autohmae 23 күн бұрын
@@dddux irony is... we used to work less then, compared to now... something many people don't talk about
@cofoothills
@cofoothills 3 күн бұрын
It's been said many times: Just because you're able to do something, doesn't mean you SHOULD
@raisoreo
@raisoreo 2 күн бұрын
Hey Sam, fabulous job on summarizing Seba’s forward thinking predictions. As a retired engineer, it gives me one thought: what will become of human being? Because I’m on the declining side of life, our offspring have to deal with a brand new world. I so wish I could see it. Perhaps I can if ‘they’ can transplant my conscience into the brain of a robot! Cheers!
@newzealanddave
@newzealanddave 26 күн бұрын
Why do people hate on this guy, if you don't like his content don't watch.
@benzengap6804
@benzengap6804 26 күн бұрын
This guy and his family has gone thru tough times but Sam has faced everything with dignity. They should respect him for still continuing this channel despite the stress he faces.
@DeeCeeP38
@DeeCeeP38 26 күн бұрын
Have you met people? People suck lol all theyre doing is projecting their own pain onto others. Yayyy for humans!
@qball66
@qball66 26 күн бұрын
because trolls are pathetic excuses for people
@TurdFergusen
@TurdFergusen 26 күн бұрын
some people hate everyone, theyre called leftists
@mr.makeit4037
@mr.makeit4037 26 күн бұрын
Maybe they question some of his statements. What's wrong with that?
@jimfergusondev
@jimfergusondev 26 күн бұрын
7:57 Not to mention that the TeslaBot doesn't pay taxes either. If automation like this replaces human jobs on a large scale, we could see a significant decrease in government revenue from taxes. This raises important questions about how to sustain public finances when fewer people are employed due to technological advancements. What solutions might we need to consider to balance this shift?
@gdok6088
@gdok6088 26 күн бұрын
Tax the robots and the goods they manufacture. Very simple.
@Yippydog
@Yippydog 26 күн бұрын
The government will tax the companies who make the bots and the customers that purchase them. They will be taxed based on the lifetime value and depreciation. No worries on this.
@buddy48716
@buddy48716 26 күн бұрын
Never doubt the government’s ability for tax innovation.
@fernandopimentel5463
@fernandopimentel5463 26 күн бұрын
Company that uses bot gets taxed, company that produces and sells bot gets taxed.
@renezirkel
@renezirkel 26 күн бұрын
@@Yippydog They cant tax consumers, as most consumers wont have income besides UBI. And taxing UBI spending just takes back some of the UBI, which makes no sense and there is still al lack of money for the remaining UBI. They cant tax robot producers high enough to account for 3 times life time spending of human UBI receivers otherwise robot producers (and shippers) would avoid this country all together. Which means we will have a robot oligarchy with many very real poor people.
@jeffrogers210
@jeffrogers210 5 күн бұрын
Excellent video, Mr. Viking! :-D Tony Seba always has well thought out insights on important trends that many others are ignoring.
@duprog
@duprog 8 күн бұрын
One of the limiting factor is the availability of physical resources. Everyone will have the knowledge but not everyone will have access to the elements needed to build them in sufficient quantity. Just like copper or rare earths are limiting the productions of electric cars, similar elements are going to limit the production of robots.
@Cybertruck1000
@Cybertruck1000 26 күн бұрын
Sam been listening to you on and off for a long while. I listened to this episode TWICE , it surpassed your others imo. Not that the others were bad but this was top notch. You delivered it perfectly and conveyed the message just as well. I've been telling people this thing will hit like a tsunami but of course they think it's just waffle and switch off. There are a lot of people who will just stare at the thing instead of preparing. People should be made to listen to this episode as it sums it all up perfectly. Cheers for your effort.
@jeffreymarshall5959
@jeffreymarshall5959 26 күн бұрын
There is going to be a massive recession as this transition happens. Like the change from coal to oil in the 1920s
@fernandopimentel5463
@fernandopimentel5463 26 күн бұрын
Its going to be brutal. Insane fiscal deficits, unemployment rates, companies collapsing on their debts due to lack of demand. 1920s will look soft.
@robertfonovic3551
@robertfonovic3551 26 күн бұрын
​​@@fernandopimentel5463 only the Western countries. The Asians are far to intelligent.
@fsaldan1
@fsaldan1 26 күн бұрын
The 1920s were a period of rapid growth after the 1920-21 recession that ended quickly because the US government did not do anything to fix it.
@DynamicUnreal
@DynamicUnreal 26 күн бұрын
There’s going to be no recession. There’s going to be massive production like the world has never seen. The prices of products including raw materials will decline across the board because of the lowering cost of labor. Robotics and intelligence will become cheaper and cheaper and accesible to more people.
@davidbrayshaw3529
@davidbrayshaw3529 25 күн бұрын
The change from coal to oil caused the '29 crash? Really? How have you come to that conclusion? I'm fascinated.
@you2449
@you2449 23 күн бұрын
There is no power without conflict strife and war. That ensures there will be no great awakening or great enlightenment of mankind. Only Forever wars, both internally and externally.
@seriouslyyoujest1771
@seriouslyyoujest1771 22 күн бұрын
Alan Watts said in the early 1970’s, when the Robot replaces the individual, the company gets the company gets the Robot, the Robot sends the former employee the check. Otherwise the individual won’t be able to buy the product. UBI, before it has a name.
@martinbonner6329
@martinbonner6329 26 күн бұрын
Of all the thousands of videos you made, I think this is MOST important one..
@richdiana3663
@richdiana3663 26 күн бұрын
E-Vike, your voice is too soothing for these disturbing times.
@alwoodski
@alwoodski 10 күн бұрын
Great comments. I’m encouraged to see diversity in response to the potential benefits and challenges ahead. We are well into “entering” the new frontier!
@papadingo
@papadingo 10 күн бұрын
As someone.who started his career in computing in 1977, I certainly know what you are talking about. For decades I have been pushing for thinking towards a universal wage (UW) There are so many challenges around the UW that I'd love to have some long critical and creative thinking discussions to think about the Domino affects and patterns that will be released and created.
@johnbierman4200
@johnbierman4200 26 күн бұрын
When a robot can change the sheets on a king size bed I will begin to believe.
@bearclaw5115
@bearclaw5115 22 күн бұрын
When a robot can join me in the bed I will begin to believe.
@johnnoddings6926
@johnnoddings6926 26 күн бұрын
An extraordinary post from you. Seba is hard to believe but it doesn’t mean it’s not true. Keep up your good work. Somebody needs to lead the way and you’re certainly putting in the hours .
@monkeysuncle2816
@monkeysuncle2816 26 күн бұрын
Few believed Seba the first 14 times he was right (or too conservative on the developments.)
@the100percentstraightguy
@the100percentstraightguy 15 күн бұрын
1 thing is super clear in your video, if labor is worthless... resources will be everything and resource wars will happen yearly on all fronts and investments need to be focused on resources like metals, plastics, copper and everything needed to make those robots and energy production and that's maybe a good topic to list all the resources needed. That can explain why copper is rising so much and energy could start to see a big rise again in the coming years
@gregsly308
@gregsly308 24 күн бұрын
has anyone been able to find a link to the original video by tony seba ?
@francelarebelle1138
@francelarebelle1138 22 күн бұрын
It will be nice yes, if we can have the link
@ferfromla
@ferfromla 26 күн бұрын
What this means is that we will need a new economic system. We will need to find a way of getting money into the hands of humans and perhaps their jobs will be to spend money. Today, more people work at home or while traveling, and the concept of work is changing. It also means that these changes will affect our values; perhaps not working might be acceptable someday. Work is such a big part of how we and others see us. Yet in a world where human labor becomes too costly and inefficient, we will still need a way to sustain people. I have no doubts that robots will replace human labor, but then the question becomes, what happens to all those people? Thus the idea of a guaranteed national income might in the future not only become acceptable, but also necessary. Sam, I very much appreciate you tackling this difficult problem. It is a testimony that you are doing your job as a journalist to keep your public thinking.
@greatcondor8678
@greatcondor8678 26 күн бұрын
Money is already becoming more and more useless
@rossr6616
@rossr6616 24 күн бұрын
the earth cannot sustain endless consumption by humans who would be "paid to shop"
@glasperlinspiel
@glasperlinspiel 24 күн бұрын
That’s mostly what Amaranthine is about, and how to leverage AI to make that possible
@navsofour2892
@navsofour2892 24 күн бұрын
UBI is already necessary in most of the world before the existence of robots but doesn't happen.
@mrcead
@mrcead 23 күн бұрын
It's so adorable you think they plan to keep an excess population around (no offense to you, it's just the math is clear if labour is a problem, so is housing and feeding that labour)
@bsaxman2012
@bsaxman2012 26 күн бұрын
Re "why Elon Musk is no longer interested in EVs", that probably explains why so many have chosen to resign rather than stay.
@Texaskeith7011
@Texaskeith7011 26 күн бұрын
That to me was the most disturbing statement in the video - not good for customers, his employees or investors
@stevenliew2507
@stevenliew2507 26 күн бұрын
The next generation of EV will have PV Charging on their Windscreen, their body works and requiring less power to travel 1000km. That is why Elon Musk is now focusing on the next generation of Industry and Business - Robots and Food.
@user-ct3hw3fz1c
@user-ct3hw3fz1c 16 күн бұрын
Thank you for making this video there has been virtually zero talk about this planet altering technology in the media.
@markmaker2488
@markmaker2488 22 күн бұрын
Given the current global power production capacity, it's evident that meeting the demands of every vehicle transitioning to electric presents a challenge. Considering this, supporting an additional 7 billion robots, each consuming 1-2 kW per day, seems unfeasible.
@julesgosnell9791
@julesgosnell9791 26 күн бұрын
The one thing I’ve learnt in many years of software development is it as you conquer each Hill all you get is a view of the next one. It is easy to fall into the trap of thinking that this Hill will be the last and this is the mistake that wrecks many a schedule. Whilst the optimist in me wants this to be the last AI hill there will be many more but hopefully the current one is the big one.
@ColinFox
@ColinFox 23 күн бұрын
I am also a software developer, and while what you say is true - once you reach the top of one hill you see the next hill, it's still PROGRESS. Sure you never run out of hills. That's a good thing! Keeps us busy and keeps progress moving forward. But progress is progress.
@jac4YouTube
@jac4YouTube 3 күн бұрын
yeah like walking over the dead bones that have gone before us, as others will be walking on ours shortly
@johngee777
@johngee777 26 күн бұрын
Tony Seba is correct. Humans need not apply. We are witnessing an S curve in disruption. It has taken longer than anticipated by many. However all the necessary technologies are converging. See Lights in the Tunnel by Martin Ford
@petermclaren2665
@petermclaren2665 24 күн бұрын
Yes, but where did Seba actually say these things about robots? - I can't find him saying it anywhere but I've found plenty of vids saying he said all this but never a link
@justinwatson1510
@justinwatson1510 20 күн бұрын
Media only exists to shape public opinion in ways that protect the status quo; it's adorable that you think they would report on anything significant, but their main job is to cultivate a pool of advertising targets that other corporations will pay to access. I recommend Inventing Reality and Manufacturing Consent for more in-depth explanations.
@davestagner
@davestagner 22 күн бұрын
This is far better, more far-reaching and interesting than your usual work. Bravo!
@craig8638
@craig8638 26 күн бұрын
I think the difference people aren’t getting with AI and robotics is you won’t have anything to do. If you drove a team of horses delivering things around the city, you could learn how to drive a truck to deliver them. This will not be the case with the coming disruption. I’ve been saying this for a few years and people don’t seem to get it.
@davestagner
@davestagner 22 күн бұрын
One of my favorite questions to ask people is “If you didn’t have to work, what would you do?” Many people have never thought about that.
@craig8638
@craig8638 22 күн бұрын
@@davestagner I retired. I spend time with my teenage daughters and wife, work on my property and surf.
@paulmcgraw9284
@paulmcgraw9284 26 күн бұрын
Have you ever seen “I Robot?” Yup it’s wonderful to think that robots will one day do everything people do. However, should these machines start to think and act like people do, we are SCREWED. Be careful what you wish for!
@glasperlinspiel
@glasperlinspiel 24 күн бұрын
Exactly, much of Amaranthine discusses the biases that lead to civilization’s roller coaster cycle and how AI can help us correct for them
@The_Ballo
@The_Ballo 24 күн бұрын
Even if the robots were benevolent, humans become animals when their hands aren't busy
@pottyputter05
@pottyputter05 23 күн бұрын
I think people take too much from sci-fi. It's arrogant to believe we will be able to predict such things. We should be careful but my god some people would have us revert to stone tools
@timotheusvanesch3959
@timotheusvanesch3959 22 күн бұрын
That says more about humanity than about robots, no?
@alainleger8973
@alainleger8973 22 күн бұрын
Not only robot workers, but also robot soldiers, robot policemen, etc, with knowledge and power, no place to hide, i think we already have the robot taxman
@davidelliott5843
@davidelliott5843 19 күн бұрын
Robots will initially take hold in warehousing and utility retail. Supermarket chains like Tesco, WalMart, etc will shift to robots as fast as physically possible. Home shopping deliveries will take longer but they’ll get robotised soon enough.
@TAJ1977
@TAJ1977 5 күн бұрын
We will see in 20 years whats going on... Humanity first 👍😉🫶 greetings from Germany 🖖
@pnketia
@pnketia 26 күн бұрын
If more people are out of a job because of robots that means less tax revenue for the federal government and states so my guess is they will tax companies on a per robot basis to make up for the loss. Companies wanting to set up shop in states will have to agree to have a percentage of their workforce be human or states will not allow them to operate in that state or get any incentives. I do believe this is the future, but it will take a long time for politicians to embrace it!
@DynamicUnreal
@DynamicUnreal 26 күн бұрын
If they artificially stop the robots, a country like China will rapidly surpass the USA. They have to do it no matter what.
@MitchTube
@MitchTube 26 күн бұрын
This is a much harder task than you think. Look at self driving. Tesla’s taken 10-15yrs and they aren’t close to replacing drivers.
@sparkysho-ze7nm
@sparkysho-ze7nm 26 күн бұрын
Lie lie lie lie
@surfside75
@surfside75 26 күн бұрын
Yeah, not even close. Elon is a con artist 😂
@SanePerson1
@SanePerson1 26 күн бұрын
Actually, if weather and lighting is between good and excellent, FSD is getting good … and I say this as a person who was pretty critical of it only a few months ago. However, they have a camera-only system, and if visibility is poor Tesla has a problem that doesn’t seem easily fixed with their current hardware. And robotaxis that only work in good weather are a problem.
@rowanbroekman3929
@rowanbroekman3929 26 күн бұрын
I suggest you to look up the speed progress in their recent updates. Tesla FSD is improving rapidly since they invested in their $10B+ supercomputers.
@ZGGuesswho
@ZGGuesswho 26 күн бұрын
they are obligated to say their tech is improving by leaps and bounds every keynote as they have been for the past decade, that is how they are inflating their value then diversifying to make money. the objective is money, not advanced tech.
@alyoshapearce5985
@alyoshapearce5985 21 күн бұрын
You need resources, mineral resources, material resources to build all the solar panels to power all these factories. And the problem is that these are finite. You can dream and idea yourself a vast world of of the future. But there is only so much material to get it done.
@neil5877
@neil5877 22 күн бұрын
If everyone is out of work they can automate everything but if we have zero in our bank accounts who can buy the products?
@user-zv8ph5du5t
@user-zv8ph5du5t 25 күн бұрын
Wow. What effect will it have on society when most people have no work to do, even if they get paid for not working. People need something productive to keep them occupied or bad things can happen.
@tjj300
@tjj300 21 күн бұрын
Ideally, arts and hobbies. Hand crafted will be special and valued. Travel. Work is something you do to live, but it's not why you live.
@capohd28
@capohd28 21 күн бұрын
I am one with lots of hobbies and play several musical instruments. Looking forward to retirement soon, so I can spend my time in hobbies rather than stuck in an office.
@sparkysho-ze7nm
@sparkysho-ze7nm 21 күн бұрын
Artificial intelligence regulatory agency is hiring
@sindbad8411
@sindbad8411 20 күн бұрын
@user-zv8ph5du5t UBI supporters claim this provides a great opportunity to do what people truly like and what's really needed but isn't profitable in a capitalistic society. From care homes for the elder to repair shops and many other services and social interactions. Most of these cannot be scaled and are therefore are not profitable currently or become crazily expensive like care homes.
@wowokingxoxo
@wowokingxoxo 19 күн бұрын
Learn how to Cook better , grow your own food, more time for s*x , it's all good.
@rossdunn2317
@rossdunn2317 26 күн бұрын
You can foresee that this disruption will also shatter our current political and economic models. If people are to be looked after, rather than be impoverished by this, enormous change will be required - possibly with some nasty conflict.
@willm5814
@willm5814 17 күн бұрын
Don’t worry everyone is already concerned Sam - the good news is that these changes have at least as good a chance of resulting in a better world
@ketnaa
@ketnaa 23 күн бұрын
It would be more accurate to say not that humanity will be taken out of poverty, but that it will have more potential to do so. We must not neglect those cogs in the system that will fight these changes. Take for example the war industry in the US - they are far more influential and have far more resources than all the other industries combined and will do whatever is needed to remain. The results of these advances I'm afraid, will first disrupt the strongest segments and in turn, keep the differences big enough among countries and segments, for the strongest to prevail. Poevrty and differences among people will rise. Otherwise I love this post and I love your channel, thank you.
@glloyd00
@glloyd00 26 күн бұрын
I’ve been following Tony Seba for a while and I’m glad you are helping to spread the message. I fully believe that the world will be transformed in the next decade or two. My concern is that both Tony Seba and others such as yourself are talking in nationalistic terms. If the new systems allow for a bigger and better world, with poverty eradicated, surely we can also start to downplay and disregard national borders. The sense of panic and FOMO is not really relevant if the benefits are spread around the world relatively evenly. The concept of a "nation" is an invented one that only matters if we want it to. We need to think of ourselves as a global community,, and where you happen to live or be born shouldn’t actually matter very much.
@donmarek7001
@donmarek7001 21 күн бұрын
Some us are way superior to others. Race, IQ, and culture matter. If this were not true. liberals from the US for example would be flocking to Liberia or Rhodesia for example.
@229andymon
@229andymon 26 күн бұрын
If a robot company wanted a really dumb human job to trial in UK, I’d suggest a Tory MP. A suped up vacuum cleaner would probably do as well.
@connclissmann6514
@connclissmann6514 26 күн бұрын
As we have recently seen with the Member from Dover, nobody really wants them.
@marvinhaagsma9177
@marvinhaagsma9177 26 күн бұрын
Not sure if the analogy works, because the more that a vacuum cleaner sucks, the higher it is rated.
@howardj602
@howardj602 26 күн бұрын
They don't have vacuum cleaners in the UK. They have Hoovers.
@connclissmann6514
@connclissmann6514 26 күн бұрын
@@marvinhaagsma9177 ... and the better vacuums of bagless, unlike the Conservative windbags in Parliament.
@snappie-riversofengland7589
@snappie-riversofengland7589 26 күн бұрын
Or a labour MP. The areas less likely to raise taxes to support lazy people are conservative held. Labour is the party for bums.
@richardgreen8003
@richardgreen8003 15 күн бұрын
Still this is one of your best video's ever. The China comment was my only distraction and I should have waited until the end to make that comment. Otherwise, I think you are spot on!
@the100percentstraightguy
@the100percentstraightguy 15 күн бұрын
all I know, I'm 48... I alway heard I would need to work less in the future, now 28 years later, I'm busting my ass off and it's still hard to get by
@robertcurrea2451
@robertcurrea2451 26 күн бұрын
Excellent editorial and premium reporting, rivaling all the major networks combined because they only see and say what they are told… Good job Sam
@Berretotube
@Berretotube 26 күн бұрын
Well said sir
@platoscavealum902
@platoscavealum902 26 күн бұрын
What is the biggest insight that you gained from this video?
@robertcurrea2451
@robertcurrea2451 26 күн бұрын
@@platoscavealum902 That the future is coming at an unbelievable speed (and force). if we do not prepare in time, it will be a disaster for humanity. However, on the flip-side, with proper adaptation, civilization can advance to levels never seen before. Definitely interesting times to be living in!
@dzcav3
@dzcav3 25 күн бұрын
Tony Seba must have found a copy of Autofac, the 1955 sci-fi story by Philip K. Dick, and thought he discovered something new. There are numerous problems with Seba's forecast: Food: I can just see the Whole Foods, anti-GMO, organic food crowd rushing to buy precision-fermented and cellular-agriculture synthetic food. Florida just outlawed synthetic meat. Robots: Part of the pitch for EVs is that they are "so much simpler" than ICE vehicles. "There's nothing to break." So humanoid robots are simple? And will never break? I suppose they self-assemble and repair themselves too. Industry has been automating at a rapid pace for decades using . . . . . . wait for it . . . . . ROBOTS. This is nothing more than the next chapter.
@sparkysho-ze7nm
@sparkysho-ze7nm 21 күн бұрын
Robots replace mainstream misery magnifying media first
@markwalker8374
@markwalker8374 25 күн бұрын
This will generate a big demand for metals, speciality alloys, new materials and plastics. Expect the mining industry to be on the cutting edge of new technological development to meet the demand but humans will still be needed to manage the environmental and social impacts.
@Jakob_DK
@Jakob_DK 22 күн бұрын
My great grandfather built the only coal crane in the 1920’s in the town where he lived. There are pictures of people with wheelbarrows competing with the crane in 1954. Long after my great grandfather had died. So yes, people will try to compete.
@davestagner
@davestagner 22 күн бұрын
That’s the story of John Henry, who beat the steam drill, but died in the process. The story paints him as a hero, but he’s really a victim.
@Gabriel.A.L.
@Gabriel.A.L. 22 күн бұрын
Its good that people focus more on growth and other people and less on producing stuff to fill the void. But its gonna be a rough ride.
@stephenwalters4798
@stephenwalters4798 25 күн бұрын
I cannot imagine that corporations will slash prices due to reduced labour costs. We can't even recycle electric cars and plastics so now we will be fillings landfills with generations of obsolete robots. Who is going to buy all this stuff the robots will be producing? Wherr are all the raw materials going to come from to build all these robots?
@mrcead
@mrcead 23 күн бұрын
It's the problem for the next generation whilst they retire in the Epstein-esque Seychelles. That's always been the Western game plan
@verttikoo2052
@verttikoo2052 23 күн бұрын
We can recycle plastics 100%… In the year 2027. First commercial refinery to do this is being built in Finland.
@Carl_in_AZ
@Carl_in_AZ 26 күн бұрын
I recall what automation can do when I worked for Schnider Electric in the late 90s' out of France These plants were so highly automated they caused overnight severe unemployment in the Normandy and Grenoble region. To address the issue the government required us to hire back employees to stop the machine ever so often to manually stack the products and move the products by forklifts to the shipping department which was not allowed to be automated..
@rossr6616
@rossr6616 24 күн бұрын
when they should instead have just paid former employees to explore personal creativity with their newly acquired "leisure" time
@davidelliott5843
@davidelliott5843 19 күн бұрын
The labour fudge fix was exactly what you’d expect from France.
@andycalifornia426
@andycalifornia426 22 күн бұрын
How realistic is it that I, a regular person (ie an employee), will have a sports car in that future of "super abundance" (I'll accept an electric one, doesn't have to be a gas guzzler), given that I can afford one now? If that's not in the cards, then it's NOT super abundance. In fact, something tells me it will be more difficult to have a sports car then, if possible at all.
@FutureSystem738
@FutureSystem738 9 күн бұрын
Thanks Sam- always great to see more interesting things from you. 👍
@electricviking
@electricviking 8 күн бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it
@murrynathan
@murrynathan 26 күн бұрын
Once these benevolent tech companies start handing out the sexbots, nobody’s gonna wanna leave their their UBI homes.
@adamkucera9094
@adamkucera9094 26 күн бұрын
Works for me.
@user-it7lf7kk8m
@user-it7lf7kk8m 26 күн бұрын
Nobody will pay the taxes for ubi
@user-zo2pc5lu5q
@user-zo2pc5lu5q 26 күн бұрын
Didn’t Futurarama do an episode about the dangers of Robo luv ;-) i.e. no more humans being produced
@gdok6088
@gdok6088 26 күн бұрын
@@user-it7lf7kk8m The companies using the robots will pay the taxes which will be distributed as UBI, actually UGI (Universal Good Income qv. Elon Musk). This is also in the companies interest, because they need consumers with money to buy their goods and services.
@Botoburst
@Botoburst 26 күн бұрын
@@user-it7lf7kk8m The bots productivity would be taxed, plenty to go around for all.
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