Tories 'scattergun approach' to policies not budging their position in the polls | John Curtice

"Despite the best effort of our politicians on all sides, there's always a risk that the election campaign is a lot of sound and fury signifying nothing."
The Conservatives remain 21 points behind Labour in the polls as they attempt to appeal to voters with "bold new policies," says polling expert John Curtice.
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[@Joe-og6br]

The country falling apart is not a few mistakes.

[@haybrain]

They don’t admit their mistakes , they just lie. Vote them out.

[@johndman100]

The Tories "made mistakes"? no their treatment of the poor and disabled was no mistake, it was quite deliberate!

[@TheBonsaiGarden]

Their treatment of anyone paying a mortgage was also no accident. My payments have risen by £350 A MONTH directly as a result of Truss’s utterly irresponsible “fiscal event” and subsequent market panic. It’s a price worth paying” says Jeremy Hunt. Let’s see what price his arrogant party pay…

[@davidmurphy563]

True. Even so, it wasn't all good. Probably best to vote Labour this time but you make a persuasive case.

[@chesterdonnelly1212]

Their biggest mistake is letting in record numbers of foreigners against the wishes of most voters

[@christophegibbs9339]

After bumbling Boris and utter chaos under Truss who unnecessarily cost so many of us so much money Sunak has done his best. He should be applauded for the job he’s done to date in arresting the free fall, however how can the general public trust a party who has demonstrated such unbelievable mismanagement influenced by an unruly right wing? Similarly can we trust a labour government but what viable alternatives are there?

[@StillAliveAndKicking_]

@@TheBonsaiGardenIt might, just might, have a lot to do with the Ukraine Russia war.

[@lindacurrie8817]

Young ones get your ID and call the Tories out. Vote as your vote is extremely important as are you. Come on now do vote .

[@AAWT]

Yes, please do. The young always make such intelligent, wise and far-sighted voting decisions... And I want to laugh at them when everything the Tories did is put on steroids, and everything gets even worse...

[@michaelbowling1362]

The Tories are throwing muck (I'm being polite 😂) at the wall to see what sticks..... Unfortunately Muck is Muck.

[@Lorraine-p4r]

It's not muck the tax on Pensions.

[@carlharding5311]

@@Lorraine-p4rLabour haven’t published their manifesto, but you’ve written it already. Clever…

[@david-pb4bi]

@@Lorraine-p4rI already pay tax on my state pension, so what’s your point?

[@claudioricci1]

‘National Service will repay my massive increase in my mortgage or rent’ thought no one anywhere

[@grahamturner1290]

Get the Tories OUT.

[@VinnyCarwash-js8op]

and replace them with the Tories?

[@GeoffV-k1h]

Rishii's blunder in calling an early election has infuriated his MPs. They wanted their snouts in the trough as long as possible.

[@stephfoxwell4620]

Losing six months pay, expenses bribes and board meetings.

[@carlharding5311]

I don’t know why she’s getting tetchy with him for pointing out constitutional facts. If you get someone who is an academic and an expert on your show they’re going to be accurate.

[@nigelhardy7218]

They really should have a better grasp of constitutional facts when talking to any academic expert.

[@jstelzner]

Is the clock because the Tories keep editing what he says in there favour😅

[@dazzwsmith]

Good spot!

[@kevinjohnson3782]

They are getting desperate now. They are just promising things they know can't be done. Pathetic!

[@kpodbot]

The tories NEVER make mistakes. Its always someone else's fault.

[@jsd8981]

This is " not just about the last 4 years it's allso about the past 14 years of abysmal behavior of the Con / Tory Party , that should not be forgotten, who in wants another five years of the same ???...

[@JohnShaw-zm2pc]

Vote out to help out. Give labour a chance we can always vote him out. 😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅😅

[@dudtorystinker]

There won't be a country left to vote for if labour win a large majority so your comment is at least hopeful but unfortunately it will be far to late. Vote reform UK to save the country.

[@truthtotell7583]

@@dudtorystinker This highly impressive informed opinion from a self-confessed Dud Tory Stinker - vote for a bunch of half-baked ultra right-wing deadbeats! (Meanwhile Uncle Nigel is off trying to get Donald effin' Trump elected as POTUS) .......... Couldn't make it up could you?

[@lindacurrie8817]

​@@dudtorystinkerNonsense

[@dazzwsmith]

​@@dudtorystinkerutter drivel.

[@bobsmith2794]

to be fair it's 50% previous tory leaders n 50% sunak. brexit. his wife not paying tax .his farther in-law suspiciously getting government contracts. no prison spaces. immigration out of control. Partygate . failed rohanda scheme . our city's are pitifull places. over all tax burden higher than ever. painful stuff .

[@johndman100]

It infuriates me to hear YET AGAIN that Scotland is important to Labour getting a majority, this is simply not true, there are more MP's in just the south east of England than there are in the whole of Scotland, in only one election in the last 70 years has Scotland provided Labour with a slim majority, if the whole country voted SNP Labour would STILL get a huge majority in England and Wales based on current polling!

[@mdog2501]

💯 spot on

[@kincaidwolf5184]

You are easily infuriated, lol. In huge areas of England and Wales, the Labour Party comes 3rd. The Lib Dems are going to win huge number of seats. Therefore, it is still possible that Labour will fail to form a majority government. The SNP are incredibly vulnerable and will lose at least 80% of their seats. So yes, Scotland is incredibly important for Labour to have a working majority. Had Labour won a majority of seats in Scotland in 2017, they could have formed a minority government. Every seat matters if you want to avoid a coalition or if you want a working majority. Scotland is critical to the Labour Party in the same way that Northern England and London critical. I.e volume of seats.

[@karmaascendant3936]

Scotland is more favourable to Labour than a lot of the areas needed to get the swing towards Labour in England. As in getting a majority of the seats available in Scotland means that Labour only needs a slightly better than Blair swing to win and get a majority. If it wasn’t for reform siphoning off a good 7-11% of potential Tories Scotland would be even more important for labour because this is the first time the Tories have had actually competition. They’d literally need an all timer +15 swing or more in a single election. Scotland simply reduces the threshold and makes a larger majority easier to achieve .

[@kincaidwolf5184]

@@karmaascendant3936 Well said. All it takes is for Labour to lose 5% and the Tories to gain 5% or for the Reform vote to go to the Tories for Labour to struggle to get a working majority. And, in England, Labour are going to be squeezed in pro Brexit and Muslim areas like Rochdale. The Reform Vote will take the white working-class and George Galloways pro- Palestine Party will hover up the Muslim vote.

[@WIlfredWibbles]

Until the SNP gained serious power, Labour always had many seats in Scotland. Scotland typically votes for progressive parties. The difficulty in the UK is that, up until now, the progressive vote is the largest by far, but it's split whereas the right wing vote is focused on the Tories. This favours the Tories in FPTP. If the Labour Party had the courage to bring in Proportional Representation the UK would typically always have progressive co-alitions.

[@andrewlane8949]

Not bothered who people vote for but will have lost my faith in human beings if the Tories get in again

[@metalthrashingmatt]

I bet everyone at the Times are crying into their pillows tonight...

[@elky1883]

The mail

[@metalthrashingmatt]

@elky1883 What about them?

[@stealthbum34]

Yeah that’s right, it was just the Liz Truss era. The rest of Conservative rule has been just wonderful.

[@El_Paracleto]

It's nice to hear some GOOD NEWS all round...

[@AB-zl4nh]

Well done to John refusing to dumb down the conversation. We don't (directly) elect Prime Ministers.

[@sasserine]

And even if you claim we do, via our party vote, it would still only be three.

[@DS9TREK]

We indirectly elect the prime minister. The voters decide which person they want to be prime minister and vote as if MPs were an electoral college.

[@stephfoxwell4620]

Oh yes we do.

[@alanpage3973]

​@@stephfoxwell4620we don't elect a pm in this country it's not hard to understand

[@stephfoxwell4620]

@@alanpage3973 Heath or Wilson Thatcher or Foot. Thatcher or Kinnock. Major or Blair. Brown or Cameron. Corbyn or Johnson. That is how it works.

[@shaunm3206]

It’s the throw a policy like a string of spaghetti at the wall and see if one if any sticks.

[@SSNewberry]

A sharp-eyed pollster. Disastrous results for the Conservatives.

[@lorrainemoynehan6791]

fingers crossed

[@benmayhew2K]

The shocking TV meetings will be enough for Labour.

[@purplerings1969]

Was it mistakes though? I thought them draining the government funds to give to their donors was their plan all along

[@denisebrown4735]

Nothing has ever been mistakes ....it's been Tory incompetence, , corruption and abuse of power on an industrial scale.

[@ftsetradersteve2742]

Unfortunately the Conservative Party have got themselves stuck with an unelectable leader.....They should have ditched him and Hunt the moment they realised nobody was ever going to Rwanda....The only metric of interest now is how badly they will lose....

[@tomwebb5148]

Labour’s manifesto will be based on the old football chant of Kier Starmer’s football team ‘1-0 the Arsenal’ ………, very boring but highly effective

[@paulmatley8818]

Labour Manifesto? You're having a laugh, right? Starmer hasn't got one single original thought between his ears, and just like his Davos bunk-buddy, Sunak, he'll take his orders from abroad. The only thing guaranteed for the UK's future is increased migration and destructive pseudo-eco energy policies.

[@malcolmstockbridge2569]

I wouldnt mind a bit of boring for a while, all the drama and nastiness has got us nowhere so far.

[@davidmurphy563]

"1-0 _to_ the Arsenal" Equaliser denied by Dixon, Adams, Keown, Winterburn and the offside trap. Followed by 11 in the first third to run out time.

[@MrPhobart]

I really dislike having a spoiler clip at the start of the video

[@jonathaneffemey944]

Thanks posting

[@renmanincltd9965]

Truth is 👿😡 important in things.. Tories are cak Major Cak.. . 😂

[@TrevorBarre]

Let's just enjoy these moments. Compare to Johnson's hubris in 2019, and luxuriate.

[@mup_pet]

7:45 Well done John Curtice. It's worrying the media in this country are trying to push us towards the US style of voting for personalities.

[@gavinsmith9564]

Brexit Britain from live and work in any EU country to enforced Brexiteer labour camps in less than 5 years.

[@piccalillipit9211]

They knew what they were voting for...!!!

[@dudtorystinker]

But according to remainders Brexit voters were all old and so they are all dead. But no one is going to rejoin the EU corrupt club

[@denisebrown4735]

They voted for lies ​@@piccalillipit9211

[@russellbradley454]

Sir John corrects the ignorance of this woman of the UK's Electoral system and shows she's not fit to draw her Salary .

[@soton5teve]

Scatterbrained i think you meant

[@Trebornudd69]

No need for the long preview

[@alfching2499]

The whole British political system has always been dodgy,its just shown up quicker now

[@Christopher-lg3ry]

A tad incorrect of Curtice to suggest labours only line is regarding luz truss. I've heard them complain about party gate, boris, weak ministers, the poor brexit deal, damaging trade, nhs waiting lists, damage to farming and fishing, sewage, the poorly constructed windfall tax, non doms, energy security, peroguing parliament to name a few

[@Christopher-lg3ry]

And err, of course, Austerity

[@davidhartley1155]

only 3 Labour Leaders have won a GE..EVER ! How come she doesn't know this ..

[@pacogomez1707]

Four - MacDonald (1923, 1929), Attlee, Wilson, Blair.

[@DS9TREK]

MacDonald never won an outright majority but he was Labour prime minister. In 1929 Labour came second behind the Tories, but neither had a majority so the Liberals supported a Labour government

[@conscienceaginBlackadder]

​@@DS9TREKin popular vote, by 1%. They won on seats, the first time they did. Labour 287, Tory 260.

[@allip4226]

Getting a job at Murdoch's Tory client media outlets is far more dependent on going to the right schools and being willing to shamelessly spout right-wing propaganda than it is on having a clue what you're talking about.

[@geejazza1505]

Tories: We have a scam, the scam is working.

[@Kiltking]

Vote SNP I’m a Scotsman get me out of here.!

[@stephfoxwell4620]

The SNP's cynical effort to break the Union has come to nothing Back to being a single issue protest group.

[@MrTzimisces]

Embarrassing that the interviewer doesn't understand how our parliamentary system works

[@conscienceaginBlackadder]

Kinnock the Movie 1987. Major the Movie 1992.

[@stephengrice1678]

With Sunak it is just going round in circles. But he is the man in charge. His thick tank trying so hard. Try this, no this, what about that.

[@jamesnicoll8415]

I don’t believe the numbers re the SNP. Scottish voters are very wary of Labour. We’ll see…

[@stephfoxwell4620]

SNP will lose half their MPs.

[@stephfoxwell4620]

Hilarious isn't it? Not a clue.

[@GG-hu9dn]

And the Uk is falling apart?! Anybody used the tube lately?!

[@nicks4934]

The polls aint moving

[@john-k6k6w]

id Vote Conservative if we actually had a Conservative Party 😷

[@kenbushnell4793]

Tory Prayer: where there is love, let us sow hatred; where there is pardon, injury; where there is faith, doubt; where there is hope, despair; where there is light, darkness; where there is joy, sadness; where there is harmony, discord. For it is in taking that we receive. Praise be the Tory way

[@ianworley8169]

Prof Curtis needs to be more accurate. Labour are committing to no tax increases for working people, NOT tax cuts as he stated. His sole purpose is to give analysis of political data and trends, not to misrepresent party policies.

[@petercorbett3794]

Tory base is pensioners. What’s the point in telling them to look to the future, they all live in 1945!

[@mickeyfrancismcdaid]

Things can only get wetter for soggy Sunak, the puddled PM.

[@DrLogical987]

0:45 Labour: bla bla Truss bla bla Conservative: bla bla Corbin bla bla Very funny. But chappy really has to report on the facts not propagandise.

[@jimsully9851]

Hospital pass to Kier Starmer. Good luck.

[@nicks4934]

Eh?

[@lindacurrie8817]

Well say what you mean to John instead of own narrative. Does not matter John will correct you.

[@JohnPark-xf2gq]

Sunak is millwall supporter.no one. Likes him he dont care

[@WilliamBell-t8k]

'Kind of one week in' ? You mean we are actually a week into the election campaigns. Good English would be appreciated...Bill

[@GodfreyTempleton]

Aeysha is my goddess, but I don't like the way her and other broadcasters kneel with obsequiousness at the altar of John Curtice. It doesn't gel in my head. He's a statistician, not a political commentator.

[@timelwell7002]

Sir John Curtice is entirely correct in his evaluation that unless the coming Labour Government are prepared to increase taxes on large and multinational companies (Corporation Tax) then they will NOWHERE NEAR enough money to pay for all the improvements they are currently promising. Both Starmer and Reeves have RULED OUT properly taxing large and multinational companies, which is absurd. For me, this does NOT bode well for our future under a Labour Party controlled by Keir Starmer.

[@nicks4934]

Led by. Whats yr soln then?

[@timelwell7002]

@@nicks4934 I'm not clear what question you're asking. Is it: (A) What is my solution to having Starmer as Labour leader? ~ OR ~ (B) What is my solution to the current economic and political mess which the nation is now facing c/o 14 years of Tory corruption and mis-management..? The answer to (A) is that we're lumbered with the bar steward for the foreseeable future. I will NOT vote for Labour while Starmer is in charge. Whereas the answer to (B) is to impose PROPER taxes on large and multinational companies, and use the VAST amounts of money raised to rebuild the nation.

[@gregnorth6413]

Is Sir John a political statistician or is he becoming a labour party activist?

[@20quid]

For the sake of transparency you should have made clear that your interviewer was made a Labour peer in the House of Lords two months ago.

[@chriselliott726]

And the politics of each and every interviewer?

[@gio-oz8gf]

Stop calling him a bloody guru. He's a pollster.

[@junehill4636]

Not at all biased are you Mr Curtice ???..you love taking every opportunity to Tory bash ...!!!

[@zog97xy]

Good for him!

[@lindacurrie8817]

Well plenty too bash have themselves to blame. Tories received an 80 majority could have done wonderful things squandered it. Well lined their own pockets first and enriched their own bank accounts.

[@benwilson6145]

The truth hurts!

[@allip4226]

Reality has a left-wing bias, especially when a pollster is being interviewed about the Tories being 20 points behind in the polls. Maybe go back to GB News if the right-wing bias of the Times is a bit too subtle for you.

[@NilsAlmquist-d9k]

He's speaking the truth. His job is not to provide you with the nonsense you want to hear and believe.