UK Meltdown Continues

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PensionCraft

PensionCraft

Жыл бұрын

This week has seen the Bank of England expanding their rescue efforts in the hope of stopping fire sales but then also announced yesterday that these measures will only run to the end of the week. Higher interest rates have been hitting the UK housing market and this means, unusually for the UK, that repaying the current 6% 5-year fixed mortgage rate will actually work out more expensive than paying rent.
The UK’s unemployment rate has fallen to its lowest since 1974 which might sound like positive news, but low unemployment also fuels inflation. So in this live stream, I will discuss what’s been happening in the UK, the problems that we face and what this means for investors.
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Пікірлер: 315
@chrisdaviesguitar
@chrisdaviesguitar Жыл бұрын
So, with all our money in the banks, why aren't they paying US interest. After all, it's OUR money they are lending out to people and businesses. Or should we just keep a minimal amount in the banks and keep it all under the mattress like my grandmother did?
@mohammadhashemi1771
@mohammadhashemi1771 Жыл бұрын
serves you right for falling for the same lies and electing the same liers time and time again
@davidhayes4814
@davidhayes4814 Жыл бұрын
“A house divided unto itself can not stand” …. It was unforgivable for the Govt to blame the Bank of England…
@SalsaKingoftheApes
@SalsaKingoftheApes Жыл бұрын
Truss is acting like a child vomiting in a sweet shop
@antonmursid2714
@antonmursid2714 Жыл бұрын
Antonmursid🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏❤
@mrme3717
@mrme3717 Жыл бұрын
3 monetary faults and their fixes. Our world has 3 fundamental practices that are problematic. If we dont understand the root causes of a problem we will address the symptoms or actors, not the causes. The 1st is that large private and Central banks have obtained the Exclusive franchise to create ALL new Currency as Debt, with interest attached. An increasing population needs an increasing currency, but it is all created as debt bearing interest. This indebts the whole world, every person, every government, in totally unpayable debts, enslaving us all to bankers through personal debt or ever increasing excessive taxation, surcharges, permits, licences, registrations, regulations, fees, rates, duties, fines, levies, adinfinitum, of which an increasing volume goes straight to the debt creators, who created it for free. (At zero cost to themselves.) 2nd. Virtually no limitation plus fractional banking allows banks to effectively create massive new Currency volumes, blowing massive bubbles (in housing/stocks) which devalues everyone's savings, work, pension by raising all prices. Meanwhile taxation creates artificial demand for fiat currency. The fix ? Go back to Sound Metalic Money and stop all banks and financial institutions loaning out more than they have on deposit. Return legal currency creation to national treasury departments with a zero Inflation policy. This will not create inflation like some bankers/economists would like to have you think. It is not WHO creates currency that drives the constant devaluation of your money & work, it is THE VOLUME per population and productivity. The banks increased the base currency supply by over 65 % since March 2020. This is further multiplied by fractional banking. You can't spend it off planet, and we've had no increase in population or productivity. How can it not devalue our savings, wages and retirement funds by at least 50% as it enters the economy ? 3rd. Fiat currency whether paper or digital has no intrinsic value, thus it cannot be used as a long term store of value, particularly in an ever expanding fiat system. The fix ? Return to constitutional Silver, Gold, Copper & Nickle currency, designated by weight not cents/dollars. These will find their own local value. These can't be printed to oblivion, have intrinsic value, and are a safeguard against selfish human nature. Continue to keep the manufacture of Gold & Silver rounds by private mints & foundries to help keep the government mints honest as to premiums. Do not allow bankers and economists trained in the current system to con you into believing there isn't enough Metalic Money. You mix 1% gold, 99% copper, you have a Gold backed currency. Same with Silver and Nickle. Mint 10th ounce, 2 10ths, 5 10ths and 1 ounce. Never give it a 'value number,' which is always a lie. Give it its weight & purity, and let the market place decide what it will buy. Call it 'slow money" like 'slow food.' It's slower for sure, but it's 10 times better for you. Necessary to nationalise mines & pay shareholders out in metal. Correct these 3 Principles and >80 % of a nation's problems would disappear. Do not allow your masters the Debt slave creator's to tell you it can't be done. It is easily done. Beware. The WEF wants you totally enslaved with Digital currency. Convert your garbage fiat currency into Gold and Silver or prepare for destruction.
@bighands69
@bighands69 Жыл бұрын
Everywhere is having problems so people need to calm down. This is what happens when market place faces heavy interference for 2 years.
@newby2224
@newby2224 Жыл бұрын
why are the banks being so greedy they aren't passing the interest rate rise to saving accounts....they are putting up rates on mortgages but not savings
@mattinthehat22
@mattinthehat22 Жыл бұрын
‘Spending’ projections at 12:00 are highly flawed unless, or until natural gas stabilizes, also
@ianbaker2599
@ianbaker2599 Жыл бұрын
There is so much turmoil in the world right now, my gut feel is that things are going to get significantly worse.
@sleepingbearffg5008
@sleepingbearffg5008 Жыл бұрын
Lol the bible tells me..God bless
@spaceoddity2485
@spaceoddity2485 Жыл бұрын
😱😱😱😱
@mrme3717
@mrme3717 Жыл бұрын
3 monetary faults and their fixes. Our world has 3 fundamental practices that are problematic. If we dont understand the root causes of a problem we will address the symptoms or actors, not the causes. The 1st is that large private and Central banks have obtained the Exclusive franchise to create ALL new Currency as Debt, with interest attached. An increasing population needs an increasing currency, but it is all created as debt bearing interest. This indebts the whole world, every person, every government, in totally unpayable debts, enslaving us all to bankers through personal debt or ever increasing excessive taxation, surcharges, permits, licences, registrations, regulations, fees, rates, duties, fines, levies, adinfinitum, of which an increasing volume goes straight to the debt creators, who created it for free. (At zero cost to themselves.) 2nd. Virtually no limitation plus fractional banking allows banks to effectively create massive new Currency volumes, blowing massive bubbles (in housing/stocks) which devalues everyone's savings, work, pension by raising all prices. Meanwhile taxation creates artificial demand for fiat currency. The fix ? Go back to Sound Metalic Money and stop all banks and financial institutions loaning out more than they have on deposit. Return legal currency creation to national treasury departments with a zero Inflation policy. This will not create inflation like some bankers/economists would like to have you think. It is not WHO creates currency that drives the constant devaluation of your money & work, it is THE VOLUME per population and productivity. The banks increased the base currency supply by over 65 % since March 2020. This is further multiplied by fractional banking. You can't spend it off planet, and we've had no increase in population or productivity. How can it not devalue our savings, wages and retirement funds by at least 50% as it enters the economy ? 3rd. Fiat currency whether paper or digital has no intrinsic value, thus it cannot be used as a long term store of value, particularly in an ever expanding fiat system. The fix ? Return to constitutional Silver, Gold, Copper & Nickle currency, designated by weight not cents/dollars. These will find their own local value. These can't be printed to oblivion, have intrinsic value, and are a safeguard against selfish human nature. Continue to keep the manufacture of Gold & Silver rounds by private mints & foundries to help keep the government mints honest as to premiums. Do not allow bankers and economists trained in the current system to con you into believing there isn't enough Metalic Money. You mix 1% gold, 99% copper, you have a Gold backed currency. Same with Silver and Nickle. Mint 10th ounce, 2 10ths, 5 10ths and 1 ounce. Never give it a 'value number,' which is always a lie. Give it its weight & purity, and let the market place decide what it will buy. Call it 'slow money" like 'slow food.' It's slower for sure, but it's 10 times better for you. Necessary to nationalise mines & pay shareholders out in metal. Correct these 3 Principles and >80 % of a nation's problems would disappear. Do not allow your masters the Debt slave creator's to tell you it can't be done. It is easily done. Beware. The WEF wants you totally enslaved with Digital currency. Convert your garbage fiat currency into Gold and Silver or prepare for destruction.
@MagicNash89
@MagicNash89 Жыл бұрын
So, basicly, the reason is that the UK has a nutcase government right now, or at least PM and Chancellor Kwarteng.
@robertcraig7241
@robertcraig7241 Жыл бұрын
Excellent explanation ,we are facing similar circumstances in Australia with climate & esg madness.Will look at pension craft , thanks bob
@19grand
@19grand Жыл бұрын
The Elephant in the room for me is interest rates averaging below 1% for 12 years. This has been a historic low, never seen before. Now that they are on the rise people are in a state of shock. I don't a great deal about interest rates, but I would like to what damage and where the damage has been done to the economy?
@pistopitpit
@pistopitpit Жыл бұрын
So many people thought that bond fund is a fixed income. Hopefully this is a wake up call for them. I will never ever buy a bond fund. Cash and equity only.
@royed31
@royed31 Жыл бұрын
Pension providers should not be involved in margins calls
@robertwilson214
@robertwilson214 Жыл бұрын
So....beg the markets for debt restructure,anchor the pound back to gold,or the country won't be worth living in?
@user-gq2vn1xj2r
@user-gq2vn1xj2r Жыл бұрын
Amazing. For the first time in my life I am starting to really understand fixed income investing. Thank you.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful!
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
Of course we are getting two conflicting messages. We've been getting conflicting messages between different gov officials and between gov and the media for years now. When we don't we get complete lockstep. Hypernormalisation....
@awolgeordie9926
@awolgeordie9926 Жыл бұрын
70% S&P500, 30% Bitcoin, 0% Bonds. Been a rough year but sleeping OK.
@JohanTetzel
@JohanTetzel Жыл бұрын
You've put in a real shift for us over the past few weeks, Ramin - thanks so much!
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Thanks @AlexW my pleasure! Ramin
@jw8578
@jw8578 Жыл бұрын
Thx for the explanation. I was curious what was going on.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Glad to help @J W
@marctamtonthat
@marctamtonthat Жыл бұрын
I believe there is a misunderstanding. The transaction value of the bond is mixed with the fact that this bond will be repaid at maturity. There are always people who want to buy or sell these bonds. The market value which is sadly dropping very low does not affect the annual interest or the fact that the initial money invested will be refunded.
@mario7027
@mario7027 Жыл бұрын
Right, which makes me think whether these bonds are a bargain buy now that they are at such a low price? Though I'm not sure how much further they could go down if interest rates and inflation keep going up.
@ayg2199
@ayg2199 Жыл бұрын
in case people haven’t figured it out yet, there’s not much money in the pension system. i wouldn’t count on getting a penny of it
@Nilsis1986
@Nilsis1986 Жыл бұрын
An inconvient truth, that leaders of this world, in banking and in politics might be thinking "You'll own nothing and be happy", but don't realise that everybody who will belong to that class will not contribute to the system, or at very least should not be expected to contribute. There is no free lunch, there never will be.
@RIZFERD
@RIZFERD Жыл бұрын
no bright future there, save your investments from western world and surrounding. Singapore, our former tiny island of Sumatra, will soon rejoin Indonesia again after been donated by our Ancestors in the past to the Brits. no bright future there, save your investments from western world and surrounding. Karma Never Sleep, they (UK, Europe, USA, and so on) never been real rich and will always be where they belong the real third world countries. Indonesia the very center of the equator line was and will always be the real global superpower. Soon the world map will be modified to the real size scaling, real Indonesia is much larger than UK+Europe+Middle East combined not the present too small scaling they've been drawing on purpose since Mercator 1569. Indonesia has 3 timezones: GMT +7, +8, +9 Gunung Padang, Just 25000 years old pyramid older than Egypt after all so many times I wrote Egyptian and Greek were just adopting what we had especially before Toba Supervolcano Sumatra erupted 75000 years ago (larger than Yellowstone USA resulting today world's largest volcanic lake Toba lake of Sumatra with length around 100 kilometers), all Indo around the world (Indo Persia, Indo America, Indo Europe, etc even Batak of Bulgaria is Batak of Sumatra) came from Indo Nesos (Indus/Hindu/Hindia Islands = present Indonesia, Indo were from Indonesia to allover Europe then only India today most significant has preserved as India is far from the equator line and more than 80% natural resources in India up-to-date come from Indonesia from coconuts to many kind of wood to wooden furniture to spices as India is a total mess yet very limited agricultural space because of overpopulation and Hindu today wasn't real Hindu back then) even Indonesia on present world map is too small since Mercator 1569 this very center of human civilization exactly on the center of the equator line is the real Atlantis to put onto Europe is like from UK to half of Russia. The highest humidity (too many water in the air) has decayed the artifacts faster than in any part of the world. But the spirits/soul never die, I am one of the kings and queens descendants.
@navidr2811
@navidr2811 Жыл бұрын
Love your videos! It’s certainly one of the most sold and educational financial channels I’ve come across!! Thanks a lot for your time
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Awesome, thank you @Navid R
@CB-dv1ox
@CB-dv1ox Жыл бұрын
I learned something new, actually many things. Amazing content as always, Ramin. Related to your mention on uk/us property market, can I suggest you check out the Australian and particularly New Zealand property market, as I believe it is really a canary in the coal mine situation for many countries that have been fed low cost debt.
@tatianafoule6257
@tatianafoule6257 Жыл бұрын
Maybe in new zeland they are going better. The point is unmeasurable.
@paulprescott147
@paulprescott147 Жыл бұрын
Thanks so much for breaking this down and explaining the contagion. Shocked as to how little the BOE have actually bought after all the 65billion headlines.
@tb-cg6vd
@tb-cg6vd Жыл бұрын
Well they were trying to offload the things after a decade of QE not buy more!!!
@jimbojimbo6873
@jimbojimbo6873 Жыл бұрын
I never truly appreciated how much content you produce till now Thnx
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoy it @Jimbo Jimbo
@donkeytonk
@donkeytonk Жыл бұрын
Ramin would make a fine Chancellor of the Exchequer
@bartwaggoner2000
@bartwaggoner2000 Жыл бұрын
Thank you and we appreciate you here in the USA
@TheNicoliyah
@TheNicoliyah Жыл бұрын
Thank you for explaining this, I finally understand the depths of this governments incompetence
@tatianafoule6257
@tatianafoule6257 Жыл бұрын
Tell me they are just waiting bubies to explode.
@caviarshower
@caviarshower Жыл бұрын
its not incompetence, its been done on purpose, they want u to think its incompetence. they r trying to get us to accept global governance via private public partnership and get rid of governments
@karlnightingale9078
@karlnightingale9078 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the considered, calm information.
@fvlok
@fvlok Жыл бұрын
Fantastic content over and over. Thanks
@caparn100
@caparn100 Жыл бұрын
If interest rates are put up to historically normal levels the the value of a 68 year 3.5% bond is obviously going to fall. There seems to have been some assumption that the free money and low interest rates was going to keep going indefinitely.
@chrisf1600
@chrisf1600 Жыл бұрын
@34:15 small point, but you only need a 25% gain to reverse a 20% loss.
@mattanderson6672
@mattanderson6672 Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much This is the sound of sanity
@inchxinchlifesasynch
@inchxinchlifesasynch Жыл бұрын
How do you buy a single gilt? I tried and failed!
@ssorcnivek
@ssorcnivek Жыл бұрын
Of course they are going to step in!! YES they are ! They cannot have the alternatives .
@andrewjackson8089
@andrewjackson8089 Жыл бұрын
Why isn’t the pound on melt down 🤷‍♂️ 1.14 euro/ 1.116 on dollar as I type.
@user-wr4yl7tx3w
@user-wr4yl7tx3w Жыл бұрын
I’m not sure if your description of LDI is accurate. They were swaps used to help match duration to reduce interest rate risks.
@richardcoppack5357
@richardcoppack5357 Жыл бұрын
Great explanation. Thanks for doing this.
@MrHotrod79
@MrHotrod79 Жыл бұрын
Thank you for doing this Ramin, been waiting for your breakdown, so much going on!
@tatianafoule6257
@tatianafoule6257 Жыл бұрын
Yeas. It is. I know out
@ronnie7983
@ronnie7983 Жыл бұрын
Sorry i admit im financially illiterate are premium bonds at risk?
@MacksCurley
@MacksCurley Жыл бұрын
No third party risk in physical Gold.
@yourplumbingpal1225
@yourplumbingpal1225 Жыл бұрын
Best explanation of what is and has happened, on the internet, brilliant work, thank you really wanted to know about the pension investment strategy that I had never heard of before the last ten days and I thought , just maybe I knew a bit, makes you wonder what else we/ I have never heard of that is round the corner , hold on tight eh. Was looking at moving house but have decided to put it off for 5 or 6 years. Shame as had found the right house, but way too risky even within the last 6 weeks. Anyway awesome work thank you.
@franciscoknower5756
@franciscoknower5756 Жыл бұрын
I think it’s a good time to short UK property
@smvinay1206
@smvinay1206 Жыл бұрын
Thank you Ramin... we can totally understand..thank you for the regular update 👍
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
My pleasure 😊 @Vinay Shenvi
@rebornsmith7542
@rebornsmith7542 Жыл бұрын
07:25 Ah, so here is the problem.
@AidanMyne
@AidanMyne Жыл бұрын
Would be interesting to see an update on this because my understanding is that the bank of England withdrew it's propping up of pension funds on the 14th October.
@MangoManZ1
@MangoManZ1 Жыл бұрын
Hi Ramin, really appreciate your videos, thank you.
@MikeNewland
@MikeNewland Жыл бұрын
Different versions of the pension problem around. One says its margin calls on leveraged gilts. Another says its to do with interest rate swops??
@asdreww
@asdreww Жыл бұрын
So it was the most shocking rise in 30yrs... but the government's mini budget was not exactly that radical?
@geopadasian7958
@geopadasian7958 Жыл бұрын
What about the inflation ? Why would anyone want to buy uk bonds when the yield is far lower than the inflation rate??
@aristotlechange1424
@aristotlechange1424 Жыл бұрын
The maximum weekly state pension is £141 in the UK, £507 in Germany, £304 in France, and £513 in Spain.
@andyballard1883
@andyballard1883 Жыл бұрын
Hi Ramin, I think your chart showed that the BoE buying intervention has not stabilized yeilds and the reason was that the government fiscal policy just does not add up. That bring the case if they continue buying after Friday it will not ' fix' the problem because as you said the Government is not backing down on their fiscal corporation tax or NI plans
@oneeleven9832
@oneeleven9832 Жыл бұрын
The problem is a FIAT currency problem..the fuse was lit in 1971 & the mandarins think our debt based system based on nothing but belief can go on forever, by forever pulling currency from the future..frankly I’m amazed it’s gone on this long..the chickens are coming home to roost 🤷‍♂️
@caparn100
@caparn100 Жыл бұрын
I can see why Andrew Baily wants to stop buying bonds as soon as possible because he has a target on inflation to maintain. All the new money the Bank of England are creating to buy these bonds is going into the economy and causing inflation, this is the opposite of his objective.
@jauld360
@jauld360 Жыл бұрын
I know the usual introductory details of bonds, but the practical side does not seem to be covered anywhere I can find. For example, in your happy returns pod cast you mention 4% returns on one year UK gilts. I can see an instrument with the description 0.125% 31/01/2023 GBP1000 in my SIPP. For a traditional gilt, I understand that coupons are paid on the 22 January and 22 July, or the next business day. Since the maturation date is 0.125% 31/01/2023, does that mean that all of the coupons have been paid and the best outcome is getting nothing but my money back? It's these kind of details that don't seem to be described anywhere. Perhaps you could record a buyers guide for gilts?
@florianmaier104
@florianmaier104 Жыл бұрын
I was hoping you put a video out explaining what happened. Too many news outlets or youtubers just skipped over it labeling it as 'not relevant, too complicated'.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
Proof?
@rdaxthedog
@rdaxthedog Жыл бұрын
I hope the PM & Chancellor are watching!
@isthereanyname
@isthereanyname Жыл бұрын
very good explanation
@lyrical-feline
@lyrical-feline Жыл бұрын
Thank you Ramin. Invaluable summary and analysis. I learnt a lot. Much appreciated!
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Glad it was helpful @Jennifer Fisher
@HughJason
@HughJason Жыл бұрын
Thanks for the explanation. Who would Rishi have had as chancellor, do you know ?
@normanprice5351
@normanprice5351 Жыл бұрын
Enjoyed the laid back presentation of the UK/Market Meltdown...I have to say though that even if it is by default...it is better to let interest rates rise higher now rather than later even though it will be painful for some ..In the West we now live in a world where it seems people must not go under but the price we all pay for that is the evil of inflation which hurts the poor the most ...If economic crisis were allowed to play themselves out ...although for some as in the early 1990s it would be painful proper price stability and growth could then be restored with rising living standards for all ... Trying to save to many people in the life boat only ends up meaning that everyone else in the life boat will end up drowning as well !!!!
@davidfrick2621
@davidfrick2621 Жыл бұрын
Thanks!
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Thanks @David Frick
@hammer67459
@hammer67459 Жыл бұрын
Any possible action seems stinkier that all the ones before.......
@jabberwockytdi8901
@jabberwockytdi8901 Жыл бұрын
What I haven't seen mentioned yet - When pensions funds start failing those schemes are going to end up on the government pension protection scheme. Means the government will have to issue yet more gilts to cover the shortfall of the pension schemes that fail = doom loop. Plus a significant number of pension scheme members will get a 10% haircut on the pension they expected to get.
@groovejet77
@groovejet77 Жыл бұрын
I think he has limited understanding of what is going to happen.
@johnristheanswer
@johnristheanswer Жыл бұрын
Is that run by the Govt . I thought all pension providers paid a levy to be members , effectively insuring each other.
@lorristan
@lorristan Жыл бұрын
There are a number of players in this debacle and it should not be overlooked that as well as the BOE and the GOV that the OBR hasn't covered itself in glory by not criticising the BOE. The OBR cannot criticise only one side when it is clear where the majority of the fault lies. When Mohammed el Arian was criticising the FED RES about being late to the party as early as October 2021 then it was clear that most other economies would also be late to act. The only difference between other economies was the amount some of them had borrowed to support their economies through the COVID crisis. If the OBR does not have a remit to comment on BOE policy then it is becoming increasingly clear that the voter on the street is not getting a GOV that runs the country. The voter is getting a GOV that ultimately is subserviant to the central Banks.
@chamsedine1999
@chamsedine1999 Жыл бұрын
Disfunctional debts market is just le début, debts market is a leveraged based system on rates going lower. Time is running out things are breaking
@heinzbucksandcastle2053
@heinzbucksandcastle2053 Жыл бұрын
People have no idea of the bond risk in a rising rate environment.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
What risk is that? If you're holding to maturity it's irrelevant.
@gabrielsoo2939
@gabrielsoo2939 Жыл бұрын
@@tastypymp1287 the risk is in the opportunity cost.
@davejohnston5158
@davejohnston5158 Жыл бұрын
Thanks for your research to keep us all informed. Unfortunately we are now in my opinion in the final stages of a plan to draw all heavily indebted economies into an IMF /world bank digital currency that will introduce irrevocable inflation levels and mass hardship - worse than the 1970's 'rescue'
@MisterNumber6
@MisterNumber6 Жыл бұрын
it def feels like something is brewing behind the scenes. Esp with the US trillions in debt
@davidfrick2621
@davidfrick2621 Жыл бұрын
Thank you so much for your analysis Ramin Nakisa. It was technical yet accessible. Today all eyes are upon Britain so it is very helpful to find such a rational and informative overview of the issue. Keep up the good work!
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
You are very welcome @David Frick
@JohninRosc
@JohninRosc Жыл бұрын
Many thanks Ramin - always a beacon of light in these dark times.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Glad you enjoyed it @JohninRosc
@harveyarber2543
@harveyarber2543 Жыл бұрын
is it safe to buy individual shares. say bp with view of long term dividend payments
@sprinkle61
@sprinkle61 Жыл бұрын
Lets get real for a moment, its not the UK government that put the pensions near default, its THEIR OWN LEVERAGE that did this. The fact that a pension fund would EVER take out leverage on a BOND portfolio is insane, its like they never even ran the numbers on what increasing rates would do. This is criminal mismanagement of retirement assets. If bonds wouldn't pay enough to make the payouts, they should have announced that upfront, and worked out a solution, maybe benefit cuts, maybe more stocks, this problem is happening all over the world, but levering up to the max was definitely the wrong decision, unless they were counting on Bailout Nation to cover them, when the inevitable happened...
@paulturner4419
@paulturner4419 Жыл бұрын
Trend following models are best diversification bet in this market. CTAs managed futures etc. low or negative correlated to equities
@garycurtis4597
@garycurtis4597 Жыл бұрын
KwasiCoin, to replace Gilts: for those for which stability is not so much an issue, as merely an irrelevance. A super video, as usual.
@MrMatisse22
@MrMatisse22 Жыл бұрын
Retire early they said...it'll be fun they said. Well they never said anything about stocks crashing, nor bonds down the toilet. Oh, and a pesky nuclear war thing, it's all so bloody tiresome.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
Well, actually they did. You are repeatedly warned that investments can go down as well as up, and you can receive less than you put it. Not that boomers listen, too busy watching Come Dancing and looking for Campervans.
@vinay4886
@vinay4886 Жыл бұрын
Maybe you should do a video on how the BoE screwed up by not raising interest rates over the last three years and only woke up to reality this year!! The whole world has volatile bonds and equities not just the UK!
@gabrielsoo2939
@gabrielsoo2939 Жыл бұрын
Which central bank would have raised interest rates in an environment where the entire world was concerned with how Covid was going to crash the world economy?
@vinay4886
@vinay4886 Жыл бұрын
@@gabrielsoo2939 Central banks have been in denial over inflation (remember Jerome Powell’s “…inflation is transitory..” nonsense through all of last year?) The BoE has ONE job- to keep inflation under check!
@AJ-et4zp
@AJ-et4zp Жыл бұрын
So the BOE decision was responsible for 20 hours of movements but government's decision was responsible for 5 days?
@Maggiemay1942
@Maggiemay1942 Жыл бұрын
How do we buy single bonds? Tks
@lisalu3994
@lisalu3994 Жыл бұрын
New subscriber here, really enjoying the content.
@tomb6865
@tomb6865 Жыл бұрын
I love the information and detail in this channel. But some technical, rather than financial, criticism can you turn on rnnoise if you're using obs or some other noise cancellation? it will reduce the mouse clicks and background noise.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
No. You need to grow tolerance rather than trying to shape the world to fit you.
@looneytoons171
@looneytoons171 Жыл бұрын
As a young person and someone on the housing market, this is the best news we can hope for. We need armageddon like we had in the late 80/90's so we have a chance to live a life without debt eventually. The horror of a 50 year mortgage would give me nightmares.
@jimmyhvy2277
@jimmyhvy2277 Жыл бұрын
T Patel : Look at the Crash in 1929 1930 , I think that's is more Likely , IMHO .
@davidbaker5561
@davidbaker5561 Жыл бұрын
Good luck getting your first home, but I hope prices don’t go up by more than inflation once you have bought!
@bspiderm
@bspiderm Жыл бұрын
If you don’t lose your job ;)
@looneytoons171
@looneytoons171 Жыл бұрын
@@bspiderm lucky for me I work in an industry where people usually turn their noses up at. Even if they were on their last pennies they wouldn't put in a hard day's work so I think im quite safe.
@bspiderm
@bspiderm Жыл бұрын
@@looneytoons171 that’s what they all say ;)
@gepetto0019
@gepetto0019 Жыл бұрын
BOE money printers go brrrrrrrr
@linzhang4881
@linzhang4881 Жыл бұрын
Great content.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
thanks @Lin Zhang
@jabberwockytdi8901
@jabberwockytdi8901 Жыл бұрын
Minus 1% on base rate is not a worth while tax cut for most people. The damage is coming from the reduction in corporation tax? not sure that's really inflationary for CPI, many companies will not make any extra profit due to recession. Others will not spend any bottom line improvement or will carry out share buy backs. Only actual investment in the company or significant increase in head count is inflationary. I'm very sceptical that this will happen on any serious scale.
@squiddyfan1165
@squiddyfan1165 Жыл бұрын
We are being reset . How else would the new algorithms be allowed to do their job .
@colinfraser9342
@colinfraser9342 Жыл бұрын
You are very generous in giving everyone your informed opinions, thank you
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
I am glad you find it helpful @colin fraser
@thomasbradley3195
@thomasbradley3195 Жыл бұрын
Sir, I just discovered your channel while looking at the BoE/Gilts with the Truss scheme. Are you a published author? Haven't heard such a fantastic lecture since college. Much appreciate, thanks.
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Hi @thomas bradley yes I have published a couple of books. This tells you about one of them www.pensioncraft.com/books/a-financial-bestiary/ Thanks for watching
@nickseccombe1357
@nickseccombe1357 Жыл бұрын
A truly fascinating summary. Thank you! PS I just bought into GBP hedged China fund and FTSE 250 ETF today, may just go all in this week, as was left behind during pandemic and missed out. Fallen so much. Next purchase is GBP hedged global ETF probably tomorrow then all in ready for a Santa Claus rally. Even if the stocks don't perform they could make 20 or 30pc just via weaker dollar on a fed pivot. I may also cash in all dollar denominated shares shortly and buy non dollar shares in the same sectors.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
Yeah, definitely go all in this week. I'll get my popcorn ready.
@nickseccombe1357
@nickseccombe1357 Жыл бұрын
@@tastypymp1287 very good. Not saying it is right. Just saying what I am doing. Not going to watch yet another train slowly leaving the station.
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
@@nickseccombe1357 How'd you feel now? Take a look bud.... Don't. Fight. The. Fed.
@nickseccombe1357
@nickseccombe1357 Жыл бұрын
@@tastypymp1287 I waited for the CPI print and downdraft then bought in with my final 30pc pension cash...more GBP hedged China, and mainly GBP hedged world. That's me all in. Speak to you in a year or two ;). It's always darkest before the dawn. There could be more downside for sure. But that's a 75 hike in the bag for Nov, can't get much more negative than that. Not sitting on my hands fretting
@tastypymp1287
@tastypymp1287 Жыл бұрын
@@nickseccombe1357 You might try making investing decisions based on data and facts rather than sophistry and platitudes. The market couldn't care less about your 'darkest before the dawn' cliché. You think this will be over in a year or two? How so? Because, well, you know, that's just how it's worked so far, right? Maybe. Maybe not. I don't hold an opinion either way. That's why I don't lose. I don't let my biases and heuristics muddy the water.
@Sabhail_ar_Alba
@Sabhail_ar_Alba Жыл бұрын
It worries me that Andrew Baillie is the governor of the BoE ( Jay Powell is a genius compared to him).
@rajibear77
@rajibear77 Жыл бұрын
Why don't the government and the BOE work together for the benefit of the country as a whole. How can you have one group just doing whatever they want without taking into account what the other group will have to do to mitigate the damage. Seems nonsenical to me. Never seen any business work like this.
@mr.goldfarmer4883
@mr.goldfarmer4883 Жыл бұрын
This is great 👍
@richardkossow5574
@richardkossow5574 Жыл бұрын
How come you're not saying anything about all those interest-rate swaps purchased by the pension providers?
@piyushjaiswal9283
@piyushjaiswal9283 Жыл бұрын
Satisfactory.
@pharlapnz4630
@pharlapnz4630 Жыл бұрын
Thanks mate Great show, New Zealand is also being destroyed, Unfortunately all by Design.
@ScoobieDoo-zy1rh
@ScoobieDoo-zy1rh Жыл бұрын
All described on the Duran channel.
@AbuSous2000PR
@AbuSous2000PR Жыл бұрын
i have been watching you for years and i benefited a lot please accept my humble donation $$$ more to come soon your explanation here was right on the money a question... do you think the government action was just the trigger..to something that has been brewing for a while? i know the communication was horrible.. they did zero homework. sweet lord... Johnson must be enjoying this🤣 much respect from Palestine keep up the good work many Thanks!
@Pensioncraft
@Pensioncraft Жыл бұрын
Thank you @Abu al-Sous much appreciated. Ramin
@lainiwakura44
@lainiwakura44 Жыл бұрын
Everyone would like to avoid dealing with emergencies, well... that's what happens when you put too much trust in the financial system, governments and CBs
@robertallen591
@robertallen591 Жыл бұрын
ten years ago before the financial crisis a pound was about 2 $ now its 1 we face real collapse we borrowed more and more and now investors will pick the carcass charging ever more interest, i have no idea how bad it will get but nothing is impossible fifty qiuid a pint, or food shortages, property collapse who knows , to even sugest it was madness a few weeks ago,
@LovemyGTI
@LovemyGTI Жыл бұрын
Stark to compare BTC and UK bond on same chart!!
@Dr23rippa
@Dr23rippa Жыл бұрын
Are we looking at the end of pensions?
@kquat7899
@kquat7899 Жыл бұрын
The UK is royally stuffed. Short sterling.
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