Ukraine Invasion: 40 mile Convoy is Worse Than You Think

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Task & Purpose

Task & Purpose

Күн бұрын

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@Taskandpurpose
@Taskandpurpose 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for watching Spare Parts Army! Please follow me for live updates instagram.com/cappyarmy What do you think of the Russian convoy and the sanctions? If you agree or disagree with me I respect that other people have different points of view on these issues. Writing and editing these all in one day might make them a little rough or not as well thought out as possible, but I'm trying my best to explain my thought process.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
The media is pushing non stop fake sht
@jimbothegymbro7086
@jimbothegymbro7086 2 жыл бұрын
hey hey guess who predicted the arty you absolute mad lad (not cool it's happening but it's cool you were right)
@user-bd5md5cm2j
@user-bd5md5cm2j 2 жыл бұрын
They have sat images of soldiers staying in tents away from there vehicles. I have been waiting for russia to just destroy the cities . The evidence seems to be showing something different. Russia has like 20,000 tanks, so there in no danger running out anytime soon. It's really wierd that this is how russia is fighting a war with in a few hundred miles from there capital. Idk. We will see as each day new sitreps come in. I'm still waiting for putin to just unleash on Kyiv.
@toastymctoastface7532
@toastymctoastface7532 2 жыл бұрын
@@user-bd5md5cm2j a good chunk of those tanks are scaps fom th entirety of the cold war and earlier. while they may have 20,000 tanks, how many are combat worthy or even really effective beyond infantry support. there have been multiple sightings of the Russians using t 72 a's with no ERA.
@user-bd5md5cm2j
@user-bd5md5cm2j 2 жыл бұрын
Your popping out good intel👍🇺🇸 thankyou brother
@jackroyaltea5034
@jackroyaltea5034 2 жыл бұрын
“All militaries suck, It’s about which military that’s sucks the least” Best quote ever.
@theJimJessup
@theJimJessup 2 жыл бұрын
Hey best advice I ever got... if your leadership goes down... keep firing.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@westrim
@westrim 2 жыл бұрын
The same applies to politics, like the often repeated quote that Democracy is the worst form of government except for all the others.
@fatmunch6318
@fatmunch6318 2 жыл бұрын
@@westrim I think Churchill said that one he also said I hope history is kind enough to me and to allow me to write it - a wise man
@vlaxoi-lagoi
@vlaxoi-lagoi 2 жыл бұрын
@ger du secret? that works in every competitive scene
@MikeDep
@MikeDep 2 жыл бұрын
Your story of your Striker getting stuck in the mud and then second squad also getting stuck in the mud while trying to help you gave me major Top Gear vibes.
@Themuffinman1820
@Themuffinman1820 2 жыл бұрын
I watched this happen with my platoon at Polk but with up uparmored humvees
@johnusas2870
@johnusas2870 2 жыл бұрын
Not a LAV but the Striker.
@montesmith5488
@montesmith5488 2 жыл бұрын
I have seen that kind of mud in Guam. Its incredible
@fazole
@fazole 2 жыл бұрын
Wehrmacht circa 1941-44 vibes.
@fallinginthed33p
@fallinginthed33p 2 жыл бұрын
And then they called in an air strike to get rid of the abandoned vehicles. If we can't use 'em, the enemy sure can't too.
@corklike7146
@corklike7146 2 жыл бұрын
when talking about the vehicles that are getting stuck in the mud you missed a key point. Ukraine opened the kiev resevoir at the start of the invasion and flooded all of the land for miles around the city, also, they destroyed their own roads and rail lines. they have made a few very good decisions very quickly that have stopped the russians from driving their vehicles through ukraine or being able to resupply them. they then ambushed all of the supply trucks that came to fix the problem
@tritonlandscaping1505
@tritonlandscaping1505 2 жыл бұрын
Roads and rails can be rebuilt very very quickly.
@f1b0nacc1sequence7
@f1b0nacc1sequence7 2 жыл бұрын
@@tritonlandscaping1505 Rebuilt sufficiently for 1-2 ton civilian vehicles perhaps (if you have the equipment in place to do so, and this is more than a bit of a problem since moving construction equipment through a road jammed up with military trucks, tanks, ifvs, etc. is no small feat, and takes time in any case), but rebuilt sufficiently for 10-40 ton military vehicles (especially the tracked variety, which specialize in tearing up roads) is another matter entirely. Yes, it can be done, but it takes a very, very long time (in battle terms, days or even weeks in extreme cases) and that is when the weather is good and the other side isn't taking active steps (like flooding the area, for instance, or putting snipers in place to shoot at the road crews) to slow things down or stop them outright. Rails are even harder to rebuild, and setting up switches and fixing booby-trapped segments of rail is even more difficult. The terrain that is being moved through doesn't allow for easy off-road travel for wheeled vehicles (like trucks, the Pantsir AA war-wagons, BTR-class troop carriers, etc.), and tracked vehicles sink into the mud rather easily. This was a huge problem for the Germans, whose tanks were typically 2/3 to 1/2 the weight of the modern Russian ones. Add to this the aforementioned issues with traffic jams, road damage from tracked vehicles (there is a reason militaries use tank carriers whenever possible in civilian areas), and the general chaos of moving a large military force over roads where the locals are doing everything that they can to make things difficult for you (just taking down or switching signs, for instance) and even armies with a good reputation for keeping order tend to have a tough time maintaining march discipline. The Russian Army has NEVER been particularly good at such things, and if you look at their TO&E, you don't see a ton of traffic control troops the way you would in most modern western militaries. So no, you cannot rebuild roads and rails "very very quickly", and this is a major contributor to the Russian logistical problems, as well as reducing the mobility of even their well-supplied units.
@tritonlandscaping1505
@tritonlandscaping1505 2 жыл бұрын
@@f1b0nacc1sequence7 Army engineers can build a bridge across major rivers for vehicles to cross in a matter of days. This is nothing new. Anyway you can dream and live in fantasy land where it takes weeks to get anything done. 👍
@discipleofdagon8195
@discipleofdagon8195 2 жыл бұрын
@@tritonlandscaping1505 Or you can live fantasy land and think the russians have any sort of coordination at the moment.
@Sinyao
@Sinyao 2 жыл бұрын
@@tritonlandscaping1505 The problem is that most bridge vehicles are either extremely slow or extremely vulnerable.
@mr6johnclark
@mr6johnclark 2 жыл бұрын
It's been ONE MONTH since the russians invaded Ukraine and they're still stuck where they where almost 12 days ago. A lot went wrong even professional strategists are scratching their heads.
@teleguy5699
@teleguy5699 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, all that he said was somewhat true, but the convoy stalling and command and control snafu's have lead to this disaster for the Russian army.
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality 2 жыл бұрын
Imagine a drone operated flying Stinger, Javelin, or Gustav missile system, the Ukrainians and their allies could attach a bunch of drones to the handheld rocket systems which would give those rockets increased capabilities such as 5 to 150 + mile range with added fuel tanks, cell phone GPS control, or network relay drones which create a wireless network however long, I assume depends on how many drones are available, it could be 50 or 5000 mile long Network but the flying rocket systems would now be able to Traverse the network thus giving them an extended range, it wouldn't take much drones to turn the Rockets into flying weapon systems, maybe 4 to 8 drones or a propeller system made out of 10 to 30 propellers could Propel 10 to 50 lb for many miles, the javelin is 50 LB the stinger missile is 20 or so, even with the drone's original limited range oh, you're talkin about 200 to 2000 yards, that's a major advantage to be able to pop up in the air and travel at 50 to 300 mph towards a target, even only if the Limited range available is 200 to 2000 yards for an average drone, but when you take into account GPS and a wireless network, even one boosted antenna it's a wrap, a stealthy wrap.
@MrDamning
@MrDamning 2 жыл бұрын
I hope to god I'm wrong but Putin will probably pull out the Grozny move if he doesnt get his way soon.
@PosthumousAddress
@PosthumousAddress 2 жыл бұрын
A lot of "Russia experts" who are actually Russia fanboys and make their career out of making Russia seem more threatening than it really is (like Michael Kofman) were surprised. Many others like Justin Bronk predicted exactly this.
@blacklion8208
@blacklion8208 2 жыл бұрын
@@MrDamning Sadly, you were right mass murder and destruction by the retreating Russians as usual...
@AC4ace
@AC4ace 2 жыл бұрын
As someone who has extensive knowledge about WWII, I feel obligated to tell you that your analogy at 19:30 is factually wrong. Yes, the decision to cut off oil exports to Japan (which was a joint American/British decision after Japan broke their word and occupied Vietnam, which was then a French colony, thus putting them within striking range of British and Dutch holdings in SE Asia) did lead the Japanese to conclude that war was inevitable, but the notion that they thought the U.S. would resume oil shipments after attacking the Pacific Fleet is asinine. In fact, the Japanese military's overarching strategy was to capture what is today Indonesia, which is a major oil producer, in order to negate the effects of the oil embargo. Pearl Harbor was attacked so that the fleet stationed there would be unable to sail out and interfere with Japan's southern advance, not to force America to end the oil embargo.
@cornucopiahouse4204
@cornucopiahouse4204 2 жыл бұрын
Like I mention above, KZbin content creators, like many other kind of media, make videos to create tension and more questions so that the the number of audience will continue to increase. This piece of information, when left out, paints the US and the West as a sneaky player hiding in the background, only to wait for the victims to fall into their trap before carrying out an all out war. This omission is intentional imho.
@AC4ace
@AC4ace 2 жыл бұрын
@@cornucopiahouse4204 I don't agree. I feel that this is more a case of him lacking knowledge about the greater context behind the Pacific Theater of WWII. Heck, I'm older than him, and I remember when I first learned about WWII that the whole oil embargo was barely mentioned. I doubt that much has changed in that regard since I was in high school. As for some context regarding the Japanese oil embargo, it was a last-ditch attempt to force Japan to the negotiating table. The embargo was enacted in mid-1941, with the Western Allies focused on the fighting in Europe. They didn't want another major front in the Pacific and knew that Japan was entirely reliant on foreign oil imports for their war machine. The Allies gambled that shutting off the tap would stay Japan's hand. Instead, the Japanese decided to take the Dutch East Indies, which had all they oil they'd ever need. The Allies weren't being sneaky, they took a calculated risk that the oil embargo would prevent more war. They turned out to be wrong.
@cornucopiahouse4204
@cornucopiahouse4204 2 жыл бұрын
@@AC4ace That was just my suspicion. It could be as you said as well. I am glad that there are people like you who know much better and are willing to share. Too many out there are trying to justify, or somehow semi-justify, Russia's aggression and paint the Western front as inherently malevolent. Inputs like yours make people think deeper and do more research.
@jeesdetriplek4588
@jeesdetriplek4588 2 жыл бұрын
As a person who learnt history in elementary and high school, I agree with you.
@oh-ah5919
@oh-ah5919 2 жыл бұрын
YES! Thank you for pointing this out. I think it’s important to make sure we understand what actions lead to war and what actions deter war. That analogy really doesn’t work here in any capacity, unfortunately. Although I don’t think it’s intentional as others believe. Many mid aged Americans seem to believe the same. Americans on average also have near no idea of the Japanese perspective/motives behind the war.
@taan1424
@taan1424 2 жыл бұрын
5:39 Know a guy who served as a truck driver in the Russian military. According to him, most of the trucks were on undrivable conditions just rotting in storage and was only given proper maintenance before the inspections. He told me that he once had to steal some parts from another truck to pass said inspections because there wasn't any in the storage. It was in 2016.
@Taskandpurpose
@Taskandpurpose 2 жыл бұрын
I think This is the side effect of their system of government and there attitude towards corruption
@dydactic1112
@dydactic1112 2 жыл бұрын
This is some Sgt.Bilko sort of shenanigans
@zadovrus1624
@zadovrus1624 2 жыл бұрын
@@Taskandpurpose Right on the nail. There were some investigations into army corruption by independent journalists, however they all either stopped investigating or were put in jail shortly after (Navalny and his anti-corruption fund is the most popular example). This is kinda insane that the whole country knows that certain people are stealing so much money but never getting punished.
@legensy9485
@legensy9485 2 жыл бұрын
Ive been serving in a toptier/hero military base near Khabarovsk,2007.This shit absolutely real. One day an officer sent us to do "maintenance for vehicles".It was one of huge hangars,full of nonletal ones.Alot of it were covered in dirt,spiderwebs,birdshit,some mirrors/windshields - shattered or non existand,some tires were dead or missed.Closest to exit row with like 10 items looked much better than others. What exactly we did there ? Nothing. Just sitting inside for hours and smoking sigs and watching a birdnest inside one of the vehicles. I highly doubt something changed in past years.
@MlTGLIED
@MlTGLIED 2 жыл бұрын
@@legensy9485 Hey my father served in Khabarovsk too, but it was 1975. It's over 30 years earlier but same shit ;)
@fmayer1507
@fmayer1507 2 жыл бұрын
As a retired officer with over 26 years on duty, I say this is the best analysis I have seen yet on this war. It emphasizes maintenance and logistics and thise are key to any war.
@roundysquares
@roundysquares 2 жыл бұрын
You might also enjoy this video on Russia's military logistics kzbin.info/www/bejne/mGXag5eljNWqZtk
@mat_j
@mat_j 2 жыл бұрын
watch ret col Douglas Mcgregor ex pentagon advisor on this issue
@exposett246
@exposett246 2 жыл бұрын
2 days ago he told us its russian doctrine to move this way .....so yeah ....he says ALOT of stuff
@brianjacobs1283
@brianjacobs1283 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, but he was wrong about the Japanese though. Yes the US cut them off and they had no other means of getting oil. But there plan was to take out the US Navy in Pearl Harbor so they could invade the US territories and other countries in the South East Pacific. By doing that they take over the oil and energy production to fuel their military independently.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@rabd3721
@rabd3721 2 жыл бұрын
One month later and that convoy was nothing more than a huge traffic jam lol.
@Taskandpurpose
@Taskandpurpose 2 жыл бұрын
it was worse than that, the convoy was an attempt to set up sustained operations but it was a huge failure. Mechanically - tactically - a big old dud
@bzipoli
@bzipoli Жыл бұрын
​@@Taskandpurposeyou did marry right before you deployed, you did warn us tbh
@captainscarlett1
@captainscarlett1 2 жыл бұрын
When I was an average infantryman I didn't have this kind of situational awareness. Usually I only had a general idea of where I was. I knew which country I was in, but flying and driving around for hours in the dark can be disorienting. Where I was was where I could see. That's all an average infantryman needs. An above average infantryman could use a map, compass and radio too.
@foryourlugsonly
@foryourlugsonly 2 жыл бұрын
I know some guys whi served with the UK engineers in Afghanistan and Iraq. They said similar to you. They knew their immediate area and fob but outwith a mile or 2 around the fob it was irrelevant. They had warning orders when covering need ground and a crude map made out of stones and sticks to show roughly what they would be doing and that was it. Go on patrol. Clear new ground. Make a few mines safe and hopefully don't step on one.
@Gullsz
@Gullsz 2 жыл бұрын
Crikey, you have to be above average to use a map and comoass!
@harze434
@harze434 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pnzGnoF9q8Z3i9U take a look at this documentary about ukraine.
@goodgame3374
@goodgame3374 2 жыл бұрын
@@Gullsz it depends on the army
@StudleyDuderight
@StudleyDuderight 2 жыл бұрын
What you mean driving around at night in a foreign country can be disorienting? It's like that during the day too. I studied the maps and sand tables and still had no fucking idea where I was half the time.
@LittleWeeWees
@LittleWeeWees 2 жыл бұрын
"Infantry wins battles, logistics wins wars." - Gen. John Pershing
@jacobalexander8216
@jacobalexander8216 2 жыл бұрын
Napoleon is credited with saying that 'an army marches on its stomach' but it was ignoring his logistics master, Marshall Berthier, that led to the disaster in Russia.
@StryderK
@StryderK 2 жыл бұрын
And as far as 2,800 years ago, Sun Tzu said, “before an army moves, food stuff, and horse feed must move first.”
@nsturgeon
@nsturgeon 2 жыл бұрын
@@jacobalexander8216 Napoleon lost more men in the initial campaign, than the actual retreat, which is often overlooked.
@FarmerDrew
@FarmerDrew 2 жыл бұрын
And that is exactly why Putin is trying to take Ukraine, have you ever looked at it from above, it is all farmland until you get to the cities and it's manufacturing and ports, and it's very developed so Putin deprives that supposed evil West and he takes it for his own war machine
@ct1762
@ct1762 2 жыл бұрын
and by logistics he meant Oil. Fuel. Without it, you are utterly screwed. The German army in WW2 were forced to use horses for whole battalions, while their armor sat useless.
@peterfilipchmielowski1837
@peterfilipchmielowski1837 2 жыл бұрын
This aged about as well as that convoy lol.
@Zilla12
@Zilla12 2 жыл бұрын
I was looking for this comment
@Sorcerers_Apprentice
@Sorcerers_Apprentice 2 жыл бұрын
Better to be vigilant and worry about Russia turning it around, than get overconfident and complacent and have them succeed.
@Spaced92
@Spaced92 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah I don't think it was that he was wrong though, but they didn't actually have a plan to set up what they should've. People were applying common where there was none, in that regard journalists do capture the chaos of war better than online speculation, they have people on the ground reporting and get a better feel for things. No contempt for their military knowledge changes that.
@ThatPianoNoob
@ThatPianoNoob 2 жыл бұрын
@@Spaced92 he was most definitely wrong, he even acknowledged so himself. I don't think the stalling of the convoy was ever part of their plan and he said it was.
@danielcarlson7943
@danielcarlson7943 2 жыл бұрын
@@Sorcerers_Apprentice I think you are wildly overestimating the impact of your opinion or even the opinion of a popular KZbin channel. Unless of course you are fighting in Ukraine, then by all means don't be overconfident.
@georgejenkins3371
@georgejenkins3371 2 жыл бұрын
I guess he was wrong. The Ruskis are moving back, not assaulting Kiev.
@Taskandpurpose
@Taskandpurpose 2 жыл бұрын
the Russians were attempting to take Kiev and they utterly failed . some people will double down on being wrong and claim "it was all a fake attack on Kiev and the Russians never meant to take the capital. it was a distraction to fight in the east" I doubt it. looks like Russia flat out failed.
@CaptainPrice360
@CaptainPrice360 2 жыл бұрын
A note on your comment on Japan. It was actually a preemptive attack so they could seize the US held Philippines to supply their empire with oil. They knew the Pacific fleet would respond to defend it and struck Pearl Harbor first. Just thought Id clear that up. Great content!
@orlayo
@orlayo 2 жыл бұрын
quiet , know your place .
@j.robertsergertson4513
@j.robertsergertson4513 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks Mr knows it all! Aren't you sooo smart, maybe mommy will give you cuddles for being such a clever little guy.
@joestrummer4106
@joestrummer4106 2 жыл бұрын
Doesnt listen to these shmucks good point man
@JJJBunney001
@JJJBunney001 2 жыл бұрын
@@j.robertsergertson4513 there's nothing wrong with educating people on things mate, that was a very mature response 🙄
@directmessage5823
@directmessage5823 2 жыл бұрын
Thought America was pissed that Japan was playing the empire game in Asia so America cut off her oil supplies and hoped to destroy Japan? Japan struck Pearl hoping to buy time to seize the Dutch East Indies oil and rubber fields in Asia. There was alot of concern from Japan that they would awake the sleeping giant of America. Japan didn't anticipate how quickly they would reform her pacific navy, but didn't have much of a choice since America cut her off to a slow death without oil.
@faramund9865
@faramund9865 2 жыл бұрын
I think people tend to forget that attacking is a lot harder than defending. You really need overwhelming power in order to attack. Simply because attacking means moving, which means exposing yourself. Defending means digging in. Co-ordinating digging in is also a lot easier as it is stationary, where as attack is mobile.
@pretol7920
@pretol7920 2 жыл бұрын
You also need to have an actual army. Driving a bunch of tanks with no directive into another country is not a sign of "army"
@Cauthon75
@Cauthon75 2 жыл бұрын
Also, the Russians only have however many people they assembled and transported there for the war. The country being attacked has all its people right there from the beginning, they live there. So, we have heard that Russia has 200K soldiers, but Ukraine has over 40,000,000 people. They can let their regular army use the stingers and javelins etc, supported by huge numbers of civilians with small arms. If Ukraine could have 10% of their people out there to fight (not an unreasonable number, since the Swiss allege they can do 40% within the first 2 days) they could defend against attacks in 10 places and have Russia's 200K outnumbered 2:1 in each of those. When the Russians leave their convoys to steal food, they should all be captured or otherwise removed from the battle (have to watch out, I don't know what we can get away with saying here:-)
@WilliamFord972
@WilliamFord972 2 жыл бұрын
To put it more lightly, why do you think the defender always has a certain advantage in war games like Risk and Axis & Allies?
@haroldlittell689
@haroldlittell689 2 жыл бұрын
4 to 1 at least.
@edgehodl4832
@edgehodl4832 2 жыл бұрын
the analisys understimates the level of russian "zero fucks given" attitude
@RabbyBabu
@RabbyBabu 2 жыл бұрын
Man, I can't tell you enough how much I actually look forward to your videos because of the to the point, without bias analysis. The humour is on point, and much needed for levity. Please keep doing what you're doing
@Taskandpurpose
@Taskandpurpose 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks I’m glad some people find the videos valuable
@nicholasbrassard3512
@nicholasbrassard3512 2 жыл бұрын
@@Taskandpurpose im barely able to watch any other news source on the war cause they're so blatantly biased/propagandized that there's little value in them. I look forward to your next vid, thanks for your hard work :)
@CharlesFreck
@CharlesFreck 2 жыл бұрын
I also very much enjoy these videos, and I do think they are fairly unbiased. But without any bias? No. These videos are incredibly biased, just not to the degree of most Western media sources atm. He absolutely has a very pro-Ukraine bias, and definitely interprets events through that lens, and his own experience in the military. These videos are great, but they are absolutely full of personal bias, and thinking they're not is dangerous. There's nothing wrong with personal bias, but not recognising it is bad.
@laysdong
@laysdong 2 жыл бұрын
@@nicholasbrassard3512 propaganda is happening during a war? No fucking way. I swear half of you turn your brain off and just float through life
@laysdong
@laysdong 2 жыл бұрын
@@CharlesFreck the commenters are so biased that they only feel comfortable watching things that confirm exactly what they already believe. Everything else is "a NaRrAtIvE" or 'OvErLy BiAsEd"
@czernodog8403
@czernodog8403 2 жыл бұрын
this didn't age very well no fobs, cope convoy confirmed was just stuck and getting picked apart, most of the offensive prongs around kyiv either stalled or pushed back
@OliverFlinn
@OliverFlinn 2 жыл бұрын
Cope convoy xD
@ytyt2245
@ytyt2245 2 жыл бұрын
Ratio convoy
@OliverFlinn
@OliverFlinn 2 жыл бұрын
@@ytyt2245 Z + ratio + bayraktar + youre russian convoy
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality 2 жыл бұрын
Imagine a drone operated flying Stinger, Javelin, or Gustav missile system, the Ukrainians and their allies could attach a bunch of drones to the handheld rocket systems which would give those rockets increased capabilities such as 5 to 150 + mile range with added fuel tanks, cell phone GPS control, or network relay drones which create a wireless network however long, I assume depends on how many drones are available, it could be 50 or 5000 mile long Network but the flying rocket systems would now be able to Traverse the network thus giving them an extended range, it wouldn't take much drones to turn the Rockets into flying weapon systems, maybe 4 to 8 drones or a propeller system made out of 10 to 30 propellers could Propel 10 to 50 lb for many miles, the javelin is 50 LB the stinger missile is 20 or so, even with the drone's original limited range oh, you're talkin about 200 to 2000 yards, that's a major advantage to be able to pop up in the air and travel at 50 to 300 mph towards a target, even only if the Limited range available is 200 to 2000 yards for an average drone, but when you take into account GPS and a wireless network, even one boosted antenna it's a wrap, a stealthy wrap.
@paulh2468
@paulh2468 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the drama-free presentation. You keep it neutral and interesting. The regular news is overly-emotional, and exhausting.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
Im sick of the non stop propaganda everywhere
@alexnderrrthewoke4479
@alexnderrrthewoke4479 2 жыл бұрын
Except he said zelensky is a hero
@victoreklofslott8093
@victoreklofslott8093 2 жыл бұрын
I like it when it's very emotional
@johnnyblaze1362
@johnnyblaze1362 2 жыл бұрын
@@alexnderrrthewoke4479 Because he doesn't want his channel to be closed. His objetivity in matters of war might be considered russian propaganda by certain parties in the west.
@alexnderrrthewoke4479
@alexnderrrthewoke4479 2 жыл бұрын
@@johnnyblaze1362 well thats dumb excuse. Just don't say at all. Be neutral as possible. I see a lot of channels not being taken down so thats moot.
@Quondom
@Quondom 2 жыл бұрын
According to the Caspian Report, the first 17 miles of the convoy is out of fuel and possibly with dead batteries. Russia is heavily dependent on rail lines for resupply, and these have been cut. Supplying such a large force in enemy territory by truck is putting considerable strain on their resources.
@Comrade_Nikolai
@Comrade_Nikolai 2 жыл бұрын
There were apparently also trains hauling civilian trucks to the front-lines to assist which looks bad for Russia. My source: Video: Protests in Russia threatens the country's stability. Day 11. User: Good Times Bad Times 1:30 Timestamp kzbin.info/www/bejne/oYG9pJSpapiEm7c
@BaalAdvocate
@BaalAdvocate 2 жыл бұрын
I watched the Caspian report earlier; I still have a hard time believing that the Russian army would be so logistically inept.
@magnem1043
@magnem1043 2 жыл бұрын
Its more like they are prioritizing some parts of supply like heavy ammunition, with some disorganized units getting caught, the big push now will be much more severe then the first elements
@jamesright9009
@jamesright9009 2 жыл бұрын
@@BaalAdvocate The biggest problem the Russiaans had was they expected it to be a quick war therefore they did not plan for drawnout campaign and the Americans attacked the Middle East they planned for A longer campaign from the start
@mynamesjudge
@mynamesjudge 2 жыл бұрын
Caspian Report is not a reliable source. You have no idea where the funding for the channel is coming from and don't even know the name of the person behind the channel.
@CSpiv662
@CSpiv662 2 жыл бұрын
This channel has grown from a funny gun channel into a thoughtful tactical and strategic analysis. I am really impressed. It also doesnt seem politically biased but just as it is. cheers ears. Love it mate.
@robzilla730
@robzilla730 2 жыл бұрын
I've been saying it: Cappy is the Millenial's Tom Clancy.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@bbbbbbb51
@bbbbbbb51 2 жыл бұрын
There's definitely some bias, but he tries his best to keep it out, & is good about making it pretty clear when he brings it in, such as jokes or closing comments.
@KeyserFHT
@KeyserFHT 2 жыл бұрын
Great analysis. Now please explain why that "worse than you think" convoy did absolutely nothing and Russians are withdrawing from the area.
@blessedkarl5764
@blessedkarl5764 2 жыл бұрын
this video was made for the moskal friendly part of youtube clearly (like american conservatives) no wonder hungarian gov media was sharing this lol
@PosthumousAddress
@PosthumousAddress 2 жыл бұрын
@@blessedkarl5764 Exactly! It also hasn't aged well in that he says the sanctions are 'unfair' and 'too harsh' and will lead to World War 3. Literally, he said these sanctions (which have caused such a systemic shock to the Russian economy that their ability to manufacture new weapons, which rely massively on imported tech like chips, optical devices and CNC milling machines, has basically collapsed... as has their ability to afford the war, or replace the equipment). Most of the Ukraine subject videos from this guy I've noticed have a particular pro-Russian bent, like the idiots online who for weeks (and still some) claimed the reason Russia was getting its arse kicked so bad was actually this genius strategy of sending in the shitty conscripts first as cannon fodder to wear down the Ukrainians. Not only would it be a dumb strategy, it's also demonstrably untrue (Russia attempted on the first few days to use VDV parachutist troops, who were slaughtered in the hundreds when they attempted an unsupported heliborne air assault on Hostomel airport, and another one where two entire transport planes filled with VDV elite troops were shot down by Ukrainian air defences). It's really not that mysterious, he probably has a pro-Russian sympathy because he's extremely right-wing (like Bannon and Tucker Carlson). The less likely but still possible is that he's a paid Russian shill.
@chippy2986
@chippy2986 2 жыл бұрын
More informative than our so called "news" outlets. You've done your research and still humble enough to say "best I know" not pretending to know all. Respect.
@dextew69
@dextew69 2 жыл бұрын
Pftt this guy got the imperial japan thing l wrong
@SlowhandGreg
@SlowhandGreg 2 жыл бұрын
There's a good video going around someone has analysed the logistics involved in detail put simply Russia doesn't have enough supply trucks for the size of army there trying to deploy, they may well be setting up way points but the longer the supply line the more they have to guard. They need a forward airbase that's not going to be hit with a Ukraine counter or a special forces team and its not like there being treated like liberators there managed to unite 90% of the country behind them
@harze434
@harze434 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pnzGnoF9q8Z3i9U If you serious doing research you should fin this video.
@ethanloveland504
@ethanloveland504 2 жыл бұрын
@@dextew69 not really, he just missed out the fact that in order to get fuel Japan needed the East indies and decided crippling the USA's navy would be the best way to ensure they can't stop them.
@issahumps
@issahumps 2 жыл бұрын
Our field problems in Germany consisted mostly of strykers stuck in the mud 😂 good training. Wasn’t shocked seeing Russian vehicles just sink in that stuff. It was also common back in ww2, that European mud is a weapon itself haha
@Ukraineaissance2014
@Ukraineaissance2014 2 жыл бұрын
Yep lots of reports that the russians left it too late and the frozen ground has turned to a river of mud
@Nashorn95
@Nashorn95 2 жыл бұрын
After 3 years in southern Germany, I totally agree with that.
@michaelvrede8814
@michaelvrede8814 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, 18 years old soldiers and the Russian mothers : 😂🤣😭
@Dleon918
@Dleon918 2 жыл бұрын
Right before the war started someone said putin should wait till winter and not when it's almost spring
@ThubanDraconis
@ThubanDraconis 2 жыл бұрын
Two things I remember from playing those old hex map, cardboard counter, and dice wargames back in the 1980s... One is that Ukraine has three seasons, Summer, Winter, and Mud. The second is don't try to attack through the Pripyat Marshes.
@henrikhkarpynskyi8712
@henrikhkarpynskyi8712 2 жыл бұрын
Keep in mind 2 things. Moving off road at this time of the year is very hard and close to impossible unless it is a track-based platform. All wheel-based transoport will not go far offroad there. Moving off-road requires much more (almost 10 times more) gas. So if you looking at official stats of russian military vehicles in terms of how far they can go without filling up the tank - divide it by 10. A lot of undamaged vehicles you see abandoned by russians - abandoned because they ran out of gas or got stuck or broken by themselves. (Damaged ones - whole other story).
@The-ghost-of-Moskva
@The-ghost-of-Moskva 2 жыл бұрын
And while they use roads their routes are easily predictable and ukranian manpads are prolific now.
@C0urne
@C0urne 2 жыл бұрын
@Tin Watchman Maybe they actually thought that they had the keys to a blitzkrieg? Paratroopers were sent to secure airfields with no backup arriving in days, troops sent in with only a couple days of rations etc...
@TheDennys21
@TheDennys21 2 жыл бұрын
@Tin Watchman because they thought they would win in a few days...
@ethelmini
@ethelmini 2 жыл бұрын
@Tin Watchman I don't think it is "mud season" yet. The theory before he invaded was that there was a closing window before things defrosted & got properly wet.
@ColaSpandex
@ColaSpandex 2 жыл бұрын
@@ethelmini The watercourses look swollen to me. Maybe the thaw came early this year. Climate change is certainly making these things harder to predict. 🤔
@carlosmedina1281
@carlosmedina1281 2 жыл бұрын
This video did not age well considering that the convoy dispersed and Ukraine has begun to retake territory near Kyiv. Task and Purpose I think you gave the russian army too much credit and failed to take into account the massive corruption and low morale faced by Russian troops.
@PosthumousAddress
@PosthumousAddress 2 жыл бұрын
It also hasn't aged well in that he says the sanctions are 'unfair' and 'too harsh' and will lead to World War 3. Literally, he said these sanctions (which have caused such a systemic shock to the Russian economy that their ability to manufacture new weapons, which rely massively on imported tech like chips, optical devices and CNC milling machines, has basically collapsed... as has their ability to afford the war, or replace the equipment). Most of the Ukraine subject videos from this guy I've noticed have a particular pro-Russian bent, like the idiots online who for weeks (and still some) claimed the reason Russia was getting its arse kicked so bad was actually this genius strategy of sending in the shitty conscripts first as cannon fodder to wear down the Ukrainians. Not only would it be a dumb strategy, it's also demonstrably untrue (Russia attempted on the first few days to use VDV parachutist troops, who were slaughtered in the hundreds when they attempted an unsupported heliborne air assault on Hostomel airport, and another one where two entire transport planes filled with VDV elite troops were shot down by Ukrainian air defences). It's really not that mysterious, he probably has a pro-Russian sympathy because he's extremely right-wing (like Bannon and Tucker Carlson). The less likely but still possible is that he's a paid Russian shill.
@mrlime9526
@mrlime9526 2 жыл бұрын
@@PosthumousAddress Well the guy has re states Numerous times which side he is on. He said it himself that he’s rooting for the Ukrainians “but we can’t just dig our heads into the ground” one thing you should know from war is to never underestimate your enemy. He just accidentally overestimated the Russians. And comparing this guy to tucker Carlson is pretty ridiculous. I don’t think he said that the sanctions were unfair just he showed concern it could lead to major escalation and even possibly world war 3 which is an understandable concern. This is hot potatoe but with thermonuclear bombs,
@zeening
@zeening 2 жыл бұрын
yeah literally none of these "military" channels have made a single fucking update in over a MONTH now it's super stupid and makes them look wrong
@true_xander
@true_xander 2 жыл бұрын
@@PosthumousAddress reading you instead of cheap pulp pseudo-military fiction before going to bed, makes me laugh and relaxing my brain. I'm really feel smart from knowing there's dudes around like you 😂 P.S.: in case if you want to know something real about Russian military production from the sources more reliable than Jersey's junk delusive trip, write me down and I'll share few links. They'll be on Russian, but don't worry, I believe you're able to use Google Translate.
@SeamusDunmaggotin
@SeamusDunmaggotin 2 жыл бұрын
Thankyou Captain hindsight, what would we do without you
@makingmoney8405
@makingmoney8405 2 жыл бұрын
I have never served in the military sir, however I just got done watching this video with my father , and his two brothers who all fought in war. They said your assessment was excellent. The part I liked best is you spoke very clearly and and precise , allowing anyone to easily understand and follow along . I’ll subscribe and start to check out all of your work. Thank you kindly
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@alisonharrington1130
@alisonharrington1130 2 жыл бұрын
Perfectly said. Semper Fidelis.
@leonieromanes7265
@leonieromanes7265 2 жыл бұрын
This is helpful to me a pacifist to understand what's happening. Though I wonder how long my pacifism would last, if my own country was violently attacked like Ukraine.
@alqaeda7040
@alqaeda7040 2 жыл бұрын
@@smilebehappy6102 he already covered the russian air force in previous episode
@watchingfrom92
@watchingfrom92 2 жыл бұрын
"the Japanese empire did a cost benefit analysis, and they determined that the best course of action was to bomb the US in response, to hope to get them to send them oil again." Quite possibly the stupidest fucking take on the Japanese first strike i've ever heard. the Japanese strikes in Hawai'i and the Philippines weren't to convince America to resume oil exports, it was to cripple the US pacific fleet and far east air fleet, hoping to delay the US to long enough so that they could capture and secure the oil supplies in south east asia, so they wouldn't need American oil. Good video, but that nearly made be pop a blood vessel.
@JinKazama92
@JinKazama92 2 жыл бұрын
agree with this. the history books repeat it over and over that Japan attacked pearl harbor so that US will not do an embargo. That's just retarded.
@lubricustheslippery5028
@lubricustheslippery5028 2 жыл бұрын
It's was not that strange Japan attacked military targets when they where at war.
@charlietipton8502
@charlietipton8502 2 жыл бұрын
Actually, I am pretty sure the attack was to force the US to negotiate. They were confident that they could get the US to compromise, much like they forced the Russians to negotiate in the Russo-Japanese War. And this is why I give the video some leeway. It is complex and the art of videos like this is to simplify complex subjects.
@JohnDoe-ud3ue
@JohnDoe-ud3ue 2 жыл бұрын
@@JinKazama92 holy shit, your history books actually say that?
@mikeshoults4155
@mikeshoults4155 2 жыл бұрын
That's true, but he was right about one thing. It started with an oil embargo.......
@Rune-Thorne
@Rune-Thorne 2 жыл бұрын
That was unfair...Putin meddled every bit as much as the CIA. I know, I'm in a wheelchair because of it.
@luxel3365
@luxel3365 2 жыл бұрын
I think his point wasn't that the U.S. doesn't meddle, but that they don't actually have good idea of what they really want while meddling. That U.S. upper echelon are sinister, but not always competent enough to have a real plan before and after they make something happens.
@richardsavoie2857
@richardsavoie2857 2 жыл бұрын
You've been proven wrong for 21 days now, the convoy was stalled.
@sevenshadesofsmooth
@sevenshadesofsmooth 2 жыл бұрын
I've been to Russia, to the city of Voronezh, for a month, teaching kids English. The standard of living for most Russians is quite humble, especially outside major cities. Many Russians already had two jobs to get by. I have made good friends there and some are pro-Putin, pro-Soviet times and others are against modern Russia. They are a bunch of random people, some educated, some workers all with hopes and dreams of having a good future for their kids (and a good future for most is to actually get out of Russia, where they no longer slave away for the rouble). The narrative is "all Russians are bad" but they really aren't. We are all looking for a simple summary for this complex situation and one doesn't exist.
@catc8927
@catc8927 2 жыл бұрын
Given that thousands of Russian protesters are being arrested, it’s clear that this invasion isn’t the will of all of the Russian people, just one territory-grubbing autocrat.
@TheEDFLegacy
@TheEDFLegacy 2 жыл бұрын
I totally agree. If you hear some of the stories of some of the Russian soldiers, how they weren't even _told_ they were attacking Ukraine, or waking to realize that they've been lied to all this time... it's tragic.
@wendykalman9975
@wendykalman9975 2 жыл бұрын
I doubt any educated person holds the Russian citizens responsible for any of this. The Russian government is the enemy. If a person believes otherwise, they are simply ignorant .
@tomriley9096
@tomriley9096 2 жыл бұрын
First, what I need to say - I'm Russian. Dark days have come. For those people who think Russia wants this war - no we do not. Nevertheless, what is this war? When Russians kill Ukrainians or vice versa... It is as if Cain kills Abel. It's all a big tragedy for our countries. However, is this war between Russia and Ukraine? And where the reason comes from? I have watched western media a lot. Almost everywhere, we are like a monster with Mr. Putin in the head of the beast... For those who think that this is a war between Russia and Ukraine. Watch.. It didn't start in 2016 and even not in 2014... US Senators John McCain and Lindsey Graham communicate with comrade Poroshenko and the military of Ukraine in rather behind-the-scenes conditions (2016). kzbin.info/www/bejne/qXWWk3eol7yoeZY Then this story was paused because of the person whose name prohibited writing on twitter, but not for long. Was Ukraine free? Watch this kzbin.info/www/bejne/q2PYe59oeNKHo8U Could you imagine this in US? Who waged a war against Donbass? People like him kzbin.info/www/bejne/rHOaoIuKntmZpcU Do you think they spare woman and kids? Somebody can tell you "That war start when Russian came to kill Ukrainians in Donbass 8 years ago..." But some people has another opinion kzbin.info/www/bejne/mZWohZeAm753ntk (French) I have much more detailed report about Donbass in pdf on google docs. 8 years ago many of Ukrainian people has been hating Russians already. This is not about all of the population, only about minority, but very aggressive. kzbin.info/www/bejne/d6uoaqWbpZemrKs (2014) Here they are shouting "Hang Russians!" kzbin.info/www/bejne/pZeod2iibJemoLM (2014) TORCH-LIT MARCH IN KIEV BY UKRAINE'S RIGHT-WING SVOBODA PARTY - BBC NEWS kzbin.info/www/bejne/qnnLeHifrKh7kKc (2014) All of that is supporting by officials from Kiev till today. Do you really think that started in 2014? Instantly? Before that, there were 20 years of anti-Russian propaganda, a ban on Russian schools and the Russian language in a country where more than half of the population speaks Russian perfectly ... Now those people are waging a fratricidal war. You can hear "There is no fascist in Ukrainian Verkhovna Rada", but you need only to listen them to understand that is not true, almost all of Ukrainian government speak like fascist... The Western rulers of the world had one goal - to hound 2 countries and let us destroy each other, thereby fulfilling Goebbels' dream... and they did it. All things that I wrote about just because of lust for money and power. One interesting interview from Fox Business. Ok ok old colonel who is a Senior Advisor to the Acting Secretary of Defense absolutely knows nothing about this war, but broadcaster do... kzbin.info/www/bejne/aWTPc6Rro9qWa8U Last thing that you should to understand.. This is not the war between Russia and Ukraine, this is the war between USA and Russia-China alliance. Then will be Taiwan (need to capture the crucial technologies in microchip manufacture because of sanctions that were imposed) Best.
@charlesmaximus9161
@charlesmaximus9161 2 жыл бұрын
Well, at least you seem reasonable. Of course, you are sadly in a very low minority amongst all the masses of vapid nitwit liberal sociopaths here who not only don’t know A N Y T H I N G (and I do truly mean ANYTHING. ANYTHING. ANYTHING) about Russia, it’s culture, it’s history, or President Putin. 80% of these rainbow flag-waving warhawks couldn’t even point out Ukraine on a map if it were suddenly slapped down in front of them, let alone point to the Donbass region. These are the same cretins who believed all the trashy, sleazy, russophobic, tabloid-tier Vice “News” segments over the last five years. They hate their own conservative countrymen, so of course they detest Russians. These people are so ignorant when it comes to Russia and her deep Orthodox roots that they don’t even know that Ukraine is and has been the human trafficking capital of Europe for years, along with being a hive of LITERAL, ACTUAL neo-nazi militias who have murdered over 14,000 innocent Russian-speaking/pro-Russian people over the last few years alone. But hey, what do I know? I must be a “paid Putin shill” according to these ghoulish NPCs. Or a “Kremlin agent”. Ah, or my ever favourite…”RuSsiAn BoT”. 😂😂😂 The hilarity here of course is that most of these soulless, nominalist liberal ignoramuses moaned and shrieked and howled and screeched like lunatics about alleged “nazis” and “fascists” - even going as far as calling the very president of the U.S. “LiTeRaLLy HiTLeR” and anyone and everyone that supported him - for the last few years. It’s literally been one of their main goals: stamping out “muh fascism”. Most of these people they pissed and moaned about, mind you, were decent folks from a variety of different camps on the traditionalist Right. Hardly any at all were genuine “nazis”, save for a small handful of isolated nutters that the corporate media (an apparatus they CLAIM to abhor) sensationalised and blew way out of proportion. But when the ACTUAL, LITERAL nazis show up in Ukraine (for any of those dolts reading this, if you doubt this, I suggest you google “Azov Battalion” and “Right Sector”; prepare to feel wrong) they have absolutely nothing to say. Mostly because they have absolutely zero idea about it because the media has gone through great lengths to hide or downplay that fact. I don’t care what anybody says in their defence, a very significant portion of these types of people are truly evil and wicked. I’ve seen the way many of them applauded at the misfortunes and burdens of their own countrymen these last few years. Laughing with joy and taking extreme delight in peoples’ home addresses/phone numbers/personal information being posted online, making jokes about people dying, getting doxxed, etc. Most or at least many of the western liberal pro-Ukraine people are all cut from the same godless cloth.
@johnl2728
@johnl2728 2 жыл бұрын
The challenge with staying positive on the Russian convoy is how historically horrible Russia is with regards to supply and logistics
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
Eventho they have the capabilities, they have a huge stockpile of stratigic airlift
@danconti5984
@danconti5984 2 жыл бұрын
What I wanna know is where they are getting those tires?
@phantom_rantom8489
@phantom_rantom8489 2 жыл бұрын
@@danconti5984 heard that they use chinese tires from one of task's videos
@johnmadsen37
@johnmadsen37 2 жыл бұрын
The convoy stopped because the Ukraines closed down the buffet.
@danconti5984
@danconti5984 2 жыл бұрын
@@phantom_rantom8489 Man they can’t even give their own friends decent tires anymore. I’m wondering if with the corruption in the hierarchy of the Russian Military, how much of their entire logistics and tech is outsourced to China, thought we’ll probably never know.
@Smashycrashy
@Smashycrashy 2 жыл бұрын
Those engineering trucks didn’t have the logs for protection. Those logs wouldn’t stop anything but some fragments. Those logs were for mobility operations since the ground was very muddy. Pre-cut them do you don’t have to be wasting time cutting trees when you are needed.
@johnmadsen37
@johnmadsen37 2 жыл бұрын
Logs are better than branches. Now tree trunks would be the best.
@bepolite6961
@bepolite6961 2 жыл бұрын
Really? Well if they are for that, then why are they not longer or at least the width of the vehicles?
@nodarikirtadze8220
@nodarikirtadze8220 2 жыл бұрын
Then why are they stacked on the front of the vehicle and not on top or inside where more and longet ones would fit? Why is one painted with a Z?
@evilchaperone
@evilchaperone 2 жыл бұрын
@@bepolite6961 Make two tracks out of them?
@NotoriusMaximus
@NotoriusMaximus 2 жыл бұрын
they dont work for wheeled trucks
@kelduck8851
@kelduck8851 2 жыл бұрын
Here is some interesting information on why the convoy bogged down. "The unit’s commander, Lt Col Yaroslav Honchar, gave an account of the ambush near the town of Ivankiv that helped stop the vast, lumbering Russian offensive in its tracks. He said the Ukrainian fighters on quad bikes were able to approach the advancing Russian column at night by riding through the forest on either side of the road leading south towards Kyiv from the direction of Chernobyl. The Ukrainian soldiers were equipped with night vision goggles, sniper rifles, remotely detonated mines, drones equipped with thermal imaging cameras and others capable of dropping small 1.5kg bombs. “This one little unit in the night destroyed two or three vehicles at the head of this convoy, and after that it was stuck. They stayed there two more nights, and [destroyed] many vehicles,” Honchar said. The Russians broke the column into smaller units to try to make headway towards the Ukrainian capital, but the same assault team was able to mount an attack on its supply depot, he claimed, crippling the Russians’ capacity to advance." An article from The Guardian The drone operators who halted Russian convoy headed for Kyiv I tiny amount of people did an amazing amount of great work.
@ricardosoto5770
@ricardosoto5770 2 жыл бұрын
Probably they did but there was more to it, its seems that more drones were used, and more special forces.
@kelduck8851
@kelduck8851 2 жыл бұрын
@@ricardosoto5770 No doubt here was , I know a bridge further down the road was blown and the Ukrainians kept destroying any bridging attempts. I also know the only way to fix that log jam, in a combat situation, is from the rear, I therefore assume there was a lot more going on at the rear. The important part is that this was the ENTIRE logistical support for around 5 to 7 divisions carrying 1 days supply. The vehicles are supposed to drop off their supply at a forward depot and head back for a reload/sleep and do one trip daily. Russian divisions have a very small logistic tail, there are not many extra vehicles. After about a week Russia resolved the problem by dragging vehicles from other areas/divisions (and using a different route). This impacted other offensives, while the NW Kyiv offensive was delayed due to lack of supply. The remaining vehicles and supplies are basically written off, even if not destroyed. So Ukraine probably isn't concerned with it anymore, there are far better targets, other supply columns etc.
@mrlime9526
@mrlime9526 2 жыл бұрын
@xIcyStarzz After a month, this is just a slugfest shitshow. It’s clear neither the Russians or the Ukrainians are really “winning”
@VulpeX2Triumph
@VulpeX2Triumph 2 жыл бұрын
Another Highway of death.
@SnakeDoc455
@SnakeDoc455 2 жыл бұрын
@@kelduck8851 lets hope same or similar will happen to the current 8 mile convoy headed to Donbas or South too then
@twotiretirade4624
@twotiretirade4624 2 жыл бұрын
OIF Vet here, man love your content. Non biased, well thought out and humorous. I am now subscribed !!
@airportbumdad
@airportbumdad 2 жыл бұрын
The fact that they are calling reinforcements from the pacific side of their country and asking Syrians to help shows this is not as planned. You are giving them way too much credit. Russia has been struggling since the Cold War to keep up. I remember my grandfather who worked for the DOD making missile guidance systems talked about when they had some newly captured radar systems from Russia in the late 60s that were direct copies of stuff we had in the 50s. Their tactics are old and their equipment is even older. I would even argue they are no longer a super power. Nuclear power yes but not a super power. As the USA and other nations deliver more weapons you see this whole invasion fail.
@johnlammergeier2890
@johnlammergeier2890 2 жыл бұрын
I agree fully
@tastesweet9027
@tastesweet9027 2 жыл бұрын
How do you know these are fact that they're asking for help?? There are a lot of propaganda on both sides even the media.
@JudeKnowsWhatYouDoNot
@JudeKnowsWhatYouDoNot 2 жыл бұрын
Nah I think the usage of mercenaries has everything to do with morale ….I wouldn’t call them “reinforcements” as their forces haven’t been completely decimated…the kids who’ve been tricked into the war aren’t really hyped up for it to be honest…you are better off paying a guy who WANTS to fight, for the money of course
@antoniochiodi4183
@antoniochiodi4183 2 жыл бұрын
Getting troops from the other side of the country does not mean absolutely anything. Did the US not send troops from the West Coast to Iraq even though they are farther away ? You can’t just send all the troops from one place into an operation, otherwise 1-you’ll leave that place undefended, 2-you will risk stirring up internal divisions and creating factionalism ( and possibly even mutiny ) in your military, because soldiers won’t accept just all being sent to a conflict just because they are from a certain region, while people deployed from other safer and farther away regions get to just sit, chill and watch, 3-The only way to get soldiers from an area away from a conflict zone to get real life combat experience is to actually send them to the conflict zone
@ChandranPrema123
@ChandranPrema123 2 жыл бұрын
They aren't like how US invaded Iraq.Russia is trying to make less civilian Casualty and less collateral damage unlike US.But Ukraine Is giving a tough resistance unlike Iraq and Russia ain't bombing everything like US.
@winndypops
@winndypops 2 жыл бұрын
Love the occasional mentions of army 'screw ups' from around the world, I fear some people are getting the idea that this is the first time APCs and Tanks have been getting stuck in mud and its making them believe the Russian Military is just a goofy mess that is 2 steps from surrendering. Its important we don't let ourselves get overly optimistic.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@GamingInfested
@GamingInfested 2 жыл бұрын
it is nice to have hope that they arent capable. but truth is it will get very very ugly. that scares me. my country used same tactics and it was freaking hell without that much equipment an people
@hrv4908
@hrv4908 2 жыл бұрын
Just ask the Germans how it was in second world war.
@HansWurst1569
@HansWurst1569 2 жыл бұрын
I give ukraine another month before surrender, unless they are willing to fight to the bitter end
@mrgunn2726
@mrgunn2726 2 жыл бұрын
Ahh the Rasputitza, many unwanted visitors to Eastern Europe have found the mud to be a hinderance to their aggressive tourist plans.
@MrPuddles3331
@MrPuddles3331 2 жыл бұрын
Aged like milk
@fettsforlife4081
@fettsforlife4081 2 жыл бұрын
a small error i noticed was that the Japanese empire did not bomb peral harbor to convince the U.S to resend oil that was a large part, however the main argument was to convince the U.S. that the cost of a war with Japan over the pacific ocean was too high. Other wise great vid thanks for making these I know i speak for all of us when i say keep them coming if you can!
@snakeinthegrak8969
@snakeinthegrak8969 2 жыл бұрын
Such a big mistake.
@BookofProverbs
@BookofProverbs 2 жыл бұрын
Dan Carlin’s Hardcore history
@wadej347
@wadej347 2 жыл бұрын
Westernised version of history
@jessemills3845
@jessemills3845 2 жыл бұрын
Actually, of the Japanese would have hit the repair docks. We would have been sunk in the Pacific! Per the ones that were there!
@jonjeskie5234
@jonjeskie5234 2 жыл бұрын
@@tsmspace if I'm not mistaken, the Japanese literally thought the carriers would be there, and they were too committed to turn around whether battleships or carriers or nothing. Its doubtful they could drag a fleet of attack planes around the world to "find" the carriers anyway. The mission was premeditated for a while. So they probably would have carried it out even if it was just fishing boats left at pearl harbor 😂
@invictus4431
@invictus4431 2 жыл бұрын
Having worked in the Indian Army, our regiment had participated in exercises with the Russians and what you mentioned at 14:00 is very accurate. We had seen on multiple occasions how the Russians were hesitant about being excessively reliant on the resources they already had and very open about improvising and augmenting their tactical shortcomings with anything that worked for them. Thank you for putting in all this time and effort into making these quality videos for us.
@Nucl3arDude
@Nucl3arDude 2 жыл бұрын
Sounds like the real life equivalent of never using those potions you keep collecting in RPG's just in case you need them. Only to never fucking use them and make your life harder. It took the army for me to actually unlearn that habit and just use the damn tools you have now, and improvise when you don't have them.
@hellyea7866
@hellyea7866 2 жыл бұрын
Interesting to come across someone who’s worked first hand with the ruskies. Question how well do they actually hold there weight? Of course it was just training exercises and you said there weird about using what they had but how well do you think they measured up to you and your fellow countrymen and do they seem capable of participating in a Third World War?
@invictus4431
@invictus4431 2 жыл бұрын
@@hellyea7866 I will say it's kind of shocking for me to see them performing poorly in Ukraine. We worked with one of their tank divisions for 5 days and what they say about sheer Russian brute power is true. They were motivated and well trained. They very much believed in striking first with everything they've got. They also mentioned that they were not shy about using nukes and we assessed that it had to be superior Western conventional deterrence capabilities that led them in resorting to such a strategy.
@Raquya
@Raquya 2 жыл бұрын
@@Nucl3arDude In this case, it would be like if you keep losing them every time you died as well, but still being too stingy to use them thinking you can still beat the fight and save some for the 'final boss'.
@Windows98R
@Windows98R 2 жыл бұрын
I guess that Soviet mentality is just baked into their military still. The whole Soviet army was improvised for better or for worse and that part of belief still hangs around in the Russian Army.
@fido2006
@fido2006 2 жыл бұрын
Some on Twitter have described the maps showing Russian advance as misleading because they give the impression that the Russians have complete control of the territory behind their furthest advance line. In other words, because the maps show a solid infill color they give the impression that there is a cohesive and contiguous front that is And that a more realistic map would show primarily roads as being controlled (somewhat) by Russians and some towns but not much in-between. Thoughts?
@KD--sj8eo
@KD--sj8eo 2 жыл бұрын
Then the inverse is true, Russia has used air strikes and used their airforce to project force across the Ukraine. It’s not like there’s great stability in the unchecked areas. And getting hung up on maps despite the fact the Ukrainians are encircled and being picked off is pretty silly
@Yora21
@Yora21 2 жыл бұрын
At some point, maps of the civil wars in Syria and Iraq often started to not color the vast stretches of empty desert that made up huge parts of the territory. I guess it kind of was done to make IS look worse on maps, but it's also useful to make it clear that controlling villages along two roads in the desert doesn't mean you are actively occupying the massive area between them.
@viktorD4
@viktorD4 2 жыл бұрын
road control determines who has the initiative. At this time of the year in Ukraine, Russia and Belarus, cars and armored vehicles can only move on roads. Like civil war in exRussian Empire
@marcostisanifrancadanese3076
@marcostisanifrancadanese3076 2 жыл бұрын
Well you can see the results of ambushes behind the front lones and their effect. Lots of vehicles, especially less armored logistical vehicles have been destroyed, slowing the invasion down to a bloody crawl. In some areas Ukrainian forces have successfully counter attacked, olus have a huge amount of captured russian equipment, which they have training in and can definitely use against russian forces. Kyiv has been fortified and defences there prepared for days, as well as reserves assembled, plenty of ammo in stock and civilians being evacuated. The russians will bleed for every yard they take
@aenorist2431
@aenorist2431 2 жыл бұрын
Ukrainian military needs supply lines too, to function anywhere near their capacity. They don't have that if the russians hold the roads. They will be reduced to uncoordinated "three dudes with guns" groups, capable of very limited damage to russian supply convoys. Eventually that can change and form a guerilla movement, though the flat ukrainian countryside has none of the mountains, jungles and other horrific terrain that is usually used to make an insurgency work.
@MichaelLehnGermany
@MichaelLehnGermany 2 жыл бұрын
I am looking forward for your next video. Thanks for your channel and for your service! Best regards from 🇩🇪
@Tadicuslegion78
@Tadicuslegion78 2 жыл бұрын
The Russians lost 2 generals in almost 2 weeks of fighting. Things aren’t adding up as to how the Russians can have this giant convoy just sitting there burning up tons of supplies and no progress apart from shelling constantly. Russian soldiers were filmed looting a grocery store. And now they’re out recruiting In Syria to come fight for them. This is all sus as to true Russian strength
@MrFYGY
@MrFYGY 2 жыл бұрын
I`ve heard about 5 generals. To me it just same **** as Ghost of Khiv and that island
@The_Black_Falchion
@The_Black_Falchion 2 жыл бұрын
There's nothing suspect about it, they over estimated themselves.
@РулонОбоев-н9ъ
@РулонОбоев-н9ъ 2 жыл бұрын
Don't trust every new you read. I refuse to believe that generals are fighting on front grounds.
@brettreichold443
@brettreichold443 2 жыл бұрын
Syria is their version of contractors so they don't have to count them in the death total back home.
@TechnoMinarchist
@TechnoMinarchist 2 жыл бұрын
They're waiting for southern and eastern units to surround the city so they can pincer.
@calebholtz3392
@calebholtz3392 2 жыл бұрын
Wow I really wasn't expecting much when I clicked on this but that was insanely informative and managed to make an actually unbiased analysis of the geo political implications of these terrible events.
@BlueEyedColonizer
@BlueEyedColonizer 2 жыл бұрын
Looky here at Cappy stepping up and thinking for himself instead of eating the main stream narrative. Im impressed sir.
@randommag1c
@randommag1c 2 жыл бұрын
Thats make me stuck on this channel. Its interesting what people from around a globe think about war in Ukraine
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
@@randommag1c its the same narrative. Ukraine good russia bad. Although its in between. Watch video on real life lore about ukraine situation
@ostiariusalpha
@ostiariusalpha 2 жыл бұрын
@@u2beuser714 That's the way it be, you Putin sock puppet. You are the bad guys.
@TROPtastic
@TROPtastic 2 жыл бұрын
@@u2beuser714 The country that invaded Ukraine (*twice*) after giving it security guarantees promising to respect it's territory and borders at the end of the cold war? I think you can see why Putin is the aggressor in this war.
@aztronomy7457
@aztronomy7457 2 жыл бұрын
Just because you have an alternative point of view doesn’t mean you’re right. Just because you follow the mainstream media doesn’t mean you’re right. Every thought should be judged on its own merit. Stop worrying about what’s mainstream vs not mainstream. Mainstream doesn’t mean wrong.
@haroldlittell689
@haroldlittell689 2 жыл бұрын
56th SBCT, We were in Iraq at the same time. I went with 2nd BCT to Afghanistan the following year. Great video. I really started studying Soviet/Russian military SOPs from the Afghan and Chechen wars. You are spot on. If the Ukrainians can break down the Russian artillery, either directly or supply disruption, they can really throw a wrench in Putin's plans.
@robiebass4780
@robiebass4780 2 жыл бұрын
Look forward to every video you release. Funny bits are great and appropriate, but I appreciate the direct and informative analysis without bias. Realistic and not overly optimistic or pessimistic. Hopeful, and honest. A good lesson in modern warfare tactics and potential strategies being considered. Love the specific equipment data and analysis to understand the various weapons, weapon platforms, and transportation vehicle details too. Would love to see more of these in the future videos. Also really appreciate the mapping with video clips and photos along with the distance analysis. Keep up the good work!
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@andrewjackson5127
@andrewjackson5127 2 жыл бұрын
Pretty amazing to me that a lowly KZbinr such as yourself can do such high-quality journalism while corporate media outlets with millions of dollars fail so badly. Keep up the excellent work.
@Starry_Night_Sky7455
@Starry_Night_Sky7455 2 жыл бұрын
I gotta agree!!!! 🏆
@Kokozaftran
@Kokozaftran 2 жыл бұрын
Wow that disdain. "Lowly"
@svenvanwier7196
@svenvanwier7196 2 жыл бұрын
@@Kokozaftran I don’t think disrespect was the intent. Seeing the vet type rough comedy in this video, I think this lowly guy would agree😂
@Weeks25
@Weeks25 2 жыл бұрын
His experience being a vet gives such a better perspective then the stupid media. I don’t even watch them to figure out what’s going on in the world. I watch multiple little guys like this an sometimes even foreign news.
@milosjovicevic6083
@milosjovicevic6083 2 жыл бұрын
He is clueless.
@IllIl
@IllIl 2 жыл бұрын
Please keep making these. Very valuable to hear such a well reasoned, clearly explained assessment of the reality of these events.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@ZFPAkula
@ZFPAkula 2 жыл бұрын
Turns out it was a clusterf*ck after all.
@guyprovencal1742
@guyprovencal1742 2 жыл бұрын
“Be careful you don’t touch cannon tips” 😂 I just died, thanks for the laugh in the middle of all the seriousness, Cappy. Love your channel!
@AXStryker
@AXStryker 2 жыл бұрын
According to Mr. Michael Kofman of the Center for Naval Analyses, the 40 mile convoy is not 40 miles long but 40 miles from Kyiv and consists of around 15 battalion tactical groups sitting on the road because the bridges are blown, so they're waiting for the engineers to get pontoon bridges built. Modern War Institute did a good video on the conflict called "The War in Ukraine: An Operational Assessment" I recommend people check it out, the guys involved are experts in their field and give good insights into the economic and military situation. The guys are Dr. Rob Person from West Point's Department of Social Sciences, retired Colonel Liam Collins, PhD, who helped reform Ukraine’s defense establishment from 2016 to 2018, and Mr. Michael Kofman who I mentioned above.
@TheNecropolis20
@TheNecropolis20 2 жыл бұрын
Can Putin win this war ?
@ethanmac639
@ethanmac639 2 жыл бұрын
i will check it out thanks, also i watched this guy named Scott Ritter who has a pretty good read on the geopolitical and rough macro military strategy angle!
@ethanmac639
@ethanmac639 2 жыл бұрын
@@TheNecropolis20 it's a foregone conclusion! the real question is can the Russian military do it in the time table and acceptable loss calculations they set or roughly!
@dracodraco1982
@dracodraco1982 2 жыл бұрын
@@TheNecropolis20 Depends on what you call a win. Can he take Kiev? Probably. Can he hold Ukraine? Almost certainly not. I'd have to go digging for the RAND paper, but in a report done for the DOD, it was said that to successfully occupy an area, you need at least 20 soldiers per 1000 civilians -- and that's the floor, that's assuming minimal violent resistance. With ~44,000,000 people in Ukraine, that's a /minimum/ of 880,000 troops, /and that's assuming minimal resistance where we currently see high motivated and coordinated resistance/. Russia only has ~1,000,000 active duty military folk. He isn't sending ~7/8ths of his military to chill in Ukraine in a time of elevated tensions, both at home and abroad. Even if you called up Russian reserves, which nets you another ~2,000,000, you're still looking at needing about a third of all Russian military in Ukraine /and, I stress again, this is assuming the best possible scenario/. And Russia can't hide mounting losses indefinitely, nor can they hide from view their abuses. Their broad savings to get them through sanctions have largely been frozen, their economy is having a swift implosion, and Nord Stream 2 was set to net Russia trillions per decade is permanently lost. Putin, in this absurd act, will have done more to combat global climate change than any other political leader purely because no one wants to be reliant on Russian fuel. And while that sounds fine and dandy, it's truly not. Here's the snag. Putin has to be able to save face somehow, otherwise he's a despot who looks like he needs one of the largest militaries and six weeks to take over a McDonalds. Except there's not much to offer him. I don't see Ukraine formally handing over the breakaway regions and Crimea to Russia; and, honestly, I wouldn't want to renew the precedent that actions such as Putin's are worthy of any reward. Obviously, the US and NATO want do just as much as they can, shy of entering the fight. And with Russia's economy tanking, it makes annexing the 14th largest natural gas producer ever more attractive, especially if that's his only means of survival, both politically and personally. Russia's only shot at a victory was a sudden decapitating strike and a blitz to occupy Ukraine before resistance could be organized. Ukraine's only shot at victory was to establish an insurgency. Make it a war of attrition, make the cost in Russian lives and resources so high that Putin has to cut his losses lest he risk being bled to death over the course of a decade. Ukraine will survive, barring some rapid collapse once the Wagner Group/Russians take out Zelensky, but he's such a hero now that his status is (probably) crystallized. It won't be an assassination of a resistance leader so much as a catalyst for desperate resistance in the name of a martyr who gave his all for his people. Which means it's a war of attrition. It will be a long, drawn out conflict that leads to heavy losses over years. The destruction of cities, the murder of civilians, the burning of crops.. A drawn out war is the worst kind for all parties involved. Atrocities accumulate, cruelty grows unchecked, and desperation runs rampant. And all the suffering on all the sided will be born not by the man who lost his freaking mind, but the many millions of innocent Ukrainians and Russians who wanted no part in this madness, yet are victims of circumstance and a mad man. X.x I'm not sure how this ends. I'd bet my last dollar on Ukraine surviving. But there's going to be a lot of bodies in a lot of graves amongst burned out farm fields before Putin is forced to acknowledge he miscalculated. Maybe I'm wrong, maybe there's some way to defuse this and stem the harm, but I don't see it right now. x.x
@ОстапПазинюк
@ОстапПазинюк 2 жыл бұрын
@@TheNecropolis20 nope, he will lose, Ukrainians will kill each russian that came to their territory
@Blank-41
@Blank-41 2 жыл бұрын
You've given the best perspectives I've seen about this war so far
@AnnaKuznetzova88
@AnnaKuznetzova88 2 жыл бұрын
No he is very bias for russia
@evilchaperone
@evilchaperone 2 жыл бұрын
​@@AnnaKuznetzova88 Didn't seem like he was cheerleading either side?
@simulify8726
@simulify8726 2 жыл бұрын
@@AnnaKuznetzova88 Naah, He is mixing stuff with his own experience and history He ain't biased
@ashleys7631
@ashleys7631 2 жыл бұрын
Good honest reporting
@FXIIBeaver
@FXIIBeaver 2 жыл бұрын
@@AnnaKuznetzova88 how is the asov battalion doing?
@keithdunwoody1302
@keithdunwoody1302 2 жыл бұрын
So how did that analysis work out?
@samgreenwood8313
@samgreenwood8313 2 жыл бұрын
They're not sanctions, they're 'special economic operations'
@hexmech1893
@hexmech1893 2 жыл бұрын
"We have come to save you!" Separatists: Yay! It's the Russian Army! *FROM YOURSELVES!* Separatists: Oh no, its the Russian Army.
@flyboymb
@flyboymb 2 жыл бұрын
Between Monte Cassino and Stalingrad, you'd think that any Russian military leader would realize that leveling buildings creates a nightmare for maneuvering for the attacker and unlimited cover for the defender. Add this to Russia's lackluster command and control along with stellar OPSEC like using Ukraine's cell phone network for communications, and the Russian death toll might be closer to the 11,000 claim than the 3,000 conservative claim currently touted by the time potentially Kyiv falls. Also, big thing about sanctions. Sanctions can go away with one decision by a nation's leader. Everything can go back to normal as soon as Putin sucks up his pride and admits he's managed to get Russia into something even worse than Afghanistan. Don't think that everything will be forgive and forget. I imagine that if the war crimes tribunal has anything to say, Putin will be a prisoner within his own borders as he'll be arrested for crimes against peace and humanity the instant he travels abroad. There will likely be a large list of government and military figures that will share the wealth in this. Finland and Sweden have at least partially backed away from staunch neutrality after seeing that playing submissive to the bear only gets you mauled. Putin may well have just made new NATO neighbors on his Karelia border. We will have to see in the coming weeks and months if the Russian military can improve their performance without devolving into the tactics of the Mongols. As things stand, the West is wondering how Russia could conquer a nation two borders over when they can't even coordinate a strategic movement onto a next-door neighbor. If the intercepted cell messages ring true, Russia is utilizing the same top-down leadership style utilized by the Soviet Union and nobody moves unless ordered by the brass. We all saw how well that worked out for the Iraqi army. Given that a lot of Russian field and general grade officers have caught a rather chronic case of death, one has to wonder what kind of chaos will ensue with Russia still lacking any kind of quality junior officers or NCOs. Putin's biggest card against the west is to threaten nuclear warfare. But he could have nuked us just as effectively 10 years ago as he could today if he woke up on the wrong side of the bed and wanted to destroy the world. The west can just as easily wipe Russia out in the retaliatory strike. Thing is, I know of exactly two times that the Soviet military has refused to follow orders to initiate a nuclear launch. One was during the Cuban missile crisis where the political officer (of all people) refused to consent to launch a nuclear torpedo against American warships. The second was an officer in the 80's who refused to follow protocol and launch everything after the early warning system stated that the US had launched a handful of missiles (turns out they were cloud flashes fooling the satellites). No system, not even Russia's, allows one man to directly control the utilization of a nuclear arsenal. People in silos still have to initiate launch sequences. Submarines must still come to a proper depth to fire. Bombers must be piloted, and mobile launchers prepared. Putin does not have a gaming chair and joystick to control this directly. He could well give the order as a final middle finger to a world that is chortling at his flex, but that may be the point where the military leadership decides that he's gone far enough and send him off to meet Beria. An old Soviet philosophy is that the army was like a tiger held in place by two men who hated each other (the Politburo and the KGB). If both men held the chain, neither would be harmed. If one let go, the tiger would be free to attack and kill the man's enemy. However, once that enemy was dead, there was nobody to hold that tiger in place and it could attack the first man. The Soviet military has been an influencing factor in past shifts in power. They were key in assisting in the calm transition that occurred after Stalin's death. And while initially part of the coup, the special forces that attempted to stop the transition of the Soviet Union into a federation refused to actually storm Yeltsin's building and eventually the backers of the coup were forced to surrender. Any commander of the Russian missile forces will likely know whether a strike order is unprovoked or not and would require the discipline of a zealot to sign the death warrants of all the men, women, and children in his country. However this all plays out though, it can be assured that Putin is being haunted by the ghost of Stalin whispering "History shows that there are no invincible armies and there never have been".
@SuperSokol7
@SuperSokol7 2 жыл бұрын
One of the smartest comments I have ever read on youtube.
@neilfrasersmith
@neilfrasersmith 2 жыл бұрын
Excellent assessment.
@carlbell475
@carlbell475 2 жыл бұрын
You should be a journalist, perfectly written and educated too.
@nickpn23
@nickpn23 2 жыл бұрын
Maybe it's a matter of indifference whether the Russians take it or not. I think Kyiv is a diversion anyway - it's down south where the permanent additions to Russia will be found.
@Zardoz2293
@Zardoz2293 2 жыл бұрын
Right. I'm not saying that the overwhelming bulk of what you are saying is not completely correct. Unprovoked = Total Non-sense. Absolutely Provoked! He isn't fighting Ukraine, it's all of NATO and hordes of others being paid off or otherwise threatened. Perhaps you should put your critique within that context and also include NATO's push forward when documents clearly show the absolute spirit of the agreements included NO post Warsaw Pack countries to join NATO. I expect Russia will loose. not this 'war' but in the aftermath. Reminds me of Afghanistan hysteria in USA when Russia invaded. Russia lost only they were fighting USA proxy. Then like the arogenate idiots we American's eventually show ourselves to everyone else, except ourselves, that we go and fight the same exact factions in Afghanistan decades later for which the Russian's were fighting, and we can't even win after two decades. I keep wondering exactly why American's always seem to be on the wrong side of things, and hysteria is always at the core of the logic. I remember the USA propaganda how Regan's policies beat the Soviet's in the Cold War. Until I visited Russia some years later, and it became obvious that was absolutely not the case, it was their internal corruption and destruction from within --- very much like what has been occurring in the USA for sometime now. The most powerful and destructive weapon is corruption of your own people. There is a Chinese military doctrine, I don't remember the name, but it calls for nuking all the USA's aircraft carrier fleets and major military hardware and personal deployments in one quick shot. I remember reading it just prior to Desert Storm and thought we were at high risk of them implementing it based on the USA claimed deployments and locations, easy targets. Their research, in the document, claims USA Presidents have become weaker and weaker and that if the attack stopped there USA would not strike back and all effective conventional capability would be gone for a good ten years. Soviet's had a similar, yet very different, plan for EU regarding nukes. I predict, if level heads do not gain control and back off to solve the problem, if it were me, and I was China, I'd make my move on Taiwan. The effects of the gross mismanagement of American business in regards to outsourcing manufacturing has put USA at an extreme disadvantage for many reasons. The USA military may have unit numbers, and a few working 'secret' projects to unleash but is no match for a Russian and China front, especially, if both cutoff all access to rare earth elements, and all exports. Exactly who can outlast whom? Only USA has used nukes in war, and on civilian targets. So what happens if Russia uses just one nuke on some Ukrainian or NATO airfield (on claimed air support, real or imagined)? Would we respond? If so, to what end? I do NOT hear arguments addressing whatsoever Russia's NATO concerns. Non-starter? Seriously? Why? You are trying to tell me that NATO cannot defend EU by launching ICBM's from USA, UK, or France at Russia (or Russian military targets) it were to attack NATO members? Yeah, but then it's the end of the world. Really? If you create an environment where other societies on the planet are the "enemy" just because they don't use your "system" or have different a$$holes in charge than your a$$sholes is that really worth fighting about? You can't engage in business activity and have them become so dependent on having a great life for their people from the wealth all share? When I was in Russia I was very surprised at how many people I meet who LOVED AMERICA, it was surprising, amazing and wonderful. It also surprised that where were more Russian's with classical American views of success and wanting to be like the American's than were in America. Critical Thinking. The Real Scientific Method (not Pandemic logic) is going to save us, them, and everyone. One sided arguments are a key to you are wrong.
@wbwarren57
@wbwarren57 2 жыл бұрын
Great analysis! You’re still doing the very best analysis I’ve seen of this war so far. One point you might make that I think is really important is the fact that Poland has accepted 1.5 million Ukrainians into its country in less than two weeks. This is equivalent to the United states accepting 12 million refugees (because USA is eight times larger than Poland) in less than two weeks which I’m very doubtful would ever be allowed to happen. As far as the West is concerned I think the Polish are doing the heaviest lifting outside of the war zone itself.
@harze434
@harze434 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/pnzGnoF9q8Z3i9U Take a look at this good documentary about ukraine russian war.
@brahbrowley7804
@brahbrowley7804 2 жыл бұрын
They literally always do.
@fmayer1507
@fmayer1507 2 жыл бұрын
I totally agree. This is a very well done analysis.
@fmayer1507
@fmayer1507 2 жыл бұрын
I agree. The entire alliance should take an allocation of refugees so Poland is not overwhelmed. That is plain common sense.
@wbwarren57
@wbwarren57 2 жыл бұрын
@@brahbrowley7804 You are right. Little know factoid (outside of WW2 buffs) is that Poland stole a working Enigma machine and other information about it from the Germans before Poland got invaded. The copy of the machine and the information were absolutely vital in allowing the UK to break the Enigma code as quickly as they did. WW2 in Europe could have lasted much longer if the Polish hadn't done this.
@jasonnewton5996
@jasonnewton5996 Жыл бұрын
Chris, I think the greatest compliment I can pay you is that you are far from being an average infantryman!!
@kurtolsen6175
@kurtolsen6175 2 жыл бұрын
This was a surprisingly good analysis and illuminating explanation. Much more enlightening than the usual ‘expert’ commentary. I also love that the explanations are balanced and fairly neutral where it counts punctuated by clearly stated political opinions (opinions not made into propaganda) Thanks a lot for this!
@Diartoo
@Diartoo 2 жыл бұрын
Indeed! If I might just suggest you invest a couple of more minutes to work on the pronunciation of city names, please.
@Noms_Chompsky
@Noms_Chompsky 2 жыл бұрын
Aren't they like starving now and raiding the area just for food; it's like a reverse Napoleon
@ThatPianoNoob
@ThatPianoNoob 2 жыл бұрын
@@Noms_Chompsky yea this video seems less sensible with each passing day. I guess initially he had a good point, by now it's just silly.
@michaelcorbidge7914
@michaelcorbidge7914 2 жыл бұрын
@@Noms_Chompsky it was the motivation for inventing the tin can . Although the lead content in the solder was a little high back then . Who wants to die from lead poisoning during a war ?
@johnross101
@johnross101 2 жыл бұрын
@@Diartoo the guy gives a better and more real report than any mainstream broadcasting network and this is your reply?
@balung
@balung 2 жыл бұрын
"Soldiers win battles, Logistics win Wars." Perishing.
@edwardbellamy5823
@edwardbellamy5823 2 жыл бұрын
these have actually been the most insightful analysis of the situation I've watched. awesome job.
@FXIIBeaver
@FXIIBeaver 2 жыл бұрын
S2 underground had a very good series going.
@judedornisch4946
@judedornisch4946 2 жыл бұрын
A pretty good Red team analysis. The Blue team is also playing. Russian probes are mainly stand off operations in increasingly hostile territory. Forward Russian operational bases are rally points, but more in an attempt to reorganize and hold waiting on resupply. The Ukrainians are breaking out into small unit man portable hunter teams rapidly degrading forward Air assets and following up by creating choke points up and down the supply lines. While Russian supply lines are lengthening as forward supplies become depleted, Ukrainian supply lines are reestablishing, as late as yesterday Pineapples were appearing in the capital. Meanwhile Russian rear area security in Belarus and the autonomous regions is deteriorating. Its a race but right now the odds are swinging Blue.
@williamyoung9401
@williamyoung9401 2 жыл бұрын
I can't believe Striker's have low armor under where the soldiers sit...had the same problem in Vietnam; soldiers would literally sit on top of the vehicle to avoid an I.E.D. Of course, then you had to worry about snipers...and mosquitoes, lol...
@KitPatron
@KitPatron 2 жыл бұрын
Hello. I have some information about this 40 miles convoy... there is no more of it. Most of it has been destroyed or captured. Those who survived were now on their way to the east of Ukraine. Round 2 has begun.
@Clarkyson
@Clarkyson 2 жыл бұрын
Having always been a civilian that never joined, I really appreciate your explanations of these moves and explanations in regards to military or tactical terms that we may not understand as civilians. Thanks boys
@Berd-Wasted.
@Berd-Wasted. 2 жыл бұрын
This statement implied you wanted to join. If I may ask, what was the cause of _halting_ your enlistment. If it is within acceptable conditions.
@Clarkyson
@Clarkyson 2 жыл бұрын
@@Berd-Wasted. went to college after hs, lost interest, got two duiis and some other legal shit. Had state fines I wasn’t able to pay off. I know excuses. Then I had a kid early twenties. There’s obviously a bit more then that.
@Berd-Wasted.
@Berd-Wasted. 2 жыл бұрын
@@Clarkyson I see. This information satisfies me so. There is no further need to reveal anything else, you may cease. Thank You.
@Nezfitness777
@Nezfitness777 2 жыл бұрын
@@Berd-Wasted. For me its the military's nefarious goals, NATO intentions, and my research about Vietnam , ww1 , ww2. It seems you lose the ability to make a choice when taking commands in war. Also cannon fodder. I don't ever want to be put in a position where i kill agianst my will, in war there's lots of that. Also because most wars are planned and only the people who waged those wars and aren't actually on the front lines gain from them.
@Berd-Wasted.
@Berd-Wasted. 2 жыл бұрын
@@Nezfitness777 I see.
@jonathanbell5561
@jonathanbell5561 2 жыл бұрын
I held four MOSes over time 11C, 13E, 37F, and right after Dessert Storm 88m (before going 37F). As an 88m, I can tell you that there is no way this convoy stall is on purpose. I agree with current analysis of strategy to set up and surround as current strategy after the attempted Blitzkrieg strategy failed because of resistance. But no logical leader would leave that line so exposed. It would be madness.
@Daniel-ob2ml
@Daniel-ob2ml 2 жыл бұрын
The big problem in Northern Ukraine is its mud season. Spring, with the frost dropping out of the ground in mucky clay soil. Light SUVs can drive off road but nothing larger. That's why you see them on the highways. In a few weeks they will be able to maneuver much better.
@dragonslayer3203
@dragonslayer3203 2 жыл бұрын
because of concentrated air defenses. The Ukranians have only a handful of bayraktars so why risk them all in one throw of the dice on a single large convoy thats guranteed to be the centre of attention of russian air defenses? Instead, I can see the drones being more useful when they can nibble away at scattered air defenses or smaller armoured columns that are pushing and probing in other parts of the country. In these cases the drones will have a higher survivability rate, allowing them to hit more targets before they are destroyed.
@Paul-ht9fv
@Paul-ht9fv 2 жыл бұрын
Initially I would agree but still waiting to see any evidence that the convoy is being taken apart. Ukraine seems to have only foot soldiers, with AT's, to throw at the convey so a rural area is more safe against such a threat.
@TheBRMueller
@TheBRMueller 2 жыл бұрын
I tend to agree with your assessment. It takes nearly as much food and fuel to sit there doing nothing where they could have more sensibly lager up somewhere.
@Hgskgpoeote
@Hgskgpoeote 2 жыл бұрын
Who said its gonna be a Blitzkrieg? If he wanted this to happen, he would have made it the US way and bomb all citys to the stoneage.They are not targeting Covilians as well. Besides that, they are also using outdated engines only, so the new developed ones, wont fall into the wests hands. The MSM manipulated their people to think, that Putin planned this to end in 2 days, when in fact he never said it, and now say it didnt go as planned for him 😂
@dangillen4759
@dangillen4759 2 жыл бұрын
The host of this video is correct The US did suspend oil sales to Japan prior to their attacked on pearl Harbor. However they did not attack pearl Harbor to force the US to sell them oil. The Japanese had already secured a source of oil from Indonesia, prior to Pearl Harbor. They had also seized Control of multiple islands in the South Pacific to guard the shipping lanes from Indonesia to Japan. The pearl Harbor attack was to try and destroy the American's Pacific fleet that was a threat to their control of the shipping lanes.
@cornucopiahouse4204
@cornucopiahouse4204 2 жыл бұрын
Remember, KZbin content creators, like many other kind of media, make videos to create tension and more questions so that the the number of audience will continue to increase. Content creators intentionally leave out some details for future videos.
@marijn211
@marijn211 2 жыл бұрын
@@cornucopiahouse4204 it isnt leaving out details, its wrong
@jebise1126
@jebise1126 2 жыл бұрын
well sure they attacked to force usa out of war. it was yamaoto plan as he saw usa had so much higher production that japan would lost the war if it would drag on - he was right. but japan didnt have source of oil so they did attach dutch east indies to get oil for war in china.
@HiThere-sc2jr
@HiThere-sc2jr 2 жыл бұрын
@@marijn211 7
@dinoburre9826
@dinoburre9826 2 жыл бұрын
This aged like milk….. still better than how that convoy aged though
@rodrigodias4134
@rodrigodias4134 2 жыл бұрын
i come from the future to say that this statement is still correct
@antonleimbach648
@antonleimbach648 2 жыл бұрын
“NATO countries finding their own balls…” I can’t stop chuckling…….omg Hilarious and so true. I’m Dutch and have tons of relatives in the Netherlands and I haven’t seen them this rilled up since the Tulip bubble.
@Trikipum
@Trikipum 2 жыл бұрын
Damn, didnt know dutch had a life expenctancy of 400 years.. are you guys vampires?... that would explain few things....
@Cgh432
@Cgh432 2 жыл бұрын
Liked all comments 👍
@Daniel-lz9ps
@Daniel-lz9ps 2 жыл бұрын
@@Cgh432 Same 👍🏻
@ancientnoodle8372
@ancientnoodle8372 2 жыл бұрын
@@Trikipum funny prime minister moment
@phillee2814
@phillee2814 2 жыл бұрын
Damned right - if I wasn't stuck at home in the UK in a wheelchair, I'd be making my way over to Ukraine to fight. I've always hated bullies, and always beat them in the end. And if the price of Ukrainian freedom is a Glassed over Moscow, so be it - we can spare a few politicians in return.
@danwilliams5867
@danwilliams5867 2 жыл бұрын
City fighting in an area that has been reduced to rubble effectively stops tanks. It also allows every house to be a bunker, and progress is measured in yards. You give up any house during the night, you will fight for it the next day. Close in weapons, submachineguns, shotguns and pistols all become effective. Armour requires close infantry support and coordination. It also requires the TC to unbutton the tank to see. All of which makes them vulnerable to simple weapons, moltov cocktails, mines, IED etc. Artillery is not as effective, even with time delay ,as troops in the open or even field fortifications . Airstikes are also marginal. Ask any vet of Hue, 68, Mogadishu etc. This requires a skill and bravery to move forward that the Russians do not have. Also every doorway becomes a hazard, from the fatal funnel to just simple boobytrap from a grenade and a wire
@leonardscully7538
@leonardscully7538 2 жыл бұрын
Its going to turn into a guerrilla warfare possible like Chechnya the Ukrainian government and its people said even if the Russian win they will keep fighting for there homeland against the Russian invaders they have tasted freedom and they love it thats why they told pootin to fuk off.
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@egoalter1276
@egoalter1276 2 жыл бұрын
There have been plenty of modern urban sieges, from stalingrad to sarajevo, and one of them were quick. Russia desperately needs quick. Falling back to preparatory bombardment against an entrenched enemy is throwing out the last 100 years of experience.
@einfisch3891
@einfisch3891 2 жыл бұрын
How ironic would it be for the russians to have a stalingrad of their own
@Joe-jc5ol
@Joe-jc5ol 2 жыл бұрын
The problem is that he won't enter the city until after they encircle it for a couple of weeks, made sure the food supplies ran out and the residents could not sleep from cannon fire all those nights, then he enters. This is what they did in Syria, images of Syrians from certain territories resembled images of famine struck countries with bony starving people...
@christopherjackson5829
@christopherjackson5829 2 жыл бұрын
This series is your best work I've seen yet. You've really stepped up your game to cover the Ukraine conflict.
@johnoneill7947
@johnoneill7947 2 жыл бұрын
According to British intelligence, Ukrainian forces have succeeded in recapturing towns and defensive positions from invading Russian forces up to 35 kilometers (22 miles) east of the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv. A report from the British Defense Ministry on Friday said Ukrainian troops were also likely to continue pushing back Russian forces on the northwestern axis from Kyiv toward the Hostomel Airfield, some 26 kilometers from the capital. It was captured by Russian forces on February 25 at the start of Moscow's invasion. Russian forces in the south of Ukraine were still seeking to circumvent the city of Mykolaiv as they try to move in on Odesa, with fierce Ukrainian resistance and supply issues impeding their progress, according to the report. A number of Russian military units have withdrawn behind the Russian border after suffering the loss of more than half their personnel, the Ukrainian general staff has said. According to Oleksiy Arestovych, a senior adviser to Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelenskyy, the front lines between Ukrainian and Russian troops have become "practically frozen." The general staff said Russian troops were continuing to blockade the large cities of Kharkiv and Sumy and also seemed to be preparing for a new offensive in Izyum in the Kharkiv region. The information cannot be independently verified. The number of people in Germany who are in favor of Ukraine joining the EU has risen by 16% since 2018, a YouGov survey has shown. Forty-six percent of those asked would now like to see Ukraine in the bloc. The survey also showed a clear reduction in the number of people opposed to the country's EU membership, with just 30% against compared with 47% in 2018. Other countries are showing similar trends, with 42% of people in France in favor of Ukraine's EU accession (2018: 22%), 60% in Spain and 45% in Italy. The percentage of those who are undecided remains fairly high in all the countries included in the survey at 24-29%. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged that his country be quickly accepted into the bloc amid Russia's invasion and has signed a formal application. But several EU countries, including Germany, have spoken out against fast-tracking Ukraine's bid for membership.
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality
@jumpingoutofairplanesmentality 2 жыл бұрын
Imagine a drone operated flying Stinger, Javelin, or Gustav missile system, the Ukrainians and their allies could attach a bunch of drones to the handheld rocket systems which would give those rockets increased capabilities such as 5 to 150 + mile range with added fuel tanks, cell phone GPS control, or network relay drones which create a wireless network however long, I assume depends on how many drones are available, it could be 50 or 5000 mile long Network but the flying rocket systems would now be able to Traverse the network thus giving them an extended range, it wouldn't take much drones to turn the Rockets into flying weapon systems, maybe 4 to 8 drones or a propeller system made out of 10 to 30 propellers could Propel 10 to 50 lb for many miles, the javelin is 50 LB the stinger missile is 20 or so, even with the drone's original limited range oh, you're talkin about 200 to 2000 yards, that's a major advantage to be able to pop up in the air and travel at 50 to 300 mph towards a target, even only if the Limited range available is 200 to 2000 yards for an average drone, but when you take into account GPS and a wireless network, even one boosted antenna it's a wrap, a stealthy wrap.
@ST4M3RSAC1OW3N
@ST4M3RSAC1OW3N 2 жыл бұрын
With defensive weapons and human shields. Yeah ok sure. Ukrainians dont have a chance in hell of going on attack
@PosthumousAddress
@PosthumousAddress 2 жыл бұрын
Also, NATO has never been more unified and strong. Finland and Sweden now both have majorities in polling who favour joining NATO. The Russian economy, which is completely dependent on technological imports (they've opened up Russian drones that crashed and they're filled with consumer off the shelf technology from Sony and Texas Instruments... Russia even uses imported components in its nuclear Bulava missiles). The Russian economy is fucked.
@hueghh3775
@hueghh3775 2 жыл бұрын
@@PosthumousAddress Update on Sweden and Finland: they’re pretty much fast tracked to join NATO by summer this year, if they choose to and if Russia doesn’t get butthurt enough to invade over it.
@davidd6660
@davidd6660 2 жыл бұрын
I have to say. The juxtaposition of your stone cold serious commentary on what could be the end of our species combined with use of "yeeting" as a verb to describe a drunken Russian lobbing shells at an honest to God nuclear power plant tickled my funny bone in a way only a vodka filled Russian juant through Ukraine possibly could. God help us all.
@MrFYGY
@MrFYGY 2 жыл бұрын
There is no god.
@catnip202xch.
@catnip202xch. 2 жыл бұрын
@@MrFYGY God is dead. And we killed him.
@TechnoMinarchist
@TechnoMinarchist 2 жыл бұрын
A fullblown nuclear strike wouldn't be the end of our species. It'd be the end of modern civilisation. We'd still be around, just in much smaller numbers for several centuries.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
@@MrFYGY tell me youre an atheist without telling me you are an atheist.
@MrFYGY
@MrFYGY 2 жыл бұрын
@@u2beuser714 Ok
@obscureoccultist9158
@obscureoccultist9158 2 жыл бұрын
Never underestimate improvised armor. During the battle of Malawi in the Philippines. Philippines soldiers reinforced their armored vehicles with card board. It actually worked.
@arighteousname5882
@arighteousname5882 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah sure it did
@litletrickster5260
@litletrickster5260 2 жыл бұрын
I highly doubt that's even remotely comparable. The philippines were fighting with poorly supplied isis extremists. Russia is fighting an entire country constantly being supplied by NATO. I highly doubt cope cages and makeshift armor are going to work well if at all.
@RainKing048
@RainKing048 2 жыл бұрын
Difference was the enemy was using antiquated RPG-2s and copies of it. Not modern day AT weapons.
@matts5247
@matts5247 2 жыл бұрын
Drawing the correlation to Pearl Harbor was really insightful. I’m somewhat of an amateur WWII historian and you are exactly right. Obviously it wasn’t just our sanctions on Japan but that coupled with the imperialistic regime of emperor Hirohito But taking a step back and comparing that regime with Russia today, while Putin is not a deity to his people there are a hell of a lot of parallels. Kudos to you for thinking of this or at very least mentioning it.
@BigAl444
@BigAl444 2 жыл бұрын
I was under the impression that Japan was invading other Asian countries for their resources even before the sanction (Japan has few) and wanted to cripple our capabilities in the Pacific to buy time for them to fully take control of that region before we could meddle and stop them first. I've never heard that Pearl Harbor was a basic response to sanctions. I'm not an expert, but much more educated than most. I'm sure sanctions hurt them, but not enough to start a war. It was bigger than that.
@mikemcguire1160
@mikemcguire1160 2 жыл бұрын
@@BigAl444 I basically agree but I would add this. The Pearl Harbor attack was due to the oil embargo which left the Japanese with very limited oil resources. The intended result of the attack was not to force the lifting of the embargo, but to put the US battle fleet out of action, so that the Japanese would have a free hand in seizing the oil resources of the Duch East Indies, and thus solve their oil supply problem..
@mcelravys
@mcelravys 2 жыл бұрын
Speaking Pearl, I’m there right now and it’s a ghost town. The fleet is at sea. Last week they’d just gotten back in and were in need of some rust control..
@chrischong6613
@chrischong6613 2 жыл бұрын
Another parallel to draw from Imperial Japan is their pattern of aggression prior to WWII. In the decades leading up to Japan bombing Pearl Harbor it had already fought wars to conquer Sakhalin, Korea, some ex-German colonies and much of China. Even before the first bombs were dropped over Hawaii Japan had already committed countless war crimes and had gotten away with them.
@boobah5643
@boobah5643 2 жыл бұрын
@@chrischong6613 It was my understanding that Japan acquired the German Pacific colonies as their share of the spoils as an Allied nation in the First World War.
@MrLargonaut
@MrLargonaut Жыл бұрын
This is a head trip, seeing a map with pre-occupation Bucha, nobody knowing how fukced those people were.
@peewee102100
@peewee102100 2 жыл бұрын
Cappy, you're knocking it out of the park with these updates. Keep up the good work!
@JoshuaC923
@JoshuaC923 2 жыл бұрын
Gotta say again, the writing and production quality has gone up a few notches since i first followed this channel. Keep up the good work Cappy and team!
@Followme556
@Followme556 2 жыл бұрын
I like the way all the genius military analysts have forgot what a total cluster F the 2003 invasion of Iraq was
@Tadicuslegion78
@Tadicuslegion78 2 жыл бұрын
Tommy Franks and Donald Rumsfeld: You can half ass an invasion, trust us.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
Certain people with weird hats wanted their country protected. And the neocons did their bidding
@FireStormOOO_
@FireStormOOO_ 2 жыл бұрын
Oh the *invasion* was straightforward enough; the "OK what now?" after taking Bahgdad has been two decades of pain.
@lexwaldez
@lexwaldez 2 жыл бұрын
Think of it more as a really, really large live fire training exercise. And clusterfuck is really more of a sliding scale. From one to ten how would you have rated it?
@Tadicuslegion78
@Tadicuslegion78 2 жыл бұрын
@@FireStormOOO_ Tommy Franks: 404 error Rumsfeld: Not my problem Bush: *crickets*
@easytrips3448
@easytrips3448 2 жыл бұрын
What ultimately happened to this infamous convoy?
@bloodybucket213
@bloodybucket213 2 жыл бұрын
Outstanding job as usual Cappy. Thank you. These are some of the more intelligent and level-headed comments I've seen yet. That is due to your thoroughness. (never let the barrels touch)
@jacksmith-vs4ct
@jacksmith-vs4ct 2 жыл бұрын
level headed maybe but still very wrong he was just a grunt after all his analysis is all wrong and weirdly pro russia when russia has just been bluffing with their new tech for years they don't really have any the country has a GDP the size of florida lol the russian military is so corrupt still that most money meant for upgrades just got stolen anyway lol.
@ca6360
@ca6360 2 жыл бұрын
Wow this is Monkey Werx level intel on this if not better
@diabolicwave7238
@diabolicwave7238 2 жыл бұрын
@@jacksmith-vs4ct I mean, honestly? It's pretty credible to think that the Russians are going to keep advising. I'm personally sceptical that the Russians will advance quickly, but if they can cut off the forces in the Donbas like their eastern forces seem to be threatening to that means they're likely to make the fighting more in Russia's favour by far. Most of Ukraine's experienced soldiers are near there.
@Richardparent879
@Richardparent879 2 жыл бұрын
It's been over 35 years since I have been part of a military logistics operation. But it's very clear to me that everyone is missing the point of this poor planning context... Maybe the Russian General's on the ground have decided that they want to deliberately perform badly. The resulting pressure on the Putin regime could lead to him being toppled. This has happened in history many times. But more importantly let's not forget Russian history, the Russo-Japanese war of 1905, military defeat due to over confidence and way too long/over extended supply chain issues... almost saw the regime change as a result of people turning to revolution that almost toppled the Czar!
@alexnahan969
@alexnahan969 2 жыл бұрын
People forget Chechnya so bad. The first Chechen war Russian generals were quiting on the spot. Chechnya is like 1/30th the size of Ukraine and look how long the fighting went on for. Russia is struggling
@aaroncabatingan5238
@aaroncabatingan5238 2 жыл бұрын
That is still terrible. If they initiate the invasion with a disloyal or corrupt officer corps it just means the planning is way worse than expected. One would wonder how Putin with his skill as a KGB operative didn't deal with them before starting this war. People need to stop making excuses for Putin's clusterfuck.
@denispdoyoureallycare7063
@denispdoyoureallycare7063 2 жыл бұрын
Lemme tell you that ukranian army lost. ....twice since 2014. Debaltsevo bowl, as example. Check poor planning context, again.
@visassess8607
@visassess8607 2 жыл бұрын
@@denispdoyoureallycare7063 Fighting rebels or guerilla groups in border regions is not the same as a full scale military invasion of an entire country. Not to mention the support pouring in from NATO, even more than they have been.
@Baraz_Red
@Baraz_Red 2 жыл бұрын
Quite possible. If the military offensive is not working, while Putin will for sure refuse to pull back, the Russian army will forcibly put him aside.
@MRPosserLivestreams
@MRPosserLivestreams 2 жыл бұрын
Thank you for a no BS assessment of the on going conflict and humanitarian crisis in Ukraine. And Mr. Cappy thank you for your service and sacrifices made, serving our country.
@Mreye45
@Mreye45 Жыл бұрын
Is there a follow up to this one? I'm wondering what his thoughts are now.
@williamgray9692
@williamgray9692 2 жыл бұрын
Everything points to this not being a tactical pause for the Russians and is indeed stalled
@Zinger3030
@Zinger3030 2 жыл бұрын
Yeah, that would have still made sense if it was a day or two, not 8. 🤣
@0akland510
@0akland510 2 жыл бұрын
Let’s remember, this barely a quarter of their fighting force. They still have more waves of forces to activate.
@NoobieToob
@NoobieToob 2 жыл бұрын
@T2 shoo, troll
@Michael-wo6ld
@Michael-wo6ld 2 жыл бұрын
@@0akland510 They've already mobilized 100% of their prepared forces according to US intelligence, and throwing unprepared conscripts into a mess is what got them into this to begin with.
@trazyntheinfinite9895
@trazyntheinfinite9895 2 жыл бұрын
@@0akland510 yeah and at some point you get to a point where you will never recoup what you lost
@MrScootmcg
@MrScootmcg 2 жыл бұрын
The parallels with the first Chechen war are starting to emerge. That conflict largely ended because the Russian public would no longer tolerate the high casualty rates. They were also able to flatten Grozny out of view of the worlds media which is not a luxury they will have this time.
@BeingFireRetardant
@BeingFireRetardant 2 жыл бұрын
Which is why it's so weird that the Chechens are down with Russians to begin with, given 1994.
@realdacarnival
@realdacarnival 2 жыл бұрын
@@BeingFireRetardant ​ because separatists of 1994 were also terrorists. So there was the second chechen war.
@deadman00124
@deadman00124 2 жыл бұрын
@@BeingFireRetardant Russia pulled out completely in late 2000's after installing a pro russian military and police force. there was a lot of fighting from "separatists" however these where anti Russian and eventually called a ceasefire.
@-Turtl3_
@-Turtl3_ 2 жыл бұрын
@@BeingFireRetardant Not all of the Chechens are supporting Russia, this video mentions two groups of Chechen soldiers supporting Ukraine: kzbin.info/www/bejne/e4ukmWl4nMl8rNU
@deanodog3667
@deanodog3667 2 жыл бұрын
Chechens had faith on their side , Ukrainians arent chechens!!
@John-jq1on
@John-jq1on 2 жыл бұрын
As I listened to the media reports, I couldn't shake the feeling that their reporting was missing some key elements. Your analysis has answered many of my questions though to be frank it has also raised my apprehensions, which is hardly your fault. Thanks for a great sitrep!
@JB-xj4rn
@JB-xj4rn 2 жыл бұрын
The US did install zolensky through a coup.
@ikechukwuokafor2844
@ikechukwuokafor2844 2 жыл бұрын
@@JB-xj4rn yup and the evidence is available for all to see
@hrvojeprebisalic9302
@hrvojeprebisalic9302 2 жыл бұрын
@@JB-xj4rn If you dont know the President's name,whay bother to comment?
@FelisImpurrator
@FelisImpurrator 2 жыл бұрын
@@JB-xj4rn Prove it. I know you conspiracy bots never will, though.
@laysdong
@laysdong 2 жыл бұрын
You mean the nightly news couldn't get all this info in during a two minute segment? Must be a conspiracy
@PosthumousAddress
@PosthumousAddress 2 жыл бұрын
It also hasn't aged well in that he says the sanctions are 'unfair' and 'too harsh' and will lead to World War 3. Literally, he said these sanctions (which have caused such a systemic shock to the Russian economy that their ability to manufacture new weapons, which rely massively on imported tech like chips, optical devices and CNC milling machines, has basically collapsed... as has their ability to afford the war, or replace the equipment). Most of the Ukraine subject videos from this guy I've noticed have a particular pro-Russian bent, like the idiots online who for weeks (and still some) claimed the reason Russia was getting its arse kicked so bad was actually this genius strategy of sending in the shitty conscripts first as cannon fodder to wear down the Ukrainians. Not only would it be a dumb strategy, it's also demonstrably untrue (Russia attempted on the first few days to use VDV parachutist troops, who were slaughtered in the hundreds when they attempted an unsupported heliborne air assault on Hostomel airport, and another one where two entire transport planes filled with VDV elite troops were shot down by Ukrainian air defences). It's really not that mysterious, he probably has a pro-Russian sympathy because he's extremely right-wing (like Bannon and Tucker Carlson). The less likely but still possible is that he's a paid Russian shill.
@klesh13xd14
@klesh13xd14 2 жыл бұрын
You have clearly found pro-Russianness where there is none. You are most likely either a fool or a Ukrainian who does not accept statements from neutral points of view.
@paulberry2360
@paulberry2360 2 жыл бұрын
Great work, thank you for taking the time to put together your analysis. So difficult to get a balanced view when "the first casualty of war is the truth"
@dunyasavaslari325
@dunyasavaslari325 2 жыл бұрын
kzbin.info/www/bejne/eojHppmojquaY7c,,
@spugggaldon361
@spugggaldon361 2 жыл бұрын
A balanced, non-partisan (as far as possible) and well informed presentation on the obscenely complicated situation. This was refreshing. Well done
@MaverickHeloPilot
@MaverickHeloPilot 2 жыл бұрын
You're right about every military sucking, I vividly remember getting to my first squadron and thinking to myself "you mean to tell me the Chinese and Russians aren't better than THIS??"
@helloworld2784
@helloworld2784 2 жыл бұрын
Russia and China is the 2nd and 3rd country that has strongest military. For a 2nd country vs a small country like Ukraine, they're doing a horrible job..
@GeirAndreTonning
@GeirAndreTonning 2 жыл бұрын
They're much better than what all this propaganda channels, whole mainstream media and lot's and lot's of people on KZbin and others has falling for propaganda, am x-military Nato veteran myselfe but also fought with russian soldiers as kontractnik for Russia 1994-1995 and well i have BB's east and west, and Ukraine is about to collapse military totally, but propaganda like this and much worse propaganda,
@jcoats1203
@jcoats1203 2 жыл бұрын
Geir Andrè Tonning Bullshit!
@billybenefield1469
@billybenefield1469 2 жыл бұрын
@@helloworld2784 conscription sucks lol, you end up with a lot of people who don't belong on the battlefield.
@GeirAndreTonning
@GeirAndreTonning 2 жыл бұрын
@@jcoats1203 bullshitt? 😁😅🤣😂 maybe you don't have a history and you are jealous of other people who has an history, but you probably are indoctrinated by your fascist government and the rotten dictatorship USA and Nato has become 🤔
@PeterPan-ev7dr
@PeterPan-ev7dr 2 жыл бұрын
13 days ago and still no convoy in Kiev ..
@ekeke7125
@ekeke7125 2 жыл бұрын
I don't think your analysis is right about the convoy but then I have no proof and it might be just my wishful thinking. Most news sources talk about the convoy as not really a single coherent unit but multiple envoys that got stuck in a chain reaction of breakdowns and fuel/food shortages and are being abandoned and harassed by Ukrainians. But as I said, that might be just my wishful thinking.
@jleif7736
@jleif7736 2 жыл бұрын
If you are constantly seeing positive things about Ukraine, and those same sources are constantly talking about how bad Russia is, and how they're losing the war. You probably are getting your news from somebody who is biased, and is spreading nonsense. Even the Ukrainian Government was spreading the lie that the "13 killed on Snake Island" were hero's and blah blah blah. Those people on Snake Island never died. Ukraine may be the victim and is being invaded, but they aren't so high and mighty themselves. Both sides are bad in my eyes.
@kaustubhlunawat7827
@kaustubhlunawat7827 2 жыл бұрын
@@jleif7736 Yep an year ago the same media who is making hero out of Zelensky was painting him as the demon of Europe but now are trying to lick his feet lol.
@jleif7736
@jleif7736 2 жыл бұрын
@@Wyomingchief I mean he's getting his facts from a website that is nonbiased and shows what's real from both sides of the aisle. It sounds like you are regurgitating what the mainstream media is saying. I promise you, if things weren't going smooth for Russia, the President of Ukraine wouldn't be begging NATO and America to help them.
@MichaelDavis-mk4me
@MichaelDavis-mk4me 2 жыл бұрын
@@kaustubhlunawat7827 Painting him as a demon for which reason? Zelensky didn't invoke much hatred or love from the media before the invasion. Some people mocked him for being a comedian back in the day, but that's about it.
@ramrod9556
@ramrod9556 2 жыл бұрын
At this stage of the conflict there is no great purpose in taking over control of the the major cities. The positioning of that convoy has tied up large amounts of the Ukrainian military for minimal cost while the forces in the south and east of the country have encircled and trapped the Ukraine forces there. Remember also that the Ukraine people are considered to actually be mostly ethnic Russians so the Russians will not want needless casualties.
@psychohist
@psychohist 2 жыл бұрын
The Russian ruble plummeted in value before the sanctions were rolled out. The sanctions are severe, but they weren't the main cause of ruble devaluation - that was the result of the Russian invasion itself.
@Kai-xs8ol
@Kai-xs8ol 2 жыл бұрын
🤣
@victorzvyagintsev1325
@victorzvyagintsev1325 2 жыл бұрын
Foreign exchange does not equal inflation. For example, if looking from the reverse side of things, now the Dollar is worth more Rubles than it used to, does it really mean that the purchacing power of the dollars in your pocket went up?
@taxatollah
@taxatollah 2 жыл бұрын
The markets anticipate and price in the future. If the sanctions had been less severe, then the ruble would have rallied right back.
@aaroncabatingan5238
@aaroncabatingan5238 2 жыл бұрын
Cope. The reason why the ruble went down before the sanctions is because everyone is expecting some sort of western retaliation.
@rob2estonia
@rob2estonia 2 жыл бұрын
Thanks for the update video on the war in Ukraine! You seem to be right about the overall Russian army strategy to sit and shell these cities for several days before attempting another assault. The optimistic West wants to believe that the halt of the convoy is evidence of a failed attack. I'm also rooting for the Ukrainians, but truth is what matters most. Keep it up!
@svrcko01
@svrcko01 2 жыл бұрын
Give us videos more often, this is the most realistic view on this war on youtube. Keep god job.
@acem82
@acem82 2 жыл бұрын
This is the best (most unbiased) coverage of this conflict I've seen. Keep it up.
@barryhamm3414
@barryhamm3414 2 жыл бұрын
The Russian economy in 2020 was only slightly larger than that of Australia and smaller than the combined economies of Australia and New Zealand. It currently has a significant military partly because of equipment from the Soviet era and partly by restricting the civilian economy. How big the Russian economy is now is any body's guess but certainly smaller and shrinking.. My point is that there is a hard limit on how long the Russian's can wage war, the supply of Soviet era equipment that, although huge is finite and how will the population react to a falling standard of living.
@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204
@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204 2 жыл бұрын
And there you hav e it ww3
@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204
@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204 2 жыл бұрын
And then*
@alexanderlipowsky6055
@alexanderlipowsky6055 2 жыл бұрын
@@didyoumissedmegobareatersk2204 so no matter what we are in ww3? or should the ukrainians just keel over and die?
@MrZlocktar
@MrZlocktar 2 жыл бұрын
@@alexanderlipowsky6055 Why they should die? Just what kind of bs are you believing in right now? Some sort of genocide bs? You can't be serious..
@Muritaipet
@Muritaipet 2 жыл бұрын
As a New Zealander I read that and said "What?!!!!!". Having checked it out, I see you are right but.... I think this is a case where we need to consider PPP (Purchasing Power Parity). In that case the combined economies of Australia and NZ are about $1.7 trillion. The Russian are worth about $4.3 trillion. That makes more sense, especially factoring 145 million Russians vs 30 mil in Aus/NZ. Your thoughts?
@badgerdad777
@badgerdad777 2 жыл бұрын
It's easy to watch all the positive information coming out of Ukraine in the hopes that it is true. You give a balanced approach showing more of the reality. We are either in WWiiI or we are not. Best to find out sooner than later.
@keystothetruth
@keystothetruth 2 жыл бұрын
Best Analysis so far! When can you do an update?
@sdr24
@sdr24 2 жыл бұрын
The channel - “Military Aviation History” just released a full analysis of the idea of a no-fly zone. Of course, it says the obvious stuff about World War III, but it also points out that NATO would be operating at a disadvantage against Russia in the skies over Ukraine. The nearest NATO airbases are further away from the conflict area than Russia’s are for one thing. For another, Russian aircraft would be operating within formidable Russian ground-based anti-aircraft bubbles which NATO would not be able to immediately match. So far, the USA has only operated no-fly zones where it has total air supremacy. And it seems very unlikely that NATO would have that in the sky over Ukraine. Even if we undertook the time-consuming and expensive process of creating additional air bases in Poland, Hungary and Romania. Better to just keep sending in lots of anti-air assets to the Ukrainian army.
@johnmadsen37
@johnmadsen37 2 жыл бұрын
Fast and cheap. And extremely effective. They can blow everything up but people scatter and regroup. An occupation could only work by eliminating every single Ukrainian. So if they can keep supplied, how many times do they want to bomb the same building …
@oldfrend
@oldfrend 2 жыл бұрын
yeah people calling for a no fly zone have no idea of the complexity of the situation. NATO f-35s would be ideal SEAD platforms, but i have no idea if they're even capable of firing HARMs. and s-400s have long enough range that they can cover a lot of ukraine even if they were based in belarus or russia where we cant touch them. we could do it, but it would be painful.
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
@@oldfrend s-400 is bad in todays russian standards they have s-500 prometheus now that shit can detect an aircraft almost 500 km away
@ostiariusalpha
@ostiariusalpha 2 жыл бұрын
@@oldfrend We can absolutely "touch" them there, we have these things called cruise missiles. Any missile launch is observable by satellite, and can be tracked and targeted.
@ShreddySteve
@ShreddySteve 2 жыл бұрын
Yes, he made an excellent video on the no fly zone.
@dylanwight5764
@dylanwight5764 2 жыл бұрын
The media may see a stalled convoy. Logicians may see a breakdown in the supply chain. But a ground attack pilot sees a target rich environment. And I see a conspicuous lack of credible anti-air defense should Ukraine _somehow_ get its hands on, oh, I don't know, a potent SEAD capable fleet of Mig-29s from just across a particular border with a nation sympathetic to Ukraine's cause. Yes this was just an excuse to say "potent seed" in a youtube comment.
@oskrm
@oskrm 2 жыл бұрын
"But a ground attack pilot" knows better than to attack a huge enemy formation without having destroyed their AA.
@TechnoMinarchist
@TechnoMinarchist 2 жыл бұрын
@@oskrm Unless said pilot is in an F35 outfitted for long range ATG.
@verdebusterAP
@verdebusterAP 2 жыл бұрын
If the US was attacking EA-18G would be suppressing while F-16CJ with HARMs knocks out the Panstir S-1 and Tunguska with 4 F-15Es loaded with 28 GBU-53s or 15 GBU-38s for the initial attack with 4 A-10s for the secondary attack with F-22s in top cover All in All The US would end that convoy in under a hour or less
@u2beuser714
@u2beuser714 2 жыл бұрын
Russia wouldnt roll the supply trucks without knowing the ukrainian airforce is no more
@oskrm
@oskrm 2 жыл бұрын
@@TechnoMinarchist @verdebusterAP And just like that we are back playing with rocks
@ohlordy9680
@ohlordy9680 2 жыл бұрын
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