Ukraine's Nazi problem and Coming Civil War

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The Forerunner

The Forerunner

Күн бұрын

Article: www.forereunne...
The Nazi problem has only increased since 2022 and must be addressed. Although it sounds cruel, self-cleansing through civil war is the ideal way.
1. The RU-UA wаr is going full speed, but seems to be close to the breaking point where things will go differently from how it was a year ago. This wаr is the biggest since WWII in terms of countries involved, if you add Iran, China, North Korea, Turkey (which helps both parties) -- namely, 31 NATO members and allies vs. Russia and allies. However, there is some evidence of fracture with Hungary, Turkey, Slovakia, and the Netherlands.
2. Data on the number of total casualties of both sides has been suppressed, but we are speaking of a death toll of 500-600K and close to a million wounded and that is a very moderate appraisal. The range of the weapons used on the battlefield includes nearly everything from firearms to ballistic and cruise missiles, jet fighters and bombers, Russia's navy, numerous drones, AI technology, etc.
3. The wаr seems to be stuck and the current frontline is more or less stable. However, behind the scenes, there is the tiredness of UA and inability of the West to fund the current speed of the conflict.
4. Ukraine needs more and more financial support, equipment, ammo, and supplies. On the other hand, RU with its allies procures all of the above-mentioned. Thus there is no reason to stop the front line where it is now from the RU standpoint. We still see a lot of discussions on whether the US and NATO will send more arms and funds but nobody is talking about how and when the wаr ends. Peace is imminent (like it or not) but sustainable peace is possible only if the causes of the conflict are eliminated.
5. What are the causes of this conflict? Prior to the 2014 Euro-Maidan coup, which overthrew the Ukraine government in favor of an ultra-nationalist ideology, UA society was deeply divided. Approximately 50 percent of those wanted to continue going the "western way" and 50 percent who wanted to develop further relations with RU or, at least, to be neutral. The division is still reflected in every aspect of UA life - education (the ban on Russian and other languages in schools and universities), religion (persecution of the traditional Orthodox church), policy (the ban on many political parties starting from the Communist party and parties and blocks representing the Eastern part of UA), economics (volunteering to leave the RU market with all customs preferring UA companies and an attempt to join the EU by means of a free-trade zone with a number of limitations), armed forced (de facto membership in NATO), etc. Neglecting the UA constitution and changing the neutral status of the UA only boosted this division. Using "democratic" slogans, one part of the nationalist UA society oppressed and dehumanized the other part -- the side that leaned toward Russia or neutrality.
6. It is the fact that in 2014, power in the UA was illegally seized by a group of aggressive ultra-nationalists who paved the way to a сivil conflict when the part of Ukraine that didn't accept the 2014 Maidan coup regime rose against the new authorities. In fact, we saw the start of a civil wаr in UA in 2014. One may say that it has been a UA-RU wаr, but I insist it has been a proxy war in which UA was backed and supported by NATO and Donbass by RU.
7. Now another civil wаr WITHIN Ukraine proper seems to be imminent nor matter who will win. It may be ethnic/language/religious genocide if UA is seen as winning -- or a classic civil wаr of one side's worldview and values against the opposite. In the first scenario - UA will be willing to get rid of the "non-loyal" RU-oriented part of the citizens. In the second scenario - RU will need to get rid of Nаzis in government at all levels as well as those Nazi militias who participated in wаr crimes in Donbass since 2014.
8. No army in the world or even special services are designed to carry out internal processes in any society. Tanks can not find spies and smart bombs can't find and select friends from enemies. Police and special services only work when the scale of the conflict is at a very moderate level. Otherwise, they can be targets as well. So only the healthy part of the society can turn its immunity on and win against the wicked, diseased part. That is the natural way and we have a good example of post-WWII Germany.
9. Last but not least, a civil wаr is also a cheaper kind of wаr than the current conflict and needs only a smaller amount of heavy weaponry. That may be attractive to the UA if it loses the war. It will be seen as needed for RU if it takes big stakes of UA territory in the future.
10. In more common sense, UA became a test case where we saw how a relatively free and democratic state could turn into tyranny oppressing its own citizens by seizing their rights and trading their lives for cash flow. Literally.

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