Victory Day in Russia: Putin's Four Potential Strategies for the War in Ukraine

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Victory Day, the holiday celebrating the end of World War II, is fast approaching in Russia. Many are speculation that Vladimir Putin might use the event to make a big announcement regarding the war in Ukraine. What might that be? This video examines four possibilities.
0:00 Introduction
1:06 Escalate the War
3:46 Do Nothing
5:15 Declare Victory
6:39 Will Ukraine Let Russia Declare Victory?
7:58 No Show
Images licensed under CC BY 4.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
By Kremlin.ru:
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By Mil.ru
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Images licensed under CC BY 2.0 (creativecommons.org/licenses/...
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[@musicvoice3030]

Speaking as a Ukrainian here, we would not give up any of our territory. We are fed up with all this imperialistic nonsense. The war will end only when they leave Crimea

[@timothymiddleton6651]

Nations are empires on a smaller scale…

[@PhantomOfManyTopics]

Crimea was transferred to you in 1954 to solve paperwork issues. You don't have ANY historic claim.

[@sharknado623]

Zelensky said "pre 23 February". Do you think he will give up Crimea? How will you take it?

[@drozdforce8853]

@@sharknado623 yes, they cant take crimea, they would basically have to terrorize crimean people like russians are terrorizing ukanians now, it would be insane

[@sharknado623]

@@drozdforce8853 I beg your pardon, Crimea is not Russian. My comment was NOT a comment in favour of a Russian Crimea.

[@honorabilismster1623]

It should be noted that Ceausescu wasn't just ousted from power... he was hastily trialed and executed by the military, along with his wife.

[@rogerjohnson2562]

I second the wish

[@mgadriescu]

True, I was 17 and watch it almost live on tv

[@Darth_Chicken]

@@brindusacristina4877 We were so happy for you over here in the UK. I went on a school trip to Romania in 1974 and you could see pairs of people standing watching us and the locals would not go near us as they knew they were watching. I'd like to see it again one day.

[@Draculas-knight]

We also wanted his kids , but we chilled out :)

[@TomorrowWeLive]

Hope Putin suffers the same

[@tomcruise8603]

I don’t know why Russia thinks that if you speak Russian by force you have to be part of Russia almost all of Latin America speaks Spanish and they are not part of Spain they are independent countries but Putin thinks differently which I think will be his downfall

[@GotikaCepesh]

forced to speak russian, what?...

[@tomcruise8603]

@@GotikaCepesh I didn’t mean it that way I meant that if you speak Russian that means that you have to belong or be part of Russia by force not that you are are forced to speak Russian sorry for that hope you understand

[@mykhailo4472]

@@GotikaCepesh historically Tom is right. (even if he misspoke=) When Ukrainian territory was conquered and occupied by ru empire (and later again by soviets) policy of russification by various means. - totally 60 bans of Ukrainian language. - many cases of deportations elocations of Ukrainians(&Tatars from Crimea) to east frontiers of empire (Siberia,Caucasus etc). - repopulation of UA territories by settlers from Russia. Its not unique solo for Ukraine. For example, Kazakhstan have same problems, today maybe even more.

[@Rick-vc4xn]

Thank you it couldn’t be said better

[@GotikaCepesh]

​@@mykhailo4472 Yes, but the fact is that ukrainians who speak russian have always been and always will be, despite ukrainianization or russification, just as ukrainianization and russification are and will be, cuz it is difficult to separate russian and Ukrainian. I as an ordinary ukrainian who just lives his life, don't care what years there was russification cuz of which many ukrainians speak russian now, I just want to speak russian, cuz it's convenient for me, it's my native language. I hope after the war our government and many people will not prevent this, cuz it will cause difficulties for many Ukrainians. Politics can't decide for me how I should speak 😮‍💨

[@eastafrica1020]

He might burst into tears when seeing how few tanks and soldiers he has left over when counting them during the parade.

[@SoloRenegade]

bet there will be a lot of cardboard mockups in the parade. the real stuff is on its way to Ukraine for disposal.

[@rogerjohnson2562]

I agree with the sentiment, but sadly Pukler has many more tanks and soldiers that haven't even been in the fight than will fit in the parade.

[@Carewolf]

He has the conscripts and the new "modern" T-14 tanks that are only suitable for parades.

[@deonipinla2988]

😂😂😆😆

[@pataki2666]

@@Carewolf barely* suitable

[@harczymarczy]

What "nazi" or "fascist" exactly means in this context, it's up to Russia, but it's no miracle that the West thinks something different about the alleged "nazis". The big difference is that this is not the Great Patriotic War (aka the Eastern front of WW2) in which the Wehrmacht had marched way outside Germany's international borders. This is another war in which Russia invaded the internationally recognized territory of a sovereign state called Ukraine.

[@mikeceebo8611]

The only fascists in the Ukraine are the Russians themselves

[@essardaudinett6934]

As sovereign as the Solomon Islands.

[@a64738]

Both Ukraine and Russia calls the other side Nazi and Fascist and Ukrainians even more so then Russians... I am afraid this will be a long war as Ukraine will not stop until they win or is totally destroyed.

[@djcubical]

This parade symbolizes Russia's victory against the Nazi's during WW2. This war in Ukraine was started because the United States staged a coup in Ukraine in 2014. You know overthrowing democratically elected leaders like in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, millions of people dead all based on lies? Or have you forgotten? Seems like you only care when people with your skin color are being killed. But when the US dropped nukes on Hiroshima and Nagasaki or occupied the holy lands committing unfathomable atrocities on browns you don't give a damn. Why would you? I laugh when people like yourself say "nazi's."

[@nigelstansfield1644]

Don't know what that means.Are the Solomon Islands thinking of nuking Russia?

[@Donkeyearsa]

It would be as funny as all hell if Ukraine started a major offense attack during Sunday night Monday morning just to make Puten look bad for the day. This does not need to be a full out attack but lots of rades to do as much quick damage as possible that does not undermind Ukraines position in its defense or offense for the over all war. It's just to give Puten a black eye for the day.

[@joespradley5350]

Yes it would

[@seamusobrien2675]

and Mr Zelensky is a trained comedian, Just saying

[@karsten27027]

I think that is very likely. Maybe they go for the bridge.

[@timcasady4750]

@Al McGee How so ?

[@themackie2763]

@@timcasady4750 he has a communist USA flag… wouldn’t listen to him

[@gregoryjones5763]

The “institutional restraints” are clearly limited by the level of opposition within the Russian government. He has “quietly” eliminated all substantive opposition in the government over the past 10 years.

[@OrdoMallius]

Zelensky arrested all of his opposition before the war.

[@manufer2]

@@OrdoMallius I never heard about that, can you give us some sources so we can check it out ?

[@OrdoMallius]

@@manufer2 Around Mart 2020 look it up

[@bremeartic8650]

@@manufer2 clearly you don't watch the news.... just MSN :D

[@fatimabeirao4714]

@@OrdoMallius For sure , because they were "the political arm" of Vladimir Putin in Ukraine, which means that President Zelensky had a strong enemy in his house.

[@drfiberglass]

I find this amazing. Germany was the aggressor back in WW II now it looks like Putin is the aggressor now. How ironic...

[@aeganratheesh]

Not really

[@jimboswell4818]

I agree Putin is a murderer.

[@Michal_Peterka]

USSR was aggressor in WWII too - invaded Poland, Finland and Baltic states.

[@deetron3784]

how ironic is that nobody talks so much about USA , they are aggressors al those last decades, wrecked up many countries and nobody gives a f*ck about this.

[@maximilianodelrio]

@@Michal_Peterka he obviously means in the contexto of the great patriotic war

[@RichardTaylor1630]

Or how about an "accidental fire" detonating one or more of the missiles being paraded around the Square? Bring a little Mariupol to Moscow!

[@salahabdalla368]

You want WWIII? or do you want Ukraine to be nuked?

[@Aurelien_]

I understand the urge to get revenge, but you will just increase exponentially the shitstorm.

[@David_B_Dornburg]

None of the parade missiles are live. They don't have active warheads in them. Even Putin wouldn't be that dumb, just one going off accidentally would level Moscow.

[@geraldovicofslavia1832]

Then Russia will drop a small tactical nuke on Kiev wipping the city of the face of the planet

[@ayeyoe2306]

This war is shameful. Wishing Peace to all the innocent being slaughtered in Ukraine and to all the millions of refugees being displaced from their own country by a Russian Dictator.

[@spaniel5657]

This is like Australia/America declaring war on NZ/Canada, I would kill my superiors if I was fighting my little brother

[@michael_dugan]

Used to watch your videos back when I was taking a game theory course in college. Had no idea you were covering the conflict. Just happened to stumble upon this video

[@moonmunster]

Putin doesn't need Victory Day to escalate the war.

[@greghinerman5935]

general Patton was right... when Germany surrendered, we should have stayed and finished the job

[@tverachtert5421]

Certainly so.

[@silvernoob1603]

that's why they got rid of patton in a very suspicious car accident

[@AntiDegenerate1971]

America would have been branded as the biggest backstabbing rat of ww2 in that case, worse than germany. And not to mention america and UK would have lost, the soviets would have taken western europe easily, they had the biggest army at that point. There 's a reason why patton was removed, churchill and roosevelt knew he wad drunk on bolshevik hatred and the costs of fighting the USSR were too much for the west.

[@ablorenz]

wdym

[@keegandecker4080]

The possibility of a mystery coup leader is the most interesting because if I know Russia, I know that there’s constantly 8 coup attempts juggling around the kremlin at any one time. I’ll hedge my bets on the unlikely outcome of a no show.

[@haydnbrewer7426]

You know do you? If you were privy to that kind of information you wouldn’t be commenting about it

[@keegandecker4080]

@@haydnbrewer7426 everyone’s privy. It’s the explosions all around Russia that don’t add up. Especially Moscow. Who the hell is doing it? If it’s external, Putin will probably declare war. But if it’s an internal threat, things might get unorthodox.

[@Yuki_Ika7]

You wanna know what would be a good possible leader to take over Russia? Alexei Navalny! Am i saying He might be behind a Coup plot? nothing confirmed, but would he be better than Putin? Yes.

[@olympia5758]

"constantly 8 coup attempts." Yeah, sure buddy. A coup is more likely to happen in the US. There was a failed one just last year.

[@robertsteiner4696]

If you call January 6th a Coup attempt I really doubt you have any room at all to comment on military affairs. Western stupidity and ignorance seemingly has as endless of a boundary as Russia's incompetence.

[@murraycramp3947]

He could offer an armistice. Claim to be seeking peace. Watch it get rejected. Then declare that there is no choice but to go to full mobilisation. This might take a couple of weeks or so to pan out.

[@romanianturk2101]

That is the most realistic take I've ever seen. Let's see how this pans out

[@jld593]

Thank you. Was going to post something similar

[@Wolf-oc6tx]

And all factors considered he might actually want to have it accepted, especially considering that the world needs to pivot to counter the CCP and he hasn't been fully getting along with them.

[@murraycramp3947]

@@Wolf-oc6tx unless Ukraine decides it's okay to give up territory and concede to aggression, they will reject. Russia is unlikely to accept going back to pre 24 February lines.

[@Wolf-oc6tx]

@@murraycramp3947 I figured before watching the video that Ukraine wouldn't agree to anything, I also figured(based on factors like; NATO's eastward expansion, all of the shadowy forces being exposed in Ukraine and the West and the way people like the Clinton's have been encouraging hatred towards Russian's) that Putin's actions might be based in fear of Russia being sidelined or worse then any territorial gains.

[@pablokoko2154]

All the best and GB Ukraine 🇺🇦 🇮🇱

[@rzmonk76]

Thank you for taking the time to research this, and then sharing your work with us! Normally this might only be available to senior military officers, government officials, and niche college classes.

[@johnsparling7007]

Pig day 🤣😂🤣

[@jamestakac8951]

. I understand the point (I think) you are trying to put forward. Russia does ***not respect*** the history and sovereignty of your nation. They are acting like the WW2 version of Germany that saw itself as the arbiter of all that is good.. History teaches us (if we actually pay attention) that good and evil are subjective not only upon the society of the time but also upon the individuals within it

[@fatimabeirao4714]

@@jamestakac8951 I’m really sorry to say, but, given the human atrocities that have been committed by Vladimir Putin's political regime in its invasion of Ukraine, we can never consider that "good and evil are subjective". In the present case of the war in Ukraine, EVIL is VERY VISIBLE and CONCRETE, it has nothing subjective. Murdering civilians, including children, completely destroying a country's infrastructure in about 2 months is HUMAN EVIL completely EQUATED with the ATROCITIES committed by the political regime of ADOLF HITLER, during the II WORLD WAR . Hitler killed millions of Jews and waged war invoking to purge the human race to obtain a superior human race. Vladimir Putin is waging a barbaric and illegal war, claiming to want to rebuild an empire he calls MOTHER RUSSIA, and for that he wants to eliminate those who want to be Ukrainians and want to live in his independent country, which has been independent for 30 years. 77 years after the end of AN AUTHENTIC EVIL HITLER'S POLITICAL we witness the RENAISSANCE of A NEW PURE EVIL, personified in the POLITICAL REGIME of VLADIMIR PUTIN. AND EVERYONE of the GOOD MUST put an END to the EVIL that PUTIN is COMMITTING on PLANET EARTH. And proof of this need is that the terrible political force of Vladimir Putin already has its "arms of this policy" spread over many other parts of the planet, such as in several European countries and even in the American continent.

[@charitybanda4008]

9 May 2022, for Puttin should be a "Rememberance day" for the innocent servicemen and women and all his generals he took to be slaughtered. Freedom for Ukraine 🇺🇦

[@windyhillbomber]

The reality is that whatever messages will be sent to the Russian populace on May 9 will never reflect the reality of Russia’s humiliation in its war against an undermanned opponent nor the fact that Putin has consigned the country to essentially decades of economic hardship. You go Vlad you good thing!

[@romanianturk2101]

Ukraine was not "undermanned" they have 900 thousand soldiers, Plus, they're drafting soldiers more extreme than the soviets did. That's a lot of mp modifiers if you ask me 😳

[@windyhillbomber]

@@romanianturk2101 other than that was my grammar ok?

[@romanianturk2101]

@@vredacted3125 Rus = East Slav.

[@windyhillbomber]

@@vredacted3125 that’s interesting thank you

[@TheGothicdolphin]

Every News outlet and KZbin story reporting on Ukraine/Russian war and those countries assisting Ukraine with a continuous supply of weapons- Often fail to credit Japan's aid but ALWAYS overlook Australia's immense contributions!? As an American, I would like to give appreciation and recognition to AUSTRALIA'S generous support to Ukraine and Democracy and their FRIENDSHIP with the United States!!

[@seamusobrien2675]

gosh thanks mate, we will send over another three off fully sick optioned up roaders, I'll let Scot know you love his work (as no one here does and he is really feeling it) Kiss kiss.

[@scetchport]

Thanks a lot, we ALREADY have a huge target over us !!!

[@NataliaSolina]

As an American you don’t have even right to talk and should feel shame in front of Iraq, Libya, Yemen, Afghanistan and many other countries you destroyed. And feel Shame in front of Russian and Ukrainian people. Because what they are facing now it’s just dirty games of USA. And you know this 100%

[@seamusobrien2675]

@@NataliaSolina oi cobber, you lot are going down, you are on the wrong side of history, only people dumb as rocks believe state propaganda.

[@daniellehirschausen8908]

Gidday mate THANK YOU VERY MUCH ON YOUR GREAT COMMENT ABOUT THE AUSSIES HELP. Come over and give us a visit one day , hopefully in a peace full time ! Us aussies love the world and only want prosperity peace goodwill for all ! God bless you KOO WEE mate

[@manickn6819]

My guess is just more of "its going to plan" and "don't try and stop me".

[@ltbrutusq6202]

RasPUTIN:- "Staff, Where are my thousands of troops & tanks on parade????" Staff:- "Remember Ukraine? We lost thousands of troop & tanks and these are the leftover troops & tank we now have."

[@sharegreats2157]

The Russian balance is not so bad as many think as Tass reports today: "Overall, the following targets have been destroyed since the beginning of the special military operation: 154 aircraft, 115 helicopters, 764 unmanned aerial vehicles, 296 surface-to-air missile systems, 2,902 tanks and other combat armored vehicles, 333 multiple launch rocket systems, 1,378 field artillery guns and mortars and 2,728 special military motor vehicles," the spokesman said."

[@balfourwheatley6644]

Your channel is very informative and well put together. I love deep thinking of “the possibilities” on current geopolitical tensions. Can you possibly do one on Taiwan(U.S) China?

[@ronnyracines7942]

I have an idea for “ Victory Day” A massive military special operation from NATO in Moscow 🇷🇺

[@fluo9576]

Bro do you wanna die?

[@rogerjohnson2562]

Just put Ukraine colors on all the jets/missiles.

[@ronnyracines7942]

@@antoniomanuelcaetano6770 se escribe SOÑAR 🤷🏻‍♂️

[@Aurelien_]

NATO is a defense organization. It has not been attacked by Moscow (yet).

[@ronnyracines7942]

@@Aurelien_ I know but it’s just a “wish a hope “

[@colinwalker3991]

With a bit of luck a sniper will be in red square....

[@stuartgooding7295]

He will roll out tank . borrowed from China 🇨🇳 🤣🤣🤣 .

[@johnlowe8363]

iv like the way you percieve this situation. makes alot of sense,

[@naman6410]

Excellent analysis. Thanks

[@mccoydw]

love your videos. Bought one of your books. Very insightful. I have also felt that Peter Zeihan has some very interesting thoughts. If you are familiar with him, I'd be interested in your take on his analyses.

[@33Verst]

Something else that might happen on Victory Day might be about Moldova or Transnistria probably

[@hugogreen4916]

And kalingrad?

[@sissietaylor9650]

Thank you for sharing

[@sausage4mash]

after listening to your informed video ,I've changed my mind from a declaration of war to declaring victory ,guess we will find out Monday

[@zombie-xj7gc]

There will be a lack of generals

[@GnosticAtheist]

4. A dirty bomb goes of in Moscow as an attempt to blame Ukraine for it like Putin enjoys doing. Sadly his agents did not understand the order and used actual warheads, removing Moscow from the map. Fallout 5 "Russian winters" is released the next year to high praise.

[@FuryanJedi13]

So... Putin's agents attempt a false flag on their own soil, only to screw it up catastrophically and make things worse for themselves? Sounds about right, actually.

[@grantmilne6389]

Thanks!

[@Gametheory101]

This was my first super thanks ever received. Thank you so much! I will always remember it.

[@thomasroblin5186]

Russia wasn’t doing to well until America, and the West started sending them war material (just like they are doing now in Ukraine). So the “Great Patriotic War Parade” theme this year should be “Thank You, America, or we would be speaking German today”.

[@romanianturk2101]

While there is some truth to that, the lend lease was more like 5-10% percent of the Soviet War effort. Keep in mind, the industrial capacities of America and Soviet union was on par with each other.b

[@hal3132]

@@romanianturk2101 that...actually bullshit

[@johnroberts8513]

@@romanianturk2101 Soviet Marshal Georgy Zhukov didn't agree with you: "People say that the allies didn't help us. But it cannot be denied that the Americans sent us materiel without which we could not have formed our reserves or continued the war. The Americans provided vital explosives and gunpowder. And how much steel! Could we really have set up the production of our tanks without American steel? And now they are saying that we had plenty of everything on our own."

[@auggieeast]

@@romanianturk2101 No they weren't. Not even close. That's ahistorical.

[@AntiDegenerate1971]

America and the west's help was negligible imo. 80% of german military deaths were in the eastern front which happened even before america was in the war. So, no the west didn’t really defeat germany, the USSR did, statistics don't lie.

[@abhishekdev258]

I guess Putin wants East Slavic nations to unite. But the best way to do so was to help them in growth and development.

[@anguswaterhouse9255]

The "west" way to do things is to help them grow and develop? lol

[@reverseengineeredbot3387]

@@anguswaterhouse9255 look at any former Soviet country in the EU and NATO and you will the see the difference "lol"

[@anguswaterhouse9255]

@@reverseengineeredbot3387 Yes i know, former Soviet nations in the western block have done better. I think i might have mistook the "west way to do so" as a typo were they meant to say "best". Which is what the west has done, which i now realise was the intention.

[@PhantomOfManyTopics]

Best way for whom? Not Putin.

[@salahabdalla368]

@@reverseengineeredbot3387 Eastern Europe had to be rebuilt from ashes post-WWII cut them some slack

[@ASD-ce3lp]

Every one knows very well about the end of dictators in the world

[@Music-pq8cm]

Ukraine. May 9 would be a good day to send about 20 special forces troops heavily armed to watch a parade

[@rogerjohnson2562]

Agree, but they would have to be suicide troops, and their priest won't promise them 40 virgins.

[@rivkahhoneysgirl5442]

send fireworks to help celebrate

[@danilocairoli3961]

Music, what do you smoke before writing these bullshits?

[@nathanjw940]

Special military operation

[@henryreynes878]

good analysis

[@CC-tb8mn]

Well I highly doubt they will withdraw from the south because I lived in the south at Melitopol and there is 10000’s of flags and victory day banners everywhere we just saw been posted this morning through out the city, currency is also in Rubles and TV/Internet switched and routed to Russia also

[@guillem998]

You moved out?

[@CC-tb8mn]

@@guillem998 no run away lol 😂

[@guillem998]

@@CC-tb8mn you say "lived" and sounded like you were away xd. How is going there? There is certain normality there, or is a Mess?

[@CC-tb8mn]

@@guillem998 I lived here over 6 years with my Wife, I am British, but we left just before they invaded the city to Lviv, most the Wife’s family is still here her parents and sister so in daily contact with them atm, sometimes internet keeps going off in which once was over 10 days we couldn’t contact anyone, a few days ago they had some kind of victory songs and raising of the Russian flags in the city centre and now just propaganda posted on literally every single billboard sign which is maybe every 5/10 meters everywhere which used to show like local shops or sales etc, but now just all 9th May victory banners looks like something from WW2, I highly doubt they will move on from this city be annexed like Crimea

[@guillem998]

@@CC-tb8mn thanks for the answer, best wishes for your wifes family. Im only courious if there is any economic activity over there.

[@ImminghamIronhead]

7:37 This does not look like a man who is about to give away random parts of his country.

[@rogerjohnson2562]

Zelensky said he would put it up to Ukrainians in a referendum.

[@ImminghamIronhead]

@@rogerjohnson2562 I don't doubt it; I also don't doubt the result.

[@saysvr]

We will see

[@benjaminwong2785]

No show is the best strategy for now. One of the passing canons may miss fire at the podium due to poor maintenance.

[@benjaminvmarder6519]

good analysis. also rumors of him dealing with Cancer, could use this time to announce a successor. Doubt he’s gonna do the GWB mission accomplished flag…

[@Gametheory101]

That’s be an interesting twist!

[@salahabdalla368]

@@Gametheory101 I feel like its fake propaganda by the west Its just so random

[@rogerjohnson2562]

I'm not sure Putin cares enough to announce a successor, but it doesn't seem like he has been grooming one...

[@enriquezapata2997]

Ukraine knows where to aim a Misile.

[@keegandecker4080]

That’s why he won’t show his face, I think. We’ll see.

[@salahabdalla368]

and Russia has nukes

[@enriquezapata2997]

@@salahabdalla368 Oh no!!! Like the rest of the World doesn’t have them aiming at Russia already. 🤣💪🏼

[@timcasady4750]

@@salahabdalla368 The whole world is fully aware Russia has nukes as Putin makes the threat of using them daily

[@neeltjebooysen2688]

Time to put a bomb on red square. Pity it is so beautiful.

[@inhocsignovinces8061]

Timothy Snyder (of Yale) calls this a colonialism war, where Russia tried to make Ukraine a vassal state under its rule. According to him, the only viable end result to end such a war (based on historical examples) is for the colonialist country to be exhausted, which translates to Russian being beaten on the battleground in this case.

[@righthandstep5]

Then Russia will lose

[@grizzlyaddams3606]

It won't happen.

[@matrixfull]

yeah that makes sense

[@vromansaltzman5276]

I wish Ukraine had rockets that they could launch on the parade. Might open Russian eyes

[@drfiberglass]

They just might...

[@salahabdalla368]

Thats called terrorism Also Russia will retaliate with WMDs

[@nandhakumar3199]

That's invitation to start full scale war

[@Rafael-ok1uj]

@@nandhakumar3199 It already is a full scale war

[@rofigueroa08]

@@Rafael-ok1uj no it's not , dont buy the propaganda

[@barryrammer7906]

He going to use option 2 see how it pans out. If he pushes his forces more to his southwest. He has plenty of forces there now. Keeping them there is another story. If he escalates using weapons of mass destruction it will galvanize NATO. He know that as a kgb man. Best option for him is to see how it goes in the land bridge area's and pray he can hold on to it. He is in a catch 22 already. Those area's he already captured are going to get counter attacked every day. My opinion he lost already when he did not capture Kiev. Win in a week. The longer it goes the worst it gets. Ukrainians will not stop till he's out of there upto the 2014 success he had. Now NATO will be even stronger Sweden and Finland are going to be full members he scared them into it. He lost already it all or nothing for him now. But to build him a golden bridge out as one Chinese general wrote in a war book we all read. It's going to be impossible now. I believe the only hope for Putin us see how it goes in the land bridge area and if not decair victory he denazifued the area and mission success. Or the alternative is all out war with NATO. He knows he will lose everything then.

[@arminrichardson2837]

U mass be don’t now RUSSHENS u ting RUSSIA skier NATO I tell u same tings RUSSIA worn Nato 20 yers for don’t past red line and now RUSSIA on situation with cunt buckle because deer it NATO came to RUSSIAN borders and if Ukrainian be part of the NATO then there put army bases and missiles from Ukrainian to Moscow take 4.46 sec and that’s de turfs

[@barryrammer7906]

@Anthony agreed 100% I'm not backing poopin just logic. But logic does not always apply to him. You got to ask yourself if you was him why do this in the first place? China egged him on as a sucker. To see how it goes as a dry run for Taiwan. There 3 major parties involved here China Russia Iran. They want to overthrow the American dollar as the world's currency. At they end of the day 1972 Nixon changed it from the gold standard to the petro dollar. If that collapse happens and it probably will. The Americans have an exit strategy go back to the gold standard. Have a moratorium on countries cashing in gold as the USA has most of the world's gold. There much more to this than just an attack on Ukraine. Mico level when you peel back the layers to macro levels this is the game plan. The USA brought it on herself. But there's another option default on all Chinese debt we acquired foolishly because of stupid politicians in all parties. Stop payments to China go to gold standard we have most of the world's gold in Reserves. President Clinton was the last president to have a balance budget. Like him hate him he does hold that honor. The USA brought it on itself foolish spending with both parties. If you are an American we are doomed and for some very hard times a head. If not you be in a economic war you can't win. China stuck to the USA is her biggest customer. Their getting a little big for there britches. You can see this is a struggle for western values or the alternative. Both have flaws but when you lock up 32 million people in a city with hard core tactics and say it's covid I don't want to live like that's. I take the lesser of the two.

[@barryrammer7906]

@Anthony yup and the Solomons. It's not good news. You know there going to take advantage of the Solomons. It's a bribed invasion. There whole goal is a military and naval port there. The will wait until they have a nice big foothold of military troops there. Says it for jobs and employment. Build these bases and cross the Solomons up on a deal with the devil. The people of the Solomons are going to regret this day. Especially when Chinese fishing boats kills there fishing waters and polluted there environment. Nothing we can do now my Australian cousins. There a sovereign nation and made a deal with the devil. They wanted zero pollution and there fishing waters protected. Now they made the worst deal of a lifetime. They will never recover. Unfortunately for them in 4 years they will see what corrupt politicians did to them for money.

[@salahabdalla368]

@Anthony Asking for more money from the US

[@Serveck]

@Anthony thats why shanghai is locked down right now. Obvious population control against an uprising

[@mikefriend1514]

Let’s hope he doesn’t lose a few more generals during the parade.

[@romanianturk2101]

No, you don't just lose Generals randomly, as they are protected and location hidden. Putin is Purging and it's getting bad

[@julioaranton5223]

"Something in the air"/ song of my long-ago?❤

[@heinzheinz5854]

It would be very interesting if the Ukrainians could somehow disturb the parade. Maybe they could set a big fire2-3 Kilometers away from the parade. So that thick black smoke is darkening a large portion of the blue spring sky.

[@burgitech8643]

Strange, why WW2 in Russia is just from 1941 to 1945. Don't they include the war years, where the Soviet union attacked and captured forein coutries, which already started in 1939?

[@stepansraka3608]

Those wars are either conveniently omitted or painted as “saving people from the evul nazis” in russian textbooks.

[@salahabdalla368]

Because the war against the Nazis was there most important war as the USSR

[@TracieSmithpomeranian]

It's beautiful.

[@psychonautsupreme189]

Seeing history unfold with what will happen tomorrow scares me. Im uncertain how life after may 9 will look, with the doomsday plane flying on the day of event, makes me feel like Putin is going to pull something horrific in the next couple months 💀

[@thaiexpress7690]

Offensive operations will be on Russia from Ukraine on May 9

[@speakingwithoutnet]

5th option, declare that the various conquered regions will hold referendums to remain with Ukraine, form their own countries, or join Russia. Russia will obviously remain in the region to ensure the 'legality'of the referendums, and protect them from the Western fascists. Not a declaration of victory, but it allows him to put the Russian army on the defensive, which will limit losses, and any further fighting will 'clearly' be Ukraines fault.

[@RichardTaylor1630]

There are no "Western fascists." The fascists are sitting in Moscow. All of Putin's tactics are identical to those of Goebbels and Hitler.

[@leonardwimbelton8920]

That makes so much fucking sense it's almost scary, I do believe this is what's going to go down in a couple days

[@speakingwithoutnet]

@@RichardTaylor1630 we know that. But the Russian media and government has been screaming 'Fascists' for a while now. Declaring the need to protect people in Eastern Ukraine from facism has been Putins main excuse for the war, why not keep it going?

[@ihorhurnyak7666]

after thousands of actions in support of Ukraine in Kherson and other occupied cities, it does not make sense

[@timg1246]

Do you seriously believe Russia would allow such a referendum if their was no certainty it would go their way ?

[@touring4973]

Interesting analyses! New subscriber here. Thnks!

[@festusjohnson9692]

That day might be be bloody than expected

[@leub01]

This year it will be known as catastrophic failure day. We went but couldn’t conquer a much weaker armed nation. Oh Dear.

[@x.sapphireanimelover.x]

I pray that this war will end

[@rogerjohnson2562]

vote, don't wish

[@kevinwatts9774]

Don't underestimate a dictator especially when he's mad

[@NuncNuncNuncNunc]

The US also has an undeclared war war policy. Congress must declare war which it has not done since 1942. A sudden stalemate seems very unlikely at this stage. It would leave the "nazi" Zelenksy still in power and although Ukraine would not immediately join NATO, there would be a continued influx of weapons and training making a future "special operation" not just unwinnable but likely a losing proposition. I expect a Russian World emphasis which for some reason is rarely mentioned by western analysts. As far as the parade goes, I would not be surprised if a show is made of tactical nukes.

[@redbeard3923]

😅

[@alfonsowenzel3496]

Putin: Zelensky, give me back mi former legions!

[@cybertrade7908]

Putler could declare the 'special operation' over and 'won'. The problem is that it takes 2 sides to end a war and Ukrain might prefer to contine the war..... so it goes om for years.

[@salahabdalla368]

They would just defend the territories they captured, its easier to defend than invade and NATO wont have a justification to keep giving weapons when the war ends

[@SoloRenegade]

russian can't sustain years of these kinds of losses.

[@isabelgeddeshines4059]

I think so to. Then he will occupy eastern Ukraine pretending he is doing it to rebuild

[@JUSTforwhitlisting]

The "do nothing" option was the winner!

[@davidastley5819]

If Vlad decides to stand for the usual parade some body may decide ha dosnt need to stay to the end 💥

[@richardelsy]

I had the pleasure and privilege of attending an operatic performance given by the Ukrainian National Municipal Opera, Kyiv, just last week. This was in a small city in England and there were probably about 700 in the audience. It was an excellent production of Madame Butterfly, and the applause reflected this. After this, the orchestra played the Ukrainian National Anthem which was sung by the cast. The audience reaction was even more enthusiastic. There wasn’t a dry eye in the house. With ambassadors of this calibre, Ukraine will keep its friends, and will make many more. It may sound trivial in the context of the blood being shed, and I apologise if this appears to be the impression given. I’d regard this as a valid exercise in getting a crucial message across and successfully getting support. Slava Ukraini!

[@bluecheese5599]

Tfw more capitalism equals more democracy, and more socialism equals more autocracy

[@Rb39-ej5hh]

I disagree. Russia transitioned from a socialist economic system to a capitalist one in the early 90s and all of the terrible aspects of the USSR, like media censorship, a one party state (de facto), secret police and rampant corruption and nepotism all continue to exist. There are also plenty of authoritarian capitalist states around the world like China and the Philippines. Socialism as it was implemented in the USSR and other alligned states, which was ultimately the legacy of Stalin, was inherently autorcratic, but it wasn't autocratic, because it was socialist. Stalin could have presided over a capitalist Russian state and still have been a ruthless dictator in an authoritarian regieme. Besides a few crazy people, no one wants to rebuilt that system. I personally support more democratic rights for workers within their respective workplaces and ultimately full worker ownership which is a development of our democracy into the economic sphere of society, which until now has remained under the firm control of a small elite.

[@salahabdalla368]

Imagine thinking Russia is still communist Dude this 2022 not 19s

[@dawnburns880]

bit hard to do that if you running out of men and weapons unless talking about nukes

[@JDWardBand]

Lots of equipment will break down and have to be towed out of town?

[@MrMarimero1234]

Great commentary. I think Putin will declare a Victory with a land bridge and Mariupol as his main prize. The cost of the war is too high militarily and economically to continue the war. He has also not seen much anticipated support from his friends like China and India. This is his opportunity for him to close the war and move on.

[@eliasziad7864]

You are acting as if Ukraine has the largest economy in the world...

[@MrMarimero1234]

@@eliasziad7864 Ukraine will rebuild after this war and be greater than Russia. Ukraine has humbled Russia in battle and Ukraine has the West as its powerful friends to help it quickly rebuild a powerful and robust economy. Ukraine fed the world with grain before jealous Russia invaded, if you don't know. The yellow on its flag represents wheat. The blue represents it's free blue skies. Just keep watching with envy. SLAVA UKRAINI...HEROYAM SLAVA !!!!

[@red_amoguss]

@@MrMarimero1234 Right grandpa, it’s time to take your meds now 👴

[@BadOompaloompa79]

Wars start when you want. They don't end when you want. Ukraine will retake all it's territory. Including Crimea.

[@BadOompaloompa79]

Wars start when you want. They don't end when you want. Ukraine will retake all it's territory. Including Crimea.

[@thomasimcurious9967]

Speaking as an American I hope the Ukrainians hold onto all of their land and even gain some; countries like Crimea and Ukraine should not be under the thumb of a drunken facist regime. It is time that the world grew up and put drunken 70 year old little idiot brats in their sandbox and gave them their plastic shovel and a bucket. It is time the world realized that life is for living and that does not included drinking too much alcohol while people starve and suffer so the rich can prosper.

[@rogerjohnson2562]

get rid of ANY politician over 70 too

[@sunybonez9725]

crimea is not a country its an area that was in ukraine before 2014. the russians took it over and the UN doesent recognize it as russian territory.

[@TheMalerdaemon]

Your too late for any hope, Ukraine is already lost to Russia, Ukraine should have capitulated at the onset to retain some land, but due to the Wests involvement, Russia is taking Ukraine back, all of it. Odessa is next then Moldova, Ukraine will then disappear, probably being renamed to something like Ukrus or Ukrussia.

[@Serveck]

Its a drunken fascist regime thats been blackmailed by china and being pushed not to give up or ccp will be exposed entirely and will crack.

[@Dhzury]

@@TheMalerdaemon Tell me you haven’t studied history without actually saying it.. Ukraine was historically deamed “Novorussiya” (New Russia), The Ukraine, or just Ukraine. Should they be defeated- which it genuinely looks as if they will win this conflict with the rate of Russian military failures and lack of land gain- then Russia would have to establish a puppet state anyways in the Ukrainian areas and directly annex the ethnically Russian regions. Even then- the Ukrainians have demonstrated incredible patriotism and willingness to fight for their homeland, so it’s likely Russia would have to deal with constant Revolutions or Partisans. Russia already failed in its largest and most important goal; making Ukraine look weak and Russia strong. They failed to demoralize Ukraine and divide it, and instead united it greater than ever before and ignited a patriotic fever within the Ukrainians. Even should Russia win.. the military blunder will never be forgotten by the world, and globally their position has now been tarnished and put into question en-masse

[@lethalwolf7455]

Hate to say this, but too bad the allies didn’t secretly send weapons, supplies, and manpower to Germany for operation Barbarossa. It’s one thing they were right about. Oh well, I have a feeling we are going to see it finally accomplished by NATO

[@stephaniegamble3571]

Amazing he uses that excuse but I saw the USSR flag flying with my own eyes in Russia in a live. Your #2 ... Not much else has happened??? PEOPLE HAVE DIED .. How can you say nothing much else has happened like lives aren't being lost every day?

[@peckneck2439]

Absolutely nothing apparently

[@vulc1]

There's an interesting aspect that you didn't mention. The fact is that the soldiers at the so-called victory day parade are full of terror. They are perfectly aware that once the parade is finished, they are sent to the frontlines in Ukraine.

[@Yuki_Ika7]

If Putler does attend i would not be surprised if a Coup does take place, imagine if one of the Veterans from WW2 does the killing blow to Putler! that would be the best if anyone is going to do it at the ceremony!

[@dominickayombo8768]

Whenever two fight for what everyone calls a right, the war never end. Unless one can have mercy on us

[@alexisleon3769]

I admit you are objective. A friend from Greece

[@annikamyren3026]

Also , to declear war Putin have to admitt that he is having problems in Ukraine . Would he do that ?

[@iceiejest103]

Communists lie very well and have no shame. They have been lying to the world and Russian government does not give a f about their own Russian people. On May 9th, they will lie again in the broad daylight. I was from a communist country and I can assure you that.

[@bobrat]

Maybe he can Celebrate with a pack of TB'2's

[@robinsanders5541]

Wars can begin whenever you like. They however never finish when you wish.

[@gabrielconstantinescu6638]

A question is forgotten. Point 5 (and so on): what would the Russians do? ask for a stop of the war? ask for a victory rallying behind their president? I believe these are better questions from now on. (And the comparison with the former Romanian President... sucks from many points of view, first conceptual as Romania had quite a violent way of dealing with its leaders that inspired the authorities at the end of 1989 to act the way they acted and for a reason that, today, no one pays anymore as elections will rapidly change the people who would not even have the time to make something and so, the increasing cost of life is no longer to be blamed on a person or a group, but rather on circumstances, bad luck or international factors, but anyhow on a different motiv, which was the case in most of the circumstances where leaders ended the way they did. It was not a Charles Taylor or a similar African bucher with which, Idi Amin can be compared with. The more time passes, the more leaders that are not on the like of some "liberal leaders" are qualified as autocrats and dictators while the real perpetuators remain unqualified or no one cares after they ended their mandate. In this respect it was said by the foreign underground media such as Radio Free Europe that Ceausescu had many billions of dollars in western banks, just a simple demagogic trick that is extensively used by the West - which holds in fact the biggest oligarchs even if they did not gained their fortune from politics but by connections before becoming top political leaders - to put stains on a paria leader and this is done during years and years till the brainwashed people are convinced about the reality of these allegations that remain unproven but they have achieved the desired purpose). I presume that for a question such as .... : who is a wealthier person, William J Clinton or Vladimir Putin, the answer to which many would rush to would be ........... . So what would the Russian people ask regarding the operations in Ukraine, that is the question. And it is also a tragedy at the same time, when people`s lives count, but seems that this aspect is more and more insignificant.

[@shirleyeggenschwiler9482]

Thanks! It makes good sense that he might declare victory as you said. I am thinking that might be what he will do!

[@joostkpmn5401]

Russia is currently doing the paperwork to call on national reserves. The propaganda also takes on an increasingly hard tone. In addition, Putin has not in any way booked an identifiable victory, which is a minimal requirement to stop this invasion. I am afraid that escalation is the most probable outcome.

[@salahabdalla368]

@@matztertaler2777 No they wont East Ukraine is friendly West Ukraine isnt So he cant annex the east and declare victory and NATO wont be able to give Ukraine weapons due to lack of justification

[@magnuswalker7957]

If he does the world will know its just another fantasy of Putin the mad.

[@shirleyeggenschwiler9482]

@@magnuswalker7957 you are correct, I just wish he would stop

[@shirleyeggenschwiler9482]

@@joostkpmn5401 I think the world will be in trouble so it will get worse.It is such a "hard pill to swallow".....

[@kentostrowercha3646]

The world is watch Russia and will never forget what you have done for years.

[@gsaexperience8578]

Are you kidding? Most people forgot about 2014 already before this happened. This is why it happened because everyone forgot.

[@angelofiron4366]

Russia should take Ukraine. It would stop WW3 from happening and save a lot more lives compared to the on going proxy war in Ukraine. NATO doesn't need Ukraine. The Ruskies will fight to the bitter end for Ukraine. It's best to just leave Ukraine alone and make it neutral.

[@chirpywiggins5796]

They won't remember because he will kill millions in nuclear strikes not long after he's threatened them yet again on May 9th. What a time to be alive !!!

[@marktuyet]

For 100 years . I will hate them until the day I die .

[@xashwty]

@@marktuyet russian government rite? Not russian people… cuz taht not good

[@ShangDi_became_Jesus]

Where did the word “O’blast’ come from? Just seems so out of place or a word you would only find in comic books.

[@Emmet72]

Putin is the grand Marshal, leading the way riding shirtless on an ICBM.

[@NickVenture1]

Keitel looks more impressive while signing the capitulation than Mr Putain getting a kick while reviewing his Force at this Victory Show.

[@antyspi4466]

Well, that´s just the looks. Keitel actually got nicknamed "Lakeitel", essentially mocking him as a lackey. Nobody ever said that about Putin. And that victory parade is not for Putin, it is aimed at the Russian population as a message of strength. This war is about geopolitics, not Putin´s personal preferences.

[@NickVenture1]

@@antyspi4466 No. The parade is aimed at giving hope to Babushkas watching Putain in their soviet era run down appartment blocks that greatness will return and pensions finally rise enough to buy a flat screen TV.

[@StagArmslower]

Zelensky said he is not going to give up more land. If Russia stay in the south the war may continue there until Russian forces slowly back out keeping Crimea

[@vredacted3125]

Rossiya not Russia, Ukraine is the real Rusia (one s) Rossiyans not Russians, Rossiya is the actual modern adopted name of the Grand Duchy of Muscovy, not Russia. Rossiya attacked the Rus’ state of Ukraine. It’s a Rosso-Rus’ Ukrainian war, war between the Northern Rus (Moscovan Rus) self proclaimed as Rossiya and the southern Rus (Kievan Rus), known these days as Ukraine. Rossiya actually stole it’s name, people must know that Ukraine is really Rusia and has always been Rusia until the 18th century, and “Russia” as we know it today, is and always was Muscovy, until they greekefied and stole the name of what is now called Ukraine. So Muscovy (self proclaimed as Rossiya) 🇷🇺 is attacking the real Rusia 🇺🇦 , foremost heir tho the legacy of the Kievan Rus. Слава Русь-Україні! Glory to Rus’-Ukraine!

[@StagArmslower]

@@vredacted3125 we know it , it semantics and translation. Problem is Putin is killing his own people

[@biggles106]

The float showing the 2missing ship's formation will be interesting. Not so many missiles, these were shot at woman and children. Parade will be 30 minutes late due to the 40,000 dead and wounded not attending. 10 times as many Generals as the plastic badge factory have been flat out.

[@christopherrussell343]

How about now?

[@davidgibson1404]

With a bit of luck there could be a drone attack!

[@trevorshields7347]

Or even better, a few drone strikes!

[@stevewhite3424]

Or more likely a asteroid hits

[@trevorshields7347]

@@stevewhite3424 that would do it!

[@salahabdalla368]

Thats called WWIII

[@urknall2010]

If you want a nuclear war then you'd be in luck.

[@gailcolthart2211]

Pootykins used conscripts to bolster his military operations in the Ukraine. He will perhaps need more conscripts to fill in for missing military personnel to bolster the marchers for HIS PARADE!!

[@Sukhoi712]

I find it funny that all of these “victory day endings” are in my recommended after victory day

[@JinKee]

1:46 holy shit you're the first person to actually acknowledge the russian system and its bureaucratic internal contradictions. If only we could acknowledge our own pathological incentives.

[@philipb2134]

03:30 Ceaucescu was executed by firing squad. Under most military traditions, at least one gun will be loaded with a blank, so that a soldier in the squad could tell himself that his was not the gun which caused the death; but in this case, soldiers nudged one another to make sure they had a lethal weapon. Can we expect that Putin also rise to that level of hatred? I doubt it.

[@cjohnson5995]

May 9th 2022 is like the most anticipated day since new years 2000. If he is sick like what people are saying he may ramp it up since he knows he will not face any punishment and go out with a bang. Whatever he decides it's not gonna be good he needs to show strength and victory. Even if he decides to stop pushing forward there are entire cities taken from ukraine this will be a disaster for decades to come even with putin gone.

[@fluo9576]

Also consider, who says Putin successor will be better? At least Putin now it’s boundaries. He knows he would be destroyed by NATO if he touches NATO’s soil. He doesn’t want to throw nukes around (even if he says so). At also he’s smart, yes surely he’s evil and everything, but hes not stupid. What if he’s successor is just fucking crazy?

[@mercedeswolf1282]

I feel something unusual will happen on this day at 7am🙁

[@castlekingside76]

Using the war word could backfire in Russia. It would make it look like he was lying. Hence the sanctions.